INFORMATION TO USERS This manuscript has been reproduced from the microfilm master. UMI films the text directly from the original or copy submitted. Thus, some thesis and dissertation copies are in typewriter face, while others may be from any type of computer printer. The quality of this reproduction is dependent upon the quality of the copy submitted. Broken or indistinct print, colored or poor quality illustrations and photographs, print bleedthrough, substandard margins, and improper alignment can adversely affect reproduction. In the unlikely event that the author did not send U M I a complete manuscript and there are missing pages, these will be noted. Also, if unauthorized copyright material had to be removed, a note will indicate the deletion. Oversize materials (e.g., maps, drawings, charts) are reproduced by sectioning the original, beginning at the upper left-hand corner and continuing from left to right in equal sections with small overlaps. Each original is also photographed in one exposure and is included in reduced form at the back of the book. Photographs included in the original manuscript have been reproduced xerographically in this copy. Higher quality 6" x 9" black and white photographic prints are available for any photographs or illustrations appearing in this copy for an additional charge. Contact UMI directly to order. University Microfilms International A Bell & Howell Information C om pany 300 North Z eeb Road. Ann Arbor. Ml 48106-1346 USA 313/761-4700 800/521-0600 O rder N u m b er 9 4 3 1 2 5 0 F arm land leasin g and con tra ct choice in M ichigan: T h e influence o f social d istan ce Gwilliam, K ent R alph, Ph.D . Michigan State University, 1993 UMI 300 N. Zeeb Rd. Ann Arbor, MI 48106 FARMLAND LEASING AND CONTRACT CHOICE IN MICHIGAN THE INFLUENCE OF SOCIAL DISTANCE By Kent R. Gwilliam A DISSERTATION Submitted to Michigan State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY Department of Agricultural Economics 1993 ABSTRACT FARMLAND LEASING AND CONTRACT CHOICE IN MICHIGAN: THE INFLUENCE OF SOCIAL DISTANCE By Kent R. Gwilliam Choice of the share crop (as opposed to cash rent) form of contracting in agricultural leasing has been the subject of debate for years. Traditional economic theory has held that the practice is (in theory) fundamentally flawed and leads to inefficiency Scholars and have inappropriate remained puzzled allocation by the of resources. persistence practice and have made numerous attempts of the to produce models that would explain its popularity. This study explores the influence of social relationships (termed social closeness) model demonstrates created on the choice that of contract. individuals with The social closeness will choose the share crop form of contract. The benefits of this type of agreement are cost savings and income enhancement. Data to test the hypotheses was collected by conducting a mail survey of landlords and tenants in Michigan. Testing was done using a logit regression model. It was found that choice of contract. showed evidence that social Responses relationships of interaction landlords on a influence the in particular social basis and interpersonal relationship were correlated with the choice of the share crop form of contract. In the case of tenants, the Kent Ralph Gwilliam attitude, contribute experience more than and willingness just land to of the the landlord agreement correlated to the choice of the share agreement. to were ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS Sincere thanks patience, is extended to Dr. understanding research project. and A Allan Schmid encouragement In particular, throughout for the gratitude is expressed for willingness to listen and provide timely advice. Dr. Ralph Hepp's faith and confidence in my ability to complete this especially resources at work provided times when to complete the a needed the vision steadying became survey through dim. Dr. influence Financial Miron Kelsey couldn't have come at a better time. Appreciation is also extended to Michigan Agricultural Statistics Service for extraction of the sample. My tenure as a graduate student received considerable support from Michigan Agriculture Experiment Station funding for which I am very grateful. My deepest and most sincere appreciation goes to my wife who patiently bore the enormous burden of primary breadwinner while continuing as mother, wife, and homemaker. I thank my children for understanding through missed school plays, ball games, swimming events, family has been stellar. and so forth. The support of all my TABLE OF CONTENTS LIST OF F I G U R E S ........................................... viii LIST OF T A B L E S ............................................. ix CHAPTER I .................... INTRODUCTION and PROBLEM STATEMENT 1.1 Introduction ................................... 1.2 Problem statement ............................ 1 1 4 CHAPTER II REVIEW OF LITERATURE ................................... 2 .1 I n t r o d u c t i o n ................................... 2.2 Historical setting and emergence of leasing . 2.3 Areas ofF o c u s ................................. 2.4 Terms and D e f i n i t i o n s ......................... 2.5 Purpose: Why R e n t ? ............................ 2.5.1 For the l a n d l o r d ...................... 2.5.2 For the t e n a n t ........................ 2.6 Contract C h o i c e ............................... 2.6.1 Early M o d e l s .......................... 2.7 The Traditional M o d e l s ........................ 2.7.1 The efficiency q u e s t i o n ............... 2.7.2 Advalorem tax or share model . . . . . 2.7.2 Lump sum m o d e l ........................ 2.8 Problems with the Traditional M o d e l s ......... 2.9 Elements that remain unexplained by the tax model and its variations...................... 2.10 Proposed Answers to the Theoretical Paradox and Contract C h o i c e .......................... ........................ 2.10.1 Input Sharing 2.10.2 Empirical and Practical Questions . . 2.10.3 The Equal Efficiency Models ......... 2.10.4 Cheung Model .......................... 2.10.5 The Screening Approach ............... 2.10.6 Agricultural Ladder ................. 2.10.6 Linkage ...................... 2.10.8 R i s k ................................... 2.10.9 Transaction Costs .................... 2.10.10 Service Extraction . ............... 2.10.11 Exploitation of the l a n d ........... 2.10.12 Social Distance ...................... 2.11 S u m m a r y ....................................... 22 22 25 27 27 28 30 31 31 34 37 41 42 46 CHAPTER III MODELING THE LANDLORD-TENANT RELATIONSHIP ............ 3.1 I n t r o d u c t i o n ............... 3.2 The m o d e l ..................................... 3.2.1 The Cash Rent A g r e e m e n t .......... 47 47 49 50 v 7 7 7 9 10 13 13 13 14 14 14 15 15 17 18 21 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.2.2 Summary of the Cash Lease Agreement . . 52 3.2.3 The share a g r e e m e n t ..................... . 52 Incorporating risk into the m o d e l ........... 54 The effects of social c a p i t a l ............... 57 3.4.1 Features of the social closeness 58 f a c t o r ................................... H y p o t h e s e s ..................................... 69 3.5.1 The effect of risk aversion . . . . . . 69 3.5.2 The effects of social closeness . . . . 71 3.5.6 The effects of transaction costs ... 74 S u m m a r y ....................................... 76 CHAPTER IV 78 DATA COLLECTION AND A N A L Y S I S .......................... 78 4.1 I n t r o d u c t i o n ................................... 78 4.2 Obtaining a s a m p l e ............................ 4.2.1 Sample s i z e ................... . 79 4.2.2 Drawing the s a m p l e .................... 80 4.2.3 Questionnaires sent, received, different ........................ 81 mailings, etc 4.2.4 Testing for non response b i a s ......... 82 4.3 General Respondent information ............... 86 4.3.1 Distribution of respondents ........... 86 4.3.2 Number, size, and distribution of parcels of land being r e p o r t e d ......... 89 4.3.3 Length of L e a s e ........................ 90 4.3.4 Formality of A g r e e m e n t ............... 90 4.4 Cash Rent A g r e e m e n t s .......................... 91 92 4.5 Crops grown share, cash ............. . . . . . 4.6 A d j u s t m e n t s ................................... 93 4.7 Share Rent A g r e e m e n t s ........................ 94 4.7 Landlord participation in inputs ............. 95 4.8 Changes from cash to share and visa versa . . 97 4.9 Specifics of landlords and tenants . . . . . . 98 4.9.1 C o n t r a c t i n g ............... 99 4.9.2 Hypothetical contract choice with parties of varying degrees of closeness and c o n f i d e n c e ............................. 100 4.9.3 Landlord qualification and participation in the a g r e e m e n t ...........................106 4.10 General rental market and respondent i n f o r m a t i o n ..................................... 108 4.10.1 Use, maintenance and care of assets . 108 4.10.2 Improvements . . . . ................. 110 4.10.3 Self evaluation of risk preferences and contract choice ............. . . . . . 110 4.10.4 Interaction and contract choice . . . 112 4.10.5 Current relationship, changes, and contract c h o i c e ................. 114 4.10.6 Social Interaction and Contract C h o i c e ......................................114 vi 4.11 Testing of factors associated with contract c h o i c e .......................................... 4.11.1 Landlord choice of contract ......... 4.11.2 Landlord logit regression results . . 4.11.3 Tenant Choice of Contract ........... 4.11.4 Tenant regression results ........... 4.12 S u m m a r y .......................................... 115 116 118 122 124 126 CHAPTER V RESULTS AND HYPOTHESIS T E S T I N G ............. 127 5.1 I n t r o d u c t i o n ...................................... 127 5.2 Basis for hypothesis rejection ............... 127 5.3 Interpretation of the data from the logit r e g r e s s i o n ...................................... 129 5.4 Testing of h y p o t h e s e s ........................... 129 5.4.1 R i s k ...................................130 5.4.2 Risk and tenant's choice of contract . 130 5.4.4 Discussion of risk . . . . . . . . . . 131 5.4.5 Transactions Costs .............. 133 5.4.6 Social Closeness ...................... 136 5.4.7 Further study of social closeness . . . 138 5.5 S u m m a r y .......................................... 139 CHAPTER VI C O N C L U S I O N S ................................................. 141 6.1 R e v i e w ............................................ 141 6.2 Empirical findings . ........... . . . . . . . 142 6.2.1 Findings on r i s k ..................... 143 6.2.2 Findings on social closeness . . . . . 145 6.2.3 Findings on transaction costs ......... 14 7 6.2.4 Summary of f i n d i n g s ................... 148 6.3 I m p l i c a t i o n s ...................................... 149 6.3.1 Implications for landlords ........... 149 6.3.2 Implications for t e n a n t s ............. 150 6.3.3 Implications for farm management and extension personnel .................... 151 6.3.4 Public policy implications ........... 152 6.3.5 Theoretical implications ............. 153 6.4 Recommendations for further research ......... 153 APPENDIX I THE Q U E S T I O N N A I R E ............. 156 APPENDIX II STATISTICAL DATA FROM THE LOGISTIC R E G R E S S I O N S ............................. 164 BIBLIOGRAPHY ............................................ vii 170 LIST OF FIGURES Figure II- 1 The tax m o d e l ............................ 16 Figure II- 2 The effects of sharing input costs to resolve the share lease paradox.................... 23 Figure III- 1 Social closeness and the accompanying attitudes have the effect of shifting the demand for variable inputs out and upward................ 61 viii LIST OF TABLES Table III.l Summary of Contract Choice Under Risk . . . Table Choice Under Consideration of ................................... 65 III. 3 Contract Choice Under Consideration of Management Resources................................ 66 III.4 Contract Choice Under Consideration of Investment Resources ............................... 67 IV.1 Testing for non-response bias in the sample. . ....................................... 84 IV. 2 Acreage Owned and Leased with Estimated V a l u e .............................................. 87 IV.3 Profile of respondents by income from farming, age and s e x ................................ 88 Table IV.4 Distribution of parcel holdings by number and t y p e ............. 89 Table IV.5 Lease Length by contract type, respondent and f o r m a l i t y .......................................... 90 Table IV.6 Formality and renewal ofagreements 91 Table Table Table Table Table Table III.2 Contract Social Distance 56 . . . . IV. 7 Distribution of Crops grown by contract t y p e ................................................ 93 Table IV. 8 Tenant's share of o u t p u t .................... 94 Table IV.9 Landlord participation in input cost sharing by input ................................... 96 Table IV.10 Landlord experience and choice of contract Table IV.11 Landlord prior cultivation of the land to be leased and contract choice ........................ Table 99 99 IV.12 Respondent actual contract choice with parties of varying degrees of closeness..............100 Table IV.13 Landlord contract preferences (hypothetical) with parties of varying degrees of closeness; assuming no risk in performance...................... 102 ix Table IV.14 Landlord contract preferences (hypothetical) with tenants of uncertain performance and varying categories of social closeness....................... 103 Table IV.15 Tenants' contract preferences (hypothetical) with landlords of varying categories of social closeness...............................................105 Table IV. 16 Tenant's view of the contribution of the landlord; Crop-share Agreement ................... 107 Table IV. 17 Tenant's view of the contribution of the landlord; Cash Rent A g r e e m e n t ...................... 108 Table IV. 18 Perceived interest in, and care for, the a s s e t s ................................................. 109 Table IV. 19 Capital improvements reported.................. 110 Table IV.20 Tenants' risk preferences and contract choree . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Ill Table IV.21 Landlords' risk preferences and contract c h o i c e ................................................. 112 Table IV.22 Degree of interaction and choice of contract . . . .................... . . . . . . . . Table IV.23 Respondents Evaluation of Fairness Table IV.24 Contract interaction Table IV.25 Variable list for landlord regression......................... . . . . 113 114 choice (actual) and social ....................................115 logistic 117 Table IV.26 Classification Table for Landlord Contract C h o i c e .................................................119 Table IV.27 Result of the landlord regression equation on choice of the share agreement- variables and corresponding statistics . . . . . . . . 121 Table IV.28 Variable list for tenant logistic regression........... ... ............................ 123 Table IV.29 Classification Table for Tenant Contract C h o i c e .................................................124 Table IV.30 Variables in the tenant equation and corresponding statistics .......................... x 125 Table VI .1 Selected social closeness and interaction variables and corresponding statistics for landlords and tenants.............................. xi 146 CH APTER I IN T R O D U C T IO N A N D PR O B L E M ST A T E M E N T 1.1 Introduction Two in every five acres of U S farm land is u nder som e kind of lease agreem ent. U nderstanding the issues and im plications of leasing can m ake an im portant contribution to th e adaptability and well being of US agriculture. The efficiency of share cropping agreem ent versus cash rent has long been the subject of debate due to ap p aren t conflicts betw een theory and practice. This study adds a new dimension. T he m otivation for leasing and the choice of contract will be exam ined particularly with regard to the social relationship betw een the landlord and tenant. W hen a landholder faces a change in circum stances such th at the farm ing of the land is no longer consistent with his/her interests, a decision must be faced. E ith er the land can be sold, left idle, let to a tenant or the ow ner can hire custom w ork done. Leaving the land idle is rarely an economically sound choice. Choosing to sell the land may pose oth er problem s. Land is not liquid. Land m arkets, though traditionally stable, have recently been subject to considerable instability, interfering with marketability. F u rtherm ore, the land ow ner may w ant to retain ow nership of the land for investm ent, personal or tax reasons. O n the other hand, an am bitious farm er may be m otivated to expand his or her land base in o rd er to achieve a m ore efficient use of resources, expand 1 2 operations, or take advantage of m arket fluctuations w ithout taking ow nership of the land. Lack of capital, desire for mobility, or interest in accom m odating the needs of family m em bers no longer in a position to farm can m otivate a potential ten an t to turn to leasing as an alternative to ownership. F o r th e landlord, securing a good ten an t is no small m atter. In addition to annual income, the landlord knows that soil m aintenance and conservation practices depend on the attitude of th e ow ner and/or occupant of the land and the level of com m itm ent to investm ent in the future. T he ow ner of the land is assum ed to have a vested interest in the land and m aintenance of the value of that investm ent. T he tenant on the other hand tends to be m otivated by current term profit potential. It is not difficult to envision th a t such differences in interests can lead to som e conflict and/or controversy in establishing and m aintaining lease agreem ents. F urtherm ore, the scene is com plicated by the em ergence of two alternative m odes of leasing. F or one, there is the traditional share leasing agreem ent (som etim es referred to as share cropping) u nder which the ten an t pays the landlord a portion of the crop either in kind or the equivalent in cash after the crop is sold. T he oth er alternative is a cash rent agreem ent w here the ten an t pays a fixed fee for the use of the land, usually in advance of the cropping season. T he different agreem ents necessarily foster different sets o f econom ic incentives. The share leasing agreem ent, in particular, has perplexed students of econom ics for a num ber of years. The source of much of the confusion stem s from the analytical approach of econom ists and the assum ptions underlying the traditional econom ic m odel. Strictly speaking (in the language of econom ics), when a landlord engages a tenant, the ren t paid for the use of the land partially o r wholly recom penses the landlord for foregone returns from the use of the land. Provisions m ay also be m ade to account for any depreciation, time and effort in servicing the lease, and w hatever econom ic profits are forthcom ing given the conditions of the m arket subject to the term s and conditions of the lease. Conflicts arise betw een theory and practice which are generally acknowledged in th e literature, but not resolved (C heung 1969, H eady 1947, Sutinen 1975). These include: 1) the disincentives to production on the p art of the tenant, 2) the difficulty associated with m onitoring the m aintenance of the soil (o r lack thereof), 3) the difficulty associated with m onitoring of conservation practices, and 4) the inefficiency associated with perform ance of m aintenance and conservation practices separately from th e routine cultivation and farm ing of the land. No line of thinking has em erged to dom inate the field. It is intended that this study will g ath er valuable em pirical data to be used in evaluation of hypothesized links in the developm ent of a theory of leasing. Concurrently, it is anticipated that practical inform ation will be generated to contribute tow ard the p reparation of a handbook on leasing. This docum ent should prove useful to those faced with the prospects of leasing and desiring educational and conventional inform ation on the subject. T he author has observed that the interests of landlords and tenants may conflict as each tries to optim ize returns under a lease agreem ent (see also Schickele 1941). O f particular interest are the long range effects on the fertility of the soil and preservation of the environm ent (Ervin 1983, 1986, Dillman 1982). It appears that th ere is a relationship betw een the attitude of the ten an t and the perform ance of fertility m aintenance, soil conservation and environm ental protection investm ent. This attitude may be directly related to the expected length of anticipated tenure or specifically related to the interest the individual has in the welfare of the o th er party in the leasing agreem ent, or both. U ltim ately the prevailing attitude may lead to the kind of contract chosen. 1.2 Problem statement Behavior exem plary of tem porary (versus p erm anent) land tenure will have negative effects on efficient use of the productive assets, specifically the m aintenance and care given to the soil and the environm ent. Though behavior of the p erm anent ten an t (including landow ners) can be less than ideal due to constraints in time, resources and knowledge, the behavior of the tem porary ten an t is expected to be substantially worse. In principle, the term s and conditions of the lease agreem ent may be drawn up in such a way as to encourage the short term ten an t to exhibit behavior similar to that of a p erm anent tenant. However, in practice, the contract is necessarily incom plete because of uncertainty and m onitoring (transaction) costs. D espite it’s significance, detailed knowledge and understanding of agricultural leasing in the U.S. does not exist at the present time. To the au th o r’s knowledge only two books have been w ritten on the subject, one by Steven N. S. C heung in 1969 and an o th er by J. M. C urrie in 1976. Each attem pts to address the leasing issue theoretically, but n either offers solid em pirical d ata to substantiate the theoretical claims1. And, though num erous articles have ap p eared on the subject, the broad observation by this author is th at the existing theoretical explanations have failed to provide a consensus, or generally accepted basis, for the choice of the share cropping agreem ent. C urrent (traditional) models have limited capacity to explain and predict tenant (and landlord) behavior. F u rth er understanding of leasing and leasing behavior is crucial to analyze policy issues concerning land ownership, land use, land values and farm finance. T he traditional model needs to be supplem ented with such things as the ten an t’s reputation, com m itm ent to family or friendships, personal integrity, credible penalty th reats on the part of the landlord, and incentive program s which may all influence the behavior of the tenant. In anticipation of a b etter understanding of the attitudes and behavior associated with tenure and contract choice this study was conceived. T he objectives of this study are: 1) Seek a solution to th e conflict betw een theory and practice, 2) Im prove the data on leasing in Michigan, and 1 As this work is being con clu ded and prepared for binding it has com e to the author’s attention that a n ew book on contract ch oice has com e out. The authors' work has b een cited herein but it would b e appropriate to acknow ledge that the book w as not available at the time of this study (se e Hayami and Otsuka 1993). 3) agreem ents. Exam ine the contribution o f the concept of social closeness in contractual T he following pages will detail the w ork of reviewing previous studies, conception and exam ination of a m odel of leasing, form alization o f testable hypotheses, organization and execution of a survey of individuals involved in the leasing of farm land in M ichigan (both landlords and tenants), collection and analysis of the data, and exam ination of the results and ensuing conclusions. CHAPTER II REVIEW OF LITERATURE 2.1 Introduction The incidence of leasing accounts for betw een thirty-five and forty p ercen t of the nation’s farm land and has rem ained fairly constant over th e years. Fluctuations do occur with the m ost noticeable being a tendency for the am ount of farm land under lease to rise when farm land prices are falling. Given th e m agnitude of the practice of leasing of farm land, considerable interest is gen erated in leasing agreem ents and the potential for im pact on national production of food and fiber. In o rder to set the ground work for this study of contract choice in leasing agreem ents, the following pages will exam ine previous w ork by oth er authors. O f particular interest will be o th er attem pts to explain the behavior of landlord and especially tenants. 2.2 Historical setting and emergence of leasing E ver since Jacob contracted for the off color offspring of the cattle as com pensation for his services in m anaging L ab an ’s herds and flocks, students of the econom y have grappled with the conflicts of interest betw een landlord and tenant. A dam Smith (1805) argued th at the te n a n t’s rent, paid to the landlord, discouraged any investm ent by the ten an t in durable factors of production. H e com pared it with 7 a tax which interfered with productivity. A prevailing position of early w riters was th a t tenure, particularly share tenan t agreem ents such as the widely adopted metayage (share-cropping) system in France, constituted a curse to the land, the econom y and th e citizens. A m ong others, R ichard Jones (as quoted by D. G ale Johnson, 1950) attributed w idespread poverty of the rural citizens to this ten u re system which discouraged input use and consequently low ered productivity. Econom ists rem ained perplexed by the persistence of the share crop tenancy and began to exam ine the reasons for its popularity. John Stuart Mill (1920) took the position th at the metayage system was theoretically sound but that the concurrent problem s w ere due to im perfections. Alfred M arshall (1920) encouraged the use of cash, versus share, ren t (showing that an optim al solution could be achieved by adjusting th e fixed and share proportions of the contract), in o rd er to avoid the theoretical conflict o f interest. L ater Schickele (1947) H eady (1947) and D. G ale Johnson (1950) began to propose conditions under which the share contract might be considered as efficient as cash rent. N evertheless, these proposed solutions, and others th at have followed, have not found overwhelm ing favor in the literature. N um erous m odels have been proposed. However, for the m ost part, inconsistency with em pirical d ata or use of assum ptions foreign to the environm ent found in the field, have left the profession less than convinced. 9 2 3 Areas of Focus Five m ajor questions have dom inated the discussion of tenure. T he first of these receives disproportionately little attention. Q uestions 2-5 w ere identified and listed by N ew berry and Stiglitz (1979) and again by Allen (1985): 1. Why doesn’t the landow ner farm the land personally, or sell it? 2. W hat is the reason for the persistence of sharecropping and coexistence of types of lease contracts (share, cash, and mixed)? 3. Why does the share leasing agreem ent decline with developm ent? 4. W hat causes lower productivity under share leasing agreem ents? Or, does the share agreem ent necessarily correspond with lower productivity? 5. H ow is share split determ ined? T he second question has received m ost of the attention and continues to dom inate the discussion in the literature. This au th o r takes issue with the third question since this does not seem to be the case in U.S. agriculture (see Johnson et al 1987). As with many others, the focus of this study will be on question num ber two. In seeking answers to this question, it is expected that some understanding will be brought to b ear on questions th ree through five. Q uestion one will be addressed only briefly. Prior to addressing these questions, a brief review of term s and definitions is provided. 