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Uni International 300 N. Zeeb Road Ann Arbor, Ml 48106 8503269 S a x t o n , J u d ith E la in e THE INTERACTION O F POLITICAL ALIENATION AND INFORMATION IN A LOCAL MILLAGE ELECTION CAMPAIGN: A CA SE STUDY M ichigan Sta te U niversity University Microfilms International Ph.D. 300 N. Zeeb Road, Ann Arbor, Ml 48106 Copyright 1984 by Saxton, Judith Elaine All Rights Reserved 1984 THE INTERACTION OF POLITICAL ALIENATION AND INFORMATION IN A LOCAL MILLAGE ELECTION CAMPAIGN: A CASE STUDY By Judith Elaine Saxton A DISSERTATION Submitted to Michigan State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY Department of Telecommunication 1984 Copyright by Judith Elaine Saxton 1984 ABSTRACT THE INTERACTION OF POLITICAL ALIENATION AND INFORMATION IN A LOCAL MILLAGE ELECTION CAMPAIGN: A CASE STUDY By Judith Elaine Saxton Researchers from a variety of fields have inves­ tigated the role played by alienation in political parti­ cipation and media use. The research has shown that aliena­ tion is integral to these processes. Two dimensions that have appeared in many of the studies as being interrelated are trust in government and political efficacy. This study examined how political alienation, defined as trust in government and political efficacy, related to information acquisition in a local school millage election campaign by proposing and testing a model of aware­ ness, information and information source. The model predicted that varying levels of awareness, correctness of and source of information would be found based on scores on trust in government and political efficacy scales. The scales were made situation specific, referring to "school board" rather than government. Data were collected from 109 registered voters in Shiawassee County, Michigan, between April 12 and June 10, 1979. An attempt was made to recontact all respondents during the week following the June 11 election. Judith Elaine Saxton Major findings of the study included: 1) Levels of awareness differed among the four alienation groups. 2) Different levels of information did not exist, nor were significant differences as to source of infor­ mation moted, among the four groups. 3) The proportions aware of and holding correct information about the election did not increase signifi­ cantly as the election neared. 4) Age was negatively, but not significantly, related to favorability. 5) The presence of children in the home was a significant factor as was casting a previous vote for a school millage. 6) Favorability increased as education' increased. This did not occur with income or occupation level. 7) Alienation was found to have little impact on either the likelihood of casting a favorable vote or the self-report of the actual vote on the millage. The major conclusion was that the school millage was a low information, low interest election situation. The study proposed that one cause was the media situation in the county: a plethora of media from other areas overpowering the local media, mation about the election. the source of most infor­ ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS Few projects are completed in a vacuum. case here. That is the There are several people without whose help and support, the completion of this project would not have been possible. First, Dr. Thomas Muth, my major advisor, saw me through the four years I was in residency at Michigan State University. His willingness to give of his time to chal­ lenge and console me was beyond normal expectations. With­ out his continued advice and support, I wouldn't have lasted a month, let alone through to the end. Dr. Martin Block served as the advisor for this dissertation. He unfailingly stood by me through the many trials and tribulations of undertaking research in the "real world". Through countless delays and trips to Shiawassee County, he kept me believing that the election actually would be held. Dr. Ada Finifter and Dr. Charles Atkin served as the remaining two members of my guidance committee. They were constantly willing to talk through the various prob­ lems associated with this project. Additionally, Dr. Finifter first instilled in me a fascination for trying to understand why people vote as they do and Dr. Atkin, a questing to discover the impact of information on that ii process. Marin Pearson Allen, and her family, provided friendship and support throughout the process of writing this dissertation. Their basement in Silver Spring, Maryland, often looked like a battleground as I held "dissertation camp" there My students and colleagues at Liberty Baptist College had to put up with me through the countless hours of revisions and rewrites. Their patience, understanding and prayers will never be forgotten. My mother, Margaret Saxton Smith, never gave up believing that this project would be finished, even when I did. Her continued belief in me often provided the strength necessary to continue. Finally, my Lord and God provided the ultimate guidance for this project and for my life. He has provided meaning and direction to a life that was wandering. to Him, above all else, that my thanks must go. It is TABLE OF CONTENTS ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS............................................ ii LIST OF TABLES.............................................. vi LIST OF FIGURES............................................ vii CHAPTER I INTRODUCTION....................................1 Shiawaseee County Background................ 6 Justification of the Stu d y .................. 7 Organization of the Dissertation.......... 10 Endnotes..................................... 12 CHAPTER II REVIEW OF LITERATURE..........................18 Media U s e ....................................18 Demographics............................. 18 Political Activity...................... 23 Political Attitudes..................... 28 Summary.................................. 35 Political Participation and A ttitudes 35 Demographics............................. 35 Political Participation................. 42 Political Attitudes..................... 45 Summary.................................. 55 School Referenda............................ 55 Awareness/Knowledge..................... 56 Source of Knowledge..................... 57 Voting Correlates : Demographics........ 59 Voting Correlates: Alienation.......... 61 Summary.................................. 64 Hypotheses.................................. 65 Definitions................................. 72 Limitations................................. 72 Endnotes..................................... 74 CHAPTER III METHODOLOGY................................... 91 Research D e s i g n ............................. 91 The Sample.................................. 93 Questionnaire Development.................. 94 Pretest .....................................101 Data Collection and Preparation.......... 102 Data Analysis.............................. 103 Endnotes....................................Ill CHAPTER IV RESULTS....................................... 114 Sample Characteristics.................... 114 Demographics ...................... 114 Attitudes............................... 116 Awareness and Information..............120 Media U s e ............................... 121 Source of Information.................. 123 V o t i n g .................................. 123 Sample Representativeness................. 126 Hypotheses................................. 128 The Derivative M o d e l ................... 128 Campaign Awareness and Information....142 Favorability............................ 149 Alienation.............................. 159 "Source of Information" T y p e s ............ 172 Source Profiles.........................172 Profiles of Source T y p e s ...............180 Unique Source Types.................... 184 Profiles of Source Category T y p e s 190 A Research U p d a t e..........................193 Endnotes....................................200 CHAPTER V SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS..................... 208 Summary.....................................208 Conclusions................................ 217 Limitations................................ 221 Suggestions for Future Research.......... 223 Endnotes....................................226 APPENDIX 1: FIRST WAVE QUESTIONNAIRE.................... 227 APPENDIX 2: MAIN WAVE QUESTIONNAIRE..................... 236 APPENDIX 3: CALL BACK QUESTIONNAIRE..................... 244 APPENDIX 4: CODEBOOK...................................... 246 SELECTED BIBLIOGRAPHY...................................... 259 v LIST OF TABLES 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. 21. 22. 23. 24. 25. 26. 27. 28. 29. 30. 31. 32. 33. 34. 35. 36. 37. Population/Sample Comparison.......................... 95 Political Efficacy.................................... 117 Newspaper Readership and Subscription............... 122 Radio Listenership.................................... 122 Times Voted in 1976-1978............................. 124 Sample Distribution on Trust and Efficacy........... 128 Awareness by Attitude G r o u p.......................... 131 Level of Correct Information......................... 134 Analysis of Variance--Level of Correct Information.134 Source of Information By G r o u p....................... 136 Awareness and Information By W e e k ....................143 Information Acquisition By School District..........146 Source By School District............................ 147 Favorability By Education............................ 150 Favorability By Income L e v e l ......................... 152 Favorability By Occupation........................... 153 Correlation M a t r i x .................................... 162 Betas For Regression Analysis........................ 163 Summary T a ble..........................................164 Regression Summary T a b l e ............................. 165 Means and Standard Deviations for Voting Groups ....168 Standardized Discriminant Function Coefficients....168 Discriminant Analysis Summary T a b l e ................. 169 Discriminant Analysis Prediction Res u l t s............169 Source of Information By Gro u p....................... 173 Awareness and Information By Source................. 174 Local Media Use By Sour c e............................ 175 Source By School District............................ 176 Source By Home Ownership, Vocational Education and Children At H o m e .............................. 177 Source By Demographic Variables...................... 178 Source Type By Alienation G r o u p ...................... 185 Awareness and Information By Source................. 186 Source Type By Local Media U s e ....................... 186 Source Type By School District....................... 187 Source By Home Ownership, Vocational Education and Children in H o m e .............................. 188 Source By Age and S e x ................................. 188 Source By Education, Employment and Income..........189 vi LIST OF FIGURES 1. 2. 3. 4. Political Participation Typology........................ 4 Information Typology ...............................5 Shiawassee County Derivative M o d e l ................... 141 Awareness and Information by W e e k .....................145 vii CHAPTER I INTRODUCTION One of the underlying precepts of the United States1 Republican form of government is the concept of the informed electorate, an electorate that bases its voting determina­ tions on accurate and complete information about the candi­ dates and/or issues in any given election campaign. A major premise of the First Amendment^ is to assure that the electorate is informed, thereby supporting a democratic form 2 of government where the individual is sovereign. Berelson, et al point o u t : The democratic citizen is expected to be interested and to participate in political affairs. His inter­ est and participation can take such various forms as reading and listening to campaign materials, working for the candidate or the party, arguing politics, donating money, and voting. . . . The democratic citizen is expected to be well informed about political affairs.3 The role the mass media has assumed in this process is one of providing the necessary information to the elec­ torate on which to base on "informed vote". There are sit­ uations, however, where the mass media may not fulfill that role. Areas of the country exist where there are virtually no local media.^ Suburban areas surrounding a city, and within the metropolitan area, provide one example. Such communities as Farmington Hills, Michigan, and Sun City, Arizona, have local weekly newspapers'* but daily information comes from the media (i.e., radio, television, newspapers) of Detroit and Phoenix, respectively, which may not provide adequate coverage of the local issues facing these outlying areas.^ Local election information, then, may not be readily available in the media relied on daily as a source of political information. This local information must be sought elsewhere.^ This lack of readily available local information is g even more critical in school millage elections. Whereas, in regular primary and general elections voters may receive information from political parties on issues and candidates, no such information vehicles exist in a school or other millage election. g Voters must rely on mass media, quasi­ mass media such as flyers and brochures, or personal commun­ ication as sources of information. The fact that this information comes mainly from the school entity sponsoring the election may further complicate matters as voters may view the information as necessarily b i a s e d . ^ Voters must make a concerted effort to acquire information con­ cerning the election, or even an awareness that an election has been called. Not all voters are willing to make this effort. One such type has come to be known as the "alienated v o t e r " . According to Levin, the alienated voter is hostile to politics and disenchanted with the political process, wary of candidates who spend large sums of money during a campaign, skeptical of candidates and issues endorsed by powerful public figures, tends to believe that campaign promises and platforms are meaningless and tends not to vote at a l l . ^ Nettler found that the alienate is one who has been estranged from and made unfriendly toward his society, its culture and its political process. 12 This type of voter, or non-voter, is one with relatively deepseated "feelings of estrangement, rejection, negativism and unhappiness with the political system or its salient parts". Alienation may have a different impact in local voting on ballot issues. According to Templeton: Unlike national politics, local political systems maximize both the access and the potential impact of interested individual citizens. To the extent that local political systems are democratic in terms of the increased potential for individual participation, they provide their alienated con­ stituents an avenue for expression. . . . Our data suggest that the uses to which political partici­ pation is put are considerably more varied than would be expected on the basis of classical demo­ cratic theory. Indeed, there is reason to believe that a democratic system of participation increases the possibility for participation based upon the individual’s hostility to and rejection of that system. Hamilton and Cohen posit similar behavior in school referenda: Alienation probably is endemic and to some extent omnipresent in school elections, since referenda furnish what our other political structures deny alienates, a convenient, direct opportunity to project their distrust, fears and discontents, to strike back.at "they" and resist policy plans of the elite. Kowalski supports this view: In most communities voters make no decisions 13 regarding taxes for the national military b u d g e t , for local roads, for state income tax, among other issues. Therefore . . . a school issue for operating funds for new buildings is usually the only tax issue in which the voter has a say and he or she may vent frustrations over all high taxes on school elections. Alienation, then, can be expressed in a number of ways in a referendum or school financing election. Pre­ dicting what action will be taken may depend, in part, on a refinement of the political alienation measure. Milbrath and Goel, building on the work of F i n i f t e r ^ , have proposed one such refinement: that alienation is two-dimensional, comprised of trust in government and political efficacy. 18 Their model (see Figure 1) deals with types of political participation dependent upon high and low feelings of trust in government and political efficacy. They point out that the various types of alienated action can be explained by this dichotomization of political alienation. Trust in Government High High Political Efficacy L q w Figure 1: Low Active Allegiant and Conventional Participation Radical Action or Unconventional Participation Supportive, Patriotic and Ritualistic Participation (e.g. voting, enlisting) Withdrawal from Politics Political Participation Typology 19 If the dichotomization holds for political partici­ pation, one should be able to extend the concept to information and awareness as well, since the literature shows that alienation and its two components are related to media use in unique ways. 20 This study proposes and tests such a derivative model (see Figure 2). The model predicts three measures of information (awareness, correctness of in­ formation, source of information) from two components of political alienation (trust in government and political efficacy). Trust in Government High Low High High Awareness Correct Information Information from Media Political Efficacy ^ ow ^ ow Awareness Correct Information Information from Media Figure 2: High Awareness Incorrect Infor­ mation Information from Personal Sources Awareness Incorrect or No Information Information from Personal Sources l ow Information Typology This study is, in essence, a case study of one local millage campaign in one county. 21 It will examine the campaign from the vote r s ' point of view focusing on where they get their information. 22 It will examine the concept of alienation and its effects on information seeking and holding. It will also examine those demographic character­ istics which may affect this information-holding. Shiawassee County Background The study took place in Shiawassee County, Michigan. The local election was a county-wide millage election held by the Shiawassee County Intermediate School District on June 11, 1979. The issue under consideration was whether the district should build and operate a centralized v o c a ­ tional education center for the county, a measure which had failed twice in the previous ten years (1969 and 1972). Shiawassee County is located in the south central 23 portion of the state with an area of 540 square m i l e s . The population in 1975 was 6 9 , 2 1 8 ^ with an estimated 1977 25 26 population of 69,500. The county is 62.4% rural. The 97 98 population is 99.67, white and 49% male . Slightly more than one third (36.6%) of the population is under the age of 29 18 with 55.77. between 18 and 64, and 7.77>, 65 or older. on The per capita income is $5904. The county has one AM-FM combination (WOAP) that simulcasts during the daylight hours and one daily news­ paper (The Argus P r e s s , circulation: in Owosso. 31 14,933) both based There are also two weekly newspapers: the Durand Express (circulation: 2,386), published in Durand, and the Shiawassee Journal (circulation: 6,035), published in Perry. The county has no local television station. 32 Various portions of the county receive Lansing, Detroit and Flint/Saginaw radio stations, resulting in low 33 levels of listenership to WOAP (30% in a recent s t u d y ) . Lansing, Flint and Detroit newspapers circulate in the county with most respondents to an earlier study receiving The Argus Press and one other newspaper. 34 To complicate media matters further, WOAP and The Argus Press are cross-owned and Owosso is one of the seven­ teen markets where divestiture had been ordered because of a potential media monopoly situation. 35 Because of these factors, information concerning local elections may be difficult to locate in the media used as a daily source of information requiring a seeking-out of such information. Justification of the Study The impact of political alienation, as defined by the Milbrath and Goel model, has not been applied to the concepts of information-seeking and information-holding. The application, however, seems reasonable. If alienated voters experience frustration and anxiety whenever they attempt to engage in political action and as a result tend to withdraw from all such action as proposed by Templeton, 36 this withdrawal should apply to information-seeking as well with the alienated voter not participating in such a b e ­ havior. The consequences of such a withdrawal could have a dramatic impact on the political structure of the United States if that segment of the voting population increases in size. Candidates could be elected and issues decided by a small segment of the population, with a portion of that segment being under-informed, thus calling into question the concept of the rational, informed v o t e r . The Milbrath and Goel model of political alienation, with trust in government and political efficacy as its component p a r t s , was developed to deal with the conflicting results that had been noted in research on the alienated voter. Levin and Eden found that alienation actually en- 37 couraged certain types of voting b e h a v i o r . Aberbach found that it was positively related to traditional political activities, such as voting. 38 On the other hand, Erbe found that the positive correlation between alienation and political participation disappeared when socio-economic status and involvement in non-political organizations were held constant 39 and Olsen found that respondents who felt incapable were less likely to act politically. 40 In a study of school bond issues, Thompson and Horton found that those who felt powerless and isolated in community affairs voted in lower numbers, but were also more likely to cast protest votes, stating that a "no" vote in a bond issue was a vote against the existing power structure. 41 The primary concern of the Milbrath and Goel model, as originally conceived, was to explain differing types of political participation. In its derivative form in this study it was used to examine information-seeking and infor­ mation-holding in a manner similar to studies done in infor­ mation diffusion. The longitudinal nature of the study allowed for a finer picture of the information-seeking pr o ­ cess. Most information diffusion research, specifically that dealing with a news event, has been cross-sectional in nature and has dealt with critical events: Eisen­ hower' s decision to seek the Presidency a second t i m e ; ^ the launching of an early satellite, Alaskan statehood and President Eisenhower's illness; dent; a local racial inci- 44 the dropping of Eagleton as Vice-Presidential 45 candidate; nedy. 43 and, the assassination of President Ken- 46 While these studies are valuable in assessing media use for diffusion, the dramatic nature of the events studied may have had an unaccounted-for impact on the rate and nature of the diffusion. Troldahl has pointed out that more study is needed of localized, undramatic events and that more attention should be paid to issues rather than events . ^ The Shiawassee millage election provided an opportunity to study one such localized, undramatic issueevent where interest was minimal. 49 The focus on a school referendum was intentional. Numerous studies have been undertaken to examine the elec­ toral process for Presidential and Congressional races. Referenda, particularly school referenda, have been vi r ­ tually ignored. Hamilton and Cohen state the problem succinctly: Referenda campaigns are communication processes about which little is known except what goes on at the transmitting end. Although the activities and strategies of the campaigns are easily observed, considerably less is known about the less visible activities and tactics of opposition and there is a dearth of anything beyond speculation and casual observations about the effects of referenda cam­ paigns : How much of the campaign messages actually gets through? What proportion of the voters receive information and via which channels? What 10 is the extent and accuracy of the vote r s ' know­ ledge? How much are voters influenced and what influences them? These aspects of school elections have been almost totally neglected by the research to date.51 This study was undertaken in an effort to respond to a number of those issues: awareness levels, proportion of voters receiving information via what channels, extent and accuracy of information, the impact of demographic charac­ teristics and the influence of political alienation. The millage election situation provided a unique opportunity to study one element of the United States polit­ ical system in process. The study of interrelationships between information disseminated and awareness and knowledge, and the impact of political alienation on this relationship, provided for an opportunity to examine how voters use media in a local election campaign. Organization of the Dissertation The report is structured into six major divisions: five chapters and an appendices section. The background, need and purpose for the study have already been discussed in the first chapter. Shiawassee County. It also contained a description of The second chapter presents a review of pertinent literature and a presentation of hypotheses. The third chapter explores the methodology that was used in the study including research design, sampling procedure, ques­ tionnaire development, data collection and analysis. The fourth chapter presents the results of the study in tabular 11 form with an explanation of them. It also analyzes and discusses the results of the study in light of the liter­ ature discussed in the second chapter. The last chapter includes the summary and conclusions of the findings, and some suggestions for further research. The material in the appendices includes a copy of the questionnaire and a copy of the codebook used in the data coding stage of the methodology. 12 Endnotes 1The First Amendment to the U.S. Constitution states: Congress shall make no law respecting an establish­ ment of religion or prohibiting the free exercise thereof; or abridging the freedom of speech, or of press, of the right of the people peaceably to assemble, and to petition the government for a redress of grievances. U.S., Constitution, amend. I . 2 See, for example, Thomas I. Emerson, Toward a G en­ eral Theory of the First Amendment (New Y o r k : Vintage B o o k s , 1966), especially the discussion on pp. 8-11; Alexander Mieklejohn, "The First Amendment is an Absolute" in Philip B. Kurland, ed., Free Speech and Association: The Supreme Court and the First Amendment (Chicago: !rhe University of Chicago "Press", 1975), pp. 1-22. 3 Bernard R. Berelson, Paul E. Lazarsfeld and William N. McPhee, Voting (Chicago: The University of Chicago Press, 1954), ppT 307-8. ^Bogart and Orenstein examined one such situation. See Leo Bogart and Frank E. Orenstein, "Mass Media and Community Identity in an Interurban Setting," Journalism Quarterly 42 (Spring 1965):179-88. ^Farmington H i l l s , Michigan is served by the Farm­ ington Observer and Sun City, Arizona by the Sun City Citizen. £ Conway studied a similar situation in the mid-1960s in a city election in College Park, Maryland, a suburb of Washington, D.C. She found that subscribers to the local weekly paper were more likely to vote than those who sub­ scribed only to a metropolitan daily or no paper. M. M a r ­ garet Conway, "Voter Information in a Nonpartisan Local Election," Western Political Quarterly 21 (March 1968):69-77. Tichenor and Wackman, in a 1571 study set in a suburb of Minneapolis found that knowledge of local public affairs was highest among local paper readers who also had high daily metropolitan usage. Philip J. Tichenor and Daniel B. Wackman, "Mass Media and Community Public Opinion," Ameri­ can Behavioral Science 16 (March-April 1973):593-607. ^This behavior may not always take p l a c e . Palmgreen found that generally people tend to seek information about, talk about, and learn about, only those issues which happen to be in the media spotlight. Philip Palmgreen, "Mass 13 Communication and Political Knowledge: The Effects of Political Level and Mass Media Coverage on Political Learn­ ing" (Ph.D. dissertation, University of Michigan, 1975). g A millage is taxation in mills per dollar of valu­ ation. A mill is equal to one-tenth of a cent. In the pre­ sent situation it refers to an increase in property taxes to cover the cost of additional educational facilities. 9 Fleitas terms these situations minimal informa­ tion elections which are characterized by a dearth of information as to election issues and partisan considera­ tions. Daniel William Fleitas, "The Underdog Effect: An Experimental Study of Voting Behavior in a Minimal Infor­ mation Election" (Ph.D. dissertation, Florida State Univer­ sity, 1970) . ■^Hamilton and Cohen point out that in Austintown, alienated voters did not believe the facts presented by the school board, claiming that the information was biased in order to get a favorable vote. Howard D. Hamilton and Syl­ van H. Cohen, Policy Making by Plebiscite: School Referenda (Lexington, Mass.: d T c . Heath and Company, 1974), pp. 140-42. ■^Murray B. Levin, The Alienated Voter: Politics in Boston (New York: Holt, Rinehart and Winston, 1960). 12 Gwynn Nettler, "A Measure of Alienation," Ame r i ­ can Sociological Review 22 (December 1957):672-74. ^ L e s t e r W. Milbrath and M. L. Goel, Political Pa r ­ ticipation: How and Why Do People Get Involved in Politics, 2d e d ., (Chicago: Rand McNally College Publishing Company, 1977), p. 62. ^ F r e d e r i c Templeton, "Alienation and Political Par­ ticipation: Some Research Findings," Public Opinion Quart­ erly 30 (Summer 1966):261. ^ H a m i l t o n and Cohen, Policy M a k i n g , p. 205. "^Joan P. Sullivan Kowalski, Voter Behavior and Campaign Strategies in School Finance Elections (Arlington, V a .: Educational Research Service, I n c ., 1977), p. 18. "^Ada W. Finifter, "Dimensions of Political Alien­ ation," American Political Science Review 64 (June 1970): 14 407. 1ft Milbrath and Goel, Political Participation, p. 70. 19ib±d. 20 This is developed in detail in the Review of Literature in Chapter II. 21 The study is part of a larger effort undertaken by a team of researchers from Michigan State University using a metric multi-dimensional scaling technique known as Gali­ leo. The larger study was designed to track attitudes of registered voters in the county concerning vocational edu­ cation across time and to provide the funding agency with information on the optimal campaign messages to assure passage of the measure. 22 Anderson and Meyer point out the importance of the study of source of information: "Finally we desperately need field research which will document the behaviors of individuals vis a vis their communication outlets. We need scientists who will systematically observe the rich variety of behaviors related to information flow of which infor­ mation diffusion research is at least a beginning". James A. Anderson and Timothy P. Meyer, "Functionalism and the Mass Media," Journal of Broadcasting 19 (Winter 1975):21. 23 Michigan Department of Commerce, Office of Econ­ omic Expansion, Economic Profile of Shiawassee County (Lansing, Michigan, September 1966). 24 U.S., Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Cen­ sus, 1977 City County Data Book: A Statistical Abstract Supplement (Washington, D.C., 1977). 25 David I. Verway, Michigan Statistical Abstracts, 13th ed. (East Lansing, Michigan: Michigan State University Graduate School of Business Division of Research, 1978), p. 42. 26I b i d ., p. 47. 27Ibid., p. 69. 28I b i d . 15 29Ibid. 30Ibid., p. 383. 31Ibid, p. 925. 32 The Detroit media include two daily newspapers (The Detroit Free Press and The Detroit N e w s ) , twentyeight radio stations ^twenty FM and eight AM) and eight television stations (four VHF, one of which is from Canada, and four U H F ) . The Lansing media include one daily news­ paper (The Lansing State Journal) , eleven radio stations (three FM and three AM from Lansing and three FM and two AM from East Lansing) and three television stations, one of which is UHF. The Flint media include one daily news­ paper (The Flint Journal) , eleven radio stations (five FM and six AM) and five television stations, three of which are UHF. 33 These results are from the baseline study under­ taken prior to the introduction of the overall message campaign. Martin Block and Joseph Woelfel, Area Vocational Education Campaign Strategies and Techniques Project, Phase I: Campaign Strategies (East Lansing, Michigan; College of Communication A r t s a n d Sciences, Michigan State Univer­ sity, September 1978), p. 19. / This result is from the baseline study. 35 Federal Communications Commission, Amendment of Multiple Ownership Rules (Newspapers), Second Reoort and Order, 50 g.C.C. 2d 1046', 32 RR Sd 954, 40 Fed. feeg'.' 6449 (1975); On reconsideration 53 F.C.C. 2d 589, 33 R.R. 2d 1063 (1975). The FCC decision was appealed to the Court of Appeals (D.C. Circuit) where the decision was overturned. Upon appeal to the U.S. Supreme Court, the FCC decision was upheld. National Citizen's Committee for Broadcasting v. F.C.C., 555 F .2d 938 (D.C. CIR. 1977), 39 R.R. 2d 1463; FCC v. National Citizen's Committee for Broadcasting, 436 U.S. 775, 98 S. Ct. 2096 (1978). 3^Templeton, pation," p. 256. 37 "Alienation and Political Partici­ Murray B. Levin and Murray Eden, "Political Strategy for the Alienated Voter," Public Opinion Quarterly 26 (Spring 1962):47-63. 16 OQ Joel Aberbach, "Alienation and Political Behav­ ior," American Political Science Review 63 (March 1969): 86- 9 9 . QQ William Erbe, "Social Involvement and Political Activity: A Replication and Elaboration," American Socio­ logical Review 29 (April 1964):198-215. ^ M a r v i n E. Olsen, "Two Categories of Political Alienation," Social Forces 47 (March 1969):289-99 . ^Htfayne Thompson and John E. Korton, "Political Alienation as a Force in Political Action," Social Forces 38 (March 1960):190-95. /O Wayne A. Danielson, "Eisenhower's February Deci­ sion: A Study of News Impact," Journalism Quarterly 33 (Fall 1956):431-41. /Q Paul J. Deutschmann and Wayne A. Danielson, "Diffu­ sion of Knowledge of a Major News Story," J ournalism Quart­ erly 37 (Summer 1960):345-55. ^ D o n a l d I. Warren, "Mass Media and Racial Crisis: A Study of the New Bethel Church Incident in Detroit," Journal of Social Issues 28 (1972):111-32. ^ K e n n e t h G. Sheinkopf and M. Timothy O'Keefe, "The Eagleton Affair: A study of News Diffusion," paper pre­ sented to the Mass Communication Division of the Interna­ tional Communication Association, Montreal, Canada, 25-28 April 1973, cited in Sidney Kraus and Dennis Davis, The Effects of Mass Communication on Political Behavior (Univer­ sity Park, P a . : The Pennsylvania State University P r e s s , 1977), pp. 167-68. ^ H a r o l d Mendelsohn, "Broadcast vs. Personal Sources of Information in an Emergent Public Crisis: The Presidential Assassination," Journal of Broadcasting 8 (Spring 1964):147-56. ^ V e r l i n g C . Troldahl, "Studies of Consumption of Mass Media Content," Journalism Quarterly 42 (Autumn 1965); 596-606. 48 voters. Turnout for the election was 12% of all registered 17 49 Stone points to the need for expanding the alien­ ated voter concept to include the study of alienation in the context of the local political process. Clarence E. Stone, Local Referendums: A n Alternative to the Alienated Voter Model," Public Opinion Quarterly 29 (Summer 1965):215. ■*®For information on voting in Presidential elec­ tions see,, for example, Angus Campbell, Philip E. Converse, Warren E. Miller and Donald E. Stokes, The American Voter (Chicago: The University of Chicago P r e s s , i960); Angus Campbell, Gerald Gurin and Warren E. Miller, The Voter Decides (Evanston, 111.: Row, Peterson and Company, T954); Warren E . Miller and Teresa E. Levetin, Leadership and Change: The New Politics and the American Electorate (Cambridge, M a s s .: Winthrop Publishers, I n c ., 1976); Norman H. Nie, Sidney Verba and John R. Petrocik, The Chang­ ing American Voter (Cambridge: Harvard University Press, 19/6); and, Rebecca Colwell Quarles, "Mass Media and Voting Behavior: The Accuracy of Political Perceptions Among First Time and Experienced V o t e r s ," Communication Research 64 (October 1979):407-36. For information on Congressional elections see, for example, Angus Campbell, "Surge and Decline: A Study of Electoral Change," Public Opinion Quarterly 24 (Fall 1960):397-418; Andrew T . Cowart, ^Elec­ toral Choice in the American States: Incumbency Effects, Partisan Forces and Divergent Partisan Majorities," American Political Science Review 67 (September 1973):835-52; Barbara Hinckley, C . Richard Hofstetter and John H. Kessel, "Information and the Vote: A Comparative Election Study," in Richard G. Niemi and Herbert F. Weisberg, e d s ., Contro­ versies in American Voting Behavior (San Francisco: W.H. Ereeman Company, 1976), pp. 274-96; Gerald H. Kramer, "Short-Term Fluctiiations in U.S. Voting Behavior," American Political Science Review 65 (March 1971):131-43; Donald E. Stokes and Warren E. Miller, "Party Government and the Saliency of Congress," Public Opinion Quarterly 26 (Winter 1962):531-46; and, Edward R. T u l t e , "Determinants of the Outcome of Midterm Congressional Elections," American Polit­ ical Science Review 69 (September 1975) :812-25"! ■^Hamilton and Cohen, Policy M a k i n g , p. 137. CHAPTER II REVIEW OF LITERATURE Any study that crosses academic disciplines must, of necessity, touch upon a large body of literature. The pr e ­ sent study took a political science model and applied it to a number of media variables in an educational setting. This necessitated an exploration of the literature from the areas of media use, political participation research and school referenda to present the theoretical underpinnings of the derivative m o d e l . Media Use Demographics The earliest research into media use focused almost entirely on the demographic characteristics of users of v a r ­ ious media. For example, in 1950 Star and Hughes reported that the college educated were much more likely to expose themselves to informational or public affairs mass communi­ cation.^ the media. Another area of research explored time spent with Ross and Bostain, in a three-day diary study with 523 Wisconsin farm families, found that television was the leading medium in average time use with radio second and 2 reading third. Men spent one-fifth of their waking time in contact with mass media while women spent one-fourth. 18 19 The research into demographic differences proved to be more prolific. Westley and Severin, in a study of the adult population in Wisconsin in 1961-62, were able to de­ velop a demographic profile of the daily newspaper no n ­ reader as someone: . . . low on the scale of occupations, low in ed­ ucation, low in income and likely to regard h i m ­ self as "working class" rather than "middle class" . . . much more likely to be a farmer than a city dweller and, among the non-farm population, some­ what more likely to be a resident of a place under 10,000 population than a larger . . . no more likely to be of one sex or the other . . . tends to be either in his 20's or in his 70's or older.3 In addition they found the non-reader to be likely to belong to few formal organizations, an infrequent church attender and visitor of friends and relatives. On political vari­ ables,^ the non-reader tended to have no political identifi­ cation or leaning and to be a non-voter. A study undertaken in 1959 allows for a similar time period comparison of the non-television household. Westley and M o b i u s , in a survey in Madison, Wisconsin, found that the non-television household was characterized by certain highstatus and certain low-status occupations, by a chief wage earner with less than a high school education or who has gone beyond college, and by a household with two adults and more than one child between the ages of five anf fifteen."* Samuelson, Carter and Paiggels, in a study with 203 adult males in Redwood City, California, found that the more educated persons do not, on the average, use the broadcast media as much as the less educated. They relate 20 the difference to available time: Clearly, however, the time demands of role activ­ ities reduce the amount of time that the more edu­ cated man might otherwise be inclined to spend view­ ing television and, to a lesser degree, listening to radio and reading newspapers. Westley and Severin,. again relying on data col­ lected in their 1961-62 Wisconsin study, found demographic differences in groups who assign high credibility (opera­ tionalized as responses to the question "As between tele­ vision, radio and newspapers, which one do you feel gives the most accurate news?") to the various media.^ Those who rated newspapers most credible tended to be persons of high socio-economic status with the education factor in this measure positively related to high newspaper credibility and negatively related to trust in television as a source of n e w s . The authors point out that "the relationship of education to media credibility is one of the strongest and Q most consistent in the entire study". variables, On the political the person who sees newspapers as most credible is most likely to be an independent. Those who voted in the last general election at the time of the study had a slight tendency to rate the newspaper as higher and tele­ vision lower than those who did not vote. Greenberg uncovered demographic differences between those relying on television and those relying on newspapers 9 as the principal source of n e w s . Newspaper readers tended to be male with some college education. Slightly more men over forty fell into this group than men under forty 21 (71% compared with 65%). Women with some college and over the age of forty tended to rely on newspapers, while all other categories of women relied more heavily on television. Males with less than thirteen years of school relied slightly more on newspapers (under forty. 52%; over forty, 56%). On media credibility measures, those rating news­ papers as more credible tended to be older males of high education levels, a confirmation of earlier findings re­ garding education. A t h e n s , Ohio was the setting for a study by Sargent and S t e m p e l . ^ To explore the relationship of media use, poverty and alienation respondents: 11 , the researchers used two sets of 39 families in the poverty group and 114 in the general population. They report that the general popu­ lation had a high, although not significant, use of news­ papers and a significantly lower use of radio and tele­ vision. The general population also had a significantly lower use of radio and television as news media. Wade and Schramm found that television is more likely to be used as a source of political information by those with little education, females, nonwhites, blue-collar workers. 12 farm and Newspapers, on the other hand, were more likely to be used by highly educated groups, whites, males, professional, managerial and white-collar workers, and high income groups. Television was used by approxi­ mately 557o of the population while newspapers were used by 25%. 22 Kline, using path analysis to discover the extent to which media use in contemporary society is related to lifestyle or ecological demographic location, found that older families and those higher on the occupational ladder are more likely to read newspapers. 13 He also discovered that the better educated spent less time with the newspaper, but felt this could be a result of education leading to an improved capability for selective and/or faster reading. Clark and Ruggels also found an education-newspaper link.^ They report, in their survey of 1250 male and female heads of households in Seattle, that education was positively related to a preference for newspapers as a source of public affairs information. Becker, Sobowale and Casey also found a newspaper-education link with both education groups reporting newspaper dependency for national and local news but with the better educated group being more dependent on newspapers than television. The younger members of their sample were more television dependent, particularly for local n e w s . Vinyard and Sigel report that reliance on a diversity of media increases as education increases.