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UMI U n iversity M icro film s Intern ation al A B e ll & H ow ell Inform a tion C o m p a n y 3 00 N o rth Z e e b R oad, Ann Arbor, Ml 4810 6-13 46 USA 3 1 3 /7 6 1 -4 7 0 0 8 0 0 /5 2 1 -0 6 0 0 O rder N u m b er 8923 8 5 4 E v a lu a tio n o f m u ltilev el sa m p lin g tech n iq u es for fo rest in ven tory in n o rth ern M ich ig a n Humphreys, Rubens Dias, Ph.D . Michigan State University, 1989 UMI 300 N. Zeeb Rd. Ann Arbor, MI 48106 EVALUATION OF MULTILEVEL SAMPLING TECHNIQUES FOR FOREST INVENTORY IN NORTHERN MICHIGAN By Rubens Dias Humphreys A DISSERTATION Submitted to Michigan State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY Department of Forestry 1989 ABSTRACT EVALUATION OF MUL TILEVEL SAMPLING TECHNIQUES FOR FOREST INVENTORY IN NORTHERN MICHIGAN By Rubens Dias Humphreys There are to forest several inventory. sampling The selection of one depends on several aspects the area; funds etc. size of available; the multistage or area; remotely sensed objectives of multilevel multiphase imagery the most appropriate : number of forest type(s) availability In large areas, methods that can be applied remotely sampling can of be inventory; sensed imagery, techniques used. is essential for the in such as Incorporation of the application of such methods. Two multilevel multistage method sampling whic h has techniques were been used quite evaluated: frequently a in inventories in the USA and a multiphase technique which has been recently stages. The developed. first 1:107,000; the photographs and measurements. The technique where stage second the The former was composed of three used LANDSAT TM imagery enlarged to stage third utilized stage later method was a stratification of 1:24,000 incorporated stratified the area CIR ground two phase was done by Rubens Dias Humphreys computer classification of the digital representation of the imagery. random The first sample phase within each sub-sample of the first, The study was of approach stratum; the was second a simple phase was a where field measurements were done. conducted Wexford County, this Michigan. on an area of 4 7,850 acres in Field measurements were done using point sampling and the volumes of trees were estimated using specific volume size, the lower than sampling that variables used the second forest equations. for for the sampling contained on The size of for the of the multiphase sample technique technique. The units (estimated secondary unit) was size selection probabilities the primary for area of the and for the were not sampling units chosen a) only two P S U ’s were contained red oak stratum; subdivision reduced (percent crown closure), was not convenient because: within the the third stage sampling units appropriate. the using a multistage to calculate stage type error Although b) it was conifer too large stratum and to be used c) produced variations on the selection probabilities calculated for the second stage, which resulted in negative between its size variable and predicted volume. correlations This work is specially dedicated to my parents, Brigida D. Humphreys and Dr. Jorge Humphreys (in memoriam) ACKNOWLEDGMENTS I would Brazilian Cultura like to Government express through my the appreciation Ministerio da to the Educacao e for the financial support of my studies at Michigan State University. Also to the Instituto de Pesquisas Tecnologicas do Estado de Sao Paulo SA - IPT for allowing me to leave my duties in order to pursue my degree. My appreciation Dr. Carl during W. all Ramm the and for his steps graduate committee respect of Dr. goes to my major professor support, my patience graduate Robert Marty, Dr. Karen Potter Witter and program Dr. guidance and to my David P. Lusch and for their guidance and constructive critiques of my work. My most sincere appreciation to Geraldo Jose Zenid, Marcelo de Andrade and Joyce de Andrade for their invaluable support in taking care of our things; to Mr. Sergey G. Guins and his wife M r s . Katherine Guins for their love and help in hours we needed most. To other friends from the Wood Division that directly or indirectly gave their contribution and support, s ig ni fic ant . even if small, but that sure ends up being To the Department to Dr. Dennis W. of Natural Resources Hu dson from the Center of Michigan and for Remote Sensing, for allowing me to use the imagery of the study area. Finally, gratitude to but my not wife the least Berenice for important, her love, my deepest encouragement and support during this laborious journey and to my daughter Sheila, although of understanding. still a child but with a great capability TABLE OF CONTENTS Page LIST OF T A B L E S ................................................. ix LIST OF F I G U R E S ............................................... xi CHAPTER 1 ................................................... Introduction . Statement of the Problem and Assumptions ......... 1 1 3 CHAPTER 2 ................................................... 7 Literature R e v i e w ..................................... 7 Background .......................................... 7 Simple Random S a m p l i n g ........... 10 Stratified Random Sampling ..................... 12 Cluster Sampling ................................ 15 Multilevel Sampling D e s i g n s ........................ 15 Double S am p l i n g ...................................... 17 Systematic S a m p l i n g ................................. 17 Multistage Sampling T e c h n i q u e .......................... 19 Multiphase Sampling T e c h n i q u e .......................... 26 CHAPTER 3 ...................................................... 30 M e t h o d s ................................................... 30 Multistage Sampling T e c h n i q u e ........................ 31 Sensitivity Analysis ............................ 35 Multiphase Sampling T e c h n i q u e ........................37 Study A r e a ............................................ 40 L o c a t i o n ............................................ 40 General Characteristics. . . . . . 40 Data S e l e c t i o n ............. 42 Remotely Sensed I m a g e r y ............................ 42 Field M e a s u r e m e n t s ................................. 43 Data Pro c es si ng ........................................ 45 Ph ot oin te rpr eta ti on ................................. 45 Multistage Sampling T e c h n i q u e ..................... 46 First stage Sample Selection ................ 46 Second stage Sample S e l e c t i o n ................... 48 Third stage Sample Selection ................ 49 Multiphase Sampling T e c h n i q u e ..................... 50 Digital Image Processing ..................... 50 Page Phase one Sample S e l e c t i o n ..................... 57 Phase two Sample S e l e c t i o n ..................... 59 Location and Transfer of the Samples from the Imagery to the Base Map. . 60 Equations Used for Volume Estimation ........ 61 Area Es t i m a t i o n ......................................64 Time Measurements and C o s t s ........................64 CHAPTER 4 ...................................................... 66 R e s u l t s ................................................... 66 Multistage Sampling T e c h n i q u e ........................67 Proportionality Between Measure of Size and Predicted Volume ......................... 72 Sensitivity A n a l y s i s ................ 77 Multiphase Sampling Technique. .................. 88 Digital Image Processing ....................... 88 Estimated Volume, Variance and Time Measurements ................................... 88 96 CHAPTER 5 ................................ D i s c u s s i o n ............................................... 96 Red Oak S t r a t u m ......................................97 Conifer Stratum ................................... 105 Hardwood Stratum. . 114 General C o ns id er a ti on s ..............................120 Population Estimates. . . . ..................... 125 Digital Image P r o c e s s i n g ........................... 127 Time Measurements and C o s t s .......................140 Number of S a m p l e s ................ 144 CHAPTER 6 .....................................................147 Summary and C o n c l u s i o n s ................................ 147 APP ENDIX A ....................................................156 AP PENDIX B ................................................... 159 APPENDIX.. C ....................................................165 APPENDIX.. D ....................................................166 AP PE NDI X ..E ....................................................167 LITERATURE C I T E D .............................................. 169 LIST OF TABLES Page Table 1 Total Number of Sampling Units on Each, S t r a t u m ............................................ 57 Table 2 Values of the Sampling F r a c t i o n ................. 60 Table 3 Coefficients for the Volume Equation by S p e c i e s ............................................ 62 Table 4 Estimated Total Volume, Standard Deviation Coefficient of Variation and Confidence Intervals for Each Stratum and the P o p u l a t i o n ......................... 68 Table 5 Total and Merchantable Basal Area for Each S t r a t u m ............................................ 70 Table 6 Estimated Areas for Each Stratum, Government and Private Land and T o t a l ............................................... 71 Table 7 Estimated Volume per Acre and Standard D e v i a t i o n .......................................... 71 Table 8 Time Spent on the Activities for the Multistage Technique ......................... 73 Table 9 Changes in the Estimated Total Volume and its Variance with Changes in the Selecton Probabilities for C o n i f e r s ............ 78 Table 10 Effects of Changing the Selection Probabilities on the Estimated Total Volume and its Variance for C o n i f e r ............ 79 Table 11 Changes in the Estimated Total Volume and its Variance with Changes in the Selection Probabilities for Hardwood . . . . 80 Page Table 12 Effects of Changing the Selection Probabilities on the Estimated Total Volume and its Variance for Hardwood . . . . 81 Table 13 Changes in the Estimated Total Volume and its Variance Associated with Changes in the Selection Probabilities for Red O a k ........................................ 83 Table 14 Effects of Changing the Selection Probabilities on the Estimated Total Volume and its Variance for Red O a k ............ 84 Table 15 Table 16 Minimum and Maximum Values for the Total Volume and the V a r i a n c e ................... 89 Univariate Statistics for the Study Area . 90 Table 17 Results of the Supervised Classification of the Study A r e a ................................. 90 Table 18 Estimated Volume per Acre, Standard Deviation and Coefficient of Variation for the ith Population S t r a t a .................. 91 Table 19 Estimated Volume per Acre, Standard Deviation and Coefficient of Variation for the Four Phase one Strata and the P o p u l a t i o n ........................................ 91 Table 20 Total and Merchantable Basal Area for the Phase one S t r a t a ............................ 93 Table 21 Time Spent on the Activities for the Multiphase Technique ......................... 94 LIST OF FIGURES Page Figure 1 Location of the Study A r e a ...................... 41 Figure 2 Prediction Variable versus Predicted Volume for the Second stage for a) Hardwood, b) Conifer and c) Red Oak . .. 75 Prediction Variable versus Predicted Volume for the Third stage for a) Hardwood, b) Conifer and c) Red Oak . . . 76 Figure 3 Figure 4 Effect of Changing the Selection Probabilities on a) Volume and b) Variance for H a r d w o o d ................... 85 Figure 5 Effect of Changing the Selection Probabilities on a) Volume and b) Variance for C o n i f e r . ................... 86 Figure 6 Effect of Changing the Selection Probabilities on a) Volume and b) Variance for Red O a k ......................87 Figure 7 Feature Space For Bands 4 and 5 ............... 129 Figure 8 Feature Space For Bands 4 and 6 ............... 130 Figure 9 Feature Space For Bands 4 and 7 ............... 131 Figure 10 Feature Space For Bands 5 and 6 ............... 132 Figure 11 Feature Space for Bands 5 and 7 ............... 133 Figure 12 Feature Space for Bands 6 and 7 ............... 134 Figure 13 Feature Space for Principal Components 1 and 2 ........................................... 135 CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION The term International itemized inventory is Dictionary list of of current applied to commercial defined the by the English assets". The enterprises where W e b s t e r ’s Language term was it was Third as: "an initially necessary to control the stock of raw materials and the items produced. The bearing size, term exploited or not, water defined capable by FAO as dominated by of producing : "all regime, or providing shelter for lands trees of wood or of exerting an influence on the climate any other or on the lifestock and wild­ (Loetsch g_t _al• 1964 )". By combining inventory. species The that "itemized as both occur precision. we form the term forest generally refers to the tree a specific to the area tabulated of interest. information The about This information can be presented in several ways by of in refers tree species, information normally number words "current assets" list" the trees. such is a vegetation association products, life forest refers trees occurring The information diameter to in classes, quality. estimated volume the may be area, with expressed an on and to The the associated a per unit are basis (hectare or acre), and the precision is a measure of its reliability. The information depends 1964; to be on the objectives Nyyssonen, i s , for 1976). instance, obtained of the If future the future instance, land implementation inventory is with purpose the trees, tree specifying the available gathered on of aim on appropriate. quality. making the use area, type 1976, inventory. The an answer (Nyyssonen, much species, 1978): "How dimensions and grade, time alternative periods cost this question use of for reconnaissance inventory volume of diameter 1978). inventories inventory is to provide to 1976). is done standing classes and the uses of The information is of little use in investment decisions. pre-investment given inventory recreational is given to Information for this objective a a total emphasis reconnaissance the al . identify projects species, stock (Nyyssonen, of planning, is to estimating Normally no (Loetsch (Nyyssonen, the by inventory there is no need to gather This volume forest objective information related to tree volume for a inventory studies or waters he d management, If, by the at limits depends available should be obtained purpose industrial stock. wood, can be made volume on the type The this type to the following tentative per of from of question specified by available within mill unit?". sites The within answer to of industry that is going requirement for a paper mill, plywood mill or sawmill of acceptable species, are quite different in terms dimensions and grades. If the owner of a forest tract wants information aimed at management planned to quantity decisions, obtain of then estimates timber cut. the of the Other inventory volume types of should growth forest and be the inventory exist and some are discussed by Husch (1971). It must be emphasized that the information generated by alternative types interchangeable. of Although information, including type, advised it is for each situation 1.1 specific methods on that may maker and taking accessibility on basic step of agencies, be the existing of their inventory designed Problem and in There Assumptions A order timber in are for to planning of the a or and sampling conducting objectives in companies several forest obtain products private involved available i nv ent or ies . Depending of not 1976). i n v e nt or ie s . are use is regardless specific availability foresters forest a of the Government make inventories make the inventories can (Nyyssonen, the area. consulting executing to constitutes information one past Statement inventory forest forest decision into consideration factors such as size and of the area, forest types present and funds a v a i l a b l e , an appropriate selection of a sampling method can be done. The problem: decision selecting maker a may be multilevel faced with sampling the following technique for reconnaissance inventory when a large area to be inventoried is involved case, and limited funding either a multistage is available. or multiphase In sampling such a techniques can be considered. In order selecting to give guidance the technique, for the most appropriate a multistage decision maker multilevel in sampling and a multiphase method were chosen from the several multilevel sampling methods available to be evaluated on the present for the selection of research project. the methods were: for the use of remotely sensed and when satellite large satellite digital imagery areas to imagery format inventory may or imagery, methods should as is well inventoried the may the be as not the have of and applicable in situations where c) convenient b) to printed the since transparent responsable imagery allow airphotos involved; facilities form digital, are in printed, satellite in including are organization requirements they should such images available and digital images be a) imagery, because The for be for and the processing used or on the transparent methods stratification of should the be forest is possible. Based selected on was these the r eq ui r em en ts , one multiphase method was The first inventories method developed multistage Langley been in the west coast used more region of the method ( 1975 ) and the one developed by Johnston has The second method was by the (1982). frequently United only recently developed. the for States. No record of its (practical) data could approach selecting to between taken the found independently except Forest size the is plots were within with simulated an area northern equivalent to selected maker in techniques, located lower on Michigan. the The two townships. for each method and, point samples were equations were used randomly chosen sample volume. Regional volume per acre volume. decision sampling two to estimate plot, the them on in independently each to area help multilevel apply National of to two Manistee used be (Johnston ,e_t. .al. , 1983). The was use Stratification Sample of the area was done by photointerpretation of 1:24,000 CIR (color infrared) t r a n s p a r e n c i e s . As the multiphase method requires the use of digital imagry, on ERDAS-400 the Sensing at the cost several The the processing microcomputer Michigan for each State activities on each total field and office for method, each consult ing of time the foresters Center order required cost as average working per Michigan average price was estimated by a telephone among registered consulting foresters to was in Remote estimate measured. terms of the for each by measuring to estimate in for calculated estimated price performed to perform the procedures total volume t i m e . In order an the procedures was done precision of the estimated and by the at image was U n i v e r s i t y . In m e t h o d , the evaluation of both method of this the total hour was charged used. the cost by This survey conducted in Michigan. For the assumptions purpose were objective was of made. this First, to perform an estimation desired. Second, pulpwood values order of the given to estimate total costs, was assumed this type of volume estimated in it project, a reconnaissance area. As previously defined, when research cubic of volume feet that inventory of the the inventory is done standing would per several acre. the work would be trees refer to is the Finally, in performed as if it were done by an individual consulting forester. The value to results of future users this research are of the methods northern region of Michigan. in expected to inventories be of in the CHAPTER 2 LITERATURE REVIEW 2.1 Ba ckground In the planning inventory it is necessary to define, unit of assessment. executed, In If a national phase of a among other things, forest inventory forest the is to be the unit of assessment could be a state or region. smaller properties, it could be the whole property, a stand or areas with similar forest types, age or site index. These or units may be remotely sensed delineated imagery (e.g. on a map airphotos, on any satellite form or of radar i m a g e r y ). The use of remotely provides an immense of a forest inventory. area can be sensed amount imagery, mainly of information By means for the may also be areas may not crown diameters, be identified of and immediate crown execution of photointerpretation, stratified into several forest types. areas airphotos, closure segregated interest. and, in Nonforest since these Measurements some the cases, of tree height can be made precisely. Although airphotos, it all these is only data in rare can instances be that obtained timber from volume can be directly estimated (Husch, 1971). As a result, field measurements are always part of any forest inventory. If the forest area is small or the trees very valuable, all the trees on case we would obtain a census Care must tree be twice the taken or to property could be in such omit or cases any of a complete not to the these of acres, cases, method has are a census to be the object would not chosen in be In this enumeration. measure trees Normally larger areas of forest lands, thousands measured. the (Husch, same 1971). involving hundreds or of the inventory. feasible order to method, it and In a sampling estimate the parameters of interest. the In applying any sampling population be clearly considered as the is chosen (Freese, are the minimum aggregate 1962; size defined. of units Cochran, unit (Chapelle, interest (population) is divided specified size. it is not sampling Once sampling This to that population from which The which the the is sample sampling units population is In a forest inventory the area of into sampling units with a size has to be kept constant possible apply the laws of otherwise probabilities of (Loetsch ei a l . 