10 2.4 Terms and Definitions T he ten u re term s have applied to a broad spectrum of contractual agreem ents and contracting parties with a variety of resources. Landlords consist of ow ners of property with an interest in securing a ten an t that will occupy, m anage, care for, or husband th e asset (usually land) in the place of the landlord and ren d er to the landlord a com pensation for the use of the assets. T enants cover an even b ro ad er category of individuals. T he medieval E u ro p ean description characterizes tenants as peasant laborers. In m ore m odern US agriculture, the ten an t could be best described as an entrepreneur, an ow ner of specialized productive assets, labor, and m anagerial skills. In any event, the ten an t exhibited two com m on characteristics 1) he/she is entrusted with a stew ardship over assets th at are owned by the landlord, and 2) receives com pensation resulting directly from the proceeds of production rath e r than a fixed wage. Tenants will be distinguished from hired laborers by the latter characteristic. W here a m ajority (over 50% ) of the engaged p arty’s incom e or com pensation, relative to the contract or agreem ent, is derived directly from and varying with the proceeds of production, the party is considered to be a tenant. O therw ise the party will be considered a hired laborer. Both tenants and hired labors may share the form er characteristic of stewardship, however, perhaps not to the sam e degree. Because this depiction leaves the definition of th e ten an t open to a broad range of individuals, researchers have been at liberty to further define and specify the characteristics of the "tenant" according to the nature of the study or m odel at hand. 11 F or exam ple, Bogue (1964) rep o rts th at a prom inent m idw estern landlord in the late 1800’s classified tenants relative to personal holding of property. O ttoson (1955) distinguished betw een crop and livestock share-tenants, citing different incentive sets for tenants involved in different assets. Lucas (1979) points out a distinction betw een share tenants who m ake paym ent "in kind" and those who ren d er cash paym ent to the landlord. H e points o u t th at the "in kind" paym ent elicits a focus on quantity production while m oney paym ent encourages the ten an t to focus on quality as well. O f course, it is not uncom m on for a distinction to be m ade betw een cash-lease and share-lease tenants. C heung (1969) in attem pting to m odel conditions in Taiwan, chose to classify the ten an t as a landless, lab o rer w ithout assets. O thers adopting this definition include B aron (1981) and Boxley (1971). Several studies in India portray the ten an t as a landless p easan t (see for exam ple, B ardhan 1979 and R ao 1971). By contrast, a recent study in N ebraska and South D akota (Johnson et al. 1987) found that the farm er-tenant dom inating th e rental m arket in the US owned som e land as well as having a substantial investm ent in farm ing equipm ent. F or this study, the following set of term s will be used to identify and distinguish tenure classifications: 12 O w ner O p erato r O ne who farm s only the land he/she owns. T e n a n tP art O w ner O ne who owns som e land and rents additional land from others. Full T enant O ne who farm s only the land he/she rents (does not own any land). Landlord: Owns land and leases to one or m ore tenants. M ay be part tim e landlord -still farm ing som e land, absentee landlord - o n e who does not live in the sam e county as th e land under lease. An institutional landlord usually eith er a firm, governm ent body, or possibly com munity organization such as an Indian tribe. This set of definitions seem s to have been adopted as the norm in the current literature, including the C ensus o f A griculture (1987) classifications, with only syntax difference. A n exam ple of syntax variation would be Allen and Lueck (1990) who em ploy the term farm er instead of ten an t in the th eir description of the party renting the land. The com m on factor is, however, th at the ten an t com es to the lease agreem ent with som e capital. It may be hum an capital in the form of skills, time, or willingness to incur risk, real capital in th e form of operating funds, or physical capital in the form of m achinery and equipm ent, often a com bination of all three. H e or she contracts to com pensate the landlord for the use of leased assets while anticipating a retu rn on the invested real, physical and/or hum an capital. A functional m odel of leasing should therefore capture this aspect of retu rn on investm ent to the leasing parties. 2.5 Purpose: Why Rent? 2.5.1 For the landlord T he landlord may choose to retain ow nership of th e land but not wish to farm it personally. R easons for this m ight include, but are not limited to the following: a) Illiquidity b) Tax incentives c) H edge against inflation (B aron 1983) d) Engage the professional services and/or skills of the tenant. e) Share risk f) Sentim ental value 2.5.2 For the tenant O n the oth er hand, th e ten an t desires to lease farm land as an alternative to ownership. R easons for this position might include: a) lack of capital b) cost of assets (cheaper to ren t than own) c) mobility d) gain experience u nder the guidance of a retired farm er e) share risk f) unavailability of land for purchase 14 2.6 Contract Choice In o rd er to understand the traditional thinking on the various contracts and the corresponding theoretical implications, the next section will be devoted to a review of the characterization of ten u re in the literature. As m entioned above the choice of contract question has seem ed to dom inate the literature. 2.6.1 Early Models A dam Smith has b een credited with the form ulation o f w hat will be term ed the traditional m odel which was later adopted and form alized by Alfred M arshall (1920). T he simple depiction of the landlord ten an t relationship (discussed below) together with the implications for behavior by the tenant and landlord, have persisted for a long time. Still the theoretical predictions of the model result in paradoxical outcom es w hen com pared to observed practices and em pirical studies. N um erous variations and reform ulations have been proposed with no em ergence of a dom inant line of thinking to supersede the traditional model. These will be exam ined below, beginning with a discussion of efficiency in tenure, the driving force behind the theoretical constructs. 2.7 The Traditional Models In this section we will exam ine a num ber of models th at ap p ear with some frequency in the literature. 15 2.7.1 The efficiency question The vast m ajority of the literature on agricultural leasing is m otivated by the theoretical issue of efficiency in determ ining contract choice. T he hypothesis, regarding the perform ance o f the ten an t with respect to em ploym ent of productive inputs, is th at the share ten an t will choose variable inputs th at result in an inefficient use of the available resources (see O tsuka and Hayam i 1988.) This characterization of the landlord ten an t relationship is established theoretically, assum ing the te n a n t’s incentive to equate m arginal revenue and his own m arginal product which is m erely a share of total output. The tenant has control over variable inputs and chooses a level of output that is below th at which the landlord would have chosen. This is best portrayed by a careful exam ination of the traditional model. 2.7.2 Advalorem tax or share model The traditional approach is to com pare the expected perform ance of the ten an t under crop-share and lump sum rental agreem ents. U n d er crop share agreem ents the ten an t contributes to the landlord a portion of each unit of output. T he result is similar to an ad valorem tax. And, as in the ad valorem tax m odel, the profit maximizing point of output occurs (i.e. equates marginal cost and m arginal revenue) at a lower level of output for the m anaging (before tax) firm. Consequently, theorists conclude that the profit maximizing sh are-ten an t will choose a reduced level of inputs, lowering output. 16 The graphic re p re s e n ta tio n Value of output A (S e e Figure I I - 1) dem onstrates Marginal value product (MVP) that under th e crop share agreem ent, the ten an t is B e x p e c te d to Tenant's MVP e q u a te Marginal Cost (HC) D m arginal revenue with m arginal cost. If m arginal value product (M V P) is 0 depicted BQ3 by A Q 3, r e p r e s e n ts and th e 0 0 Quantity of composit input X F igure II- 1 T he tax m odel te n a n t’s M VP, then given constant m arginal cost (M C) of inputs line DC, the ten an t is expected to apply variable inputs X until the m arginal cost p er unit of X is equal to the m arginal retu rn at input point Qj yielding o u tp u t E. This results in a lower level of o utput than that which would be chosen by the landlord (Q 2 input level yielding output C) and consequently an inefficient allocation of resources (see Schickele 1941, H eady 1947, Johnson 1950, Issawi 1957, G eorgescu-R oegen 1960, A dam s and R ask 1968, Boxley 1971, N ew berry 1974, R eid 1976, B raverm an and Stiglitz 1986 and O tsuka and H ayam i 1988). T o further d em onstrate the application of this model, the m otivation of the ten an t is considered. U n d er a share lease agreem ent, the tenant supplies a variable input, usually depicted by labor available in com pletely divisible, uniform units. 17 F aced with the reality of receiving only a portion of each unit of ou tp u t p er each unit input of labor, and assuming diminishing m arginal returns to the variable input, the ten an t will attem p t to equate the value of the m arginal product with m arginal cost. 2.7.2 Lump sum model F o r com parison, let us consider the m odel often viewed as the efficient case: a ten an t with a cash lease. First th e following variables are defined: L : proportion of te n a n t’s labor em ployed on leased land. 0 £ L <; 1 A : num ber of acres rented (could also be viewed as all fixed inputs) q : output which is a function of labor and land, q = q (L ,A ) c : p er acre cash rental w : wage rate of labor (exogenous) T he price of the output q is norm alized to unity. T he te n a n t’s incom e y is then expressed as: y = q - cA + w (l - L) (!•!) This leads to the fam iliar maximization result in which the first o rd er conditions equate m arginal revenue (m arginal product of labor) with the wage rate: 7 =w qL (1.2) Next the case of the share ten an t is considered. Incom e for the ten an t is given 18 as: y = (1 - a)q + w(l - L) (1*3) w here a is th e landlord’s ren t (0 i a s 1) to be paid as a share of output. Using this m odel, th e optim al level of labor input (L) by the ten an t would occur w here m arginal cost o f L and m arginal retu rn to L are equated. T he first o rd er conditions then result in: (1 - a)q'L = w Since th e retu rn to the ten an t is now less than the m arket wage rate, and assuming th a t the retu rn to labor is a declining function, the ten an t will choose to reduce the am ount of variable input L . H e will attem p t to equate the cost of effort to returns equivalent to the m arket wage rate w. O ptim al behavior by the ten an t would then result in reduced output to the extent of the output elasticity of the labor input (D rake 1952 and B raverm an and Stiglitz 1986). This result is considered to be an inefficient use of resources, the efficient case being expressed in equation (1.2). 2.8 Problems with the Traditional Models T he tax m odel as form ulated to this point, raises a num ber of questions. First, is does not answ er the question of labor allocation betw een the technically equivalent leasing agreem ent and working for the m arket wage. The implication is that there 19 is som e incentive for the ten an t to allocate all labor to the leasing agreem ent. Consequently, it does not answ er the question of contract choice, implying that the share tenancy agreem ent is illogical. Second, there is a problem of labor allocation betw een parcels of land owned and leased. M ost individuals that lease farm land in the US own some land (Johnson, et a l 1987). Farm ers realize th at timing of planting and harvest are often extremely crucial to the success of the crop. T he tax m odel assum es that all units of labor are equal and are uniformly distributed. It would stand to reason that the tenant will have an incentive to allocate prim e tim e to owned land w here the full value of the crop is his to keep. Leased cropland, especially share-leased, would receive second priority and therefore the value of crops from leased land would be relatively lower. This should be especially evident when conditions are less than ideal, threatening crop failure (H olstrom et al. 1985). Third, the theoretical predictions are not supported empirically. O tsuka and H ayam i (1988) have com piled an impressive list o f em pirical studies. Their data dem onstrates that, based on yields, there is no statistically significant difference betw een o utput on ow ner versus ten an t o perated farms. H owever, they do show that there appears to be a difference relative to the value of the output. Further, the tax m odel raises the question of resource allocation. O n the one hand, according to traditional econom ic theory, the (M arshallian) economically efficient allocation is expressed in the model w here the rent is a lum p sum. M arginal input use is equated with m arginal output. The choice of the tenant is then to 20 evaluate th e returns to farm ing and then either pay the lum p sum rent or w ork for the m arket wage. In a perfect m arket in equilibrium, one would expect to find the earnings of the ten an t and wage earn er to be equated, assuming either no risk or equivalent risk to the respective alternatives. This outcom e would then be evaluated against the relative earnings from leasing a given parcel of land on a share basis. T he te n a n t’s choice would equate all three possibilities in this simplified environm ent. Similarly, the landlord is faced with finding the m eans of achieving the optim al use o f th e asset, land. Shaban (1987) m aintains th at a m ajor failing of the traditional approach is that researchers tend to neglect the fact that the landlord is an actor in the leasing agreem ent. Specifically, if the landlord is not able to realize returns by share leasing g reater than or equal to that expected under a cash lease, then the landlord will choose the cash lease. T he tax model predicts that the ten an t will equate the value of marginal inputs and outputs. T he implication is that this is the sam e result that the landlord would reach w ere he/she to farm the land personally. T he econom ic m odel assumes that the contribution to production of the fixed asset, land, is known and constant yet nearly all o f the authors consulted refer in some way to the differences in productivity attributable to use and/or abuse of the land. H owever in the traditional m odel, the change in output is attributed solely to the application of variable, inputs. Early researchers, true to economic custom, held rigidly to the theory and thus, the traditional model. They attem pted to explain away the em pirical evidence (H eady and K ehrberg 1952). But, m ore recent em pirical evidence has failed to reject 21 the hypothesis th at th ere was no reduction in production levels on farm s o p erated by tenants (Johnson, et al. 1987). 2.9 Elements that remain unexplained by the tax model and its variations. W hy does the share lease arrangem ent rem ain so popular (D illm an and Carlson 1982)? Johnson et al. (1987) found th at 75% of N ebraska leases and 62% of South D akota leases used the share rath er than cash leasing arrangem ent. If indeed it is inefficient w hat incentives prescribe its choice? Or, is it th at the assum ptions that would lead to a theoretically efficient result are not borne out in practice? B ernat (1987) concludes: N either the traditional version of the tax-equivalent model, in which the o p erato r is a landless tenant, nor the screening view ap p ear to be very relevant to U.S. agriculture. . . T he traditional tax-equivalent m odel requires m arket im perfections th at either do not exist in the m odern U.S. econom y or are relatively insignificant. F urtherm ore, w ere the landlord m otivated to participate in sharing all production inputs in similar proportion to output share, why do we not observe the landlord either contributing labor or com pensating the ten an t for a share of the labor expenditure? O ne possible explanation proposed by B ernat (1987), which bears further consideration, is the notion that many agricultural crops may not lend them selves to marginal variations in labor inputs. T hat is, the inputs are b etter viewed as com plem ents. Indeed, a situation approaching an al! or nothing prospect is com mon, causing the m arginal returns to labor to be either very great or insignificant such that the term marginal returns has no meaning. 22 Em pirical evidence only partially supports the ten u re-lad d er variant o f the screening hypothesis. Full tenants tend to be younger than p art or full owners (Johnson et al. 1987). H owever, the fact that many operators frequently ren t u nder both cash and share contracts and go back and forth betw een the two alternatives, frustrates the idea of a progression from one to the other. 2.10 Proposed Answers to the Theoretical Paradox and Contract Choice As m entioned previously, the majority of the studies consulted in the literature attem p t to provide answers to the seemingly paradoxical conditions th at rem ain betw een the accepted theory and the limited em pirical evidence. These attem pts include such things as revising the assum ptions, adding new assum ptions, adding conditions or constraints, or attem pting to modify the theory. E ach approach has som e m erit as well as som e shortcomings. This discussion is introduced by an input sharing solution. 2.10.1 Input Sharing Schickele (1941) and later H eady (1947) proposed an alternative to the results of the traditional share model. They suggested that if inputs w ere shared by the landlord and ten an t in the sam e proportion as outputs, the incentive problem leading to reduced input levels could be avoided and the "perfect" or "ideal" socially optim al lease would result (see also Castle 1952). A dam s and R ask (1968) d em onstrated this 23 e f f e c t Value of total output geom etrically with a m odel th at has gained acceptance as the ap p ro p riate depiction of the MVP Tenant's MVP share-lease paradox (see Figure II- 2). T h e i r m odel assum es a 50-50 ou tp u t share Quantity of composite input X F igure II- 2 T he effects of sharing input costs to resolve the share lease paradox. lease with no cost sharing. T he line indicated as A Q 3 represents th e m arginal value product (M V P) of output to th e firm as input X } (such as labor) is varied. Land and oth er factors of production being held fixed. T he line B C represents m arginal factor cost (M FC ) of input X } to the firm. T he ow ner-operator (or ten an t paying a lum p sum ren t) is expected to choose Q 2 level o f variable input X , to eq u ate M VP with M FC. Line D Q 3 then rep resen ts the effective M V P realized by the tenant. And, the ten an t is expected to choose Q 3 level of input X ,, o r a reduced, inefficient output level. T he argum ent is th a t if the landlord w ere to share input costs at the same p roportion as the sharing of o u tp u t (the "ideal lease"), the te n a n t’s M FC schedule 24 would be H M . Now the incentive exists for the ten an t to choose Q2 input level which maximizes profits with respect to X v The m odel readily indicates th at the tenant has an econom ic incentive to adopt th e Q2 level of variable input. However, the incentives faced by the landlord are not so clear. Participation in variable costs (X,) requires the landlord to contribute the equivalent of area BG K H , receiving in retu rn increased revenues of FEGK. The conclusion is that unless the latter area exceeds the form er, the landlord would be unwilling to participate. A dam s and R ask qualify this by adding th at em pirical verification would be required to establish preferences. Otsulca and Hayam i (1988) are much m ore aggressive in their attack of this result, claiming th at for the m ost p art it would require that the landlord be ". . . an altruist, who, as a benevolent patron, supports the income of po o r clients at the expense of his income." A disturbing im plication of the cost sharing model as proposed is the fact th at in order to realize the optim al point indicated, Q2, all variable costs would need to be shared, including the cost of the te n a n t’s labor. It is not clear to this au th o r why previous studies have failed to address the implications of the landlord paying for a portion o f the te n an t’s labor. F or example, H eady (1947 p.670) for reasons unknown to this author, omits labor from his list of variable inputs. Only Boxley (1971) and Schickele (1941) and m ore recently Shaban (1987) acknowledge this point in the literature. E ach discusses it briefly but neither offers a solution. Boxley and Schickele seem to take the position th at this is an exception to the m odel that must 25 be simply taken into account. In any event, labor rem ains a m ajor variable input, a choice variable u nder the ow nership of the tenant. 2.10.2 Empirical and Practical Questions Interestingly th ere has b een little em pirical work done to verify the predictions of th e A dam s and R ask m odel. A prior study by Berry (1962) which fielded opinions of farm ers in South D ak o ta revealed that tenants and landlords both expressed willingness to share the cost of fertilizer and, under som e conditions, seed. However, b o th groups strongly resisted the idea of sharing the cost of things like fuel, hired labor, and repairs to machinery. Berry offered the explanation that further sharing tended to imply a p artnership rath er than rental agreem ent, som ething that was less appealing to the agents. O th er studies indicate a willingness by landlord to participate in sharing fertilizer, seed and chemical costs (Shaban 1987, Johnson et al. 1987). F u rth er reflection on the n atu re of the inputs considered by Berry, suggests th a t there is a direct correlation betw een th e willingness of th e parties to share input costs and the degree of either liquidity or substitutability of the actual inputs shared. F or exam ple, fertilizer is purchased in large quantities involving one or possibly two expenditures which are easy for the landlord to observe and verify. W hen purchased in bulk it is n o t uncom m on for it to be prem ixed to the p urchaser’s specifications according to land fertility and intended crop. H andling is expensive. These conditions tend to limit or at least reduce the liquidity of the commodity on the resale 26 m arket and thus the incentive to steal. F urtherm ore, fertilizer application to the land and or growing crops takes place as a relatively infrequent event. O nce applied, the fertilizer can n either be rem oved nor transferred to an o th er purpose. H ence it has no m arketable value. By com parison, fuel is purchased frequently, has many alternative uses, and has, as well, a resale value. In connection with th e issue of sharing of inputs and outputs one m ust also consider the proportion or division of shares. The A dam s and R ask m odel (above) adopted the conventional theoretical M arshalian approach of the time, which preced en t has persisted in the literature. However, H eady (1947) noted: It is com m on knowledge, of course, th at share rents vary betw een certain wide areas. Even then, the discrete breaks in [proportion of] share rentals betw een b road regions cannot conform accurately to the gradual decline in econom ic rent resulting from increased transportation costs or less favorable w eather. H owever, num erous studies have indicated th at uniform rental shares tend to exist within areas which are fairly hom ogeneous in respect to prices and w eather but widely heterogeneous in respect to soil resources. W hat causes the variation? Newberry and Stiglitz (1979) proposed an argum ent to support the traditional 50-50 share split. Allen (1985) dem onstrated a similar condition. In the section under risk (below) a result by R obison and Barry (1987) is exam ined which further supports the 50-50 split. However, the empirical work by Johnson et al. (1987) shows decided support for H eady’s regional differences. This author will argue that the relative contribution of th e parties will influence the contract choice and th e share 27 split. It is a question of retu rn on invested resources. Brown and A tkinson 1985 base their conclusions relative to contract choice on the entrepreneurial ability of th e tenant, a type of resource contribution. 2.10.3 The Equal Efficiency Models In answ er to the problem s relative to the share tenancy m odel discussed above, C heung (1969) posited that th e root of the problem could be found in the use o f partial equilibrium analysis. The traditional model does not account for the supply side in th e economy. T he argum ent is that if potential tenants are plentiful and are com peting for limited available land, there will be a tendency to agree to contractual agreem ents th at specify labor inputs beyond the marginal equation of the tenant. P rior to Cheung, D. G ale Johnson (1950) challenged the notion that equilibrium o utput would occur at Q t (see Figure II- 1 page 15) since the landlord would not be satisfied with this solution. M ore recently Shabin reiterated this argum ent m aintaining that th e landlord would not tolerate this level o f ou tp u t and w ould settle for the cash lease instead. This model resolves the problem of com paring all form s of tenancy in general equilibrium. 2.10.4 Cheung Model Steven C heung assum es (1) the firm ’s output level is uncertain due to som e random factor of production such as w eather, (2) the contracting parties are averse to risk, (3) the contractual alternatives are either a pure wage contract, a pu re rental 28 contract, o r a pu re share contract, (4) transaction costs are zero or the sam e for all forms of contracting, and (5) all oth er m eans o f shifting th e risk are too costly (1969 P68). By adopting these assum ptions C heung takes the position that equilibrium conditions, in a world of p erfect com petition, will result in equal retu rn to the landlord from cash and share leased land. Similarly, tenants will be indifferent to share leasing or wage rent since each will g enerate m erely the m arginal product of labor (A dam s and Raslc 1968, Boxley 1971 & 1972, G isser 1969, Kim 1972, and Scott 1970). C om petition am ong ren ters will ensure th a t labor supplied would be equal to the labor engaged under a wage contract with no shirking. Indeed, C heung assum es that if the level of labor expenditure is specified in th e agreem ent th at no shirking will occur. 2.10.5 The Screening Approach T he screening approach attem pts to explain contract choice by incorporating into the tax model additional assum ptions. differentiation of the variable inputs. It also recognizes a degree of F or exam ple, labor is divided into skilled (m anagerial) and nonskilled. T enants are assum ed to possess nonskilled labor and varying degrees of skilled labor. Landlords on the oth er hand have only skilled labor. F urtherm ore, output is a function of both types of labor. Asym metric inform ation about the ability of the tenant, on the p art of the 29 landlord, m otivates the landlord to offer a variety of wage, share, and cash contracts. T he tenant, by choosing the contract to maximize net returns, reveals skill level and resources. In turn the landlord enjoys optim al returns by com plem enting the contribution of the ten an t with m anagerial skills w here app ro p riate (H alagan 1978). The prediction, therefore, is that screening will lead to wage contracts by tenants possessing no m anagerial skills, cash rent contracts by highly skilled tenants, and share contracts by tenants with limited m anagem ent skills (Allen 1984). Brown and Atkinson (1985) surveyed landlords and tenants in Indiana and dem onstrated that under share agreem ents significantly m ore decisions w ere shared by landlord and ten an t than under cash ren t agreem ents. They suggested th at this finding supported this idea of self selection proposed by H alagan (1978) as well as the agricultural ladder theory. W hat they did not disclose is the location of the landlords (present versus absentee), degree of m anagerial ability possessed by the landlord, and the relative disposition for cooperation. T he theory thus assumes that the landlord has, and is willing to provide, the necessary m anagem ent skills. W here the landlord is not able to contribute, output will be reduced on land un d er share and wage contracts (A llen 1985). T he practice of use of contract types to induce self selection resulting in screening of tenants is not readily observed in U S agriculture. F urtherm ore, the screening approach assumes at the outset that skill levels are not observable. Johnson et al. (1987) found that the most prom inent category of agricultural tenants in the US w ere part owner operators, a group that by occupation, necessarily possess highly developed m anagerial skill levels. N evertheless, this group 30 participates in bo th share and fixed rent contracts, a fact th at rem ains unexplained by the screening viewpoint. F u rth erm o re the fact rem ains that skill levels are not necessarily invisible to landlord. This is fu rth er com plicated by the fact th at th e self selection m odel is static o r would p ro p o se that tenants re-negotiated contracts in each period, with past history becom ing invisible once again. Em pirical evidence, again from the N ebraska South D ak o ta study reveals th a t the parties to a given contract tend to establish long o r semi p erm an en t though unw ritten agreem ents. Very little land is let to strangers. B oth of these conditions suggest that the landlord will have the m eans to determ ine skill level in advance of contracting and thus by-pass the screening problem altogether. 2.10.6 Agricultural Ladder A n o th er theory of land ten u re posits the existence of an agricultural ladder. T he perception is that young beginning farm ers would tend to have limited skill and resources. T he logical initial step would be to engage in a wage contract, consistent with the predictions of the screening theory discussed above. Successful tenure would lead to the accum ulation of skill and assets leading to share and ultimately cash rental agreem ents with ow nership th e final goal (K loppenburg and G eisler 1985). The incentive for the ten an t would be to receive com pensation for accum ulated m anagerial skill and asset. 31 T he problem with the ladder m odel was that, although it enjoyed substantial ideological appeal, empirically it was never substantiated. D ue to lack of hard evidence the theory fell from academ ic grace as a viable theory of land ten u re around 1950. The contribution to th e understanding of tenure in the context of this study is simply to note th at this approach has been em braced, scrutinized and discarded. 2.10.6 Linkage A ttem pts have been m ade to incorporate tenant behavior into a model of m ultiple incentive variables, a practice term ed linkage (B ardhan 1984, Bell and Zusm an 1976, B raverm an and Srinivasan 1981, and Braverm an and G uasch 1984). The concept centers around the idea that the landlord plays a role of not only landow ner but also as financier of com m odities for the tenant much the sam e as the com pany store for coal miners. T he occurrence of this kind of leasing agreem ent is limited to developing countries and has little application to leasing in the U nited States. 