^ Barnett and Hughes note that increased media use produced an increase in political knowledge that was most pronounced for those with less than a high school education and almost non-existent for college g r a d u a t e s . ^ This trend to examine media use demographically continues. In a recent study of approximately 1200 adults, Poindexter developed four categories of television news 23 usage: non-news viewers (21%), non-network news viewers (7%), non-local news viewers (67%). (5%), and, news viewers She found that the younger the age group, the more pronounced the tendency not to view television news; that those with high school and technical degrees were least likely to view; and, that those with large incomes were also least likely to view. Most non-viewers, however, did read daily newspapers. The research clearly points to media use differences based on demographics. Newspaper reliance is strongly asso­ ciated with higher education levels, higher occupational status and higher incomes. Additionally, newspaper reading is associated with being older, being male and being white. Conversely, television viewing is associated with lower levels of education, income and occupational status as well as being young, being female and being non-white. Political Activity A second major area of research into media use focuses on its relationship to various forms of political activity. This focus is based upon the assumption, as Burstein states: . . . that contact with national political centers, directly or indirectly, through contacts with edu­ cational institutions, government bureaucracies, mass media, formal organizations, or informal groups, produces an inclination to participate actively in political l i f e . 19 Some of the earliest voting behavior studies con­ sidered media use variables. Lazarsfeld, Berelson and 24 Gaudet, in their study of the 1940 Presidential election in Erie County, discovered that about half of the population ignored front page news stories and political broadcasts at the peak of the campaign. 20 They also found that those highly exposed to one medium tended to be highly exposed to other media as well. Berelson, Lazarsfeld and McPhee, in a study of voters in Elmira, New York during the 1948 Presi­ dential election found that of the total populace only 36% in June and 38%, in October reported paying a great deal of attention to news about the election in the mass media. 21 As in the Erie County study, they found that those highly exposed to one medium tended to be highly exposed to others as well. In addition, demographic differences were found 22 relating to high and low exposure levels. Glaser examined television's effect on voting turnout as compared with other mass media. 23 He found that the differences existed between those who do and those who do not vote: television viewers have a higher turnout than non-viewers, and newspaper readers have a higher turnout than non-readers. He also found that the association between newspapers and turnout was higher than that between television and turnout, and that those differences remained when controlled on demographic variables. Media usage and political activity were compared by 2/ Becker and Preston. Media usage was operationalized as the number of media used by the respondent while political activity was determined through psychological involvement 25 in the campaign, political efficacy, voting tendencies and actual involvement (other than voti n g ) . examined effects of education and income. file patterns were discovered. The study also No clear pro­ Media usage was found to be more highly associated with concern about the election outcome, interest in the campaign, voting in 1964, and attempts at personal persuasion. Education was associated with political efficacy, voting in previous elections, time of voting decision, and tendency to write letters. Prisuta examined the relationship between media exposure and political variables dealing with voting turnout, time of voting decision, information level, interest level and political involvement using data from the 1968 Presidential election. 25 He found that newspapers were the only medium to correlate significantly with voter turnout; that there was no relationship between media exposure and time of voting decision; that information level correlated strongly with media usage (as exposure rises so does information level) with newspapers exhibiting the strongest relation­ ship; and, that the same tendency was apparent in interest level but that this did not carry over into the political activity area. He concluded that lack of involvement in the political system may be a result of low media exposure but that "it is also at times a cause, which involves the delib­ erate avoidance of media information due to apathy, sociali,,26 zation or cross-pressure . Chaffee and McLeod report what they believe to be a 26 consistent information-seeking habit by the most informed. 27 In a study of gubenatorial and Congressional races in M a d i ­ son, Wisconsin, they found that those subjects with the most knowledge about the campaigns and those who expected to dis­ cuss the campaigns in the future were the groups most likely to request informational pamphlets about the candidates. O'Keefe and Mendelsohn report that the non-voter was less likely to attend to news and public affairs media content and that television was the prime medium of political 28 information for this g r o u p . Exposure to newspapers and television n e w s , and attention to news content generally, increased with age, education and political interest. Dreyer utilized data from five Presidential elec­ tions (1952, 1956, 1960, 1964, 1968) to examine the extent to which the American electorate employs the mass media to follow the progress of Presidential campaigns. 29 He re ­ ported that the larger intake of current political infor­ mation that results from a more active monitoring of cam­ paign activities through the mass media did not have the same impact as the smaller intake among those less actively exposed. The latter group was far more susceptible to the "slightest dose of current information, since their under­ standing and 'mass' of stored political knowledge is so impoverished". Newspapers, of all media types, seem to have the greatest impact on political knowledge and activity. Al e x ­ ander, using data collected in 1968, found that in local 27 elections a clear understanding of candidates and issues was garnered through newspapers (40%), followed by tele31 vision (26%) , radio (67o) and magazines (1%) . Twenty-three percent reported that their information came from other people. Barnett and Hughes, in a preliminary investigation using thirty-five students in a Communications class at Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, found that newspaper reading was a better predictor of "level of certainty" than was exposure to any other media, 32 while in a much earlier study, Nafziger and his colleagues found that avid readers of newspapers tended to be better informed than light readers. 33 O'Keefe, Mendelsohn and Lui, using a panel of voters in Summit County, Ohio, found a shift in media reliance between 1972 and 1974. In 1972, television ranked above newspapers as the dominant source of political infor­ mation. In 1974, newspapers ranked above television and fully 43% of those who had named television in 1972 named newspapers in 1974. 35 Newspaper readership also appears to be directly related to voting. Buchanan reported in 1956 that voters were significantly more likely to be subscribers to a local weekly newspaper and to a nearby daily and that newspaper subscription related to voting even when education was held O constant. f. In a study of the 1965 city election in College Park, Maryland, Conway found that newspapers were the major source of information about the campaign. 37 Additionally, she found that subscribers to the local weekly papers were 28 much more likely to vote than those who subscribed to no paper or only to the metropolitan dailies. McLeod and his colleagues also found a newspaper-vote relationship with the frequent newspaper readers being more likely than other young people to turn out to vote. 38 Quarles, similarly, in an analysis of 1972 Presidential election voting data, suggested that first time voters were more likely to respond to campaign stimuli and to learn about candidates and issues 39 through newspapers. Media use, then is related to political activity in two ways. First, increased media use leads to more concern about election outcomes, more voting, more attempts at p er­ sonal persuasion, greater turnout, increased information levels and an increased likelihood to request more infor­ mation. Second, political behavior is related to type of media used with newspaper reliance associated with greater turnout, a clearer understanding of candidates and issues, a greater level of certainty, voting and being better in­ formed. Television, on the other hand, is seen as the prime political information medium for the non-voter. Political Attitudes A third area of related media use research is the exploration of its relationship to political attitudes. It is held by some that media use is not directly linked to political action, as proposed in the previous section, but rather is a contributor to a process in which various types 29 of political predispositions are formed which ultimately influence political a c t i o n . ^ In other words, the influence that media presentations will have on people will depend on what people bring to the media: Their interests, their forms of difference or opposition, their naivete', and their established tions set the way in which they the presentations.41 receptiveness, in­ sophistication or schemes of defini­ initially receive The research falls into several areas. A number of researchers have examined the relationship of media to political interest. 42 Clark and Ruggels, in a sample of Seattle voters, found that while television was less pre­ ferred as a source of political information than newspapers, the broadcast media were the major sources of information for those having average or below average knowledge of and interest in public affairs. 43 Similarly, Atkin, Galloway and Nayman report that the amount of political reading in newspapers is the strongest correlate of both political interest and political knowledge. 44 Education and social class were both found to be moderately related to print media but unrelated to electronic media use, and that when these two demographic variables were controlled the print media correlations with political interest and knowledge were only slightly reduced. McCombs and Mullins found that while level of education showed a strong relationship with media exposure to public affairs, political interest was consistently as strong a correlation. 45 In their sample of college students, the "extra" media use associated with high 30 political interest consisted "disproportionately of ex­ posure to national and international news, analyses of social issues and editorials" . ^ The relationship of alienation and media use has captured the attention of a variety of authors. Pietila points o u t : The concept of alienation is important in massmedia research precisely because the so-called "information explosion" may indeed be one factor contributing to a feeling of alienation. The amount of information available is so enormous that it may be difficult to form a crystallized and articulate conception of events and their causes; under such conditions the individual may easily feel helplessly caught up in the train of events.^7 In a study of Finnish voters, Pietila found that alienated individuals use newspapers, television and radio for vicar­ ious reasons more than the non-alienated who use media more for informational reasons. 48 McLeod, Ward and Tancil found that the more alienated respondent was relatively uninter­ ested in nonsensational headlines devoted to political and 49 economic affairs. They concluded that the alienated should have little interest in government news. Katz and Foulkes investigated the escape function of the media and found that alienation produces a desire to escape.'*® They note that, according to popular culture, people who are alienated turn to the entertainment fare of the mass media as a substitute gratification, which in turn brings about a further withdrawal from political and social a c t i o n . ^ Alienation and the desire to escape have been 31 operationalized as avoidance of specific media content. Blumler and McQuail, in their study of British electoral behavior, identified nine reasons for avoiding party broadcasts. 52 Previous vote decision (37%), distrust of poli­ ticians' messages (35%) and lack of interest in politics (267o) received the most mentions. McLeod and Becker, using substantially the same list of reasons, uncovered three underlying dimensions: ation. 53 partisanship, relaxation and alien- They found that heavy television users tended to be high on all three avoidance dimensions and that enter­ tainment fans were more likely to prefer to relax when watching rather than watching political material. sanship was the best predictor of avoidance. Parti­ Those avoiding the campaign media were less interested in politics, exposed themselves less often to general public affairs media and discussed politics less. Semlac and Williams investigated avoidance in the 1976 election campaign and found that while those high on avoidance tended to view more television daily, they viewed less network news. 54 They suggest that study of the concept of alienation could offer some insight into the question of what might be inherent in the context of political media that forces people to avoid both political messages from the media and the entire political decision-making process. Political efficacy and trust in government have also been related to media use. Eldersveld found that personal contact brought out voters who felt they were politically 32 55 efficacious. This group also has a greater tendency to be exposed to other media during the campaign, especially newspaper coverage. Eulau and Schneider report that the de­ gree of "relatedness" a person feels to the political p r o ­ cess is associated with media u s a g e . ^ Defining relatedness as a combination of the degree to which a person has inter­ nalized political expectations and the degree to which that person is efficacious, they found that highly related indi­ viduals expose themselves to the major media of political communication with much greater frequency. In a more r e ­ cent study of white, black and Mexican-American adults, Tan found that white adults who felt politically efficacious were more likely to use the mass media for public affairs information than those who felt inefficacious.^^ lationship did not hold for the other two g r o u p s . The r e ­ The study also found that political participation significantly predicted mass media use for public affairs information among all three groups and that politically active respon­ dents were more likely to use newspapers and television for public affairs information than those not actively involved. Becker, McLeod and Ziemke, in a multiple regression analysis of the relationships between demographic variables, social-psychological variables, several political orienta­ tions , and uses and avoidances of the political content of the media, found that while the demographic and social- psychological variables showed little relationship to media use or avoidance orientations, political orientations were 33 quite strongly related to political media use orientations. 58 Persons scoring highly on the efficacy scale were found to be frequent users of the media for vote guidance and sur­ veillance purposes while persons with high levels of trust in government tended to be the highest excitement seekers. O'Keefe, approching the same problem from a different per­ spective, found that high reliance on the mass media for political purposes was associated with more positive or integrative citizen orientations toward the political system. 59 He reported that the greater the reliance on tele­ vision, the more likely the respondent would believe that politicians are altruistic and that their vote is effica­ cious and the less likely they would feel powerless and alienated. Newspaper reliance was even more strongly asso­ ciated with these ide a s . In their examination of the relationship between media use and voting, Lang and Lang point out that "persons with above-average political sophistication (and therefore less subject to a 'chronic distrust' of politics) are in the habit of checking one source of information against an ­ other".^® For those who feel debarred from any channels of political influence (the inefficacious) the authors wonder if they would distrust all mass media sources and believe only what their friends tell them. They also noted that television has an especially strong appeal for the chron­ ically distrustful. Robinson supports this final contention with data 34 from an examination of television users on three attitudinal 61 variables. He found that of those relying only on tele­ vision as a source of information, 91%, felt they couldn't understand politics, 34% thought that government leaders were crooked, and 68% thought Congressmen lose touch with their constituents after the election. Comparable figures for those who do not rely on television were 63%,, 21%, and 47%, respectively. In a study in Syracuse, New York in 1977 with 460 heads of households, Becker, Sobowale and Casey found further support for the relationship between media use and 62 trust. Newspaper dependency at the local level was found to be positively related to trust of local officials. Tele­ vision dependent persons tended to be less favorable towards and trusting in local leaders than those not dependent on that medium. Political attitudes are related to media use such that the less the alienation, distrust and inefficacious feeling, the more the use of media for public affairs infor­ mation. Newspaper readership is associated with high levels of both trust in government and political efficacy. The amount of reading is also the strongest correlate of both political interest and political knowledge. Television, on the other hand, appeals to the inefficacious and distrust­ ful, those high on alienation and avoidance. 35 Summary A distinct pattern emerges from the literature. Newspaper readership is clearly related to feelings of attachment to the political system and behaviors that demon­ strate that attachment. These include feelings of trust and efficacy, a high level of political interest and political knowledge, a clearer understanding of candidates and issues and voting. Television viewing is associated with aliena­ tion, distrust, inefficacy, a limited amount of information and non-voting. Additionally demographic differences can be seen with newspaper readership being associated with higher socio-economic status. It is also inportant to note that an increase in media use for political information leads to an increase in interest, knowledge, trust, sense of efficacy and v o t i n g . Political Participation and Attitudes Demographics A variety of demographic factors are related to political participation: age, sex, race, social class, in­ come, education and socio-economic status (a combination of the previous three). In an early study, Connelly and Field, focusing in the non-voter in the 1940 Presidential elec63 tion, developed a profile of the non-voter. They deter­ mined that races other than white had a lower percentage of voters. Women and the young were also less likely to vote as were service workers (e.g., domestics, firemen, policemen, 36 waitresses, etc.) and manual workers, whether skilled or unskilled. The relationship between income, or, in their terms, economic security, and education with non-voting is less clear cut. Whereas non-voters were located primarily at the lower end of both scales, when combined, economic security appeared to be more influential. A larger pro­ portion of non-voters were found among those with maximum education and minimum economic security than among those with minimum education and maximum economic security. larly, Lang and Lang Simi­ found that non-voters in California contained a high concentration of older people with little education (non-high school graduates who are over 55). ^ This group also exhibited, generally, less involvement in the outcome of the election and in the campaign that led up to i t . A national sample of non-voters undertaken in July, 1976 by O'Keefe and Mendelsohn showed that this picture did not change substantially in thirty-six y e a r s . ^ The n o n ­ voter was found to be female (52%) more often than male (48%), young (55% of the non-voters were between eighteen and thirty-four), and at the lower end of the economic scale (51% had incomes of less than $10,000; comes between $10,000 and $14,999). 23% had in­ The non-voters' educational level was also low with 21% having an eighth grade educational attainment or less and another 61% having an educational attainment of the ninth to the twelfth grade. Since the 1940 study offers no percentages as to race, a 37 comparison between the two studies cannot be made. However, O'Keefe and Mendelsohn report that of their non-voters,737, were white, 17% were black, 17> Oriental, 8% Chicano and 17. other. The authors point out that traditionally the n o n ­ voter has been characterized as "likelier to be young, less educated, less affluent, single, female, geographically mobile", 66 and their data appears to add new support to that contention. Eulau and Schneider, using a national area probabil­ ity sample, examined the relationship of political related­ ness, a combination of political efficacy and responsibility, and d e m o graphics.^ They found that persons scoring highly on political relatedness were more often among those with higher incomes, those of higher occupational status, urban­ ites and the better educated. Low scorers were more often found at the opposite end of these demographic groupings. Thompson and Horton reached a similar conclusion. 68 In their Berkeley, California sample, they found a high inci­ dence of non-voting and disinterest among those with lower socio-economic status. Erbe reports that those with higher social status are more likely to register, to vote, to be interested in politics, to discuss politics, to belong to a politically relevant organization and to attempt to influence the political views of others while for those with a lower social status, the reverse is true. 49 Bennett and Klecka, utilizing national election data for 1964, 1966 and 1968, 38 found education to be the best predictor of political actions when compared with occupation and income.^ Milbrath and Goel, citing a wide variety of studies, report that those with a higher social class standing, higher income and higher level of educational attainment are more likely to p a r t i c i p a t e . ^ Men are more likely to participate than women, and whites are more likely than blacks. The relationship between age and participation was found to be curvilinear with participation increasing steadily until the middle years after which it begins to decline as age advances. The relationship between social status and partici­ pation takes an unexpected turn on a community l e v e l . Minar analyzed aggregate voting data on elections and referenda in forty-eight suburban elementary school districts in Cooke County, Illinois. 72 He found that communities with higher aggregate status levels tended to show lower participation and lower levels of dissent. Demographic characteristics have also been found to be related to political attitudes, particularly political alienation and its two components, political efficacy and trust in government. Thompson and Horton and Templeton both found that alienation was closely related to those in the lower socio-economic strata. 73 While the former suggests that political alienation may be a mediating factor between socio-economic status and political participation which provides an alternative to "subcultural orientations 39 or self-interest explanations of political b e h a v i o r " ^ among that group, the latter claims that alienation is manifested in a withdrawal from political life. Templeton found in his 1960 Berkeley, California sample that the alien­ ated were found disproportionately among bla c k s , manual workers, those with less than a college education, those who identify with working or lower classes and those in the lower two socio-economic quartiles (as determined by the interviewer). Levin found similar results in Boston: feel­ ings of powerlessness were greatest among elementary or high school graduates, those employed in blue or white collar jobs and those in lower income groups, although the data only implies the relationship of income and power- i lessness.75 Dean, in a study in Columbus, Ohio, found that there was a negative correlation between social status, defined as a combination of occupation, education and in­ income, and alienation; a positive correlation between advancing age and alienation; and, a negative correlation between a rural background and alienation.^ tions were statistically significant but low. The correla­ Dean con­ cludes that, in general, alienation decreases as status in­ creases. He points out, however, be a "personality that alienation may not 'trait', but a situation-relevant variable".^ Middleton examined the relationship between race, education and alienation in a central Florida sample in the 40 summer of 1962. 78 He found that the percentage of blacks who felt alienated was far higher than the percentage for whites for every type of alienation except cultural estrangement. 79 For both racial groups, education was inversely related to alienation, such that as education level in­ creased, the degree of alienation decreased. similar results Olsen found in a study of race and alienation in Detroit in the late 1950's. 80 Blacks were more alienated than whites even when occupation was controlled. For occu­ pation, as status increased, alienation decreased, an asso­ ciation that was evident for both r a c e s . Education and in­ come were both significantly and negatively related to alienation among both blacks and whites, however, the rela­ tionship almost disappeared when occupation was controlled. Finally, he found that age was not related to alienation and that men were slightly more alienated than women. The relationship between alienation and perception of political strength in a school tax levy election was 81 examined by Eckhardt and Hendershot. They found that alienation was associated with social position in the power structure. The alienated were largely found among those of a lower socio-economic status whether measured by occupation or educational attainment. Additionally, the older members of the sample were more likely to be alienated as were those who had resided in the community for a longer period of time. Bennett and Klecka noted that a strong sense of 41 political efficacy was dependent upon knowledge about poli­ tics and the capacity to use information properly, a result of the educational process. elections (1964, 1966, 82 Using data from three national 1968) they found that political effi­ cacy was related to education, income and occupation and that of the three, educational attainment was the strongest p re­ dictor of efficacy. Similarly, Vinyard and Sigel found that social class was related to efficacy with middle class r e ­ spondents generally rating higher in the sense of efficacy 83 than working class respondents. Mendelsohn and O'Keefe, in a study of the 1972 elec­ tion in Summit County, Ohio, found that 40% of their respon­ dents rated high on political c y n i c i s m . ^ They note that "the more detached, alienated and remote the voters were from the mainstreams of social, economic and political activities, the more likely they were to express a high de85 gree of political cynicism". Those respondents who were apt to score high on political cynicism were "low socio­ economic status voters, the least affluent, the downwardly mobile with regard to social class, and voters undergoing the greatest degree of economic stress". 86 Low socio-economic status (low income, occupation status and education level), then, is related to alienation from the political system which is manifested in a wit h ­ drawal from politics (nonparticipation and non-voting). Alienation decreases as status increases. The higher levels of socio-economic status are associated with participation, 42 voting, trust in government and a high sense of political efficacy. Political Participation The research into the effects of certain political attitudes on participation is broad, having been undertaken by researchers from the fields of psychology, political science and communication. sociology, The one attitude that has attracted the most attention has been that of alienation. For example, in the 1959 mayoral campaign in Boston, Levin found an attitude of alienation in a large number of v o t e r s : Our analysis of this post-election survey has shown that a large proportion of the electorate feels polit­ ically powerless because it believes that the commun­ ity is controlled by a small group of politically powerful and selfish individuals who use public office for personal gain. Many voters assume that this power elite is irresponsible and unaffected by the outcome of elections. Those who embrace this view feel that voting is meaningless because they see the candidates as undesireable and the elec­ toral process as a sham. We suggest the term "political alienation" to refer to these attitudes.®' The research seems to point to the fact that the alienated withdraw from political life. 88 Nettler found this type of behavior in an in-depth study of thirty-seven "alienates" from across all demographic groups. The com­ mon ground beneath them was "a consistent maintenance of unpopular and averse attitudes toward familism, the mass media and mass taste, current events, popular education, conventional religion and the teleic view of life, nationalism and the voting process". 90 He discovered that, as a group, they were politically disenchanted, regarded national 43 voting as a type of "non-rational circus" and showed only a slight interest in current events. Levin and Eden paint an even grimmer picture of the alienated voter as one who is hostile to politicians, disenchanted with the political process, tends to believe that campaign promises are "empty verbiage", and casts votes against rather than for anything when actually voting, which is rare. 91 Campbell found that alienation was high among those most withdrawn from party politics and that this is an active, rather than a passive, rejection of political matters. 92 Further, their orienta­ tion towards the world of politics is one of suspicion, distrust and cynicism, viewing the whole political process as a fraud and a betrayal of public trust. In support of this withdrawal hypothesis, Kraus and Davis claim: Alienated persons are those who cannot understand social institutions, and in particular, their own relationships to those institutions. Consequently, they experience frustration and anxiety whenever they attempt to engage in political action. These persons should tend to withdraw from all political action and develop attitudes which rationalize or reinforce this w i t h d r a w a l . 93 This withdrawal has been noted in a variety of studies. Dean found that alienation was related to inter­ est apathy (a lack of personal involvement in political interests), influence apathy (lack of interest in influ­ encing others) and behavior apathy, but not related to voting apathy. 94 Erbe reports a negative relationship b e ­ tween alienation and political participation as does Clark 44 who found the same negative relationship between alienation and participation in the affairs of an agricultural cooperative. 95 McLeod and Becker, in their study of avoidance, found that the alienation dimension associated highly with a lack of interest in the campaign and less attention to 96 political advertising. The most visible and most basic form of political participation is voting. Alienation has been found to influ­ ence behavior in this area in two voting at all or protest voting. distinct w a y s : not McDill and Ridley found that the politically alienated were less likely to have voted but if they voted, were less likely to vote in favor. 97 They point out: Political alienation involves not only apathy as a response to political powerlessness but also a general distrust of political leaders who are the wielders of this power. Consequently, if feelings of polit­ ical alienation find expression in voting behavior, the vote is likely to be a vote of resentment against the political powers that be.98 Key, noting that turnout rates do provide a measure, albeit a rough one, of the extent of political involvement within the population, points out that non-voting may be "the product of disillusionment and lack of faith in the democratic process". 99 Hamilton also examined turnout rates in a city elections and found that those with a low sense of political efficacy voted at a much lower rate (27%) than those with a high sense of political efficacy ( 4 1 % ) . ^ ^ O'Keefe and Mendelsohn, in a 1976 sample of n on­ voters, found that the most important reasons for non-voting 45 were a distruct towards the candidates, a lack of concern with politics and a lack of information about the candi­ dates. Pomper, noting that less than 55% of those 18 and over voted in 1976, found that there was a widespread feeling of powerlessness: An increasing proportion of Americans believe them­ selves unable to control the government, which they see as dominated by special interests and uncaring leaders. These feelings are the root cause of no n ­ voting. Greater turnout will follow not from re­ forms in registration forms, but from actions that increase the voters' sense of political e f f i c a c y . 1 0 2 Feelings of alienation, then, have an impact on political behavior. If alienation is present there appears to be a withdrawal from politics. disenchanted, cynical. suspicious, The alienate is hostile, distrustful, apathetic and He demonstrates a lack of interest in political campaigns, does not pay attention to political advertising and, if he votes at all, casts protest votes. Political Attitudes Political alienation is not a simple, one-dimentional concept. Cohen found that alienation combined factors of distrust of authorities, ethnocentrism, resistance to change and an orientation toward populism. 103 Kraus and Davis note an inconsistency in the findings on alienation: that it has been found to be negatively correlated with traditional institutionalized forms of political action but also positively correlated with involvement in non-tradi104 tional social move m e n t s . They point out that some forms 46 of alienation may increase rather than decrease the likeli­ hood that certain types of political action will occur in certain election situations. Any number of researchers have attempted to define the concept. Seeman identified five basic ways alienation, as a term, is used: powerlessness, which has to do with an individual's sense of influence over socio-political events; meaninglessness, or the individual's sense of understanding the events in which he is engaged; normlessness, or a belief that socially unapproved behavior may be required to achieve given goals; isolation, or the detachment of the intellectual from the popular culture standards; and self-estrangement, or a loss of intrinsic meaning or pride in w o r k . ^ ^ Dean posits that alienation can be defined as a combination of powerlessness, normlessness and social isolation. Finifter identifies four ways alienation toward the political system may be expressed: political powerlessness, political meaninglessness, perceived political normlessness and political isolation. She proposes a provisional typology of political participation based on the interaction of political powerlessness and perceived political normlessness. 108 Education was the most powerful predictor of powerlessness followed by occupation and income. For norm­ lessness, the predictors were race, then income and educa­ tion. Males exhibit more normlessness, while females, more powerlessness. Olsen defines two categories of alienation: 47 incapability, operationalized as political efficacy, and discontentment, or political cynicism (distrust of govern109 ment). Incapability was inversely and moderately strongly correlated with education, occupation and income; was pre­ valent in those over the age of sixty; and in women more than men. Discontentment was also inversely correlated with education and income, but not as strongly as in the case of incapability; and was more common among women. Applying the scheme to political participation, he found that non­ voting was slightly correlated with political incapability but not with discontentment. Overall, attitudes of incapa­ bility towards politics were moderately associated with a lack of participation in political activities, but that attitudes of political discontentment had very little effect on political activities. Other researchers have noted the relationship between efficacy and trust in government as two components of politi­ cal alienation. Thompson and Horton state: The suggestion is that political inefficacy may result in political alienation which involves not only apathy or indifference as a response to aware­ ness of powerlessness, but also diffuse displeasure at being powerless and mistrust of those who do wield power. Given the opportunity for expression, polit­ ical alienation would be expected to be translated into either an undirected vote of resentment or an organized vote of opposition.H O Stokes, using 1958 national election data, found a correlation between political efficacy and political t r u s t . H e hypothesized that under certain conditions one could find subjective powerlessness linked with a positive 48 attitude toward government, but that generally "feelings of powerlessness toward public authority tend to create feelings of hostility toward the authority." 112 Litt pr o ­ poses a close link between cynicism about politics and feel113 ings of ineffectiveness in politics. He found a rela­ tionship between personal trust and political cynicism. He concludes that "a high level of political cynicism may exist independent of the belief that one may exert some influence upon these politicians who are regarded as hacks unconcerned about satisfying any notion of community interest". 'Aberbach uses trust and efficacy as two operational measures of alienation. 115 He points out that "the funda­ mental reason for defining alienation as a combination of distrust and powerlessness is the expectation that the joint occurence of the two attitudes produces a unique behavioral tendency". 116 Using data from the 1964 national election, he found that the powerless vote less often than the power­ ful no matter what the level of political trust. Miller notes that political cynicism is related to feelings of political inefficacy and that both have been viewed as com­ ponents of the more general concept of political aliena­ tion. Accordingly, one would expect that "the relation­ ship between efficacy and political trust would be a criti­ cal determinant of whether one acts politically and the direction that action takes". 118 In the 1972 election, for example, 897. of those who felt both efficacious and trusting turned out to vote whereas only 627, of the inefficacious and 49 distrustful did likewise. These two dimensions of political alienation, political efficacy and political trust, have been investi­ gated separately. government. Two early studies dealt with trust in Connelly and Field noted that non-voters seemed to be more trusting of government. 120 This group did not see anything particularly wrong with the conduct or caliber of politicians and were satisfied with the politicians in their state. A greater proportion of non-voters than voters dis­ agreed that politics makes men dishonest, but, the r e ­ searchers note, fewer non-voters had opinions on the issue at all. In the other study, Lang and Lang, after an examin­ ation of media use and distrust, report that prior research indicated that television has a strong appeal to the chroni121 cally distrustful. Agger, Goldstein and Pearl found that age, income and education were all related to political cynicism. Those with less education, tended to be more cynical. 122 a lower income and who were older Relating cynicism to political potency, they report that the sense of political impotence goes hand in hand with a cynical view of politics and poli­ ticians . Aberbach and Walker warn that resentment and dis­ trust are elements of dissatisfaction which can lead to resistance, noting that "the existence of distrustful citi­ zens who are convinced that the government serves the inter­ ests of a few rather than the interests of all is a barrier to the realization of the democratic ideal". 123 50 Miller makes a similar point in noting the increase in political cynicism among both blacks and whites since 1966: . . . widespread discontent prevalent in the United States today arises, in part, out of dissatisfaction with the policy alternatives that have been offered as solutions to contemporary problems.124 Citrin points to the lack of homogeneity of low scorers on the trust in government scale. 125 They include '"ritualistic cynics' and partisans of the 'outs' as well as respondents who see no viable alternative to the incumbent 126 authorities and reject the constitutional order". His date refute the popular proposition that low trust in govern­ ment brings about a withdrawal from conventional political participation. On the other hand, Milbrath and Goel report that negative evaluations of the political system are associated with low levels of political activity. 127 Two studies by Mendelsohn and O'Keefe also provide supportive 128 data for the low trust-withdrawal hypothesis. Political efficacy has been defined a s : . . . the feeling that individual political action does have or can have an impact upon the political process, i.e., that it is worthwhile to perform one's civic duties. It is the feeling that social change is possible and that the individual citizen can play a part in bringing about this change. Its negative component includes a sense of futility, insignificance, powerlessness and incompetence. 130 This sense of inefficaciousness has been found to be a determ­ inant of lack of participation in the political system. early as 1951, Rosenberg identified powerlessness As 51 (inefficacy) as one of the factors fostering apathy and inactivity: The giant economic and power blocs typified by giant corporations and unions, thrust the individual about with pressures too powerful to resist. As a conse­ quence the individual is likely to feel overwhelmed and powerless. Given this feeling, the idea that his puny strength can match the giants is absurd, and he feels that a lonely individual can do nothing to change the way society is run. Raising his weak voice against the massive roar of the mass media and political giants is futile. For this reason many people with political conviction do no more than vote, convinced that they can have no substan­ tial effect in any event, In a later work delineating the determinants of political apathy, Rosenberg identified a sense of the futility of political activity. This was based on a sense of personal inadequacy and unmanageability of political forces--a classical example of the sense of political inefficacy. Seeman defines alienation as powerlessness, 132 the "expectancy or probability held by the individual that his own behavior cannot determine the occurence of the outcome he seeks". 133 Tying powerlessness to knolwedge acquisition, he found that those high in powerlessness were less interested in political activities and had a lower level of knowledge acquisition. 134 Wolfinger and his colleagues, in an examination of the radical right, found that the alienated do not necessarily become social iso135 lates. The alienated group they term "crusaders" are not possessed by feelings of powerlessness, but rather have a strong sense of political efficacy and a high level of p o ­ litical participation in political campaigns. Iyengar notes 52 that the sense of subjective political efficacy does not appear to be closely intertwined with evaluations of the incumbent government. 136 It is not "a fleeting response to current political realities but is, instead, a more firmly embedded attitude concerning the responsiveness of the • „ 137 regime . Milbrath and Goel, citing numerous studies, report that those who feel efficacious are more likely to parti­ cipate in the political process, and that higher levels of efficacy are associated with those of upper socio-economic status. 