1964). the population units subdivision forest 1985). The 1977). into divided is essential types may of a be defined, specified based or upon similar conditions. is on results past of Independent it size is subdivided and experience previous shape. with inventories of the size or into This common under shape of the 9 sampling units, unbiased interest can be obtained. and size of the estimates a sampling units available, map it of can sampling units. the whole The map the are frame that the cost of used to of the survey (Husch g_t ,al• 1982). property population and of parameter to be subdivide inventoried the area is into the One restriction is that the units must cover showing list the be the What will be affected by the shape and the precision of the estimate If of the all the not overlap sampling units units sample measurements. A must on the constitutes p o p u l a t i o n . It of units sampling (Cochran, will frame can be the frame is selected also be 1977). from for or this field established by using airphotos or other forms of remotely sensed data such as when satellite large areas or radar i m a g e r y . The covering thousands latter of are acres used are to be i n v e n to ri ed . There are several sampling methods that can be to forest in v e n t o r y . The method depends on the area of composed of only one of the selection of a r e a ; the objectives The sampling selected randomly the of probability s e l e c t i o n , once interest: of the each systematically. are first t y p e s ; the inventory; the is extent costs of remotely sensed i m a g e r y . units wi thin or the appropriate whether the area or of several forest i n v o l v e d ; the availability laws the most applied involved sampling In method may random whereas in selection, systematic unit is selected the positions the remaining units are automatically d e f i n e d . be of 10 2.1.1 consists Simple of Random selecting Sampling sampling units (SRS) from - the This method population such that every possible combination of n units has an equal chance of being advantage of estimate of selected the SRS the (Freese, method is parameter estimation of the sampling 1962; that of Cochran, it yields interest error, which 1977). an and The unbiased allows the is a measure of the precision of the estimate. The sampling replacement. In units the can first be selected case, a unit can sample more than once and in the second, appear in the sample only once. The with or without appear in the a selected unit may formula for computing standard error is different depending upon which replacement system is used; replacement The formula (Freese, use traveling the of time possibility of is simpler 1962; Cochran, SRS has some dispersed selecting sampling atypical estimates of sampling units concentrated volume applying inventory, some This irregular the with 1977). sampling such units units which may parameter in of of the and the result interest areas as when high in the or low (Husch e.Jt a l . 1982 ). In sizes. are sampling disadvantages between the for length does of the happens shapes border SRS of and the not for selecting sampling when some the units units may areas of of the measurement area or, in case of in have a forest different interest units strips, fall their fall within the limits of the area. have on total In this 11 case, the laws since they of probability can not require that size (Loetsch ei. &1. To solve may be used. this all sampling units problem, ratio or regression In ratio estimation, and the corresponding sampling unit. of timber, the known. The formula for on the the area total subject ft±. al. an to sampling (1964), ratio same of to estimate area of the the estimate error. area the from a Husch the forest of the be total If the is simpler than sample &X. total must measurement. formula in to the mean order error, estimators estimator the estimated variance precision is The of the mean volume In area is measured without if the such as area of the unit timber volume. volume depends of two related variables have unit, this case would be the ratio per be 1964). to be enumerated on the same area be rigorously applied and (1982) therefore and Loetsch present such equations. The ratio estimator is biased although the bias becomes negligible as order to use that a and the linear that (Freese, aJL the size increases 1962; (Cochran, ratio estimator effectively correlation the 1982). sample regression exists line Loetsch .&£ a l . between goes 1964; If this is not the case, the In it is required two through Cochran, 1977). variables the origin 1977; Husch ei a regression rather than a ratio estimator should be used. As used to with a ratio increase variable xi that estimate, precision by the regression the is correlated with yi use of estimate an (Cochran, is auxiliary 1977). If, 12 for instance, the xi is the area of the sampling unit corresponding coefficient would volume, express the the estimated average change and yi is regression in volume per unit change in area between the sampling units in the sample and the population (Husch e_l „al. 1982). The re are certain conditions to use the regression that must estimator population mean for the independent must the be known; the independent relationship variables has be met in order (Freese, 1962). The (supplementary) variable between to be the dependent reasonably and linear; and the variance of the dependent variable about its mean should be constant for all values of the independent variable. 2.1.2 Stratified applied when the into smaller forest areas called strata. Random to be of independent to Freese - inventoried can be more An Sampling homogeneous This method subdivided characteristics random sample is drawn within each stratum. According presents several allows separate stratum and, (1962), advantages estimates for a given over stratified simple random sampling random sampling. It of the mean and variance for each sampling intensity, it gives more precise estimates of the parameter of interest. Some requirements more efficient are (Bickford, independently have sampling 1961): from the to be met by means 1) the sampling; of in order stratification. strata 2) to obtain a must there be must These define be real is 13 differences among strata means and variances; and 3) there must be a proper distribution of units per stratum. Several criteria may be used to homogeneous strata, types, density geography, and such as topographical classes, stand separate height, conditions, the area features, age, (Bickford, into forest site classes, 1961; Husch e..fc jal. 1982). Stratification is normally done by photointerpretation. In fact, for this forest stratify is one inventory. should interest, since (Bickford, of the most valuable be When possible, closely this would 1961; Cochran, related give uses of airphotos the to large criterion used to the of parameter gains in precision 1977; Husch ,e.±. .&!. 1982). When a heterogeneous population is stratified the total variation is strata and 1964). than into two parts: the variation between the the variation strata within (Loetsch e_t a l . If the variation among units within a stratum is less the variation population random divided estimate sampling within a is stratum among will used is units be more (Freese, reduced, h o m o g e n e o u s , a precise estimate obtained sample from a small from different precise 1962). since of the (Cochran, strata, than As it if the is stratum 1977). the simple variation internally mean can The be greater the difference among stratum m e a n s , the more advantage there is to use stratified sampling in comparison to simple random sampling (Bickford, 1961). 14 The third requirement relates sample units within each stratum. used to allocate stratum such allocations In the as: advanced allocation, procedures may be optimum, and balanced number This area of the allocation procedure stratum requires this be as the if random a simple total used for the inventory (Husch Optimum allocation sample sampling is used when costs to obtain a precise estimate mean fixed a allocation, depends the cost (Husch distribution on whether the per stratum sampling unit. proportional standard units to In the the (Cochran, balanced is taken on This going to be are involved, or et al. of the second of last stratified 1982). In optimum sampling units per stratum sampling unit proportional product can was In the first case, inversely deviation. allocation In is of cost per the same in each stratum. size a l . 1982). when we want for each a If available, within in order to estimate the total number of samples to measure. calculated variance units in not the of stratum is of the to the relative 1982 ). knowledge of 1962; Husch ei jai.. 1977). proportional e_t. al. distribution total number of sampling units to each stratum is proportional (Husch the Several proportional, (Freese, to case, the case the sample stratum is or is the sample size to the varies also cost size area and called per is its Neyman 1977). allocation an each stratum. eaual This number type of sampling of allocation is 15 less efficient than proportional or optimum (Bickford, 1961). 2.1.3 Cluster Sampling - In some cases of forest inventory it may be costly or impractical to select a sample by the SRS method. This may happen when the distance between sampled units is so large that the time and cost of covering the entire area is prohibitive, identify each unit situations, number the of mutually Each cluster simple random units wi thi n is the universe sampling units. process in called units exclusive is impossible (Frayer, can be groups 1979 ). In aggregated or clusters to such into of of each group selected one is cluster stage or drawn are and all measured. simple cluster a such should have an equal number of units. sampling each or when it A the This design (F r a y e r , 1979). When the units of regional or national assessment forest are large, inventories, such as in the measurement of all units within a cluster is costly or impracticable. convenient units of in such cases hierarchical to order. subdivide the This process It is clusters into constitutes what may be called multilevel sampling designs. 2.1.4 Multilevel level implies be used 1979). that more in the These Sampling Designs than one source - The term of information will estimation of population parameters sources generally, multi­ (F r a y e r , but not necessarily, one or more types of remotely sensed imagery (e.g. involve satellite 16 images, high, medium and low altitude aerial photographs) and ground measurements. Multilevel sampling sampling and designs, a population sampling units, secondary multiphase 1982). random or which an a number subdivided units primary into smaller may (Loetsch in selection probabilities. last called multiphase sampling, variables is used from is also population parameters (Frayer, "sampling remains the unit". same, information used. second phase For 1979, 1981). multiphase independent of the A first phase unit unit, and units are partitioned so on. into varying sampling on phases between multistage and multiphase sampling the or The (P P S ). information various (Husch s„t e.t a.l • 1964). equal In be is taken by be done with with probability proportional to size turn units random selection process can The sampling of independent sample selection multistage multistage into is into tertiary sampling stage, systematic In secondary smaller, At each classified divided of The be sampling. is each units. subdivided into al. may auxiliary in estimating The difference is in the size of sampling number is of size phases the same In multistage smaller units unit size as a sampling, at each of the succeeding stage. There are two types of multiphase sampling, regression estimators Regression estimators is, for instance, a and are those using those using stratification. used when the auxiliary photo plot estimate of variable the variable of 17 interest (i.e., volume or density). Stratified are used when the auxiliary variable variable, specifying a given phase 2.1.5 into which (Johnston, Double - This phases. the use estimators and total of the random falls at 1982). Sampling regression is an indicator stratum a sampling sampling with only two of estimators auxiliary is a form This method whan variable multiphase is suitable the is of population unknown for mean (Freese, 1962). In the first phase, the auxiliary have a precise In the first second sample variable) variable phase, and A regression on (independent variable) in order to estimation of its population mean and total. a random the is measured measurement a large random sample is taken from variable of is taken interest from the (dependent (Husch e.±. a l . 1982 ). equation can both subsample variables. then be The developed using form of the the regression equation does not necessarily have to be linear. The use of remotely sensed imagery such as airphotos is possible with this could be, instance, for sampling obtained from photo al. The auxiliary the estimated volume variable per unit interpretation of photo plots area (Husch ei 1982). 2.1.6 form method. of systematic Systematic nonrandom sample to a pre-specified. Sampling sampling. are not pattern - Systematic The units selected at (Freese, sampling included random but 1962 ). The is in a a according population, 18 numbered where 1 to K=N/n. N, A is split random into number n is groups of selected K units between each 1 and K, say r * , and the r*h element of each of the K groups comprise the sample (Cochran, Systematic unbiased totals, other 1977). sampling estimates and being has of advantages homogeneous faster probability the sampling methods between (Husch faster their distribution pattern Lastly, the means and and cheaper to execute compared travel locaiton. providing population Additionally, because of size sampling of the e.±. .aJL• units 1982 ). is usually facilitates population to need their not be known since they are selected at fixed intervals. The there great is no (Husch at. al. for this minimum disadvantage valid that of two selected, method the systematic for 1982; Cochran, is systematic of estimating 1977; Frayer, calculation randomly sampling, the 1979). Another disadvantage is that systematic error The reason units. unit the others being taken at a constant that requires sampling first is sampling of variance selected only sampling is a In randomly interval. sampling may give poor precision when unsuspected periodicity is present in case, the on the the population variance of the (Cochran, estimators 1977). In change this depending correspondence between the periodic nature of the population and the sampling interval If the systematic population sample is (Frayer, of more 1979). interest effective has a than linear a trend, simple a random 19 sample in (Cochran, "random" 1977; order, equivalent to simple Frayer, then 1979). If systematic random sampling. the population sampling This is would be is one condition where an unbiased estimate for the variance of the estimator exists and can be calculated by using the equations derived for simple random sampling. 2.2 may be Multistage used for which little sample smaller and stage surveying is known. primary Sampling units smaller (Anderson, Technique vegetation The population which are units. 1979; on large Meyers areas sampling about is divided into large selectively Each Multistage subdivided subdivision s_t al. 1980; into constitutes Husch e_t a al. 1982 ) . The forestry (1964), sampling multistage for many discussed sampling years. technique Freese ( 1962 ) and the applications techniques to forest has of two inventory. been used Loetsch si and three The in al. stages primary units were composed of blocks of equal or unequal sizes, which can be delineated on maps of the area or on airphotos. The use surveys may development of airphotos in multistage or be of may the have been developed application. Johnston techniques, Formulas not method. sampling necessary, Multistage that do not depending sampling require They up four were to derived for described stages, the for on the techniques airphotos for their Such development was done by Frayer (1980). for forest (1979) multistage resource estimation of and sampling inventory. means, totals 20 and proportions, application of and the the methods respective developed was variances. The illustrated with simulated numerical examples. Yandle e.±. a l . sampling procedure ( 1977) for developed forest use of aerial photography. using a with relascope, the replacement and proportional updating a to size. survey a simpler The first stage is point sampling stage involves with selection This estimated by measuring in a stage inventory which does not make second or two method surveys sampling probabilities is more in which subsample list appropriate of trees the volume from the for is first stage. If aerial photography of the area to be inventoried can be obtained at stage. number The several proportional to scales, of each stages the size scale may one can be used as a include is not of the area to be inventoried. Two and three stages sampling designs using airphotos and ground measurements areas, have varying been between used in 100,000 forest to 1.6 surveys million of large acres. The objectives of the surveys varied but satisfactory results in terms of precision and cost were 1969; Hall of obtained the estimated (Wert, 1968 parameter and 1969; of interest Heller ei flJL. &JL. 1979; Harris e± a l . 