2.10.8 Risk A num ber of econom ists have undertaken to show that the sharing of risks provides an incentive for selecting the crop-share lease as opposed to oth er types (C heung 1969, Stiglitz 1974, Reiss 1984, Sutinen 1975, N ewberry and Stiglitz 1979, R eid 1973, R obison and Barry 1987, and O tsuka and Hayami 1988). C heung and Sutinen argue th at the presence of risk is a necessary condition to the choice of the 32 share contract. Reid, however, reached the conclusion th at dispersion of risk is not a sufficient incentive to m otivate choice of share contract over wage or fixed rental contracts (R eid 1976 & 1983). M oreover, Stiglitz (1974) and Newberry (1977) dem onstrated that given constant returns to scale, the risk sharing attributes of share contracts could be achieved through a mixture of wage and fixed rent contracts. The relative significance of risk sharing as an incentive to establishing share crop agreem ents in the US p ro m p ted New berry (1973) to conjecture: " . . . I agree th a t risk sharing is not the only motive for sharecropping, and, in U S agriculture, possibly the least im portant motive, I think the evidence from developing countries suggests that it has an im portant role." In Taiwan, C heung (1969) found th at the risky crop (w heat) was most frequently the target of sharecropping contracts. Less risky crops such as rice tended to attract cash rental agreem ents. As a result C heung proposed that the sharing of risk dom inated the transactions cost result on crops of high risk. Sutinen raised some im portant questions about the C heung data, pointing out that there was no attem pt to account for (hold constant) differences in technology or changes in relative crop values over the period of th e study. By contrast, R ao (1971) found that tobacco was m ore often cultivated under the cash ren t agreem ent while the less risky Indian rice was dom inated by share agreem ents, exactly opposite to w hat the risk sharing argum ent would predict. R a o ’s 33 conceptual explanation was th e individual’s entrepreneurial ability th at governed the choice of contract. This argum ent may have been seen as a source o f support the A gricultural L adder theory of tenure that was popular in the early p art of the century. H owever, one is left to ponder w hether tenants in India acquire skill in rice production m ore easily than tenants in Thailand learn to produce w heat? Allen and Lueck (1990) tested several risk related hypotheses using the N ebraska-South D akota data. They found no support for the notion th at the share agreem ent was p referred un d er conditions of m ore risky crops. Sutinen (following C heung’s basic argum ent) showed th at risk could be used to argue for a mixture of contract type. R obison and Barry dem onstrated th at the Sutinen and H ieb ert models could be used to establish the crop-share split w here the percentage is derived from a ratio of a m easurem ent of the landlord’s risk aversion to the com bined risk aversion of both landlord and tenant. T he usefulness of this result can be challenged on the grounds that em pirical m easurem ent of the risk aversion variable X has yet to be established. F urtherm ore, the contract choice question rem ains unansw ered. R obison and Barry (1987) dem onstrated that the models proposed by Sutinen and H iebert, although slightly different in basic construction, yielded a result indicating th at the relative risk aversion of the participants provides an explanation for the predom inant 50:50 share lease: 34 K w here k L and k T rep resen t th e m easure of risk aversion for landlord and ten an t respectively. W here the landlord and tenant are equivalently risk averse, crop share a will be equal to one half. W orking backw ard from this result they propose that w here the ten an t is risk neutral the cash ren t agreem ent will be chosen. Similarly, w here the landlord is risk neutral w orkers will be hired as laborers. Though the argum ent is plausible, the author is not aw are of a study that attem pts to sort tenants and landlords into risk averse and non risk averse groups. T he intention is to explain the choice of the share contract by agents that are largely of com parable relative risk aversion. T he literature seem s particularly inconclusive on the issue of risk and the role of relative risk aversion in contract choice. It would seem ap p ro p riate to conclude that, given a prospective leasing situation w here the dom inate crop is subject to substantial risk, risk averse parties would tend to choose the share contract to help defray the effects of crop or price failure, all else being equal. 2.10.9 Transaction Costs Typical transaction costs in a lease agreem ent are the costs of establishing the contract and ensuring the provisions of the contract are carried out. M ore specifically, the contracting costs will include things like search costs, legal costs, and 35 tim e spent in bargaining and negotiation. Enforcing the contract involves such things as exacting paym ent, supervision, and m easurem ent and division of the ou tp u t in the case of share contracts. A n o th er cost in this category would be the cost of m onitoring the use of the asset, in this case land. V ery little attention is given to the costs of establishing the contract in the literature. Even those addressing the issues of contract choice give only passing acknow ledgem ent of this topic. F urtherm ore, alm ost no attention is given to the bargaining aspect of reaching a contract and the associated costs of negotiation. Alston et al. (1984) assum e that contracting costs are similar for all of the various types o f agreem ents and th erefo re regard these as an unim portant constant. Costs associated with enforcing the contract vary greatly with the type of agreem ent. W here the paym ent is fixed, the relevant cost may be minimal in the case of the reliable tenant; or, conversely, substantial if the situation requires eviction of a perfidious tenant. [U nder the cash ren t agreem ent the ten an t bears not only the risk associated with crop failure and price fluctuations, but also the costs associated with the minimization of these potential problem s. O n the o th er hand, a pure wage contract may provide some facility and flexibility in reaching, or w here necessary, term inating agreem ents, but, the landlord m ust b ear the risks and accompanying costs. In addition, due to the incentive and potential for the w orker to shirk, perform ance supervision of the w orker adds an o th er cost.] Alston et al. (1984) d em onstrated th at on cotton plantations in G eorgia, supervision costs of hired labor provided grounds for the choice of share contracts. 36 O tsuka and H ayam i (1988) regarded the supervision costs of labor and land as being independent and som ew hat inverse. They m ade the assum ption that the incentive for gains by the ten an t from land and capital abuse increased with the share (percentage) received by the tenant. U n d er the wage versus share contract set of possibilities, this may be true. But, under the cash lease agreem ent the ten an t has the greatest incentive and potential to maximize extraction of w ealth from the fixed asset since he has control of all variable inputs, including labor effort and production inputs. It would stand to reason that the landlord would therefore prefer the contract choice th at would minimize this loss or provide adequate com pensation. F or exam ple, Allen and Lueck (1990) found evidence that the share contract was m ore often chosen w here the potential for exploitation was the greatest, indicating that asset abuse could be dim inished under the share contract. Finally, in the case of the share tenant, the parties face the problem of m easurem ent and division of the output. Again, the literature is virtually silent on this aspect of the subject, with the noted exception of Allen and Lueck (1990). They hypothesized and found support for the notion that w here the costs of m easurem ent and valuation w ere high (with crops such as pasture and hay) the parties would p refer the cash lease. Similarly w here these functions could be perform ed with m inimal cost, the choice of share agreem ents would prevail. F or example, w here the product such as w heat is m arketed in its entirety at the local elevator and is of uniform quality, the problem is minimized. Indeed, it is not uncom m on for the elevator to provide the service of dividing the proceeds of the delivered grain and 37 paying th e landlord directly. H ow ever, crops such as hay and p asture are much m ore difficult to m easure. Quality may also vary significantly (th at is, the crop may not be fully hom ogeneous). This could have a bearing especially if the crop is delivered "in kind" to th e landlord o r purchased by the ten an t for feed. In som e cases there is substantial m arketing to be carried out which may or may not be included in the share agreem ent. Transaction costs, especially the costs of supervision identified by Cheung, provide defensible grounds for choosing the share contract. T he question is, does this issue have sufficient im pact in the leasing environm ent to dom inate the opposing forces? Can we point to the transactions costs as the m otivation behind the choice of the share contract in spite of the disincentives discussed above? 2.10.10 Service Extraction Schickele (1941) in discussing efficiency conditions, alluded to the costs associated with the durable assets, as being relevant to the maximizing conditions. His point was th at th ere m ust be som ething missing in the traditional m odel that overlooked the im portance of the contribution of the durable assets. Alston, in a discussion of supervision costs, com m ented on the landlord’s incentive to supervise the use of durable assets in o rd er to avoid ". . . careless or excessive use. . . [which would] . . . result in the depreciation of such assets." Scott (1982) addressed the issue of costs in a slightly different way. Recognizing the problem of equating the m arginal costs and returns as in the Adams 38 and R ask m odel he states, "Also, A dam s and R ask do not consider the returns to the landlord and ten an t from fixed resources. A lthough the theory is correct about the decision on th e am ount of variable resource to use being determ ined by m arginal returns, this is tru e only within limits determ ined by fixed resource costs and returns. This is one case w here fixed costs and returns are relevant in the decision process, because the range in shares u nder the ideal lease which either the landlord or the ten an t can profitably accept is not only determ ined by m arginal costs and returns but also by returns to fixed costs both before and after the change." U nfortunately Scott does not take this issue any fu rther and does not elaborate on the perceived problem . Robison and B arry exam ined the problem in their discussion of general efficiency of the leasing agreem ent prior to considering the effects of risk. They proposed a m odel th a t incorporated the change of the asset value in the landlord’s maximization problem . T heir m odel is included here with notation changes to be consistent with the earlier discussion: <1 A w here q is output, A a unit o f land, and z fixed inputs other than land. They then incorporate a term th at represents the change in value of the land over the production period. T he landlord’s income would then be: y L = (i - u )\p A ^ , z) - A A + dVlML)] dL 39 Here V represents the value of the land Robison and Barry maintain that the term dF[/l(X)] BL is negative as production extracts value from the asset unless reinvestm ent is m ade. This point deserves som e discussion. Raw land alone has a basic m arket value. However, for agricultural purposes, the cultivation, fertilization, incorporation of organic m atter into the soil, and/or application of m inerals (such as lime) can im prove the productivity and in turn, value, of the land. In addition, these steps require time for the working of biological and chem ical transform ations to occur— som etim es several years. Similarly, neglect of fertility m aintenance by failing to perform these functions will result in a diminishing of the productive potential or value of the land. Consequently, the cultivation practices perform ed have the potential to either im prove or diminish the value of the land. T h ere is a great potential for com plem entarity in som e cultivation practices to enhance not only the current crop, but the long term value of the land. O n the oth er hand there is also considerable potential for substitution of long term m aintenance for current crop needs or enhancem ent. T herefore, the sign of the final term in the equation will depend on the practices of the cultivator of the land and can be positive, negative or zero. Obviously, w here this term is g reater than zero, the landlord stands to gain. In any event, their first o rder condition for the landlord: 40 ^viAim 8I2( 1 - a) reveals th at th e landlord will have an incentive to choose a share cropping agreem ent w henever the term is negative, causing the m arginal product to be d L \ 1 - a) greater than under cash rent. Allen and Lueck (1990) encounter this issue in attem pting to develop a model of contract choice betw een crop share and cash ren t leasing agreem ents. They recognize the potential for th e ten an t to adjust variable inputs to alter the rate of service extraction from the durable asset, stating that, particularly in the case of cash rent, th e ten an t will have the potential and incentive to "overutilize any inputs supplied by the landowner". Still they overlook the source of their argum ent or at least fail to recognize the nature of the services from the durable asset. For, in the following paragraph, they state th at "landowners supply just land and no other services". This author will contend th at the land ow ner will, and does, engage in actions to both m aintain and enhance the value o f the durable asset, land. F urtherm ore, the landowner, recognizing the potential for extraction of services (and therefore w ealth) from the land, takes this into consideration in reaching the term s of the contract and the particular individual to do business with. 41 2.10.11 Exploitation of the land D ue to the potential for the short term ten an t to extract w ealth from the land by either, (1) not replenishing soil nutrients, (2) not practicing erosion control, or (3) excess use of the asset through intense use of variable inputs, it is widely acknowledged and often hypothesized in the literature that the ten an t will do so (Schickele 1941, Lee 1980). O f course this assumes that there is no internalized m oral standard that prevents the ten an t from pursuing myopic self interest. S haban (1987) found th a t input and output intensity varied with contract type. Specifically, tenants who both owned and rented land applied non shared inputs, such as labor, m ore intensely on owned land. Fertilizer application, however, was less intense (approxim ately 10%) on owned land, but yields w ere higher. Assuming the land was of com parable inherent fertility, this suggests a degree of substitutability betw een inputs and a willingness of the tenant to allow fertilizer (shared on rented land) to substitute for other (unshared) inputs. M ore recently Allen and Lueck (1990) proposed that the potential for exploitation of the land (landlord) played a focal role in governing the choice of contract. Using data from the N ebraska-South D akota 1987 survey they showed that cash ren t contracts w ere m ore com m on under conditions w here the exploitation potential was low. F urtherm ore, share contracts prevailed w here conditions were m ore susceptible to exploitation. Som ewhat disturbing is th at they propose and defend these findings using a model that assumes joint profit maximization which 42 raises the question, "If the agents are maximizing jo in t profits, would they not choose a contract to this end rath e r th an exploiting each o th e r’s interests?" 2.10.12 Social Distance The traditional ap p ro ach to contract enforcem ent employs the use of supervision with accom panying penalty for shirking. Disciplinary action such as dismissal or contract cancellation provide m otivation for satisfactory perform ance. In several of the works consulted, the authors point out that one of the tools available to the landlord to ensure the perform ance of the ten an t is the short term agreem ent (Johnson 1950, C heung 1969, R eid 1976 and Sutinen 1975). T he argum ent is that w here the agreem ent is short-term and com petition exists am ong potential tenants for the sam e parcel of land, the th reat of dismissal or refusal by the landlord to renew the contract will provide an incentive for the ten an t to perform . Again the evidence from the N ebraska-South D akota study suggest that, at least in US agriculture, m ore often than not, the ten an t encounters little or no com petition when negotiating a lease. T he question then arises, "Is the te n an t’s perform ance really m otivated by the short term agreem ent or is(are) th ere some o ther factor(s) involved?" F u rtherm ore, approxim ately one third of the tenants and landlords rep o rted their agreem ents as "multi-year" contracts. A n alternate explanation has long been acknow ledged but not incorporated into the theory. T h ere is a definite tendency for relatives and close friends to act altruistically. Schickele (1941) observed, 43 "... the closer, the m ore harm onious the personal relation, the m ore evenly balanced the m anagerial contributions of landlord and tenant are. If this harm ony betw een the two partners is perfect, the "entrepreneur" u nder stock share tenancy can theoretically be considered as one person who behaves according to the p attern outlined for the ow ner-operator." B aron (1983) cites R eid (1975) and W inters (1974) as evidence that a m ajor m otivating factor in the prevalence of the share leasing agreem ent was the com mon interest of the parties. Joint profit maximization constituted the grounds for using the talents of ten an t and landlord to achieve an altruistic result. While addressing the issue o f m oral hazard, A rrow (1968) proposed that the m ost effective way to prevent adverse behavior would be to develop " the relations of trust and confidence betw een principal and agent . . . so th at the agent will not cheat even though it may be ’rational econom ic behavior’ to do so." R eid (1976) expands on the intricacies of the crop production process, identifying an o th er interesting peculiarity. First, he identifies the three m ajor stages of crop production (planting, cultivating and harvesting) and the fact that there is potential for (at least partial) substitution of productive inputs betw een stages. F or exam ple, intensive w eed control efforts during cultivation will diminish or possibly even elim inate som e cleaning steps at the tim e of harvest. H e notes that conditions in one stage will m otivate input appropriations in later stages. An exam ple of this would be w here ideal growing conditions early in the season necessitate em ploym ent of special crop drying techniques at harvest time. As the production of th e crop progresses both the landlord and the ten an t 44 have a vested interest in the outcom e under a share agreem ent. Each has an incentive to continuously evaluate the rem aining variable inputs in light of past conditions and anticipated future events to optim ize the value of the developing crop. O ptim al application levels of the rem aining inputs will vaiy depending on the p a s tand anticipated fu tu r e - conditions. T he share agreem ent offers the kind of flexibility th at allows the ten an t to adjust with the changing conditions. T he theoretical stipulation of variable (labor) input quantity and intensity proposed and defended by C heung (169) and Newberry (1974) does not account for this im portant aspect of the agreem ent. Indeed the simplicity of the existing theory leaves no room for such ad ju stm en ts- assuming that the production process is known, fixed, and optim ization is merely a m atter of following a recipe. T he features of the share agreem ent allow both the ten an t and landlord to benefit from the graces of nature as well as share in the hardships that may occur. This is not m erely a m atter of variation in quantity. The quality of the crop is subject to num erous m anagem ent decisions. Furtherm ore, the level and intensity of labor and other variable inputs required to salvage a failing crop or maximize the value of a bum per yield, may change from day to day. Interestingly, Allen and Lueck (1990) assum e joint profit maximization in their model but offer very little in the way of grounds to support this assum ption. Johnson et al. (1987) found a correlation betw een the use of the verbal contract and family ties. Alston (1984) conjectured that supervision costs might be reduced if those supervising w ere relatives of th e landlord, thus diminishing the cost of supervising the 45 supervisors. His findings su pported this notion. Robison (1987) investigated the im plications of social distance on the outcom e of contractual agreem ents. H e considered investm ent in public goods, externalities, and horizontal integration. T he synergistic benefits of social closeness w ere dem onstrated using a variety of social investm ent problem s. O ptim al investm ent and outcom e results w ere derived, showing th at social closeness is a necessary condition for app ro p riate investm ent in goods o f this type. O f interest to this study was the derivation of a condition showing that the determ ination of th e crop share depends (in part) on the degree of social closeness of the contracting parties. This concept will be incorporated into the developm ent of a m odel in C h ap ter 3. T he im portance of social relationships was fu rther exam ined by M arcelo Siles in a study of lending behavior by small town banks in M ichigan (Siles 1992). H e clearly dem onstrated attitudes by lenders to offer both lower rates and a willingness to lend m ore money to individuals considered to be socially close. T he scope of the social closeness issue has also been addressed by R obison and Schmid (1991) in a p ap er finding that social relationship and identity of the buyer and seller affects price. It appears that the literature is beginning to docum ent an area of study with potentially im portant econom ic implications. done. Very little em pirical work has been O ne aspect of this study will be to exam ine the role of socially close relationships in establishing contractual agreem ents in leasing of land. 46 2.11 Summary V arious works have been exam ined representing th e views of researchers’ in explaining the workings of the leasing agreem ent under a variety of circumstances. T he majority of the effort has focused on the paradox of the share agreem ent and the seem ing conflict faced by the tenant. Essentially the problem s stem from the complexity of the lease agreem ent and incom pleteness of the contractual agreem ent. Costs arise as alternative m odes of enforcem ent are considered. The potential for social closeness to alter incentives or otherwise reduce these costs appears to m erit further investigation. In the next ch ap ter the ideas gleaned from the literature will be incorporated into a m odel of leasing. The m erits of the different approaches will be exam ined and w eighed relative to appropriateness for the study at hand. CH A PTER III M O D ELIN G T H E LANDLORD-TENANT RELA TIO N SH IP 3.1 Introduction In th e previous ch ap ter the land ten u re literature was exam ined. Conflicts w ere observed relative to established, traditional theory and em pirical evidence. R esearchers seem to be som ew hat perplexed by the prevalence and persistence of share leasing. T he authors consulted used a variety of m eans to point out that the crop share agreem ent is inefficient and not a logical choice of profit maximizing landlords. F urtherm ore, tenants would be m otivated to m ore efficient use of labor and o th er resources with the cash agreem ent. N um erous attem pts were m ade to offer theoretical alternatives, b u t no clear line o f reasoning with supporting evidence has em erged. Specifically, th e question rem ains, "Why does the crop share leasing agreem ent persist?" M ost prom inent in th e argum ent against the use of the crop share lease is m otivation of the ten an t to eq u ate marginal use of inputs with the te n an t’s marginal output. T he ensuing result is an inefficient use of assets both durable and expendable. Theoretically, the landlord receives less retu rn than otherwise would be expected and may suffer exploitation of the land through mining of the soil or neglect with respect to m aintenance and conservation. In the short run the ten an t may do 47 48 well as w ealth is extracted from the land, but this is not a perm anently tenable position. Sharing of variable inputs provides only a partial answ er to this problem since th ere are some variable inputs such as labor or fuel th at are virtually never shared. M uch of the literature results from those who have taken up the challenge to provide theoretical alternatives. O f the alternative explanations offered, th e sharing of risk seem s to provide the most fundam entally sound argum ent for th e choice of the share contract. U nfortunately, the em pirical evidence has not been convincing. Conflicting results suggest th a t some other phenom enon is dom inating the ch o ic e at least in som e cases. H ence the problem rem ains unsolved. The area showing the greatest potential for further research in answering this question is th at dealing with social distance of the parties involved in the contract. A nticipation of potential gains from cooperative use of resources, particularly when those resources are seen to be com plim entary betw een the landlord and tenant, may provide sufficient motivation for the choice of the crop share contract. In the following pages a simple m odel of leasing is presented. T he effects of risk will be incorporated. A case will then be m ade for the inclusion of social capital as an im portant motivating factor in modeling the choice of tenure contract. Finally, transaction costs will be considered. 49 3.2 The model T he choice to lease, o r not to lease is ultimately the landlord’s, how ever the alternatives are som etim es n o t very agreeable. N evertheless, it will be assum ed that the landlord is prim arily responsible for offering the contract and therefore decides on the type of contract to offer. However, it is understood th at the offer is m ade in anticipation of the acceptance of the sam e and subsequent behavior of the tenant. This latter aspect will influence the landlord’s decision or choice of contract type. In any event for our purposes, th e landlord will choose the contract type and the tenant chooses the levels of production inputs, which crop is to be grown and farming practices to be followed. M odeling contract choice involves exam ination of the alternatives faced by the ten an t and th e landlord and weighing the respective advantages and disadvantages. It is assum ed th at both parties will be m otivated by the desire to satisfy wants and needs, w hether directly or indirectly. Specifically, the potential exists for either party to experience satisfaction through enhanced well being of the other is allowed. R epresen tatio n of satisfaction will be through the greek symbol pi ( it) but will have this b ro ad er m eaning than the traditional "profit" although this latter term will also be used in the discussion. In M ichigan the contract types have precipitated to th ree main categories: cash rent, share leasing with som e production inputs shared (usually 50:50, landlord and ten an t respectively), and share leasing with no inputs shared (usually l/3:2/3, landlord and ten an t respectively). F arm m anagers hired on a salary or wage basis are 50 sufficiently rare th at this kind o f contract will not be considered empirically in this study. T he problem will then be to com pare contract types and evaluate circum stances that will precipitate the choice of one over the other. T he cash rent agreem ent will be exam ined first since it will be used as a benchm ark to com pare alternative results. 3.2.1 The Cash Rent Agreement U n d er the cash rent agreem ent the landlord is faced with a fairly simple problem . First, find a ten an t willing to pay the rent. Second, m aintain the net value of the asset. T he landlord profit function is: n L = $ - &La - T c W here re is the landlord’s profit (superscript c refers to the cash lease and subscript L to the fact th at this is the landlord’s profit). Also, p is the cash rent, 6, represents the landlords expenditure on a the cost of m aintaining the assets, and T represents transactions costs associated with the cash agreem ent which includes such things as contract negotiation, collecting paym ent, and m onitoring the use of the assets. The landlord’s profit is constrained, subject to being able to secure a ten an t willing and able to pay the rent. (L ater the ability of the ten an t to pay ren t as a function of the landlord behavior will be investigated.) T he te n an t’s profit function in the cash agreem ent is: 51 %C T = p j{L Z A J ) - wL - vZ - 6 ydi - T c - p and includes variables: p = output price L = inputs in production for which the cost is not shared Z = inputs in production for which the cost is shared A = the contribution o f the assets to production I = contributions from the landlord such as inform ation transfers, shared resources, and shared financing of inputs costs. w = the price of th e non shared inputs, and v = the price of the shared inputs. P = cash rent In o rder to conform to the tenets of m athem atical optim ization we assum e that the function is concave, fLL < 0, fzz < 0, and that f, z = fZL = 0. The tenant maximizes profit choosing the variable inputs (which have a secondary effect on the use of the asset(s)). 