138 Eulau and Schneider found that efficacy alone was not a sufficient condition for involvement. of responsibility was also necessary. 139 A sense They determined that an individual may be a regular voter even if low on efficacy, if that person rates high on civic duty or responsibility. Persons who feel a duty to participate in politics are much more likely to do s o . Demographically, those who are in the upper socio-economic strata, especially those with high education levels, are more likely to develop this sense of citizen duty. Nie, Powell and Prewitt found that the direct impact of socio-economic characteristics on political participation, including voting, was weakened by the presence of five attitude sets toward the political system.These included a sense of civic duty, political efficacy, political knowledge, perceived importance of polit­ ical outcomes, and attentiveness to mass media political content. 53 Feelings of alienation, distrust and inefficacy have been found to influence political behavior, as well as attitudes and opinions on political issues and problems. 142 Horton and Thompson propose that: . . . voting down local issues may be in part a type of mass protest, a convergence of the individual assessments and actions of the powerless who have turned politics into a "phobic" sector by projecting into available political symbols the fears and suspicions growing out of the alienated conditions of their existence.1^+3 Erbe found that alienation can be expressed in two distinct w a y s . Retreatist alienation leads to disen­ chantment , despair and the feeling that the world promises nothing in the way of comfort or support. ation, on the other hand, Rebellious alien­ leads to a "desire to strike back at or to somehow violently manipulate the world from which the individual has become estranged," the kind of "energy that activates the 'true believer'". 145 Templeton deter­ mined that "alienation is reflected in hostility toward the agencies of government and is not significant in the formu­ lation of policy judgements''.^^ Finifter suggested that the varying levels of powerlessness combined with varying levels of perceived political normlessness would be associated with different types of political p a r t i c i p a t i o n . T h o s e high on both would be characterized by a complete withdrawal from polit­ ical participation, while those low on both would conform to the standard modes of participation. Those high on norm­ lessness and low on powerlessness would have a reform 54 orientation, working to change the system from within, while those high on powerlessness and low on normlessness would exhibit apathy and very little political activity. In confirmation, Paige reports that mistrust of local govern­ ment, when combined with a strong sense of political efficacy, fostered participation in riot activity in Newark in 1967, while Gamson points out that "a combination of a high sense of political efficacy and low political trust is the optimum combination for mobilization - a belief that influence is both possible and necessary". Seeman notes that normlessness threatens the develop­ ment of trust and that powerlessness (inefficacy) is related to protest voting. He concludes: Thus, if the studies of voting in local referenda and of ghetto violence (and possibly campaign activity as well) tie activism to powerlessness, while powerlessness is also associated with n on­ participation, retreat from knowledge and unwill­ ingness to act, then clearly some distinctions have to be made concerning kinds of knowledge, and the like.1*9 Milbrath and Goel propose a relationship between efficacy, trust and participation: The low efficacy-low trust combination likely leads to withdrawal from participation, for why get in­ volved when o n e 's actions have such a low probability of influence. Those who have both efficacious and trustful orientations are likely to choose conven­ tional modes of participation because they are per­ ceived as producing the desired outcomes. In con­ trast, the efficacious mistrustful persons may be inclined toward radical action because such action is perceived as both necessary and possible. Those who trust political leadership but doubt their own capability for political influence most likely engage in supportive and ritualistic activities (voting, flying the flag, enlisting, and so on).1^0 55 A number of authors support the contention that alienation is composed of trust in government and political efficacy. Each dimension affects political behavior. For example, distrust leads to discontent, low participation and non-voting. low interest, A low sense of political efficacy is related to low level of knowledge acquisition, of participation and non-voting. bring about unique behaviors. low levels Together they interact to Low trust and high efficacy leads to increased participation but of a rebellious or pro­ test sort while low efficacy and high trust brings about participation limited almost exclusively to voting. Persons high on both are participants while persons low on both tend to withdraw totally. Summary Alienation's impact on political behavior is clear. It is most closely associated with groups of lower socio­ economic status. When present it can lead to a withdrawal from politics as seen in a lack of interest, ledge, lack of know­ lack of participation and lack of voting. When de­ fined as the interaction of trust in government and political efficacy, allowance can be made for the fact that in some instances alienation leads to protest voting. School Referenda The literature regarding school referenda, as con­ cerns the present study, falls into three general areas of concern: Awareness/knowledge, source of information and 56 voting correlates, including both demographics and alienation. Awareness/Knowledge Research on awareness levels in school referenda shows mixed results at best. Hamilton and Cohen cite three studies where awareness levels were determined. 151 A study conducted in Bowling Green, Ohio, the week after the election which asked voters the purpose of the four fiscal propo­ sitions on the ballot found that levels of correct responses were 95% for two propositions, fourth. 80% for one and 60% for the Eighty percent of the voters knew of the proposed cutbacks if the school levy failed and 70% were aware that teachers' salaries were below the regional average. In Austintown, only 40%, had heard the school-closing warning and 33%. knew teachers' salaries were lower than those in the surrounding communities. A survey of a bond election in DeKalb County, Georgia, found few voters who had acquired in­ formation on the ten measures on the ballot and few who were aware of the activities and positions of civic and profes­ sional groups. Awareness and knowledge seem to be related to p a r ­ ticipation. Kowalski reports a positive relationship b e ­ tween knowing the names of neighborhood principals and 152 school board members and voting. Carter found that the extent of knowledge about the school was slight but that the more the knowledge, the more participatory the voter. 153 57 A study undertaken by the Washington State Legislature hypo­ thesized that knowledge of school elections would be dis­ tinctly greater among yes v o t e r s . eighteen communities, After surveying they report that "don't know" re­ sponses on a battery of factual items was two to three times greater among no v o t e r s . School referenda, then, are generally characterized by low awareness levels and low levels of knowledge. Aware­ ness and knowledge are related to voting and to participation such that as awareness and knowledge increase, so do parti­ cipation and voting. Knowledge is also related to vote cast with correct information characterizing yes voters and little or no information, no voters. Source of Information An early campaign manual lists twenty-six types of media and materials a school entity can utilize in a school election including open letters from the board of education to the electorate, endorsements of the proposals, a manual of information, meetings, radio, material in newspapers, material in private house organs, material in school publi­ cations, personal letters, posters, billboards, tags, stickers, and school reports. 155 While all of these outlets are used to communicate with the electorate during a cam­ paign, research to date shows that newspapers are the pre­ dominant source of information regarding school issues, including school referenda. Carter found that while 58 two-thirds of the voters said they would turn to a school official for information about the schools, when queried about actual channels of information the majority of the respondents identified newspapers as their primary source. 156 Hamilton and Cohen confirmed this finding in their Bowling Green study in the m i d - 1 9 6 0 1s . Rowe came to a similar conclusion in a study of voters in a bond election in San Diego, California. 158 He also found that newspapers were not viewed as part of the school district's public information campaign. This may partially explain Rarick's findings that 42.27o of the respondents said they would take the advice of the news­ paper in a local bond election compared to only 32.8% in Presidential elections. 159 Krischak, in a study of an unsuccessful rural Michigan community college millage elec­ tion, found that more voters relied on the newspapers than any other source of information; that almost all voters were exposed to information during the election campaign; that radio did not appear to affect voter decision; and, that there was an indication that voters who got their informa­ tion from a secondary source were more inclined to vote i 160 against the millage request. Greenberg found that in a school bond election, those who thought their side would win exposed themselves to more sources of information than those who thought their side would lose and that those who held consistent cognitions relied more heavily on print sources such as bulletins and 59 leaflets. 161 Generally, however, personal communication with friends, students and school employees follows news­ papers in usefulness while pamphlets, leaflets and school -I£0 bulletins rank third. The pre-eminence of newspapers as information sources is the product of three givens in school elections: Most voters are not parents of school children, most people do not attend meetings where the school proposal is discussed, and the press is inclined to be generous in reporting school news and publishing campaign press releases. Sigel points out, however, that the importance of the press relative to other communication channels is the function of the size of the school district with more reliance placed on the press in larger districts while in smaller districts the emphasis shifts to a doorbell campaign utilizing 164 leaflets and pamphlets. Newspapers, then, are the dominant source of infor­ mation regarding school referenda. Personal communication and other printed materials follow in importance with radio a distant fourth. The research also indicates that voters who get their information from a secondary source, gen­ erally in the form of personal communication, are more in­ clined to vote against the issue. Voting Correlates: Demographics Certain demographic variables have been found to be closely related to positive voting in school referenda. Carter found that the most favorable voter was young (under 60 fifty-one) with children in school, a recent resident of the community with an occupation as a skilled worker or in clerical and sales, while the most unfavorable voter was also young but without children in school, a long-time resident of the community with a professional or technical 165 occupation. Hamilton and Cohen found that the highly educated are more supportive, that endorement of levies by voters in the top income bracket was twice the rate of those in the bottom bracket and that professionals were distinctly more favorably inclined than businessmen and far more supportive than those in manual occupations. They also found an inverse relationship between age and support with support decreasing as age increased. They also report that parents were more supportive as were women, that renters voted less often but not differently than own e r s , and that religious affiliation was a situational variable coming into play only when the percentage of parochial school students was high. Kowalski reports similar results with some refine1 67 ment. able: farmer. Occupations were ranked from most to least favor­ professional, managerial, white collar, manual, As for parental status, those with children in the public schools, specially grades ten and under, were more positive than non-parents or those with no children in school either because they have not entered yet or have already completed their schooling. The relationship between income and voting was 61 further examined by Wilson and Banfield who point out that middle income homeowners often vote against proposals approved by the very poor (renters) and the very well-to-do 168 (owners). Alexander and Bass found that the highest in­ come class and managerial and professional occupations are associated with greater election support. 169 Kowalski also examined the relationship between past and present voting and found that a person's past voting re­ cord was a prime determinant of a future v o t e . She states that the chances are three out of four that a person who previously voted in favor of a school proposal will vote positively the next time. Support for school referenda is generally found among those with children in school, those with higher levels of education and income, those with very low incomes (renters), those with high occupation levels and women. Those who have voted for a referendum in the past are also most likely to be supportive. Voting Correlates: Alienation Alienation has also played a part in school monetary elections. In a study of school bond issues, Thompson and Horton found that those who felt powerless and isolated in community affairs voted in lower numbers, but these people were also more likely to cast protest votes, stating that a no vote on a bond issue was a vote against the existing power structure. 171 Piele and Hall point out that the 62 alienated group, individuals who are extremely distant from the center of the community, generally avoid participation in the decision-making process (i.e., voting) but occa­ sionally, when certain political situations arise, like a school referendum, will register a protest against school government by voting negatively. 172 Reeder also points out that a lack of confidence in the board of education, in the superintendent of schools or in some phase of the management of the school, constitutes one of the major reasons for a no vote. 173 Templeton found that on a series of items de­ signed to test the respondent's knowledge of the propo­ sitions to be included on the ballot, "alienated respondents were consistently less likely to give correct responses than nonalienated respondents". This finding is substan­ tiated by Horton and Thompson in their research into the relationship between powerlessness and local referenda «-• •- 175 activity. Eckhardt and Hendershot, in an examination of the relationship between alienation and the perception of polit­ ical strength in a school tax levy election, found that the alienated were worse assessors of political opinion at both the precinct and the community l e v e l . T h e alienated, they report: . . . are more likely to overestimate their polit­ ical strength in the community in comparison to the unalienated, and this perception of political strength may in turn induce a feeling of "power­ fulness" among the alienated which accounts for their political participation at the community level.i77 63 Hamilton and Cohen found that no voting was an ex­ pression of general distrust on the part of the politically alienated. 178 In studies undertaken in Corning and Ithaca, New York, there was striking evidence of alienation and negative voting, a relationship which remained even when socio-economic status was controlled. In their Austintown study, one-fifth of the actual voters were high in alien­ ation. Four-fifths of those alienated voters voted no com­ pared with only one-fifth of those scoring low in alien­ ation. Alienation was one of the underlying factors found in Youngstown, Ohio using a Q sort factor methodology. This factor contained "nearly all the elements of alienation: parochialism, ethnocentrism, local chauvinism, aggressive­ ness, distrust of authority, suspiciousness, and a persei .. .179 cution complex Carter investigated the sense of efficacy, a feeling that the voter's participation would be meaningful, and one of the dimensions of political alienation under study. 180 He found that one-third of the voters felt that they had little to say about what the schools did; almost one-half felt that the only voice voters had was the act of voting; that one-fourth felt that school officials did not care what the average voter thought; and, that two-fifths thought that educational policy was too complicated for persons like them­ selves to understand. He concluded that the presence of low efficacy almost assures a negative view of the schools. Wirt and Kirst found that the efficacious voter was younger, more 64 educated and felt the pressure to be involved in school policies. 181 Giles, Gatlin and Cataldo determined that trust and efficacy were positively related to support for u i taxes. 182 school Hamilton and Cohen propose that trust in government and efficacy be examined as two components of political alienation that may affect the outcome of school referenda; Perhaps both popularity and vagueness stem from the proliferation of dimensions that have been added to the phenomena: thus it may be popular because alienation can be used to explain so much in the way of behavior and yet it may be vague because the domain has become unmanageable as a single concept. To the perceived lack of power in community affairs and distrust of those who hold power, there has been added interpersonal distrust (Do you trust people?) and personal inefficacy (Do you feel pe r ­ sonally ineffective?). The additional sources of alienation seem to be especially significant for referenda, where the so-called alienated voter can be politically efficacious, and who was for six consecutive elections in Y o u n g s t o w n . -*-83 The alienated, then, are less likely to vote but more likely to cast a protest vote in school elections. no vote is seen as an expression of general distrust. The The alienated are also less likely to have correct information about school referenda. Low efficacy is associated with a negative view of the schools while high levels of trust and efficacy are positively related to support for school taxes. Summary School referenda are low awareness, low knowledge, low participation elections. They are characterized by the participation of alienates protesting the current system 65 authorities. Support is generally found among those most closely associated with education, either because of school age children or because of high levels of educational attainment. Hypotheses This study was designed primarily to examine the relationships proposed in the derivative model. The model posits differences in level of awareness and correctness and source of information based on varying levels of trust in government and political efficacy. supports this typology. The literature Those persons high on trust and efficacy are generally found among those with higher levels of socio-economic s t a t u s . B o t h high levels of trust and efficacy and higher socio-economic status are related to the 185 use of newspapers as a source of political information, 186 and to yes voting in school referenda. Support for such issues, finally, is related to level of correct information. 187 Those scoring high on both trust in government and political efficacy should be aware of the election, hold correct information regarding the issue and receive the majority of their information from the media, in this case, newspapers. A strong sense of political efficacy and a distrust of government has often been associated with protest voting in referenda. formation 189 188 No voting is related to having little in- and with getting information from secondary 66 sources. 190 Low trust is associated with a reliance on television as a source of political information. 191 In this case television is not available as a source of polit­ ical information. highly aware as but to Therefore this group is expected to be a result of strong feelings of efficacy, 192 have little or no information as a result of no local television. Information, then, should come from p e r ­ sonal sources. Those scoring low on efficacy but high on trust have been found to be supportive of the system. is related to apathy and inactivity 194 193 Low efficacy but this is tempered by high trust which is related to voting. 195 Those high on trust are more likely to use media as a source of information, voting. 196 197 while newspaper readership is related to Given these findings, those low on efficacy and high on trust should have little awareness of the election but those who are aware should have correct information and should acquire that information from the media, in the present instance, newspapers. The final group, those low on both trust and effi­ cacy, is the easiest to type. from all political activity. 198 This group should withdraw The alienated have been found to avoid political information, media generally, newspapers. 201 199 to distrust the and to utilize television rather than Those low in trust and low in efficacy should, therefore, have little awareness of the campaign, have little or no information about the issue and to have 67 gained that information from personal sources. Three major hypotheses and six sub-hypotheses were used to test these differences in the groups as proposed in the derivative model. The first set of hypotheses dealt with the level of awareness: : There will be significantly different levels of awareness among the four groups. Hx: (A)GWA)GII^(A)GIII^(A)GIV Hq : (A)GI=(A)GII=(A)GIII=(A)GIV202 Where (A) equals the number aware and GI to GIV 203 the groups. : The proportion of those aware in Group I will be significantly greater than the proportion aware in Group I I . Hla: (PA)GI>(PA)GII Hq : (PA) GIjfc-(PA) GII Where (PA) equals the proportion aware. H lb: Hi : T^ e ProP ortion °f those aware in Group III will be significantly greater than the proportion aware in Group IV. H lb: (PA)GIII>(PA)GIV Hq : (PA)GIIIi(PA)GIV The proportion of those aware in Groups I and II combined will be significantly greater than the proportion aware in Groups III and IV combined. R lc: (PA)GI+II>(PA)GIII+IV Hq : (PA)GI+IIi(PA)GIII+IV The second set of hypotheses examined the differ­ ences in correctness of information: H^: There will be significantly differential levels of correct information among the four groups. H2: MGI^MGII^MGIII^MGIV Hq : MGI=MGII=MGIII=MGIV Where M equals the mean level of correct infor­ mation held by the group. H 2a : H2b: H 2c ’ • The mean level of correct information of Group I will be significantly greater than the mean level of correct information of Group I I I . H 2a: MGI>MGIII Hq: MGLsMGIII 'r^ie mean level °f correct information of Group II will be significantly greater than the mean level of correct information in Group IV. H2b: MGII>MGIV Hq : MGII^MGIV The average of the mean levels of correct infor­ mation of Groups I and II will be significantly greater than the average of the mean levels of correct information of Groups III and IV. H 2c: MGI+MGII>MGIII+MGIV Hq : MG I4MGI LiMG 11 I+MG IV The third major hypothesis focused on source of in­ formation: Ho: Groups I and III will report media sources in a significantly greater proportion than Groups II and IV. H3: (PM)GI+III>(PM)GII+IV Hq: (PM)GI+IIIi(PM)GII+IV Where (PM) equals the proportion in the combined groups reporting relying on newspapers and radio as their sources of information. In addition to testing the derivative model, 69 hypotheses were tested dealing with the major areas dis­ cussed in the review of literature. The fourth hypothesis, then, examined awareness levels in the sample throughout the campaign: H^: There will be significant increases in the pr o ­ portion aware of the election as the campaign progresses. H/ : * (PA)W1 <(PA)W2< (PA)W3<(PA)W4< (PA)W5< (PA)W6 < (PA)W7<(PA)W8<(PA)W9<(PA)W10 Hn : (PA) WL* (PA) W2 ^ (PA) W3 ^(PA) W4^ (PA) W5 * (PA) W 6 £(PA)W7^(PA)W8*.(PA)W9^(PA)W10 Where (PA)Wn equals the proportion of the sample called that week that was aware that a special election had been called. Hypothesis five dealt with correctness of infor­ mation: The proportion of those holding correct informa­ tion about the issue will increase significantly across the campaign. He: 3 (PC)Wl<(PC)W2<(PC)W3<(PC)W4<(PC)W5<(PC)W6 < (PC)W7 < (PC)W8 <(PC)W9 < (PC)WIO Hn : u (PC)WU(PC)W2^(PC)W3^(PC)W4*(PC)W5^-(PC)W6-*(PC)W7-(PC)W8-(PC)W9— (PC)WIO Where (PC)Wn equals the proportion of the sample contacted during the week holding correct infor­ mation about the election. Hypothesis six examined source of information: Hg: A significantly higher proportion of the respon­ dents in Owosso-Corunna will receive their infor­ mation from the newspaper than respondents in the outlying districts. H6: (P)NPO-C>(P)NPOTHERS 70 H0 : (P)NPO-Ci(P)NPOTHERS Where (P)NP equals the proportion of the respon­ dents who reported receiving their information about the election from the newspaper; 0-C repre­ sents the combined school districts of Owosso and Corunna; and OTHERS, the remaining six school districts. Hypotheses seven through twelve examined various factors influencing favorability to the issue of an area vocational education center. Hy: Favorability toward the issue will decrease sig­ nificantly as age increases. H7 ’ <1>x age',< « X £.vor V a > X age=X l I Hq : X i * X][][ Where X represents the mean level of favorability, I represents the group with children at home and II, the group of parents without children at home. Hg: Favorability will increase significantly as edu­ cation level increases. Hg: X^X2^X3iX4>X5>X6>Xy^Xg 71 Where X represents the mean favorability score na / for the subscripted level of education. H-^q : Favorability will increase as income level in­ creases . H 1 0 : Hq : X 1 < X 2 < X 3 < X 4 X 12X 2^ X 3>X4 Where Xn represents the mean level of favorability for the subscripted income level. H-,: 205 There will be significant increases in favora­ bility as occupational status increases. H X1: X 1X2>X3^X4^X5 Where Xn represents the mean level of favorability for each occupation status level. Hn2 206 Those reporting a yes vote in the past will be sig­ nificantly more favorable than those reporting a past negative vote in a school millage election. h 12: H q : X I>XII x i * x n Where X represents the mean favorability level; I, the group voting yes in the past; and II, the group voting n o . Hypotheses thirteen and fourteen examined the influ­ ence of alienation on favorability and negative voting. H n3 : Alienation will be a significant independent pre­ dictor of favorability. H^3 : F=a+b-^X^ Hq: F?t a + b 1X 1 Where F represents level of favorability and 72 X-p the level of alienation. H^: Alienation will be a significant independent pre­ dictor of negative voting. H 14: V=a+b1X 1 H0 : Vfa+b-^ Where V represents the self-report of the person's vote on the issue after the election and X^, the level of alienation. Definitions "Awareness" is defined as knowing, either aided or unaided, that a speical county-wide election has been called. Level of "correct information" is defined as the number of correct responses to a series of questions con­ cerning who had called the election, what the election was about, and the amount of millage requested. "Source of in­ formation" is defined as newspaper, radio, a friend, a flyer or brochure, a poster, and a meeting. "Favorability" is defined as a self-report of the respondent's likelihood of voting in favor of the millage with 0 meaning no chance and 100 meaning definitely in favor. "Alienation" is defined as a combination of the scores on the trust in government and sense of political efficacy scales such that the higher the score the greater the sense of alienation. Limitations The model is being tested in a unique situation: school millage election in a minimal local media county. a 73 The results may not be generalizable to a partisan election, or a media-rich area or both. The data collected were an added feature to a larger project. The researcher therefore had limited control over the other portions of the study. The length of the inter­ view, inexperience of the interviewers and difficulty of the main instrument may have biased the results in ways that would not have occured in a different research setting. Endnotes Shirley A. Star and Helen MacGill Hughes, "Report on an Educational Campaign: The Cincinnati Plan for the United Nations," American Journal of Sociology 55 (January 1950):389-401. 2 John E. Ross and Lloyd R. Bostain, "Communication Activities of Wisconsin Farm Families in Wintertime," Journal of Broadcasting 2 (Fall 1958) :319-28. 3 Bruce H. Westley and Werner Severin, "A Profile of the Daily Newspaper Non-Reader," Journalism Quarterly 41 (Summer 1964):156. 4 Obviously some cross over in subject matter takes place in these studies. The entire results of the study, u n ­ less otherwise noted, will be reported in that section dealing with the primary topic of the article. ^Bruc'e H. Westley and Joseph B. M o b i u s , "A Closer Look at the Non-Television Household," Journal of Broad­ casting 4 (Spring 1960):164-73. ^Merrill Samuelson, Richard F. Carter and Lee Ruggels, "Education, Available Time and Use of the Hass Media," Journalism Quarterly 40 (Autumn 1 9 6 3 ) :496. ^Bruce H. Westley and Werner S. Severin, "Some Correlates of Media Credibility," Journalism Quarterly 41 (Summer 1964):325-35. 8I b i d ., p. 327. Q Bradley S. Greenberg, "Media Use and Believability: Some Multiple Correlates," Journalism Quarterly 43 (Winter 1966) -.665-70, 732. ^ L e s l i e W. Sargent and Guido Stemple III, "Poverty, Alienation and Mass Media Use," Journalism Quarterly 45 (Summer 1968):324-26. ■^Alienation results are reported elsewhere. 12 Serena Wade and Wilbur Schramm, "The Mass Media as Sources of Public Affairs, Science and Health Knowledge," Public Opinion Quarterly 32 (Summer 1969):197-209. 74 75 13 F. Gerald Kline, "Media Time Budgeting as a Func­ tion of Demographics," Journalism Quarterly 48 (Summer -------1971):211-21. ■^Peter Clarke and Lee Ruggels, "Preferences Among News Media Coverage of Public Affairs," Journalism Quarterly 47 (Autumn 1970):464-71. 15 Lee B. Becker, Idowu A. Sobowale and William E. Casey, Jr., "Newspaper and Television Dependencies: Their Effect on Evaluation of Government Leaders," paper presented to the International Communication Association, Chicago, 1978. ■^Dale Vinyard and Roberta S . Sigel, "Newspapers and Urban Voters," Journalism Quarterly 48 (Autumn 1971):486-93. ^ G e o r g e A. Barnett and Carol E. Hughes, "The Effects of Media Exposure on Uncertainty Reduction and Voting: A Preliminary Analysis," paper presented to the International Communication Association, Chicago, 1978, p. 3. 18 Paula M. Poindexter, "Non-News Viewers," Journal of Communication 30 (Autumn 1980):58-65. ‘IQ Paul Burstein, "Social Status and Individual Polit­ ical Participation in Five Countries," American Journal of Sociology 72 (May 1972):1096. 20 Paul F. Lazarsfeld, Bernard Berelson and Hazel Gaudet, The People's Choice (New York: Columbia University Press, 1964). 21 Bernard R. Berelson, Paul F. Lazarsfeld and William N. McPhee, Voting (Chicago: The University of Chicago Press, 1954). 22 Both of these studies were undertaken prior to the widespread penetration and usage of television by the elec­ torate and candidates. A replication of either study today might elicit different results. However, since Shiawassee County is devoid of any local television station, the situa­ tion in the present instance may more closely approximate that of the Elmira and Erie County studies than more recent studies where television plays a more integral part. ^ W i l l i a m A. Glaser, "Television and Voting 76 Turnout," Public Opinion Quarterly 29 (Spring 1965):71-86. 24 Jerome D. Becker and Ivan L. Preston, "Media Use and Political Activity," Journalism Quarterly 46 (Spring 1969):129-34. ------------ -------25 Robert H. Prisuta, "Mass Media Exposure and Polit­ ical Behavior," Educational Broadcast Review 7 (June 1973): 167_73 -------------------------26I b i d ., p. 172. 2^Steven H. Chaffee and Jack M. McLeod, "Individual vs. Social Predictors of Information Seeking," Journalism Quarterly 50 (Summer 1973):237-45. 23Garrett J. O'Keefe and Harold Mendelsohn, "Non­ voting: The Media's Role" in Charles Winick, e d . , Deviance and Mass Media (Beverly Hills, Calif.: Sage Publications. vmr.--29 Edward C. Dreyer,."Media Use and Electoral Choices; Some Political Consequences of Information Exposure," Public Opinion Quarterly 35 (Winter 1971-72):544-53. 30Ib i d ., p. 548. 31 Herbert E. Alexander, "Communications and Politics; The Media and the Message," Law and Contemporary Problems 34 (Spring 1969):255-77. 32 Barnett and Hug h e s , "The Effects of Media Exposure on Uncertainty" 33 Ralph 0. Nafziger, Warren C. Engstron and Malcolm S. MacLean, Jr., "The Mass Media and an Informed Public," Public Opinion Quarterly 15 (Spring 1951):105-14. Q/ Garrett J. O'Keefe, Harold Mendelsohn and Jenny L u i , "Voter Decision Making: 1972 and 1974," Public Opinion Quarterly 40 (Fall 1976):320-30. 35 It must be noted that the 1972 election was a Presidential election and 1974, only a Congressional elec­ tion. The switch from television to newspapers may be the result of this fact rather than a massive overall shift from television to newspapers as the primary source of all 77 public affairs information. 36 William Buchanan, "An Inquiry into Purposive Voting," Journal of Politics 18 (May 1956):281-96. 37 M. Margaret Conway, "Voter Information in a No n ­ partisan Local Election," Western Political Quarterly 21 (March 1968):69-77. 38 The study overrepresented persons less than twentyseven years old and focused on that group. Jack M. McLeod, Carl R. Bybee, William D. Luetscher and Gina Garramore, "Mass Communication and Voter Volatility," paper presented to the Association of Educators in Journalism, Seattle, 1978. 39 Rebecca Colwell Quarles, "Mass Media Use and Voting Behavior: The Accuracy of Political Perceptions Among First Time and Experienced Voters," Communication Research 6 (October 1969):407-36. 40 Sidney Kraus and Dennis D a v i s , The Effects of Mass Communication on Political Behavior (University Park: The Pennsylvania State University Press, 1976). ^ H e r b e r t Blumler, "Suggestions for the Study of Mass Media Effects," in E. Burdick and A.J. Brodbeck, e d s ., American Voting Behavior (Glencoe, 111.: The Free Press, 1959), pp. 197-208.----4^See also, Becker and Preston, "Media Use"; Prisuta, "Mass Media Exposure"; Chaffee and McLeod, "Individual vs. Social Predictors"; and, O'Keefe and Mendelsohn, "Non­ voting" . /Q Clarke and Rugg e l s , "Preferences Among News Coverage". 44Charles K. Atkin, John Galloway and Oguz B. Nayman, "News Media Exposure, Political Knowledge and Cam­ paign Interest," Journalism Quarterly 53 (Summer 1976): 231-37. 4"*M.E. McCombs and L.E. Mullins, "Consequences of Education, Media Exposure, Political Interst and Infor­ mation-Seeking Orientations," Mass Communications Review 1 (August 1973):27-31. 46Ibid., p. 29. 78 4 ^Viekko Pietila, "Alienation and the Use of Mass Media," ACTA Sociologicia 13-14 (1970):238. 48Ibid., p. 241. 49 Jack McLeod, Scott Ward and Karen Tancil, "Alien­ ation and Uses of the Mass Media," Public Opinion Quarterly 29 (Winter 1965):584-94. ^^Elihu Katz and David Foulkes, "On the Use of the Mass Media as 'Escape': Clarification of a Concept," Public Opinion Quarterly 26 (Fall 1962):377-88. ■^This view is supported by van den Haag who sees the mass media as "alienating people from personal exper­ iences and, though appearing to offset it, intensifies their moral isolation from each other, from reality and from them­ selves". E. van den Haag, "Of Happiness and of Despair We Have No Measure," in B. Rosenberg and D.M. White, e d s ., Mass Culture (Glencoe, 111.: The Free Press, 1957), p. 529. 52 The nine reasons were: 1) Because my mind is al­ ready made up; 2) Because you can't always trust what poli­ ticians tell you on television; 3) Because I'm not much interested in politics; 4) Because they hardly ever have any­ thing new to say; 5) Because I prefer to relax when watching TV; 6) Because some speakers talk over one's head; 7) Be­ cause some speakers talk down to the audience; 8) Because I dislike being "got at" by politicians; and, 9) Because pol­ itics should not intrude into the home and family affairs. Jay G. Blumler and Denis McQuail, Television in Politics: Its Use and Influence (London: Faber and Faber LTD, 1968), jT 56. 53 The items related to these dimensions were: Parti­ sanship--!) Because I'm not much interested in politics; and, 2) Because my mind is already made up. Relaxation--1) B e ­ cause I prefer to relax when watching television. Alien­ ation--!) Because you can't always trust what politicians tell you on television; 2) Because some candidates talk down to the audience; 3) Because some candidates talk over one's head; and, 4) Because they hardly ever have anything to say. Jack M. McLeod and Lee B. Becker, "Testing the Validity of Gratification Measures Through Political Effects Analysis," in Jay G. Blumler and Elihu Katz, eds., The Use of Mass Communications: Current Perspectives on~Gratifications Research (Beverly Hills, Calif.: Sage Publications, .1974), p p . 137-64. 79 54W illiam Semlac and Wenmouth Williams, Jr., "Uses, Gratifications and Avoidance: Voting Decisions in the 1976 Presidential Debates," paper presented to the International Communication Association, Chicago, 1978. ■^Samuel J. Eldersveld, "Experimental Propaganda Techniques and Voting Behavior," American Political Science Review 50 (March 1956):154-65. ^^Heinz Eulau and Peter Schneider, "Dimensions in Political Involvement," Public Opinion Quarterly 20 (Spring ---------------1956)=128-42. ■^Alexis S. Tan, "Political Participation, Diffuse Support and Perceptions of Political Efficacy as Predictors of Mass Media Use," Communication Monographs 48 (June 1981): 133-45. 58 L.B. Becker, J.M. McLeod and D. Ziemke, "Corre­ lates of Media Gratifications," paper presented to the Amer­ ican Association for Public Opinion Research, Ashville, N . C . , 1976, cited in Kim A. Smith and Warren Bechtolt, Jr., "Ado­ lescent's Use of the Content of the 1976 Presidential De­ bates," paper presented to the International Communication Association, Chicago, 1978. "^Garrett J. O'Keefe, "Political Malaise and Reliance on Media," Journalism Quarterly 57 (Spring, 1980):122-28. ^ K u r t Lang and Gladys Engel Lang, "The Mass Media and Voting," in Burdick and Brodbeck, American Voting Behavior, p. 231. ^ M i c h a e l J. Robinson, "American Political Legit­ imacy in an Era of Electronic Journalism: Reflections on the Evening News," in Douglass Cater and Richard Adler, e d s ., Television as a Social Force: New Approaches to TV Criticism (New York: Praeger Publishers, 1975), p p . 97-139. 62 Becker, Sobowale and Casey, "Newspaper and Tele­ vision Dependencies". ^ G o r d o n M. Connelly and Harry H. Field, "The NonVoter--Who He is, What He Thinks," Public Opinion Quarterly 8 (Spring 1944):175-87. gA Kurt Lang and Gladys Engel Lang, Voting and NonVoting (Waltham, M a s s .: Blaisdale Publishing^ 19o8), p . 8T. 80 ^ 0 ' Keefe and Mendelsohn, "Nonvoting1’. 66I b i d ., p. 264. ^ E u l a u and Schneider, "Political Involvement". 68 Wayne Thompson and John E. Horton, "Political Alienation as a Force in Political Action," Social Forces 38 (March 1960):190-95. ^ W i l l i a m Erbe, "Social Involvement and Political Activity: A Replication and Elaboration," American Socio­ logical Review 29 (April 1964):198-215. ^ S t e p h e n E. Bennett and William R. Klecka, "Social Status and Political Participation: A Multivariate Analysis of Predictive Power," Midwest Journal of Political Science 14 (August 1970):355-82T ^ F o r a listing of these studies, the reader is referred to Milbrath and Goel: social class, pp. 90-96; income, pp. 96-98; education, pp. 98-102; sex, pp. 116-118; age, pp. 114-116; race, pp. 119-122. The complete citations for these studies can be found at pp. 161-214. Lester W. Milbrath and M.L. Goel, Political Participation: How and Why Do People Get Involved in Politics, 2d ed., (Chicago: Rand McNally College Publishing Company, 1977). 77 David W. Minar, "The Community Basis of Conflict in School System Politics," American Sociological Review 31 (December 1966):822-35. 73 Thompson and Horton, "Political Alienation". Frederic Templeton, "Alienation and Political Participation: Some Research Findings," Public Opinion Quarterly 30 (Summer 1966):249-61. ^ T h o m p s o n and Horton, "Political Alienation," p. 191. ^ M u r r a y B. Levin, The Alienated Voter: Politics in Boston (New York: Holt, Rinehart and Winston, 1960), p. 65:— ^ D w i g h t G. Dean, "Alienation: It's Meaning and Measurement," American Sociological Review 26 (October 1961): 753-58. 81 77Ib i d ., p. 758. 78Russell Middleton, "Alienation, Race and Ed u ­ cation," American Sociological Review 28 (December 1963): 973-77. 79 Six areas were used by Middleton to define alien­ ation: powerlessness or efficacy, meaninglessness, normlessness, cultural estrangement, social estrangement and estrangement from work. 80 Marvin E. Olsen, "Alienation and Political Opinions," Public Opinion Quarterly 29 (Summer 1965):200-12. 81 Kenneth Eckhardt and Gerry Hendershot, "Trans­ formation of Alienation into Public Opinion," Sociological Quarterly 8 (August 1967):459-67. 82 Bennett and Klecka, 83 "Social Status". Vinyard and Sigel, "Newspapers and Voters". 84 Political cynicism was measured by responses to four items: 1) People like me don't have any say about what government d o e s ; 2) Politicials never tell us what they really think; 3) I don't think public officials care much what people like me think; and, 4) Sometimes politics and government seem so complicated that a person like me can't really understand what's going on. Items one, three and four are very similar to three items used to measure trust in government in the present study. Harold Mendelsohn and Garrett O'Keefe, The People Choose a President: Influences on Voter Decision Making (New York: Praeger Publishers, I n c . 1TT6).----- ---------- 85Ibid., p. 45. 86Ibid. 87 88 89 Levin, The Alienated V o t e r , p. 58. Templeton, "Alienation and Participation". Gwynn Nettler, "A Measure of Alienation," American Sociological Review 22 (December 1957):670-77. 82 90Ibid., p. 674. 91 Murray B. Levin and Murray Eden, "Political Strategy for the Alienated Voter," Public Opinion Quarterly 26 (Spring 1962):47-63. 92 Angus Campbell, "The Passive Citizen," in Edward C. Dreyer and Walter A. Rosenbaum, eds., Political Opinion and Electoral Behavior (Belmont, Calif.: Wadsworth Publishing Company, 1966), p p . T75-88. 93 Kraus and Davis, Effects of Mass Communication, p. 181. q a Dwight G. Dean, "Alienation and Political Apathy," Social Forces 38 (March 1960):185-95. QK Erbe, "Social Involvement"; John P. Clark, "Measuring Alienation Within a Social System," American Sociological Review 24 (December 1959):849-52. 96 McLeod and Becker, "Testing the Validity of Grati­ fication Measures". 97 Edward L. McDill and Jeanne Clare Ridley, "Status, Anomia, Political Alienation and Political Participation," American Journal of Sociology 68 (September 1962):205-13. 98Ibid., pp. 206-7. QQ V.O. Key, Jr., "Varieties of Participation and the Political System," in Dreyer and Rosenbaum, Political Opinion, pp. 51-56. ------------- -----■^^Howard D. Hamilton, "The Municipal Voter: Voting and Nonvoting in City Elections," American Political Science Review 65 (December 1971):1135-40. ■^■^O'Keefe and Mendelsohn, "Nonvoting". 109 Gerald M. Pomper, "The Presidential Election," in Marlene M. Pomper, e d . , The Election of 1976, Reports and Interpretations (New York"! David McKay Company, I n c . , 1977) , p. 72. 103 Sylvan H. Cohen, "Voting Behavior in School 83 Referenda: An Investigation of Attitudes and Other Deter­ minants by Q Technique and Survey Research" (Ph.D. disser­ tation, Kent State University, 1971). See also, Howard D. Hamilton and Sylvan H. Cohen, Policy Making by Plebiscite: School Referenda (Lexington, M a s s .: D .C . Heath and Company, 1974). ^®4Kraus and Davis, Effects of Mass Communication, p. 181. ^■^Melvin Seeman, "On the Meaning of Alienation," American Sociological Review 24 (December 1959):783-91. For a further refinement, see Melvin Seeman, "Alienation and Engagement," in Angus Campbell and Philip E. Converse, eds., The Human Meaning of Social Change (New York: Russeli Sage Foundation, 1972) , pp. 467-527. ^®^Dean, "Alienation and Apathy". 