1983 ). The launch of spaceships such as in the APOLLO program, the SKYLAB satellites, development and more recently the LANDSAT series of opened a new perspective for the application and of multistage sampling techniques. The images 21 obtained from space are multistage designs. normally used Although the as a first resolution of stage such images may not be appropriate for detailed photointerpretation, advantage that covered. One inventoried. increased they offer image The is may in contain introduction image resolution, photointerpretation, terms may the of of entire the for large area subsequent allowing increase the the area to stages more in be with detailed efficiency of sample selection at each stage. Langley variable (1969, 1971 and probability 1975) sampling developed a technique multistage which may incorporate satellite images or high-altitude photography as a first stage. inventorying several (Wert, His large method areas occasions to proved and has estimate 1968 and 1969; Anderson, Satellite images as a digital image. first in stage to been the sampling techniques. classified subdivided ground an area or was Nichols e.t classification of LANDSAT digital in a three stage the of Lee s_l a.l • 1984). data as a first stage of volume in Both forms of the image can be used as a &JL. ( 1973 ) used automatic classes. for successfully used total 1979; appropriate can be obtained as a printed image multistage image be into sampling design. four timber The volume The second stage was composed of aerial photography selected primary measurements. The effective when compared to units. method the The third was 10 points stage shown to was be the cost system applied to 22 the same area. The sampling error was 8.2%, which was far below the acceptable value of 20% for the area inventoried. Multistage sampling designs have been applied not only to estimate total volume but other parameters of interest as well. Hall ei. al. for collecting and width, species grazing ( 1979) used a two stage sampling procedure data on vegetation parameters percent for cover, general and wildlife such as relative density and land use planning management. Color height frequency by with emphasis on infrared photographs (CIR) at a scale of 1:12,000 and line transects were used as the first and second stages, per unit respectively. Although the cost area of the inventory was considered high, the CIR photographs proved useful for inventory stratification. Gialdini followed based in e.t. „&! • the design information studies in (1973), and the order to the where the ^he demons! inventory sampling imagery described the implementation anagement wac LANDSAT and system, system for timber discussed (1975) author ate the The first by used useful as was a this timber particular management parameters area, basal addition to study, purposes. such as number area growth volume. might In have not the second On of acres, and surface this case, area a three five case of case the study e.t. a.l • appropriate first stage. the objective been number be imagery- Nichols Estimating only the total merchantable volume, of an to applicability described proved < escribed planning. procedure steps enough study, of trees, other basal were estimated stage for in stratified 23 sampling procedure was used. LANDSAT data were first used stage but probabilities. were not Instead, to LANDSAT used on calculate data selection were used for stratification and for area measurement within strata, on computer the use classification. of the LANDSAT surveys, inflated parameter if used and data variances probability reason was can with were each be considered The this in to in multiparameter size for results s a t i s f a c t o r y , although some sampling positively and overall based change obtained proportional other. for that if the variables are not all correlated survey The the highly of the is the relative standard error associated with some parameters was above the 5% specified for the v o l u m e . Langley (1978), discussed possibilities of using remote sensing in multistage methods for difficulties The multiresource al. case stage used in a objectives evaluated of manual simple each size) For this three stage sampling. the the sampling The ground digital sampling to of S190 Other S190 CIR 2 ) the imagery application units PPS (probabi lit y proportional condition showed and that the CIR 1) the efficiency for selecting sampling results by data as the method. enlarged classes and detail SKYLAB in the analysis were: timber volume random analysis, instead of LANDSAT s t a g e , as opposed between presented was discussed in more photointerpretation in identifying of study (1973) . photography was first sampling involved in such i n v e n t o r i e s . third Titus i n v e n t o r i e s , and the the at to correlation photointerpreter *s 24 timber into volume two estimations classes promising higher class for a (timber first correlations and stage with were very low. non-timber) conditions. division seemed stratification, ground A due This more to the suggested that PPS sampling would be more efficient than simple random sampling. The probability of selection would be proportional to the percent of the primary unit covered by t i m b e r . The feasibility sampling design of using for regional LANDSAT data forest in a multistage inventory was by Nichols el .al. (1976) and Harding at al. discussed ( 1978) . The area involved was 10 million acres located in western Washington. The objectives volume data of base c l a s s , within the inventory were for a large a limited accuracy. Basal ownership categories h a r d w o o d . The to region, by time and to an area per for acre both was second specified precision of provide broad a forest ownership acceptable level of estimated by growth 10% f ive conifer for the and estimated mean was achieved for four of the five ownership ca t e g o r i e s . The study using did LANDSAT not data positively for showed the promise of carried out to forest confirm the management feasibility inventory of but it such d a t a . Further research was to be compare a detailed LANDSAT classification with the current forest management in v e n t o r y . Stratif ication i nve nto ry . The strata of criterion. area is to be homogeneous This allows a common inventoried composition, for practice is forest subdivided based a reduction on in on into specific the total number 25 of sampling units, strata, of more since they will homogeneous be located variance. The on areas, end result or is a reduction on the cost of the survey. Multistage sampling has been used with satisfactory results in situations where area to be inventoried was stratified (Wert, al. 1969; Titus e ± a l . 1973; 1975; Harris ei al. sampling techniques techniques with .at al. 1983). the 1968; Heller et Gialdini ei al. 1975; Langley, On other a p p l i c a t i o n s , multistage have been satisfactory combined results with multiphase (H e g y i , 1980; Peterson 1983 ) . Although multistage sampling has been successfully used for forest has some surveys of in technique the error that number for of for a may not completely plots of application when the is done as over multistage disadvantage stratification disadvantage population ground o bj e c t i v e s , the p l o t s . Because randomly distributed sampling than ground multistage variability plots different d i s a d v a n t a g e s . One distribution use of for of would sampling random sampling is is vegetation inventory the is of much the to with can be of larger the 1980) . same Another related to its stratified. If type, it tends to (A l d r e d , 1980) . economic o n e . In some interest of number be apply a multistage procedure basically an parameter the a r e s u l t , the sampling .al • localized aspect, equal tends interfere with the efficiency of the method The decision to as the a r e a . As population by an the this detect (Meyers multistage is technique estimated to forest situations within the 26 established However, precision as the area introduction of more 1978). and cost to be stages On the other hand, by using only inventoried one gets becomes more stage. larger, feasible the (Langley, since the ratio of travel costs to the costs for installing a field plot is high for multistage design, used the method, (Meyers g.i al. 2.3 despite its disadvantages, tends to be 1980). Multiphase Sampling Technique Multiphase sampling makes use of information in auxiliary variables from various phases, or levels, (Frayer, 1979, in estimating population parameters 1981). If an n-phase sampling design is used, at each of the first n-1 phases selected, sampling units are located on the corresponding imagery. correlated levels with the the final phase, of variable of An auxiliary interest, variable, is measured. ground measurements may be taken At (Johnston, 1982 ) . The difference between multistage the size of the "sampling units". unit size phases of size as a the units is constant, those is information used. second are are using phase and independent so (F r a y e r , 1979, two types regression of on. into is in In a multiphase design the A first partitioned succeeding stage There it and multiphase of phase In the unit is the multistage smaller number units of same sampling, at each 1981 ) . multiphase estimators, sampling also dependent phases and those using stratification, designs: called with also called 27 with independent type is used phases when the auxiliary estimate of density), which is measured is when the used the (Loetsch variable indicating falls a at given on the multiphase sampling, (Johnston, Double limited can also two used is photographs of the as the first phase. photo variable For plots of and or ratio (Hush useful area are of photo plots For plot the selected interest. the quite example, is and second phases. mean first unit of the type the multiphase sampling are A developed between data the type indicator Most discuss or of second sampling estimators si .al. 1982). when aerial available. are randomly In such selected A supplementary or auxiliary variable is photointerpretation. the of Regression inventory a large number measured. form with double estimators then a phases. Regression cases, second sampling the articles volume an a plot 1982). only be is 1982). with first a photo The stratum deals The (i.e. variable few is ground. (Johnston, while sampling to on the subject 1964). interest which phase literature type into &JL • variable of auxiliary variable, si volume second for linear is phase, field a estimated by subsample of measurement regression equation of is from the plots measured on the the then first The equation can be utilized to estimate total the of interest is costly or not be The sampling design is useful when the measurement variable need interest. This type the variables of between of two parameter relationship of the of for linear. updating a 28 forest inventory (Freeze, 1962; Hush location of the photo plots on the systematically than randomly, starts to rather overcome the problem s± &1» 1982). first phase of with can be done multiple estimating The the random sampling error (Shine )B Vi= volume of the ith (20) tree in cubic feet A, B and C are coefficients DBH = diameter at breast height in inches. This equation gives net volume without bark to 4 inch minimum top diameter. Table 3 shows the regression coefficients for the above equation, for the species Appendix C presents found during the scientific name of the field the trees. work. to 62 Table 3 Coefficients for the Volume Equation by Species Species A B C Red pine 119.83517 4.10017 -.08516 Jack pine 100.91007 4.15180 -.0878 White oak 120.63656 3.99791 -.07755 Red oak 185.60448 3.78645 -.06456 Aspen 81.04818 4.90735 -.1164 Sugar maple 49. 16485 6.25352 -.1631 Red maple 105. 78777 4.19832 -.09 Cherry 160. 14361 3.71334 -.0668 Beech 161.83706 3.82825 -.0675 63 For the species general volume not listed on Table 2, equation presented by Beer the following g.t al. (1966) was used: vi = (D 2 (D+190)/100,000>((H(168-H)/6400)+(0.3 2 / H ) )(79) (2 1 ) This equation gives without from bark, the a where merchantability minimum diameter 1 volume foot is of stump limited (Beers, the 1964). stem to a in point by branches, In the cubic on feet, the bole deformity present study, or the minimum diameter used was 4 inches. This general volume equation was originally for estimating volume in standard cords. greater flexibility substituted for in the conversion factor 79 usage, number merchantable of 8 introduced foot (Beers, height bolts was and the 1964). calculation of the volume per unit area from each sample point within a sampling unit, was used In order to achieve (to convert from standard cord to cubic feet without bark) was For the its developed (De Vries, the following equation 1986): N Vj where: Vj = k S Vi/gi i= 1 = volume per acre for the jth point sampling k = basal area factor vi (22) (BAF = 10) = volume of the ith "in" tree given by one of the above equations, in cubic feet gi - basal area of the ith "in" tree, in sq ft N = total number of "in" trees with DBH > 4in. 64 The final estimate of the volume per sampling unit was obtained by averaging unit area for a the volume per unit area for the two point sampling. 3.5.5 Area estimation done of using with the an parts the cover or study planimeter. The CIR the forest for area area were photographs types attached to The specific planimeter used allowed for the svibtraction of CIR readjustments. This this measurements the delineating the in of The types within electronic overlays them were used. addition Es timation phase the photograph readings done without the characteristic of the work by of the in different necessity equipment accelerating the of helped process without loosing the precision of the readings. Some not very sections obvious of on the boundary the CIR of the photographs. study As a area were result, the total area of the study area was estimated by using the base maps. As property, these they maps were also show used to the limits of the private estimate the areas of those 3.5.6 Time Me asu rements and Costs The number of hours properties. required for each ac tivity was recorded in order to estimate the total individual cost each activities classification selection, for during sampling were: evaluated. photointerpretation, digital area measurements, technique processing, and field work. The computer sampling 65 Since the time was each activity, an measured in terms of hours spent estimation of the price per hour on that a consulting forester would charge to do the same type of work would be survey necessary. was consulting assumed done To on a foresters that the estimate this random in the price price, sampling State per hour a of telephone registered of Michigan. included It was mileage. The average price obtained from this survey was used to estimate the costs involved for each sampling procedure. The cost for purchasing satellite images) was available for use from Remote Sensing. microcomputer The was, rate established that office hours, included the price by the per the computer since the hour photographs these for included. Center For (CIR Michigan DNR and however, University clientele. assumed not imagery It for Remote the Center the is images be used were for use of the based on the Sensing for purpose of this study, would and only during and that no operator would be required. it nonwas normal CHAPTER 4 RESULTS This chapter presents the results obtained from the application of the sampling techniques selected to the study area. No discussion of the results are made in the present chapter as these follow in Chapter 5. First the results obtained from the multistage sampling technique volume are and variation its also in variable and analysis graphical include estimated deviation, the coefficient intervals for for the estimated separately. and the confidence total sensitivity These standard and population stratum presented. The results are form. presented The the estimated in total several for the for each from the tables and between the second and size third stages are presented in graphical form for each stratum. estimated basal area and acreage for each of estimated obtained relationship volume the total stratum are The also shown. For the multiphase technique, the results include the numbers obtained from the digital processing of the imagery, the estimated the population area for each total and volume for stratum and each its standard stratum. The are also presented. deviation estimated Time spent for basal for 67 each activity and the respectives costs are shown for both sampling techniques. 4.1 on the Multistage Sampling Technique During the field work conifer stands had regional red oak strata, been thinned. office Cadillac, thinned and of Michigan, during 1986 This - which probabilities had to be that 1987. of the The Service, red oak conifer course, were for Forest obtained were thinned in 1986 thinning, photographs Information U.S. showed red and jack pines, units the it was noticed that the did taken in selection recalculated of since stand had show As the they been 1987). the CIR result, the tertiary were in including on a the located (Norton, 1977. from stands, not the sampling based on the percent crown closure. In order to acquired 1:15,840 taken 1987 the in 1:24,000 and its black were used. and the percent crown variance for the probabilities, and white The overlays CIR photographs the new photos estimate recalculate were infra-red photographs originally same crown density scale was used to the red oak the for of The to used scale closure. enlarged newly- estimated and total conifer volume strata were recalculated based on the new probabilities. The estimated total volume, coefficient the three of variation and its standard deviation, the confidence strata and the population, 4. For the multistage technique, obtained by the summation of the intervals the for are presented in Table the population estimate was estimated total volume per 68 Table 4 Estimated Total Volume, Standard Deviation, Coefficient of Variation and Confidence Intervals for Each Stratum and the Population MULTISTAGE Stratum Conifer Hardwood Red Oak Population Total Volume (cuft) 131,112,680 234,377,358 14,082,693 379,572,731 Standard Deviation 4. 13866E+7 6.92547E+7 1 .29223E+7 8.17072E+7 Confidence Intervals Conifer Hardwood Red Oak Population C . V . (%) 31.6 29. 6 91.8 21. 5 (cuft) [48,339,405 , 213,885, 955] [95,867,927 , 372,886, 789] [0 , 39,927, 371] [219,158,447 , 542,987, 014] MULTIPHASE Stratum Conifer Hardwood Red Oak Population Total Volume (cuft) 115,621,019 93,652,660 104,316,573 76,336,702 Standard Deviation 1.36771E+7 4.02768E+7 2.54317E+7 1.04770E+7 Confidence Intervals Conifer Hardwood Red Oak Population [88,266,838 [13,099,005 [53,453,232 [55,382,703 C. V . (%) 11.8 43.0 24.4 13.7 (cuft) , 142,975, 200] , 174,206, 314] , 155,179, 913] , 97,290, 699] 69 stratum (Langley, calculated was done of K by 1975). summing The the variance variables is variances of the K variables Table 5 presents for the three stratum refers trees. (red the strata. to pine strata, and the considered diameter as at on breast area both hight of the sum as among values refer with DBH greater values of basal area shown represent 4.0 the the pine trees oak all trees of their basal inches. average two points per unit. both red independent than on and to area conifer conifer Merchantable trees the basal "in" hardwood (DBH). sum of for the the to with area points, This 1986). scattered refers sampling units, the considered For was stratum. area refers to only basal "in" basal species pine). total to (De Vries, trees basal jack each total the variance equal total including hardwood Merchantable the total and merchantable The all of for based on the property that independent points, variance area All of the twelve The number within the parentheses express the range of the basal area found on the plots measured on each stratum. Approximate 95% confidence for This each stratum requires the can be limits determined following for the by assumptions total volume y±t( o .95)/ v a r (y ). (De Vries, 1986): ignoring the number of degrees of freedom on the variance of the total; distributed squaring assuming about the that its standard the estimated parameter deviation with and total is variance setting normally given t~2. by These 70 Table 5 Total and Merchantable Basal Area for Each Stratum Stratum Total Conifer 120 (85 to 180) 117 (70 to 180) Hardwood 122 (75 to 150) 112 (75 to 145) Red Oak 116 (85 to 160 ) 111 (85 to 160) are also shown confidence limits Merchantable (s q f t / a c r e ) in Table 4 for each of the stratum and for the population. Table 6 shows the government study area. sum to covered estimated and private government the with net a area the areas total areas. forest in area It type land figures add to since means were the the of each that total stratum for total for the stratum do not those the subtracted process of measurement on the CIR photos. private each properties and The values for the represent the values areas not during the The government and since these readings its standard were obtained from the base maps. The estimated deviation for shown in Table variance per divided, squared per each volume stratum, acre for and 7. To calculate acre, total respectively, (shown per each 6). plot for and the population, are the estimated volume and the volume by the in Table acre and its variance were total area and the total Appendix measured E presents on the the three area volume strata. 71 Table 6 Estimated Areas for Each Stratum, Government and Private Land and Total Area (acres) Stratum 7 ,783 Conifer 16,349 Hardwood Red oak 1 ,529 Government 32,203 Private 15,649 Total 47,852 Table 7 Estimated Volume per Acre and Standard Deviation Conifer Volume (c u f t / a c r e ) Std. Dev. 2,740 864.888 Hardwood 4,898 1,716.333 Red Oak Population 294 7,932 270.048 1,707.495 72 Table 8 presents activities related the from respective the time, in to the multistage costs. survey the The of average selected hours, spent sampling price per on the technique and hour consulting obtained foresters in Michigan was $29.00. Within represents the the parentheses, total time the required plots selected on each stratum. the parentheses between plots reach the for the refer to within first first, the refers to each plot number to measure the total stratum and and measurement the left the twelve The right-hand number within third time the measured on that second on time day. stages spent required The for and selection of the moving times each to shown stratum sample units in those stages. 