52 FO C f L(L'c ,z ; A ,D =p UKXcAJ) = - Obviously, if none of th e inputs are shared (a com m on condition under a cash rental agreem ent) the second equation disappears and the optim al level o f inputs chosen by the ten an t maximizes profit. If the m arket for land to ren t is com petitive, the landlord can adjust th e ren t up to the point w here the ten an t is just willing to rent the land. 3.2.2 Summary of the Cash Lease Agreement In summary if we assum e th at the m arket for tenants is com petitive such that the profit of the ten an t is zero, then by solving the te n an t’s equation for f) and substituting into the landlord’s profit equation we get: n eL = [pf(L'c,Z'c A ,r) - w L - v Z - V ~T c(Cl t )] - bLa - T c(Cti) C ontract choice will then depend on w hether profit from o th er agreem ents will exceed or fall short of the gains under the cash agreem ent. 3.2.3 The share agreement U n d er the share ag reem en t the landlord’s profit depends on the outcom e of the crop: 53 ic‘L = (1 - a)pf(L,ZA,D ~ ( l - a) vZ - 6 La - T s w here th e variables are defined as above with the addition that the landlord now bears a portion of the cost o f the shared inputs. T he te n an t’s profit is similar: n sT = u p f(L ,Z A J) - wL - avZ -h ^a - T s F O C (tenant) are: f L{ L : x s A ,r) = — ap U L lX s A J ) = - p Since 0 < a r < l then w/ap>wlp which implies t h a t / l (Lc‘,Zc‘,A,I) < / l (Ls*,Zs*,A,I) which in turn implies that the em ploym ent of non shared variable inputs will be less under the share agreem ent than under the cash agreem ent: Lc > Ls, the norm al result. W ith output reduced, the ten an t would be unable to pay rent at the sam e level as under the cash agreem ent. Result 1: Under the share agreement the tenant has an incentive to apply variable inputs at a level that is less than that observed under the cash agreement. This results in an inefficient use of the productive assets. 54 T he landlord would refuse to accept a share agreem ent of this type, opting for the higher ren t from the cash contract. 3.3 Incorporating risk into the model T h ere are a variety o f different kinds of risk that could be considered in a m odel of leasing arrangem ents. T he m ost com m on are listed as follows: * O utput~ crop failure or bu m p er crop. May be the result of farming practices, growing conditions or harvest conditions. T r i c e - unexpected rise or fall in output prices. May be the result of favorable (or unfavorable) growing and or harvest conditions nationally or internationally. M ay result from changing dem and. *Input— unexpected change in input costs. O ne might include the prospect of changes th at would require the application of a costly input in o rd er to salvage a crop. *Incom e~ inability to to lerate downward fluctuations due to dependence on incom e for living expenses or debt servicing, including inability to tolerate crop failure on the p art of th e ten an t under a cash rent agreem ent. T he com mon elem ent in each of these is the fact that the risk averse individual would be willing to give up so m eth in g - a risk p re m iu m - to avoid the cost of the unfortunate event. From our basic model we form the te n an t’s certainty equivalent: r i - a p f iL J M - wL - avZ -|i - - jy The term p takes on a b ro ad er meaning, representing all transfers o th er than the sharing of the crop. If a is zero then p is the cash rent, but if a is g reater than zero then P can be zero or some o th er am ount. The corresponding certainty equivalent 55 for the landlord would be: Y ce = ( i - f + p - T he landlord maximizes certainty equivalent incom e subject to being able to attract a tenan t that will pay the rent. If we solve the te n an t’s equation for p and substitute into the landlord’s equation we get the landlord’s constrained m axim ization problem : Yce = (1 - « ) M ) + «M -) ~ w L - avZ ~ y ^ M - ) ] 2^ - Tt - TL - F - ^ [ ( l - « M - ) ] 2a 2 D ifferentiation with respect to a gives: dY^ = - X j a M - ) ? o 2p + ^ ( l - c O f o O 2* ; = 0 T hen solving for a we get H ieb ert’s result: XT + From this the following is inferred. W here the ten an t is risk neutral (Xx = 0) and the landlord is risk averse, a cash lease ( a = 1) is chosen. W here the landlord is risk neutral (XL — 0), a is 0 and a wage contract will result. Evidence of risk aversion on the p art of both parties results in the choice of a share contract. This condition is expected to prevail as most individuals are risk averse. The 56 interpretation is facilitated by the following table: Table III.l Sum m ary of C ontract Choice U n d er Risk R isk Aversion Com binations Al = 0 *L > 0 XT = 0 undeterm ined cash X1 > 0 wage share represents the m easure of the landlord’s risk aversion. Ax represents the m easure of the te n an t’s risk aversion. 57 W here th e landlord and ten an t are both risk averse, the certainty equivalent profit of each is enhanced by th e sharing of risk. F urtherm ore, w here the parties are equally risk averse, th e optim al way to share risk is half and half. This result gives the optim al alpha, or division of o u tp u t u nder risk. Result 2: Where both the landlord and tenant are risk averse, sharing the risk reduces the cost. The cost of avoiding risk is minimized if equally risk averse landlord and tenant share this cost equally. B oth of the above results are simply rew ritten versions of w ork that has appeared previously in the literature. And, as noted above, empirically both results have been questioned. A ttention will now turn to focus on the attributes of incorporating social capital into the model. 3.4 The effects of social capital The approach to form ulate a m odel that incorporates the effects of social capital will be p attern ed som ew hat after that used to introduce risk. Som e of the features of social capital have effects similar to those observed in the risk model. This is to be expected since reducing risk has the sam e kind of benefits as building social capital, nam ely transaction cost reduction through sharing. H owever, the social capital m odel must also cap tu re the feature of income enhancem ent through the sharing of resources, inform ation, and experience. F urtherm ore we expect a cost savings to occur with a reduction in costs associated with such things as monitoring, bargaining, and exacting paym ent. 58 3.4.1 Features of the social closeness factor R obison and Schmid (1992) identified four potential m otivators in addition to the self interest principle endorsed by the economics profession. They argued that satisfaction could be derived from success or happiness of an o th er for whom one cares on a personal basis. T he conjecture would then be th at augm entation of the o th e r’s success and happiness would lead to greater satisfaction or personal utility. Individuals could therefore be expected to invest in things that would enhance the w elfare of close friends and family. They further observed that contribution to community tends to raise the level of satisfaction of the contributor when community services are used. The businessm an who contributes to the construction of the downtown park may feel g reater satisfaction in enjoying the resulting aesthetic environm ent than the one not contributing. Similarly, efforts to invest in establishing im proved relationships with those m ore distant may enhance well being. A case may therefore be m ade that the one who succeeds in befriending an enem y may enjoy the outcom e as much or m ore than the one who conquers a foe. A nd finally, they discuss briefly an issue of oneness with a perceived ideal of self—being true to oneself, that provides a degree of satisfaction. E ach of these constitutes a form of social capital. It is the first item, the issue of deriving satisfaction from the welfare of friends and family, that will be considered here. However, in addition to the vicarious utility draw n from the well being of th e other, this author would argue that the static model 59 does not tell the whole story. T h ere is an o th er dynamic aspect to this condition that was not addressed by R obison and Schmid. It is the prospect o f rep eated interaction betw een individuals and a resulting in terd ep en d en t confidence. Active, m utual exchange of social capital generates a synergistic result. R eciprocity prom ises an even greater degree of satisfaction. It may be th a t the propensity to socialize is greater than A dam Sm ith’s propensity to truck and barter. T he econom ic outcom e of th e relationship is evidenced in two ways. Cost savings occur as the resources of two individuals are joined to avoid mistakes. Confidence in the m otivation and integrity of the o th er elim inates policing, supervision, or m onitoring costs. O th er transactions costs may be reduced by avoiding duplication of effort in counting and dividing or verifying the quantity and quality of output. T he second benefit is observed as income enhancem ent. Exchange of inform ation, resources, and experience increases the productivity of the respective inputs and in turn the potential profitability of the endeavor. The crop share agreem ent allows for a dual incentive to participate in this kind of exchange. Not only might one party be able to augm ent the income of the other, but in so doing, helps him self (or visa versa depending on m otivation). Furtherm ore, the landlord and ten an t will likely enjoy some diversification of resources. T he benefits of a g reater pool of resources for productive skill and adaptability may also enhance production. In summary, the socially close landlord and ten an t would seem to have a 60 potential to gain from the jo in t use of assets, skills and oth er resources. T he share agreem ent would tend to provide the environm ent for the m ost productive use of the same. 61 3.4.2 Conceptualization of the Social Closeness Factor Total Cost MC Tenant's Share MC of Landlord or Tenant with Cash Rental Agreement Composite input L Figure 111,1 Social closeness and the accompanying attitudes have the effect of shifting the dem and for variable inputs out and upward. In Figure 111,1 the concept is presented geometrically. Two cost structures are conceptualized. Line A represents the marginal cost of inputs w faced by the share tenant and corresponds to w/ap calculated above. Line B represents the m arginal cost of inputs w faced by the ten an t renting for cash and corresponds to w/p 62 calculated earlier. T he reason th at A is above B is because 0 < a < 1. O ne might otherw ise explain the relationship by stating that since the ten an t only receives a portion ( a ) of the output, the m arginal retu rn to the unshared inputs is lower. W hen equated marginally this com pares to a higher cost structure faced by the share tenant. Line D L represents the dem and for inputs. Suppose that in the presence of social closeness the inputs can be used m ore effectively or efficiently. This would result in a shift of the production function, causing a change in the value of the variable inputs and increasing dem and. This, in turn, would be equivalent to an outw ard shift of the dem and curve to D L’. Essentially w hat this m eans is th at in the presence of social capital, the value of the inputs in the production function change and are no longer hom ogenous with the inputs in the function w ithout closeness. L ester Thurow (1983) envisioned this sam e effect in a discussion of the labor m arket. U n d er various circum stances the w ork effort and corresponding productivity of the laborer may vary with such things as the perception of fairness, m aking it impossible to assum e that all labor hours in the production function are hom ogenous and independent of the social relationship. Levels of output by cash and share tenants are rep resen ted by Q, and Q 2 respectively. D epending on the m agnitude of the shift in dem and for inputs, or increase in productivity of the inputs, due to the presence of social closeness, it is conceivable that total output under the share agreem ent (represented by Q 3) could exceed that achieved under the cash agreem ent. The precise way in which the level of use responds to increased dem and is not known, but the graph helps to envision 63 how even with the higher cost, the level of use could increase. This is precisely the effect th a t the social capital com ponent is proposed to have on the model. Such an effect would satisfy th e landlord’s expected retu rn for the use of the assets and the ten an t would benefit from increased income. T he term th at will be introduced into the m odel to represent social capital m ust have com ponents to correspond to attitude, ability, and degree of interest or willingness to devote effort. T he following form ulation em erged after trying a num ber o f alternatives: = (l-cc)p[f(L 2M + G J . W A l ~ c c ) p T] - v Z + p - TL where: = the social closeness the ten an t feels tow ard the landlord, O <0<1 M-A.) = the m anagem ent skill or ability possessed by the tenant, being a function of the productive inputs (1-a) = the perception of the tenant relative to his ability to help the landlord pT = the contribution of the tenant to the production activity (this value is viewed as a percentage), (p T + p, = 1). Essentially what is being portrayed is a term that im pacts upon the production function. T he core com ponent is M 7> the m anagem ent skill, ability, effort in labor, or inform ation that the ten an t can contribute to the production process to augm ent the incom e of the landlord. T h e closeness coefficient (0 ) represents his willingness 64 or propensity to do so. T he extent of effort is fu rth er w eighted by the te n an t’s perceived incom e enhancem ent to the landlord (1-ct). This m eans th at the ten an t will weight his actions by th e perceived (as opposed to actual) benefit they have to the landlord. Finally, the entire contribution is also weighted by the corresponding resources the ten an t has com m itted to the process (p). In a similar fashion th e landlord can contribute to the incom e of the tenant: tzt = ap[f(L,Z^iJ) + ®LM L(.)a p L] - wL - vZ - p - T t T he natu re o f the contribution is som ew hat different for the landlord. Transfers might include such things as inform ation relative to the land and local environm ent. Such transfers are normally virtually costless in term s of expense to the landlord but may be useful in enhancing production or avoiding costly errors. T he landlord may also have at his disposal capital or physical resources which he may m ake available to the ten an t at little or no additional cost. The landlord’s decision to participate or help again depends on the closeness coefficient (®L), his ability to do so, and possession of resources. F u rth erm o re his actions will be w eighted by the perceived benefit th e contribution will have to the ten an t ( a ) and will also depend on the resources the landlord has invested in the production process ( p L). T he sam e p attern (used earlier for risk) of solving the te n a n t’s equation for P and then substituting into th e landlord’s equation yields: @jMTp T a = --------------------------&7MTp t + ®LMLpL This result has num erous meanings. First, suppose th at M r = M L and th at pT = p L. 65 T hen, plugging in various values for 0 gives the following: Table III.2 C ontract Choice U n d er C onsideration of Social D istance C om binations of Varying D egrees of Social D istance o II Landlord ®L = 1 0 < &L < 1 T enant o II undeterm ined wage wage &, = 1 cash share share 0 < &T < 1 cash share share By exam ining the results using the extrem e values for the closeness factor, it is evident th at the share agreem ent will be preferred by participants that experience som e closeness. T he benefits ensuing from the closeness factor are maximized when shared equally. Supposing th at this factor dom inated the contract choice decision, we obtain the following results: Result 3. The share agreement will be chosen by parties that have some degree of closeness. Result 4. Cash rent will be chosen under circumstances where the landlord has no closeness toward the tenant. Result 5. A wage agreement will occur where the tenant has no closeness toward the landlord. 66 Now, supposing that &r = 0L and that pT = p D the result of plugging in values for M will b e examined. Table III.3 C ontract Choice U n d er C onsideration of M anagem ent R esources. C om binations of Varying D egrees of M anagem ent R esources o II 2« Landlord Ml = 1 0 < Ml < 1 T enant o II £ undeterm ined wage wage Mt = 1 cash share share 0 < Mt < 1 cash share share Again, the value of the share contract is evident. F urtherm ore, if skills are similar, the optim al a will be one half. And, assuming dom inance of this factor, we obtain: Result 6. The share agreement will be chosen where both parties have some degree of management resource to offer. Result 7. Cash rent will be chosen under circumstances where the landlord has no management resource. Result 8. resource. A wage agreement will occur where the tenant has no management Finally, an exam ination of the results w here various values for p are considered. In this case &j• = &L and M T = M L. 67 Table III.4 C ontract Choice U n d er C onsideration of Investm ent R esources Com binations o f Varying Levels of Investm ent R esources o II Q. Landlord Pl = 1 0 < Pl < 1 T enant pT = 0 undeterm ined wage wage pT = 1 no agreem ent share share no agreem ent share share 0 < pT < 1 In this case the in terpretation is slightly different. If n either party has resources to invest, no agreem ent will be reached. For exam ple, if the landlord’s investm ent is zero, a = 1 m eaning that the ten an t receives all the o u tp u t from no land. F urtherm ore, the landlord would not be paid any rent, the equivalent to no agreem ent. O n the other hand if the tenant m akes no investm ent of resources, a wage agreem ent would still be an alternative. Logically, contractual agreem ents betw een parties with nothing to invest in the agreem ent have little m eaning. The m ore interesting part of the outcom e is the potential for sharing the ou tp u t at rates relative to the corresponding level of investm ent. C onsequently, optim al share arrangem ents could conceivably be som ething other than the traditional 50:50. This reasoning yields the following results: 68 Result 9. The share agreement will be chosen where both parties that have some degree of investment resources. Conversely, w here the landlord is w ithout resources (no land) result ten addresses a m ute point. Result 10. No contract will be chosen under circumstances where the landlord has no investment resources. Result 11. resources. A wage agreement will occur where the tenant has no investment Result 12. Optimal share arrangements will reflect the comparative level of investment resources attributable to each party. T he next step is to consider com binations of the above results. It is readily evident th a t total absence of any one of the com ponents on the p art of either of the participants will cause the extrem e results (cash rent or wage contracts) to be chosen. W ithout m eans to m easure and calibrate both closeness and m anagem ent ability, interpretatio n of levels betw een zero and one results in m ere conjecture. It is further understood that the landlords and tenants will bring significant variety in com bination of resources to any particular agreem ent. In some cases there will be conflicting com binations. F or example, a landlord may have a wealth of knowledge and skill and a willingness to participate with the tenant but be constrained by time, health, or distance. Cumulatively it will not always be readily evident which factor may dom inate the choice of contract. The scientific approach prescribes that m eans be devised to control for all 69 variables except the one being studied and then exam ine the way the one variable behaves under m easurably changing conditions. T he above m odel and ensuing results suggest th at num erous variables are influencing the choice of contract. T he task then is to determ ine under w hat conditions certain choices tend to dom inate others. In o rder to do this we will first narrow the range of variables to be studied and then develop testable hypotheses from the predictions of the model. 3.5 Hypotheses The preceding results obtained from the m odel will now be exam ined. Those lending them selves to testing with em pirical data in the scope of this study will be transform ed into testable hypotheses. In the case of the first result: Result 1: Under the share agreement the tenant has an incentive to apply variable inputs at a level that is less than that observed under the cash agreement. it is recognized th at this results in an inefficient use of the productive assets; and will be taken as given. 3.5.1 The effect of risk aversion In the prelim inary version of the m odel, it was observed th at risk was the variable u nder study. From the initial calculations the following result was derived: Result 2: Where both the landlord and tenant are risk averse, sharing the risk reduces the cost. The cost of avoiding risk is minimized if equally risk averse landlord and tenant share this cost equally. 70 T he issue of risk aversion m ust be divided according to landlord and tenant interests respectively. Simply put, the risk averse landlord will p refer that the ten an t b ear as m uch risk as possible. Similarly the risk averse ten an t will p refer that the landlord b e a r as m uch risk as possible. In this case the reference is to risk associated with stochastic events that affect price and production. As previously discussed, a cash agreem ent dictates that the ten an t bears all the risk, providing the landlord with a cash rent w hether the crop succeeds or not. By contrast the share agreem ent would necessarily involve both parties in the success of the crop since income would be tied to revenues from the production and sale of the same. H ence the risk averse ten an t would p refer the share agreem ent w here the landlord shares in production and price risk reducing the te n a n t’s exposure. Conversely, the risk averse landlord would prefer the cash agreem ent deferring all the risk to the tenant. F rom this reasoning we generate two hypotheses: (1) He: Risk, relative to the tenant’s preference for secure income, makes no difference in the choice of contract. (2) H0: Risk, relative to the landlord’s preference for secure income, makes no difference in the choice of contract. It is anticipated that both of these hypotheses will be rejected. Testing of these hypotheses will result from survey data gathered. R espondents would be asked to self evaluate their aversion to risk on a scale of 1 to 10, 1 being high risk associated with potentially higher, but insecure, income; 10 being low risk with the potential for lower m ore secure income. T he data will serve as observations for a variable included in a logistic regression. 3.5.2 The effects of social closeness In term s of social relationship from the m odel we obtained th e following three results: Result 3. The share agreement will be chosen by parties that have some degree of closeness. Result 4. Cash rent will be chosen under circumstances where the landlord has no closeness toward the tenant. Result 5. A wage agreement will occur where the tenant has no closeness toward the landlord. Since the scope of th e study is to investigate the existence and persistence of the share agreem ent, im plications of R esult 5 will not be investigated. Results 3 and 4 will be com bined into one hypothesis: (3) Hc: Social closeness makes no difference in the choice of contract type. It is expected that this hypothesis will be rejected. Proxies for genuine closeness will include: 1. Family relationships. 2. Stated close friendships. 3. Evidence o f social interaction. 72 A problem lies in the perception of degree of closeness. Since for many, a friend may be closer that a relative, no attem p t will be m ade to scale the responses. It will simply be assum ed th at friends and family are considered close. Strangers, at the outset of the agreem ent, will thus be considered distant. F urther, it is assum ed th at individuals with antipathetic relationships will not en ter into any agreem ent. This causes some problem in m easuring the full dim ension of the variable since we d o n ’t have data on those who may have considered the leasing contract but chose n o t to engage in o rder to avoid aggravation, irritation or hostility. T he range of the social distance variable may be perceived to have positive, neutral, and negative regions. D ue to limitations, only the positive and neutral ground may be examined. T he responses to question 7 will be transform ed so that options 1, 2, and 4 will be considered "close" and options 3 and 5 "distant". This variable will then be used with others in a logit regression with 10a as the dep en d an t variable. 3.5.3 The effects of m anagem ent skills and resources The farm ing of land is especially susceptible to ap p ro p riate use of m anagem ent inputs. T he complexity of production requires a constant m onitoring of the progress of the crop and adjustm ent of timing and application of variable inputs to coincide with growth and maturity of the crop for optim al results. Production can thus be viewed as an art as well as a science. The skills associated with the art of farming can be envisioned as valuable 73 contributing factors th a t a landlord or ten an t brings to a tenure agreem ent. The ability and propensity to use these skills constitute a resource th at enables the individual to en ter the non m arket region of negotiation. T he share crop agreem ent provides the environm ent for the optim al use of these skills (w here they are possessed by both parties). E arlier we obtained th e following results from the model: Result 6. The share agreement will be chosen where both parties that have some degree of management resource to offer. Result 7. Cash rent will be chosen under circumstances where the landlord has no management resource. Result 8. A wage agreement will occur where the tenant has no management resource. Following the sam e reasoning expressed above, R esult 8 will not be considered in this study. Further, it is assum ed that for a ten an t to take responsibility of the m anagem ent of the farm, the ten an t will necessarily have m anagem ent skills and resources. H ence, the variable influencing the choice of contract will be that representing m anagem ent resources of the landlord. Following this reasoning we hypothesize: (4) Hc: The managerial resources of the landlord and the disposition to provide such make no difference in the choice of contract. 74 It is expected that this hypothesis will be rejected. Proxies for resources, ability and disposition of the landlord will include: 1. Farm ing experience of the landlord 2. S tated participation in decision m aking 3. Willingness of the landlord to participate. 3.5.6 The effects of transaction costs This topic, though discussed at length in the literature review, does not lend itself well to the behavioral (m athem atical) m odel p resented above. Included in the m odel is a simple additive transaction costs term , differentiation of a constant elim inates the term how ever m athem atical from the result obtained. N evertheless, transactions cost are real and logically im pact the choice of contract. H ence, the following hypothesis will be tested: (5) H0: Transactions costs (defined as the costs associated with carrying out the terms of the agreement— contracting, bargaining, ensuring performance, exacting payment, etc.) make no difference in contract choice. It is expected th at this hypothesis will be rejected. Sub-hypotheses will be tested in this case. Since some crops tend to be m ore difficult to m easure and divide (as required under a share agreem ent), it is expected that share cropping will be m ore com m on w here field crops are grown. Land m ore suitable for forage crops such as hay and pasture will tend to be cash rented. 75 (5.1) He: Type of crop makes no difference in the choice of contract. It is expected th at this hypothesis will be rejected. D uring the course o f the study ano th er indicator of the im portance of transaction costs in contract choice was discovered. N um erous individuals com m ented on the difficulty o f keeping records w here multiple parcels of land were being leased. H ence it was decided to test the following hypothesis: (5.2) H0: Number of parcels makes no difference in the choice of contract. It is expected th at this hypothesis will be rejected. A prim ary factor affecting the ability of the landlord to contribute to the agreem ent as well as m onitor the activities of the tenant is the frequency visits by the landlord to the farm. In keeping with a num ber of oth er studies w here this issue form ed the focal point o f the transaction costs, the following hypothesis will be tested: (5.3) H„: Facility of the landlord to observe and participate in the measurement and division of the crop makes no difference in the choice of contract. It is expected th at this hypothesis will be rejected. A n aspect of the agreem ent in the share lease has to do with the idea of uncertainty, not the risk associated with stochastic variables but the uncertainty of the 76 perform ance of the tenant. It would stand to reason th at w here the landlord has doubts about the ability or willingness of the ten an t to perform , the landlord would tend to choose the cash ren t agreem ent. Obviously, this would cause the ten an t to b ear the b urden of uncertainty bo th with respect to his own perform ance as well as the stochastic events of nature. O n the oth er hand, w here the landlord has confidence in the te n an t’s perform ance, em pathy could m otivate the landlord to share som e of the risk associated with production and price. This may well be envisioned as "fair". F urtherm ore, w here the skills, ability and effort of the ten an t have proven to be outstanding, the landlord may wish to "share" in the expertise of the ten an t and the anticipated gains from his/her labors. O f course this brings us back to the question w hether the ten an t will exert him- or herself knowing th at a portion will ultimately go to the landlord. 