107Ada W. Finifter, "Dimensions of Political Alien­ ation," American Political Science Review 64 (June 1970): 389-410. ^ ^ Ibid., p. 407. Finifter related political normlessness to political cynicism as per the work of Robert E. Agger, Marshall N. Goldstein and Stanley A. Pearl, "Political Cynicism: Measurement and Meaning," Journal of Politics 23 (August 1961):479. ■^^Marvin E. Olsen, "Two Categories of Political Alienation," Social Forces 47 (March 1969):288-99. llOThompson and Horton, "Political Alienation," p. 109. ^■^Donald E. Stokes, "Popular Evaluations of Govern­ ment: An Empirical Assessment," in Harlan Cleveland and Harold D. Lasswell, eds., Ethics and Business: Scientific Academic, Religious, Political and Military (New York: H a r p e r , 1962), p p . 61-73. 112I b i d ., p. 67. ^ ^ E d g a r L i t t , "Political Cynicism and Political Futility," Journal of Politics 25 (May 1963):312-23. 114Ibid., p. 319. 84 '^'’joel Aberbach, "Alienation and Political Be­ havior," American Political Science Review 63 (March 1969): 86-99. 116Ibid., p. 89. ^ ^ A r t h u r H. Miller, "Political Issues and Trust in Government 1964-1970," American Political' Science Review 68 (September 1974):951^77: 118 Arthur H. Miller, "Rejoinder to 'Comment' by Jack Citrin: Political Discontent or Ritualism?" American Political Science Review 68 (September 1974) :989-10(31. 119ibid. 1 90 l 91 Connelly and Field, "The Non-Voter". Lang and Lang, 122 "Media and Voting". Agger, Goldstein and Pearl, "Political Cynicism". 123 Joel Aberbach and Jack Walker, "Political Trust and Radical Ideology," American Political Science Review 64 (December 1970):1199. 1 M M iller, "Political Issues," p. 970. 125 Jack Citrin, "Comment: The Political Relevance of Trust in Government," American Political Science Review 68 (September 1974) :973-85*! 126Ibid., p. 978. 1 27 Milbrath and Goel, Political Participation. 128 Mendelsohn and O'Keefe, The People Choose a President; and, O'Keefe and Mendelsohn, "Nonvoting". 129 Angus Campbell, Gerald Gurin and Warren E. Miller, The Voter Decides (Evanston, 111.: Row, Peterson and Company, 1954), p. 187. 130 Eulau and Schneider, "Dimensions in Involvement". 85 1 31 Morris Rosenberg, "The Meaning of Politics in Mass Society," Public Opinion Quarterly 15 (Spring 1951):9. 132 Morris Rosenberg, "Some Determinants of Political Apathy," Public Opinion Quarterly 18 (Winter 1954-55):350. 133 Melvin Seeman, "Alienation, Membership and Polit­ ical Knowledge: A Comparative Study," Public Opinion Quarterly 30 (Fall 1966):355. ^3^This finding holds in hospital and reformatory settings as well. See Melvin Seeman and John Evans, "Alien­ ation and Learning is a Hospital Setting," American Socio­ logical Review 27 (December 1962):772-78; and, Melvin Seeman, "Alienation and Social Learning in a Reformaroty," American Journal of Sociology 69 (November 1963):270-84. 135 Raymond Wolfinger, Barbara K. Wolfinger, Kenneth Prewitt and Sheila Rosenhack, "America;s Radical Right: Politics and Ideology," in Dreyer and Rosenbaum, eds., Political Opinion, pp. 189-226. ^3^Shanto Iyengar, "Subjective Political Efficacy as a Measure of Diffuse Support," Public Opinion Quarterly 44 (Summer 1980):249-56. 137I b i d ., p. 255. 138 The reader is referred to Milbrath and Goel, Political Participation, pp. 57-61 for a listing of these studies and p p . 1&1-214 for the complete citations. See also, Pomper, "The Presidential Election". 139 Eulau and Schneider, "Dimensions in Involvement". ^ ^ M i l b r a t h and Goel, Political Participation. Nie, G.B. Powell and K. Prewitt, "Social Structure and Political Participation: Developmental Relationships," American Political Science Review 63 (June and September 1969):361-78, 808-32. ■^^Olsen, "Alienation and Opinions". ^ 3John E. Horton and Wayne E. Thompson, "Powerless­ ness and Political Negativism: A Study of Defeated Local 86 Referendums ," American Journal of Sociology 67 (March 1962):485-93. ^^Erbe, "Social Involvement," p. 206. 145ibid. ■^^Templeton, "Alienation and Participation," p. 255. ■^^Finifter, "Dimensions of Alienation." 148 William A. Gamson, Power and Discontent (Home­ wood, 111.: Dorsey Press, 1968), p. 48; and Jeffery Paige, "Political Orientation and Riot Participation," American Sociological Review 36 (October 1971):810-20. 149 Seeman, "Alienation and Engagement," p. 524. ■^^Milbrath and Goel, Political Participation, p. 69. '^'''Hamilton and Cohen, Policy M a k i n g , pp. 143-44. 152 Joan P. Sullivan Kowalski, Voter Behavior and Campaign Strategies in School Finance Elections (Arlington, Virginia: Educational Research Service, I n c ., T97 7 ) . 1 S3 Richard F. Carter, Voters and Their Schools: Technical Report from the Institute for Communication Research (Stanford, C a l i f .: Stanford University Press, 30 June 1960), p. 7. A 154 Temporary Special Levy Commission, Summary Report and Research Reports (Olympia, Washington: Washington Legislature, 1 9 /l) cited in Hamilton and Cohen, Policy M a king, pp. 144-45. ^■*Ward G. Reeder, Campaigns for School T a x e s : Manual for Conducting Such Campaigns (Hew York: The MacMillan Company, 1946), p p . 43-106. 1 5fi A Carter, Voters and Their Schools, p. 14. Hamilton and Cohen, Policy M a k i n g , pp. 137-38. 158 Ronald Roger Rowe, "Selective Factors Influencing 87 Voter Response to a School Bond Issue" (Ph.D. dissertation, U.S. International University, 1971). 159 Galen R. Rarick, "Political Persuasion: The News­ paper and the Sexes," Journalism Quarterly 47 (Summer 1970): 360-64. ------------ -------■^^Donald Eugene Krischak, "An Analysis of an U n ­ successful Rural Community College Millage Election to Deter­ mine How Selected Communication Techniques and Demography Interacted to Influence Voter Decision" (Ph.D. dissertation, Michigan State University, 1971). 161 Bradley S. Greenberg, "Voting Intentions, Election Expectations, and Exposure to Campaign Information," Journal of Communication 15 (September 1965):149-60. 162 This is confirmed by Carter, Voters and Their Schools, pp. 204-206; Hamilton and Cohen, Policy MakingV p p . 137-38; and, Rowe, "Factors Influencing Voter Response". 16^ Hamilton and Cohen, Policy M a k i n g , p. 138. ^ ^ R o b e r t a S. Sigel, "Election with an Issue: Voting Behavior of a Metropolitan Community in a School Fiscal Election," 1960, cited in Hamilton and Cohen, Policy M a k i n g , p. 138. ^■^Carter, Voters and Their Schools, p. 67. "^^Hamilton and Cohen, Policy M a k i n g , pp. 78-84. ■^^Kowalski, Voter Behavior, pp. 28-30. James Q. Wilson and Edward C. Banfield, "PublicRegardingness as a Value Premise in Voting Behavior," American Political Science Review 58 (December 1964):876-87. ■^^Arthur J. Alexander and Gail V. Bass, School Taxes and Voter Behavior: An Analysis of School District Property Tax Elections (Santa Monica, C a l i f .: The Rand Cor­ poration , 1974), p . 55. ^^Kowalski, Voter Behavior, p. 32. ■^^"Thompson and Horton, "Political Alienation". 88 ^7^Philip K. Piele and John Stuart Hall, Budgets, Bonds and Ballots: Voting Behavior in School Financial Elections (Lexington, Mass.: D.C. Heath and Company, T973), p. 129. 173 Reeder, Campaigns for School T a x e s . ^ T e m p l e t o n , "Alienation and Participation," p. 256. ^ " ’Horton and Thompson, "Powerlessness". ^■^Eckhardt and Hendershot, Alienation". "Transformation of 177I b i d ., p. 467. ^7^Hamilton and Cohen, Policy M a k i n g , p. 203. 179I b i d ., p. 230. 1 ftfi Carter, Voters and Their Schools, pp. 132-36. ^"Frederick M. Wirt and Michael W. Kirst, The Political Web of American Schools (Boston: Little, Brown and Company, 1972) , p . l O l . 1 QO Michael W. Giles, Douglas S. Gatlin and Everett F. Cataldo, "Parental Support for School Referenda," Journal of Politics 38 (May 1976):442-51. ^ ^ H a m i l t o n and Cohen, Policy M a k i n g , p. 229. ^®^See Bennett and Klecka, "Social Status"; Mendel­ sohn and O'Keefe, The People Choose a President; Agger, Goldstein and Pearl, "Political Cynicism"; and, Milbrath and Goel, Political Participation. IQ C See Greenberg, "Media Use"; Wade and Schramm, "Media and Sources of Public Affairs"; Kline, "Media Time Budgeting"; Clarke and R u g g e l s , "Preferences Among News Coverage"; Eldersveld, "Experimental Propaganda Techniques"; Eulau and Schneider, "Dimensions in Involvement"; Tan, "Political Participation"; and, O'Keefe, "Political M a laise". 89 1 86 See Hamilton and Cohen, Policy M a k i n g ; Kowalski, Voter Behavior; Alexander and B a s s ,~~5chool, Taxes and Voter Behavior; a n d ,' Giles, Gatlin and Cataldo, "Parental Support". 187 See Temporary Special Levy Commission, Summary Report. 188 See Thompson and Horton, "Political Alienation"; Horton and Thompson, "Powerlessness"; Erbe, "Social Involve­ ment"; Seeman, "Alienation and Engagement"; Milbrath and Goel, Political Participation; and, Piele and Hall, Budgets, Bonds and Ballots. 1 89 See Templeton, "Alienation and Participation"; and, Temporary Special Levy Commission, Summary R e p o r t . 190 See Krischak, "Analysis of an Unsuccessful Millage Election". 191 See Lang and Lang, "Mass Media and Voting"; and, Becker, Sobowale and Casey, "Newspaper and Television Dependencies". 192 See Wolfinger, Wolfinger, Prewitt and Rosenhack, "America's Radical Right". i q i See Milbrath and Goel, Political Participation; and, Finifter, "Dimensions of Alienation". 194 See Rosenberg, "Meaning of Politics"; Seeman, "Alienation and Membership"; and, Milbrath and Goel, Polit­ ical Participation. 195 See O'Keefe and Mendelsohn, "Nonvoting", and, Citrin, "Comment". 196 See Becker, Sobowale and Casey, "Newspaper and Television Dependencies". 197 See Buchanan, "Purposive Voting"; Conway, "Voter Information", and McLeod, Bybee, Luetscher and Garramore, "Voter Volatility". 198 See Levin, The Alienated V o t e r ; Nettler, of Alienation"; Kraus and Davis, Effects of Mass "Measures 90 Communication; Dean, "Alienation and Apathy"; Erbe, "Social Involvement"; and Clark, "Measuring Alienation". 1 QQ See Katz and Foulkes, "On the Use of Mass Media"; Blumler and McQuail, Television and Politics; McLeod and Becker, "Validity of Gratifications Measures"; and, Semlac and Williams, "Uses, Gratifications and Avoidance". ^^^See Rosenberg, "Determinants of Apathy"; and, van den Haag, "Of Happiness and Despair". ^ ^ S e e Lang and Lang, "Media and Voting"; O'Keefe, "Political Malaise ; and, Eldersveld, "Experimental Propa­ ganda Techniques". 202 The symbol Hn will be used throughout to indicate an hypothesis; the symbol H q its null. 203 Group I includes those who are high in efficacy and high in trust; Group II, those high in efficacy and low in trust; Group III, those low in efficacy and high in trust; and, Group IV, those low in efficacy and low in trust. See Chapter III for information on assignment of respondents to g r oups. 20^i=8th grade or less; 2=some high school; 3=high school diploma; 4=trade school after high school; 5=some college; 6=college degree; 7=some graduate school; and, 8=graduate degree. ^■*l=less than $1 0 ,0 0 0 ; 2=more than $10,000 but less than $20,000 (also includes those reporting $10,000); 3=more than $20,000 but less than $30,000 (also includes those reporting $20,000); and, 4=$30,000 or more. 206 l=farming; 2=blue collar; 3=white collar; 4=manager; and, 5=professional. CHAPTER III METHODOLOGY Research Design The study is part of a larger, twelve-month study undertaken a Michigan State University using a metric multidimensional scaling technique known as Galileo.^" The larger study was designed to track attitudes of registered voters in Shiawassee County concerning vocational education across time and to provide the Michigan State Department of Education and the Shiawassee County Intermediate School Di s ­ trict with information on the design of the best campaign messages to assure passage of the millage for the Area Voca­ tional Technical Education Center. This study focuses on that portion of the data collected after the actual millage election had been called. The main study began in June 1978 with a series of indepth interviews with both a scientifically selected sample of Shiawassee County residents and a sample of community leaders. Based on the results of these interviews the main- wave metric multidimensional questionnaire was developed and administered to approximately one hundred residents of the Shiawassee County Intermediate School District beginning the week of July 17, 1978, and continuing through August 91 92 1978. These data provided the baseline information for the development of the message campaign. Interviewing resumed on January 2, 1979, and continued through June 10, 1979. Interviews were conducted daily and interim reports on changes in attitude structure were provided on February 28, April 15, April 29, May 17 and June 4. The data for this study are drawn from the interviews conducted between April 12, the day the election was formally announced, and June 10, 1979, the day before the election was held. A telephone survey was utilized as the primary method to collect data for the larger study. This method was selected for the original study for a number of reasons. First, the study required that attitudes be tracked daily to measure possible changes brought about by the message cam­ paign being presented by the Intermediate School District. This meant that the data be collected using either a tele­ phone survey or a personal interview rather than a mail sur­ vey where it would be impossible to make daily contact with potential respondents. Second, the complicated nature of the data collection instrument necessitated personal con­ tact between the respondent and interviewer, once again pointing to the need for either a personal or telephone interview. Of the two methods considered, personal inter­ view or telephone survey, the latter was chosen due to the third factor, the geographic dispersion of potential respondents. 2 The cost of data collection was also lessened con­ siderably by adoption of the telephone as the instrument of 93 data collection as personal interviews involve travel which is costly in both time and money. 3 Telephone surveys have the advantage of a reasonable 4 cost, rapid completion and a relatively high response rate. The sampling technique generally involves minimum expense and call backs are simple and economical. Additionally, fi interviewers can clarify any misunderstandings , a partic­ ularly important factor in a study utilizing a new type of questionnaire. Finally, it is simple to train, supervise and monitor the performance of interviewers.^ The major disadvantage of telephone surveys is the fact that a percentage of homes do not have telephones, par­ ticularly in rural areas such as Shiawassee County or in inner city areas 8 , or have unlisted numbers. 9 It is not known if some crucial differences exist among homes with listed telephones, unlisted telephones and no telephones. The Sample The sample of 1108 potential respondents for the main study was drawn from the 1978 Shiawassee County Voter Registration lists using a systematic random sampling tech­ nique. It had been determined that, to complete several calls a day between January 2 and June 10, a sample of eleven hundred would be needed. Based on this figure and 42,129, the number of registered voters in Shiawassee County, a skip interval of thirty-eight was calculated. From a random starting point every thirth-eighth name was selected 94 resulting in a sample of 1108, 2.67, of all registered voters in Shiawassee County. As the voter registration lists did not contain telephone numbers, the appropriate telephone directories and directory assistances were con­ sulted to finalize the sample. Interviews were completed with 257 respondents for the main survey, a 23.27, completion rate. Of these, 148 (57.6%) were accomplished between January 2 and April 11 while 109 (42.4%) were completed between April 12 and June 10. It is upon these latter respondents that this study focuses. It should be noted that the low completion rate was due in part to the length of the interview (thirtyfive to forty-five minutes on average) and in part to the fact that telephone numbers were, at times, unavailable. The in-tab sample for the main study was not truly representative of the school districts as Laingsburg was not represented at all while, for the April to June segment, New Lothrop was not represented as well. Care must therefore be taken in generalizing to the county as a whole. Table 1 shows the 1978 voter registration data from Shiawassee County by school district and the sample data. Questionnaire Development The questionnaire for the overall study collected information in six general areas: attitudes toward cen­ tralized vocational education using a metric multidimensional scaling design, political efficacy and trust in government TABLE 1 POPULATION/SAMPLE COMPARISON District Population 'o Sample °i January-April °L April-June % Byron 2,461 6 6 2 5 3 1 1 Corunna 6,392 15 41 16 24 16 17 16 Durand 6,930 16 41 16 12 8 29 27 Laingsburg 2,026 5 — -- — -- -- — New Lothrop 2,491 5 3 1 3 2 Morrice 1,730 4 13 5 6 4 7 6 Owosso 15,672 37 115 45 78 53 37 34 Perry 4,427 11 24 9 9 6 15 14 TOTAL 42,129 243b 94c 137d 92e 106f 99a a Total does not equal 100% due to rounding. « Fourteen cases were not identified as to school district. A Percent is based on 257 cases. ^Eleven cases were not identified as to school district. ePercent is based on 148 cases. — 97s f Three cases were not identified as to school district. ^Percent is based on 109 cases. 96 scales, awareness of the upcoming election, media use and information sources, voting, arid demographics. The follow-up questionnaire collected data regarding respon­ dent's information about the election, the source of that information, contact prior to the election, whether or not the respondent had voted and how they had voted. The primary methodology employed in the examination of the first item was the Galileo system, a series of p ro­ cedures for making a "mental map" of the audience for a persuasive campaign, in this instance a campaign to convince voters of the need to construct a centralized Area Voca­ tional Technical Education Center to serve the needs of high school students in Shiawassee County. The system identified the main concepts registered voters in the county used to understand and define centralized vocational education and measured the beliefs and attitudes about those concepts. This was accomplished through twenty-five indepth personal interviews with registered voters in Shiawassee County. The unstructured interviews, lasting on average about twentyfive minutes, focused on the respondent's feelings and ideas about vocational education and elicited approximately thirtyfour concepts about this topic. Of these, nine concepts receiving at least twenty mentions were chosen for inclusion: tax increase, expensive, practical training, work skills, needed, job opportunities, of programs and discipline problems. college, duplication Four other concepts (your vote for, your vote against, area skills center, 97 Intermediate School District) were incorporated into the final instrument. Each concept was then paired with each of the others and respondents were asked to estimate the distance between two concepts based on a unit difference of ten, in the present case, the distance between practical training and work skills being ten units apart. How this is accomplished can be seen by examining the instructions and questions 1 through 78 on the instrument included in Appen­ dix 1. As stated earlier, data from this first section of the questionnaire was analyzed e l s e w h e r e . ^ The remaining items are of concern h e r e . The model developed for this study proposed that two dimensions of political alienation, political efficacy and trust in government, can be used as predictors of infor­ mation u s e . ^ Respondents were asked, therefore, to indi­ cate agreement or disagreement to two series of attitude statements. The first six items dealt with the respondents' sense of political efficacy. The items used were drawn from the University of Michigan Survey Research Center's Political Efficacy Scale Walker 13 12 , however, as suggested by Aberbach and , the items were localized so as to deal specifi­ cally with the School Board. For example, item one read "People like me don't have any say about what the School Board does" rather than the standard " . . . ment does.". what the govern­ Respondents may feel inefficacious about an amorphorous "government" but highly efficacious when that government is something quite local, like a school board. 98 Since the study dealt with a truly local event, a millage, a localized version of the scale was developed and used. The remaining five items of the scale, then, were as follows: --Voting is the only way people like me can have a say about how the School Board is run. --Sometimes School politics seems so complicated that a person like me can't really understand w h a t 's going o n . --I don't think school officials care much what people like me think. --Generally, those people we elect to the School Board lose touch with the people pretty quickly. --School Board members are only interested in people's votes and not in their opinions. Five items comprised the trust in government scale, drawn from the University of Michigan Survey Research . 14 Center s Trust in Government Scale. As with the previous scale, this was also localized to maintain continuity in thought and to make sure that the two scales dealt with attitudes toward the same government entity. As the two scales were to be combined to yield a single measure of political alienation, same concept. the school board, it was necessary that both measure the Itis possible to trust "government" but not or vice versa. Combining a sense of political efficacy toward the school board with trust in an amorphorous "government" would be the attitudinal equivalent of mixing apples and oranges. The items, then, used in the scale were: --First of all, do you think that people on the School Board waste a lot of money we pay in taxes, waste some of it, or don't waste very much at all? 99 --How much of the time do you think you can trust the School Board to do what is right--just about always, most of the time, or only some of it? --Would you say the School Board is pretty much run by a few big interests looking out for themselves or is it run for the benefit of all the people? --Do you feel almost all of the people running the School Board are smart people or do you think quite a few of them don't seem to know what they're doing? --Do you think quite a few of the people running the School Board are crooked, not very many are crooked, or do you think hardly any of them are crooked? The third section of the instrument dealt with awareness of the election. Respondents were first asked if they were aware of any upcoming special, county-wide elections, a measure of unaided awareness. If the respondent indicated he was aware of such, he was queried as to who had called the election (County Attorney, Intermediate School District, State Department of Education, or Someone Else), the issue of the election (millage for a new grade school, area vocational technical education, or special education) and the amount of the millage (less than one mill, between one and two mills, more than two mills). Those respondents who answered negatively to the unaided recall item were asked if the Shiawassee County Intermediate School District had called any special elections in the near future, an aided awareness item. If awareness was indicated, they were asked the specific questions of issue and amount of millage. The fourth section of the questionnaire dealt with the respondent's media use and source of information 100 regarding the election. Respondents were asked to indicate if they regularly read a newspaper, which newspaper(s) they read and the newspaper(s) to which they subscribed. The second set of media items dealt with radio listenership: hours of listening per day, to which stations they listened, and if it was the local radio outlet whether they listened to AM, FM, or both. As Shiawassee County has no local tele­ vision outlet, no questions were asked regarding television v i ewing. To determine source of information, respondents were asked if they had heard anything about Area Vocational Tech­ nical Education "since last Monday" and, if they had, to identify the source: newspaper, radio, friend, flyer or brochure, poster, m e e t i n g . ^ The fifth section of the instrument dealt with the respondent's past voting behavior in both general and school elections in the past two years, when they had last voted in a school millage election and how they had voted in that election. To measure expected voting behavior, respondents were first given the particulars of the election under study and then asked if they thought they might vote in it and if they would, the chances they would vote in favor of the millage. Demographic items made up the final section of the questionnaire. graphic Most of the items used were standard demo­ questions found in most surveys: home ownership, education, presence of children in the home, age of 101 respondents, employment (full or part-time), occupation, income and sex of respondent. Several additional study- specific items were included. To measure sample repre­ sentativeness, respondents were asked in which school dis­ trict they resided. To determine if participation in voca­ tional education could bias attitudes toward it, respondents were asked whether they or any of their children had ever taken a vocational education class in high school. Finally, respondents were asked whether they worked in the county or somewhere else to see if favorability toward the issue was higher among those working within the county. The follow-up questionnaire included seven ques­ tions. Respondents were asked to identify the ballot issue and the millage amount. of unaided awareness. These two items provided a measure Respondents were then asked if they had "heard" anything about Area Vocational Technical Edu­ cation, and if so, the source, including personal contact by the Intermediate School District or Citizen's Committee. Finally, respondents were asked if and how they had"voted in the election. Pretest The majority of the survey instrument had been uti­ lized in the field prior to the election being called (See Appendix 1). This included the metric multidimensional scaling portion and certain of the demographic items. 102 Problem areas in these sections had been eliminated prior to this phase of the study. The final questionnaire (see Appendix 2) was pre­ tested in the field under actual survey conditions. Ten potential respondents were randomly selected from the voter registration lists and were contacted by telephone. Upon completion of the instrument, they were asked if there had been any problem areas with the questionnaire. Based on the results of the pretest, it was not necessary to revise the instrument further. Data Collection and Preparation Data for the study were collected continuously from April 12, 1979, the date of the announcement that the elec­ tion had been called by the Intermediate School District, through June 10, 1979, the day before the election. Inter­ views were conducted throughout this period. Telephone calls were placed Sunday through Friday evenings between 6:30 p.m. and 9:00 p.m. In addition, calls were made during the afternoon hours on Saturday and Sunday. Four attempts, at different times and on different days, were made to reach each sample member. Interviewers were instructed to make an appointment if the individual was unable to participate at that time. For the follow-up data collection, an attempt was made to contact all original respondents to the entire study. Calls were placed between June 12 and June 19, 1979, 103 the week immediately following the election on the same calling schedule as before: Sunday through Friday between 6:30 p.m. and 9:00 p.m. and Saturday and Sunday afternoon. Respondents were not told that they were drawn from those previously contacted. Rather, they were told that the caller was from Michigan State University and was doing a study of voting behavior in Shiawassee County. The questionnaire utilized for the study was of the pre-coded type. The data were coded on the instrument itself, then keypunched and verified. The data were com­ puter analyzed using the Statistical Package for the Social Sciences (SPSS) University. on the CDC computer at Michigan State Additional data analysis was performed by hand where the needed tests were not available from SPSS. Data Analysis A variety of statistical tests were employed to test the hypotheses outlined in Chapter II. The first hypothesis stated that there would be different levels of awareness among the four groups. Sub-hypotheses specified that the proportion aware in group one would be significantly greater than the proportion aware in group two; the proportion aware in group three would be significantly greater than the p ro­ portion aware in group four; and, that the proportion aware in groups one and two combined would be significantly greater than the proportion aware in groups three and four combined. To test this hypothesis, respondents were assigned into one of the four groups on the basis of their responses to the political efficacy and trust in government scales. Each efficacy item had an efficacious and an ineffi cacious response. Based on responses to each item, a total score was computed for each respondent .^ Those respondent scoring a six to nine were considered high in political efficacy; those ten to twelve, low in political efficacy. Likewise, each trust in government item had a trustful and a distrustful response. had a middle response. Additionally, three of the items For example, when asked about the School Board wasting tax money respondents could answer "waste a lot", "waste some" or "don't waste very much at all". dent. Again, total scores were computed for each respon18 Those respondents scoring a five to nine were considered high on trust, those ten to fifteen, low on trust. Assignment to each of the four groups was made on the following basis: Group I: High in Efficacy (6 to 9), and High in Trust (5 to 9); Group II: High in Efficacy (6 to 9), and Low in Trust (10 to 15); Group III: Low in Efficacy (10 to 12), and High in Trust (5 to 9); Group IV: Low in Efficacy (10 to 12), and Low in Trust (10 to 15). The first hypothesis was tested using a Chi-Square test to determine if the distribution among the four groups of those aware differed significantly from chance. The 105 three sub-hypotheses were tested using a difference of proportions Z-test. The Z-test was chosen for the sub­ hypotheses because interest was in the proportion aware, not in the number aware. It was also recognized that the four groups might have different numbers of respondents. Examination of the proportions would equalize the groups in case this did occur. Rejection of the null hypothesis took place at an alpha level of .05. 19 The second hypothesis stated that there would be significantly differential levels of information among the four groups. The sub-hypotheses specified that the mean level of information would be significantly greater for group one than for group three; for group four; greater for group two than and, the average of means for groups one and two greater than the average of means for groups three and four. To test the hypothesis, a correctness of infor­ mation variable was created. Respondents deemed aware of the election without aid were asked who had called the election, the issue and the millage amount; aid, the issue and the amount. those aware with Each respondent received a score of zero to three depending on the number of correct responses. The hypothesis was tested using a one-way analysis of variance. The three sub-hypotheses were tested using planned comparisons and a t-test difference of means. The third hypothesis explored media use differences proposing that groups one and three would rely on media sources to a significantly greater extent than groups two 106 and four. The first step in testing this hypothesis was the creation of a source of information variable. The questionnaire had included a series of six items for those respondents who had heard anything about the issue "since last Monday". If the respondent answered affirmatively for an item, a score of one was assigned; a negative response, a zero. media; Two sources, newspaper and radio, were considered the remaining four (friend, flyer or brochure, poster, meeting) were deemed to be non-media sources. The proportion of media sources used was calculated for each g r oup. Groups one and three were combined as were groups two and four. A difference of proportions Z-test was pe r ­ formed to test the hypothesis that groups one and three would report media sources in a significantly greater pro­ portion that groups two and four. Again, the difference of proportions test was used due to the unequal number of respondents in each g r o u p . The fourth hypotheses stated that there would be significant increases in the proportion of those aware of the election as the campaign progressed. To test this hyp o ­ thesis , the proportion of those aware each week was calcu­ lated. The proportion aware for each week was compared, using a difference of proportions test, with the proportion aware the previous week to determine if significant in­ creases were taking place. The difference of proportions Z-test was specifically selected to allow for directional comparisons and, because the number contacted each week 107 varied, to provide a means of equalizing the groups across ti m e . Hypothesis five is similar to four in that it pro­ posed that the proportion of those holding correct infor­ mation would increase significantly across the campaign. The proportion of those responding correctly to all three information items concerning the election and thus scoring a three on the correctness of information variable created for hypothesis two was compared across the weeks of the cam­ paign. Nine differences of proportions tests were performed to test this hypothesis, as per the tests done for hypo­ thesis four. The sixth hypothesis stated that a significantly greater proportion of respondents in Owosso-Corunna would receive their information from newspapers than respondents in the outlying school districts. To test this hypothesis, respondents were sorted into two groups: those residing in the Owosso-Corunna school districts and those residing in the remaining six districts. The proportion of those who had read of the issue in the newspaper was calculated for each group. A difference of proportions Z-test was performed to test the statistical significance of the hypothesis. The seventh hypothesis examined the relationship between favorability towards the issue and age and predicted that as age increased, favorability would decrease. Favor­ ability towards the issue was based on the respondent's 108 self-reported likelihood of voting in favor of the issue. As both age and favorability were measured at at least the interval level, a Pearson Product-Moment Correlation was performed between the two vairables with a Student's t statistic utilized to determine statistical s i g n ificance.^ The effect of the presence or absence of children in the home on favorability towards the issue was tested in hypothesis eight. The respondents were divided into two groups based on whether or not they had children currently living at home. The mean favorability level was computed for each group and a difference of means t-test was p e r ­ formed to determine if the difference was statistically significant. Hypothesis nine predicted that favorability towards the issue would increase significantly as education level increased. To test the hypothesis, a mean favorability level for each educational level was calculated. A dif­ ference of means t-test was performed between each education level and the next highest one to determine if support for the hypothesis was present in the data. This method of statistical testing was selected because education was not measured at the interval level, hence a correlational analysis was not possible, and because it would allow for directional testing. The relationship between income and favorability, such that as one increased the other would as well, was the subject of hypothesis ten. To test the prediction, a 109 mean favorability level was calculated for each income level. As income was not measured at the interval level, it was not possible to test the hypothesis using corre­ lations. Therefore, a difference of means t-test was p er­ formed between each income level and the next highest. The eleventh hypothesis stated that there would be a significant increase in favorability towards the issue as occupational status increased such that the professional would be more favorable than, in decreasing order, the managerial, the white collar, farmer. the blue collar and the To test the hypothesis mean favorability levels were calculated and a difference of means t-test was per­ formed between each occupational level and the next lowest. Hypothesis twelve examined past voting and favor­ ability proposing that those who had cast a "yes" vote on a school millage in the past would be more favorable towards the current issue. The respondents were sorted into two groups based on their self-report of past voting behavior. A mean favorability level was calculated for each group and a difference of means t-test performed between the two groups to test the hypothesis. The thirteenth hypothesis predicted that alienation would be a significant independent predictor of favorability. 21 To test the hypothesis an alienation variable was created by combining (summing) a respondent's scores on the political efficacy and trust in government variables. Those respondents receiving large scores on the created 110 variable were said to be more alienated than those receiving smaller scores. A multiple regression analysis was then performed on the data with favorability as the dependent variable and alienation, presence of children in the home, someone in the household taken vocational education, home owner, work in Shiawassee County, age, income and sex as the independent variables. All independent variables, save alienation, age and income, were coded as dichotomous dummy variables. A variable was considered an independent pre­ dictor if the probability associated with the individual F statistic was less than or equal to .05. The final hypothesis proposed that alienation would be a significant independent predictor of negative voting. To test hypothesis fourteen, a discriminant analysis was performed as the dependent variable was dichotomous. The dependent variable was drawn from the self-report of voting behavior during the follow-up portion of the survey. The independent variables were identical to those used in hypo­ thesis thirteen. As above, a variable was considered an independent predictor if the probability associated with the individual F statistic was less than or equal to .05. In addition to the testing of the fourteen hypo­ theses in the study, a demographic profile of each source type was developed. A demographic profile for the sample as a whole was also created to check sample representativeness against other published data regarding the demographic composition of the county. Ill Endnotes ■^For a discussion of Galileo, see Joseph Woelfel and Edward L. Fink, The Measurement of Communication Processes: Galileo Theory and Method (New York; Academic t r e s s , 1980); Joseph Woelfel, “Foundations of Cognitive Theory: A Multidimensional Model of the Message-AttitudeBehavior Relationship" in Donald P. Cushman and Robert D. M c P h e e , e d s ., Message-Attitude-Behavior Relationship: Theo r y , Methodology and Application (New York: Academic P r e s s , 1980); and, Joseph woelfel and Jeffrey E . D a n e s , "Multidimensional Scaling Models for Communication Research" in Peter R. Monge and Joseph N. Cappella, eds., Multi­ variate Techniques in Human Communication Research (New York: Academic P r e s s , 1980). 9 Selltiz, et al point out that telephone interviews are particularly advantageous in this type of situation. Clair Selltiz, Lawrence S. Wrightsman and Stuart W. Cook, Research Methods in Social Sciences 3rd ed. (New York: holt, Rinehart and Winston, 1976), p. 299. 3I b i d . ^ S . Sudman, Reducing the Cost of Surveys (Chicago: Aldine-Atherton, 1967); Roger D. Wimmer and Joseph P. Dominick, Mass Media Resea r c h : An Introduction (Belmont, Calif.: Wadsworth Publishing Company, 1983), p . 130. 3Wimmer and Dominick, Mass Media Research, p. 130. 6Ibid. ^Seltiz, Wrightsman and Cook, Research Methods, p. 299. 8I b i d ., p. 298. g Wimmer and Dominick, Mass Media Research, p. 130. ^ M a r t i n Block and Joseph Woelfel, Area Vocational Education Campaign Strategies and Techniques Project, Phase I: Communication Strategies (East Lansing, Michigan: College of Communication Arts and Sciences, Michigan State Univer­ sity, September, 1978); Martin Block and Joseph Woelfel, Area Vocational Education Campaign Strategies and Tech­ niques Project, Phase II: Campaign Development, Phase til: Campaign Evaluation (East Lansing, Michigan: College of 112 Communication Arts and Sciences, Michigan State University, June 29, 1979). "^For a complete explanation of these items, see the Review of Literature in Chapter II. 12 John P. Robinson, Jerald G. Rusk and Kendra B. Head, Measurement of Political Attitudes (Ann Arbor, Michigan: Institute for Social Research, The University of Michigan, September 1966). 13 The authors state: "However, items in many scales designed to measure political distrust often involve simple cliches about the quality of politics and politicians with little or no indication as to the governments or figures involved . . . it would seem vitally impor­ tant that the subject be stimulated to think about some more focused symbol than 'politicians'." Joel Aberbach and Jack Walker, "Political Trust and Radical Ideology," American Political Science Review 64 (December 1970):1201. Other authors have also implied the need for the "localization" of scales. Citrin suggests many polit­ ical cynics focus their dissatisfaction on incumbent author­ ities rather than system values. Dean stated, "It might be profitable to develop - instead of a general alienation scale - scales to be specifically applied to various insti­ tutional areas of social l i f e " . McClosky points out that "It is impossible in the present context to determine the extent to which scores contained in these tables signify genuine frustration and political disillusionment and the extent to which they represent familiar and largely ritual­ istic responses". Jack Citrin, "Comment: Political Rele­ vance of Trust in Government," American Political Science Review 68 (September 1974):975; Dwight G. Dean, "Alienation and Political Apathy," Social Forces 38 (March 1960):189; and, Herbert McClosky, "Consensus and Ideologies in American Politics," American Political Science Review 58 (June 1964):370. 1/ Robinson, Rusk and Head, Measurement of Political Attitudes. ^ A s there was a dearth of media in Shiawassee County and as the School Board itself was relying on lessthan-mass media and interpersonal methods of distribution, it was necessary to include a wide range of sources of information. The model tested herein also presumes that certain types of people will rely on varying types of information sources. 113 16 Norman H. Nie, C. Hadlai Hull, Jean G. Jenkins, Karin Steinbrenner and Dale H. Bent, Statistical Package for the Social Sciences 2d ed. (New York: McGraw-Hill Book Company, 1975). ^ T h e efficacious response was assigned a one, the inefficacious response, a two. 18 The most trustful response was scored a one, the middle response, a two and the most distrustful response, a three. 19 This alpha level is used throughout the study for rejection of the null hypothesis. As such, it will not be mentioned with each hypothesis. The reader is to assume that the level of rejection is .05. 20 Student's t is the statistic reported in the PEARSON CORR procedure of S P S S . See N i e , et a l , Statistical Package, p. 281. 