4.1.1 P r o p ortion Between Measure of Size and Predicted Volume The propo rt ion ali ty variable of proportional best measure probabilities between interest to size of would variable of interest in is an size be the for the sampling important variable with 1977; and the The selection is proportional to De Vries, the probability characteristic. calculating one that (Cochran, size 1986): the 73 Table 8 Time Spent on the Activities for the Multistage Technique Activity Photointerpretation Sampling Measurement Conifer First stage Second stage Third stage Field Time Cost (hours) ($) 18.3 530.70 15 10.6 13 16.7 435.00 307.40 377.00 481.40 (9.5 + 7.2) Hardwood First stage Second stage Third stage Field 304.50 10. 5 43.50 1.5 646.70 22. 3 27.4 (14.3+13.1 ) 794.60 Red oak First stage Second stage Third stage Field 5.8 12 17.8 23.7 Area Measurements Total (9.1+14.6) 168.20 348.00 516.20 687.30 41.3 1,197.70 235.9 $6,841.10 74 Pi where yi is the = yi/Y size of the variable of interest and Y is the total for the variable of interest. This implies being sought, to work that the population is known in advance. with probabilities well correlated with that probabilities calculated optimum probabilities the estimator. the are However, it is common proportional variable would the estimate to an (X i ), one that should also this way are that the In practice, easily assessable measure of size be total, of approximations minimize higher interest. the the The of the variance correlation of between the chosen measure of size and the variable of interest, the more the the optimum of the volume for already the stated, stages three between second the 1975; were closure, are the two variables. since stratum. the approximate will be a Anderson, variables simple type Figures size third estimated percent crown strata, and size forest stage, result (Langley, corresponding graphs end will smaller 1979; De 1986). relationship third The total For each of the the probabilities probabilities. variance Vries, calculated variable stages used total within 2 the respectively. 3 present and predicted respectively. for area and the second occupied sampling Also and by the unit, and shown correlation coefficients As on these between the No relationships were developed for the first only two primary units were selected on each 75 4.0E+04 2.8E+04 — Yij (cuft) 2.4E +04 — 3.0E+04 r = —.508 r= -.8 0 1 2, 2.0E +04 — 2.0E+04 1.6E+04 — □ □ 1.0E+04 1.2E+04 1 1 90 I 105 1 1 I' 1 120 I 1 135 1 1 I 150 50 AREA (acres) 70 90 110 AREA (acres) (a) (b) .8 E + 0 4 -! ^ 1.4E+04 — o .0E+04 r = -.9 4 9 6.0E+03 100 120 140 160 AREA (acres) (c) Figure 2 Prediction Variable versus Predicted Volume fo r the Second Stage fo r a) Hardwood b) Conifer and c) Red Oak 130 76 Yijk (cu fi/acre) 4000 4 0 0 0 —, □ r = .1 11 r=,540 a 3000 o 3000 — 2000 2000 - >1000 1000 50 95 20 95 PERCENT CROWN CLOSURE PERCENT CROWN CLOSURE (b) (<0 3400 ^ 2500 — 1600 95 PERCENT CROWN CLOSURE (c) Figure 3 Prediction Variable versus Predicted Volume fo r the Third Stage for a) Hardwood b) Conifer and c) Red Oak 77 4.1.2 Sensitivity Analysis Table 9 presents the estimated total variance for each of the five trials of with changes selection in probabilities B) are: Pi the (the actual volume for the first stage; are its the conifer stratum probabilities. values and The presented selection in Appendix Pi j for the second stage and Pi jk for the third stage. Table 10 shows specific selection originally summary of the effects of changing one a probability, calculated. keeping the The percentage shown others on the as upper portion of the letters D (for decrease) or I (for increase), refers to volume. the the change that occurred The percentage shown on the change that occurred in the in the estimated lower portion, total refers to estimated variance of the and its total. Table variance 11 presents for each stratum with the estimated of changes the five in the total trials selection volume for the hardwood probabilities. These probabilities are presented in Appendix B. Table specific 12 shows a selection summary of probability as originally calculated. the effects of changing while keeping the The percentage other a two shown on the upper portion of the letters D (for decrease) or I (for increase), refers volume. the to the that occurred The percentage shown on the change total. change that occurred in the in the estimated lower portion, total refers to estimated variance of the 78 Table 9 Changes in the Estimated Total Volume and its Variance with Changes in the Selection Probabilities for Conifers Probability Trial# Volume (cuft) Variance 1 2 3 4 5 114,368,973.46 142,900,588.66 120,958,301.38 141,564,788.60 119,531,602.72 1.50015E+15 1 .86155E+15 1.58 407 E+ 15 1 .84474E+15 1.56592E+15 1 2 3 Pi j (second s t a g e ) 4 5 133,326,981.90 132,174,896.31 135,191,295.14 127,151,392.80 118,945,960.84 1.77107E+15 1.74086E+15 1 .82094E+15 1 .61084E+15 1.40974E+15 1 2 3 4 5 138,831,787.85 135,303,420.66 133,761,233.23 145,720,643.25 128,288,304.01 1 .92385E+15 1 .82587E+15 1.78387E+15 2 . 12247E+15 1.63872E+15 Pi ( first s t a g e ) Pi j k (third s t a g e ) 79 Table 10 Effects of Changing the Selection Probabilities on the Estimated Total Volume and its Variance for Conifer Trial# Probability 1 2 14.6% 9.0% D Pi 1. 7% I 3.4% 5 .9% 3 .2% I Pi j k I 12.3% 6 .6% D = Decrease 3 .1% D 6.3% 2.0% 11.1% I 23.9% 4 .1% 10.2% D 6.3% I 9.4% 7.7% 3 .1% I 1 .6% 9.7% D I 8.1% 0.8% I Pi j D 8.7% 5 8.0% 8.4% I 14.2% 4 3 21.5% 2 .2% D 4.5% I = Increase x% (percent change in estimated total volume) D y% (percent change in estimated variance of the t o t a l ) 80 Table 11 Changes in the Estimated Total Volume and its Variance with Changes in the Selection Probabilities for Hardwood Probability Trial# Volume (cuft ) Variance 1 2 3 4 5 222,257,862.32 251,759,795.15 222,399,384.29 213,690,995.25 254,642,391.44 4 .55412E+15 5 .32574E+15 4 . 55690E+15 4 . 38260E+15 5 . 19950E+15 1 2 3 Pij 4 (second s t a g e ) 5 218,435,668.84 218,623,101.65 240,506,803.61 236,512,959.40 216,074,784.30 4 . 16542E+15 4 . 1 7066E+15 5.05065E+15 4 . 88136E+15 4 . 07536E+ 15 1 2 3 4 5 245,628,425.85 238,970,339.44 245,690,373.36 236,115,681.76 264,367,392.86 5.27383E+15 4 . 988 46E+15 5. 27652E+15 4 . 868 53E+15 6.119 62E+15 Pi (first stage) Pi jk (third stage) 81 Table 12 Effects of Changing the Selection Probabilities on the Estimated Total Volume and its Variance for Hardwood Trial# Probabil ity 1 2 5.5% Pi D 7.4% I 5 .3% Pi j 15.0% 9.7% 5.4% 15.0% 8.4% 9.4% 0.9% 2.3% 5.3% 8.5% D I I 8.6% I D 5.3% 7.2% D 5 4 D 11.0% 7 .3% D 3 17.7% 1.8% «» 4.8% Pi j k I 1 .9% I 9.9% 4.8% 4.0% 10.0% D = Decrease 12.8% 0.7% I I I 1.5% 27.6% I = Increase x% (percent changes in estimated total volume) D y% (percent changes in estimated variance of the t o t a l ) 82 Table variance third 13 for each stages selection presents of of the the the red estimated five oak probabilities. trials stratum The total for volume the achieved selection and its second and with varying probabilities are shown in Appendix B. The reduced number of first stage units contained in that not did probability this stratum repeat as resulted the same calculated for inonly value other three for trials, the trials selection (see section 3.1.1). Table specific 14 shows a summary of the effects calculated. The percentage portion of the letters D (for decrease) volume. the Pi to the are equal change that occurred shown on the a that occurred The effects not to shown the for since in the in the estimated estimated trials #2 and #3 values probabilities of Pi upper or I (for increase), The percentage shown on the lower portion, change total. changing selection probability and keeping the other two as originally refers of these total refers to variance of the for the probability probabilities originally were calculated. For trial #5, the probabilities were equal to those of trial #4. The results of changing the estimated total combinations, volume for each and 4, 5 and 6. on Figures 4 and 5 and A, selection probabilities its variance stratum, shown on Figures groups of combinations. the The can be seen letters A, for all on of the from the plots B, and E B and C on Figure 6, C, D, refer to the 83 Table 13 Changes in the Estimated Total Volume and its Variance associated with Changes in the Selection Probabilities for Red oak Probability Trial# Volume (cuft) Variance 1 2 4 13,683,197.60 14,082,692.81 14,571,130.86 1 .62261E+14 1 .66987E+14 1 .72763E+14 1 2 3 Pij 4 (second stage) 5 13,234,186.48 14,487,685.39 13,385,862.14 13,792,302.19 15,652,432.94 1 .47472E+14 1 .76724E+14 1 .50872E+14 1 .60168E+14 2.06284E+14 1 2 3 4 5 14,510,836.58 13,936,557.96 14,456,470.97 13,889,661.25 14,679,645.13 1 .77307E+14 1.63536E+14 1 .75979E+14 1 .62435E+14 1 .81461E+14 Pi (first stage) Pi jk (third stage) 84 Table 14 Effects of Changing the Selection Probabilities on the Estimated Total Volume and its Variance for Red Oak Trial # Probability 1 2 3 NC NC 3.5% 2.9% D Pi I 2.9% Pi j 2.9% I 13.2% 3.0% Pi jk I 10. 7% 1.0% 2.6% NC = no change 5.4% D = Decrease 23.5% 4.2% 4.2% 1.4% D I 2.1% I D 5.8% 11.1% 2.1% 5.2% D D 6.2% same as trial 4 3.5% 6.4% D 5 4 I 2.8% 8.7% I = Increase x% (percent change in estimated total volume) D y% (percent change in estimated variance of the total) 85 3.0E+08 — 2.7E+08 ■ JUl N 2.4E+08 ■ 1 P i Til P i n 1 i 1 p i p i 2.1 E+08 ■ l i i i i i in 1.8E+08 ■ 125 COMBINATIONS OF PROBABILITIES (a) 7.5E +15 — 6.5E +15 ■ M H 5.5E+15 ■ p i 4 .5 E + 1 5 — 11 P I 11 1 P P iU 1 1 1 1 1 in 1 i 3.5E +15 ■ 2.5E+15 • 125 COMBINATIONS OF PROBABILITIES (b) Figure 4 E ffe c t o f Changing the Selection P ro b a b ilitie s on a) V olum e and b) V a ria n ce fo r H ardw ood 86 1.8E+08 —i 1.6E+08 — VOLUME (cuft) pJ PJ P-J pj N 1.4E+08 — 1.2E+08 — pj IN IN N N 1.0E+08 — 8.0E+07 ■ 125 COMBINATIONS OF PROBABILITIES (a) 2.5E+15 — VARIANCE 2.1E+15 — 1.3E+15 — 9.0E+14 — 5.0E+14 125 COMBINATIONS OF PROBABILITIES (b) Figure 5 E ffe c t of Changing the Selection P ro b a b ilitie s on a) Volum e and b) Variance fo r C onifer 87 1.7E+07 — VOLUME (cuft) 1.6E+07 — 1.4E+07 — 1.3E+07 — 1.1E+07 1.0E+07 0 75 COMBINATIONS OF PROBABILITIES (a) 2 .4 E + 1 4 —i VARIANCE 2.1E+14 — 1.8E+14 1.5E+14 — 1.2E+14 — 9.0E+13 75 COMBINATIONS OF PROBABILITIES (b) Figure 6 E ffe c t of Changing the Selection P robabilities on a) V olum e and b) Variance fo r Red Oak 88 the Table 15 total volume obtained presents as a the and minimum and its variance of all result maximum for the values each for stratum, combinations of the selection probabilities. 4.2 Multiphase Sampling Technique 4.2.1 Digital Image Processing The univariate statistics for the digital representation of the study area, composed of 386 rows and 262 columns, are presented in Table 16. Table 17 presents the digital shown are results of the classification representation from generated the the after percentages on non-zero points, 18 the standard study listing classification third column area. for was were The the numbers GIS file completed. The calculated based on which totaled 57,455. 4.2.2 Estimated Volume, Table the histogram the the of of presents the Variance and Time Measurements estimated volume deviation and the coefficient per unit area, of variation for the i* h population strata (conifer and hardwood). The estimated deviation and phase strata and one the volume per coefficient unit of area, the variation for for the population are standard the four shown on Table 19. Appendix E presents the volume per plot for each of the four strata. The total coefficient of volume variation and and its standard confidence deviation, intervals for the the 89 Table 15 Minimum and Maximum Values for the Total Volume and the Variance Volume Min. Max C 101,520,931.79 163,762,490.93 H 198,464,956.22 294,736,993.87 R 12,682,506.40 16,881,819.60 Variance Min. Max. C 1.18135E+15 2.4 5 3 00 0E +1 5 H 3 . 78008E+15 7.154320E+15 R 1.39393E+14 2.319200E+14 C = Conifer H = Hardwood R = Red Oak 90 Table 16 Univariate Statistics for the Study Area Bands 4 5 7 6 18.654 17.377 65.036 70.918 2.913 5.387 15.425 19.891 Median 18 15 66 71 Mode 18 14 84 92 Minimum 10 7 6 0 Maximum 47 70 101 114 Mean Std. Dev. Table 17 Results of the Supervised Classification of the Study Area Classes Zero Points # of Points 43,824 % 0 Red pine 7,229 12.58 Jack pine 1,309 2.28 28,230 49.14 Red oak 7,699 13.40 Others* 12,988 22.60 Hardwood ♦Includes pixels classified as non-forest areas 91 Table 18 Estimated Volume per Acre, Standard Deviation and Coefficient of Variation for the i*h Population Strata Stratum Volume (c u f t / a c r e ) Standard Deviation C . V . (%) Conifer 2,416 285.820 11.8 Hardwood 1,977 343.471 17.4 Table 19 Estimated Volume per Acre, Standard Deviation and Coefficient of Variation for the Four Phase one Strata and the Population Strata Volume (cuft/acre) Standard Deviation C . V . (%) Red pine 2,625 777.164 29.6 Jack pine 1, 507 278.006 18.4 Hardwood 1,957 841.695 43.0 Red oak 2, 180 531.465 24.4 Population 1,595 218.946 13.7 92 conifer, hardwood and red oak strata and for the population are presen ted on Table 4. The refer values to the initially second stratum other in Table stratum divided. hardwood strata: shown The was 18 into first and the hardwood which stratum further hardwoods for divided red oak. stratum the population was was conifers. The into The two phase numbers one shown in Table 4 refer to these phase one strata. In order to obtain the total volume and the variance of the total for each volumes per unit respectively, The total stratum and for the population, area and their variances by the area total was area and the used so that were the multiplied, total area squared. the results could be comparable with the multistage technique. The approximate volume were of the 95% confidence strata calculated and by using the intervals population the equation for the shown presented total in Table in 4 section 4.1 and taking into consideration the same assumptions. Table 20 presents merchantable basal averages stratum (2 refer to areas. are For areas based points the on per ranges the the red averages for the four phase a total plot). of the of 10 The total and and jack pine or species. Merchantable conifer trees with DBH above 4 inches. total and one strata. in points total The per parentheses the merchantable strata, basal the sampling numbers refers to all trees considered as "in", DBH for basal basal area independent of their area refers to only As in the case of the 93 Table 20 Total and Merchantable Basal Area for the Phase one Strata Basal Area (ft2 / a c r e ) Strata plots Merchantable Total Red pine 134 (75-185) 132 (75-175) Jack pine 110 (90-130) 97 (80-130) Hardwood 101 (70-155) 94 (65-150) Red Oak 108 (65-140) 92 (65-120) measured on the multistage sampling technique, few hardwood species were found among the conifers. For the hardwood all "in" trees, stratum, total basal independent of their DBH. area refers to Merchantable basal area refers to all "in" trees with DBH above 4 inches. For the red oak stratum, all "in" trees the total basal area refers to regardless merchantable basal area, of their DBH. For the only red oak trees with DBH above 4 inches were considered. Table different 21 presents activities the and time, their multiphase sampling technique. in hours, respective spent costs on the for the 94 Table 21 Time Spent on the Activities for the Multiphase Technique Activity C o s t ($ ) Time(hours) Computer Class. 336.50 67.30 Phase one Strata Conifer Stratum P. I .* Sampling selec. Sampling trans. Hardwood Stratum Sampling selec. Sampling trans. 18.30 36.80 2.00 530.70 1 ,067.20 58.00 27.80 2.00 806.20 58.00 Phase two Strata Conifer Stratum Red pine Field Area measur. Jack pine Field Area measur. Hardwood Stratum Hardwood Field Area measur. Red Oak Field Area measur. Total *P.I. 8.60 8.00 (3.8+4.8) 249.40 232.00 7.50 8.00 (4.0 + 3.5 ) 217.50 232.00 15.40 16.00 (5.0+10.4) 446.60 464.00 (3.9+3.4) 211.70 269.70 7.30 9.30 234.30 = Photointerpretation $5,179.50 95 Appendix A the sampling allocation, for the presents fractions and the computer u for the multistage considered was equations of and v, for the calculations considering proportional calculation of sample method, $29.00. the average size price (n). per the scene was of $5.00 As hour The price per hour for the use in classifying of of (Lusch, 1988) . On Table 21, parentheses on the time the lines spent measuring parentheses between refers plots. the to The number to the left within for field work refers to the plots. the the The number total activity time called to required sampling the total right to in move selection consisted of: delineation of forest types on the number map; establishment stands; of coordinates for the conifer selection of the phase one samples the selected selection cartographic samples (mi j ’s ) . transfer on the LANDSAT Sampling of the selected CIR airphotos to the base maps. hardwood (m ); location of imagery; transfer and final refers field plots sampling to the from the CHAPTER 5 DISCUSSION The discussion of separated by stratum. oak stratum, the second and the third finally the The results first presented section deals section covers section deals the herein with the conifer with is the red stratum hardwood stratum. Section 5.4 sensitivity obtained discusses analysis. for the the Section population implications 5.5 discusses estimates, the of the results from both sampling performed just for the discussion of the techniques evaluated. Digital multiphase aspects image processing sampling related the different to technique the strata is and a classification presented 5.7 and 5.8 discuss repectively, measurement and the was costs in of the imagery section 5.6. into Sections the aspects related to time involved in each technique and the number of samples to be measured. to 97 5.1 for the total Red O a k Stratum multistage volume for other strata. area, as sampling the Being red the The results presented technique oak show stratum a low as it estimated compared smallest stratum that seen from Table 6, on Table 4 contained to the occurs in the only two primary sampling units. The par ticular multistage has the stage tendency on would 1971). areas have a For the contained of being unit was This units had of stratum the technique that had (Langley, to be the each since they (Langley, primary and fact, had this implies each time at selection of In evaluated units volume, area a new independent to be done secondary units more one selected. means selected, stratum, the as or technique sampling probability oak of twice, the higher value red of replacement. concentrate higher most probability selected to sampling the units a high unit was sampling with primary sampling selection of secondary 1975). As a result, selected within the the same four primary unit. Due to the characteristic of the method sampling units on areas of higher volume, units for the first draw of the selected the same as for two secondary the units to concentrate the two secondary primary unit were second draw of the primary unit. had highest probability of These selection (see Appendix B). The expansion selection factors probabilities to estimate are the used to total calculate the volume. The 98 expansion factors for the respectively by the as shown in first and second sum of the ratios equation 5. Due to the stages are given 1/Pi*m high and 1/Pij*tij probabilities selection of the primary and secondary u n i t s , the factors for these these factors stages were population total had a relatively multiplied given by the by the sum of low of expansion value. estimate When of Yi j k /P i j k , the the result was a low estimated total v o l u m e . Under the variation was its low multistage extremely estimated t e c hn iq ue , high for the total volume, the coeff icient red oak as of stratum due to seen in Table 4. Also, the volume per unit area was low as shown in Table 7. On the other the hand, the resulted in a stratum, with application high an of estimated total estimated multiphase volume standard for technique the deviation red oak almost two times as large as that obtained with the multistage sampling method. Table 4 also technique. The stratum very is multistage total the of in volume same technique, low the of of by is the the one multiphase the red obtained This difference due, of magnitude as technique that have given for by in c o u r s e ,to total v o l u m e . If the the multistage former might for variation for te c h n i q u e . variation given results compared with the estimated order of variation. the coefficient sampling coefficient