3.6 Summary In this ch ap ter a m odel of contract choice was developed incorporating the influences of risk, social closeness, m anagem ent resources and transaction costs. The effects of risk have been exam ined previously and th ere is no new outcom e either in the m odel or in the expected d ata to be collected. Transaction costs effects have been addressed by other authors and in fact form the basis of several m ajor works including that of Steven Cheung. Empirically, however, there is little data either to 77 support or refute th e im portance o f this variable. The concept of social closeness was also introduced and the anticipated effects set forth. T he prim ary effects of social closeness w ere identified to be two fold. First th ere is an anticipated effect on the production function resulting in increased productivity through m ore effective use of the production inputs. Second it is expected th a t social closeness will interact with transaction costs resulting in a reduction of m onitoring costs, and costs associated with errors in m anagem ent, production and m arketing. H ypotheses w ere developed in o rder to test the contribution of these issues in the choice of contract. In th e next chapter the em pirical steps of this study will be set forth, including the results of data collection. 78 CHAPTER IV DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS 4.1 Introduction T he process of data collection and analysis is described. T he m ajor steps include drawing a sample, preparing the survey instrum ent, mailing, coding the data, testing for non response, and then compiling and analyzing the data collected, including running tests of the hypotheses developed in the previous chapter. The following pages will detail these steps and provide reasons for decisions in some cases. 4.2 Obtaining a sample T he object of the study is to learn specific points about the characteristics of leasing of farm land in Michigan. Since it is im practical to gather inform ation from all landlords and tenants in the state, a scientific sam ple will be drawn. The inform ation generated from the data collected can then be used to m ake generalizations about the population as a whole. 79 4.2.1 Sample size D eterm ination of the sam ple size was done using the form ula for estim ating a proportion within a certain erro r tolerance, since the goal of the survey is to study the proportion of farm ers choosing the share contract as opposed to a cash ren t agreem ent. Initial investigation indicated that cash rent would be expected to dom inate at a rate of approxim ately three or four to one. T herefore, reliability of statistics on groups within the sam ple would dem and that the sam ple be large enough to provide for ad eq u ate size of these groups, specifically tenants and landlords. H owever, since the sources consulted for lists had no m eans of selecting only those tenants or landlords involved in leasing agreem ents, over sampling of the population would be necessary. Census data estim ates suggested that 40 to 50 p ercen t of the farm s and/or farm ers w ere involved in leasing. T he form ula to calculate the required sample, adopted from M arzillier (1990) is as follows: z 2LN n = ------E2 W here n is the required sam ple size, z corresponding to the 95% confidence level is approxim ately 2, and L and N are the proportion of farm ers leasing and nonleasing in the population. E is the erro r level allowable (.05). T he result, using this m ethod, indicates that the required sample be 400. By relaxing the confidence level 80 to 90% th e sam ple size could be reduced to 176. Assuming a rate of retu rn of at least 25% , it would be necessary to mail out approxim ately 1000 questionnaires to assem ble enough d ata to fall within the acceptable range. H owever, since there was no way to preselect those involved in leasing, it was decided th at 2000 questionnaires would be sent, anticipating th a t approxim ately half of the respondents would not be involved in leasing. 4.2.2 Drawing the sample O btaining a representative sam ple of Michigan landlords and tenants proved to b e a fairly difficult task. Initially an attem p t was m ade to follow the procedure of the N ebraska-South D akota study and seek a sam ple from the Agricultural Stabilization and C onservation Service (ASCS). However, the ASCS was reluctant to offer any assistance. They cited changes in the federal rulings on the Freedom of Inform ation Act making them liable for the release of personal data in their possession. T he request was consequently denied. A second request was m ade to the ASCS in such a way that they would be able to preserve the confidentiality of their list. It was proposed that the questionnaire and mailing m aterials would be delivered to their office leaving their own em ployees to affix labels and mail the survey. The returned questionnaires would have no m eans of attaching the responses to an individual. However, the ASCS office did not change th eir previous position. Again the request was denied. 81 Failing this approach, help was sought from the Michigan Agricultural Statistics Service (M ASS). T he MASS proved to be quite helpful and willing to work with us. They required $3,000 for the list of 2,000 nam es m ade available for two mailings. T he contract also provided for a follow up telephone consultation with a sam ple of non-respondents to check for non response error. Some concern rem ained how ever in relation the quality of the list m aintained by MASS. T he list was designed to include producers of agricultural com m odities throughout th e state. By contrast the ASCS list included landowners with an interest in the farm program s but not necessarily involved in production. It was felt th at the MASS list might be deficient in landlord listings since these individuals would no longer be involved in active production. Consequently, a third request was m ade to ASCS for a listing of corporate or institutional entities in four of the m ost prom inent agricultural counties of the state since these would not be restricted under the F reedom of Inform ation Act. They agreed to provide this list for a cost of $90. The reasoning was th at this sm aller but im portant ASCS list should help com pensate for deficiencies in the MASS list particularly with respect to landlords. H ow ever it was acknow ledged that the data would of necessity rem ain sep arate in order to preserve the integrity of the scientific sam ple drawn by MASS. 4.2.3 Q uestionnaires sent, received, different m ailings, etc. A pproxim ately 2000 questionnaires w ere m ailed to the MASS sam ple in July 1992. A second mailing to this sam e list took place in August 1992. Also in August 82 a sep arate mailing was sent to the selected list from ASCS. Finally, in late August a second mailing w ent out to the ASCS list. In S eptem ber the MASS office com pleted th e telephone follow up of non respondents. No m eans was m ade available to follow up on non respondents from the ASCS list. Five hundred and eleven of the questionnaires mailed to the MASS list w ere retu rn ed of which 244 claim ed they were not involved in any leasing agreem ents. O f the rem aining questionnaires 17 were not filled out properly or w ere unusable. T he rem aining 250 constituted the actual data sample. These were coded and the following results w ere determ ined using the ensuing data. 4.2.4 Testing for non response bias T h e telephone contact of non respondents by MASS gathered an additional 148 questionnaires 77 of which represented individuals not involved in leasing. O f the rem aining 71 questionnaires all were sufficiently com plete to be used in analysis. T hese w ere coded separately from the main data set. Subsequently the two data sets w ere m erged, using a dummy variable to facilitate identification of the parent data set, to test for differences. T he bench m ark variables chosen cam e from the first q u estio n - size of personal holdings— which should indicate w hether there was a difference between individuals; question se v e n - num ber of years le a se d - which should indicate any differences in the duration o f leases and/or experience of the respondents; and questions eleven and s e v e n te e n - estim ated p er acre value of parcels le a se d - which 83 should indicate any differences in the kind of operation. T able IV. 1 shows the results of testing of these variables for significant differences in the m eans. 84 Table IV.l Testing for non-response bias in the sample. V ariable G roup Personal Holdings M ain R esponse D ata NonR esponse D ata Lease term (yrs.) E stim ated M arket V alue Share A greem ent E stim ated M arket V alue Cash A greem ent M ain R esponse D ata M ean 246.7 Standard Deviatio n 312.9 Standard E rro r 20.1 -.24 256.2 9.45 279.1 7.1 33.84 .466 -.39 Non R esponse D ata 9.88 8.2 M ain R esponse D ata 875.30 684.8 .996 96.9 -1.2 Non R esponse D ata 1092.31 558.9 155.0 M ain R esponse D ata 892.3 468.8 36.7 Non R esponse D ata tvalue 1.2 814.3 362.3 Source: 1992 M SU Survey of Landlords and T enants 53.4 85 In each case the /-test shows no significant difference betw een the value from the m ain response d ata and the phone d ata collected from non responding individuals. T he phone data carried one interesting peculiarity. T he telephone operators w ere m ore successful in ensuring th at all the questions w ere answ ered. Q uestion thirty-six in particular had b een frequently m isinterpreted such that many of the main d ata set respondents had skipped the question. T he author felt that it would be useful to include the d ata collected over the phone in o rd er to increase the num ber of responses available for analysis. D r. Les M andersheid was consulted on the advisability of this idea. H e cautioned that the testing of four bench m ark variables (appearing in T able IV .l) was not conclusive evidence that there w ere no differences in the d ata sets but m erely th a t th ere was strong reason to believe that there were no differences. F urther, to m erge the data would w eaken the pow er of generalization of the findings. H owever, he explained that as long as w hat was done was fully disclosed and docum ented, to m erge the two sets of d ata would not be breaking any cardinal rule. It was consequently decided th at since it seem ed th at th ere would be m ore gained than lost by merging, the two data sets would be m erged in o rd er to provided a larger set of data for testing and analysis. T he response from th e ASCS list was disappointing. Only 89 w ere returned of which 48 w ere not involved in leasing and four were unusable. T he data collected from the 37 useable questionnaires was very similar to that from the MASS mailing. T he proportion of landlords in the ASCS returns was not significantly different from the MASS d ata set. F urtherm ore, oth er variables tested showed no differences 86 com pared to the main d ata set. It was decided th at since this d ata was not p art of the scientifically draw n sam ple by MASS, that the 37 cases would not be m erged with the m ain d ata set and hence was not included in any of the following analysis. F o r the purposes o f th e following analysis, the term respondent will refer to landlords and tenants w hose questionnaires w ere actually deem ed acceptable for evaluation. Similarly, the term responding landlord or responding tenant will be restricted to the group whose questionnaires w ere considered satisfactory for analysis. 4.3 General Respondent information 43.1 Distribution of respondents T he data sam ple used in analysis consisted of 97 landlords and 213 tenants and included the responses of th ree individuals not identified as eith er landlords or tenants. These three provided sufficiently com plete inform ation regarding preferences under the general inform ation sections that the questionnaire was deem ed satisfactory to add to the pool. T he effective sam ple for analysis, hence included the com piled responses from 313 individuals. The acreage totals, reported by those responding to the questionnaire, are shown in T able IV.2. 87 Table IV.2 A creage O w ned and L eased with Estim ated Value Acreage Estim ated p er acre value T otal A cres O w ned by R espondents 72429 $1021 T otal A cres U n d er Leasing A greem ents 66272 $ 971 R ep o rted A creage Source: 1992 M SU Survey of Landlords and T enants T hese figures give a sense of orientation with respect to the num ber of acres rep resen ted by the respondents. T o fu rth er establish a profile of respondents by income from farming, age, and sex for landlords and tenants, the corresponding data appears in the following T able IV.3. 88 Table IV.3 Profile of respondents by income from farming, age and sex. P ercent in com e from farm ing R esp on d en t T enant less than 30% 50 to 80% m ore than 80% totals 101 31 32 41 205 69 13 9 5 96 .170 44 41 46 301 Landlord T otals 30 to 49% ag e category in years R esp on d en t T enant Landlord < 25 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 > 64 1 22 64 52 54 17 3 9 13 29 42 sex R esp on d en t m ale fem ale T enant 201 8 Landlord 83 13 Source: 1992 M S U Survey o f Landlords and T enants In a few cases (no m ore than four) the respondent was both a landlord and a tenant. However, the questionnaire was designed to gather the d ata as either one or the other. In one case the inform ation was filled out in such detail that two records w ere created, one for the individual as a tenant and one as a landlord. 89 4.3.2 Number, size, and distribution of parcels of land being reported T he majority of respondents reported only one parcel of land involved in leasing. T h ere w ere substantially m ore parcels rep o rted by those involved in cash ren t agreem ents. Also, as the num ber of parcels p er individual increased, cash rent dom inated as the contract type chosen. T able IV.4 gives a breakdow n of parcels and contract type chosen. Table IV.4 D istribution of parcel holdings by num ber and type N um ber o f resp ond en ts by Contract type N um ber o f parcels per resp ond en t 1 % 2-3 % 4-5 % 6 & up % T otal Share crop 59 6 6 % 21 2 3 % 9 10 % 1 1% 90 Cash rent 127 5 1 % 68 2 7 % 31 12% 24 10%. 250 T otals 186 5 5 % 89 26% 40 12% 25 7% 340 Source: 1992 M S U Survey o f Landlords and T enants As discussed in C hapter 2 there is a transaction cost factor at issue here. The share agreem ent requires m ore tim e and effort when it com es to counting, weighing, dividing, or otherwise m easuring the crop and calculating the rent. W here inputs are shared the effort investm ent increases. Parties with m ore than one share agreem ent face another potential cost of keeping the crops from different parcels sep arate until the ren t can be calculated. This cost may or may not be significant depending on the n atu re of the crop and the tim e period over which it is harvested. T he data would suggest th at this issue is a real concern for those with m ore parcels of land. 4.3.3 Length of Lease T he average length o f lease rep o rted was 9.5 years indicating that th ere is considerable stability in the leasing of land. Table IV.5 Lease Length by contract type, respondent and formality Category Lease Type Respondent Share Cash Landlord Tenant Oral Written Formality Number less than 5 years 84 23 61 50 34 56 29 5 to 9 years 76 22 54 18 58 49 26 10 to 19 years 97 15 82 16 81 72 25 20 years or more 42 6 36 6 36 34 8 Totals 299 66 233 90 201 211 88 Source: 1992 M SU Survey o f Landlords and Tenants T able IV.5 categorizes the length of the agreem ent com pared to the kind of lease and the role of the respondent. T h ere appears to be some tendency for cash agreem ents to continue for longer periods of time. Also, proportionately m ore landlords (than tenants) are reporting leases that have been in existence for short periods of time. 4.3.4 Formality of Agreement A majority of lease agreem ents in M ichigan are reached rath er informally as evidenced by the num ber of oral contracts reported. F urtherm ore, those engaging 91 in crop share leasing are m ore likely to use the oral agreem ent. A large nu m b er of the leases are renew ed annually. T able IV.6 sum m arizes these details. Table IV.6 Form ality and renew al o f agreem ents R enew al Frequency C ontract formality O ral A greem ent W ritten A greem ent Totals C ontract Choice R enew ed Annually R enew ed for a Multi Y ear Period C rop Share A greem ent Cash R ent 171 42 63 155 43 43 7 81 214 85 70 236 Source: 1992 M SU Survey of Landlords and T enants 4.4 Cash Rent Agreements Each respondent was asked to choose one rental agreem ent, or parcel of land if m ore than one, th at could be considered typical or most representative of his/her holdings. Those responding to the questionnaire rep o rted on 71 share agreem ents and 236 cash ren t agreem ents. Clearly the cash rent agreem ent was m ore popular am ong the responding M ichigan farm ers and landowners. T he average size of th e parcel of land under a share rent agreem ent was 88 acres com pared to 126 acres for cash agreem ents. Those with share agreem ents 92 averaged slightly higher estim ated value on the land, $920 p er acre, with a range of $100 to $5,000, com pared to $875 ranging from $27 to $3,000. The highest land values cam e prim arily from land being used for orchards or vineyards. Some rath er unique share cropping agreem ents w ere reported by those with fruit farms. M ore discussion of this below. Cash ren t averaged $44.76 p er acre, ranging from a low of $2 to a high of $175 p e r acre. Overall the p e r acre rent averaged 6% of estim ated land value. 4.5 Crops grown share, cash T he distribution of crops grown betw een the two groups was alm ost identical. Field crops including corn, soybeans, wheat, sugar beets, as well as other small grains accounted for approxim ately 75% of the contracts. Hay and pasture dom inated the balance with roughly 20%, while specialty crops and fruit filled the rem aining 5%. T able IV.7 dem onstrates the similarities and differences in crop choice betw een cash and share crop agreem ents. 93 Table IV.7 D istribution o f C rops grown by contract type C rop G roup Share Crop N um ber T otal Cash R en t P ercent N um ber P ercent N um ber Percent F ield C rops 55 77 172 74 227 75 H ay & Pasture 12 17 49 21 61 20 Fruit 2 3 9 4 11 4 Specialty C rops 2 3 3 1 5 2 71 100 233 100 304 100 T otals Source: 1992 M S U Survey o f Landlords and T enants 4.6 Adjustments R espondents reporting cash rent agreem ents w ere asked to rep o rt conditions w here rental adjustm ents might occur. Specifically if provisions existed in the agreem ent to adjust the am ount of the rent up or down if growing and m arket conditions turned out to be especially favorable or unfavorable respectively. Very few of the respondents rep o rted any kind of adjustm ent. O f the 21 total cases acknowledging such adjustm ents, nearly half (10) cited rent reduction in the case of especially low yields. Seven reported rent increases associated with substantially higher than norm al yields. Only two rep o rted adjustm ents associated with price fluctuations, one each with higher and lower prices respectively. T he rem aining two cited oth er unspecified reasons. 94 4.7 Share Rent Agreements T he num ber of agreem ents by te n a n t’s share of o utput is shown in ?, T able IV.8. T he author is suspicious that the one case showing the te n a n t’s share of 15 percent is an error. M ost of the respondents fall into the traditional categories of V2 or % of the crop going to the tenant. O f interest is the lack of a single respondent choosing the 60:40 split commonly rep o rted in the N ebraska-South D akota study. The four cases reporting 100 Table IV.8 T enant s share of output percent of the crop going to the tenant are a bit perplexing. This T en a n t’s Share of O utput N um ber of Cases R ep o rted 15% 1 50% 19 67% 28 ten an t reported th at the landlord had 75% 13 engaged him to husband a vineyard 90% 3 100% 4 Total 68 would not seem to be a share crop agreem ent. In one of these cases the and that all the landlord required was th at the tenant upgrade the condition of the fixtures and vines over a Source: 1992 M SU Survey of Landlords and T enants period of five years. In other cases there may be some confusion on the part of the respondent. F or example, it is not uncom m on for the ten an t to purchase the landlord’s share after the calculation of the split. Consequently a ten an t (or landlord) may respond that the tenant is retaining the entire crop, ignoring the fact th at the question is asking w hat percent does the tenant receive for services rendered. 95 4.7 Landlord participation in inputs In C h ap ter II some discussion was presented with respect to the sharing of input costs. It was shown that, in theory, if all inputs w ere shared in the same proportions as the sharing of the output that the conflict of the share agreem ent could be resolved. H owever, no exam ple of com plete sharing has been found or dem onstrated. Arguably, sharing of some of the inputs may provide some im provem ent in the agreem ent. Surprisingly few of the respondents involved in share lease agreem ents participated in the sharing o f inputs. Specifically, in only twenty-six of the seventy share agreem ents was there any sharing of input costs. F urtherm ore, the sharing of inputs in most cases was limited to only one or two items. M ost commonly shared inputs w ere fertilizer, seed, and chemicals (including liming, insecticides and herbicides) as costs of production. T able IV.9 outlines the frequency with which som e of these production costs w ere shared. T he m ajority of respondents reporting contracts which included the sharing of inputs showed no change in the sharing ratios since the initial establishm ent of the lease agreem ent. T h ere is, however, some evidence that the landlord’s contribution to inputs in share agreem ents is diminishing. Nine of the twenty-six respondents reported th at the landlord’s share of inputs had decreased. Similarly nine (though not necessarily the sam e nine), respondents reported that the num ber of inputs in which the landlord participated decreased. In neither of these categories was there a rep o rt of increased participation by the landlord. 96 Table IV.9 Landlord participation in input cost sharing by input Totals L andlord’s share of costs Input 100% 50% 33% Seed 7 14 2 23 Fertilizer 6 17 5 26 12 14 0 26 H erbicide & Insecticide 2 14 1 17 chemical application 3 12 3 18 irrigation 2 0 0 2 harvesting 0 9 1 10 transportation 0 3 0 3 drying 1 7 2 10 other 1 0 0 1 Lime Source: 1992 M SU Survey of Landlords and T enants T h ere seem s to be som e m otivation for the choice of traditional, simple ratios for splitting the crop and the input shares such as half and half or one third - two thirds. O ne may w onder why splits such as 47% - 53% are never observed. O ne possible explanation is that tradition prevails. It may be that sharing of inputs provides a m eans of fine tuning a share agreem ent. F or exam ple, w here the te n an t’s share of the crop is less than sufficient to equate invested time, effort and resources, there is a greater tendency for the landlord to participate in the sharing of costs of m ore inputs. 97 4.8 Changes from cash to sh are and visa versa T h ere was very little evidence of m ovem ent betw een agreem ent types. The average duration rep o rted for share and cash agreem ents was 8 and 10 years respectively. Eight respondents reported changing from a cash agreem ent to share cropping. By contrast twelve respondents reported changing from a share agreem ent to cash rent. R espondents w ere subsequently asked to identify their position with respect to willingness to change and give reasons. Those with share agreem ents responding to this question w ere evenly divided; thirty-three said they w ere willing while thirtyfour w ere not. By contrast, o f those with cash rent agreem ents only sixty-four w ere willing to change while one hundred and sixty w ere not. A variety of reasons w ere cited, and, since many of the com m ents w ere cryptic and incom plete, interpretation is difficult. O f those with share agreem ents expressing a willingness to change the com m on answer was that they would accom m odate the wishes of the other party. Those unwilling to change cited such things as poor ground and risky yields, lack of capital, and tradition. Interestingly, those with cash agreem ents unwilling to change often replied to the effect that the agreem ent would be cash or nothing, implying that if they could not rent on a cash basis they would not be willing to rent the land at all. O thers simply noted th at share agreem ents required too much effort in dividing and calculating the rent. A nother common answ er that ap p eared here (and elsew here w here com m ents w ere requested) was that the cash agreem ent ensured that both landlord and ten an t 98 knew in advance th e am ount of the rent. This implied an unwillingness to incur the cost of disagreeing or haggling over the actual yields or crop division. F urther, num erous tenants cited a strong preference for cash and an unwillingness to change, claiming th at with a cash ren t agreem ent the landlord would have no right to interfere or have anything to say about how the land was farm ed. Finally, those with cash agreem ents and willing to change to share again expressed in many cases simply a willingness to accom m odate the wishes of the other party. A few indicated th at they did feel that the share agreem ent would be m ore fair. 4.9 Specifics of landlords and tenants T h ere is som e evidence from landlords th at the choice of contract is related to personal farm ing experience. Landlords with less than 10 years farm ing experience rep o rted choosing the share agreem ent about one third as often as cash rent. By contrast, those with m ore th an forty years experience exhibited a som ew hat reverse choice. T able IV. 10 displays the choices and years of experience of responding landlords. 99 Table IV.10 Landlord experience and choice of contract Share Crop Cash R ent 10 years or less 5 14 1 1 - 3 9 years 12 22 40 years or m ore 11 5 Totals 28 41 Landlord Experience Source: 1992 M SU Survey of Landlords and Tenants Further, if the landlord actually farm ed the land in question at one time (not simply farm ed in the past), he/she was much m ore likely Table IV.ll L andlord prior cultivation of the to choose the share ren t land to be leased and contract choice agreem ent (see Table IV. 11). Prior Cultivation Those who inherited the land, or possibly farm ed under different circum stances might have less experience to offer in a share lease relationship. Share Cash Landlord once farm ed the land 35 44 Landlord did not farm the land 2 12 Totals 37 56 Source: 1992 M SU Survey of Landlords and Tenants 4.9.1 Contracting Very few of the responding landlords (only 11) rep o rted asking for references w hen they engaged the current tenant. T h ere was no distinguishing p attern betw een 100 share and cash contracts and the checking of references. W hen asked about the perform ance of the ten an t in business and m anagem ent, only rarely did the landlord respond th at the ten an t was not perform ing well. (It would seem that for this question a range of choices would have been m ore useful in gathering the inform ation rath er than simply yes and no responses.) 4.9.2 Hypothetical contract choice with parties of varying degrees of closeness and confidence In this section choice of contract is presented using a com parison of stated initial closeness and actual choice of contract (see Table IV.12). This is followed by data collected using hypothetical situations with corresponding choice of contract. Table IV.12 R espondent actual contract choice with parties of varying degrees of closeness. Share Lease Cash Lease Very close friend or family 27 (39%) 56 (24% ) Friendly acquaintance 31 (42%) 155 (65% ) Individual unknown 12 (17% ) 24 (10% ) R espondent R elationship 1 (.5% ) Fam iliar institution U nfam iliar institution 1 (1% ) Source: 1992 M SU Survey of Landlords and T enants 1 (.5% ) 101 In recognition of the potential for unanticipated distortions in the collection of actual d ata for testing the hypotheses, several hypothetical questions w ere asked o f the respondents. It was hoped th at the pream ble to the question would provide the controlled environm ent for the response. It was understood that th ere is some m argin for erro r in in terp retatio n since w hat the respondent claims would be chosen in a given situation, versus w hat would actually happen should the situation arise, m ight be different. N evertheless, by asking the question in this m anner, it was hoped that respondents would be able to provide useful inform ation regarding contract preferences. 