21 For a complete discussion of alienation as used in this study, the reader is referred to the Review of Literature and Definition sections of Chapter I I . CHAPTER IV RESULTS Sample Characteristics Demographics The greatest majority of respondents to the survey own their own homes (n=8 6 ; 86.9%) while 8.1% (n=8) are renters. More than half are employed full-time (n=56; 56.6%.) while 8.1% (n=8) work part-time and 35.47> (n=35) do not work outside the home. Of those that are employed, thirty-eight (59.5%) work in Shiawassee County and twentysix (40.67o) are employed elsewhere. The blue collar cate­ gory was the largest occupation group with 41% (n=25) of the respondents reporting occupations classified as such. The second largest category was white collar (n=19; 31.2%,) followed by professional (n=10; 16.4%) and managerial (n=6 ; 9.8%,). Only one respondent (1.6%) reported farming as an occupation. The overall education level of the sample as a whole was low. Fully 63.4%, (n=64) of the respondents have only a high school diploma or have attended trade school after high school. Twenty-nine respondents (28.7%,) have not completed high school. Twenty-three respondents (22.8%,) have some college and nine (8.9%,) have earned a college degree. 114 Five 115 respondents (4.9%) had attended graduate school with three of them (3.0%) having earned a graduate degree. Few respon­ dents (n=1 0 ; 19.2%) had ever taken a vocational education class in high school or had children who had taken such courses (n=21; 24.7%). Income levels were fairly low with 17.7% (n=17) re ­ porting a total household income of less than $10,000 a year; 25%, (n=25) , an income of between $10,000 and $20,000 a year; and, 32.37. (n=31) , an income of between $20,000 and $30,000 a year. Only 18.7% (n=18) report a total household income of greater than $30,000 a year. Almost 63%, (62.4%,; n=63) of the sample had childern living at home. The sample was fairly evenly distributed across all age groups: 20 to 29: n = 1 9 , 17.8%; 30 to 39: n = 2 3 , 21.5%; 40 to 49: n=22, 20.6%; 50 to 59: n=19, 17.8%; 60 to 69: n=12, 11.2%; and, 70+: n = 6 , 5.6%. Thirteen respondents (15.5%,) were 65 years of age and older. the sample was Finally 38.1% male (n=40) and 61.9%» female (n=65) . The characteristics of the sample of respondents utilized in this study point to the kind of area Shiawassee County is. It is a relatively stable area with a majority of home owners and few renters. It is also a "bedroom community" of sorts with a substantial minority of those who work being employed outside the county (40.6%,). It is also primarily a blue collar area with many residents being employed in the automotive factories in the surrounding counties. 116 The education and income levels are reflective of the occupational standings in the county. Few respondents have attended any schooling past high school. These respon­ dents, for the most part, make up the blue collar and white collar occupational rankings. The fact that 57% of the sample reports incomes of between $10,000 and $30,000 a year further supports the assumption that the county is primarily a middle class areas. One interesting, and somewhat unex­ pected, finding was the fact that less than one-fourth of the respondents had taken, or had someone in the family take, a vocational education class in high school. Given the employment picture in the county one would expect this figure to be quite a bit higher. Attitudes Six items were used to measure a sense of political efficacy as it relates to the School Board and school poli­ tics . On two of the ite m s , the sample registers feelings of inefficacy while on the remaining four, the majority have efficacious feelings (see Table 2). The sample is more likely to agree that voting is the only way they can have a say about how the School Board runs things and that some­ times school politics seems so complicated that they can't really understand what's going on. Respondents are more likely to disagree that people like themselves don't have any say about what the School Board does, that they don't think school officials care much what people like themselves 117 TABLE 2 POLITICAL EFFICACY Item Agree People like me have no say about what the School Board does. 34.3% (n=34) 62.6% (n=62) 3.0% (n= 3) Voting is the only way to have a s a y . 61.0% (n=61) 34.0% (n=34) 5.0% 100 (n= 5) School politics seems to complicated 53.5% (n=53) 42.4% (n=42) 4.0% (n= 5) 99 School officials don't care what people think 34.0% (n=33) 54.6% (n=53) 11.3% (n=ll) 97 People on the School Board lose touch. 41.1% (n=39) 50.5% (n=48) 8.4% (n= 8) 95 School Board members are only interested in votes. 28.9% (n=28) 60.8% (n=59) 1 0 .3% (n=10) 97 Disagree Depends N 99 think, that people on the School Board lose touch prety quickly after being elected, and, that School Board members are only interested in people's votes and not their opinions. The attitude statements point to differences between the Shiawassee sample and other studies investigating the presence or absence of political efficacy in school refer­ enda. Carter had found that one-third of the voters felt they had little say in what the School Board did.^ Shiawassee sample agreed (34.37„) with this finding. The Where only one-half of Carter's sample believed that the only voice voters had was the act of voting, 61% of the Shia­ wassee sample agreed with this statement. Two-fifths of Carter's sample felt that educational policy was too 118 complicated for persons like themselves to understand. Using a similar item, more than half of the Shiawassee sample believed school politics was too complicated for them to understand (53.5%). Carter found that one-fourth felt that school officials did not care what the average voter thought. wassee study. Two items measured this concept in the Shia­ In both instances the present sample is less efficacious, more likely to agree that school officials don't care what people think (34%) and that School Board members are only interested in votes (28.9%). Carter con­ cluded that the presence of low efficacy would almost assure a negative view of the schools. the case, the negative view If that is indeed would be stronger in Shiawassee County. Five items comprised the trust in government, in this case the School Board, scale. An examination of the items shows that the sample is generally trustful of the School Board. Only 18.1%, (n=17) of the respondents believe that the School Board wastes a lot of money paid in taxes while 59.6% (n=56) feel they waste some of it and 22.3% (n=21) feel they don't waste very much at all. When asked how often they thought they could trust the School Board to do what is right, 63.3%, (n=63) reported that they could be trusted most of the time; 8 .1% (n=8) , just about always; and 28.3%, (n=28) , only some of the time. The majority of the respondents (n=54; 61.4%) felt that the School Board was run for the benefit of all the people while only 38.6%, 119 (n=34) felt it was run by a few big interests looking out for themselves. Almost three fourths of the respondents (73.9%; n=65) felt that the people running the School Board are smart people while 26.1% (n=23) felt that quite a few of them don't seem to know what they're doing. Finally, 70.8% (n=68) believe that hardly any of the people running the School Board are crooked while 25% (n=24) believe not very many are crooked and 4.2% (n=4), that quite a few of them are crooked. While the trust in government items point to a sample that is generally trusting of the School Board, a closer examination of the items points up some interesting trends. On two of the items, wasting tax dollars and being trusted, the majority of the sample selected the middle response, that the School Board wastes some of the money paid in taxes (59.6%) and can be trusted most of the time (63.67©). These two responses show a less than total trust of the School Board. Further 23% of the sample thought that some of the people running the School Board were crooked, again a less than total trust response. with no middle response, On the two items substantial minorities are found to be distrustful of the School Board: 38.67© believe the School Board is run by a few big interests looking out for themselves and 26.17© believe that quite a few of the the people on the School Board don't seem to know what they are doing. It would appear, then, that the Shiawassee sample is not totally enamoured of the School Board. This level of 120 distrust did not bode well for the issue under study. Awareness and Information Less than half of the respondents were aware of any upcoming special county-wide elections (43.6%; n = 4 4 ) . The directed inquiry as to whether the Shiawassee County Inter­ mediate School District had called any special elections netted three respondents who answered in the affirmative. Only fifteen respondents (34.17» of those aware unaided) knew that the election had been called by the Intermediate School District while nine (20.5%,) thought it had been called by the County Attorney and one (2.3%,) by someone else. Of those aware that an election had been called, 59.6%, (n=28) knew that the election concerned a millage for Area Voca­ tional Technical Education while 6.4% (n=3) thought it was a millage for special education and 8.5%, (n=4) each for a nursing home or something else. A large percent also cor­ rectly identified the amount of millage as being between one and two mills (44.7%; n=21) while six respondents (1 2 .8%) thought it was more than two mills and three respon­ dents (6.4%,), less than one mill. One of the most disconcerting findings of the study was this low level of overall awareness that an election had been called (43.6%). Coupled to this was the low level of correct information held by those respondents who were aware of the election. Only twelve respondents could correctly identify who had called the election, the issue being voted 121 upon and the amount of millage requested. 11% of the overall sample. This represents The turnout for the election was 127o so perhaps only those holding correct information voted. This is unlikely. That means that voters were going to the polls to vote without complete information, a not-too-pleasant thought in a republican democracy. 2 Media Use The majority of respondents to the survey (n=83; 76.2%) report reading a newspaper regularly. Many of these subscribe to and read the local newspaper, the Owosso Argus Pre s s . Second in both readership and subscription was the Detroit Free Press followed by the Flint Journal, the Lansing State Journal and the Detroit N e w s . There was little readership and subscription to the local weekly newspapers (see Table 3). Most respondents spend time each day listening to the radio (see Table 4). However, little of that listening involves WOAP, the local radio station. Only nineteen respondents (2 1 .8% of radio listeners) report that they usually listen to WOAP. Twenty-three respondents (26.4%,) listen to stations from Lansing, nineteen (21.8%,) to Detroit stations, sixteen (18.4%0) to Flint-Saginaw stations and six (6.9%) to other Michigan stations. Listenership to WOAP is fairly evenly distributed between AM (n=5; 26.3%) and FM (n=7; 36.8%,) with five respondents (26.3%,) listening to both. 122 TABLE 3 NEWSPAPER READERSHIP AND SUBSCRIPTION Newspaper Readers Subscribers Owosso Argus Press 58 54 Detroit Free Press 28 16 Flint Journal 14 11 Lansing State Journal 10 9 Detroit News 7 5 Durand Express 5 2 Shiawassee Journal 5 2 Out-of-State Papers 3 1 Jackson Citizen Patriot 1 0 TABLE 4 RADIO LISTENERSHIP Hours Number Percent None 22 2 0 .8% One 24 2 2 .6% Two 13 12.3% 8 7.6% Four 13 1 2 .3% Five 6 5.7% Six 7 6 .6% 13 12.3% 106 1 0 0 .2% Three Seven+ Total It was not surprising that little more than half of the respondents read the Owosso Argus Press and 17.4% listened to the local radio outlet, WOAP. Shiawassee 123 County is not media poor in its truest sense. However, so much media from other markets reaches into the area that there is little need to attend to the local media. Add i ­ tionally, given that a sizeable portion of the employed work outside the county, there may be little sense of com­ munity associated with the county. If you work in Lansing, you read the Lansing newspaper and listen to Lansing radio stations. Source of Information Thirty-five respondents (32.17„) reported having heard something about Area Vocational Technical Education "since last Monday". Many of these had received information form a variety of sources rather than a single source. Twenty-three respondents had read about Area Vocational Technical Education in the newspaper while seven had heard of it on the radio. Of the non-media sources, eleven had received information from a friend, nine from a flyer or brochure, seven at a meeting and two from a poster. These results follow from the previous o n e s . With so little attention paid to local Shiawassee County media, it is not surprising that so few had heard anything about Area Vocational Technical Education. This is also in line with the low levels of awareness noted in the County. Voting Few respondents (n=14; 12.8%) indicated having not voted in a general election in the past two years (1976- 124 1978) while forty-five respondents (41.370) voted in all general elections (see Table 5). Turnout among respondents for school elections was poorer with twenty-eight respon­ dents (25.7%) voting in none in the past two years and only thirty-seven (33.9%) voting in all of them. It should be noted that there had been one general election and one school election during the time period under study which raises the vote levels of 63 (57.8%) for the general election and 53 (48.6%) for the school election. TABLE 5 TIMES VOTED IN 1976-1978 Number of Times General School N Percent N Percent None 14 1 2 .8% 28 25.7% One 18 16.5% 16 14.7% Two 13 11.9% 9 8 .0% Three 1 .9% 1 .9% One or Two 0 --- 5 4.6% Two or Three 3 2 .8% 0 --- Most All 3 2 .8% 0 --- 45 41.3% 37 All Twenty respondents 33.9% (18.3%) indicated they had never voted in a school millage while sixty respondents (55%) had 3 voted in one within the past year. Six respondents (5.5%) 125 had voted in a school millage two years ago and three respondents (2 .8%) each, three years and more than three years ago. Of those respondents who would reveal their previous vote in a millage election, forty-three (6 6 .2%) had voted in favor and twenty-two (33.9%), against. The majority of respondents indicated they would vote in the upcoming election (n=82; 75.2%). Seven (6.4%) said they would not vote and ten (9.2%) were not sure. Of those who reported they would vote in the election, 41.5% (n=34) indicated they would definitely vote in favor of the millage. Twenty respondents (23.4%) said the chances were greater than fifty but less than one hundred while nine (11%) said the chances were fifty and eight (9.8%) , less than fifty, that they would cast a favorable vote. The sample reports a very high level of voting in past elections. Only 12.87. indicated they did not vote in a general election in the previous two y e a r s . Overall national turnout for the 1976 Presidential election was only A 54% of all eligible citizens. This would mean that voters in Shiawassee County are much more likely to vote than the general population. This is not necessarily the case.^ What is more likely is that respondents were providing so ­ cially accepted responses. This is even more clear when one considers the fact that 75% of the respondents indicated they would vote in the upcoming millage election. Either the sample voted at a much higher rate than the general popula­ tion, as overall turnout was only 12%, or, socially accepted 126 responses were being provided. Sample Representativeness Shiawassee County is made up of eight school dis­ tricts, only six of which were represented in the survey (see Table 1). No completions were achieved in either Laingsburg or New Lothrop. Of the remaining six districts, none is present in the sample proportionate to its size in the population. The districts of Byron and Owosso are under-represented while Corunna, Durand, Morrice and Perry are over-represented. Even though the two districts not included are relatively small, the results may not be generalizable to the county as a whole because of their absence. The survey respondents do cover a broad range of demographic groups. accurately, however. Several groups are not represented Census data reports that the county is 62.4% rural^ while of the respondents, only one reports farming as an occupation. While it is entirely possible that many of the respondents live in rural settings and are employed in urban are a s , it is unlikely that this would explain a difference of 60.7%. The sample, therefore, under­ represents the rural community in Shiawassee County, posing potential problems for the generalizability of the results. The sample over-represents those age 65 and older. Census data reports that 7.7% of the population is 65 years of age and older^ while 12.27. of the sample is in that age group. There are several possible explanations for this 127 discrepancy. First, the sample was drawn from voter regis­ tration lists. It has been found that younger members of the population vote in fewer numbers than those who are g older. This lower voting turnout may also be reflected in a lower rate of voter registration. Thus, the sampling frame may have contained a larger share of older voters than is found in the population as a whole. It is also possible that the older respondents were more willing to complete the questionnaire so that it was not the sample that was unrep­ resentative but rather the in-tab sample. Again, this dis­ crepancy could bias the results. The final group that was under-represented was the male portion of the population. Comprising 49% of the 9 county population , males make up only 38.1% of the in-tab sample. The reasons for this are unclear. One plausible explanation for this is that males were less likely to be willing to complete the survey than females, as males and females were fairly equally represented in the sample. Finally, the sample is more likely to subscribe to the Owosso Argus Press (53.2%) than the population as a whole (21.5%). It is less likely to report listening to WOAP (21.8%,) than has been found in previous studies (30%,). The sample, then, is not truly representative of the population as a whole. While most demographic groups are represented in the sample, the few discrepancies may result in unknown biases in the results. 128 Hypotheses The Derivative Model The study was undertaken primarily to test the derivative model described in Chapter I. This model pr o ­ posed that differences would exist as to awareness, level of information and information sources based on differing levels of trust in government and political efficacy. To test the model, trust in government and political efficacy variables were created and then the sample was distributed into the cells of the model based on their scores on the two variables (see Table 6). TABLE 6 SAMPLE DISTRIBUTION ON TRUST AND EFFICACY Political Efficacy Trust in Government High Low 56 * (51.4%) 12 (11.0%) 68 (62.4%) Low 11 (10.1%) 30 (27.5%) 41 (37.6%) Total 67 (61.5%) 42 (38.5%) 109 High Total X 2= 3 3 .2928; df=1; p<.001. Percentages are percent of total (109). Slightly more than half (51.4%) of the respondents were found to be high in both trust in government and a sense of political efficacy while slightly more than onefourth (27.57o) scored low on both variables. An almost 129 equal number of respondents were high in efficacy but low in trust or vice versa. It is also interesting to note that an almost equal number of respondents were high on efficacy (n=68) or high on trust (n=67). The relationship between the two variables, as represented by the distri­ bution, is highly significant. The statistical significance of the overall distri­ bution of respondents on trust in government and political efficacy, addressed specifically to the School Board and school politics, coincides with the work of F i n i f t e r ^ and Milbrath and Goel 12 (see Table 6). The two dimensions do differentiate between respondents with the distribution being significantly different from chance. As expected, the greatest number of respondents scored high on both var­ iables . It had been hoped that the high trust-low efficacy group would be second. pative population. This would have indicated a partici­ The low trust-low efficacy group, ho w ­ ever, was second largest. The stating of the trust and efficacy items to relate specifically to the School Board and school politics may have been the cause of the fact that more than 25% of the respondents feel both distrustful and inefficacious. As Carter 13 and Hamilton and Cohen 14 discovered, these feelings are often present in school referenda and can account for low turnouts. The size of the protest vote would be expected to be small as the low trust-high efficacy gorup was quite small. Given the sub­ stantial size of the high trust-high efficacy group, the 130 turnout would have been expected to be large. The fact that it was not points to the fact that other factors were at work in this particular election that disrupted the normal or expected impact of alienation. In this case, the media- poor environment may have been a mediating factor. The results of the study seem to point that way. The first set of hypotheses examined the level of awareness among each of the four groups. The main hypo­ thesis predicted that there would be significantly different levels of awareness among the four groups. the case (see Table 7). This was indeed The greatest level of awareness was found in group three, the group scoring high in trust and low in efficacy where nearly three-fourths of the respon­ dents (72.7%) were aware that an election had been called. Half of those in group two, those low in trust but high in efficacy, were aware while 41.7% of group four, those low in both, were aware. The lowest level of awareness was found in group one, the group high in both trust and efficacy. The three sub-hypotheses predicted significant dif­ ferences among the four groups when compared individually. No support was found for these three hypotheses. The first sub-hypothesis had predicted that the proportion aware in group one would be greater than the proportion aware in group two. The data show that the opposite is true. The proportion aware in group two was larger, though not signif­ icantly larger, than the proportion aware in group one. The second sub-hypothesis had predicted that the proportion aware 131 TABLE 7 AWARENESS BY ATTITUDE GROUP Political Efficacy Trust in Government High Low Total High 20 (35.7%)* 6 (50.0%)* 26 (54.2%)** Low 8 (72.7%)* 14 (46.7%)* 22 (45.8%)** 28 (58.3%)** 20 (41.7%)** 48 (44.0%)* Total X 2= 8 .0655; df=1; p<.01. ^Percentages are percent of total in cell aware. See Table 6. **Percents are percent of total in Table. in group three would be greater than the proportion aware in group four. The data show that this is indeed the case, that the proportion aware in group three was larger than the proportion aware in group four. With a Z score of 1.508, the difference approached, but did not reach, signif­ icance.^"® The third sub-hypothesis predicted that the com­ bined proportion aware in groups one and two would be greater than the combined proportion aware in groups three and four. As with the first sub-hypothesis, the opposite was the case. The combined proportion aware for groups one and two was only 38.2%, while 53.6 % of groups three and four combined were aware. The overall awareness level was quite low. Only 44%, of the respondents were aware that an election had been called (see Table 7). This may be partially explained by 132 the fact that only 53.2 % of the sample subscribed to the local paper, the Owosso Argus P r e s s , and 21.8% of those who listen to the radio listen to the local radio outlet, WOAP-AM-FM. These two channels provided most of the readily available information concerning the election. respondents did not attend to the local media, about the election may not have been received. If the information The distri­ bution of awareness according to the two dimensions of alienation is highly significant. Those high on both dimensions comprise 41.7% of those aware and those low on both, 29.2%. Those high in trust and low in efficacy make up 16.7% of those aware while those low in trust and high in efficacy represent 12.5% of those aware. The distri­ bution supports the contention that those low in alienation would exhibit a greater interest in, and therefore awareness of, political activity. ^ The proposed withdrawal from politics is not noted in the low trust-low efficacy g r o u p . ^ It could be that this withdrawal is from party politics as suggested by Campbell 17 and not a significant factor in school elections where alienation may result instead in pro. .. 18 test voting. The study had hypothesized certain relationships based on awareness levels but found that these did not exist in the data. Rather than having the highest proportionate level of awareness, the high trust-high efficacy group had the lowest. The highest proportionate level of awareness was found in the low efficacy-high trust group. This group 133 been found to be generally supportive of the system 19 and while inefficacious feelings generally relate to apathy, in the present case the high levels of trust may be the determining factor. 20 It was expected that a large proportion of those high in efficacy and low in trust would be aware however the proportion was smaller than expected. Awareness of the election is related to alienation although not in the expected w a y s . Differences exist but these differences do not reflect the research to date. setting, again, may be the cause. little interest as found here. cases. The School elections generate They may indeed be deviant The limited availability of information via tele­ vision may also have influenced the results. Other factors may be affecting information-seeking behaviors, factors that may exert a greater influence upon potential voters than alienation. The second set of hypotheses focused on the level of correct information held by the four groups. Table 8 pre­ sents the mean level of correct information held by each group. The scores on correct information ranged from zero to three. The highest mean level of correct information was 1.833 for the low trust-high efficacy group followed by 1.57 for the high trust-high efficacy group. The lowest level of recall was 1.071 for the low trust-low efficacy group. The main hypothesis predicted that significantly dif­ ferent levels of correct information would exist between the four groups. This was not the case. Table 9 presents the 134 TABLE 8 LEVEL OF CORRECT INFORMATION Group Mean Standard Deviation Total High Trust-High Efficacy 1.570 1.165 21 Low Trust-High Efficacy 1.833 1.169 6 High Trust-Low Efficacy 1.125 1.246 8 Low Trust-Low Efficacy 1.071 1.141 14 results of an one-way analysis of variance performed on the level of correct information vari a b l e . The within group sums of squares was substantially larger than the between group. More variance within the scores is left unexplained than is explained by the trust in government-political effi­ cacy divisions. nificant. The F ratio reflects this and is not sig­ Difference three sub-hypotheses. of means tests were used to test the No significant differences were found. TABLE 9 ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE--LEVEL OF CORRECT INFORMATION Source D.F. Sum of Squares 3 3.86 Within Groups 45 61.78 Total 48 65.64 Between Groups Mean Squares F ratio 1.12867 .9379 (n.s.) 1.3728 135 The model proposed that correctness of information would be related to alienation. Again, this did not occur. Overall levels of correct information were low. trust-high The low efficacy group had the highest mean. This was unexpected as low trust is usually associated with use of television as the primary source of political information and, in Shiawassee County, no local television exists. 21 The high trust-high efficacy group did not show the level of information expected. This group is generally thought of as being supportive of school referenda and to hold correct information as a result of this support. In this case, information regarding the issue may have been so sparse that even members of this group had difficulty locating it. The only case where the result was truly expected from the literature was the low level of correct information for the low trust-low efficacy group. Past research had shown that those in this category avoid political information appears to be substantiated by the data. 23 22 which The similarlity in means and standard deviations between the four groups is the reason for the lack of significant differences noted between the groups (see Table 8). The third hypothesis focused on a comparison of media sources and personal sources across all four groups. Table 10 details the number of media and personal sources for each group. The sample, as a whole, reports hearing about Area Vocational Technical Education from an almost equal number of personal and media sources. Differences do 136 TABLE 10 SOURCE OF INFORMATION BY GROUP Source Total Media Personal Group I High Trust-High Efficacy (56) II Per Person 12 14 26 .46 Low Trust-High Efficacy (12) 2 6 8 .67 III High Trust-Low Efficacy (11) 4 0 4 .36 IV Low Trust-Low Efficacy (30) 12 9 21 .70 TOTAL 30 29 59 exist between the groups. Those high on both variables consulted the most number of sources followed closely by those low on both. all sources. The two middle groups consult few over­ This pattern changes when the number of sources per person ratio is examined. This shows that the group low on both variables consulted the most number of sourcer per person (.7) followed closely by those low in trust but high in efficacy (.67). Those high in both variables ranked third and those high in trust but low in efficacy, fourth. The model proposed that groups one and three would rely on media and groups two and four on personal sources. This holds for groups two (personal) and three (media) but not for groups one and f o u r . Group one mentions more 137 personal sources and group four, more media sources. The third hypothesis had predicted that groups one and three combined would rely on media sources to a significantly greater extent than groups two and four combined. The proportion of media sources for groups one and three is .5333 while for groups two and four the proportion is .4827. The first is greater than the second, but the difference is not significant. The prediction that those high in both trust in government and political efficacy and those high in trust but low in efficacy would report media sources in a signif­ icantly greater proportion than those in the remaining two groups had been based on the findings that high trust and efficacy are related to the use of newspapers as a source of political i n f o r m a t i o n . ^ out. This study did not bear this The high trust-high efficacy group reported slightly more personal sources and the low trust-low efficacy group more media sources. The remaining two groups follow the hypothesized direction. It would appear that in a minimal mass mediated information election, the relationship between efficacy and trust and type of information source is not the same as that between the two components of alienation and source in a more information-rich setting. Those high in both trust and efficacy represent those most involved and active in the political system. In a standard general election, information about candidates and issues is readily available in the mass media so no further information-seeking 138 behavior is necessary to be informed. In the Shiawassee County situation the mass media may not have provided sufficient information for the highly involved group necessitating consultation of personal sources. The low trust-low efficacy group poses more of a problem in explaining. It would appear that in Shiawassee County in this particular situation, a high degree of alienation, as determined by high levels of distrust and inefficacy, does not lead to withdrawal from politics political information, 26 25 and an avoidance of but rather to an observer status-- one who watches but does not participate. The derivative model did not hold up to empirical examination as well as had been predicted. In only one instance was a significant relationship discovered. There are several possible explanations for this occurence. The derivative model assumed that the original Milbrath and Goel model was correct in its characteristics of levels of participation based on differing levels of trust in government and political efficacy. 27 Using their descriptions as a guide, for example, that those high on both dimensions would be "active allegiant" and have "con­ ventional participation" while those low on both would "withdraw from politics", the literature was searched to determine how these characteristics related to demographics and media use, among others. Additionally the literature was perused to determine how political efficacy and trust in government related to information variables and to school 139 referenda settings. Melding all this information, the derivative model was developed. The Milbrath and Goel model, however, had never been tested in its entirety in a single study. The assign­ ment of participation characteristics to each cell was done on the basis of a perusal of the literature as was done for the derivative model. It is possible that, in a single setting with a single sample, may not be valid. the Milbrath and Goel model If that is the case, the same would po s ­ sibly hold true for its derivative. Until further research is undertaken on the Milbrath and Goel model, it is impos­ sible to tell if this is indeed the reason why so many ele­ ments of the derivative model were not substantiated by the data collected in Shiawassee County. A second possible explanation for the failure of the model to explain the behavior of the sample concerns the utilization of items specifically dealing with the School Board and School politics as the individual items in the trust in government and political efficacy scales. The Milbrath and Goel m o d e l , and the work of Finifter upon which it is based, both used the standard items for both of these scales. It may be that the model holds for the less defined "government" items and not for more specific items as were used in tthe present study. The use of the more specific items had been suggested by Aberbach and Walker, Citrin, Dean and McCloksy. 28 The specific political efficacy items had also been used in the work of Carter. 29 There appeared 140 to be sufficient justification for their adoption in the Shiawassee study. The development of the derivative model cell charac­ teristics was based on published research. Much of this research had been done using more general trust and ef­ ficacy items. It could be that the model of information would hold if those items were used rather than the more specific ones. Until more research is accomplished using specific items, the final determination of whether this was the cause for the failure of the model will not be known. A third possible explanation for the inability of the model to predict behavior has to do with the setting of the study. This included both a low interest election and a low information • area. The development of the Milbrath and Goel model had been accomplished using data from general elections rather than school referenda. It could be that the model holds in the more general situation but not in the specific one. If that is the case, the derivative model may hold in a general election situation where it did not hold in the school election. Complicating this is the fact that there was so little interest in the millage election. The fact that so few were aware or had correct information regarding the issue may have biased the results. It may not be the model that is at fault, but rather that the Shiawassee County m i l ­ lage election was a deviant situation even for a school election. It may also be that the problem lies not with the 141 rationale underlying the model but rather with the infor­ mation setting. The county receives a plethora a media 30 from the surrounding counties. It may be impossible for the two local media outlets to compete for the attention of county residents. In a more normal media setting, the model may be a better predictor. Given the results from the Shiawassee County study, the derivative model should be redesigned to resemble Figure 3. Support for such a model, however, is not found in the literature. fied. Few of the assignments could be justi­ Only those marked with an asterisk would be under­ girded by previous research results. It is much more likely that the setting caused the failure of the model and that the model as proposed would be supported in a more tradi­ tional situation. Trust in Government High High Political Efficacy Low Awareness *Correct Information Information from Personal Sources jjigh Awareness Incorrect Information i n f o r m a t i o n from Media Figure 3: Low Low Awareness Correct Infor­ mation i n f o r m a t i o n from Personal Sources *Low Awareness i n c o r r e c t Infor­ mation Information from Media Shiawassee County Derivative Model 142 Campaign Awareness and Information Hypotheses four and five dealt with increasing levels of campaign awareness and information as the campaign progressed. It was predicted that as the election neared, an increasing proportion of respondents would, first, be aware than an election had been called and, second, hold a high level of correct information regarding the election. The results were mixed at best (see Table 11). First, the awareness level did not increase as predicted. Week two (.5385) was larger than week one (.1667), but not signif­ icantly so. Week two, however, was also larger than week three (.4286) and week four (.3), with three being larger than four as well. For week five the pattern shifts with five (.3333) slightly larger than week four, but equal to week six. Week six was larger than week seven (.2), as was week eight (.2857), the predicted direction but not a significant increase. Week nine (.75) was significantly greater than week eight (Z=2.27; p<.05). A major drop in awareness took place in week ten with only 28.67> of those contacted aware that an election had been called for the following Monday. The data on correctness of information were even more disappointing. Only twelve respondents (117o of 109) could correctly identify who had called the election, the issue being voted on and the amount of the millage. five of the weeks For (one, five, seven, eight and ten) not one respondent was found to have correct information regarding 143 TABLE 11 AWARENESS AND INFORMATION BY WEEK Week Number Contacted Awareness Information 6 1 0 2--April 9-15 13 7 2 3--April 16-22 14 6 2 4 t -April 23-29 10 3 1 3 1 0 6--May 7-13 12 4 2 7--May 14-20 10 2 0 8--May 21-27 7 2 0 25 18 5 7 2 0 44 (.4142) 12 (.2727) 1--April 2-8 5--April 30-May 6 9--May 28-June 3 10--June 4-10 Total 107a aTwo of the questionnaires were not dated so were not included in this analysis. the election. This included the final week before the election (week t e n ) . The hypothesis had predicted that the proportion of those holding correct information would in­ crease significantly as the campaign progressed. not the case. This was The proportion holding correct information during week two (.2857) was larger than for week one but this was not significant. Week three was larger than week two but, again, was not significantly so. equal to week four. Week three was During the fifth week, no one was 144 found who had correct information. all previous weeks, however, a trend. Week six was larger than this was not the beginning of For weeks seven and eight no one held correct information, while for week nine only 27.87a of those aware could correctly identify all three elements. During the final week before the election no one, once again, held correct information. The fourth hypothesis had assumed that as the date of the election neared, an increasing proportion of regis­ tered voters would be aware that an election had been called. This was based on the fact that the opportunities to be exposed to campaign information would have increased as the amount of information available in the community increased. As the data in Table 11 show, this did not occur. No pat­ tern of increase or decrease in awareness levels is dis­ cernible (see Figure 4). week two and week nine. The awareness proportions peak at It would appear that even less than one week before the election it was easy to have missed any and all information regarding the upcoming election, or to have seen but not recalled any information because of lack of interest in the issue. Hypothesis five had assumed that, as with awareness, the proportion of those holding correct information would increase as the election date neared. not occur (see Table 11 and Figure 4). Once again, this did There is even less of a discernible pattern with the correctness of 1 2 3 4 5 ______ :Aware; Figure 4: information data. 6 7 8 9 10 Week ----- :Correct Information Awareness and Information by Week In fact, the level of correct information does not follow the pattern of awareness. The fact that this was a low interest election is spotlighted by the data. Few respondents were aware that the election had been called and fewer still could correctly identify who had called it, the issue to be decided and the amount of the millage being requested. It should be noted that the assumption of increasing awareness and information may not be valid. Similar analyses need to be undertaken in local media-rich areas and general election settings to determine if the assumption or the setting in this instance caused the failure of the 146 hypothesis to predict behavior. Hypothesis seven predicted that respondents living in the Owosso and Corunna school districts would receive their information regarding the election from the newspaper to a greater extent than respondents in the outlying dis­ tricts as the major local daily was based in Owosso. It was first necessary to identify those respondents who had heard anything about Area Vocational Technical Education "since last Monday" (see Table 12). The majority of the respondents (687,) had heard nothing about Area Vocational Technical Education recently. The sample is almost evenly split between Owosso-Corunna and the other six districts combined, however, a larger proportion of respondents in Owosso-Corunna (39%) had acquired information recently (others: 25%). This distribution is not statistically significant. TABLE 12 INFORMATION ACQUISITION BY SCHOOL DISTRICT "Heard anything since last Monday?" Yes No Total Row Percent School District Owosso-Corunna Others 21 (.60)* (.39)** 14 (.40) (.25) 33 (.45) (.61) 41 (.55) (.75) 54 (.50) 55 (.50) Column Percent Total 35 (.32) 74 (.68) 109 147 Table 13 presents the distribution of newspaper and non-newspaper sources by school district. The newspaper garnered the most number of mentions as the source of recent information regarding the issue. Respondents living in Owosso-Corunna were more likely to have heard about Area Vocational Technical Education from the newspaper (76.2%) than respondents living in the outlying districts, however the distribution is not significant. The main focus of the hypothesis was not the distribution but the proportion mentioning newspapers. The data show that 29.4% (16 of 54) of all respondents from Owosso-Corunna noted newspapers compared to 12.77o (7 of 55) of all respondents in the out­ lying districts. The difference was found to be statis­ tically significant (Z=2.169; p<.05). TABLE 13 SOURCE BY SCHOOL DISTRICT School District Source Newspaper Other Total Owosso-Corunna 16 (.76) 5 (.24) 21 (.60) Other Districts 7 (.50) 7 (.50) 14 (.40) Total 23 (.66) 12 (.34) 35 Owosso and Corunna are the two central school dis­ tricts in the county. They are also the two largest commu­ nities and are situated abutting each other. The local newspaper and radio outlets are located in Owosso. Given these facts, it was assumed that respondents in these two districts would differ in information acquisition from those in the outlying districts. The study found that respondents in Owosso-Corunna were more likely to have heard of Area Vocational Technical Education. The centrality of their location may have been the determining factor. They were geographically close to the source providing information regarding the election and thus were more likely to hear something about it. The data also show, as expected, that respondents in Owosso-Corunna were more likely to have received information from newspapers (76.27®) than respon­ dents in the other districts The lack of signif­ (507®) . icance here can be explained by a closer examination of Table 13. While for Owoss-Corunna, the distribution be ­ tween the two source categories is quite dramatic, for the outlying districts the distribution is identical to what one would have expected by chance. Given this fact, a signif­ icant chi-square was not possible. The trend toward greater use of newspapers by the two central districts is present in the data and the proportion mentioning newspapers is significantly greater, as stated in the hypothesis. It would seem then that proximity to the site of publication and information acquisition from the newspaper in an area such as Shiawassee County are related such that as proximity increased the likelihood of acquisition of information from that newspaper increased. 