difference shows the a lower oak the the the estimated had been of multiphase coefficient 99 As seen in Appendix E, the plots measured for the multistage technique show slightly higher volumes than those measured on the multiphase technique. in the same stand, with In some areas where 80 (Buchnan, the volumes per in from Tables 5 and red oak 20, for technique are technique. These the factor the red oak. site index of d e n s i t y . As seen total and merchantable basal area plot plots higher than that the the the was the measured on those differences multistage for determined may management done in the stand. of appropriate plots were measured with 1985), differences for soils The plots were located the for be a multistage the multiphase reflection of the It also indicates the tendency technique to concentrate the sampling units in areas of higher volume. The estimated based on approximate 95% total of volume the estimations confidence the given by (Table 4) is extremely large. information volume) about is vague total volume the red for stratum, the calculated the multistage technique This is an indication that the parameter (De Vries, oak interval being estimated (total 1986). The low estimation of the associated with a high variance determined the large confidence interval. The confidence technique (Table multistage basis, method. however. interval 4) If calculated interval is much This calculated smaller than that can only considered from from the multiphase the be said on separately, multiphase given by the a the comparative confidence technique is also 100 quite large. Al though information about large, the it total nevertheless volume than conveys the more confidence interval calculated from the multistage technique. In order samples to should sampling reduce the have been techniques confidence measured evaluated. in In interval, each the of case the two multi­ more primary, would have to be selected. Since only two primary units were located the oak them encompassed most of more units in this of the would case, red area of the not have would stratum and the stage technique, within secondary of more and been one stratum, been possible. have tertiary units to use the The of selection alternative smaller primary sampling units. The relationship predicted volume for the third between for the stage the second for the size stage variable and and estimated red oak stratum, were the volume shown on Figures 2c and 3c. None of the correlations were significant at the 0.05 level. Contrary correlation between negative. from the the This result is due to: a) the in Figure 2c six plots average volume and b) located on an area for the these selection secondary unit in question was high value for the plots expansion that was was (0.23511). factor for the is for thinned 2,113 probability the selected secondary sampling unit with the highest value feet/acre) a low be expected, the two variables shown size variable were (the to what would for cubic the This produced second stage 101 (1/Pij*tij). As a result, the predicted volume for the secondary unit in question was low. According office of original to information the U.S. basal area feet/acre. It average total between 95 Forest of was red thinned area 120 square and Service the basal obtained to the (Norton, oak 90 from stand measured in feet/acre 1987), was square regional 110 the square feet/acre. this and study the The varied merchantable basal area between 85 and 115 square feet/acre. The other six plots measured on the red oak stand were located in areas that had not been thinned. selected from the value for the plots was 2,645 merchantable secondary size variable. cubic basal sampling The varied unit average feet/acre. area These plots were Both with volume the between a smaller for total 85 and these and 160 the square fe e t / a c r e . The selection probability consideration secondary 0.16319. factor unit This for plot, also high, previously created the secondary unit. per was a second secondary unit lower considered. stage a but larger This fact, determined for the value when than Its for for the value was the compared under to expansion the other associated with the higher volume larger predicted volume for the and the secondary unit. The correlation predicted relatively volume low between for (Figure percent the third 3c). This crown closure stage is positive, low correlation is due but to 102 the high plots. 0.05 variability The There are This volumes shown plots but with quite crown closure volume. the regression line level. closure of within is not with the for instance, measured significant same different volumes. of 85%, the at percent The the crown plots with show a great variety a of is an indication of the inadequacy of measuring percent crown closure as a size variable. Table volume 13 and shows its the changes variance for in the the estimated red oak total stratum as calculated by changing one of the selection probabilities at a time, while As in seen keeping Table 13, probability Pi: same values for the as the values technique. the only trials three #1, as originally trials 2 and 4. estimated total shown This others in Table is because 4, are Trial volume calculated. shown for the #2 presented the and its variance for the multistage the values of the sampling selection probability for trial #2 were equal to the values originally calculated. The probability Pi Table 14 shown in shows that volume and Table 4, probability P i j . The an on increase happened to the value of the for trial #3. estimated total values same the the largest its variance, occurred values of this estimated total increase in as compared to with trial #5 probability volume of for the the the determined 11.1% and on the variance of 23.5%. The larger reduction on the estimated total volume and its variance occurred with trial #1 for the probability P i j . 103 The estimated total volume was reduced by 6.4% and its variance by 13.2%. Trial changes #2 for the probability on the estimated compared with volume was the total values increased by on just Pi jk volume Table gave and 4. smallest its variance, The 1.0% and the estimated its variance as total by only 2 .1%. Figure selection 6a and 6b shows probabilities its variance. on The pattern Group A refers the the is effect of combining estimated total identical to the combinations volume for both 1 to 25; the and variables. group B to the combinations 26 to 50 and group C to the combinations 51 to 75 . The on both pattern of the graphs. graphs) 1-1-1 of values were left, the of a the first to the Y-axis, selection to combination For example, close repeats line parallel represents probabilities. to the Each curve #1 of the introduced in equations the in each X-axis of the small refers probabilities. trial itself (on and horizontal line to the combination This 6. both selection means that probabilities Pi ,Pi j and 5 group the Pi j k Combination 1-1-2 means that the values for trial #1 of probability Pi and Pij and trial All the stratum, its #2 75 for Pijk were introduced combinations that in equations resulted for the 5 and red 6. oak and their effects on the estimated total volume and variance respectively, can be followed and Table 14. by Figure 6a and 6b, 104 When the first five combinations were completed and the values for trial #2 in equations 5 and total and volume This increase for the probability Pi j were 6, its a sudden variance occurred at increase occurred in estimated 6a and 1-2-1. Table 14, the values of the probability Pij of Pijk the (Figure combination introduced As 6b). shown in for trial #2 and for trial #1 determined the observed increase in the estimated total volume. The groups last have five the combinations highest volume and the variance. values trial increase #5 in of the probability for the Pij the probability estimated total Trial #5 of the probability Pijk the total seen in Table determined volume all of the combined and Pi j k . As Pi j on estimated This is the result effects of the probabilities 13, of and the its highest variance. also determined an increase on the estimated total volume and its variance. The obtained 1, for minimum by the values 1 and 4, each produced value of a for Pi, the for estimated total of the probabilities in the probabilities estimated for total volume for the Pi j and Pi j k , respectively. selection decrease the 15, represents the value in Table 4, The maximum a reduction trials The values those trials volume (Table 14). The value for the minimum estimated total volume, on Table shown of 11.0% as compared to for the multistage sampling technique. value for the estimated total volume obtained with the values of the probabilities for trials 5 and 5, for Pi, Pij was and P i j k , respectively. The values was 4, for 105 each of the 13) selection probabilities for those determined an The maximum value increase for the in the trials estimated estimated total total volume, (Table volume. shown on Table 15, represents an increase of 20.0% in relation to the value in Table 4. The minimum variance of the and maximum total values were also for the obtained by combinations of probabilities as for the volume. value of the estimated variance of the total, 15, represents in Table 4. a reduction The maxi mum value in relation to the value 5.2 Conifer evaluated, pine and jack pine pine For The minimum to the value increase of 39% was the case multistage subdivided for the technique into jack multiphase The basic reason for not subdividing was that the pine technique, the stratum was not as plantations jack same in Table 4. in the study area of the area of the conifer stratum. the the shown in Table in relation represents an Strat um the conifer red technique. of 20% estimated as a separate a different represent only As a result, stratum by structure would be 7.3% to evaluate the multistage required in terms of the number of stages and the sizes for the sampling units at each stage. For the multiphase technique, however, the subdivision of a stratum is a requirement of the procedure. Comparing the multiphase the conifer technique the results sampling stratum, gave an it obtained techniques can estimated be by the multistage presented in Table seen total that volume the 13% and 4 for multistage higher than 106 that estimated standard larger the by the deviation than that technique was from for coefficient multiphase of the the technique. multistage multiphase variation larger than for the The method was approach. the estimated 3 As a multistage coefficient times result, sampling of variation for the multiphase technique. The the approximate multistage calculated larger 95% confidence technique for the standard is much multiphase deviation interval larger method. This the former of calculated for than one is the due to the technique as compared to the later. The results obtained reflect mostly the volume measured, plots only one contained had only a from of the multistage red pine. Of a predominance of few jack pine trees the technique twelve jack and plots pine. Four seven plots were composed of only red pine. The results obtained from the multiphase be considered as a more realistic appraisal on the the conifer subdivided into stratum. red pine Since technique of total stratum and jack pine, had plots were can volume to be measured on both substrata. Table substratum. 19 presents As shown, higher volume per unit the the red the pine pine stands. substratum for each presents a The higher standard deviation associated with the management red obtained area and a higher standard deviation than the jack pine substratum. may be results The jack pine that is being done on stands, on the other 107 hand, are not being managed. They are relatively old and may have reached a stage of nearly homogeneous volume. The above technique volume. pine discussion presented explains a higher value why for the multistage the estimated total Most of the plots me asured had a predominance of red trees or were pure red pine stands. These stands have higher values for the volume per unit area and for the basal area (see Table 20) than the jack pine stands. In the multiphase technique, the estimated total volume for the conifer stratum had to be averaged between the plots measured on the red pine and on the jack pine substrata. The pine plantations are concentrated southeast portion of the study area, selected withi n the conifer multistage technique were the same. primary with unit was selected replacement, selected within the selected, a new has to be done Figure variable and sampling of twice. As the the four stratum same primary unit. for units is were Each time the only one sampling secondary done also a unit on the subsequent is stages (sampling with replacement). 2b shows the the the predicted conifer relationship volume stratum. for Each represents a secondary sampling unit. on the The two primary In other words, the selection of units in although there are some small-area plantations in the northern part. sampling units mostly X-coordinate at secondary unit which was 70 acres between the point the size second stage on graph the The two points aligned correspond selected twice. As was to the same the case of 108 the red oak stratum, the conifer stratum exhibits a high negative correlation between the two variables. The secondary estimated area unit of the predicted volume. Among particular had (0.18470) unit which for the though the the stratum highest a low for the unit. plots had unit value measured for in pure red pine this probability the question in this lowest selected, As a result, in greatest the selection expansion the predicted was low even secondary unit an average volume of 2,544 cubic feet/acre. all located the secondary units the secondary three contained conifer determined factor (1/Pi j *ti j ) volume that had These plots were stands wi th merchantable basal areas between 90 and 130 square feet/acre. The secondary quite different Figure 2b. 2,966 varying between in a hand, cubic selected plots and chosen the red pine and The jack had as seen on time the estimated volumes feet/acre. stands. also first with merchantable 180 square red pine of twice its estimated volume, feet/acre 110 stand was selected had higher in pure mixed that for three was average plots were values The secondary unit unit basal Two of on area these third was measured pine. On the other the three plots that were selected the second time the secondary cubic between unit was feet/acre, 70 factor value and chosen with 130 for this had an average merchantable square feet/acre. volume basal area Since the of 1,918 varying expansion twice-chosen secondary unit was high, 109 the reason for the difference in predicted volume was simply the differences in the measured volumes of the plots. The secondary second highest within this stands. unit predicted secondary Their average merchantable feet/acre. secondary with basal The volume. unit area was were varying of the the with the field of area three located cubic 90 among red pine feet/acre with and 130 in square for four, lowest. This, the measured pure factor the has plots in between highest was the location All expansion selection probability the smallest volume was 2,342 value unit the this since its conjunction plots, determined its high predicted volume. Figure 3b shows the variable and the samples. The correlation (r = 0 .54). achieved 3c. As This was estimated is for the the relationship volume is slightly red oak case for positive greater stratum between the and than for the red oak size third stage relatively the (r = 0 .512) the low correlation shown on stratum, Figure there are several plots in the conifer stratum with the same value for the percent low crown closure, correlation is, of but with course, different volumes. associated variability of the estimated plot volumes. with The the The inadequacy of the percent crown closure measurement as a size variable for calculating the demonstrated. Both selection regression probabilities lines for the were not significant at the 0.05 level. is again conifer stratum 110 Table 9 presents variances that probabilities Each for the estimated total resulted selection keeping the each from stage others as the highest increase volume and its variance was Pi jk . The increase shown in Table 4, The largest of trial this decrease #1 in multistage technique. in in variance turn, in As estimated with trial volume was while shown both observed increase in calculated. total #4 11% in of the coupled as compared with the values decrease observed wi th values for trial, selection for the multistage sampling technique. v o l u m e , compared with the changed originally 10, with a 24% the was Table probability changing of probability volumes and their in the probability the the the volume estimated other h a n d , occurred with in was estimated Table 4, Pi . Under reduced variance trial the of #5 f or was the 15%. the total observed conditions The largest total, on the the probabil ity Pi j where a reduction of 22% was o b s e r v e d . The least its variance, were observed volume was 1.6%. Pi j As for variation in in the com parison with trial increased by #2 only shown in Ap pe n di x B, trial #2 are very estimated with for the the total results volume in Table probability 0.8% and the and 4, Pi j . The variance by only the values of the probability close to the ones originally calculated. Figure 5 probabilities variance. shows on Group the the A effect of estimated refers to changing total the the volume combinations selection and its of the Ill selection probabilities 1 to 25; group B to the combinations 26 to 50; group C to the combinations the combinations 76 to 51 100 and group E to 75; group D to to the combinations 101 to 125. The pattern for the volume curve (Figure 5a), was basically determined by the changes in the probability Pi j k . The 125 combinations and their effects on the estimated total volume can be followed by Figure 5a and Table 10. Once again, each of the small horizontal lines on the graph represent a combination of probabilities. The first combination of (1-1-1) determined a certain volume. The combination value second for the estimated the the effect decreasing of for (1-1-2) probabilities the estimated determined volume than the Pi was first. for trial the estimated total probability total a smaller the for trial #1 and Pijk of increasing effect selection value total Although the probability Pij #2 had the volume, dominant. The same happened for the third combination (1-1-3). When the values for trial were introduced in equation 5, estimated because effect total trial on #1 #4 for increasing combination trial volume with for the the #4 the the probability Pi j k a noticiable increase in the occured. the of This probability estimated increasing was Pi j k total effect due, had volume. of probability Pi j , surpassed effect of trial #1 for the probability P i . in part, a strong This, in the values of the decreasing 112 The introduction probability Pijk of the values for trial #5 of the in equation 5 resulted in a marked decrease on the estimated total volume observed on combination 1-1-5. As seen on Table 10, the values for trial probability Pijk had the effect of decreasing total This volume. decreasing effect effect, of trial in #1 #5 the the estimated combination for the of with the probability Pi, were responsible for the decreased estimated total volume. The due to the outcomes P i j . As on decreasing seen those trend the of trials in Table trials of curve #4 and within 5 for group A is the probability 10, the values of the probability Pij resulted in a continual decline of the estimated total volume. The sudden occurred at the increase in the estimated beginning of group B was total volume that due to probability P i . At that point the values of trial #2 for the probability Pi were introduced shown in Table total volume into 10, for the all equation effect three 5 of (combination 2-1-1). increasing probabilities the As estimated resulted in the sharp increase. The values of the first three trials of the probability Pijk had volume, noted, trial the as trial. This aspect three of seen on the though, to effect that the last combinations line the which it the of Table percentage Actually determined increasing of repeats 10. from pattern itself total It should be increase varies decreases step-like estimated 5.9% from to 2.0%. for the first at constant 113 intervals, the as can be seen on Figure 5a. As a result, combination increase the of the estimated combinations 2-1-1 probabilities total to volume, 2-1-3, has as the a tendency occurred pattern even if of with the to the curve remains because of the different percentages of increase. The pronounced of group B was the beginning increase that occurred not repeated at the of probability Pi group were C, the beginning of group C. values introduced at the beginning into for trial equation 5. #3 As of seen At the in Table 10, those values decreased the estimated total volume. As a result, the pattern decreasing tendency. beginning of of the Another abrupt group D, because of curve remained in a increase occurred at the the introduction of the values of trial #4 for the probability P i . The discussion above is also valid for the curve of the variance this of the curve is total, shown on similar to the Figure pattern 5b. of The the pattern volume of curve (Figure 5 a ). The minimum values its variance were Pi, Pi j k , Pi j and percentage and of obtained the estimated with the respectively. decrease its variance for are on the both trials As seen the largest total #1, on estimated for corresponds value on Table to 4. a reduction The of variance 5 and Table 10, total 29% in the volume The shown on Table relation decreased and 5 for each probability. minimum value for the estimated total volume, 15, volume by to 45.0% the in 114 relation to the value on Table 4, for the multistage sampling technique. The maximum its variance Pi j and value were The and its of These increasing variance, for estimated with trial P i j k , respectively. maximum value Table the obtained highest percentages volume for for each total #2, trials volume and 4 for Pi , 3 and correspond both the estimated probability the estimated total to total (Table volume, the 10). shown on 15, corresponds to an increase of 25.0% in relation to the value on Table 4. The increase in variance, corresponds to 43% in relation to the value on Table 4. 