102 Table IV.13 Landlord contract preferences (hypothetical) with parties of varying degrees of closeness; assuming no risk in perform ance. P rospective Tenant: no agreem en t Cash L ease Share L ea se num ber colum n % num ber colum n % num ber colum n % V ery close friend or family 41 51 45 17 6 5 Friendly acquaintance 27 34 67 26 0 Stranger 8 10 66 25 18 15 B u sin ess or institution 3 4 64 24 25 21 Individual or firm with w hom you have had a seriou s disagreem ent 1 1 20 8 70 59 80 100 262 100 119 100 T otals Source: 1992 M S U Survey o f Landlords and T enan ts, q u estion # 2 4 . Landlords were asked to indicate w hat kind of contract they would p refer given a variety of potential tenants. T able IV.13 shows the distribution of responses. In this first instance, the landlords w ere told that the perform ance of the tenant, with respect to farming ability was certain. T he variable to be exam ined was w hether the closeness of the individual would m ake any difference in the choice. T he table shows clearly a diagonal relationship. friends and family. The share lease finds m ost acceptance with close Strangers tend to p refer cash leasing agreem ents. N ot 103 unexpectedly, individuals with previous disagreem ents simply p refer not to engage in any contract with such a person. R esponding landlords w ere then asked to consider the sam e question b u t this tim e they w ere instructed th at the perform ance of the ten an t was not to be considered certain. T he w ording of the question suggested that th ere was considerable uncertainty to be taken into account. Accordingly the landlords adjusted their responses as shown in T able IV. 14. T able IV.14 Landlord contract preferences (hypothetical) with tenants of uncertain perform ance and varying categories of social closeness. P rosp ective Tenant: Share L ease Cash L ease no agreem en t num ber colum n % num ber colum n % num ber colum n % 15 63 59 23 17 10 Friendly acquaintance 7 29 72 28 13 8 Stranger 2 8 56 21 32 19 B u sin ess or institution 0 0 54 20 36 22 Individual or firm with w hom you have had a seriou s disagreem en t 0 0 20 8 69 41 24 100 261 100 167 100 V ery clo se friend or family T otals Source: 1992 M S U Survey o f Landlords and T enants, question # 2 5 . 104 T enants w ere also asked to indicate contract preferences given choices of landlords in various categories of social closeness. Though the tenants w ere less inclined to choose the share agreem ent, com pared to landlords, the tenants also dem onstrated a diagonal tren d of responses similar to those of the landlords. O ne possible explanation for th e difference in preferences betw een landlords and tenants is th a t th e tenants place m ore value on being the sole decision m aker in the agreem ent. By contrast a retired landlord after having farm ed the land for a long period o f tim e may feel th a t he or she has som ething to contribute in a share agreem ent. T he landlord may even feel som ew hat attached to the land and, as is especially peculiar to farming, may really enjoy being involved though not able to rem ain fully responsible for all the farm ing activities. Furtherm ore, the bonds associated with ow nership may influence the landlord’s desire to be involved. T able IV.15 provides a breakdow n of the ten an ts’ responses. 105 Table IV.15 T en an ts’ contract preferences (hypothetical) with landlords of varying categories of social closeness. Share L ease P rospective Tenant: no agreem en t Cash L ease num ber colum n % num ber colum n % num ber colum n % V ery clo se friend or family 45 40 157 21 9 5 Friendly acquaintance 33 29 170 23 3 2 Stranger 18 16 182 25 5 3 B u siness or institution 13 12 168 23 26 14 Individual or firm with w hom you have had a seriou s d isagreem ent 4 3 59 8 143 76 113 100 736 100 186 100 T otals Source: 1992 M S U Survey o f Landlords and Tenants, question # 3 2 . U ncertainty relative to the perform ance of the landlord does not play the sam e role in the agreem ent as with the tenant. In some cases the landlord may provide m anagem ent skill, resources or assist with production. By contrast, it is not uncom m on for the landlord to have no involvement in crop production. Consequently, it was decided that a question suggesting uncertainty in relation to the perform ance of the landlord would not be applicable. 106 4.9.3 Landlord qualification and participation in the agreement T he te n a n t’s view of th e both the ability and willingness of the landlord to contribute to the agreem ent was solicited in question thirty-one. U nfortunately the wording of the question caused many of the potential respondents to skip over it rath e r than respond. A m ajority of the responses analyzed h ere com e from the questionnaires filled out during the testing for non-response bias as discussed in that section earlier. T he MASS op erato rs w ere instructed with slightly different wording and asked to record th e responses to this question if applicable. 107 Table IV.16 T en an t’s view of the contribution o f the landlord: C rop-share A greem ent T he L andlord is T he Landlord has Well Qualified Willing to H elp yes no yes no 24 5 22 7 Knowledge of M arkets and M arketing 20 9 19 10 R esources (assets and skills) 18 11 16 13 Knowledge of Farm ing Source: 1992 M SU Survey of Landlords and T enants T he responding tenants w ere asked to evaluate the contribution of the landlord, both with respect to skill or knowledge as well as willingness to help or participate in the production process. T he responses w ere sorted by contract type and provide a rather revealing sketch of the perceived attitudes and skills of the landlord and the type of contract chosen. T enants with share lease agreem ents and cash rent agreem ents responses are tabulated in T able IV.16 and T able IV.17 respectively. Com paring th e responses it is evident th at tenants involved in a share agreem ent perceive the landlord as willing to help. F urtherm ore, those with cash rent agreem ents are much m ore doubtful about the landlord’s qualifications. 108 Table IV.17 T en a n t’s view of the contribution of the landlord: Cash R ent A greem ent T he L andlord is T he L andlord has Well Q ualified Willing to H elp yes no yes no 47 54 24 76 Knowledge of M arkets and M arketing 36 66 18 84 R esources (assets and skills) 31 69 19 81 Knowledge of Farm ing Source: 1992 M SU Survey of Landlords and Tenants 4.10 General rental market and respondent information In th e final section of the questionnaire respondents w ere asked to provide further general inform ation th a t applied to all respondents. 4.10.1 Use, maintenance and care of assets R arely did the respondents list assets m ade available to the ten an t by the landlord in addition to the land. Those items th at were listed included for the most p art the use of a shed or bin for storage. In a few cases cultivation equipm ent and or tractors w ere listed. In each of these cases the parties w ere involved in a family o peration and a share lease agreem ent. Responsibility for m aintenance of land rested primarily with tenants according to respondents. In less than ten percent of the cases this responsibility was shared 109 and a very few cases rem ained the responsibility of the landlord. By contrast, m aintenance and up k eep of th e buildings and oth er assets rested with the landlord. In an effort to evaluate the perception of the respondent tow ard the other party in the lease agreem ent, with respect to perceived interest of the other party in upkeep of the assets involved, question thirty-six was included in the questionnaire. T he vast m ajority indicated th a t the o th er party had a great deal of interest in the upkeep o f the assets. Those with share agreem ents tended to have a higher regard for the interest of the o th er party but this tendency was not sufficient to show any sharp contrast. T he d ata collected for this question is sum m arized in Table IV. 18 by contract type. Table IV. 18 Perceived interest in, and care for, the assets o th e r party’s dem onstrated care for assets Type of agreem ent a great deal som ew hat very little not at all Share 41 (61% ) 22 (32% ) 2 (3% ) 4 (6% ) Cash 119 (51% ) 83 (36% ) 20 (9% ) 10 (4% ) Source: 1992 M SU Survey of Landlords and Tenants 110 4.10.2 Improvements Eighty-one of the respondents indicated that physical im provem ents had been m ade som etim e during the duration of their present agreem ent. T he cost of these im provem ents was divided rath e r evenly betw een landlords and tenants. In thirtyfour cases the landlord b o re the cost of the im provem ent and likewise in another thirty-four cases the ten an t bo re all the cost. In thirteen cases the costs were shared betw een the landlord and tenant. Table IV. 19 summarizes the kinds of im provem ents m ade. Tiling o f the land was the m ost com m on im provem ent. 4.103 Self evaluation of risk preferences Table IV.19 Capital im provem ents reported. and contract choice Im provem ents to: N um ber In an effort to evaluate aversion Buildings to risk and the role played by the same Land in the choice of contract, respondents w ere asked to evaluate personal risk preferences in question questionnaire. D ata 40 of the collected for landlords and tenants w ere evaluated separately. T enants responding to the e v a lu a tio n of risk p re fe re n c e 9 Clearing 14 Ditching 10 Fencing 11 Tiling 31 O ther 6 Total 81 Source: 1992 M SU Landlords and Tenants Survey of Ill dem onstrated the expected distribution though there was not a com m anding contrast (see T able IV.20). Table IV.20 T en an ts’ risk preferences and contract choice T enants responding to the evaluation of risk preferences contract chosen share cash high income, high risk 9 56 m edium income, m edium risk 10 86 low income, low risk 13 32 Source: 1992 M SU Survey of Landlords and Tenants 112 Landlords on the other hand w ere som ew hat polarized in th eir choices. Those preferring less risk w ere m uch m ore ap t to be involved in cash ren t agreem ents. Similarly those willing to accept m ore risk chose share agreem ents (see T able IV.21). Table IV.21 Landlords’ risk preferences and contract choice Tenants responding to the evaluation of risk preferences contract chosen share cash high income, high risk 15 4 m edium income, m edium risk 13 19 low income, low risk 9 30 Source: 1992 M SU Survey of Landlords and T enants 4.10.4 In teractio n and con tract choice In the majority of cases the ten an t farm ed the land independent of participation on the p art of the landlord. H owever, as T able IV.22 reveals, landlord participation in m anagem ent decisions was clearly m ore com m on am ong those engaged in share cropping agreem ents. 113 Table IV.22 D egree of interaction and choice of contract D egree o f interaction Share C rop Cash R ent M ost production and m anagem ent decisions are m ade jointly 12 5 Only the m ost im portant production and m anagem ent decisions are m ade jointly 16 8 R arely are production and m anagem ent decisions m ade jointly 6 7 Decisions are m ade solely by the tenant with som e advice from the landlord 18 48 Production and m anagem ent decisions are m ade solely by the ten an t with no input from the landlord 19 167 Totals 71 235 Source: 1992 M SU Survey of Landlords and T enants 114 4.10.5 Current relationship, changes, and contract choice W hen asked to evaluate th e current leasing agreem ent on the basis of fairness, the majority of respondents viewed their leasing arrangem ent positively. Though those with share crop agreem ents showed m ore relative strength in the "excellent" category, overall th ere did n o t seem to be a significant difference in the type of contract and the satisfaction o f the respondent (see T able IV.23). Table IV.23 R espondents Evaluation of Fairness Satisfaction R ating By R espondents C ontract Type Very Bad Poor A dequate G ood Excellent Totals Share 1 1 6 32 31 71 Cash 1 3 55 119 57 235 Source: 1992 M SU Survey of Landlords and Tenants 4.10.6 Social Interaction and Contract Choice It was not uncom m on for the parties engaged in a leasing agreem ent to be acquainted socially. H owever, our interest in this study was to determ ine if social closeness had any affect on the kind of contract chosen. H ence respondents w ere asked to indicate which category or categories of social interaction existed betw een the leasing parties. 115 Table IV.24 C ontract choice (actual) and social interaction C ategories of social interaction of the contracting parties contract share % cash % M em ber of the sam e club, church, or oth er organization 15 22 44 19 Enjoy leisure activities together 19 28 45 19 6 9 3 1 No interaction 27 40 142 60 Totals 67 100 235 100 W ork (off farm ) at the sam e location Source: 1992 M SU Survey of Landlords and T enants Though the responses indicate that social interaction is proportionately m ore com m on am ong individuals th at choose the share leasing agreem ent, the evidence here is not overwhelming. T he com piled findings are shown in Table IV.24. 4.11 Testing of factors associated with contract choice Testing of the factors associated with choice of contract will be divided into two sections. Landlords and tenants will be considered separately as the choice of contract is exam ined using a logit regression model. In the logit model the dependent variable, "CHOICE", is not continuous. T he choice is an either-or proposition with 116 no continuum of partial alternatives in betw een. The logit m odel provides a m eans of analyzing the relative influence of the independent variables on the choice of contract. W e will begin by examining the choice of contract by landlords. 4.11.1 Landlord choice of contract O f the total 313 responses, 97 w ere from landlords. O f this group, twenty-two w ere rejected by the program because of missing data in one or m ore variables being used in the logistic regression. Thus 75 landlord responses w ere included in the data evaluated in this section. T he dep en d en t variable "CHO ICE" (of share lease) was taken from the data collected in response to question ten2 which asked w hether the contract about which the respondent had chosen to reply, referred to a share-crop or cash rent agreem ent. T he independent variables cam e from questions designed to elicit responses that would test the hypotheses previously stated. Table IV.25 contains the variable list, the question eliciting the variable, and corresponding descriptions. T he anticipated sign of each of the independent variables has been included in parentheses with the name. T he interpretation is straight forward. A positive sign would m ean that the variable is expected to contribute positively to the choice of a share agreem ent, and visa versa. A n exam ple can be noted in the case of the variable labeled RISK. T he negative sign indicates that the risk averse landlord 2 Q uestion ten w a s se le c te d instead of question three sin ce actual c h o ic e s avoid the d iscrep ancy b etw een stated preferences and real c h o ic es. However, in this c a s e there w a s only o n e resp on d ent exhibiting this conflict. 117 Table IV.25 V ariable list for landlord logistic regression. Variable name and expected sign Source* Description Choice of Share Q10 This is the dependent variable and contains the choice of contract by the respondent. Crop (-) Qllc and Q17c Type of crops grown on the leased land. Parcels (-) 02 Number of parcels of land under leasing contracts. Socializing (+) Q42 Social interaction exclusive of farming activities. Joint (+) Q41 Degree of joint decision making in production and management. Risk (-) Q40 Self evaluation of risk preferences. Social Closeness (initial) (+) Q8 Social closeness at the outset of the agreement. Oral (+) Q4 Proportion of oral versus written agreements. Fair (+) Q43 Respondent's perception of fairness of the agreement. Assets (+) 036 Landlord's perception of how well the tenant takes care of the assets. Continue (+) 037 Anticipated continuation of the agreement. Experience (+) 026a Landlord farming experience. Visit (+) Q26d Landlord visits the farm frequently. Upkeep (-) 09 Respondent's appraisal of the general condition of the farm at the time of entering into the leasing agreement. £ource: 1992 HSU Survey of Landlords and Tenants Questionnaire numbers. See Appendix I. 118 would not p refer th e share agreem ent since this kind of contract would necessarily increase exposure to risk. In the case of C R O P, the negative sign m eans th at the values recorded for the choice of hay, pasture and specialty crops (which would tend to be m ore difficult to divide) decrease the probability of the choice of the share agreem ent. 4.11.2 Landlord logit regression results T he results of the logit regression are given in several stages. First, the overall perform ance or fit of the equation is evaluated. T he equation, as a m odel of contract choice, estim ates the log of th e odds that a share agreem ent or a cash rent contract will by chosen by the leasing parties given the rep o rted circum stances and then in turn predicts the anticipated choice. The word predict may be a bit misleading in that th ere is a considerable am ount of uncertainty as to causality. F o r exam ple, the fact th a t a respondent reports frequent joint collaboration in decision m aking may be either contributing to or resulting from the kind of agreem ent chosen. N evertheless, the equation evaluates the correlation of the dep en d en t variables with the independent variable and predicts which contract will be likely. T he equation is p resented with the variables described in Table IV.25. C hoice of Share = B0C onstant - B ^ R O P - B2PARCELS + B3SOCIALIZING + B4JOINT - B5RISK + BgSOCIAL CLOSENESS + B?ORAL + BgFAIR + BgASSETS + B10CONTINUE + B ^EX PE R IEN C E + B12VISIT + b 13upkeep 119 T h ere are several ways to assess goodness of fit of the model. T he first will be to com pare the predicted results with the actual data. The accuracy of the m odel is evaluated in T able IV.26. T he first n u m b e rs column show s of Table IV.26 Classification C ontract Choice Table for Landlord Predicted Observed Percent C orrect Share 24 15 63% Cash 51 44 86% th e Choice num ber of share and cash a g r e e m e n ts w hen each e x p e c te d set of respond en t characteristics is plugged r e g r e s s io n into Source: 1992 M SU Tenants Survey of Landlords and the e q u a tio n . W ere the m odel one hundred percent accurate, there would be no difference betw een predicted and observed. The "observed" column in the table shows the num ber of contracts th at w ere accurately predicted. This is followed by the percent correct. Obviously the model is m ore accurate predicting cash rent agreem ents betw een individuals than share-crop agreem ents. T he second step in evaluating the outcom e of the regression involves analyzing the contribution of each of the variables. As discussed earlier the variables used in the regression are for the most part without scale and hence the size of the m eaning of the size of the coefficient if difficult to derive. Some com parison may be m ade betw een variables that have com mon values such as the dummy variables in the 120 m odel. A listing of the variables in the regression and statistics p ertin en t to this analysis are provided in T able IV.27. T he full printout of these statistics is located in A PPE N D IX II. A n alternative m ethod of establishing goodness of fit is to exam ine the im provem ent of the log likelihood statistic betw een the regression m odel with only a constant and then with th e variables added. This statistic is rep o rted in the A ppendix (II) together with the significance level. In this case we reject the hypothesis that the coefficients of the independent variables are significantly different from zero. Exam ination of these results reveals th at the variables all have the anticipated sign, with respect to the model, except for C R O P, PA R C ELS and E X P E R IE N C E . N one of these are significant at the .05 level though C R O P would be considered significant at the .1 level. T he variables SO C IA LIZ IN G , SO C IA L C LO SEN ESS (initial), and U PK E E P are all significant at the .05 level with C R O P, JO IN T, RISK, FA IR , and VISIT betw een the .05 and .1 range. Implications of these findings and corresponding discussion can be found in C h ap ter V. 121 Table IV.27 R esult of th e landlord regression equation on choice of the share agreem ent- variables and corresponding statistics V ariable (J Value Statistical Significance -1.44 .09 .48 .63 SO C IA LIZIN G 2.31 .02 JO IN T 1.55 .10 -1.70 .06 2.84 .03 .07 .96 2.22 .07 .21 .78 1.88 .27 -1.52 .45 4.09 .10 U PK EEP -1.71 .04 CO N STA N T -2.00 .52 CROP PA R C ELS R ISK SOCIAL CLO SEN ESS (initial) ORAL FAIR ASSETS C O N T IN U E E X P E R IE N C E V ISIT Source: 1992 M SU Survey of Landlords and Tenants 122 4.11.3 Tenant Choice of Contract A lthough it was assum ed that the landlord would be the party primarily responsible for choosing the contract type, reason suggests that landlords will also sensitive to the preferences of prospective tenants. In the survey, tenants w ere also asked to respond to questions about contract type and preferences for share-crop or cash-rent agreem ents. O f the 213 responding tenants, only 121 w ere sufficiently com plete to include in the regression. This was prim arily due to the confusion over responses to question 31 regarding the te n an t’s view of the landlord participation, which many of the respondents skipped. T he m ethod of evaluation was very similar to that shown above for landlords. However, a few variable changes are to be noted. The variables VISIT, E X P E R IE N C E and ASSETS w ere replaced by K N O W L E D G E and W ILLIN G th at refer to the tenants perception of the landlord’s potential contribution to the agreem ent. Also, assuming that tenants would be m ore sensitive to the current social relationship in the choice of agreem ent, variable SO C IA L CLO SEN ESS (current) was substituted for SO C IA L C LO SEN ESS (initial) in the regression. The list of variables used is contained in T able IV.28. 123 Table IV.28 V ariable list for ten an t logistic regression. V ariable nam e Source* D escription C h oice o f Share Contract Q 10 T his is the d ep en d en t variable and contains the ch o ice o f contract type by the respondent. C rop (-) Q l l c and Q 17c T ype o f crops grown on th e leased land. C ontracts (-) Q2 G enerated from q uestion 2 indicating the num ber o f parcels o f land under leasing contracts. Socializing ( + ) Q 42 Social interaction exclusive o f farm ing activities. Joint ( + ) Q41 D e g r e e o f joint d ecision m aking for production and m anagem ent. R isk ( + ) Q 40 S e lf evaluation o f risk preferen ces. K n ow led ge ( + ) Q 31a T en a n t’s evaluation o f th e landlord’s ability help with m anagem ent d ecision s. W illing ( + ) Q 31b T en a n t’s evaluation o f the landlord’s w illingness to help with m anagem ent. Social C losen ess (current) ( + ) Q 38 Current social clo sen ess. Oral ( + ) Q4 Proportion o f oral to w ritten agreem en ts. Fairness ( + ) Q43 R esp o n d en t’s evaluation o f the fairness o f the agreem ent. C ontin ue ( + ) Q 37 R esp o n d en t’s exp ectation o f th e num ber o f years the agreem en t w ill con tinu e. Source: 1992 M SU Survey o f Landlords and Tenants. * Q u estion num ber. S ee A pp en dix I. 124 4.11.4 Tenant regression results As before, the results of the regression are given in several stages. First, the overall perform ance of the equation is again evaluated by com paring how accurate the m odel was in predicting the choice of contract. The ten an t equation is p resented with som e differences com pared to the landlord equation: C h oice of Share = B0C onstant - B ^ R O P - B2PARCELS + B3SOCIALIZING + B4JOINT - B5RISK + BgKNOWLEDGE + B7WILLING + BgSOCIAL CLOSENESS + BgORAL + B 10FAIR + B „ LENGTH As with the landlord model, the choice of the share agreem ent is not as accurately determ ined as the cash rent agreem ent. A lthough it may be w orth noting th a t th e ten an t m odel is slightly m ore accurate overall than the landlord model. T hese results are shown in T able IV.29. O nce m odel again ap p ears to the be Table jy .2 9 Classification C ontract Choice Table for T en an t m uch m ore successful in Predicted predicting the cash rent agreem ent than the share crop agreem ent. As with the landlord equation, the results of the im provem ent of the log Observed Share Cash P ercent C orrect Share 13 11 54% Cash 8 86 92% Source: 1992 MSU Survey of Landlords Tenants and 125 likelihood statistic fail to reject the hypothesis th at the coefficients of the variables are significantly different from zero. Now we will exam ine the outcom e of the regression with respect to the relative contribution of the variables. As with the landlord m odel above, most of the variables carried the anticipated sign. Only C R O P exhibited a sign different than expected. JO IN T, W ILLIN G and L E N G T H , w ere significant at the .05 percent level with K N O W L E D G E and O R A L on the border. PA R C ELS is on the border of being considered significant at the .1 percent level. T able IV.30 lists the outcom e of this regression. Table IV.30 V ariables in the ten an t equation and corresponding statistics V ariable CROP P V alue Significance .82 .14 -.27 .10 .02 .98 JO IN T 1.70 .03 RISK -.14 .85 KNOW LEDGE 1.91 .06 W ILLING 2.04 .01 SO C IA L CLO SEN ESS (current) 1.49 .18 ORAL 1.92 .06 FA IRN ESS 1.06 .22 LENGTH 3.53 .01 -11.05 .003 PARCELS SO C IA LIZIN G CO N STA N T Source: 1992 M SU Survey of Landlords and Tenants 126 4.12 Summary In this chapter the procedure of d ata collection has been set forth in detail. T he collected data was analyzed and described in tables and prose. Also as p art of the analysis a logistic regression was run using the m odel described in C h ap ter 3. T he resulting statistical data will provide the basis for the discussion of testing of hypotheses in the following chapter. CHAPTER V RESULTS AND HYPOTHESIS TESTING 5.1 Introduction In the previous ch ap ter the d ata collected was rep o rted with only limited discussion. In this chapter th e previously conceived hypotheses will be discussed in light of the findings of the survey data. A rgum ents will be presented to support rejection of, or failure to establish rejection of, the various hypotheses as the case may be. 5.2 Basis for hypothesis rejection As discussed in C h ap ter III, using the scientific approach we do not confirm a belief, notion, or hypothesis, we merely reject or fail to reject as the case may be. T he concept is that, given the num erous limits in being able to examine, m easure, and test a given phenom enon, there is always the possibility that new inform ation, tools, m ethods, or techniques may be discovered to m ore accurately evaluate the proposed relationship. By failing to reject a hypothesis, we are saying that given the inform ation currently available, our m ethods, tools, and so forth, we are unable to determ ine that a given relationship does not hold. T h ere is always the risk th at the m ethods used lead to erroneous conclusions. 127 128 Consequently, it is im portant to analyze the potential of com m itting w hat statisticians refer to as Type I and Type II errors. These are to fail to reject a hypothesis when in fact it should have been rejected or to reject a hypothesis when it should not have been rejected. These kinds o f errors are normally evaluated with respect to the anticipated corresponding cost of failure. T he discussion usually leads to choosing a level o f statistical significance that will be considered acceptable in testing. M any fields of science have ad o p ted a tradition of significance levels of .1, .05, or .01 corresponding to 90%, 95%, or 99% levels of confidence, respectively. T h ere is little doubt th at the decision context will im pact on the choice of a significance level. A study th at examines fatal exposure to radiation will not have the sam e cost structure relative to hypothesis rejection as one that exam ines plant growth response to exposure to music. For the purpose of this study, especially given the lack of em pirical data and the relatively low cost of error, the .1 level will be considered significant. This m eans th at w here we can be confident that at least nine out of ten tim es th at erro r did not occur, resulting in rejection of (or failure to reject as the case may be) the hypothesis in question. W e can thus be reasonably certain that the tested relationships did not occur by chance. This will be considered sufficient to claim a significant finding and, as is com m on to science, to recom m end further research to determ ine that the condition holds in oth er populations and possibly under oth er circumstances. 129 5.3 Interpretation of the data from the logit regression Prior to examining the results of the regression it may be useful to note som e of the characteristics of the logit m odel. First, the logit m odel approximates a cum ulative norm al distribution and is primarily used when examining either/or situations such as the contract type chosen in our model. It exam ines the probability of an event occurring. T he relationship betw een the d ep en d en t variable and the coefficients of the independent variables is not linear as in ordinary least squares regression models. In addition, the unit changes in the data values for the variables in the regression equation lack a corresponding scale to allow in terp retatio n of the m agnitude of the actual change. Flence, interpretation of the size of the coefficient will be limited to ordinal com parisons and relative changes.3 Consequently, the majority of the discussion will focus on the sign of the coefficient and the level of statistical significance. 5.4 Testing of hypotheses T he hypotheses to be tested deal with three main areas of interest. First we will exam ine the effects of risk on contract choice. com plex transaction costs issues. This will be followed by the Finally, we will consider the effects o f social closeness and the choice of contract type. 3Strict interpretation of a ch a n g e in the coefficient translates into a ch a n g e in the log of the probability of the occurrence of an event. For exam ple, in Table IV.26 the coefficient for RISK is -1.7. This would m ean that for every unit c h a n g e in the landlord’s aversion to risk, the log (or logit) of the probability of the ch o ice of the share agreem ent w ould d e c r e a se by 1.7. 130 5.4.1 Risk T he concept of risk in leasing situations is complex. T he scope of this study allowed only a limited exam ination, focusing on self evaluation of risk preferences in question forty. T he d ata coded from the responses was tested in the logit regression which exam ined the influence of the response to the risk question with respect to the choice of contract. T he hypotheses w ere tested separately with seemingly mixed results. 