149 Favorability The next six hypotheses examined the effect of several variables on favorability towards the issue of Area Vocational Technical Education. with the age The first of these dealt of the respondent. It was predicted that a negative relationship would exist between these two var­ iables such that as age increased favorability would de­ crease. Such a relationship did exist in the data, however, the relationship was not significant (r=-.17688; t=1.5964; df=160; p < ,10). The presence or absence of children in the home has also been said to be a determining factor in the level of favorability toward school monetary issues. In the present case, fifty-two respondents had children residing with them and thirty did not. The mean favorability level for those families with children present in the home was 79.4615 (standard deviation: 29/0283) while the mean favor­ ability level for those respondents without children living in the home was 56.667 (standard deviation: 39.8993). The difference was highly significant (t=2.9376; df=80; p<.001) indicating that the presence of children in the home signif­ icantly affects favorability. Table 14 details mean favorability level by educa­ tional attainment. It was necessary to combine several of the education categories due to the extremely small number of respondents in the cel l s . Only one respondent indicated an eighth grade education or less. This person was added to 150 the some high school group and a new category, eleventh grade, was created. category, first to For the graduate work three respondents reported graduate degrees and two, graduate work. Therefore, these two categories were combined. TABLE 14 FAVORABILITY BY EDUCATION Education Level Favorability Mean Standard Deviation N** n* Firs t-Eleventh 50 .65 39 .803 20 28 High School Degree 76 .944 33 .569 18 24 Trade School 70 .000 31,.358 10 13 Some College 77 .105 30,,519 19 24 College Degree 85 .555 .683 20, 9 9 Graduate Work 99 .800 .442 5 5 *Number responding to favorability item. **Number in sample. Several factors need to be noted regarding these two variables. First, as education level increased the proportion responding to the favorability item grew from 71% for the least educated to 100%, for the most. Second, the variability of scores decreased as education level increased as can be seen in the decreasing size of the standard devi­ ation. Thirdly, except for one deviant case, the mean favorability level did increase as education increased as predicted. Difference of means t-tests were performed between each education level and the next lower. nificant and two were not. Two were sig­ The mean favorability level for those with a high school degree was significantly greater than the mean favorability level for those with less than a high school degree (t=2.1492; df=36; p<.05). The other significant difference was found at the opposite end of the education scale. Those with graduate work were signif­ icantly more favorable towards the issue than those with a college degree (t=1.94; df=12; p<.05). The two where no significance was found were between those with some college and those with high school degrees, and those with college degrees and those with some college. No t-test was per­ formed between high school degree and trade school as the mean favorability score for the lower educational attain­ ment was higher and thus not in the predicted direction. It was also predicted that favorability would in­ crease as income level increased. (see Table 15). This was not the case The relationship appears to be curvilinear with those earning less than $10,000 and those earning more than $30,000 being less favorable towards the issue. The only significant difference of means occured between those earning less than $10,000 a year and those earning between $10,000 and $20,000 a year with the mean of the latter group being significantly greater than the mean of the former (t=1.7366; df=32; p<.05). The other two comparisons were 152 not in the predicted direction, i.e., the mean favorability level decreased as income increased. TABLE 15 FAVORABILITY BY INCOME LEVEL Income Level Favorability Mean Standard Deviation n* Less than $10,000 62.307 34.5576 13 18 Between $10,000 and $20,000 82.149 24.8783 21 26 Between $20,000 and $30,000 72.885 36.6653 26 30 More than $30,000 68.167 37.5290 18 21 *Number responding to favorability item. **Number in sample. It had been predicted that as occupational status increased, favorability would increase significantly. was found to be partly the case (see Table 16). This The occu­ pational variable originally had five categories. The cate­ gory "farmer" was dropped from the analysis as there was only one respondent identifying herself as such. The m a n ­ ager and professional categories were combined due to the low number in each (four in the former and nine in the 31 latter). The two comparisons were not significant although the first, blue collar with white collar, approached signif­ icance (t=1.48; df=33; p < .10). The final favorability item examined that variable 153 TABLE 16 FAVORABILITY BY OCCUPATION Occupation Favorability Mean Standard Deviation N** n* Blue Collar 64.368 39.3604 19 25 White Collar 80.000 19.4963 16 19 Manager/Professional 81.077 29.6800 13 16 *Number responding to favorability item. **Number in sample. in light of a previous vote for a school millage. The hypo­ thesis predicted that those who had cast a previous vote in favor of a school millage would be more favorable towards the issue than someone who had cast a prior negative vote. The data support the contention. Thirty-nine respondents reported a previous positive vote on a school millage. Their mean favorability level on the current issue was 76.8947 (standard deviation: 30.9862). reported a prior negative vote. Seventeen respondents Their mean favorability level in the present case was 43.7059 (standard deviation: 40.3). The difference was highly significant (t=2.9479; df=54; p < .01). The researchers into school referenda voting corre­ lates have uncovered a variety of factors relating to the likelihood of a favorable vote. In some instances the results have been mixed with a characteristic being posi­ tively related to a favorable vote in some studies and in 154 others, negatively related. A variety of these factors were tested in Shiawassee County. Carter had found that the most favorable voter was under the age of fifty-one 32 , while Hamilton and Cohen re- ported that support decreased as age increased. 33 This trend was present in the Shiawassee County data. Eighty- one respondents provided answers to both ite m s . Overall mean age was 44.07 years while mean favorability was 71.96. The Pearson product moment correlation between the two was negative indicating an inverse relationship between the two however the result was not significant. This study did not compare age with a favorable vote but rather with a selfreport of the likelihood of casting a favorable vote. It is possible that were age compared to vote in the present study, a significant relationship would be found. This, in fact, did not occur as shall be seen shortly. Carter had also found that parents with children in school were most supportive of school referenda. and Cohen found parents to be more supportive 35 34 Hamilton , as did Kowalski, who determined that those with children in the public schools in grades ten and under would be more sup­ portive than non-parents or parents with no children in O fi school. This finding was tested in Shiawassee County and was found to be true. The mean favorability level of those with children present in the home was almost 23 points higher than the mean for those without children present in the h o m e . It would appear that parents form a special interest group 155 when it comes to schools such that they register support for the schools across a wide variety of financial issues, including, in the present case, an increase in property assessment to cover the cost of building and maintaining a centralized center for the vocational and technical edu­ cation of high school students. Hamilton and Cohen had found that the highly educated were more supportive of school referenda. and Bass supported this view. 38 37 Alexander It was hypothesized for this study, then, that favorability would increase as level of education increased. Favorability towards the issue did increase with one notable exception. Those completing trade school after high school were less favorable towards the issue than those with a high school degree. be situation-specific. This may The millage request was for funds to construct and maintain a centralized vocational technical center for high school students. It is possible that those who gained their technical skills in a trade school setting may be opposed to this type of education on the high school level, believing that a trade school is the more appropriate place for such training. Given the results of the study, it can be said that increased education is related to increased favorability. Even though several of the relationships were not significant, the limited size of the sample may have influenced th i s , the trends in the data point to the validity of such a claim. Several studies had also examined the relationship of 156 income to favorability towards the school referenda. Hamilton and Cohen found that respondents in the upper in­ come brackets were twice as supportive as those in lower brackets . ^ Alexander and Bass support this finding. Wilson and Banfeild, however, voters found that middle income (homeowners) were much more likely to vote against school proposals than the very poor or the very rich. 41 The results in Shiawassee County do not follow either of these patterns. In the present situation, those earning the least and those earning the most were both less fa­ vorable towards the issue than respondents in the middle two income brackets. Those earning less than $10,000 a year were, for the most part, older and retired, living on fixed incomes. Their opposition to the issue may have been related to this fact. It may be their age and life situation as much as their income that led to the low mean favorability rating. Those respondents who were more affluent yet not favorably inclined are more difficult to explain. Once again, however, it may not be income level but rather other factors that are reflected in the lower mean. Few of the respondents were located in the managerial and professional categories. This means that some of those located in the blue and white collar categories may be included in the upper income bracket. These job categories are, tra­ ditionally, much less inclined to vote in favor of school referenda. This being the case, it is possible that the presence of these respondents in the upper income category 157 lowered the mean favorability level for that income level. Another possible explanation for the lower mean favor­ ability level for the upper income group has to do with the specific issue being considered. They may believe that money should be spent on the schools but not for vocational education. This would lead to an unfavorable rating. This explanation is not as plausible, however, as the occupationincome relationship, as will be seen. Researchers have found that favorability towards school monetary issues is related to occupational status. The results, however, have not been consistent. Carter, on the one hand, found that the most favorable voter had an occupation as a skilled worker or in clerical and sales areas while the most unfavorable voter had a professional or technical occupation. 42 Hamilton and Cohen, on the other hand, found that professionals were more favorably inclined than businessmen and far more supportive than those in 43 manual occupations. Alexander and Bass found that mana­ gerial and professional occupations were associated with greater election support 44 while Kowalski ranked occupations from most to least favorable: professional, managerial, white collar, manual and farmer. 45 The data from Shiawassee County support the latter researchers. Those employed in professional/managerial positions were most favorable to­ wards the issue followed closely by white collar and distantly by blue collar. The difference in means of the blue and white collar categories was significant, however 158 that between the white collar and professional/managerial was not. This second relationship may have been influenced by the fact that the professional and managerial categories had been combined due to the limited number of respondents in each. If this combining had not taken place the results would have been different. The mean favorability level for the manager category was only 58.75, considerably lower than the white collar mean of 80.0. However, only four respondents fell into the managerial category making the result less stable than for the other categories. The mean favorability level for the professional category was 91.0, substantially higher than the mean of the managerial category. While the results as presented in Table 16 appear to support the work of Kowalski, Hamilton and Cohen and Alexander and B a s s , there is some question as to whether this would indeed be the case given a larger sample. It could also be that the Shiawassee County results as they relate to the managerial class are deviant. The final favorability item examined was the rela­ tionship between a past favorable vote in a school millage election and the likelihood of a favorable vote in the present situation. Kowalski had found that past voting record was a prime determinant of a future vote. wassee County data support this contention. 46 Shia­ Those who r e ­ ported a prior positive vote on a millage had a mean favorability level 33 points higher than those reporting a 159 past negative vote. It would seem that those who are supportive of the schools are supportive regardless of issue. This needs future testing, however. Profiles of the most favorable and least favorable voters can be drawn from the Shiawassee County data. The most favorable voter is young, has children living in the home, has at least a college degree, has an income of between $10,000 and $20,000 a year, has a professional occupation and has cast a positive vote on a school millage issue in the past. The least favorable voter is older, has no children living in the h o m e , has not completed high school, earns less than $10,000 a year, is employed in a blue collar occupation and has voted against a school millage in the past. Alienation The most surprising finding in this study was the limited role that alienation played in the determination of either the likelihood of a favorable vote or in the selfreport of the actual vote. Alienation was defined as a combination of the scores on trust in government and polit­ ical efficacy. This dual dimension had been proposed by 48 49 50 , Thompson and Horton , Stokes , Aberbach , SI 52 Milbrath and Goel , and Finifter. Sufficient research Olsen 47 support seemed to be present to permit the definition of alienation in the present study as trust and efficacy. Alienation had been proposed as relating to voting 160 in known ways. Several researchers, including Nettler, Levin and Eden, Campbell, Kraus and Davis, Dean, and Erbe, found that the alienated withdraw from political partici53 pation, including voting. McDill and Ridley found that the alienated, favor. 54 if they vote, are less likely to vote in Hamilton found that those low on political effi- cacy are less likely to vote. 55 Aberbach and Walker found that the distrustful citizen was likely to cast a protest vote. 56 Feelings of distrust and inefficacy, according to Horton and Thompson, lead to negative voting"*^ while Seeman reports similar behavior. 58 Studies specific to school referenda have reached similar conclusions. Thompson and Horton and Piele and Hall both determined that the alienated are less likely to vote but, if they vote, are much more likely to register a negative vote. 59 The work of Hamilton and Cohen, Carter, and Giles, Gatlin and Cataldo also support this v i e w . ^ Given the extensive body of research supporting the importance of alienation, and supporting the defining of alienation as trust in government and political efficacy, alienation was proposed as a significant negative factor in both favorability towards the issue and a favorable vote. In both cases, however, alienation was found to have little if any influence. The final two hypotheses, then, examined the impact of alienation on favorability and voting. The first pr o ­ posed that alienation would be an independent predictor of 161 favorability towards the issue. This was not the case although alienation was negatively related to favorability and the multiple regression analysis performed to test the hypothesis was significant. Table 17 presents the correlation matrix for the nine variables involved. Four of the variables were nega­ tively related to favorability. The data show that as alienation and age increase, favorability decreases. The weak negative correlations between favorability and p re­ sence of children in the home and home ownership point to a tendency among the sample for homeowners and those with children in the home to be less favorable towards the issue. The strongest remaining correlations with favorability were someone in the household having taken vocational education and sex. Additionally, sex is strongly associated with vocational education while children in the home is related to age and working in the county (negative). The matrix shows that no problem with multicolinearity exists in the data, the largest correlation being .52010 between sex and having taken vocational education. Table 18 presents the beta weights for the variables involved in the regression. The best predictor of favora­ bility was someone in the household having taken vocational education with a beta of .5161 (p<.003) when all other variables were controlled. Income is the only other posi­ tive beta in the equation, with a weak, nonsignificant relationship. All other variables register negative TABLE 17 CORRELATION MATRIX Favorability Alienation Children in Home Vocational Own Education Home Work in County Income Age Alienation -.05463 Children in Home -.04819 .07896 .45764 -.04450 .20549 -.12105 .05335 .03078 .14827 .08008 -.05870 -.26835 -.05257 -.16523 Income -.00751 .08804 -.15334 -.13745 -.01934 -.00244 Age -.31363 .10648 .31184 -.23611 -.14427 -.13753 .04754 Sex .25835 -.15370 .14862 .52010 -.21049 -.17381 .21594 -.1013 Vocational Education Own Home Work in County 163 relationships, however none are significant. It had been hypothesized that alienation would be a significant inde­ pendent predictor of favorability as evidenced by a signif­ icant beta. The data show this was not the case. TABLE 18 BETAS FOR REGRESSIONAL ANALYSIS Variable B Vocational Education Beta Standard Error of B F Sig.* 36.6254 .5162 11.4403 10.2492 .003 -17.0199 -.2614 9.3156 3.3381 .075 Age -1.1859 -.2373 .7317 2.6270 .112 Sex -12.0368 -.1133 17.8721 .4536 .504 Children at Home -9.5189 -.0671 20.3512 .2188 .642 Work in County -6.0103 -.0569 14.6105 .1692 .683 Income 2.2808 .0480 6.1068 .1395 .711 Alienation -.1637 -.0121 1.7448 .0088 .926 56.6545 9.2929 .004 Own Home Constant 172.7077 *Significance Level The prediction equation, however, is significant (see Table 20). The eight independent variables explain 31.6% of the variance in favorability (F=2.478; df=8 ; p<.026). R The variable contributing the greatest change in was vocational education (.20762) followed by age (.05164) and home ownership (.03350) (see Table 19). TABLE 19 SUMMARY TABLE Variable F to Enter or Remove Sig* Multiple R R Square R Square Change Simple R Alienation .0088 .926 .0546 .0029 .0029 -.0546 Vocational Education 10.2492 .003 .4589 .2106 .2076 .4575 Work in County .1692 .683 .4619 .2133 .0027 .0301 Income .1395 .711 .4678 .2188 .0055 .0075 Own Home 3.3381 .075 .5024 .2523 .0335 -.1211 Age 2.6270 .112 .5514 .3040 .0516 -.3136 Children in Home .2188 .642 .5553 .3083 .0043 -.0482 Sex .4536 .504 .5617 .3155 .0072 .2584 Overall F: Significance: *Significance. 2.478 .026 165 TABLE 20 REGRESSION SUMMARY TABLE Multiple R Standard Deviation .56174 66.38105 R Square .31555 Analysis of Variance Regression Residual DF Sum of Squares Mean Squares 8 87353.197 10919.149 43 189477.111 4406.444 F s* 2.478 .026 *Significance. The multiple regression analysis, performed to deter­ mine the role of alienation in the likelihood of casting a favorable v o t e , had mixed r e s u l t s . Alienation was nega­ tively correlated with favorability, as expected, as well as with vocational education, working in the county and sex. The strongest correlation was with sex followed by age and income. Alienation was only fifth in strength of its corre­ lation with favorability. The regression discovered that alienation was the weakest predictor of favorability with a beta of only -.0121, compared to .5162 for vocational education, the best predictor of the dependent variable. The only portion of the hypothesis that found support was that alienation would be negatively related to favorability. The fact that someone in the household having taken 166 vocational education was the best predictor of favorability towards a millage for a centralized Area Vocational Tech­ nical Center is not surprising. Someone who had experienced this type of educational training would be most favorably inclined to its continuation and expansion. The finding that home ownership is negatively related to favorability 61 supports the work of Wilson and Banfield. The negative relationship of age to favorability was also expected. The negative beta for sex indicates that women were more favorable towards the issue as were those who work outside the county which is also negatively related to the dependent variable. The last is not surprising as many of the technical jobs held by respondents were located outside the county. The positive beta for income was expected however the negative beta for children in the home was not. The final items seems to say that those the home are more with no children in favorable towards the issue. No support for this is found in the literature. The eight variables included in the regression explain approximately 327. of the variance in favorability. While this finding is significant, much of the variability in the dependent variable remains unexplained by the equa­ tion. With so much of the variance left unexplained, the likelihood of predicting whether an individual would be favorable towards the millage issue based on knowledge of their scores on the independent variables is small. A discriminant analysis was performed to test the 167 final hypothesis that alienation would be a significant negative factor in a favorable vote for the millage. Fifty-two respondents reported their votes in the June 11 election. Of those, forty-two reported voting for and ten, voting against, the millage. Table 21 reports means and standard deviations for the two groups and for the sample as a whole. Both groups score relatively high on alien­ ation, which had an upward limit of thirty-one, and are almost equally alienated (difference of means: .08). Group one, the group reporting a yes vote in the election had a mean favorability level of one hundred group had a ninety-two, while the no indicating little difference between the two groups on a pre-election report of likelihood of voting in favor of the issue. Members of group one are more likely to work in Shiawassee County, be older, have a higher income and be male. Members of group two are more likely to own their own homes and to have taken, or had someone in their family take, a vocational education class. Table 22 presents the standardized discriminant function coefficients. As there were only two groups, only one function was determined. The variable sex represents the largest contribution, albeit a negative one, to the function. It contributes most to the differentiation of the two groups along the dimension. Someone in the home having taken vocational education ranks second, followed by the age of the respondent (negative) and likelihood of a favorable vote (negative). Of the nine variables, 168 TABLE 21 MEANS AND STANDARD DEVIATIONS FOR VOTING GROUPS Variable Group I-"Yes" Mean S .D .* Group II-"No" Mean S .D . Mean 22.38 5.74 22.30 4.35 22.37 5.76 1.38 5.39 1.20 .42 1.35 .52 100.00 81.68 92.00 17.51 98.62 73.68 .48 .99 .70 1.25 .52 1.04 1.02 .99 1.50 1.58 1.12 1.13 .45 .74 .40 .52 .44 .70 44.95 15.75 38.90 8.25 43.79 14.74 Income .86 1.70 .50 .53 .79 1.55 Sex .45 .74 .20 .42 .40 .69 Alienation Children in Home Favorable Vote Vocational Education Own Home Work in County Age *Standard Deviation. TABLE 22 STANDARDIZED DISCRIMINANT FUNCTION COEFFICIENTS Variable Coefficient Alienation -.0478 Children in Home -.3927 Favorable Vote -.4475 Vocational Education .8001 Own Home -.0073 Work in County -.3685 Age -.5483 Income -.2828 Sex -.8784 Total S .D . 169 alienation ranks eighth in relative importance. Only 13.8% of the variance in the function is explained by the two groups (see Table 23). The nine var­ iables produced a small degree of discrimination between the two groups as indicated by the large lambda and small canonical correlation for the function. TABLE 23 DISCRIMINANT ANALYSIS SUMMARY TABLE Eigenvalue Canonical Correlation .1597 .3711 Percent of Total 100 Wilks Lambda ChiSquare DF Sig .8623 6.7405 9 .664 In spite of the nonsignificant result, the function does classify a significant percent of the fifty-two known cases correctly (see Table 24). TABLE 24 DISCRIMINANT ANALYSIS PREDICTION RESULTS Actual Group Predicted Group Membership Yes Voters No Voters N Yes Voters 28 (66.7%) 14 (33.3%) 42 No Voters 4 (40.0%) 6 (60.0%) 10 Chi-Square=4.923; df=l; p=.027 170 Sixty-five percent (65.4%) of the known cases were classified correctly. A slightly greater percent were classified correctly for the group of yes voters than for the group of no v o t e r s . In the discriminant analysis performed to determine if alienation was a significant factor in a favorable vote for the millage, this was found not to be the case. nine variables included in the analysis, Of the the largest contri­ bution to the function is supplied by the variable sex. Group o n e , the yes v o t e r s , contains many more males and it is this group that reported a favorable vote on the issue. Sex of the respondent, then, is the best discriminator for favorable or unfavorable votes on the issue. Someone in the household having taken vocational education is the second best discriminator with those who have been exposed to vocational education in this way the most likely to vote in favor of the millage. The remaining variables, in de­ scending order of their importance as discriminators, are: age, likelihood of a favorable vote, children in the home, work in the county, income, alienation and home ownership. Alienation, then, is not important as a discriminator of persons on the favorable vote dimension. The data also show that the likelihood of a favorable vote prior to the elec­ tion is not a good discriminator of actual vote on the issue. The nine variables included in the analysis do not do very well in explaining the function. The results of 171 the analysis were not statistically significant. Other factors would have to be considered in the Shiawassee study to determine the vote function. The function, ho w ­ ever, does well in predicting group membership. It is slightly better at predicting membership in group one, the yes vote g r o u p , than for the no vote gro u p . Alienation, then, was not a significant factor in either of these two analyses. explanations for this finding. There are several possible First, much of the research into alienation was accomplished using general election data. A low interest, low information election may not resemble a general election to a great enough degree for the findings of the latter to apply in the former. Second, the research into school referenda and alienation relied upon the generic trust in government and political efficacy statements. This study used situation-specific items. It is possible that alienates on the specific statements do not behave as alienates on the generic. The research, then, would not be a good predictor of behavior in the present case. Thirdly, as has been mentioned previously, Shiawassee County may be a deviant case. Identical research in another setting may provide completely different results and may find that alienation, as defined herein, does signif­ icantly relate to both the likelihood of a favorable vote and the actuality of such a vote. 172 "Source of Information" Types Information about the millage election was dis­ tributed to voters through newspaper articles, radio news programs, meetings, posters and brochures. Additionally, information was received by voters through conversations with friends. It was predicted that differences would exist between source types--respondents who gained information from the various sources. Two types of analysis were pe r ­ formed to determine if this was the case. First, source types were compared on a variety of variables under study. No attempt was made to identify a respondent as relying on only one source. The respondent was included in the pr o ­ file of each source mentioned. Second, respondents were assigned uniquely to one category depending on the type of source mentioned: mass media only (newspapers, radio); personal only (friend, meeting); quasi-mass only (brochure, poster); mass and quasi-mass media; mass media and personal; and, mass, quasi-mass and personal sources. Source Profiles Table 25 presents the source of information by efficacy-trust group. information sources. Differences do exist between the six Newspaper readers are more likely to fall into the high efficacy-high trust group as do those who report getting information from friends and m e e t i n g s . Those receiving information from brochures are more likely to fall into the high efficacy-low trust group, while those 173 using radio, the low efficacy-low trust group. As only two respondents mentioned posters, it is difficult to note a trend. TABLE 25 SOURCE OF INFORMATION BY GROUP Source Group I Newspapers 10 (43.5) Radio 2 (28.6) Brochure 2 (2 2 .2) 4 (44.4) 0 1 (50.0) Poster Friends 8 (72.7) Meeting 4 (57.1) Group Group Group Group I: II: III: IV: Group III Group IV 2 (8 .2) 3 (13.0) 8 (34.8) 23 0 1 (14.3) 4 (57.1) 7 0 3 (33.3) 9 0 1 (50.0) 2 0 3 (27.3) 11 0 2 (28.2) 7 Group II 0 1 (14.3) N High Efficacy-High Trust High Efficacy-Low Trust Low Efficacy-High Trust Low Efficacy-Low Trust Awareness and levels of correct information also vary between the source groups (see Table 26). The highest levels of awareness are in the groups getting information from friends and meetings 62 , while the lowest level of awareness is found among those receiving information from radio. The highest level of correct information is found among those receiving information regarding Area Vocational 174 Technical Education at a meeting followed by brochures and newspapers. TABLE 26 AWARENESS AND INFORMATION BY SOURCE Source Awareness Number of Items Correct 3 2 1 0 Newspaper 18 a (78.3) 6 b 7 (33.3) (38.9) Radio 5 (71.4) 1 2 (2 0 .0) (40.0) Brochure 7 (77.8) 4 (57.1) Poster 2 (1 0 0 .0) 2 (1 0 0 .0 ) 0 Friend 10 (90.9) 3 (30.0) 4 (40.0) Meeting 7 (1 0 0 .0) 5 (71.4) 1 (14.3) 2 (28.6) 3 (16.7) 0 2 (1 1 .1) 23 2 (2 0 .0) 7 1 (14.3) 0 0 9 0 2 2 1 (2 0 .0) (1 0 .0) 0 N 11 1 (14.3) aPercent of N aware. ^Percent of aware holding that level of correct information. Differences also exist among the groups on atten­ tiveness to local media (see Table 27). Those receiving information from radio and newspapers are most likely to read the Argus Press while those hearing about the issue on radio are most likely to listen to WOAP, the local radio outlet. Those receiving information from personal sources are least likely to read the newspaper while those using a brochure for information are least likely to listen. 7 175 TABLE 27 LOCAL MEDIA USE BY SOURCE Source Read Argus Press Newspaper Listen to WOAP N 19 4 23 Radio 6 3 7 Brochure 6 1 7 Poster 1 0 2 Friend 6 2 11 Meeting 4 2 7 Those who had heard of the issue at a meeting were most favorably inclined with five of seven indicating a 100% likelihood of voting : in favor of the millage and a mean favorability level of 84.25. The least favorable group was that group receiving information from newspapers with only eight of the twenty-three reporting a 100% likelihood of a favorable vote and a mean of 57.95. The mean favorability levels of the radio and friends groups were almost equal (radio: 76.77; friend: 73.77) while the mean for the bro­ chure group was considerably less (67.14). Table 28 compares source group and school district. Those receiving information from newspapers are found pri­ marily in Owosso and Corunna, radio listeners in Durand and Owosso. Owosso contains the most brochure readers and the largest percentage of those gaining information from friends. 176 TABLE 28 SOURCE BY SCHOOL DISTRICT Source Newspaper Radio Brochure Poster District Morrice N Corunna Durand 7 (30.4) 5 (21.7) 1 (4.4) 9 (39.1) 1 (4.4) 23 0 3 (42.9) 0 3 (42.9) 1 (14.3) 7 2 (2 2 .2) 2 (2 2 .2) 1 (1 1 .1) 4 (44.4) 0 9 0 0 1 (50.0) 1 (50.0) 0 2 Friend 2 (18.2) 3 (27.3) Meeting 2 (28.6) 1 (14.3) 0 1 (14.3) Owosso Perry 4 (36.4) 2 (18.2) 11 2 (28.6) 1 (14.3) 7 Tables 29 and 30 present the delineation of source type by various demographic variables. The majority of respondents in each group own their own homes. Few respon­ dents or their children have ever taken a vocational edu­ cation class in high school. There is variance between the groups on the presence of children in the home with those getting information from meetings being most likely and those hearing about the issue on radio least likely to have children living in the home. Differences exist as well between the groups on economic variables. Full-time employment ranges from 71.4% for meetings to 47.8% for newspapers. The majority of workers in each group are employed in the county. The 177 TABLE 29 SOURCE BY HOME OWNERSHIP, VOCATIONAL EDUCATION AND CHILDREN AT HOME Source Home Ownership Newspaper Radio Taken Vocational Education Children at Home N 20 (87.0) 6 (26.1) 11 (47.8) 23 7 (1 0 0 .0) 1 (14.3) 3 (42.9) 7 Brochure 7 (77.8) 0 4 (44.4) 9 Poster 1 (50.0) 0 1 (50.0) 2 Friend 10 (90.9) 1 (9.1) 7 (63.6) 11 Meeting 5 (71.4) 1 (14.3) 6 (85.7) 7 highest reported income was found among those who received information at meetings while the lowest income levels were noted among those getting information from newspapers and friends. Those attending meetings are the best educated group while those using radio, friends and newspapers have the lowest levels of educational attainment. Those getting information from a brochure or a meeting are the youngest and those using radio, the oldest. Finally women are the majority in each group, however, men are more likely to be present in the groups reporting information from newspapers and at meetings. 178 TABLE 30 SOURCE BY DEMOGRAPHIC VARIABLES Variable NP (23) Rad. (7) Source Broc, Post. (9) (2) Frie. (11) Meet. (7) Employment Full Time 11 4 6 2 6 5 Part Time 3 0 1 0 1 1 In County 12 3 5 2 5 4 Income <$10,000 5 1 2 0 1 0 $10-20,000 6 2 2 1 4 1 $20-30,000 5 3 1 1 3 3 >$30,000 6 1 3 0 2 3 6 2 0 0 3 0 High School/ Trade School 8 4 4 1 2 1 Some College 4 0 3 1 3 3 College Degree 2 0 2 0 0 1 Graduate Work 4 1 0 0 3 2 Education Grades 1-11 Mean Age Sex Male Female 48.0 49.0 39.7 50.5 45.7 40.0 9 2 2 1 3 3 14 5 7 1 8 4 NP=Newspaper; Rad=Radio; Broc=Brochure; Post=Poster; Frie=Friend; Meet=Meeting 179 The differences between the source of information types points to specific differences between the sources themselves. As demonstrated by Table 26, information received from radio is fleeting. Of all the types, this group had the lowest level of awareness and for those aware, the lowest level of correct information. Information from friends, being word of mouth, has a tendency to be at least partially incorrect. Those sources where the greatest attention must be paid have the highest levels of correct information: meetings, brochures and, to a lesser extent, newspapers. The data on local media use point out the limited readership of the Argus Press and, likewise, the limited listenership of WOAP. Respondents not receiving infor­ mation from one of these two sources are not likely even to attend to them. The two local media, then, do not seem to hold the attention of the community at large. Personal contact seems to relate to favorability towards the issue. Those most favorable received infor­ mation from meetings and to a lesser extent from friends. This group is also most likely to be found in the least alienated group, those high on both trust in government and political efficacy (see Table 25). They are also most likely to hold correct levels of information among groups with more than two respondents (see Table 26). 180 Profiles of Source Types Previous research into media use had found that those using different types of media as sources of infor63 mation differed from others in unique w a y s . This is substantiated in the present study. Profiles developed for each source type show that differences do exist. Twenty-three respondents indicated they had heard about Area Vocational Technical Education from the news­ paper. This group is fairly evenly split between the high efficacy-high trust (43.5%) and the low efficacy-low trust (34.87,) groups (see Table 25). The Newspaper-type was more likely than not to be aware than an election had been called, however several other types were more likely to be aware than this type (see Table 26). Level of correct information is also quite high among this group with 56.5% of the group providing two or three correct responses. As expected, the Newspaper-type is more likely than not to read the Owosso Argus-Press (only one group exceeds its readership level) but is not likely to listen to WOAP, the local radio outlet (see Table 27). The Newspaper-type is not favorably inclined towards the issue with a mean favor­ ability level of only 57.95, the lowest of the six types. Thys type is most likely to live in Owosso or Corunna, with 69.5% of the group residing in these two communities, and to own their own h o m e s . They are less likely to be employed full time but more likely to work on a part time basis, and generally to work in the county. They are spread fairly 181 evenly across all income grou p s . Of all source types, the Newspaper-type is more likely to have attended trade school and to have taken, or had someone in the family take, a vocational education class in high school. Finally, the type is most likely to be in her late forties and to be female. The Radio-type, even though it is a mass media type, shows some definite differences. This type is more likely to be found in the low trust-low efficacy group (57.17o). While its awareness level is high (71.4%), this type is most likely to have incorrect information with 407, having no correct information and only 207o getting all three items right. The Radio-type reads the local newspaper but, while the proportion is the greatest, less than 507. of this type report listening to the local radio outlet, W O A P . It seems likely, however, that they do listen to WOAP but do not consider it a station that they listen to regularly. This type is likely to favor the millage (mean: 76.67), even though they have little-to-no personal experience with voca­ tional education either in high school or trade school. The Radio-type owns his own home either in Durand or Owosso and may or may not have children living at home. This type has little-to-no education past high school with one each having attended trade school and having a graduate degree. The Radio-Type is more likely to be employed full-time in the county, to be middle aged (mean: 49), to make more than $20,000 a year in total household income and to be female. 182 The third source type got information from a flyer or brochure. The Brochure-type is more likely to be low in trust in government with 44.4% scoring low in trust and high in efficacy and 33.3% rating low in trust and low in efficacy. The Brochure-type was aware that an election had been called and had a high level of correct information (three correct: 57.1%; two correct: 28.6%). This type reads the Argus Press (66.7%) but does not listen to WOAP (11.1%). This type is not very favorable towards the issue (mean: 67.14) possibly because no one had had personal or family experience with vocational education in high school although 2 2 .2%, had attended trade school upon completion of high school. (55.6%,). They are also more likely to have attended college The Brochure-type is most likely to own a home in Owosso and to work full time in Shiawassee County, but is less likely to have children living in the home. The Brochure-type, finally, is most likely to be in the late thirties and to be female. The fourth type is an interpersonal type, getting information about Area Vocational Technical Education from friends. This Friend-type is most likely to be high in both trust in government and political efficacy (72.7%) and to be aware than an election had been called (90.9%). The type is more likely than not to have some correct information about the issue (two or three correct: 70%). The Friend- type is fairly favorable towards the issue and attends to the local paper (54.6%.) but not to the local radio outlet (18%.). 183 This type owns a home and is more likely to live in Owosso or Durand (63.3%). The type is fairly well-educated (54.67* with at least some college; 18.2% with graduate degrees) and is more likely than not to be employed full time in Shia­ wassee County. The Friend-type is not characterized by having taken, or had someone in the family take, a voca­ tional education class in high school. This type is more likely to be in the mid-forties, have children living at home and to be female. The fifth source type got information ragarding Area Vocational Technical Education at a meeting. The Meeting- type tends to be high on both trust in government and polit­ ical efficacy although a substantial minority is low in both. This type is aware that an election had been called and is most likely to hold correct information concerning the issue. The type is also most likely to be favorable towards the issue (mean: 84.25). The Meeting-type reads the Owosso Argus Press and is more likely than all but the Radio-Type to listen to WOAP. This tyne is spread through­ out the county although they are slightly more likely to live in Owosso and Corunna. The Meeting-type is a homeowner who works full time in Shiawassee County and has children living at h o m e . This type tends to be fairly highly educated (85.7% with at least some college) but to have little personal contact with vocational education in high school. The Meeting-type is approximately forty years of age, earns a total household income of more than $20,000 a 184 year and can be either male or female. The final type received information about the issue from a poster. As there were only two respondents in this category, the determination of a profile is difficult. ever, several characteristics can be noted. low in trust in government, Ho w ­ The type is found in the low trust-high efficacy and low trust-low efficacy groups. As a type, they are aware of the election and hold correct information con­ cerning the issue. The Poster-type is employed full-time in the county, has a medium range income and is approximately fifty years of age. Unique Source Types Six unique source types were identified: personal sources only (n=5), quasi-mass only (n=2), mass media only (n=12), mass and quasi-mass (n=5), personal and mass and a group using all three (n=2). (n=8) , Differences exist b e ­ tween these six groups on a number of items. Table 31 presents the comparison of source type by alienation categories. Those mentioning only personal sources all fall into the high efficacy-high trust group. This is the only source group where this pattern occu r s . The other source types are spread across alienation groups. Users of mass media are evenly distributed in three of the groups while users of quasi-mass, mass-personal and massquasi-mass-personal are each evenly divided between two groups. Only the mass-quasi-mass group differs with two 185 respondents each in the high trust-high efficacy and high trust-low efficacy groups and one in the low efficacy-low trust group. TABLE 31 SOURCE TYPE BY ALIENATION GROUP Source Group I Alienation Group II Group III N Group IV Personal 5 0 0 0 5 Quasi-mass 0 1 0 1 2 Mass Media 4 0 4 4 12 Mass-Quasi-mass 2 2 0 1 5 Mass-Personal 4 0 0 4 8 Mass-PersonalQuasi-mass 0 1 0 1 2 Group Group Group Group I: II: III: IV: High Efficacy-High Trust High Efficacy-Low Trust Low Efficacy-High Trust Low Efficacy-Low Trust Differing levels of awareness and correctness of information also occur among the types (see Table 32) . Th( highest level of awareness is found among that group using both mass and personal sources.