5.3 Hardwood Stratum Comparing the results obtained for the multistage in Table 4 multistage and multiphase for the sampling hardwood technique gave stratum, a much techniques presented it seen can higher be estimated that total volume and standard deviation than the multiphase technique. The 2.5 estimated times estimated total higher volume than standard for the the multistage multiphase deviation is 1.7 technique technique times is and the larger. The coefficient of variation for the multiphase technique on the other hand, to the is much lower higher than that for the multistage estimated total volume. This total volume produced in turn an extremely interval. The multistage technique the other method. confidence is also interval large In both cases, lower estimated large confidence estimated but not due as by large as the for the information provided by 115 the confidence intervals about the parameter being estimated is vague. The multistage areas of higher technique The had technique volumes. an average average volume technique, of The the multiphase technique 20 and average volume per plot measured 2,202 measured sample for this cubic feet/acre. in the multiphase was 1,957 cubic feet/acre. basal technique (Tables of the plots on the other hand, its tendency to plots volume lower average merchantable in showed area of the plots as compared 5 respectively) and also the to the The measured multistage reflects the lower lower estimated total volume. Figure variable 2a and shows the the hardwood the relationship predicted stratum. Each secondary unit selected. volume point for on the between the the second graph size stage of represents a As shown there is no secondary unit that was selected twice as occurred on the other two strata. The much correlation lower between than the two variables is correlation for the two secondary unit with the estimated smallest secondary the unit largest correlation the with the estimated between the highest area predicted of lowest area two other of is strata. The contained whereas volume hardwood. variables and volume hardwood, predicted negative the contained This contrary negative to what would be expected. The secondary the hardwood unit that stratum was the contained the largest area one that had a large value of for 116 its selection probability (0.14945). This high selection probability determined a low value for the expansion for the second stage volume for though the the (1/Pij*tij ) . As a result, secondary three plots unit in measured question on this area of these three plots the predicted was low, even secondary unit an average volume of 2,071 cubic feet/acre. basal factor had The merchantable varied between 100 and 115 square feet/acre. At the other extreme, the smallest largest area of predicted probability the the secondary unit that contained hardwood volumes (0.06253). stratum because This low had of its value of one of the low selection the selection probability determined a high value for the expansion factor (1/Pi j *ti j ) which the in term secondary unit in determined the question. three plots measured on 2,107 cubic feet/acre. the The higher volume average secondary unit volume for for the in question was The merchantable basal area of these three plots varied between 100 and 115 square feet/acre. Figure variable and 3a shows the the estimated relationship between the volume for the third size stage. The correlation is positive but extremely l o w . As in the case of the other two strata, percent crown closure low correlation is there are but with quite different volumes. associated among the plot volumes. used is evident. The several plots with the with the high same The variability The inadequacy of the size variable high variability of the volume in the three strata is clear from Figure 3. As with the conifer and 117 red oak strata, both correlations for the hardwood stratum were not significant at the 0.05 level. Table 11 presents the effects of changing the selection probabilities on the estimated variance, for the hardwood performed as for the probability at a time total stratum. other two volume The its calculations were strata, and keeping the and by others changing as one originally cal c ul at ed . The highest increase in both estimated total volume and its variance was obtained with trial Pi jk The (Table 12). the variance the by multistage decrease in total volume was occurred decrease with technique estimated #4 for the probability The largest for the probability increased 28% as compared to actual sampling the #5 4). The for largest occurred with trial Pi when the volume was reduced 9.7%. in the estimated variance trial 13% and sample values (Table total volume by #5 for the of the total probability P i j . The reduction in the variance was of 17.7%. The least variations its variance occurred in the estimated with trial #4 total for the volume and probability P i j k . The volume was increased by only 0.7% and the variance by 1.5%. observed estimated variance selection Another with trial total by small 1.8%. variation on #4 for volume was As probabilities original probabilities. the in for estimates probability increased seen both by Appendix trial #4 0.9% B, are the was P i j • The and its values close to of the 118 Figure selection its 4a and b shows probabilities variance, on the the effect of estimated respectively. Group changing total A volume refers to the and the combinations of the selection probabilities 1 to 25; group B to the combinations 26 to 50; group C from 51 to 75; group D from 76 to 100 and group E from 101 to 125. The pattern of the first the five curve shown on Figure combinations was probability Pi j ic . As shown in Table had, in all estimated of the total trials, volume that the percentage There is sudden an for in occurred trial #5 respectively. when As both pattern the estimated total on trial estimated by noticiable variation. volume the #5 gave highest and probability and probability equations 12, volume is the the into Table total the of It from trial to trial. to introduced for generated variance. values the increasing both the character the seen probability Pijk on the were its by 12, the probability Pi j k increase varies oscillating increase variance of determined an effect of and 4a and b for 5 values rate of its Pijk and of its Pi jk 6, the increase variance. repeats The The itself through the c u r v e s . The other marke d increases and decreases are due to the introduction of the into the equations The start the other to two probabilities estimate the volume (Pi j and Pi) and its variance. of each group of combinations is done by changing probability Pi. As a result, just and Pijk were changed within each group. the probability Pi j 119 As seen on total volume greater both and than curves, the its variance those for values for the estimated for group B and E are overall the other three groups. These differences are due to the probability Pi. As shown in Table 12, the trials and effect #2 and its 5 the is to values within these of increase variance. These the beginning were of trials the determined, groups as estimated Pi total for volume respectively to The pattern of both curves are similar stated, probability correspond of groups B and E. two the by to the other groups the probabilities and Pi j and volume and Pi jk . The maximum value for its variance did not occur, the estimated as happened on the other strata, at the same combinations of probabilities. for the 5 for estimated Pi, Pij the values rate maximum respectively. As three probabilities of The maximum value volume occurred at trials and Pijk, for the the highest The total total seen #5, in Table at those trials increase on the estimated total value of the estimated 3 and total 12, gave volume. volume shown on Table 15, corresponds to an increase of 25.8% in relation to the value on Table 4, The total, Pi, maximum for the multistage sampling technique. value for on the other hand, Pi j and at the corresponding those trials estimated maximum estimated variance occurred at trials #2, Pijk, respectively. probabilities increase on the value The for the highest variance for the (Table estimated the 3 and 5 for values gave of the three rate 12). of The variance, 120 shown in Table 15, represent an increase of 49.2% in relation to the value on Table 4. The and minimum values its variance, for both the occurred at probabilities trials #4, respectively. As in trial #4 gave total volume same the and happened the trials volume seen 5 and Table highest its variance. for trial its #5. variance, same 4 12, volume Pi, for Pi j of and the Pijk, the probability of both the Pi, estimated For the probability P i j , the For the probability increasing but total combination for reduction had the effect of and the estimated the Pijk, the estimated rate of increase all total was the lowest. The value in Table 15 the value of the minimum estimated represents in Table a reduction of For 4. represents a reduction of the 5.4 General Considerations From negative always 2a, b and correlation occurs with general explanation correlation volume caused, a the cases, may in relation the minimum value the value the and impression the field in predicted te c h n i q u e . There that volume is a common behavior observed on the variable The and the predicted size of the primary units a high variability for the estimated area of the stratum contained on the 16 secondary units. places where to the discussions related variable size stage. shown technique. get multistage for the second in most one size the between for the c, volume 26.9% in relation to for the multistage sampling Figure 18.1% variance, Table 4, to total plots were measured also The influenced 121 the behavior of the curves. These effects were discussed separately for each stratum. For within value the the red primary for the possible oak stratum, unit of the selected estimated twice, area of the within outside the the limits four units had a zero There are two the secondary unit was of private boundaries of secondary stratum. reasons for the zero value: located 16 land, the stratum. Two or was located secondary units had very low values for the estimated are a of the stratum. For the conifer stratum, of the within the primary unit selected twice, zero and the one had a very stratum. The low value reasons 16 secondary units seven had an area of for the estimated area of for the zero area estimates were the same as a b o v e . As a result estimated area above strata, units was of on the several of the secondary units on low the the total sum of the areas of the 16 secondary relatively selection probabilities estimated area probabilities stratum. zero area estimates and of the of for low. the units This for secondary stratum, with resulted low and in units ve ry estimated low very high with high selection area of the These selection probabilities are used to calculate the expansion factor for the second stage (1/Pij*tij). If, within a primary unit, a secondary unit which has a high selection probability of the stratum) is selected (large estimated area and another secondary unit is selected which has a low selection probability (small estimated area of the 122 stratum), quite the expansion factor different. The first have a low expansion probability. The for these secondary unit factor because of second secondary two units would be selected its higher unit would would selection have a high expansion factor because of its lower selection probability. The end largest result estimated predicted area of not would volume the be area than that of the the stratum. the stratum unit with This would large differences on secondary would the happen the volumes unit have smaller only of the selected in with if a the lower estimated there were plots measured the hardwood within each secondary unit. Two primary stratum. The units f irst government property. units a zero had stratum. the were was As completely a value result, for the contained none of the estimated within secondary area of the Only one secondary unit had a low estimated area of stratum. Accordingly, all the selection probabilities calculated for the 16 secondary units were smaller than 0.1, and they did not vary as much as in the other strata. other two strata, some much higher than 0.1 For the two hardwood-stratum the was (e.g., primary observed (Figure correspond units selected u n i t , the the stratum 2a). to selection probabilities were in the red oak stratum). secondary estimated area of volumes of the On the The the two two within the proportionality and between the predicted points secondary with the units first volume highest selected within the first primary u n i t . The secondary unit with small 123 estimated volume, area and of stratum vice-versa. because of the selection the This probabilities. has to occur primary unit. It among a small proportionality should units may be secondary was and units that withi n of the the predicted between the independently observed the calculated a single size variable among secondary units occur predicted noted size variable The proportionality and the predicted volume primary had lower variability found among proportionality between the volume also of different the variation existing on the selection probabilities. For the two primary unit, of the secondary can also be observed. selected secondary had of zero the units within stratum. the second in This probabilities. those the selected the a Several the primary second a relatively produced very The two points located on the second four had selection 0.1. the although not 2a correspond to contained area and for withi n the predicted volume, lower portion of Figure units chosen the proportionality between the estimated area stratum and evident, units large two secondary u n i t . Of primary one low estimated area variation units, 16 unit, among probabilities, secondary the had the including values above The consequence was that the expansion factor for these secondary units were the lowest among the four. these secondary units had the lowest As a result, predicted volumes although they had large estimated areas. One has to be conclusion from the above discussion is that one alert when choosing the size of the primary units 124 in situations where stratification is necessary. The stratum with the smallest area should be used as a guide in order to define the most this is size variables volume done appropriate carefully, for not a the being stage size for the problems primary that proportional may be result to avoided the and unit. from If the predicted more precise estimations may be obtained. From the discussions the selection and its variance, probabilities there be noted, however, the stage first related on is no to the effect the estimated consistent of changing total effect. It volume should that if the change in the probability for ( P i ) determined an increase or decrease on the estimated total volume of x % , the variance was increased or decreased hand, third if by approximately the same amount. the change stages, Pi j decrease in would increased be indication selection the that in the and estimate by the probability Pijk, determined total volume approximately size probabilities for variables for the 2x%. the an of x%, This used to second On the other and second increase the and or variance aspect is calculate third an the stages should be measured as accurately as possible. Of course or the variance parameters are in practice, is not no one would know if the volume being over or under known. But one estimated should be since the aware of the effect that an error on the measurement of the size variable might cause on the estimated total volume and its variance. 125 5.5 Population Estimates Comparing the results in Table 4 it can be a much seen that higher multiphase the multistage estimate method. technique has produced of the total volume Actually, the difference than is the almost a factor of five times. According can be to used population Langley in is (1975), situations necessary. independently volumes for the population of the estimated volume on each volume stratum estimated population estimated variance multiphase on technique, rather than a stratum (Johnston, The volume for on the major be for each given stratum. is each on the technique by other the method is total by the summation As estimated the variance the (De of estimated the given stratum the The is independent, of sum Vries, hand, the of the 1986). The is based on the difference being that a two- simple random sample is taken in each 1982). contributor the multistage hardwood estimated total cases, stratum. would total for multistage stratification such each stratified random sampling, phase, where In applied the to technique stratum. volume for by the multistage method the As higher is total the estimated seen from the hardwood is 2.5 estimated Table stratum volume 4, the calculated times larger than the value calculated by the multiphase technique. The estimated reflects the average volume total availability per acre volume for of pine, red than the jack conifer which pine. has stratum a This higher also 126 contributed to the by the multistage total volume larger estimated population technique. for the The multiphase conifer stratum was measured on both conifer types. average volume average per acre estimated consequently, Had the volume estimated from order magnitude technique, red for given estimate of the composed of plots jack pine has a lower pine, the this conifer lowered stratum the and, its estimated total volume. calculated of than Since total the the total volume for the multistage as the difference technique value between red oak been for the of the stratum the same multiphase estimated population total for the methods would have been larger. Another aspect to estimated population simply the stratum. consider total summation of for is the fact the multistage the estimated that the technique total for each In the multiphase t e ch ni qu e, on the other h a n d , the estimate of the population total is obtained the results from equation 18 by the estimated total area. is not just stratum. weight is a simple addition of the Equation 18 has the term wi - which is a reduction by multiplying estimated volume It per = Ni/N - called stratum f a c t o r , to compensate by the size of the stratum. In r e a l i t y , as is not known, population it total long as the parameter of the population is difficult obtained by the to say if multistage the estimated technique is overestimating the population volume or if the estimation of the multiphase is u n d er e st im at in g. But what can be said is 127 that, more although precise multistage for the the The positive certainly had an effect This correlation on the should similar be forest types, given a for the second in the in forest the in stage population lower given by the inventories multiphase first consideration the stage the total volume is the third determined As a result, for between higher estimated of the total than correlation higher variance multistage technique. of population technique negative precision for the estimate areas estimated and the predicted volume low variance. the multiphase technique. size variable and smaller, in technique the process of selecting a multilevel sampling technique. The evaluated Forest results obtained can not Service. county level. as a result, be sites. cover digital These types training sites interest (red were and areas composed of a sample the numerical each surveys Digital agricultural feature with those statistics techniques from are the U.S. accurate study area was composed of two classification of various sampling at townships, this comparison could not be recommended. 