5.4.2 Risk and tenant’s choice of contract T he risk averse ten an t would be expected to p refer the share agreem ent since this would minimize exposure to crop failure especially in cases w here the cost of inputs w ere shared. Consequently, the expected result was that the following hypothesis would be rejected: (1) Hc: Risk, relative to the tenant’s preference for secure income, makes no difference in the choice of contract. N ot only were we unable to reject this hypothesis, but in addition, the sign of the variable in the outcom e of the regression was negative instead of positive, m eaning th a t aversion to risk on the p art of the ten an t encouraged the choice of the cash rent agreem ent. However, exam ination of the significance level (.84) reveals that the variable did not contribute significantly in determ ining the probability of the choice o f a share agreem ent (see T able IV,29). Further, it was noted by the author that as variables w ere added to the regression equation, that the sign of this variable changed 131 frequently. L earner (1983) would term this a fragile variable. T he implication is that for the tenant, the probability of the choice of the share agreem ent depends much m ore heavily on variables oth er than risk. 5.4.3 Risk and the landlord’s choice of contract In contrast to the tenant, the risk averse landlord would be expected to p refer the cash rent agreem ent since this would provide secure income with the am ount known in advance and not d ep en d an t on the crop. H ence, it was expected that the following hypothesis would be rejected: (2) Hc: Risk, relative to the landlord’s preference for secure income, makes no difference in the choice of contract. The regression results shown in Table IV,27 reveal that the variable RISK carried the expected negative sign and would be considered significant at the .1 percent level. This is not an overwhelming rejection of the hypothesis. Nevertheless, these findings indicate that for the landlord, risk is an im portant consideration and m erits a consideration. This author would recom m end that a m ore thorough study of all the im plications of risk be undertaken. 5.4.4 Discussion of risk The traditional approach to studying risk is to exam ine a stochastic event considering the costs or benefits of various outcom es of known or estim ated probability. The discussion generally leads to considerations of insurance against the 132 occurrence of the undesirable event. In the case of leasing of land, the stochastic results o f crop failure are certainly a consideration. T he aspect of risk tested was evaluated in term s of sharing or not sharing crop failure or success as the case may be. T h ere is certainly room for discussion and exam ination regarding the approach of self evaluation used. F o r one, it was pointed out that self evaluation may be d ep en d en t on circum stances such as the relative security of the p resent position and the cost of failure. F o r example, if a ten an t is facing financial ruin or bankruptcy, there is a greater incentive to risk all. This might be considered similar to "going for it" on forth down in a football gam e with only m inutes to play and an o th er score could m ake the difference betw een victory and defeat. U n d er such circum stances even an historically risk averse person may behave contrary to the aversion. T h ere rem ains the question of the accuracy of the individual’s self evaluation as well. F u rth er exam ination of this phenom enon is w arranted. T he author is som ew hat m ore interested in the less stochastic kinds of risk faced by landlords and in som e cases tenants. T he perform ance of the ten an t has a significant im pact on the health of the soil or well being of the land. Such things as the potential for leaching of nutrients from the soil, failure to replenish the same, failure to perform conservation practices, poisoning of the soil and ground w ater through inappropriate use of chemicals, and allowing the land to becom e infested with w eeds or other pests lists som e of the risks faced by the landlord. T he ten an t may have to contend with m isrepresentation with respect to the fertility of the land, 133 potential for flooding, or o th er pre-existing conditions. Risks of this kind are subject to knowledge, trust, and understanding on both sides of the agreem ent. F urtherm ore, th ere is always the potential for a change in disposition. T h ere are events th at can lead to changes which may b e influenced by attitudes and behavior of both parties. Exam ination of these kinds o f risk provides an aren a of diverse potential study. 5.4.5 Transactions Costs The issue of transactions costs is also very complex, particularly since this term tends to encom pass a wide variety of different considerations in leasing agreem ents. Since the share leasing agreem ent is expected to necessarily require m ore interaction with regard to determ ining and dividing both input costs and output values it was expected that the following hypothesis would be rejected: (5) H0: Transactions costs (defined as the costs associated with carrying out the terms of the agreement- contracting, bargaining, ensuring performance, exacting paym ent, etc.) make no difference in contract choice. D ue to the complexity of the above hypothesis, it is necessary to test sub hypotheses in o rd er to attem p t to separate some of the issues involved. T he type of crop im pacts on the issue of transactions costs. Since some crops lend themselves m ore readily to m easurem ent, these crops are easier to divide and identify the respective shares and the corresponding values. W here the crops are sold im m ediately after harvest and/or as a single large lot, identification and splitting of shares is facilitated. Corn grain, w heat, beans, and most of the small grains of lesser 134 im portance fall into th e category o f easy to divide. O n the o th er hand, w here the crop is of widely varying quality, or w here m easurem ent is difficult, the problem of equating shares fairly may becom e significant. F u rth er, if th e crop is retained as feed for livestock, m easurem ent may dep en d on facilities on th e farm at the disposal of the landlord or tenant. O n several occasions a com m ent was en tered by a respondent indicating that share rental was not an option since th ere w ere no scales available and the ten an t retained the crop as feed for livestock. H ence, one null hypothesis proposed for testing was the following: (5.1) H„: Type of crop makes no difference in the choice of contract. T he results are m oderately in favor of the rejection of this hypothesis. F o r the landlord, th e variable C R O P has the anticipated sign and the significance level (.09) is within th e bounds set above. H owever, the ten an t results show the significance level (.14) marginally outside the bounds for rejection. It is evident that the choice of crop is im portant but not overwhelmingly so. A n o th er issue in transactions costs th at was not considered in the creation of the theoretical m odel is the num ber of parcels of land or different contracts to be taken into consideration. M ultiple share leases result in a com pounding of the costs of dividing both o u tp u t and production inputs and keeping these separate or accounted for m utual until agreem ent and verification has been accom plished. This 135 point was raised by respondents in the com m ents sections as well. Some indicated th a t during seeding tim e they did not w ant to have to m easure partial contents of seeding or fertilizer equipm ent after com pleting one parcel and moving to the next. Similarly at harvest time, crops from several different locations may be m ost efficiently stored in one bin. Consequently, the variable P A R C E L was added to the regression. T he following hypothesis was tested: (5.2) H„: Number of parcels makes no difference in the choice of contract. T he response in this case was quite meaningful. In the landlord results we fail to reject this hypothesis. This is understandable since the majority of the landlords ren t out only one parcel of land. However, the results of the tenants choices show th a t the variable is im portant. The significance level (.10) falls just within the boundaries set earlier and thus for the tenants, this hypothesis will be rejected. T h ere was also some concern with respect to the potential for the landlord to m onitor the behavior of the tenant. It was felt that if the landlord could visit the land frequently that this would m ake him or her m ore com fortable with the share leasing agreem ent. H ence, the following hypothesis was proposed: (5.3) Hc: Facility of the landlord to observe and participate in the measurement and division of the crop makes no difference in the choice of contract. 136 T he variable VISIT, corresponding to the frequency of landlord visits to the farm , was included in the landlord regression with results indicating that indeed the issue must be taken into consideration. Based on the .09 level of significance the hypothesis is rejected. To sum m arize the transactions costs results, the evidence in each case is adequate b u t less than overwhelming that these considerations are being taken into account in choosing the type of agreem ent. T he three sub-hypotheses tested were rejected based on the statistics from the logit regression and data presented above. F urtherm ore, th ere is no evidence th at transactions costs as defined and examined here are not being taken into account when choosing the type of agreem ent. T herefore, based on the cum ulative results, the initial transactions costs null hypothesis will be rejected. 5.4.6 Social Closeness Social closeness betw een the ten an t and landlord was m easured in several different ways. Being essentially new ground to investigate, there was little if any precedent to follow. R espondents w ere asked to evaluate the interpersonal relationship at the outset of the agreem ent. Later, each was asked to indicate participation in social activities. Closeness was also examined with respect to the degree of shared or joint involvement in production and m anagem ent decision making. O th er indicators such as com m ents on attitude and satisfaction were exam ined as proxies for closeness. Only one general hypothesis was form ulated from 137 the m odel in C h ap ter III. It was expected that this null hypothesis would be rejected: (3) H 0: Social closeness m akes no difference in the choice of contract type. As with oth er variables studied above, the responses of landlords and tenants showed som e variation with respect to the im portance placed on closeness m easures. N evertheless, the variables representing social closeness provided strong statistical evidence for the rejection of the null hypothesis on the p art of both tenants and landlords. T he variables and corresponding statistics discussed below can be found in Tables IV ,26 and IV,29. F o r the landlords, social interaction (SO C IA LIZIN G .02) responses constituted the strongest association with th e choice of the share agreem ent followed closely by social closeness at the outset o f the agreem ent (SOCIA L C LO SEN ESS initial .03). T he probability of the choice o f a share agreem ent by landlords was also associated with the evaluation of fairness of the agreem ent (FA IR N ESS .07). The involvement in joint decision making also contributed to the choice of the share agreem ent (JO IN T .10). T enants on the other hand w ere not m otivated by social interaction p er se but showed th at interaction in decision making (JO IN T .03), knowledge of the landlord (K N O W L E D G E .06), and willingness of the landlord to help (W ILLING .01) all contributed to the probability o f the choice of the share agreem ent. These responses provided the grounds for rejection of the final hypothesis: 138 (4) Hc: The managerial resources of the landlord and the disposition to provide such make no difference in the choice of contract. D r a on the physical condition of the farm also ap p eared to correspond to the probability of the choice of the share agreem ent and the rejection of the null hypothesis. It appears th at th e landlord’s efforts in m aintaining the farm in good condition (U PK E E P .04) may lead th e tenants to believe th at the landlord may have som ething to contribute in th e choice of th e share agreem ent. O th er variables that show evidence of landlord and ten an t confidence in each other are the strength of the oral agreem ent and the anticipation th at the lease will continue for som e time in the future. F o r the tenant, th e length of existence of the lease (L E N G T H .01) is statistically the m ost significant variable in the equation. 5.4.7 Further study of social closeness Though the evidence above shows strong support for the inclusion of social closeness variables in a model of contract choice, num erous im provem ents could be m ade to construct questions to gather this data. Scaling of choices for respondents would be one area to consider in particular. Q uestion tw enty-three provides a good exam ple of this. The choices are strictly "yes" or "no" to a question that probes the landlord’s attitude tow ard the tenant. R arely was a "no" answer given. It is the opinion of the author th at an unhappy landlord would simply find a new ten an t with whom a m ore satisfactory relationship could prevail. However, if given a few m ore choices such as "excellent", "above average", "average", and "fair" (for exam ple), the 139 responding landlord may be b etter able to reveal m arginal dissatisfaction with a ten an t and correspondingly the effect on contract choice. By contrast question forty-one provided too many choices. The responses w ere very polarized. Possibly one middle choice would be sufficient in this case. Q uestions twenty-four, twenty-five and thirty-two provided som e useful data b u t did not lend them selves to providing d ata for the logit regression analysis. A n o th er phenom enon th at was anticipated and borne out in the responses to these questions is th a t there is a tendency for some close family m em bers to turn away from financial involvement, possibly to avoid conflict. This tendency runs contrary to the hypothesis proposed and, depending on its strength, may result in conflicting findings. A n o th er pool of potentially useful data that was not tapped with the approach used in this study, is the responses of landowners and farm ers formerly involved in leasing th at have forsaken the practice for w hatever reason. It would seem that the continuum of responses would thus be m ore com plete. 5.5 Sum man T he results presented in this chapter suggest th at the choice of the share agreem ent may be m otivated by a num ber of different factors. D epending on the im portance of the relevant factors to the parties involved, the choice ultimately depends on which of the factors dom inates the decision. Risk, transactions costs, and social closeness all ap p ear to play a role. T here is strong evidence that interpersonal 140 relationships (described and evaluated as social closeness) m ust not be ignored in a study of farm land leasing in Michigan. H owever, the author would caution th at based on the evidence of the success of the two equations, landlord and tenant, in predicting the choice of the share agreem ent, that accurate prediction of the cash agreem ent was much m ore successful (see Tables IV,25 and IV,28). It may be that we have found som e necessary but not sufficient conditions for the choice of the share agreem ent. In this study we exam ined the choice of contract. T he implication is th at the landlord and ten an t will choose an agreem ent that best suits their needs eith er for individual or joint maximization of profits. T he traditional research has focused on the idea (predicted from the traditional m odel) th at lower productivity and hence lower profits would result from the choice of the share agreem ent. M uch of the resulting d ata suggests th at this is not the case. It stands to reason that researchers have been looking in the w rong direction. An investigation into the potential for increased profits as a result o f share tenancy would be in order. This study provides evidence that the traditional models of farm land leasing are incom plete. T he m otivation of both ten an t and landlord is im pacted by social closeness, a factor not included in traditional modeling of contract choice. F urther exam ination of the contribution of social factors in profitability is recom m ended. CHAPTER VI CONCLUSIONS 6.1 Review This study has g athered inform ation to address the paradox of the crop share lease. L et us review briefly th at paradox and the surrounding issues. It has been dem onstrated by num erous authors that, based on the tenets of econom ic theory, the share lease is inefficient and will not result in ap propriate allocation of resources. T he argum ent stem s from a conflict faced by the tenant. U n d er the share agreem ent the ten an t receives only a portion of the output and consequently, when equating m arginal costs and returns, will choose a level of production below that which would be chosen by the landlord or a ten an t with a cash lease agreem ent, resulting in an inefficient allocation of resources. This seeming conflict has been the focus of num erous attem pts to provided explanations as to why the share agreem ent would persist if the landow ner is attem pting to maximize profits. And, though many articles have been w ritten, very little em pirical d ata has been gathered to substantiate the claims and explanations. H ence, the purpose of this study was to form ulate a model o f leasing behavior, generate testable hypotheses with respect to the motivations for choice of contract, and then gather data and test the hypotheses. In form ulating a m odel of contract choice in leasing, effort was m ade to solicit 141 142 reasons for choice of contract from landlords and tenants. The issues of risk sharing, ease of handling, tradition, and fairness w ere m ost prevalent in the responses. Risk sharing and transactions costs associated with adm inistering the agreem ent had been addressed in the literature and incorporated into existing models. H owever, the issues of fairness and tradition p rom pted fu rther inquiry. In addition, interest had previously been generated with respect to interpersonal relationships and the effects on contracting and econom ic choices, both form al and informal, by a new literature (R obison 1987). T he share lease seem ed to offer an ap p ro p riate forum for exam ination of this issue. T hus the concept of social closeness was incorporated as a variable in the model. Close social relationships w ere hypothesized to have the effect of reducing som e of the costs associated with risk and transactions and of increasing the M VP of the inputs in production including the te n a n t’s labor. Furtherm ore, if the self interests of the contracting parties could becom e subordinate to the interests of the unit, the conflict would be resolved. Individuals with strong family ties, friendships, or loyalty might be expected to act in the interest of the whole. H ence, the issue of social closeness took a m ajor p art in the study. 6.2 Empirical findings Collection of data was accom plished by conducting a survey using a mail questionnaire to a sam ple o f farm ers and landowners in M ichigan p rep ared by M ichigan Agricultural Statistics Service. The resulting data w ere coded and analyzed 143 using a logit m odel and the com puter program , The Statistical Package for the Social Sciences. C aution m ust be exercised in regional generalization of the implications. The sam ple taken only from M ichigan landlords and tenants, and there ap p ears to be substantial differences in the incidence of share leasing com pared to the findings of another recent study in the mid-west. The M ichigan ratio of share crop leasing agreem ents to cash rent agreem ents was roughly one to three, som ew hat less frequent than the N ebraska-South D akota study which found an almost even split in South D akota and the reverse o r three share leases to one cash rent in N ebraska (Johnson et al 1990). F urtherm ore, parcel size and num ber of parcels p er ten an t differed significantly am ong these states. It was dem onstrated th at the three main factors hypothesized as m otivators for the choice of the share agreem ent -risk , transaction costs, and social closeness, —all played a role. T here w ere differences with respect to landlords and tenants on som e o f the m otivating factors. 6.2.1 Findings on risk T he respondent provided inform ation on his or her own attitudes tow ard risk by the response to the self evaluation question (question 40). The resulting d ata was then used as a variable in the regression equations for landlords and tenants which exam ined the correlation of this solicited risk variable with the choice of contract. As discussed previously, the choice of contract carried implications for exposure to 144 risk which are quite different for landlords and tenants. The cash agreem ent provides relative income security to the landlord, leaving the ten an t to b ear production, price, and ultim ate income risk due to stochastic fluctuations. By contrast, the share agreem ent involves the landlord in bearing risk but only partially relieves th e tenant. H ence, it was hypothesized that risk averse landlords and tenants would p refer the cash and share agreem ents respectively. The findings revealed that a statistically significant correlation was evident betw een risk preferences and choice of contract for landlords, but not for tenants. This might suggest that the landlords have g reater income dependence on the outcom e of th e lease than the tenants. O ne might further speculate th a t the tenants, having m ore leases on average, are m ore diversified and thus control exposure to risk through oth er means. It may also be that other considerations dom inated the te n a n t’s choice sufficiently to overshadow the influence of risk. Previous studies focused the exam ination of risk on a slightly different approach. C rops were identified as having inherently g reater or lessor risk of successful production and harvest for a give area. It was then hypothesized that the riskier crop would be chosen by tenants with share agreem ents w here the exposure to risk was lower. Conflicting results ensued. This study suggests that consideration of landlords and tenants separately when examining risk may provide a solution to the above conflicts. F urtherm ore, the author has earlier provided considerable discussion on the various aspects of risk and how this variable might affect the choice of contract. In particular, the gains from 145 favorable social interaction and social closeness betw een th e landlord and tenant would have the effect of reducing or elim inating the effects of risk in many cases. 6.2.2 Findings on social closeness Landlords had a g reater likelihood of entering into share agreem ents with tenants whom they encountered on a social basis. This variable did not play as significant a role in the ten an t’s choice of share contract. Given that the landlord is placing not only valuable assets but also anticipated incom e in the care and m anagem ent skills of the tenant, it m akes sense th at the landlord would seek an individual in whom confidence could be placed. 146 Table VI. 1 Selected social closeness and interaction corresponding statistics for landlords and tenants. variables and T enants Landlords Variable* (5 value Significance P value Significance Socializing 2.31 .02 .02 .98 Joint 1.55 .10 1.70 .03 Social Closeness (Initial) 2.84 .03 1.49 .18 Social Closeness (C urrent) Fairness 2.22 .07 1.06 .22 O ral .07 .96 1.92 .06 2.04 .01 Willing Source: 1992 M SU Survey of L andlords and T enants * See T able IV.28 for description of variables. C om parison of the variables and corresponding statistics in Table V I.1 reveals that tenants and landlords have substantially different needs and views with respect to social aspects of contract choice. F o r the landlord it appears th at the interest tends to focus on factors thay create trust and loyalty such as socializing, social closeness, and perceived fairness that may substitute for the foregone security of the cash agreem ent. O n the o th er hand, the tenants ap p ear to be m ore interested in w hat the landlord has to offer in interactive agreem ent. F or example, tenants w ere much m ore likely to engage in a share agreem ent with landlords dem onstrating both 147 resources and knowledge as well as willingness or disposition to participate in m anagem ent decisions. By contrast, the socializing relationship was not statistically significant for tenants. This may reflect the natu re of discovery of contracting parties. T he ten an t looks for land, hoping for an am icable relationship and willing to en ter into a share agreem ent if the landlord ap p ears to have the resources and willingness to participate. T he landlord looks for th e "right" tenant, putting high value on w hat he knows about the ten an t through social channels. F urther, in terpretation of th e num erous com m ents sections on the questionnaire leads the au th o r to the conclusion that frequently the share agreem ent was chosen by the landlord to provide optim al assistance and incentive to a family m em ber leasing the farm. A "we’re in this together attitude" often cam e through indicating a great interest in fairness and a sharing of both hardship and bounty. O th er motivations included such things as the landlord’s desire to rem ain involved, retention of identity with the farm and farming, desire to help the ten an t "get started", and tradition corresponded with the choice of the share agreem ent. F or the landlord, the share agreem ent seems to m ean m ore than simply renting out the land for a source of income. 6.2.3 Findings on transaction costs Theoretical effects of transaction costs on the choice of contract w ere supported by this study. T he share agreem ent necessarily requires increased interaction, monitoring, record keeping relative to costs shared, and evaluation and 148 division of the crop. T he variables representing the type of crop and the frequency o f visits by the landlord to th e land, w ere found to be statistically significant in the landlord regression equation, dem onstrating th at these concerns influence the landlord’s choice of contract. O n the p art of the ten an t, the variables representing the num ber of parcels and formality of the agreem ent (O R A L ) indicate that the tenant also takes into consideration th e costs associated with carrying out various transactions in choosing the type of agreem ent. T he com m ents en tered by tenants further establish the dim ension of this aspect of contract choice. O n several occasions individuals took the tim e to write lengthy explanations about how the share agreem ent would not be feasible w here the ten an t is farm ing num erous parcels of leased land. In such cases the burden of record keeping, tim e required in joint decision making and even the aspect of storing crops separately until weighing and m easuring could be com pleted was com pletely im practical. Frequently a ten an t would write in response to the question o f w hether (s)he would be willing to change to a share agreem ent that scales w ere not available to m easure the crop. This was seen as an insurm ountable barrier. 6.2.4 Summary of findings It may not be possible to com pletely sep arate the effects of social closeness and transaction costs and risk. N evertheless, in each case for the landlord the null hypothesis was rejected, indicating that the findings w ere sufficient to consider that risk, transaction costs and social closeness m ust be taken into consideration when 149 examining the choice of contract. Especially the influence of the social closeness variables on the choice of contract should not be ignored. 6.3 Implications Probably the m ost im portant finding of this study is the support for the social closeness factors in contract choice. Contrary to neoclassical m icroeconom ic assum ptions, there is evidence that interpersonal relationships play a role in establishing the characteristics of an econom ic agreem ent. A similar conclusion was reached by M arcelo Siles (1993) in a study on lending behavior. T he evidence indicates th at traditional econom ic models do not adequately account for the im portance of social relationships. This can lead to incorrect conclusions, farm m anagem ent advice, and policy. 6.3.1 Implications for landlords T he implications of neoclassical theory for the effects of both share leasing and cash rent agreem ents are som ewhat negative for landlords. In the case of the share lease, the theory finds an incentive for the tenant to apply less than optim al variable inputs, resulting in depletion of soil fertility. U n d er the cash agreem ent, exploitation may also occur either through mining of the soil, failure to perform conservation and erosion prevention, or neglecting m aintenance. However, the presence of social closeness would tend to provide at least partial counter incentives for both o f these kinds of problem s. As one farm er put it, "We all tend to abuse the 150 land in po o r econom ic times. T he difference is that the good farm er will replenish and resto re when tim es are better." A ten an t that experiences social closeness to the landlord would be m ore likely to try to keep the land and assets in good condition. T he findings here suggest that landlords may be well advised to invest in closeness. R egardless of the type of contract, the tenant that considers the landlord to be a friend and a source of help and advice from time to time, will be much less likely to exploit that landlord. Savings should be expected in transaction costs, especially supervision, which would be greatly reduced w here m utual understanding and trust prevails. It is reasonable to hypothesize that the M VP of inputs may be enhanced by investm ent in social closeness and that enhanced M VP contributes to profitability. 