^ The highest level of correct information was found among those receiving infor­ mation from personal s o u r c e s . ^ Mean favorability levels also vary from a high of 93.75 for those reporting infor­ mation from personal sources to 57.5 for those indicating both mass and quasi-mass sources of information. 66 186 TABLE 32 AWARENESS AND INFORMATION BY SOURCE Source Awareness Number of Items Correct 2 3 1 0 N Personal 4 3 0 1 0 5 Quasi-mass 1 1 1 0 0 2 Mass Media 7 1 3 1 2 12 Mass-Ouasi-mass 4 1 2 1 0 5 Mass-Personal 8 2 3 1 2 8 Mass-PersonalQuasi-mass 2 2 0 0 0 2 Table 33 presents the data on local media use by source type. The highest level of readership was found among those groups reporting having; "heard" about the issu< from the newspaper while the highest level of listenership was among those reporting personal sources. TABLE 33 SOURCE TYPE BY LOCAL MEDIA USE Source Read Argus Press Listen to WOAP N Personal 1 2 5 Quasi-mass 1 0 2 Mass Media 10 3 12 Mass-Quasi-mass 4 1 5 Mas s-Personal 5 1 8 Mass-PersonalQuasi-mass 1 0 2 Source types are not distinguishable by school districts (see Table 34). Demographic differences exist, however (see Tables 35 to 37). spread across the groups. Home ownership was wid e ­ Few respondents had taken or had children who had taken vocational education in high school. Only two source categories have direct experience with vocational education (mass and mass-personal). Those indi­ cating information from mass and mass-quasi-mass sources are less likely to have children present in the home. TABLE 34 SOURCE TYPE BY SCHOOL DISTRICT Source Corunna Durand District Morrice N Owosso Perry Personal 1 1 0 1 2 5 Quasi-mass 0 1 0 1 0 2 Mass Media 3 3 1 4 1 12 Mass-Ouasi-mass 2 1 0 2 0 5 Mass-Personal 2 2 0 3 1 8 Mass-PersonalQuasi-mass 0 0 1 1 0 2 Those reporting mass- personal sources have the highest levels of educational attainment while those mentioning only mass m e d i a , the lowest. The mass media group has the highest mean age (52.16) and quasi-mass, the lowest (27). Examination of the groups by sex reveals that two groups are predominantly female (personal: 80%; 188 mass-quasi-mass: 1007o) while the remainder each contain half males and half females. Those reporting information from media sources are least likely to be employed full­ time but are most likely to work in Shiawassee County. Finally, those reporting information from mass and personal sources report the highest levels of income while those indicating mass media only, the lowest. TABLE 35 SOURCE BY HOME OWNERSHIP, VOCATIONAL EDUCATION AND CHILDREN IN HOME Source Home Ownership Taken Vocational Education Children In Home N Personal 4 0 4 5 Quasi-mass 2 0 1 2 Mass Media 11 4 5 12 Mass-Quasimass 4 0 2 5 Mass-Personal 7 2 6 8 Mass-PersonalQuasi-mass 1 0 1 2 TABLE 36 SOURCE BY AGE AND SEX Mean Age Per (5) Ouas '(2) Source Mass MasOua (12) (5) 40.0 27.0 52.2 40.4 MasPer (8) 44.3 MQP (2) 50.5 Male 1 1 6 0 4 1 Female 4 1 6 5 4 1 TABLE 37 SOURCE BY EDUCATION, EMPLOYMENT AND INCOME Source Variable p Pera (12) Quas^ (2) Mass0 (12) 1 0 4 0 2 0 High School/ Trade School 1 1 7 2 1 2 Some College 2 0 0 2 1 0 College Degree 1 1 1 1 0 0 Graduate Work 0 0 0 0 4 0 Employment Full-Time 3 1 4 2 5 2 Part-Time 1 0 2 1 0 0 In County 2 1 5 2 4 2 0 0 3 2 0 0 $10-20,000 1 1 4 0 2 1 $20-30,000 1 0 4 0 3 1 >$30,000 2 1 1 2 3 0 Education Grades 1-11 Income <$10,000 MasQua^ (5) MasPer (8) MQPf (2) aPersonal; ^Quasi-mass; cMass Media; ^ass-Quasi-mass; eMass-Personal; ^Mass-PersonalQuasi-mass 190 Profiles of Source Category Types Profiles were developed for each unique group. The first type reported getting information about Area Voca­ tional Technical Education from personal sources, defined as at a meeting or from a friend. All five respondents in this grouping are high on political efficacy and trust in government, a direct contradiction of the proposed model. The Personal-type is aware that an election has been called, holds correct information regarding the issue and is most likely to vote in favor of the m i l l a g e . read the local newspaper but is to WOAP. This type does somewhat not inclined to listen The Personal-type is a homeowner with children living at h o m e . He or she has had no personal experience with vocational education and is more likely than not to have attended college. The type is employed either full or part-time, but not necessarily in Shiawassee County, and earns more than $20,000 a year in total household income. The Personal-type is approximately forty years old and is much more likely to be female than male. The Mass Media-type is not characterized by a single alienation category, being evenly divided among the high trust-high efficacy, high trust-low efficacy and low trustlow efficacy groups. This type is only slightly more likely to be aware of the election than unaware and is not very likely to hold correct information regarding the issue or to be favorably inclined towards it. The Mass Media-type reads the local newspaper but tends not to listen to the 191 local radio outl e t . They tend to own their own homes but not to have children living in those homes. Of all types, they have the greatest tendency to have taken, or had some­ one in the family take, a vocational education class in high school. They tend to be less educated than the other types with only 8.3% having attended college. The Mass Media-type is less likely to be employed either full or part-time but, for those who are employed, is quite likely to work in the county. The income of the type ranges from $10,000 to $30,000 a year in total household income. type, finally, The Mass Media- is the oldest of the six types and is evenly divided between males and females. Only two respondents mentioned only Quasi-mass sources defined as brochures and posters. As was mentioned earlier, this is too few for a true profile to be drawn but several characteristics should be noted. The Quasi-mass- type is low in trust being found in both the low trust-low efficacy and low trust-high efficacy groups. They are young homeowners who have never taken a vocational education cla s s , who may or may not have children living in the home and who may or may not be employed full-time. Eight respondents mentioned both media and personal sources. The Mass-Personal-type may be either high on both trust in government and political efficacy, or both. low in The type was aware than an election had been called and was more likely than not to have some correct infor­ mation concerning the issue. They are fairly favorably 192 inclined towards the issue. This type tends to read the Owosso Argus Press but not to listen to W O A P . The Mass- Personal-type is a homeowner with children living at home and has had some personal experience with vocational edu­ cation. The type is more likely than not to be employed full-time, to work in Shiawassee County and to earn a total household income of more than $20,000 a year. They are more likely to have attended graduate school. The Mass- Personal-type is approximately forty-four years of age and can be either male or female. The Mass-Quasi-mass-type tends to be high in effi­ cacy but either high or low in trust in government. This type is aware of the election and is as likely as not to hold some correct information regarding the issue. ability, however, is low. Press but not to WOAP. Favor- They attend to the Owosso Argus The Mass-Quasi-mass-type tends to be a homeowner in either Owosso or Corunna but not to have children living at home. The type has had no personal contact with vocational education in high school but has a tendency to have attended trade school after high school. A tendency to have attended college is also characteristic of this type. The Mass-Ouasi-mass-type is more likely to work than not and is characterized by either a low income (less than $10,000 a year) or a high income (more than $30,000). The type is approximately forty years of age and is female. 193 respondents who mentioned receiving information from per­ sonal, quasi-mass and mass media sources. This Combination- type included only two respondents and will be dealt with briefly. This type is low in trust in government but mixed in political efficacy. The type was aware of the election and held correct information concerning it. They may or may not read the local newspaper but do not listen to the local radio outlet. This type has not attended college, has not taken a vocational education class in high school, works full-time in Shiawassee County, makes between $10,000 and $30,000 a year in total household income, is approxi­ mately fifty years of age and may be either male or female. A Research Update Since the completion of this research, new evidence has come to light regarding the unidimensionality of the political efficacy scale and the relationship of efficacy to trust in government. Beginning with the work of B a l c h ^ , many researchers have uncovered data which point to the separation of political efficacy into two distinct but related attitude sets: internal or personal efficacy and external or "political" efficacy. Craig attempted to distinguish between these two dimensions of political efficacy and then examined them and their individual relationships with the concept of political 68 trust. He defined internal efficacy as input efficacy, the degree to which an individual perceives he has access to the political system. This dimension includes feelings 194 of competence and is measured by responses to "Voting is the only way people like me can have a say in what the govern­ ment does" and "Sometimes politics seems so complicated that a person like me can't understand". External or output efficacy is the degree to which the individual believes his political activities can be successful and is measured by responses to "People like me can have no say about what the government does" and "Politicians don't care what people like me think". Craig points out that these are funda­ mentally different concepts stemming from different origins with input being a function of personal qualities such as socio-economic status and output reflecting variations in evaluations of government performance. Utilizing data collected from students in five Chicago area colleges and universities, Craig found that output efficacy was related to both political trust and input efficacy but that input efficacy was not related to political trust. Political participation was more closely related to input efficacy than to either output efficacy or political trust. Input efficacy was also rather strongly related to community involvement regardless of level of trust. Finally, he reports that those who are both trustful and efficacious are less likely to condone unorthodox political activities. Baloyer proposes that political cynicism (dis­ trust of government) is a form of criticism associated with social conditions and a consequence of partisan and 195 ideological oppos i t i o n s . ^ Utilizing data from a national sample in Venezuela, he reports that his findings establish that "it is more appropriate to treat the sense of political efficacy as dependent on criticism rather than the other way around".^ Efficacy does not appear to have much impact on participation while it (participation) does fluctuate with an individual's evaluation of the performance of the govern­ ment. He proposes that in the United States, the increased criticism-reduced efficacy relationship may be at work to lower levels of political participation. Craig and Maggiotto examined the effects of internal efficacy, the indivicual's self-perception that he is "capable of understanding politics and competent enough to participate in political acts," and policy dissatisfaction upon the relationship between political behavior and polit­ ical discontent, defined as political trust, diffuse support and external e f f i c a c y . ^ They point out that the lack of external efficacy expresses itself in the belief that the individual cannot influence political outcomes be ­ cause the government leaders and institutions are unre72 sponsive to his n e e d s . This belief that the system is unresponsive could provide a strong motivation for political action among the internally efficacious, those citizens who 73 believe themselves to be "entitled to political p o w e r " . They found that discontent was most strongly associated with the respondent's degree of acceptance of political protest and violence among the internally efficacious and 196 among those individuals who express dissatisfaction with the government's political performance. This was particu­ larly true for the association of external efficacy with the degree of acceptance among the internally efficacious. Pollock posits four distinct types of alienative attitudes.^ In the social arena, internal efficacy is characterized by feelings of personal control while external efficacy finds its outlet in ideology control. In the political arena, internal efficacy is related to political competence, the extent to which the individual believes political outcomes are affected by his own attempts to influence them, while external efficacy is related to polit­ ical responsiveness, whether or not the individual feels that political institutions are responsive to popular control.^ Examining involvement in purposive organizations such as political clubs and special interest groups, he found that this type of activity corresponded to lower levels of political alienation, defined as external polit­ ical e f f i c a c y . ^ Pollock also examined the participatory effects of internal and external efficacy. 77 He found that those low on internal efficacy but high on external efficacy are likely to participate in a traditional manner, especially the act of voting. This group also had the lowest propen­ sity for unconventional behavior. Those with high inter­ nal but low external efficacy were in an optimal state for nonconformist behavior, however, they also had a tendency 197 to participate conventionally, particularly in the areas of 78 campaigning and contacting othe r s . He also found that the politically competent but mistrusting individual did not view political participation as a simple choice between traditional behavior such as voting and extemist action. In an examination of turnout as a measure of polit­ ical participation in Presidential elections, Miller found that internal political efficacy could not account for decreases in participation. 79 While these beliefs about personal political efficacy were strongly associated with turnout, they had not declined while turnout had declined considerably over the last two decades. Abramson and Aldrich also examined the decline of political participation since the early 1950's. 80 They suggest that the decline in turnout is the result of two attitudinal trends: "the weakening of party loyalties among the American electorate and declining beliefs about government responsiveness, that is lowered feelings of 'external' political efficacy". 81 The authors point out that those persons who feel politically capable, the inter­ nally efficacious, may feel psychologically motivated to participate while those who feel overwhelmed by the entire political process may withdraw from all such action. Uti­ lizing national election data, they found that the decline in feelings of external political efficacy appeared to be a partial explanation for the decline in electoral parti­ cipation and could account for as much as half of the 198 decline in turnout in Presidential elections. 82 Finally, in a study of voting in school financial elections, Cataldo and Holm found that political efficacy, defined as responses to three of the scale items (don't have a say, politics seems so complicated and politicians don't care), was positively and significantly related to voting in favor of an increase in operating levies for the schools. 83 Trust in government (trust to do what's right and waste tax m o n e y ) , a child in school and willingness to support increased taxes for mass transit were also posi­ tively and significantly related to a favorable vote. If the political efficacy scale is no longer unidimensionsl as the research seems to suggest, then the com­ bining of the four items into a single scale could mask any real differences present in the data. For example, a person high on internal efficacy but low in external effi­ cacy would be scored in an identical manner to a person low on internal efficacy but high on external efficacy. The differences in the relationships each has to the polit­ ical system would not be noted in the analysis. Further, the research suggests that each of the two concepts of political efficacy is related to trust in govern­ ment in a unique way. As Craig points out, external effi­ cacy may be related to trust in government while internal efficacy may not have the same relationship. 84 This means that a person who believes the government is responsive will also trust that government while it is not necessary to 199 trust the government to feel that the individual can have an impact upon it. Given these differences, the combining of the political efficacy scale and the trust in government scale to create one measure of political alienation com­ pounds the problem. Differences in the relationship of efficacy to trust and then the relationship of these two variables to likelihood of a favorable vote and self-report of actual vote may have become so entangled that, as the research reported herein seems to suggest, alienation, defined as efficacy and trust, would appear to have no impact on vote. This finding is not present in any of the literature to date, as noted earlier. The reconceptualiza­ tion of political efficacy may provide the explanation. 200 Endnotes ^"Richard F. Carter, Voters and Their Schools: A Technical Report from the Institute for Communication Research (Stanford, Calif.: Stanford University Press, 30 June 1960), pp. 132-36. 2 It must be noted that many of the respondents who were contacted in the early weeks of the campaign may have acquired information about the issue as the campaign progressed. 3 Thirty-one of the sixty respondents noted they had voted in the "last one" with no definite time given. Fif­ teen had voted in one last fall, two in June and twelve, one year ago. ^Gerald M. Pomper, "The Presidential Election," in Marlene M. Pomper, ed., The Election of 1976: Reports and Interpretations (New York: David McKay Company, Inc., 1977), {T TT. ^Turnout for the 1976 Presidential election was 62.8%. U.S., Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Cen­ sus , 1977 City County Data Book: A Statistical Abstract Suppliment (Washington, D.C., 1977). f. David I. Verway, Michigan Statistical Abstracts, 13th ed. (East Lansing, Michigan: Michigan State University Graduate School of Business Division of Research, 1978), p. 47. ^Ibid., p. 69. Q Warren E. Miller and Teresa E. Levetin, Leadership and Change: The New Politics and the American Electorate (Cambridge, Mass.: Winthrop Publishers, I n c . , 1976), p p . 27, 219-33; and, Norman H. Nie, Sidney Verba and John R. Petrocik, The Changing American Voter (Cambridge: Harvard University Press, 197o), pp. 85-88, 234-38. 9Ibid. Z-score of 1.65 is needed for a difference to be significant at an alpha level of .05 for a one-tailed test. ^ A d a W. Finifter, "Dimensions of Political Aliena­ tion," American Political Science Review 64 (June 1970): 201 89-410. ^ L e s t e r W. Milbrath and M. L. Goel, Political Participation: How and Why Do People Get Involved in Politics 2d ed (Chicago: Rand McNally Publishing Company. 1977).— 13 Carter, Voters and Their Schools, pp. 132-36. ■^Howard D. Hamilton and Sylvan H. Cohen, Policy Making by Plebiscite: School Referenda (Lexington, Mass.: D"! C . Heath and Company, 1974) , p . 230. ■^Milbrath and Goel, Political Participation. ■^See, for example, Murray B. Levin, The Alienated Voter: Politics in Boston (New York: Holt, Rinehart and W i nston, I960); Gwynn Nettler, MA Measure of Alienation," American Sociological Review 22 (December 1957):670-77; Sidney Kraus and Dennis D a v i s , The Effects of Mass Communi­ cation on Political Behavior (University Park: The Pennsyl­ vania State University Press, 1976); Dwight G. Dean, "Alien­ ation and Political Apathy," Social Forces 38 (March 1960): 185-95; William Erbe, "Social Involvement and Political A c ­ tivity: A Replication and Elaboration," American Sociologi­ cal Review 29 (April 1964):198-215; and, John P. Clark, "Measuring Alienation Within a Social System," American Sociological Review 24 (December 1959):349-52. ^ A n g u s Campbell, "The Passive Citizen," in Edward C. Dreyer and Walter A. Rosenbaum, e d s ., Political Opinion and Electoral Behavior (Belmont, Calif.: Wadsworth Publishing Company, 1966), pp. 175-88. ■^Philip K. Piele and John Stuart Hall, Budgets, Bonds and Ballots: Voting Behavior in School Financial Elections (Lexington, Mass.: D.C. Heath and Comoanv, T973), p". TIT.— * ‘ 19 See Milbrath and Goel, Political Participation, and Finifter, "Dimensions of Alienation". 20 See Morris Rosenberg, "The Meaning of Politics in Mass Society," Pub1ic Opinion Quarterly 15 (Spring 1951): 5-15; Melvin Seeman, "Alienation and Engagement," in Angus Campbell and Philip E. Converse, eds., The Human Meaning of Social Change (New York: Russell Sage Foundation, 19/2), pp. 467-527; Garrett J. O'Keefe and Harold Mendelsohn, "Nonvoting: The Media's Role," in Charles Winick, ed., 202 Deviance and Mass Media (Beverly Hills, Calif.: Sage Publications, 1978); Jack Citrin, "Comment: The Political Relevance of Trust in Government," American Political Science Review 68 (September 1974):973-88; and, Milbrath and Goel, Political Participation. 21 See Kurt Lang and Gladys Engel Lang, "The Mass Media and Voting," in Eugene Burdick and Arthur J. Brodbeck, eds., American Voting Behavior (Glencoe, 111.: The Free Press, 1959):217-35 and Lee B. Becker, Idowu A. Sobowale and Willian E. Casey, Jr., "Newspaper and Television Dependencies: Their Effects on Evaluation of Govern­ ment Leaders," paper presented to the International Commun­ ications Association, Chicago, 1978. ^ S e e Elihu Katz and David Foulkes, "The the Use of the Mass Media as 'Escape': Clarification of a Concept," Public Opinion Quarterly 26 (Fall 1962):377-88; Jay G. Blumler and Denis M c Q u a i l , Television in Politics: Its Uses and Influence (London: Paber and Faber, LTD, 1968); Jack M. McLeod and Lee B. Becker, "Testing the Validity of Gratification Measures Through Political Effects Analysis," in Jay G. Blumler and Elihu Katz, eds., The Uses of Mass Communications: Current Perspectives on Gratifixations Research (Beverly U i l l s , Cal i f .: Sage Publications, 1974), p p . 137-64; and, William Semlac and Wenmouth Williams, Jr., "Uses, Gratifications and Avoidance: Voting Decisions in the 1976 Presidential Debates," paper presented to the International Communications Association, Chicago, 1978. 23 Examination of the source of information variable will show that this is not necessarily the case. 0/ See Bradley S. Greenberg, "Media Use and Believability: Some Multiple Correlates," Journa 1 ism O.uarterly 43 (Winter 1966):665-70, 732; Serena Wade and Wilbur Scnramm, "The Mass Media as Sources of Public Affairs, Science and Health Knowledge," Public Opinion Quarterly 32 (Simmer 1969):197-209; F. Gerald Kline, "Media Time Budgeting as a Function of Demographics and Life Style," Journalism Quarterly 48 (Summer 1971):211-21; Peter Clarke and L. Ruggels, "Preferences Among News Media Coverage of Public Affairs," Journalism Quarterly 47 (Autumn 1970):464-71; Samuel J . Eldersveld, Experimental Propoganda Techniques and Voting Behavior," American Political Science Review 50 (March 1956):154-65; Heinz Eulau and Peter Schneider, "Dimensions in Political Involvement," Public Opinion Quarterly 20 (Spring 1956):128-42; Alexis S. Tan, "Political Participation, Diffuse Support and Perceptions of Political Efficacy as Predictors of Mass Media Use," Communication 203 Monographs 48 (June 1981):133-45; Garrett J. O'Keefe, "Political Malaise and Reliance on Media," Journalism Quarterly 57 (Spring 1980):122-28; and, Becker, Sobowale and Casey, "Newspaper and Television Dependencies". 25 See Levin, The Alienated V o t e r , and Nettler, "Measures of Alienation". ^ S e e Semlac and Williams, "Uses, Gratifications," and Blumler and McQuail, Television in Politics. ^ M i l b r a t h and Goel, Political Participation. ^®See Joel Aberbach and Jack Walker, "Political Trust and Racial Ideology," American Political Science Review 64 (December 1970):1199-1219; Herbert McCloskey, "Consensus and Ideology in American Politics," American Political Science Review 58 (June 1964):361-83; Dwight G. Dean, "Alienation: It's Meaning and Measurement," American Sociological Review 26 (October 1961):753-58; and, Citrin, "Comment". ^ C a r t e r , Voters and Their Schools, pp. 132-36. on See Endnote 32, Chapter I, for a listing of all media available in the county. 31 Mean favorability for the manager category was 58.75 and for the professional, 91.0. qo Carter, Voters and Their Schools, p. 67. ■^Hamilton and Cohen, Policy M a k i n g , pp. 78-84. ■^Carter, Voters and Their Schools. qc Hamilton and Cohen, Policy M a k i n g . qz: Joan P. Sullivan Kowalski, Voter Behavior and Campaign Strategies in School Finance~Elections (Arlington, Virginia: Educational Research Service, I n c ., T977), pp. 28-30. 37 Hamilton and Cohen, Policy M a k i n g . ■^Arthur J. Alexander and Gail V. Bass, School Taxes 204 and Voter Behavior: An Analysis of School District Property Tax Elections (Santa Monica, C a l i f .: The Rand Corporation, April T 9 7 7 7 T P . 65. 39 40 Hamilton and Cohen, Policy M a k i n g , pp. 78-84. Alexander and Bass, School Taxes and Voter Be ­ havior . 4^James Q. Wilson and Edward C. Banfield, "PublicRegardingness as a Value Premise in Voting Behavior," American Political Science Review 58 (December 1964):876-87. ^ C a r t e r , Voters and Their Schools, p. 67. ^ H a m i l t o n and Cohen, Policy M a k i n g , pp. 78-84. ^ A l e x a n d e r and Bass, School Taxes and Voter Behavior, p. 65. ^ Kowalski, Voter Behavior and Campaign Strategies, pp. 28-30. 46Ibid., p. 32. 4^Marvin E. Olsen, "Two Categories of Political Alienation," Social Forces 42 (March 1969):288-99. 4®Wayne Thompson and John E. Horton, "Political Alienation as a Force in Political Action," Social Forces 38 (March 1960):190-95. 49 Donald E. Stokes, "Popular Evaluations of Govern­ ment: An Empirical Assessment," in Harlan Cleveland and Harold D. Lasswell, eds., Ethics and Business: Scientific, Academic, Religious, Political and Military (New York: H arp e r , 1962), p p . 61-73. ■*®Joel Aberbach, "Alienation and Political Behavior," American Political Science Review 63 (March 1969):86-99. ■^Milbrath and Goel, Political Participation, p. 69. "^Finifter, "Dimensions of Alienation". ^ S e e Murray B. Levin and Murray Eden, "Political 205 Strategy for the Alienated Voter," Public Opinion Quarterly 26 (Spring 1962):47-63; Nettler, "Measure of Alienation"; Campbell, "Passive Citizen"; Kraus and Davis, Effects of Mass Communication; and Erbe, "Social Involvement". 54 Edward L. McDill and Jeanne Clare Ridley, "Status, Anomia, Political Alienation and Political Participation," American Journal of Sociology 68 (September 1962):205-13. ■’"’Howard D. Hamilton, "The Municipal Voter: Voting and Nonvoting in City Elections," American Political Science Review 65 (December 1971):1135-40. ■^Aberbach and Walker, "Political Trust". ■^John E. Horton and Wayne E. Thompson, "Powerless­ ness and Political Negativism: A Study of Defeated Local Referendums," American Journal of Sociology 67 (March 1962):485-93. 58 Seeman, "Alienation and Engagement". 59 See Thompson and Horton, "Alienation as a Force," and Piele and Hall, Budg e t s , Bonds and Ballots . ^ S e e Michael W. Giles, Douglas S. Gatlin and Everett F. Cataldo, "Parental Support for School Referenda," Journal of Politics 38 (May 1976):442-51; Hamilton and Cohen, Policy Maki n g ; a n d , Carter, Voters and Their Schools. ^ W i l s o n and Banfield, "Public-Regardingness". 62 The two respondents noting posters will be noted in the tables but not in the text as any conclusions drawn from only two respondents could be highly misleading. 63 See the Review of Literature, Chapter I I , for a detailed discussion. ^ T h o s e noting all three categories are also aware, however the low number in the category makes the result less stable. 65 Once again, the small overall number in the quasi­ mass and mass-personal-quasi-mass groups casts doubt on the reliability of the finding. 206 66 The other mean favorability levels were: MassPersonal, 71.125; Mass Media, 58.64; Quasi-mass, 70 (based on two respondents); and, Mass-Personal-Quasi-mass, 100 (based on one respondent). ^ G e o r g e I. Balch, "Multiple Indicators in Survey Research: The Concept 'Sense of Political Efficacy'," Political Methodology 1 (1974):l-43. fLQ Stephen C. Craig, "Efficacy, Trust and Political Behavior: An Attempt to Resolve a Lingering Conceptual Dilemma," American Politics Quarterly 7 (April 1979): 225-239. 69 Enrique A. Baloyar, "Criticism, Cynicism and Polit­ ical Evaluation: A Venezuelan Example," American Political Science Review 73 (December 1979):987-1002. 70Ibid., p. 1 0 0 0 . 7^Stephen C. Craig and Michael A. Maggiotto, "Polit­ ical Discontent and Political Action," Journal of Politics 43 (May 1981):515. 72I b i d . 73I b i d ., p. 516. 7^Philip H. Pollock III, "Organizations and Alien­ ation: The Mediation Hypothesis Revisited," The Sociological Quarterly 23 (Spring 1982):143-55. 75Ibid., p. 147. 76 For further data on the impact of political effi­ cacy on other areas of life, see David 0. Sears, Richard R. Lau, Tom R. Tyler and Harris M. Allen, J r . , "Self-Interest v s . Symbolic Politics in Policy Attitudes and Presidential Voting," American Political Science Review 74 (September 1980):670-84; and, J. Maxwell Elden, "Political Efficacy at Work: The Connection Between More Autonomous Forms of Workplace Organization and a More Participatory Politics," American Political Science Review 75 (March 1981):43-58. 77Philip H. Pollock III, "The Participatory Conse­ quences of Internal and External Political Efficacy," 207 The Western Political. Quarterly 36 (September 1983): 400-409. ~ 78Ib i d ., p. 405. 79 Warren E. Miller, "Disinterest, Disaffection, and Participation in Presidential Politics," Political Behavior 2 (1980):7-32. ---------80 Paul R. Abramson and John H. Aldrich, "The Decline of Electoral Participation in America," American Political Science Review 76 (September 1982) :502-2T"! 81Ibid., p. 502. 82Ibid., p. 515. 83 Everett F. Cataldo and John D. Holm, "Voting on School Finances: A Test of Competing Theories," The Western Political Quarterly 36 (December 1983):619-31. QA Craig, "Efficacy, Trust and Political Behavior". See also, Paul R. Abramson and Ada W. Finifter, "On the Meaning of Political Trust: New Evidence from Items Intro­ duced in 1978," American Journal of Political Science 25 (May 1981):297-307; and, Burt Useem, "Trust in Government and the Boston Anti-Busing Movement," The Western Political Quarterly 35 (March 1982):81-91. CHAPTER V SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS Summary Over the past several decades, researchers from a variety of fields have investigated the role played by alienation in political participation, media use, attitudes towards schools, interpersonal relationships, societal structures and communication patterns. The research had shown that alienation was integral to many of these pro­ cesses. This attitude set had a major impact on how people interacted with each other and the societal system around them. The various components of alienation had also been investigated by a variety of authors from the fields of political science, communication and sociology. Two dimen­ sions that had appeared in many of the studies as being interrelated were trust in government or political cynicism and political efficacy or powerlessness. These two com­ ponents of alienation were said to explain the varieties of political participation observed in voting studies during the last forty y e a r s . Taking this body of literature as a guide, this study proposed to examine how political alienation defined 208 209 as trust in government and political efficacy related to information holding in a local election campaign. Since the research into school referenda was slight, and since the opportunity presented itself, the study was designed to test this relationship in a school millage election. The study proposed and tested a model of awareness, information and information source based on trust in government and political efficacy derived from a model of political par- ticipation developed by Finifter 1 and Milbrath and Goel. 2 The derivative model predicted that varying levels of awareness, correctness of information and source of information would be found in the sample based on their scores on trust in government and political efficacy scales. Following the suggestions of Aberbach and others, scales were made situation specific. 3 the Rather than referring to "government" and "government officials" the items referred to the "school board," "school board members" and "school politics". The study took place on Shiawassee County, Michigan in the Spring of 1979. The Shiawassee County Intermediate School District was attempting to pass a millage for the construction and maintenance of a centralized Area Voca­ tional Technical Education C e n t e r . The millage effort had failed twice in the previous ten y e a r s . A research team from Michigan State University, funded by the Michigan State Department of Education, undertook a study of the County and the issue in an effort to bring about a favorable 210 vote. The study was part of that larger effort. Data were collected by telephone from 109 respon­ dents between the day the election was called (April 12, 1979) and the day before the actual election (June 10, 1979). Additionally, an attempt was made to recontact all respon­ dents during the week following the election. The original questionnaire collected information in six general areas. The first area dealt with political attitudes and included the six items dealing with a sense of political efficacy and the five items measuring trust in government. The second section included items measuring awareness of the election and knowledge of who had called the election, the issue to be decided, and the amount of millage requested. Thirdly, the instrument collected data dealing with media use, spe­ cifically newspaper readership and subscription and radio listenership. Television was not included as there are no local television outlets in the county. The fourth area of interest on the questionnaire was a series of questions measuring information source from those who had heard something of Area Vocational Technical Education "since last Monday". Fifthly, data were collected on voting in general elections, voting in millage elections, and the likelihood of casting a favorable vote in the elec­ tion under study. The final area of the questionnaire measured demographic characteristics including home owner­ ship, education, age, income, children present in the home and sex of respondent. The questionnaire also included a 211 series of items measuring attitudes toward centralized vocational education using a metric multidimensional scaling design. Fourteen hypotheses and several sub-hypotheses were tested. In addition, profiles were developed of the most favorable voter, least favorable voter, source of informa­ tion types and source category types. The first three hypotheses examined the validity of the derivative model. The first hypothesis predicted that levels of awareness would vary significantly between the four alienation groups: those high on efficacy and trust, those low on efficacy and trust, those high on efficacy but low on trust, and those low on efficacy but high on trust. Support was found for this hypothesis which was highly significant. Sub­ hypotheses had proposed that levels of awareness would vary in specific ways and these were not supported. It had been predicted that the proportion aware in the group high on both variables would be greater than the proportion aware in the group high in efficacy and low in trust. was true. The reverse It had also been predicted that the proportion aware in the group low on efficacy and high on trust would be greater than the proportion aware in the group low on both. This was found to be so but the difference was not significant. The second hypothesis examined level of correct information according to group membership. It predicted that significantly different levels of correct information 212 would exist between the four groups. case. This was not the The analysis of variance showed no significant difference. The sub-hypotheses were also not significant. The third hypothesis predicted that groups would vary as to primary source of information, either depending primarily on media or personal sources. The high efficacy- high trust and high trust-low efficacy groups were to rely on media sources. The other two were to have used personal sources to a greater extent. for this hypothesis. Partial support was found The high-high and low-low groups did not follow the expected pattern. Those high on both var­ iables mentioned more personal sources while those low on both, more media sources. as expected. The two middle groups did fall No significant difference was found. Hypotheses four and five predicted that as the election neared, the proportion holding correct information about the election and the proportion aware that the elec­ tion had been called would increase. Rather than increasing, This did not occur. in many instances the proportion aware or with correct information dropped as the election neared. Only one significant difference was found. The proportion aware during Week nine was significantly greater than the proportion aware during W eek eight. Hypothesis seven predicted that those respondents living in the Owosso and Corunna school districts would report getting information from the newspaper to a greater extent than those respondents living in the outlying 213 districts. Support was found for this contention. The difference in the proportion reporting newspapers for the Owosso-Corunna districts was significantly greater than the proportion from the other districts. The next six hypotheses examined favorability towards the issue of Area Vocational Technical Education. A variety of demographic variables were tested to determine if they were associated with the likelihood of casting a positive vote on the issue. Age was found to be negatively related but the correlation was not significant. The presence or absence of children in the home was signif­ icantly related. The mean favorability level of those with children was significantly greater than the mean favora­ bility level of those with no children in the home. Favorability did increase as education increased, with one notable exception. Those who had attended trade school after high school were less favorably inclined toward the issue than high school graduates. ferences were found. Two significant dif­ Those who had completed high school had a significantly greater mean favorability level than those with less than a high school education and those with graduate work, including those who had earned a graduate degree, had a significantly greater mean favorability level than those with a college deagree but no further study. The relationship of income to favorability was mixed. Favorability did not increase as income level increased. Instead a curvilinear relationship was noted 214 . with favorability increasing as income increased from less than $10,000 a year to between $10,000 and $20,000 a year. For the next two categories of income, however, favor­ ability decreased. The increase just noted was signif­ icant . Occupational status was not related to favorability as had been expected. While favorability did increase as occupational status increased when the managerial and professional categories were combined, separation of these two categories showed managers to be much less favorable towards the issue than white collar workers. The final favorability item was significant. Those who had cast a positive vote in a school millage election in the past were substantially more likely to report a greater likelihood of voting in favor of the present issue. The final two hypotheses examined the relationship of alienation to the likelihood of casting a favorable vote and the actual vote on the millage. In both instances, a multiple regression analysis and a discriminant analysis, alienation was found to have little or no impact on either of the two dependent variables. Of seven predictors of the likelihood of a favorable vote, alienation was the least important. Of nine variables used in the discriminant analysis, alienation was eighth in relative importance. The study also created profiles of source types and source category types. The Newspaper-type was generally aware that an election had been called, had correct 215 information regarding the issue, read the local newspaper but did not listen to the local radio station, was not very favorable towards the issue. He owns his own home, works in the county, has been exposed to vocational edu­ cation, is in his late forties and "he" is more likely to be a "she". The Radio-type is aware of the election but has incorrect information about the issue, reads the local paper and listens to the local radio station. They favor the millage but have little experience with vocational edu­ cation. They are homeowners, have not attended school past high school, are employed full time in the county, are middle aged and female. The Brochure-type is aware of the election and has correct information regarding it. They read the local paper but do not listen to the local radio station. They are not favorable towards the issue and have had little experience with vocational education. They are home owners, are employed full time in the county, do not have children living at h o m e , are in their late thirties and are generally women. The Friend-type is aware of the election but has incorrect information regarding it. They are fairly favorable towards the issue, read the local paper but do not listen to the local radio station. They are well- educated home owners who are employed full time in the county. They are in their mid-forties, have children and 216 are female. The Meeting-type is aware and has correct infor­ mation. They are most favorable towards the issue, read the paper and listen to the radio station. They are home owners who work full time in the county, are fairly highly educated and are in their early forties. There were four unique source category types con­ taining more than two respondents. The Personal-type is high on both efficacy and trust, is aware of the election and holds correct information regarding it. This type does not attend to the local media, is a home owner with children present in the home, is employed, earns more than $20,000 a year, is approximately forty years old and is female. The Mass Media-type is not aware of the election and does not hold correct information concerning it. The type reads the local paper but does not necessarily listen to the local radio station. They are home owners, with little education past high school and are in their mid-forties. The Mass-Personal-type is aware of the election and has correct information concerning i t . They read the paper but so not listen to the radio station. They are home owners with children, are employed full time in the county, are highly educated and are in their mid-forties. The Mass-and-Quasi-mass-type is aware of the elec­ tion but is likely to hold incorrect information about it. They attend to the local paper but not the local radio station. They are home owners with no children at home, 217 have attended college, have either a high or low income, are in their forties and are female. Conclusions Several conclusions can be drawn from the study. First, a number of hypotheses were confirmed. Levels of awareness do differ significantly among the four trust in government-political efficacy groups. Respondents in the Owosso and Corunna school districts do report getting infor­ mation from the newspaper to a greater extent than those respondents living in the outlying districts, perhaps indi­ cating that respondents in those two districts generally rely on the local newspaper more than those in the other districts. The mean favorability level of respondents with children in the home was significantly greater than the level for respondents without children in the home pointing to the possibility that parents form a unique interest group regarding school issues. There were several significant relationships between favorability and various income and education levels. Past positive voting did relate signif­ icantly to the self-report of the likelihood of casting a favorable vote in the present case. Finally, the multiple regression equation was significant with the nine variables included as independent explaining 32% of the variance in favorability. Second, the derivative model did not predict behavior for several possible reasons. The original model 218 had not been tested in a research setting as a whole. If the original model is invalid then the derivative model may be invalid as well. It is also possible that the use of the situation-specific items was problemmatic. It is po s ­ sible that the setting in a low information election under­ mined the validity of the model. It may also be that the new research on the bi-dimensionality of the political efficacy scale used herein as a unidimensional scale ex­ plains the lack of predictive power of the m o d e l . It is too early to conclude that the model is entirely invalid. At this point in time, all that can be said is that the model, in this situation, did not operate as well as expected. The third conclusion that can be drawn from the study is that the school millage election is a low interest election situation. The low levels of both awareness and correct information and the eventual low turnout all point to an election setting where few people were informed, and fewer still cared enough to vote. This finding is consis­ tent with the literature on elections. The school millage does not attract the interest that a general election d o e s . This is substantiated here. Fourthly, attention to local media in a situation where that media must compete against a large number of voices from outside the community is low. Shiawassee County is a media-rich area with many radio stations, tele­ vision stations and newspapers available in the area. This plethora of voices, however, overpowers the local outlets. 