5.6 training both compared Forest The by Image Processing imagery implies are of obtained jack and water. of pixels of In from pines, representation type the "representative" interest. the the whose of the interest. areas of present and training brightness the study, types red of of oak), sites were values are attributes for classification is spectral The supervised selection forest hardwood These The 128 ultimately based on the statistics obtained from the various training sites selected. It is of interest for the image analyst to evaluate the spectral using "separability" of the various cover types selected, different evaluation, discriminate graphical combinations of which helps select a the classes, can means (Jensen, be 1986). restricted to two-dimensional because its simplicity of spectral set of done plots, statistical procedure, that graphical will best be or the by method, presented of understanding. graphs are normally called feature space. use of the bands This statistically Only the and ease bands. These For details on the reader is referred to the above citation and to Goodenough gi „al, 1974. Figures possible for brightness plots were within through two-band b a n d s , and The 7 each show combinations the first values obtained of 13 the and used by a the feature of the second to construct sites four the all LANDSAT components. feature sampling selected for MSS principal systematic training space on of space pixels the study a r e a . The number of pixels selected was proportional to the size of each training s i t e . The obtain feature valuable space plot insights may allow into the the interpreter structure of to the multispectral data s e t . It may also provide an indication of incorrectly chosen pixels (Donker ei a l . 1977 ) . 129 120— | 105- Band 60- Brightness 75- Values 5 90- □ AGRICULTURE a RED PINE o JACK PINE * v HARDWOOD WATER + RED OAK □ 45- 0 □ □ 30- 15- i 0— 1 0 r □ I** T---- !---- 1---- 1 ---- 1 ---- 1 ---- 1 16 32 Brightness Values Band 4 Figure 7 Feature Space f o r Bands 4 and 5 48 130 120— | 105- A RED PINE O JACK PINE * HARDWOOD V WATER + RED OAK AGRICULTURE Band 6 90- □ +++** 75- Brightness Values □ □ 50- +* * * □ □ B □ 45A2 a2 \A“ “0 □ 30- $ o 15V V 0— T 0 I | 16 I I I j I I 32 Brightness Values Band 4 Figure 8 Feature Space f o r B ands 4 and 6 I ] 48 131 1 20—j □ ** a *1611 * 0 * v 105- Brightness Values Band 7 90- AGRICULTURE RED PINE JACK PINE HARDWOOD WATER + ++ RED OAK iX 75- ** □ □ 60- A a Aa A d d o o B lj o a! d d EE 6 45- a a ^I □ □ □□ d n D □□ §□□□□ D VVW O 30- 15- 0 — — 0 i— 16 i— i— i— |— i— i— 32 Brightness Values Band 4 Figure 9 F eature Space fo r Bands 4 and 7 i— i 48 132 1 2 0 —i 105* * * Brightness Values Band 6 90- A RED PINE 0 JACK PINE * HARDWOOD V WATER + □ RED OAK AGRICULTURE + 75' + * + * * * * +* * 60' □ □ □ □ □ □ m □ □ a* o 45 'A A ffS □ 0 A 30- 15 v 0 T" 0 14 28 42 Brightness Values Band 5 Figure 10 Feature Space f o r Bands 5 and 6 56 133 12 0 — | * * 105- HARDWOOD A RED PINE O JACK PINE □ AGRICULTURE V WATER RED OAK * * * + * * * 907 J i I + + +++ * Band * + * 1 * 75- * * Brightness Values +* □ 60- □ cn & □ □ □ □ □ □ □ cPS AM 45- □ A | A ^ A E f P W ^A^> a W 30- V 0 & V V 15- 0— 0 14 28 42 Brightness Values Band 5 Figure 11 Feature Space f o r Bands 5 and 7 56 134 120i 105 Band 7 90 A RED PINE o JACK PINE * HARDWOOD V WATER + RED OAK AGRICULTURE □ * * * * *4*1 75 /T V T s/T V T S /IVT> HAKf HXOKft * sv T7KT 1 1 ** * * * * ** □ * Values + Brightness * vxKiXlKP ^1/ ?1 X * 1 >? 60' 45- 30<$> 15' 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0- 0 15 30 | 1 1 1 1 1 1 45 60 75 , , 1 1 90 1 1 1 1 1 105 Brightness Values Band 6 Figure 12 F e a tu re Space fo r Bands 6 and 7 120 135 140 □□□ □□□□□ □ □ □□ □ □□ □□□□ □□□□ □ □ □ □ □ □□ □ □ □□ □ 130 + ** * 2 w w ^ v y w / I \ /TV /TV /TV /T \ /TV /TV 7N *+ Principal Component ** * o O 120 **** A AA A AAA O AAA *(7 A A A S7 A A A V A 110 + RED OAK v WATER □ AGRICULTURE o JACK PINE a RED PINE * 100 “i i i i 50 | 75 i— i— i— i— |— i— i— 100 i— i— |— HARDWOOD i— i— 125 i— i— j— 150 i— i— i— i— 175 Principal Component 1 Figure 13 Feature Space f o r Principal C o m p o n e n ts 1 and 2 | 136 Figures 7 and 12 illustrate the marked correlation between the two visible-light bands 4 and 5 and the two near infrared bands much 6 and 7. data is higher the agricultural In Figure than in areas 12, the dispersion of Figure have 7. an Figure 7 shows elongated the that green-red reflectance cluster which overlays somewhat the hardwood 4 5 feature space. areas can also bands 6 and The be 7 elongated cluster observed (Figure in 12) difficult to discriminate Figures of the 8, 9, 11. On areas would be c o n i f e r s , especially red agricultural from the agricultural 10 and pine. On the (Figure 13), easily principal component agricultural because of their areas high analysis of the imagery would be discriminated very brightness values. Note the total lack of correlation between principal components 1 and 2. This is a characteristic of this type of statistical transformation. In present terms of the forest p r o j e c t , forest and differentiated in general clusters the types ofinterest non-forest s c e n e . Within the for the areas could forest could be s e p a r a t e d , hardwood group, be two and c o n i f e r s . This would warrant the division of the area into two s t r a t a . In bands 4 and 5 (Figure d i f f i c u l t , if not the infrared portion bands, this separation would be very i m p os si b le . Notice that when the bands i n c l u d e d , the clusters infrared 7), band of 7) are became more e v i d e n t . Between the two 7 the gives spectrum a (bands better 6 and in separation of the 137 hardwood and by conifer comparing clusters Figures 8 and than band 6. This 9, band where can be seen 4 is plotted against bands 6 and 7, respectively and in Figures 10 and 11 where band 5 is plotted against bands 6 and 7, respectively. In terms of subdividing the hardwood and conifer strata into hardwood verses some problems red oak and red pine verses jack pine, may occur. Obviously, always intermingled within the pixels. the the red same cluster oak pixels are as the hardwood Although this spectral overlap is to be expected, printed pixels that spatial number map composed it was possible the red oak stand. homogeneity, the samples to identify on the As a result of this could be selected and measured. For the conifers, pixels that are mixed, a separate, albeit red small, where present 9, 8, and jack pine have some but some of the jack pine pixels form mainly on the plots (Figures pine cluster. the 10, This infrared 11 and 12). can bands The be detected (6 and best 7) are separation between these two conifer species would be obtained by using the principal run the species component imagery, classification. form distinct As mainly PC seen clusters on with 1 and Figure the PC 13, red 2, the pine to two having brighter values than the jack pine. One the aspect cluster reflected Kiefer, of to be noticed on all water pixels. Water infrared portion 1987 ). Bands 6 and of the 7 are of the plots absorbs spectrum located shown energy is in the (Lillesand and in this region of 138 the spectrum and, as a result, very low brightness values. there are some c l u s t e r . In is an water Figure example sites which water bodies small. As of were this not that in the some selected pixels might have the giving much higher pond were water within result, show zero or with the conifer particularly n o t i c i a b l e . This "pure" located a intermingled is pixels should As seen on Figures 8 through 12, pixels 7 water selected brightness study of been for area them, a located brightness training values. are relatively portion on The the values. of the margins of As in seen Figure 13, jack pine and water could not be separated if the principal components classification. between jack occurred printed Even pine with using and the number 1 and 2 the four bands, would also water hardwood map, it was and were red possible used to some be oak for confusion present. strata, identify the in stands As the of red pine and jack pine and to select specific samples. The problem classes exists, that occurs as in the present case, omission and commission errors. pixel is errors not assigned occur when does not belong Based only when a to the pixel (Jensen, on the overlap between two is the occurrence of Omission errors occur when a appropriate is class. assigned to space plots a Commission class that it 1986). feature shown, one can expect that the percentage of omission and commission errors might have been large on the classification performed on the study area. At this point a question arises: What would be 139 the effect of these errors on the estimated total volume and its variance for the multiphase sampling technique? The units are numeric results, (pixels), used on obtained equations used respectively estimated the its variance Just terms from the 16, 18 of number computer and 19. of sampling classification These equations are for the estimation of the variance of the population (v(yi.. )); in mean estimation for of the ith population the population mean stratum (yst) and (v(ys t)). for the sake of a quick reference, the number of sampling units shown in Table 1 for the conifer and hardwood strata were changed original values 16 were mean increasing by 5% and 10%. its In variance other were words, increased or decreased equations 18 and 19 were but the or also decreasing the given by equation the estimated population changed if 5% and The values only slightly changed, and amount. by by roughly numbers 10%, the increased on the Table values or same 1 were given by decreased by approximately the same amount. This was are used stratum. to The N constant, to be expected since numbers fraction on Table the result increasing or decreasing N i , keeping can be vis ualized by examining (wi ) for 1 calculate of sampling the each equations 18 and 19. It can depending on be noticed the different results from the algorithm discussion presented used for the that, classification, could be obtained for the estimated total 140 volume and its variance. calculated total since the choice order volume and population of the to as errors. one cannot its variance parameter classifier reduce commission Of course, has much values to as Previous be if the is accurate or not are done possible experience say not known. The appropriately the in omission with the and classifier on the area of interest is important to consider when making the selection. 5.7 total Time time in Measurements hours necessary sampling procedures, only 1.6 hours. This relation to the difference, method. Tables can The reason for this by hours lower price was per the price for hour. computer w a s n ’t only imagery. It also used within the units was (pixels) factor which greatly must used for to study inflated computing hours required to on human hours and of the $29.00. 28.7% of which has the selected For this computer contained tape. classify The total the the much that the of the sampling study, time the On a classification area. scene the emphasized locate from full in in hour time the window that the of for each because technique, be selection of the data within insignificant is per computer It as hours were the multiphase used each shows a difference difference multiplied total of cost these were for execution of between the total the total hand, comparison A significant technique, other A for both methods. multistage the the be considered exists for Costs 8 and 21, total hours however, and one was study the area number scene can of be the 141 significantly reduced if the operator has experience in working with the equipment. By analyzing stratum, the expected. Table 8 work had field For the conifer the selection hours used of for first field conifer stratum was As more experience it is the seen highest stratum, the stage sampling work. the was The that, cost total units reason the as each would hours used be for is close to the for this first one measured gained, within is that the in the total hours process. used for the selection of first stage sampling units decreased. The time used for sampling units also varied among the is with associated selected. The the located the As a selection place primary stratum were stratum. the units on the strata. were the the second for spent unit the homogeneous time stage This variation primary selected relatively result, of on was hardwood portions measuring of the area of the stratum contained within each secondary unit was low. This strata. the was the case The measurement secondary parts not of units other of had strata for the to the conifer area of be done (hardwood, each more and red stratum within carefully agricultural oak since areas) were also contained within the secondary units. The selection relatively large in the unit. the third number of hours. evaluation 121 tertiary of of the percent sampling units, stage Most units of the crown within also used a time was used closure each selected within the secondary 142 With the field measuring plots for travel measurements, the time the between plots. This is because most time and stratum, travel hardwood was the occurred with the was a The located in one area. As on an stratum. difference in only in the time the difficult as stratum, used for time. The red oak stratum one portion time of more the red oak of the the selected plots were relatively close. larger difference within in only one place, For For measurement plots area between measuring the plots and for travel is concentrated between selected not concentrated conifer large difference small. stratum were access and also were there of the plots the time for moving between plots was reduced. hardwood for in the conifer stratum was greater than that within the conifer stratum were concentrated a result, used was the fact study area, and The reason for the that the stand had been thinned recently and it was extremely difficult to walk due to the slash left on the ground. As related to the multiphase technique (Table 21), it can be seen that the time used for sampling selection on the hardwood stated, map. and the The conifer selection of first step clusters of pixels of interest. and the process, strata in is relatively the samples this high. was done process was to As already on the number identify that were classified w it hin each the stratum The coordinates of the clusters were identified selection process was started. During the selection a large number of selected sampling units had to be 143 discarded because they did not fall within the forest type of interest. The hours required multiphase method measured. Table total time and jack same required for move twelve the ten for the were moving time, that, plots. between fewer in the samples were the the fewer (16.7 for the within the the jack measuring for the +he multistage conifer pine plots technique stratum, the and red pine This time needed to technique. multiphase The stratum). larger the hours). (five within multistage the was practically method For in part, plots, even though hours) technique within for since time used measured five plots measurements for the conifer stratum, (16.1 in the difference accounts, measure less, multistage multiphase and field for measuring the plots on the red pine between plots stratum shows pine plantations as to were much 21 difference occurs and for In terms technique plots were measured. used The of more reason is that the multistage technique tends to concentrate the plots in one region. randomly tendency used In selected for them the multiphase within to to move between be each spread plots technique, stratum out. tends the and As a plots there result, is the to be larger than are a time for the multistage technique. The difference plots and hardwood to move stratum. between the time used between Besides plots the is for measuring quite distance large between the for the the plots, 144 some of them were located in areas of difficult access which increased the time to reach the plot. For the red oak stratum, the time used in measuring the plots and in moving between plots were practically the same. Of the phase six plots measured within this stratum by the mu lt i­ technique, thinned. access The and reduction two were other were of both located plots not were in an located thinned. This the time area in that areas of contributed for measuring and was easy to the the time for moving between plots. The average time required for measuring the 36 plots in the multistage minutes. For measuring minutes. considered as was the multiphase the The technique 21 plots of the present work, of of significant, one hour technique, was difference of one only as and fifty the average hour six time and fourty minutes can a result, for the both methods were equivalent four for eight not be conditions in terms of the time spent for field work. 5.8 Number of Samples The equations presented in Appendix A are used to determine the number of samples to be measured for each method. determination measured (Langley, minimizing at of the each 1975). For the multistage required stage is Optimum variance for number based on allocation a specific cost for a specific variance. of technique, samples optimum can cost be or to the be allocation achieved by by minimizing 145 For the multiphase technique calculate the the sampling second phases, sampling one st ra ta and proportional stratum. fractions fractions the for assumes The calculation of only two the for of the second phase, sampling units discussed sample first criterion the as three size and n second given above. sampling are and unequal that the This last sampling techniques In specif ied, case fractions requires calculations to of 21 to classification. third unequal use of calcula tio n of the costs to on both the related sampling three This eq uation can be first on the approach equal approach and and fractions assumes unspecified. non-linear programing costs fractions the u sections. and The associated the refer to the u associated with the one can v, first with section computer considered as the cost Cl calculate and v. equations to the into second section would costs sampling sampling are the estimate the Table refer C2 the of to solve the problem. order subdivide and ways are the each , 1983. based The fractions The second assumes that in explicit phases, phase implies possible and unspecified. costs first and four the that first one for each of the ith (1979) optimality the the This treatment is given by Johnston g £ determining on necessary to instead of allocation Frayer would is u and v for respectively. fractions it on sampling costs These conifer and u. The associated with the may be Appendix fraction shown A, the referred and as the include the hardwood strata, 146 presented in Table costs associated Appendix A, and would 21. The third with the section would calculation of refer to the v. As seen in these costs would be associated with the term C3 refer to the field and area measurements costs, for each of the four strata. The calculations of the optimum number each stage of the multistage technique, fractions for possible the on the multiphase present performed by one person variances are large case. on a small and the costs samples and of the technique, This of scale. are sampling would is because As on not be the work was the estimated rather small, the number of samples to be measured for each method, calculated by applying realistic. the The number of arbitrarily equations sample on Appendix A, plots measured established, based available for the field work. on for the are not each technique time and was funds CHAPTER 6 SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS This s t u d y ’s multilevel northern main sampling Michigan. A objective was procedures for multistage and to evaluate forest two inventory a multiphase in sampling technique were evaluated. Multistage also referred to size area sampling to as sampling with (P P S ). This of uses unequal method interest. sampling and uses