6.3.2 Implications for tenants It may be that the ten an t does not have as much to gain from investing in social closeness in the sam e way as the landlord. As noted, the coefficients on the SO C IA LIZ IN G variable for landlords and tenants were quite different as were the significance levels observed. O n the other hand, the W ILLING variable (indicating the te n a n t’s perceived willingness of the landlord to contribute to the agreem ent) played a m ajor role in the te n a n t’s choice of contract. This propensity to provide assistance may be sought by prospective tenants. Som e possible advantages cited earlier include the potential for cost savings through advice, contacts with m arkets and suppliers, and understanding of 151 peculiarities of the land. These are consistent with higher factor m arginal value products for the inputs supplied by and paid for by the tenant. In addition som e (socially close) landlords are willing to contribute a couple of days work, the use of storage areas, and possibly some im plem ents or tools. D epending on the arrangem ent this could be a valuable resource, contributing to higher income for the tenant. Willingness of the landlord to accom m odate the needs of a tenant suffering from crop failure might also be of considerable value to th e tenant. A lthough the incidence of adjustm ent was rath er rare in the study, further investigation into preconditions for adjustm ents not formally p art of the contract could be w arranted. 63.3 Implications for farm management and extension personnel T he advantages and disadvantages associated with cash and share tenancy should be fully understood in o rder to provide accurate inform ation to inquiring landlords and tenants. The im portance of m aintaining or prom oting a positive social relationship betw een landlords and tenants should be considered. M isunderstanding leads to conflict and possibly lower productivity. O ne practice that has been frequently encouraged in the extension literature is the sharing of production inputs. This author has observed that the sharing of inputs does tend to achieve, at least in part, a m ore equitable allocation of resources. H owever, an o th er role seem s to exist. Given the traditional rigidity of the share splits, (fifty-fifty, one-third-tw o-thirds, etc.) the choice and num ber of shared inputs 152 tends to fine tune the agreem ent. This was evident in the N ebraska South D akota study as well as in conversation with farm ers and farm m anagers. F u rth er research in this area might provide links to help bridge the gap betw een theory and practice. Land owned by governm ent or institutions is often m ore vulnerable to exploitation. T he im portance of establishing a farm m anager as acting landlord with genuine interest in the land and the ten an t may have beneficial results. 6.3.4 Public policy implications Traditional aversion to the share agreem ent, evident in the academ ic literature, is not w arranted. The fact that an increasingly large am ount of the nation’s landbase is farm ed by tenants, many of which are share tenants, cannot be interpreted to m ean that th ere is a deterioration in the efficiency of food production. Public policy to discourage share agreem ents seems unw arranted. In a nation reluctant to officially adopt any m oral guidelines, it is doubtful that public policy can be form ulated to encourage social closeness. It may be possible how ever to focus on the m erits of cooperation, voluntary contributions of all kinds, and community spirit building events, activities, and projects. To the extent that individuals feel a closeness, or a sense of belonging, and a trust of fellow m em bers of com munity or society, the benefits associated with closeness may em erge (Schmid 1987). O n a b ro ad er scale, th e author envisions that this line of investigation could have beneficial effects on international relationships. Few er confrontations might 153 occur if negotiating parties could find com m on ground for choosing trad e agreem ents based on established com m on interests and expectations of improving bonds betw een nations. T h ere may be reason to believe that individuals with close social bonds dem onstrate willingness to m ake choices in the interest of the unit rath er than the individual. 6.3.5 Theoretical implications T he inconsistency of theory and practice is partially resolved by adding social closeness variables to the theory. T he persistance of the leasing agreem ent may not be conclusively resolved in this study. New lines of inquiry are suggested. M uch m ore research m ust be done to provide support for these findings. N evertheless, the m ain areas of potential gain through social closeness ap p ear to be in the cost savings associated with transaction costs and risk. T he underlying implication is that socially close individuals with an interest in the w elfare of the other can help prevent, avoid, or elim inate altogether some of these costs. 6.4 Recommendations for further research R eplication of this study in an o th er location would provide much in the way of furth er support for the findings. It is recom m ended that considerable effort should be expended to secure a m ore com plete sam ple in an o th er state or region. T he model developed here focused on factors influencing contract choice. Learning from this m odel, we can now ask about the supply of social closeness. A 154 m ore general m odel linking several steps might b etter illum inate the complexity of the issues being exam ined. T he following functions might be considered to further develop the mondel: social closeness = /(investment) MVP = /(social closeness) profit = /(MVP) This m odel would lend itself to an econom ic evaluation of th e returns to investm ent in closeness rath e r than limiting the inquiry to how a given supply of closeness (social capital) influences the contract choice as in the m odel used in this study. Closeness could affect M VP in several ways. Closeness affects productivity and ultimately profitability via its interaction with risk and transaction costs. It was n oted earlier th a t only one aspect of risk and contract choice was exam ined in this study. O f particular interest would be work in the area of examining the substitution of closeness for alternative ways of dealing with risk. It occurs to the au th o r th at individuals enjoying social closeness would reduce the probability of an unfortunate event occurring, as well as spread the risk of unavoidable events. W ould this m ake a tenan t or landlord less risk averse? How would alternate forms of contracting influence risk attitudes and choice of technology and enterprises? Similarly there are many areas w here there ap p ears to be a relationship betw een closeness and transaction costs. F u rth er study on this issue, especially that which would prom ote understanding of actual expected dollar savings due to 155 closeness, would be very useful. O ne im plied assum ption that could and should receive additional attention and study is the idea th a t th e share agreem ent is chosen because it enhances profitability. N o attem p t was m ade in this study to m easure and evaluate profitability specifically. T he author anticipates th at creation of a m eans of m easuring the gains from socially close relationship would be a rich addition to this area of study. The au th o r had anticipated analyzing and com paring changes in contract choice in cases w here the landlord and tenant w ere initially strangers and becam e close friends. This com parison was not m ade because of lack of sufficient data on individuals th at w ere strangers at the outset of the agreem ent and changed from one kind of agreem ent to another. gathering a larger sample. This might be rem edied in further research by A PP E N D IX I T H E Q U E S T IO N N A IR E 156 1992 Michigan State University Farmland Leasing Survey Farm land leasing Is an Important part of today’s production agriculture. Vet, It Is often difficult for ten an ts an d landlords to gain a clear understanding of leasing practices within their locality and the state. By com pleting this questionnaire, you will b e helping to com pile lease market Information for 1992, which w e will b e happy to sh are with you. This survey is being sent to a random sam ple of both tenants and landlords. S o m e qu estio n s m ay not apply to you, but please respond a s completely a s possible. Your answ ers will b e kept confidential and u sed In compiling total and average resp o n ses. Even though you m ay have more than one lease, plea se answ er the GENERAL INFORMATION questions (or ju st ONE lea se agreement- either your MOST IMPORTANT t . A s a land ow ner or farm operator In Michigan In 1992, how m any acres of farmland, if any, d o you: v Total Estim ated A cres Market Value a. o w n ? ................................................................................. b. lease to others? OR MOST TYPICAL lease. 5. In what county Is this leased land located? P lease Indicate the predom inant soil t y p e _____________________________ $__ /acre ......................................................... $__ /acre c. lease from o t h e r s ? ....................................................... $__ /acre d. Total that you farm y o u rse lf? ..................................... $__ /acre 6. How m any years have you leased this land? ______________ 7. For this agreem ent, (check o n e for each question) 2. P lease list a n d categorize a ll your leases. E ach parcel or contract should be a. you a r e ? ........................te n a n t....... .................................... co n sid ered a s a se p a ra te lease. b. the lease Is? .................. S hare or L ease N um ber Major C rops N um ber of A cres P ercent Field C rops o ra l...... ....................................... c. the lease Is renew ed? annually landlord___ w ritten___ tor a multi-year p e rio d ___ C ash Rent P ercent H ay/Pasture fClrcle One! 1. . % ___________ % ............ S C 2. . % ___________ % ............S C 3. . % ___________ % ............S C 4. . % ___________ % ............ S C 8. P lease check the o n e category that best d escribes your relationship with the other party at the lime of entering Into this agreem ent: Very clo se friend or family Friendly acquaintance (e.g. neighbor) 5. . % ___________ % ............ S C _______ 6. . % ___________ % ............ S C _______ 7. . % ___________ % ............ S C Individual previously unknown to you (stranger) Familiar Institution (a com pany, government agency, etc. with which you h ad previously dealt or established a relationship.) Unfamiliar Institution (a com pany, governm ent agency, etc. with which 3. you h ad never dealt previously.) W hat kind of contract d o you p refe r- sh a re or c a s h rent?. 9. P lease check the category that best d escribes the physical condition of the farm at P lease give the m ain reason(s) for your choice__________ th e time you entered Into this agreem ent: Excellent 4. How m any of your lease agreem ents are: a. written?^ b. oral? A verage Run down 4 3 The following p a g e s are divided Into two sections, one for crop-share lease 13. ag reem en ts an d the other for cash lease agreements. P ie e a e a n s w e r th e landlord's sh are? (com plete all that apply) Of any C R O P PRODUCTION INPUT co sts that are shared, what Is the q u e s tio n s O N L Y In t h e s e c tio n th a t b e s t r e p r e s e n ts th e l e a s e y o u Landlord's sh are h a v e c h o s e n a s m o s t ty p ic a l o r m o s t Im p o rtan t. The questions are d esig n ed lo b e answ ered by either landlords or tenants. Landlord's share a se e d .................................... % b. fertilizer................................ % c. l i m e .................................... % d. herbicide and/or Insecticide % % Following that, there are se p ara te questions for land lords an d tenants. T hen a few e. co st to apply chem icals . % f. Irrigation e n e r g y ................. sum m ary q uestions for all respondents. P lease re sp o n d to all questions that apply to g. h a rv e stin g .......................... % h. tra n sp o rta tio n .................... % you. I. d r y i n g ................................. % I. other (soecifv) % C RO P-SH ARE LEASE SECTION 14. Since you b eg a n leasing this land, has: 10. Is the lease you will be describing a C R O P SH ARE lease? a the lease ch an g e d from c ash to share Y e s . K "Yes' g o to Q uestion 11. N o . H “No" g o to Q uestion 16. Yes No ___ ___ or has, Increased 11. P lease Indicate the nature of the farmland, y o u r e s t i m a t e of value (for farming p u rp o ses), m ajor crop(s) a n d corresponding sh a re, (com plete all that apply) Relevant A creage Is Estimated Market Value of th e Land T enant’s S hare of Output farmland: a. dryland . . . . a c re s . . . $________ . . ________________ (per acre) b. the landlord's percent sh a re of Inputs? . . . ... c. the num ber of sh a re d Inputs ch an g ed ? . . . . . .............. . . d. the ten an t's c ro p sh a re chan g ed ? Major C rop(s) Irrigated . . . a c re s . . . $_______ (per acre) . . ________________ 12a. The a d d e d rent am ounts to $_ ...................... ..................... % % S u p p o se the other parly In this agreem ent expressed an Interest In changing the lease from cro p-share to c ash rent. ________________ Is there a c a s h paym ent In addition lo th e sh a re rent? Y e s If ■Yes" g o to Q uestion 1 2 a ..... ........ ________________ Would this b e acceptable to you? 12. No C hange e. P lease explain the reason(s) for any ch an g e noted.______________ 15. b. D ecreased N o . If *No' g o to Q uestion 13. per/acre or a total of $. 1 5 a P lease explain yourreason(s)_ YES _ NO vo t 6 CASH LEASE SECTION 18b. If an adjustm ent of this type h as been m ade any time within the p ast 5 years, please briefly describe the circum stances an d the am ount ot the adjustment. 16. Is th e le a se you will b e describing a CASH lease agreem ent? Yes. If "Yes' g o to Q uestion 17* No. It "No' g o to Q uestion 21. 19. Since you beg an leasing this land, has: Yes 17. W hat w ere/are the 1991 or 1992 per acre c a s h rents, m ajor c ro p s an d y o u r e s t i m a t e of th e 1992 per acre market value (for farming purposes), of this le a s e d la n d ? a land ow nership ch anged? ................................. ........ b. there b een a different te n a n t? .................................... c. the lease changed from share to ca sh rent? . ___ Estim ated d. P lease explain the reason(s) for any ch an g es noted.. Relevant Market Value of Major Per Acre A creage is the Land Crop(s) C a sh Rent Farm land: & dryland acres . . . $_________ .. (per acre) 20. S u p p o se the other party In this agreem ent expressed an Interest In changing the lease from c ash rent to crop-share. Would this be acceptable to you? b. Irrigated . . . (per acre) 18. YES NO ac re s . . . $ Are there lease provisions that vary th e am ount of c a s h rent d u e to c h a n g e s In yields or prices? Y es. If "Yes" g o to Question 1 8 a No. H ‘No* g o to Q uestion 19. 1 8 a Is rent adjusted for ch a n g e s In: (check alt that apply) Higher than normal yields Lower than normal yields Higher than normal cro p prices Lower than normal cro p prices Other reasons. P lease explain____________________________ 2 0 a Please explain your reason(s)______________________________________________ O I 8 25. SPECIFIC LANDLORD INFORMATION S u p p o se o n ce again you h ad a parcel of land that you could not farm yourself. You are p resented with a variety of potential tenants. This time you are very uncenaln about the ability of each one. They may or may not b e g o o d farm ers but you just don't IF Y O U L E A S E T O O T H E R S , please answ er Q uestions 22 through 27. If not, g o know an d have no way of getting m ore Information. What kind of lease would you to Q uestio n 28. prefer with ea c h of the following kinds of tenants? (Please check one for each te n a n t) ' 21. S ecu rin g acce p ta b le ten an ts Is: (circle one) Prospective tenant: 1 Quite 2 S om ew hat Difficult 4 Generally Very Easy C ash no L ease agreem ent a Very clo se friend or f a m ily .......... 3 Difficult Share L ease b. Frelndly a c q u a in ta n c e .................. c. S tr a n g e r ........................................... Easy d. B usiness or Institution.................. e. Firm or Individual with whom you 22. Did y ou ask for references w hen you engaged Y e s _____ No th e p resen t tenant? Os 23. D o y o u regard your tenant as: 2 6 a W ere you, or are you currently actively en g ag ed In farming yourself? Yes Trustworthy an d conscientious had a serious d isa g re e m e n t............. .............................................. ........... Y e s . If ‘y es' give num ber of years Timely In perform ance of th e farming o p e r a tio n ............................... M akes g o o d ch o ices of cro p s to grow an d Inputs to use. U p to d a te an d know ledgeable . No . ____ .............................................. ........... 24. S u p p o s e you had a parcel of land that you could not farm yourself. You are 26b. Did you o n ce farm the land about which you are responding In this p re se n te d with a variety of potential tenants. You conclude that e a c h Is of equal ability, questionnaire? skills a n d resources. What kind of lease would y o u prefer with ea c h of the following Y es kinds of ten ants? (Please ch ech one for ea c h kind of tenant.) P ro sp ectiv e tenant: S hare C ash no L ease L ease agreem ent No 26c. Do you visit the land frequently? (At least o n ce every couple of m onths) Y es No a Very clo se friend or f a m ily ....................... ............. . . . _____ b. Friendly a c q u a in ta n c e ............................................ ... _____ c. S t r a n g e r ........................................................ ............. . . . _____ 27. d. B u sin ess or In stltu llo n ............................................ . . . _____ llvesiock or other on-farm use? Do you retain any of your sh are of the production from the farm for your own e. Firm o r Individual with whom you h a d a serio u s d isa g re e m e n t....................................... ... _____ Y es No 1—1 i 10 32. SPECIFIC TENANT INFORMATION S upposing you w ere Interested In farming m ore land and you were presented with the following possible landlords. What kind of contract would you prefer? (Please IF YOU LEASE FROM OTHERS, please answer Questions 28 through 33. If not g o to Q uestion 34. check on e for each kind of landlord.) I would refuse k 28. How did y ou typically first learn that the land you lease was available to rent? Prospective landlord: (check one) a C lose friend or family Share C ash to enter Into Lease Lease any agreem ent ............................ ....................... ............. ................ .......... b. A c q u a in ta n c e ........................................... .......... ............. ............. ................ .......... From a relative. c. S t r a n g e r ..................................................... ............. ............. ............. ................ .......... d. B usiness or In stitu tio n......................................... ............. ............. ................ .......... From a neighbor o r o ther Individual e. Firm or Individual with whom you From landow ner directly. V had a serious disagreem ent From n ew sp aper o r other m edia ad. ............... ............. ............. ............. ................ .......... From other so u rc e (explain)____________________________ 3 2 a P lease give the mein reaso n s for your preference of contract._______________ 29. At the time of your original agreem ent, w ere you aw are of com petition from others? . ___Y e s i— i --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- . ____ No 30. W hen you renew your lease, are you usually In com petition with others? . . Y e s . ___ No 31. P lease evaluate th e landlord’s ability an d contribution to your agreem ent. 31 a The landlord provides land only. Y e s . If ■yes' g o to question 32. N o . If "no" g o to question 31b. The land lord Is: 31b. The landlord has: Wen Qualified Willing to help (circle one) (circle one) 1) Knowledge of farm ing Yes No Yes No 2) Knowledge of m arkets an d marketing Y es N o Ye3 No 3) R eso u rces (a ss e ts an d skills) Yes N o Yes No 33. Would a ch an g e In the type of lease change the way the land Is farmed? P lease explain. Os 11 12 36. How would you classify your current relationship with the other parly In this lease? GENERAL RENTAL MARKET AND Very close Friendly RESPONDENT INFORMATION Strictly b u siness Distant Questions 34 through 47 are lor ALL RESPONDENTS. 34. P lease list any a s s e ts (other than the land) u se d In c ro p production, storage or transportation that a re supplied (without additional coqt) by th e landlord. 39. Over the past 5 years or since this lease agreem ent began (If less than 5 years), h a s there b een any investment In perm anent Improvements? Y e s , If "Yes' p lease go to questions 39a an d 39b. N o , If ’No‘ please go to question 40. 35. W ho Is responsible for care and m aintenance c o s ts Landlord a L and ............................................................. 3 9 a How w as the co st of the Improvement s h a re d _____% landlord of: % . . . _____ % % . . . _____ % c. O ther fixtures &equipm ent % . . . _____ % 39b. P lease Indlcale the kind of Improvement (I.e. tiling, Irrigation system etc.) 36. W hich category below b e st describes how m uch th e other party In this agreem ent c a re s ab o u t the as se ts , Including upkeep en d m aintenance w here applicable. 40. Som e Investm ents have high expected return but also high variability from o n e year to another (som etim es great gain, but som etim es great losses). a a great deal Indicate your preference for Income-rtsk trade-ott. (Circle a num ber below): b .____ som ew hat c .____ very little Higher average Income d .____ not at all Lower Average Incom e Higher risk Lower Risk 37. How long d o you expect this lease to continue? 1 o n e y ear two to five years ^ u> Tenant b. Buildings ....................................................... ...................... % tenant. m ore th an five years 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 13 14 45. Your ag e Is (check one) 39. Your sex Is? 41. P te a se ch eck th e category that b est describ es the deg ree of interaction of landlord and ten an t In production a n d m anagem ent decisions. L ess than 25 years Male 25 to 34 years Female M ost prod u ction an d m anagem ent decisions are m ade jointly. 35 to 44 years Only th e m o st im portant production an d m anagem ent decisions are m ad e Jointly. 45 to 54 years Rarely are production an d m anagem ent decisions m ade Jointly D ecisions are m a d e solely by th e tenant with so m e advice from the landlord 55 to 64 years 65 or m ore years Production a n d m anagem ent decision are m ade solely by the tenant with n o Input from th e landlord. i 46. Your residence Is: 42. D o y ou Interact o n a social b a sis outside of the farming agreem ent? (P lease check any that apply) a M em ber of the sa m e club, church, or other organization com m ents, p lease provide them below. Work (off farm) at th e sa m e location 43. From th e standpoint of fairness to you, how would you classify your leasing arrangamen t(s)? (circle one) 1 2 3 4 5 Very b a d P oor A dequate G ood Excellent 44. O n av erag e, n e t Incom e from cro p an d livestock production or farm land rental contributes w hat p ercen tag e of your total household Incom e? (check one) L ess th an 30% 50% to 80% More th an 80% County S tate 47. W e thank you for completing this questionnaire. If you have any additional Enjoy leisure activities together 30% to 49% _________ on A PP E N D IX II STA TISTICA L D A T A FR O M T H E LO G ISTIC R EG R E SSIO N S 165 166 In this appendix the output of the regression runs is provided with explanation of the statistics. Landlord regression: Choice of contract variable Q10 dependent. LOGISTIC REGRESSION Q10 WITH CROP CONT Q42 DEC Q40 Q8 ORA Q43 Q36 Q 3 7 EXP LAN Q 9 . Number of selected cases: 97 Number rejected because of missing data: 22 Number of cases included in the analysis: 75 Dependent Variable.. Q10 Beginning Block Number -2 Log Likelihood 0. Initial Log Likelihood Function 94.030419 * Constant is included in the model. Two goodness of fit tests are performed on the regression model. The first compares the goodness of fit to a model using only a constant second then in the examines regression the (a perfect goodness of fit model). with all The the variables. Log likelihood (versus perfect model) To test the null hypothesis that the observed likelihood does not differ model that likelihood from fits 1 (the value of the likelihood for a perfectly), we use the value of (-2LL). Under the null hypothesis that fits perfectly, -2LL has a chi-square distribution -2 the log model with N-p degrees of freedom, where N is the number of cases and p is the number of observations parameters and 13 estimated. parameters Since estimated, there the are 75 degrees of freedom are 62. Consulting the chi-square table the value -2LL of 94.03 and 62 degrees of freedom corresponds to a 167 significance level off the charts or greater than the .01 level of significance. Since the observed significance level is large, we do not reject the hypothesis that the model fits. Variable(s) Entered on Step Number CROP type of crop grown CONT number of contract or parcels of land Q42 degree of interaction socially DEC participation in decision making Q40 self risk evaluation Q8 ORA relationship to other party in the lease Q43 evaluation of fairness Q36 formality of the agreement other parties demonstrated care for , assets Q37 EXP continuation of the lease years of experience LAN years of experience on this land Q9 condition of the farm at beginning of lease Estimation terminated at iteration number 6 because Log Likelihood decreased by less than .01 percent. Goodness of fit with all variables A second test of goodness of fit of the model examines the improvement as variables are added to the regression. The high significance values for lines one and four further substantiate the findings of the first test above. In line two a comparison is made between the model with only the constant (-2LL value 94.03 above) and the complete model (48.72 in line 1). The difference is called the model chi-square (45.31). The degrees of freedom is also the difference between the values for the two models. The low significance value means that we reject the hypothesis that the coefficients for the variables are all equal to 0. 168 Chi-Square df Significance -2 Log Likelihood 48.720 61 .8718 Model Chi-Square Improvement Goodness of Fit 45.310 45.310 42.588 13 13 61 .0000 .0000 .9649 Classification Table for Q10 Predicted share cash Percent Correct c s Observed share s 1 15 | 9 1 62.50% cash c | 7 1 44 | 86.27% Overall 78.67% Variables in the Equation Variable CROP C0NT Q42 DEC Q40 Q8 ORA 043 Q36 Q37 EXP LAN 09 Constant -1.4453 .4879 2.3125 1.5514 -1.7011 2.8485 .0737 2.2290 .2136 1.8838 -1.5220 4.0931 -1.7160 -2.0079 S.E. Wald .8620 1.0256 .9971 .9302 .9178 1.3744 1.3982 1.2179 .7714 1.7017 2.0253 2.4676 .8222 3.1300 2.8113 .2263 5.3786 2.7814 3.4352 4.2953 .0028 3.3500 .0767 1.2255 .5648 2.7514 4.3554 .4115 Sig R Exp(B) .0936 -.0929 .2357 .6343 .0000 1.6289 .0204 .1896 10.0992 .0954 .0912 4.7180 .0638 -.1235 .1825 .0382 .1562 17.2620 .9580 .0000 1.0764 .0672 .1198 9.2909 .7819 .0000 1.2381 .2683 .0000 6.5782 .4523 .0000 .2183 .0972 .0894 59.9245 .0369 -.1583 .1798 .5212 169 LOGISTIC REGRESSION Q10 WITH CROP CONT Q42 DEC Q40 KNO HEL Q38 ORA Q43 Q 3 7 . Dependent Variable.. Q10 Beginning Block Number 0. -2 Log Likelihood type of lease chosen Initial Log Likelihood Function 119.19557 * Constant is included in the model. Again we fail to reject the hypothesis that the model is significantly different from the perfect model. ) Entered on Step Number type of crop grown CROP CONT number of contracts or parcels of land Q42 degree of interaction socially DEC participation in decision making Q40 KNO HEL self risk evaluation tenant perception of landlord's knowledge tenant perception of 11 willingness to help Q38 current relationship ORA formality of the agreement Q43 evaluation of fairness Q37 continuation of the lease Estimation terminated at iteration number 5 because Log Likelihood decreased by less than .01 percent. Chi-Square df Significance 170 -2 Log Likelihood 70 .835 106 .9966 Model Chi-Square 11 .0000 Improvement 48 .361 48 .361 11 .0000 Goodness of Fit 91 .993 106 .8319 Testing and outcome are consistent with the landlord equation above. Classification Table for Q10 Predicted share cash Percent Correct Observed share 13 cash 11 54.17% 86 91.49% Overall 83.90% Variables in the Equation - -- Variable B CROP CONT Q42 DEC Q40 KNO HEL Q38 ORA Q43 Q37 Constant .8238 -.2712 .0219 1.7024 -.1388 1.9115 2.0443 1.4897 1.9208 1.0622 3.5294 -11.0547 S.E. Uald df .5539 2.2123 .1658 2.6767 .7680 .0008 .7665 4.9330 .7160 .0376 1.0049 3.6185 .7620 7.1976 1.1012 1.8301 1.0159 3.5749 .8606 1.5235 1.2645 7.7904 3.0799 12.8828 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Sig R Exp(B) .0422 2.2792 .1369 .7624 .1018 -.0753 .0000 1.0222 .9772 .1569 5.4872 .0263 .0000 .8462 .8704 .1165 6.7635 .0571 .2088 7.7235 .0073 .0000 4.4356 .1761 .1149 6.8262 .0587 .0000 2.8928 .2171 .2204 34.1050 .0053 .0003 B IB L IO G R A PH Y A dam s, D ale W., and N orm an Raslc, "Economics of Cost Share Leases in Less D eveloped Countries", Am erican Journal o f Agricultural Econom ics, 50 935-942 (1968) A lbrecht, D on E. and John K. 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