219 With few people attending to the local media, information regarding local issues and events will be limited. seems to have occurred here. This Those who read the local paper were much more likely to be aware of the election than those who had no contact with the local media. informed electorate, The concept of an then, may be in danger in areas similar to Shiawassee County where much information is available but little-to-none of it is community specific. Fifth, a variety of demographic variables influence favorability towards a school referendum issue. This study as well as others in the past agree that certain factors will lead to a favorable or unfavorable vote. School offi­ cials planning on using referenda need to be aware of the presence or absence of these factors to determine the approach to take in assuring passage of the proposal. Sixth, alienation, defined as trust in government and political efficacy, does not seem to play a large part in the likelihood of a favorable vote or in an actual "yes" vote when combined with a variety of demographic factors. It is possible that the role assigned to alienation has been overblown. It is also possible, however, that alien­ ation works differently in a school millage election, gen­ erally, or that its impact, or lack thereof, stance was situation specific. in this in­ A better explanation, though, based on recent research, is that the effect of alienation was dissipated by the conceptualization of alienation used in this study. If alienation had been treated as three 220 separate variables, its true effect may have been noted. Seventh, it appears advisable to localize polit­ ical attitude scales. While no comparison data of general­ ized scales have been offered herein, recent research points to the necessity of specific referents for political 4 attitudes. Eighth, the source profiles point to the need for research into a community when planning a campaign for a school monetary proposal. tween source types. Favorability levels varied b e ­ School officials should be aware of the sources to which their most favorable supporters attend and to which their opponents attend and should plan their information campaigns accordingly. Finally, media planners for all types of elections need to be aware of the media situations in which they will be working. In general elections, where the party has a primary role to play, the media environment must be understood so that party cues can be transmitted to the voter. In an area like Shiawassee County, this may mean a reliance on personal and quasi-mass sources rather than on mass media sources, as it appears that newspapers and radio are not used by voters as a source of information. In nonpartisan elections, the same advice can be offered, however, in this situation exploration of media alternatives may be more crucial as the party cue is absent. 221 Limitations Several limitations need to be noted. sample for the study was small. First, the This was the result of a low response rate brought about by a number of factors. Because this study was part of a larger study, it was necessary to complete the primary portion of the question­ naire before asking the respondent for further information. The first portion of the questionnaire was difficult and lengthy. Respondents may not have been willing to com­ plete the instrument because of this and therefore were not included. Problems were also found with the voter regis­ tration lists. The lack of telephone numbers and the high incidence of incorrect addresses led to the inability of the interviewers to locate sample m e m b e r s . The combination of these two factors resulted in the samll sample size. The small sample size leads to a second limitation of the study. In some of the statistical tests, the sub­ groups being compared are extremely small. then, are highly unstable. The statistics, Significance, or a lack thereof, may be the result of the smallness of the individual cells rather than a true relationship, or a lack thereof, in the population as a whole. extremely difficult, Generalization to the population is then, because of the limited number of respondents. Thirdly, no attempt was made to equalize the number of respondents in the four cells of the m o d e l . Respondents were assigned on the basis of an arbitrary division of the 222 scale scores at the mid-point with no consideration given to the number of respondents in each. This uneven cell size may have influenced the results in unknown ways. A fourth limitation is sample-related as well. As noted in Chapter IV, the sample is not representative of the county as a whole. Two school districts are not represented at all and the others are not represented proportionate to their size in the population. The sample also underrepresents the rural community and men and over­ represents those over the age of sixty-five. The biases that may have resulted from these factors are unknown and limit the generalizability of the results to the county as a whole or to other locations. The fifth limitation of the study is the setting of the study. Attempting to test a derivative model for the first time in a low-information, setting may be problemmatic. low-interest election As the situation is so dif­ ferent from the more common general election, the results, or lack thereof, may not be generalizable. The fact that so few people were aware of the election and fewer still had correct information, made the testing of the model difficult at best. The very real possibility that the Shia­ wassee County school millage election was a deviant situation imits the usability of the results of the study in differ­ ent situations. 223 Suggestions for Future Research There are several suggestions for future research that can be made. First, it seems most crucial that the Milbrath and Goel model of political participation and political alienation, defined as trust in government and political efficacy, be tested in a research setting. The model needs to be subjected to empirical testing as a whole to see if the proposed relationships can find support in data drawn from a single study. Second, the derivative model needs to be tested in a variety of situations. It should be tested in a more isolated area, one where little outside media spill in. It should also be tested in a media-rich area where the level of local media is quite high, a metropolitan setting, for example. It also needs to be tested in a general election setting, either Congressional or Presidential or both, as well as in local-only elections and school elec­ tions. Only after such extensive testing has been accom­ plished can the validity of the model be judged. Along with the second suggestion, the model needs to take the bi-dimensionality of political efficacy into consideration. This can be accomplished by eliminating the items found to correlate with internal efficacy and including only those items found to relate to external efficacy. The model could also be reconceptualized as a four-by-two table with two levels of trust in government and two levels each of internal and external political efficacy. In this way, 224 the varying relationships among the three variables could be determined as well as their individual impacts on commun­ ication and political participation variables. Fourth, more research needs to be accompliches using situation-specific attitude scale items. The trust in government and political efficacy items need to be localized and specialized to meet the needs of particular research questions. The scales need to be investigated to see it their unidimensionality no longer holds in specific as well in generic situations. Fifth, research into media use in school elections needs to be explored. in this area. Little research has been undertaken Focus must be placed on the role of mass, quasi-mass and personal sources as means of information acquisition. This may be the most crucial need. As media become more specialized and with the advent and widespread adoption of cable television, media may no longer be valid. the theories based on mass New ways of looking at communication media need to be developed in order to under­ stand the impact of these new media on the electorate. Finally, more emphasis needs to be placed on the role alienation plays in voting, media use and communication patterns. It would appear that alienation may not be as important as previous research has indicated. may exert a greater influence on the voter. change as situations change. Other factors Concepts must This may be the case with alienation, that the theories and suppositions that held 225 several decades ago are no longer valid. This needs to be determined if the body of literature on alienation is to be kept current and generalizable. 226 ^Ada W. Finifter, "Dimensions of Political Alienation," American Political Science Review 65 (June 1970): 389-410. ? Lester W. Milbrath and M. L. Goel, Political Participation: How and Why People Get Involved in Politics 2nd ed. , (Chicago: Rand McNally College Publishing Company, 1977). 3 See Joel Aberbach and Jack Walker, "Political Trust and Racial Ideology," American Political Science Review 64 (December 1970):1199-1219; Jack Citrin, "Comment: The Political Relevance of Trust in Government," American Political Science Review 68 (September 1974):973-88; Dwight G. Dean, "Alienation and Political Apathy," Social Forces 38 (March 1960):185-95; and, Herbert McClosky, "Consensus and Ideologies in American Politics," American Political Science Review 58 (June 1964):361-83. ^See Paul R. Abramson and Ada W. Finifter, "On the Meaning of Political Trust: New Evidence from Items Intro­ duced in 1978," American Journal of Political Science 25 (May 1981):297-307; and, Bert Useem, "Trust in Government and the Boston Anti-Busing Movement," The Western Political Quarterly 35 (March 1982):81-91. APPENDIX 1 FIRST WAVE QUESTIONNAIRE SHIAWASSEE COUNTY CENTRALIZED VOCATIONAL EDUCATION QUESTIONNAIRE Respondent Name _____________________________ Telephone Number ____________________________ Callbacks __________________ ______ _____ Date Time Interviewer Hello, I'm ____________ ^__ calling from Michigan State University. We are conducting a survey of attitudes toward vocational education in Shiawassee County and would like to ask you a few questions. You have been randomly selected from the county voter registration lis t s . Of course your participation is completely voluntary and your answers will be confidential and used only in combination with the answers of othe r s . Your cooperation is extremely important to insure adequate representation of countywide attitudes and to make the survey a success. I can call back at a more convenient time (MAKE APPOINTMENT IF NECESSARY), In the questions that follow I'll give you a pair of words or ideas that persons such as yourself from Shiawassee County have used to describe vocational education. Then, you'll ask yourself how different each of the pair is from the other according to your opinion. If you think that the two items are very similar, tnen you could say that they are very close together. If you think that they are very dif­ ferent, then you could say they are very far apart. In­ stead of using words like "close togther" or "far apart" you could easily use a number. Take cold rain and war m sunshine for example. If you think that these two are similar, seem to go together, or are often associated with each other, then you would say a small number. On the other hand, if you think that cold rain and warm sunshine are different, do not seem to go together, or are seldom associated with each other, then you would say a large number. Thus a large number would mean that two items are very dif­ ferent; a small number would mean that the two are very similar. Zero would mean that they are the same, identical, that there is no difference between them. In order to help make your estimates more accurate, I ’ll give you a mental r u l e r . Think of what "practical train­ ing" means to you. Now think of "work skills." Think of the difference between "practical training” and "work skills." Call t h i s difference t e n ! In other w o r d s , we'll say that pratical training and work skills are ten units a p a r t ; that the distance between them is now ten on your mental ruler. Keep this difference ten in mind and compare the 227 228 other pairs to i t . You will compare each pair of items to the difference between practical training and work skills which is now ten. Also, use any number that accurately reflects your opinion. You may use decimals, fractions, or whole numb e r s . Zero is the lower limit and there is no upper limit. Of any pair cannot be estimated, just tell me to go on the the next. Here are a few practice pairs. Remember, the difference between pratical training and work skills is t e n . How far apart are: (**WRITE RESPONSES ON RESPONSE SHEET**) Cold rain and w arm sunshine? .... Good and bad?..................... Good and Practical Training? .... Work Skills and Necessary? .... Concerned and Your Friends? .... Happy and Yourself? .... Would you like to review any part of the instructions? Also, any time that you would like the instructions reviewed, just ask. Remember, opinion. there are no right or wrong answers only your Are you ready to begin? OK. In other w o r d s , if you think that the items are farther apart than Practical Training and Work Skills then you would say a number larger than ten. If, in your opinion, the two items are closer together than Practical Training and Work Skills, then you would use a number smaller than ten. PRACTICE QUESTIONS Cold rain and warm sunshine____________________ Good and bad Good and practical training Work skills and necessary Concerned and your friends Happy and yourself Remember: ________ ________ ________ ________ ________ ________ If practical training and work skills are ten units apart, in your opinion how far apart are the following pairs? 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Job opportunities and practical training? ________ Job opportunities and work skills__________________ Job opportunities and college ' Job opportunities and expensive ________ Job opportunities and centralized vocational education________________________ ________ 6 . Job opportunities and tax increase_________ ________ 7. Job opportunities and duplication of programs_____________________________________ ________ 8 . Job opportunities and needed_______________ ________ Remember: 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. Job opportunities and discipline problems _________ Job opportunities and intermediate school district_____________________________ ________ Job opportunities and your vote for_______ ________ Job opportunities and your vote against ________ Practical training and work skills________ ________ Practical training and college_____________ ________ Practical training and expensive___________________ Practical training and centralized vocational education Remember: 17. 18. 19. 20. 21. 22. 23. 24. If practical training and work skills are ten units apart, in your opinion how far apart are: If practical training and work skills are ten units a p a r t , in your opinion how far apart a r e : Practical training and tax increase_______ ________ Practical training and duplication of programs_____________________________________ ________ Practical training and needed______________________ Practical training and discipline problems_____________________________________ ________ Practical training and intermediate school district_____________________________ ________ Practical training and your vote for______ ________ Practical training and your vote against _______ Work skills and college____________________ ________ 230 Remember: 25. 26. 27. 28. 29. 30. 31. 32. Work skills and expensive ' _____ Work skills and centralized vocational education____________________________________ ________ Work skills and tax increase ' ______ Work skills and duplication of programs Work skills and needed_____________________ ________ Work skills and discipline problems ' Work skills and intermediate school district_____________________________________ ________ Work skills and your vote for______________ ________ Remember: 33. 34. 35. 36. 37. 38. 39. 40. 44. 45. 46. 47. 48. 52. 53. 54. If practical training and work skills are ten units apart, in your opinion how far apart are: College and your vote for ' College and your vote against______________ ________ Expensive and centralized vocational education ' Expensive and tax increase_________________ ________ Expensive and duplication of programs ..... Expensive and needed ' Expensive and discipline problems__________________ Expensive and intermediate school district ' Remember: 49. 50. 51. If practical training and work skills are ten units apart, in your opinion how far apart are: Work skills and your vote against_________ ________ College and expensive ' College and centralized vocational education____________________________________ ______ __ College and tax increase ' College and duplication of programs_______ ________ College and needed__________________________ ________ College and discipline problems____________ ________ College and intermediate school district ' Remember: 41. 42. 43. If practical training and work skills are ten units apart, in your opinion how far apart are: If practical training and work skills are ten units a p a r t , in your opinion how far apart a r e : Expensive and your vote for________________ ________ Expensive and your vote against____________________ Centralized vocational education and tax increase_________________________________________ Centralized vocational education and duplication of programs_____________________________ Centralized vocational education and needed_______________________________________ ________ Centralized vocational education and discipline problems_________________________ ________ 231 55. 56. Centralized vocational education and intermediate school district ' Centralized vocational education and your vote for_______________________________ ________ Remember: 57. 58. 59. 60. 61. 62. 63. 64. If practical training and work skills are ten units apart, in your opinion how far apart are: Centralized vocational education and your vote against Tax increase and duplication of programs Tax increase and needed Tax increase and discipline problems______ Tax increase and intermediate school district Tax increase and your vote for Tax increase and your vote against________ Duplication of programs and needed Remember: ' _____ ______ ' ________ ' ' ________ ' If practical training and work skills are ten units apart, in your opinion how far apart are: 65. Duplication of programs and discipline problems_____________________________________ ________ 6 6 . Duplication of programs and intermediate school district_____________________________ ________ 67. Duplication of programs and your vote for ' 6 8 . Duplication of programs and your vote against______________________________________ _____ ' 69. Needed and discipline problems______________ _ _ ____ 70. Needed and intermediate school district ________ 71. Needed and your vote for___________________ _____ _ 72. Needed and your vote against_______________ ________ Remember: 73. 74. 75. 76. 77. 78. If practical training and work skills are ten units apart, in your opinion how far apart are: Discipline problems and intermediate school district_____________________________ ________ Discipline problems and your vote for ________ Discipline problems and your vote against _______ Intermediate school district and your vote for_____________________________________ ________ Intermediate school district and your vote against______________________________________ _ Your vote for and your vote against ’ _____ Now I have just a few more questions: 79. Do any other ideas or feelings about vocational education come into your mind, besides those 232 which we have already mentioned? 80. Who do you usually talk to to get information about school-related topics? PROBE IF NECESSARY. 81. What do they do for a living? 82. Do you regularly read a newspaper?______________ _ (1) 83. YES (2) Which One? NO (RECORD 1 FOR ALL MENTIONED) Detroit Free Detroit News Owosso Argus 84. 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 ' 9+ 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9+ Which radio station do you usually________ ______ listen to? (1) 87. Press Lansing State Journal ___ Flint Journal Other: About how many hours of radio did_________ ______ you listen to yesterday? 1 86. Press About how many hours of television did you watch yesterday? 1 85. (GO TO Q.84) WOAP OTHER: __________________ There are different ways that high school ______ level Vocational Education can be offered --by the local high school, or by a co­ operative effort between school districts. Which of these do you prefer -- the local high school or a cooperative effort between scnool districts? (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) LOCAL HIGH SCHOOL COOPERATIVE EFFORT AMONG SCHOOL DISTRICTS BOTH C A N ’T SAY OTHER: ______________________ 233 88. If the local high school did not have _ enough money or enough students to offer training in several kinds of Voc a ­ tional skills, would you be in favor of a centralized Vocational Program to serve all of the high schools in the County. (1) (2) (3) 89. Would you approve of the Shiawassee Intermediate School District planning, organizing and operating a centralized Vocational Program for all high schools in the county? (1) (2) (3) 90. YES NO CAN'T SAY YES NO CAN'T SAY If additional millage, up to 2 mill(s) were necessary to finance a centralized Vocational Education Program, based on how you feel now, would you vote for or against such a millage request? (1) (2) (3) _ _ FOR AGAINST UNDECIDED/CAN'T SAY 91. If there was a millage election for a _ centralized Vocational Education Program, what kinds of information would you like to know about the millage request before the election? 92. What school district are you in? (1) (2) (3) (4) 93. Byron Corunna Durand Laingsburg (5) (6) (7) (8) New Lothrop Morrice Owosso Perry How much education have you completed? (1) (2) (3) (4) 8th Grade or less (5) (GO TO Q .95) (6) 9th-12th Grade (7) H . S . Degree (8) Trade School After H.S. Some College College Degree Graduate Work Graduate Degree 234 94. Did you ever take a Vocational Education class in high school? (1) 95. YES (2) NO Do you have any children? (1) YES (2) NO (GO TO Q.98) 96. What are their ages? (RECORD TO THE NEAREST YEAR) 97. IF CHILDREN 13 Y R S , OR OLDER: Have your ______ children ever taken a vocational education class in high school? (1) 98. YES (2) NO Would you tell me your age? ' (RECORD TO NEAREST YEAR) 99. Do you currently have either a full or a part-time job? (1) Full time (2) Part Time 100. What is your occupation? 101. Do you work in Shiawassee County or somewhere else? (1) Shiawassee (GO TO Q.103) 102. 103. (3) NO (GO TO Q. 103) (2) Somewhere Else What county do you work in? (1) (2) (3) Ingham (Lansing) Genesee (Flint) Other: ' Is your total household income more or less than $10,000? (1) (-) Less than $10,000 (GO TO Q.104) More than $10,000 103a. Is it more than $20,000? (2) (-) No (GO TO Q.104) Yes ______ _____ _ 235 103b. And finally, is it more than $30,000? (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) 104. No (GO TO Q.104) Yes (GO TO Q.104) Student Unemployed E.etired Refused RECORD SEX: (1) MALE (2) (Thank you very much for your time. your help. FEMALE We appreciate APPENDIX 2 MAIN WAVE QUESTIONNAIRE 236 INTRODUCTION AND OUESTIONS 1 THROUGH 78 IDENTICAL TO FIRST WAVE QUESTIONNAIRE. Now I'm going to read you some things that people have told me when I have interviewed them and ask you to tell me if you agree or disagree with them. After I read each statement, just tell me whether you agree or disagree with it. 79. People like me don't have any say about what the School Board d o e s . AGREE DISAGREE DEPENDS DON'T KNOW NO RESPONSE 80. Voting is the only way people like me can have any say about how the School Board runs things. AGREE DISAGREE DEPENDS DON'T KNOW NO RESPONSE 81. Sometimes school politics seems so compli­ cated that a person like me can't really understand what's going on. AGREE DISAGREE DEPENDS DON'T KNOW NO RESPONSE 82. I don't think school officials care much what people like me think. AGREE DISAGREE DEPENDS DON'T KNOW NO RESPONSE ____ 237 83. Generally speaking, those people we elect to the School Board loose touch with the people pretty quickly. AGREE DISAGREE DEPENDS DON'T KNOW NO RESPONSE 84. School Board members are only interested in people's votes and not in their opinions. AGREE DISAGREE DEPENDS DON'T KNOW NO RESPONSE Now I have a few more questions along this same line that I'd like to ask you. 85. First of all, do you think that people on the ___ School Board waste a lot of money we pay in taxes, waste some of it, or don't waste very much of it at all? WASTE A LOT SOME OF IT NOT VERY MUCH AT ALL DON'T KNOW NO RESPONSE 86. How much of the time do you think you can trust the School Board to do what is right -just about always, most of the time, or only some of it? “ 87. JUST ABOUT ALWAYS MOST OF THE TIME SOME OF IT DON'T KNOW NO RESPONSE Would you say the School Board is pretty much run by a few big interests looking out for themselves or that it is run for the benefit of all the people? A FEW BIG INTERESTS BENEFIT OF ALL DON'T KNOW NO RESPONSE 238 88. Do you feel almost all of the people running the School Board are smart people or do you think that quite a few of them don't seem to know what they're doing? SMART PEOPLE DON'T KNOW WHAT THEY'RE DOING DON'T KNOW NO RESPONSE 89. Do you think quite a few of the people running the School Board are crooked, not very many are crooked, or do you think hardly any of them are crooked? QUITE A FEW NOT VERY MANY HARDLY ANY DON'T KNOW NO RESPONSE 90. Are you aware of any upcoming special county-wide elections in Shiawassee County? YES (GO TO 90a) NO (GO TO 90b) 90a. IF YES: Who has called that countywide election: is it the County Attorney, the Intermediate School District, the State Department of Education or someone else? COUNTY ATTORNEY ISD STATE ED DEPT. SOMEONE ELSE OTHER NO RESPONSE 90b. IF NO: Has the Shiawassee County Intermediate School District called any special elections for the near future? YES (GO TO 91) NO (GO TO 93) 239 91. What is that county election about -- a millage for a new grade school, a millage for area vocational technical education or a millage for the expansion of the special education programs? NEW GRADE SCHOOL AREA VOCATIONAL TECHNICAL EDUCATION SPECIAL EDUCATION OTHER NO RESPONSE 92. How much millage is county-wide millage less than one mill, mills, or more than being asked in that election -- is it between one and two two mills? LESS THAN ONE BETWEEN ONE AND TWO MORE THAN TWO OTHER REFUSED MEDIA 93. Do you regularly read a newspaper? YES 93a. NO (GO TO 94) Which newspaper or papers would that be? DETROIT FREE PRESS DETROIT NEWS OWOSSO ARGUS PRESS LANSING STATE JOURNAL FLINT JOURNAL "OTHERS (SPECIFY: _________________ ) 94. Which newspapers do you subscribe to or receive at your home? DETROIT FREE PRESS DETROIT NEWS OWOSSO ARGUS PRESS STATE JOURNAL FLINT JOURNAL OTHERS (SPECIFY: _________________ ) 95. How many hours a day to you listen to the radio? 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 OR MORE 240 96. Which radio station do you usually listen to? WOAP 96a. 97. LIST OTHER STATIONS MENTIONED (GO TO 97) Is that WOAP AM, FM or both? AM FM __ BOTH Since last Monday, have you heard anything about Area Vocational Technical Education? YES (GO TO 97a) 97a. IF YES: NO Was it a poster? YES 97f. NO Was it in a flyer or brochure? YES 97e. NO From a Friend? YES 97d. NO On the radio? YES 97c. (GO TO 98) Was that in the newspaper? YES 97b. NO NO Was it at a meeting? YES NO VOTING 98. How many times have you voted in a general election in the past two years? 99. How many times have you voted in a school election in the past two years? 100. When was the last time you voted in a school millage election? (IF NONE, GO TO 102) 241 101. Would you tell me how you voted in that school millage election? FOR REFUSED AGAINST DON'T KNOW During the school election on June 11, voters in Shiawassee County will be asked to vote for or against a 1.95 m i l l ­ age to finance area vocational technical education. 102. Do you think you will vote in that election? YES NO (GO TO 104) DON'T KNOW REFUSED 103. If 0 means no chance and 100 means definitely in favor, what's the chance that you will vote in favor of the millage? "DON'T KNOW "REFUSED 104, What school district are you in? BYRON "CORUNNA "DURAND "LAINGSBURG 105 NEW LOTHROP MORRICE "OWOSSO "PERRY "OTHER Do you own or rent the place you are living in? OWN "RENT "OTHER (SPECIFY: 106 How much education have you completed? SOME COLLEGE 8TH GRADE OR LESS "COLLEGE DEGREE " (GO TO Q. 107) 9TH-12TH GRADE "GRADUATE WORK "GRADUATE DEGREE "H.S. DEGREE "TRADE SCHOOL AFTER HTS" 107, Did you ever take a vocational education class in high school? YES NO ____ 242 108. Do you have any children that currently_______ __ live at home with you? YES 109. NO REFUSED Have your children ever taken a vocational education class during high school? YES 110. NOT MARRIED ~7&5 TO 110) NO __ CHILDREN NOT IN HIGH SCHOOL YET __ Would you tell me your age? RECORD TO NEAREST YEAR 111. Do you currently have either a full or a part-time job? FULL TIME PART TIME NO CGO TO 114) 112. What is your occupation? 113. Do you work in Shiawassee County or some­ where else? __ SHIAWASSEE SOMEWHERE ELSE 114. Is your total household income more or less than $10,000? LESS THAN $10,000 (GO TO Q.115) MORE THAN $10,000 114a. Is it more than $20,000? NO (GO TO Q.115) YES 114b. And finally, is it more than $30,000? NO (GO TO 115) YES (GO TO 115) STUDENT 'UNEMPLOYED 'RETIRED REFUSED ___ 243 115. RECORD SEX: (1) MALE (2) FEMALE (Thank you very much for your time. h e l p .) _ We appreciate your APPENDIX 3 CALL-BACK QUESTIONNAIRE 244 SHIAWASSEE PROJECT CALL-BACK QUESTIONNAIRE INTRODUCTION: Hello, my name is , calling from Michigan State University. We're doing a study of voting behavior in Shiawassee County and I have a few questions I'd like to ask you. This will just take a few minutes and I'd appre­ ciate your help. 1. First, an election was held in Shiawassee County on June 11. Would you tell me what was on that ballot? (IF DOESN'T MENTION AREA VOCATIONAL TECHNICAL EDUCA­ TION, OR SOMETHING SIMILAR TO THAT, PROBE.) IF MENTIONS A V T E , CHECK YES. IF DOESN'T, CHECK NO. 2. How much millage was being asked for the Area Voca­ tional Education Center? IF RESPONDS 1.95 OR BETWEEN ONE AND TWO MILL, CHECK YES. ANY OTHER RESPONSE, CHECK NO. IF DON'T KNOW, CHECK DK. 3. During the past few months did you hear anything about Area Vocational Technical Education? IF NO, GO TO QUESTION 4. IF YES, Where did you hear about it? CHECK APPROPRIATE COLUMN: 4. NEWSPAPER, RADIO, TELEVISION, CITIZEN'S COMMITTEE, FRIENDS/ NEIGHBORS, BROCHURES Were you contacted by the Intermediate School Dis­ trict or the Citizen's Committee regarding voting in the June 11 election for the Area Vocational Tech­ nical Education Center? IF YES, CHECK YES. IF NO, CHECK NO. 5. Did you vote in the election on June 11? IF YES, CHECK YES. IF NO, CHECK NO. (GO TO 6) 245 6. Would you please tell me whether you voted for or against the millage for the Area Vocational Technical Education CEnter? IF FOR, CHECK FOR. IF AGAINST, CHECK AGAINST. Thank you very much for your time. appreciated. Your help is greatly APPENDIX 4 CODEBOOK 246 SHIAWASSEE COUNTY CENTRALIZED VOCATIONAL EDUCATION CODEBOOK CARD 1 COLS. 01-08 QUESTION NUMBER Identification number Col. 01 Sex (1) (2) Male Female 02 School District (1) Byron (2) Corunna (3) Durand (4) Laingsburg (5) New Lothrup (6) Morrice (7) Owosso (8) Perry (9) Other 03 Vote (1) (2) (3) (4) 04-06 For Against Undecided/Can't Say No Response Questionnaire ID Number Card Number (00) Card 1 (01) Card 2 (02) Card 3 Card 4 (03) Card 5 (04) Card 6 (05) Card 7 (06) Card 8 (07) Card 9 (08) Card 10 (09) (10) Card 11 (11) Card 12 247 PRACTICE QUESTIONS 09-12 13-17 18-21 22-26 27-30 31-35 36-39 40-44 45-48 49-53 54-57 58-62 2021 Cold rain and warm sunshine 2223 Good and bad 2425 Good and practical training 2627 Work skills and necessary 2829 Concerned and your friends 3031 Happy and yourself CARD 2 01-08 09-12 13-17 18-21 22-26 27-30 31-35 36-39 40-44 45-48 49-53 1 2 3 4 5 54-57 58-62 63-66 67-71 6 72-75 76-80 8 7 Identification Number 0102 Job opportunities and training 0103 Job opportunities and 0104 Job opportunities and 0105 Job opportunities and 0106 Job opportunities and vocational education 0107 Job opportunities and 0108 Job opportunities and programs 0109 Job opportunities and (SEE ABOVE) practical work skills college expensive centralized tax increase duplication of needed CARD 3 01-08 09-12 13-17 9 18-21 22-26 10 27-30 31-35 36-39 40-44 45-48 49-53 11 12 13 Identification Number (SEE ABOVE) 0110 Job opportunities and discipline problems 0111 Job opportunities and intermediate school district 0112 Job opportunities and your vote for 0113 Job opportunities and your vote against 0203 Practical training and work skills 248 54-57 58-62 63-66 67-71 72-75 76-80 14 15 16 0204 Practical training and college 0205 Practical training and expensive 0206 Practical training and centralized vocational education CARD 4 01-08 09-12 13-17 18-21 22-26 17 18 27-30 31-35 36-39 40-44 19 45-48 49-53 21 54-57 58-62 63-66 67-71 72-75 76-80 22 20 Identification Number (SEE ABOVE) 0207 Practical training and tax increase 0208 Practical training and duplication of programs 0209 Practical training and needed 0210 Practical training and discipline problems 0211 Practical training and intermediate school district 23 24 0212 Practical training and your vote for 0213 Practical training and your vote against 0304 Work skills and college CARD 5 01-08 09-12 13-17 18-21 22-26 27-30 31-35 36-39 40-44 45-48 49-53 54-57 58-62 63-66 67-71 72-75 76-80 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 Identification Number (SEE ABOVE) 0305 Work skills and expensive 0306 Work skills and centralized vocational education 0307 Work skills and tax increase 0308 Work skills and duplication of programs 0309 Work skills and needed 0310 Work skills and discipline problems 0311 Work skills and intermediate school district 0312 Work skills and your vote for 249 CARD 6 01-08 09-12 13-17 18-21 22-26 27-30 31-35 36-39 40-44 45-48 49-53 54-57 58-62 63-66 67-71 72-75 76-80 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 Identification Number (SEE ABOVE) 0313 Work skills and your vote against 0405 College and expensive 0406 College and centralized vocational education 0407 College and tax increase 0408 College and duplication of programs 0409 College and needed 0410 College and discipline problems 0411 College and intermediate school district CARD 7 01-08 09-12 13-17 18-21 22-26 27-30 31-35 36-39 40-44 45-48 49-53 54-57 58-62 63-66 67-71 72-75 76-80 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 Identification number (SEE ABOVE) 0412 College and your vote for 0413 College and your vote against 0506 Expensive and centralized vocational education 0507 Expensive and tax increase 0508 Expensive and duplication of programs 0509 Expensive and needed 0510 Expensive and discipline problems 0511 Expensive and intermediate school district CARD 8 01-08 09-12 13-17 18-21 22-26 27-30 31-35 49 50 51 Identification Number (SEE ABOVE) 0512 Expensive and your vote for 05i3 Expensive and your vote against 0607 Centralized vocational education and tax increase 250 36-39 40-44 52 45-48 49-53 53 54-57 58-62 54 63-66 67-71 55 72-75 76-80 56 0608 Centralized vocational education duplication of programs 0609 Centralized vocational education needed 0610 Centralized vocational education discipline problems 0611 Centralized vocational education intermediate school district 0612 Centralized vocational education your vote for and and and and and CARD 9 01-08 09-12 13-17 57 18-21 22-26 58 27-30 31-35 36-39 40-44 45-48 49-53 59 54-57 58-62 63-66 67-71 72-75 76-80 60 61 62 63 64 Identification Number (SEE ABOVE) 0613 Centralized vocational education and your vote against 0708 Tax increase and duplication of programs 0709 Tax increase and needed 0710 Tax increase and discipline problems 0711 Tax increase and intermediate school district 0712 Tax increase and your vote for 0713 Tax increase and your vote against 0809 Duplication of programs and needed CARD 10 01-08 09-12 13-17 65 18-21 22-26 66 27-30 31-35 67 36-39 40-44 68 Identification Number (SEE ABOVE) 0810 Duplication of programs and discipline problems 0811 Duplication of programs and intermediate school district 0812 Duplication of programs and your vote for 0813 Duplication of programs and your vote against 251 45-48 49-53 54-57 58-62 69 63-66 67-71 72-75 76-80 71 70 72 0910 Needed and 0911 Needed and district 0912 Needed and 0913 Needed and discipline nroblems intermediate school your vote for your vote against CARD 11 01-08 09-12 13-17 73 18-21 22-26 27-30 31-35 74 36-39 40-44 76 45-48 49-53 77 54-57 58-62 78 75 Identification Number (SEE ABOVE) 1011 Discipline problems and intermediate school district 1012 Discipline problems and your vote for 1013 Discipline problems and your vote against 1112 Intermediate school district and your vote for 1113 Intermediate school district and your vote against 1213 Your vote for and your vote against CARD 12 Identification Number (SEE ABOVE) People like me have no say about what the School Board does (1) Agree (2) Disagree (3) Depends (4) Don't Know (5) No Response 01-08 09 79 10 80 Voting only way tohave (1) Agree (2) Disagree (3) Depends (4) Don't Know (5) No Response 11 81 School politics toocomplicated (1) Agree (2) Disagree (3) Depends (4) Don't Know (5) No Response say School officials don't care what people think (1) Agree (2) Disagree (3) Depends (4) Don't Know (5) No Response People on School Board loose touch (1) Agree (2) Disagree (3) Depends (4) Don't Know (5) No Response School Board only interested in votes (1) Agree (2) Disagree (3) Depends (4) Don't Know (5) No Response School Board wastes tax monies (1) Waste a lot (2) Some of it (3) Not very much at all (4) Don't Know (5) No Response Trust School Board to do right (1) Just about always (2) Most of the time (3) Some of it (4) Don't Know (5) No Response School Board run by a few big interests (1) A few big interests (2) Benefit of all (4) Don't Know (5) No Response People running School Board are smart people (1) Smart people (2) Don't know what they're doing (4) Don't know (5) No Response 253 19 89 People running School Board are crooked (1) Quite a few (2) Not very many (3) Hardly any (4) Don't know (5) No Response 20 90 Any (1) (2) (9) upcoming county-wide elections Yes No No response 21 90a Who (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (8) (9) called election County Attorney ISD State Ed. Dept. Someone else Other NA No response 22 90b Has (1) (2) (8) (9) SCISD called election Yes No NA No response 23 91 What's election about (1) New grade school (2) Area vocational technical education (3) Special education (4) Other-nursing home (5) Other (8) NA (9) No response 24 92 How (1) (2) (3) (4) (8) (9) much millage is being asked Less than one Between one and two More than two Other NA No response/refused 93 Read newspaper regularly (1) Yes (2) No (9) No response MEDIA 25 254 93a 26 27 28 29 30 31 Which one(s) (below coded 1 if y e s , 0 if no) Detroit Free Press Detroit News Owosso Argus Press Lansing State Journal Flint Journal Others (1) (2) (3) (4) (9) No response 94 32 33 34 35 36 37 Which newspapers subscribed to (coded 1 if yes, 0 if no) Detroit Free Press Detroit News Owosso Argus Press State Journal Flint Journal Others (1) (2) (3) (4) (9) No response/refused 38 95 Hours listen to radio (0) None (1) One (2) Two (3) Three (4) Four (5) Five (6) Six (7) Seven or more (9) No response 39 96 Radio station listened to (1) WOAP (2) (3) (4) (8) NA (9) No response 255 40 96a WOAP (1) (2) (3) (8) (9) 41 97 Heard anything about area vocational technical education (1) Yes (2) No (8) Refused (9) No response 42 43 44 45 46 47 97a 97b 97c 97d 97e 97f 48 98 AM, FM or Both AM FM Both NA No response Source (coded 1 if yes, 2 if no, 8 if NA and 9 if no response) In Newspaper On radio From a friend Flyer or brochure A poster At a meeting Times voted in a general election in past two years (0) None (1) One (2) Two (3) Three (4) (8) Refused (9) No response 49 99 50 100 Times voted in school election (0) None (1) One (2) Two (3) Three (8) Refused (9) No response Last time voted in school election (0) None (1) (2) (3) (8) Refused (9) No response How (1) (2) (3) (4) (8) (9) voted For Against Don't know Refused NA No response Likelihood of voting June 11 (1) Yes (2) No (3) Don't know (4) Refused (9) No response Likelihood of voting in favor Code number as given except: (777) Refused (888) NA (999) No response School district (1) Byron (2) Corunna (3) Durand (4) Laingsburg (5) New Lothrup (6) Morrice (7) Owosso (8) Perry (9) Other Own (1) (2) (3) (8) (9) or rent Own Rent Other Refused No response Respondent's education (1) 8th grade of less (2) 9th-12th grade (3) H.S. degree (4) Trade school after high school (5) Some college (6) College degree (7) Graduate work (8) Graduate degree (9) No response/refused 257 59 107 Ever taken voc ed (1) Yes (2) No (7) NA (8) Refused (9) No response 60 108 Children at home (1) Yes (2) No (3) Not married (8) Refused (9) No response 61 109 Children taken voc ed (1) Yes (2) No (3) Children not in high school yet (7) Refused (8) NA (9) No response 62-63 110 Respondent's age (code as given) 64 111 Employment status of respondent (1) Full (2) Part (3) No (8) Refused (9) No response 65-67 112 Occupation of respondent (000) Unknown job listed (100) Housewife (300) Retired (400) Farmer (500) Blue collar (600) White collar (700) Managerial (800) Professional (888) NA (999) Refused 68 113 Work in Shiawassee County (1) Shiawassee (2) Somewhere else (7) NA (8) Refused (9) No response 258 69 114 Total household income (1) Less than $10,000 (2) More than $10,000 but less than $20,000 (3) More than $20,000 but less than $30,000 (4) More than $30,000 (5) Student (6) Unemployed (7) Retired (8) Refused (9) No response 70 115 Sex of respondent (1) Male (2) Female SELECTED BIBLIOGRAPHY SELECTED BIBLIOGRAPHY Articles Aberbach, Joel. 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