analog sampling imagery for the area of interest; random probability requires Multiphase pr obability two sampling, proportional imagery requires for the digital it is based on stratified phase sample rather simple random sampling in each stratum (Johnston, than 1982). The following conclusions should be emphasized: a) The population multiphase multistage total that technique. the high variability which some resulted of the in were This 5 (e.g. produced estimates times discrepancy in the volume different strata technique larger is basically found estimates hardwood). than in the of total The due of the to population, volume differences for in structure of both methods also contributed to differences in estimated population totals. the 148 b) Although the results must be viewed with caution due to the large sizes, variances the multiphase estimating the multistage technique. precise for of all and technique population estimates technique encountered total The was and total costly than stratum, sample precise technique volume individual small more less multiphase the the than gave the in the more multistage except for the hardwood stratum. c) the Contrary the size to expectations, variable and the the correlation predicted volume between for the second stage of the multistage technique was negative. is an indication method, the that, estimated total secondary sampling in the present application area occupied by forest unit is not an This of the type within appropriate size variable to calculate the selection probabilities. d) The size variable selection probabilities closure) was not between percent used for for the appropriate crown closure the third calculation stage either. (percent The significant. of such correlations the crown correlations and estimated volumes third stage were positive for all three strata, But the values of for the as expected. were low and not highly A high percent crown closure is not necessarily associated with high plot volume. e) Although the correlations and the predicted volume for all strata, the for the second between the second stage size variable stage were negative gave the smallest 149 contribution to the variance of the estimated total at all strata. f) The changing of the selection probabilities for each stage of the total volume multistage and its probabilities are estimate the those effect estimated of an technique variance. integral parameters. changing total volume This occurred rule can selection and the estimated because its be established probabilities variance, the second and third stages, probabilities at these stages variance than of the total since to for on however. should be taken when measuring the size variables, for the part of the equations used No the influenced the Care specially changes in the reflect more on the estimated the probabilities of the first the primary sampling unit (P S U ) used stage. the g) The size of present study reasons: was in secondary for the size variable; P S U ’s several size contained secondary variables. variability variation, the size stage. the convenient for the following it produced only two P S U ’s for the red oak stratum; it resulted all not in in variable There primary is no units. conifer sampling the units having zero and for the conifer stratum, some These in turn, sampling units zero plantations, with readings s t r a t a ’s zero in selection it although produced values turn values for caused the great probabilities. This caused the negative correlations between and the predicted volume rule of thumb In application each for to determine of the the the second size method, of one 150 has to evaluate the the stages number of most being imagery at each stage, k) The use appropriate utilized, of the principal study area scene would both species of conifer could be agricultural clusters. Although areas the imagery combinations, number map between the of jack and inventory depends, among use of large remotely photographs necessary. advantage The the the been imagery better formed between to since and separate red oak and not only on the principal on all the be scene. would other identified The not sampling other be band on the discrimination possible Multilevel areas are to be imagery more recently, methods evaluated use procedure things, sensed and, of a the method. when of on the imagery. of very useful have stand could water selection experience with scale component hardwoods classified and principal component The also red oak pine the discrimination but the a function of better discriminated, mixed hardwood was very difficult, component as and the size of the field plots. classify the because size of remotely in on for familiarity sampling methods inventoried, the form satellite by this sensed forest and of research in are the aerial imagery imagery and is take either its analog or digital form. The available taking imagery used at the large-scale for start of aerial both methods was the project. photographs No were photographs are very helpful for multilevel simply what was provisions for available. sampling. Such 151 The scales influence the stage units has stage). an size is scale of the for of the the size the size is of the of the also increase convenient to level of and measure imagery, variable may be difficult. had sampling such as primary the A depending This evaluation (last size of vice-versa. measurement in sampling field plots but, an In situations of the P S U ’s is increased, will last study fixed, influence on the size of the If the plot used levels of imagery application, field plots field imagery of the multistage method. the number of present the the on the determination units at each where of small on of the the size - size of PSU vs size of field plots - has to be done carefully in situations were stratification necessary. The considered first of the smallest and area stratum the best to in each stage defining is the the variation information is available, enough primary stratum to sampling ensure size the area of in should selection should relative be to the another variable to be the sampling the volume. or can be anticipated units is should be taken. Besides the size of the strata, in inventoried the judgement, size of the primary sampling units, considered be of be the units If at this in some way, placed within required each number in order to attain the specified precision of the estimate. If, on the the size for other hand, of the primary more than two such information sampling P S U ’s to the strata of smaller areas. units be is not should be completely available, such to allow contained within 152 The correlation estimated volume analyzed those all in for some happen. strata, It the detail. two variables three between is for size second Although the this the probable the third stage are in and the stages was correlations were not mean that that secondary sampling units and second does variable negative this will situations larger, between for always where a positive the correlation will be established. Another variable aspect "area" would be the is to inferior ideal superior to assessors (Loetsch consider is volume e..t fact to an estimate size variable ocular the to use. An the of volume, "Area" estimates , 1963). that by size which however is inexperienced alternative to percent crown closure for use if multistage sampling is chosen could be is crown percent 1963). area. crown When the emergent to be This cover by scale canopies is the could available by stratum of the reinventoried and area obtained also multiplying area the (Loetsch mean g.£. imagery permits, the number be tried. area If an a.l, of is going informations on the volume per unit from previous inventories, informations can be used as size variables. these The advantage of using past informations is their highly correlation with the variable of interest The rather multistage complex comments, important (new estimation of volume). the sampling structure definition effect on technique and, of the as the seen size results evaluated from of the obtained the PSU has a previous has mainly an in 153 situations where aspects for the stratification future multistage where recommended to P S U ’s, the when the area is done. Some research could be pointed out related to technique: conditions of perform simulated stratification define the number most by of in types is forest appropriate of levels studies size imagery is for the fixed. The same study could be done but, without the limitations on the number in of levels of imagery order to define both, the size of the PSU and the most economic number of stages to be considered. could be For a not evaluated so complex in a study, situation the when last the homogeneous or no stratification is required. of alternative size variables (not condition forest is The evaluation predicted volume) may also be considered as another line of study. The application of the multistage where some stratification limitations instance the of the to the conifer area use stratum of on is method in situations recommended may the method. the impose Consider present study. for This stratum was formed of small plantations of red and jack pine spread all over the study area and of large plantations of red pine concentrated in the south east portion of the area. Due to this characteristic of this stratum, it was considered as one and not subdivided into red and jack pine. The field measurements were made on the large plantations of red pine since was selected As a result, the PSU contained twice, due to its the estimated within large total these plantations selection probability. volume of the conifer 154 stratum is reflecting mostly The multiphase technique, more realistic stratum measurements the to of total structure be of red pine. on the other hand, probably gave a appraisal because the availability made volume of on the on the method both red conifer allowed and for jack pine pl a n t a t i o n s . The multiphase simpler structure sampling. As this method since the representation sampling it method of the is, of technique is based requires image, a course, the image. one may ask the question: the use lack available, for stratified of limitation process method on the digitally appropriate the evaluated has a much If the for of such random digital the use facilities facilities of to are "What would be the most classification of the imagery?" The sensitivity analysis performed on the data obtained from the digital showed processing that the of effect the of imagery on changing the classified in each stratum of interest, on the changing method. estimate of the This Of percentages the population selection means classification image. of that algorithms course, the of omission particular case should be this information number parameter be algorithm available and used that before or pixels to the multistage classify the errors In did unsupervised gives chosen. the than the comission the one multiphase sampling technique, of supervised could of study has much less effect probabilities either the present the least for a order to have application of the it is necessary to know which 155 classification algorithm would give a better accuracy for a certain situation. Taking the This could be an area of future research. several cover types that occur in Michigan and performing both supervised and unsupervised classifications, using imagery algorithms available from would in different be more advance, seasons, to accurate. the future If users evaluate these of which data the are multiphase sampling technique could benefit from them. Based solely application of on both the conditions sampling established techniques, it is for clear the from the results that the multiphase method was more adequate for the inventory of the particular area selected. mean that the inventories or an in other method northern organization should Michigan. wants to use not If a a be This does not considered consulting multilevel for forester sampling technique for an inventory it is not advisable to jump right into the multiphase technique evaluated, more precise analysis, as and less previously costly. A discussed, before making the final selection. just because it was series of variables have to be and considered APPENDIX A EQUATIONS FOR THE OPTIMUM ALLOCATION OF SAMPLES AT EACH STAGE AND FOR CALCULATION OF THE SAMPLING FRACTIONS A. Optimum Allocation at Each Stage A .1 First Stage m = (D* )/(Ei/Di )/(/EiDi + / E 2D 2 + / E 3 D 3 ) A . 2 Second stage n = / E 2 D 1 //E 1 D 2 A . 3 Third stage t = -/E 3 D 2 / V E 2 D 3 M Ei = 2 Pi (Vi /Pi i= 1 - V)2 Ni E2 = (2 Pij(Vij/Pij - Vi)2 )/Pi j = 1 M E3 = Ni Ni (2 2 03 i j//Ni ) 2 03 i j-/Ni i= 1 j = 1 j= 1 Di = average cost of measuring a first-stage unit, includes cost of ennumerating the predictions. 157 D 2 = average cost of measuring a second stage unit, includes cost of ennumerating the predictions. D 3 = average cost of measuring a third stage unit, includes travel costs. D* = expected cost of the survey B. Calculation of Sampling Fractions B.l Phase one Sampling Fraction u = /C iS * 2 //C 2 S*i B.2 Phase two Sampling Fraction v = 4 C 2 S* 3/4C 3 S* 2 B.3 Number of Samples n = C* / (Ci + C 2 u + C3uv) S* 1 = s2 - s ’ L S* 3 = 2 i= 1 S *2 = s' - S*3 Ii 2 (mi j m / m i n )/si j 2 j= 1 L s ’ = 2 (n i / n )si 2 i= 1 s2 = Nn (v(y) N-l L - 2 (ni/n)2vi) i= 1 158 L v(y) = n(N-l) [ N-n 2 (m/n)(yi _______ - y)2 + i=1 N(n-l) n(N-l) N - n l --------- ^ T-» l / . i V •> \i ii- x/a i , / r n2 (N - l ) i =i . v ni / . \ / / ... . / ii / \ vm /.... S / *T .. V / n /- \ w - n / i-i ... . 1 vi j ----n(N-l) xi vi = m - 1 2 (mij-1 j= i bij-1) si j 2 + _____ ni -1 Ii 2 (mi j /mi ) (yi j j= l -mi mi j _____ mi -1 ni m - _____ mi bi j - yi )2 ni (mi - 1) Ii si2 = mini [Vi - 1 2 (mij / m i ) s i j 2 ((mij /bij ) - 1)] ___ j = i (ni -mi ) mi b ij si j 2 = 1/ (bi j -1) 2 (yijk k =1 - yij)2 C* = expected cost of the survey Cx = fixed cost per phase one unit C 2 = cost per second phase unit C3 = cost per third phase unit s2 = estimated population variance si2 = estimated population variance of the ith phase one stratum si j2 = estimated population variance of the (ij)th phase two stratum The other terms are as defined on the text. APPENDIX B Selection Probabilities for the Hardwood, and Red Oak Strata A. Hardwood Stratum A.l Original Probabilities: Pi Pi j Pi J k .09987 .07918 .06253 .08348 .11689 .14945 .00809 .01059 .01059 .00873 .00989 .00989 .01061 .01061 .00687 .00898 .00804 .00898 Conifer 160 A . 2 Changed Probabilities: Pi Trial#l Trial#2 Trial#3 Trial#4 Trial#5 .10531 .0835 .10449 .06779 .10524 .08345 .10953 .08685 .09192 .07288 Pi j Trial#l .06867 .09168 .13817 .13209 Trial#2 Trial#3 Trial#4 Trial#5 .07354 .08033 .15971 .12493 .05863 .09568 .1353 .10583 .07051 .07702 .13855 .10837 .06898 .0921 .15727 .12301 Pi j k Trial#l .00925 .00925 .01171 .00763 .00881 .01116 .01169 .00923 .00554 .00831 .00733 .00928 Trial#2 Trial#3 Trial#4 Trial#5 .00945 .00945 .00945 .0099 .00874 .00874 .01196 .01196 .00819 .00828 .00731 .00828 .00954 .01209 .00954 .00995 .00878 .00878 .00948 .00948 .00569 .00822 .00726 .00919 .00928 .01176 .01176 .00757 .00874 .01107 .01179 .01179 .00558 .00826 .00923 .00826 .00706 .00963 .00963 .0074 .00854 .00854 .00939 .00939 .00563 .00831 .00733 .00929 161 B. Conifer Stratum B.l Original Probabilities: Pi Pi i Pi j k .10280 .10280 .10640 .18470 .08790 .10640 .01027 .01941 .01941 .01142 .01007 .01007 .01931 .01158 .01931 .01941 .01256 .00571 B.2 Changed Probabilities: Pi Trialfl Trial#2 Trial#3 Traial#4 Trial#5 .11785 .11785 .09432 .09432 .11143 .11143 .09521 .09521 .11276 .11276 162 Pi i Tr i al #1 Trial#2 Trial#3 .09854 .17108 .09953 .09854 .11303 .19623 .07642 .11303 .09718 .16872 .09816 .09718 Trial#4 Trial#5 .11341 .16110 .09372 .11341 .11727 .20359 .09691 .11727 Trial#3 Trial#4 Trial#5 .00787 .02135 .01685 .01010 .01145 .00875 .01722 .01457 .02252 .02135 .01011 .00787 .00816 .01748 .02214 .01276 .01142 .01142 .01643 .00885 .02149 .01748 .01049 .00350 .01209 .01648 .02088 .01273 .00871 .00871 .01704 .01442 .02228 .02088 .00989 .00769 Pi jk Tr i a l # 1 Trial#2 .00806 .01728 .02189 .00999 .00866 .01133 .02149 .00885 .02149 .01728 .01037 .00806 .01259 .02174 .02174 .01249 .01118 .00855 .01722 .01457 .01722 .01716 .01487 .00343 163 C. Red Oak Stratum C.l Original Probabilities: Pi .84395 .84395 Pi jk Pij .16319 .23511 .23511 .16319 .00793 .00887 .00887 .00741 .00741 .00840 .00840 .00840 .00840 .00887 .00793 .00887 C.2 Changed Probabilities Pi Trialll .86859 .86859 Trial#2 Trial#3 Trial#4 .84395 .84395 .84395 .84395 .81566 .81566 • • • • o o CO o o • • • o o © • • • • o o o o o o o o o 03 CO 00 CO -3 4k 4k h-4 I-4 to 00 00 -3 co t-4 • * O O -3 4k -3 • O • « • • • • • o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o CO 00 CO co co -3 03 00 00 co CO o o co co co 4k 4k 4k o o o o U1 CO CO CO H 4 CO o cn o o Pi jk !-» CO cn CO CO CO CO 00 00 cn cn h-4 • • • • I-4 to CO I-4 -3 4k 4k ■3 h-4 ■3 ■3 t-4 03 CO CO 03 oo 03 03 00 • • • • I-4 to CO I-4 cn •3 -0 cn 4k h-4M 4k to cn cn CO h-403 03 t—4 Trial#5 o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o CO -3 00 ~3 -3 -3 *3 00 00 00 00 CO t-4 h-4 h-4 CO CO CO co co co I—4 h*4 h-4 I-4 CO CO I-4 Trial#4 o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o 00 CO 00 CO -3 CO CO 00 00 00 00 -3 CO I-4 CO co 4k CO CO co co CO to to H 4 -3 I-4-3 o -3 ~3 CO CO I-4Hk 4k • • • • I-4 CO CO I-4 4k cn cn 4k 03 00 00 03 00 cn cn 00 Trial#3 o o o o o o o O o o o o o o o o o o o O o o o o 00 -3 co CO ~3 -3 co 00 03 CO 00 CO o f—4o CO CO CO CO CO co o o o -3 CO CO oo CO CO 00 o cn to -3 CO ■ . . . t-4 CO CO t-4 -3 cn cn -3 co o © CO 03 I-4 I-4 03 cn CO CO cn Trial#2 « o o o o o o o o o o o o 00 to to CO CO -3 I—4 I-4 h-4 4k 4k -J CO co 3J 3 -3 Trial#l • « • • • • H-4 to to t-4 4k t-4 M 4k 03 H-4 I—4 03 00 cn cn 00 CO 4k 4k CO 4 HSB t-1 =**= t-4 H tj H- 13) M =#= CO i-3 CJ H- SB I-4 =tt= CO H- SB H4 =*t= 4k •-3 H- SB I-4 =*♦= cn & APPENDIX C List of Scientific Names of Trees Common Name Scientific Name American Beech Fagus grandiflora Basswood Tilia americana Bigtooth Aspen Po p u l u s g r a n d i d e n t a t a Michs. Blach Cherry Prunus Elm Ulmus Iron wood Ostrya Jack Pine Pinus Oak Quercus Red Maple A c e r r u b r u m L. Red Oak Quercus Red Pine Pinus Sugar Maple A c e r s a c c h a r u m Marsh. Trembling Aspen Populus White Ash Fraxinus Ehrh. L. s e r o t i n a E h rh. spp. virginiana banksiana (Mill.) L amb. spp. r u b r a L. r e s i n o s a Ait. tremuloides Michx. americana L. K.Koch APPENDIX D TALLY SHEET FIELD COLLECTION DATA SHEET Summer 1987 Date: / /87 Plot#: BAF: L o c a t i o n :__ Time start: Finish: Point# 1 Tree# Spp 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Comments: DBH Point# 2 !MerchHT Tree# 1 a 8 1 1 1 B a 8 a 8 a il i ii 1 1 * il ii I I 1 1 I * l ii 1 i l i 1 i I » 1 i 1 i 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Spp DBH MerchHt| t * 1 1 1 a 1 a 1 a I a 1 a 1 a 1 a 1 a I a 1 a I i 1 a l a 1 I a 1 a 1 a 1 a 1 • APPENDIX E A. Volume per Plot in cubic feet/acre for the Multistage Sampling Technique A.l Hardwood Stratum A . 2 Conifer Stratum Plot# Volume Plot# Volume 1 . 1.1 2,047.05 2,206.81 2,066.79 2,589.14 3,455.34 3,100.82 1,537.66 1,431.21 1,772.23 2,216.26 2,176.66 1,821.06 1 . 1.1 1 .1.2 1.1.3 1 .2.1 1 .2.2 1.2.3 2 .1.1 2 .1.2 2.1.3 2 .2.1 2 .2.2 2.2.3 3,042.66 3,668.98 2,185.42 2,963.12 2,137.78 2,532.41 1,976.81 1,924.06 3,123.94 2,568.85 1,769.06 1,414.91 1 .1.2 1.1.3 1 .2.1 1 .2.2 1.2.3 2 .1.1 2 .1.2 2.1.3 2 .2.1 2 .2.2 2.2.3 168 A . 3 Red Oak Stratum Plot# Volume 1 .1.1 1 .1.2 1.1.3 1 .2.1 1 .2.2 1.2.3 2 .1.1 2 .1.2 2.1.3 2 .2.1 2 .2.2 2.2.3 1,833.90 2,654.62 2,659.69 2,171.66 2,419.89 2,123.22 2,033.44 1,764.94 2,166.95 3,340.35 2 ,850.24 2,533.65 B. Volume Per Plot in cubic feet/acre for the Multiphase Sampling Technique B.l Hardwood Stratum B.2 Conifer Stratum Plot# Hardwood Red Oak Jack Pine 1 2 3 4 5 6 2,423.86 1,615.05 1,243.82 3,204.58 1,298.34 1,385.75 2,506.85 2,301.51 1,958.07 1 ,989.80 2,937.91 1,945.29 1,245.04 1,598.59 1,421.78 1,325.95 Red Pine 3,517.55 3,109.69 1,995.50 1,656.17 2,847.39 LITERATURE CITED Albert, D . A . ; Denton, S.R.; Barnes, B.V. 1986. Regional landscape ecosystem of Michigan. School of Natural Resources, The University of Michigan, 32 p. Aldred, A.H. 1980. Forest inventory by multistage remote sensing. In: Remote Sensing Symposium, Proceedings, Great Lake Forest Research Center, Sault Ste. Marie, Ontario, Canada, pp. 7 7 - 84. Anderson, J. E. 1979. Multistage variable pr ob ab il ity forest volume inventory. NASA/ERL Report #179, 32 p. Avery, G . ; Meyer, M.T. 1959. Volume tables for aerial timber estimating in nor thern Minnesota. Lake States Forest Experimental Station, station paper #78, 21 p. 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