CAUSES AND IMPACTS. OF TURNOVER 0F RESEAC’H. SCIENTISTS WITHIN THE SENEGALESE ; AGRTCUITIIRAI RESEARCH INSTITUTE . 1981-1987 ‘ BY PAUL DAVID TITSSSII , ' CAUSES AND IMPACTS OF TURNOVER OF RESEARCH SCIENTISTS WITHIN THE SENEGALESE AGRICULTURAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE: 1981 - 1987 By Paul David Wessen Plan B Paper Submitted to Michigan State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of MASTER OF SCIENCE Department of Agricultural Economics 1988 12W 1.1) Introduction 1.2) Brief Overview of Senegalese Agriculture And Agricultural Policies 1.2.1) An Overview of Senegalese Agriculture 1.2.2) Agricultural Policy in Senegal 1.3) The Role of Agricultural Research in Economic Development 1.3.1) Agriculture in Economic Development 1.3.2) The Role Agricultural Research In Agricultural Development: The Induced Innovation Model 1.4) Trends in African Agricultural Research QflA£I§§_Z: AGRICULTURAL RESEARCH ORGANIZATION AND POLICIES AFFECTING RESEARCH STAFF IN SENEGAL 2.1) Historical Overview N .1.1) The Colonial Era 2.1.2) Post Independence (1960 - 1975) 2.2) Research Planning and Development in Senegal (1975 - 1987) .2.1) The Establishment and Evolution of ISRA .2.2) Legal Status of ISRA .2.3) Research Planning at ISRA NNN 2.3) Organizational Structure for Research at ISRA 2.4) Profile of ISRA Personnel 111 QHAEI§E_1: INTRODUCTION: THE ROLE OF AGRICULTURAL RESEARCH IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF SENEGALESE AGRICULTURE page 1 12 19 21 21 21 23 24 24 27 28 3O 33 h)h)h>h)h3h>h) bbbbbbb p~ V .1) ISRA Personnel .2) Educational Background of Researchers .3) Qualifications of Research Support Staff Experience Profile of National Researchers .5) Age Profile of Senegalese Researchers .6) Reorganization of Personnel-- 1987 .7) Recruitment and Training QEAIIER_§: FACTORS AFFECTING RESEARCHER PRODUCTIVITY, U) www 09 WW JOB SATISFACTION, AND TURNOVER The Process of Agricultural Research .1.1) Research Continuity .1.2) Types of Agricultural Research .1.3) Building Research Staff Capacity Factors Affecting Researcher Performance And Job Satisfaction .2.1) Research Funding and the Role of Donors The Planning and Management of Research Turnover in Research Staff .4.1) Types of Turnover .4.2) Causes of Research Staff Turnover The Incentive Stucture at ISRA .5.1) Professional Rewards .5.2) ISRA Salary Structure .5.3) Work Environment The Impacts of TurnoVer .6.1) Erosion of Research Capacity .6.2) Lost Returns to Investment A Conceptual Framework for Measuring The Impacts of Turnover iv 33 35 37 37 38 4O 41 43 43 43 45 47 SO 50 53 57 57 59 61 61 63 67 69 69 7O 72 QHAEIEB_&: RESEARCH STAFF TURNOVER AT THE SENEGALESE NATIONAL AGRICULTURAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE (1981 - 1987): AN ANALYSIS OF THE PROCESS, CAUSES, AND IMPACTS 4.1) 4.2) 4.3) 4-‘4-‘9 91> 4.4) 99“ 4.5) 4-‘4-‘4‘ U1U'IUI Plan of Analysis The Data Analysis Calculation of Turnover Rates Overall Turnover Rates (1981 - 1987) Yearly Turnover Rates Based on Nationality of Researchers Turnover Rates By Research Department Research Staff Instability: Internal Transfers, Promotion into Administration And Turnover Combined Characteristics of Researchers Who Left ISRA Status of Researchers Who Left Educational Level of Researchers Who Left Turnover By Length of Service at ISRA Experience and Status Turnover By Specialization of Researchers Turnover By Research Program Salary Structure Conditions of Service Results of the Earnings Function Analysis . Real Earnings of ISRA Researchers Between 1981 and 1987 ISRA Salaries Relative to Alternative Research Organizations Salaries at International and Regional Organizations Government Salaries Present Employment of Leavers A Comparison of ISRA's Actual Income Profile with an Ideal Income Profile 75 75 81 83 83 85 88 91 93 97 97 102 105 106 108 110 111 111 115 120 123 124 125 128 131 4.6) Conclusions about Turnover in Research Staff at ISRA 4.6.1) Causes of Turnover at ISRA 4.6.2) The Impacts of Turnover QBAEIEB_§: CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS 5.1) Personnel Turnover 5.1.1) General Conclusions 5.1.2) Recommendations 5.2) Recommendations for Future Study vi 134 134 138 141 141 141 141 151 153 Table 2. 2. .10: W Research Personnel at ISRA (1974 - 1987) Educational Profile of Senegalese Researchers at ISRA in 1987 Educational Characteristics of Senegalese Researchers in Comparison to other African Countries Experience Profile of National Researchers At ISRA: 1983 versus 1987 Turnover Rates for all ISRA Researchers Yearly Turnover Rates amongst Expatriate And Senegalese Researchers at ISRA (1981-87) Yearly Turnover Rates in ISRA Research Departments Instability in Senegalese Research Staff At ISRA (1981 - 1987) Characteristics of Leavers: Research Status Education of Researchers Who Left ISRA Between 1981 and 1987 Proportion of Researchers Who Left Versus Proportion of Researchers in The Population: By Degree Group Turnover Rates for Senegalese Researchers: Experience of Leavers Relationships between Research Experience And Research Status at ISRA (1981 - 1987) Turnover in Senegalese Research Staff (1981 - 1987): Specialization of Researcher vii 34 35 36 38 86 88 92 95 99 103 104 105 107 109 4.11: Results of Earnings Function Analysis: Determinants of Researchers' Earnings at ISRA (1987) 116 viii Figure 1. W Interrelationships between the Four Elements in the Induced Innovation Model Ages of Senegalese Researchers at ISRA in 1987 A Conceptual Framework for Measuring Losses to Investment Resulting from Turnover in Research Staff Yearly Turnover Rates for all ISRA Researchers (1981 - 1987) Yearly Turnover Rates: Turnover Rates By Nationality Yearly Turnover Rates: Turnover Rates By Research Department (1981 - 1987) Declining Real Salaries at ISRA: Two Examples Salary Scales: ISRA and Competing Organizations A Comparison of ISRA's Income Profile With an Ideal Income Profile ix 16 39 73 87 9O 94 121 126 133 mu: INTRODUCTION: THE ROLE OF AGRICULTURAL RESEARCH IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF SENEGALESE AGRICULTURE 1.1) W Turnover of research scientists is a commonly recognized constraint on research performance. However, there have been few detailed empirical analyses of the nature of the turnover process within national agricultural research systems in developing countries. This study analyzes turnover of research scientists within the Senegalese Agricultural Research Institute (ISRA) between 1981 and 1987. Particular emphasis is given to the causes of turnover and the impacts of turnover on research performance. The goal of agricultural research is to develop new or improved technologies, knowledge or techniques which yield sustained increases in agricultural output. As such, agricultural research is of critical importance in reversing the trend of declining per capita food production in Africa (Falcon et a1., 1984). Building institutional capacity to perform research effectively 9 is of central importance in achieving long-term development goals. Researchers are the most important input in conducting agricultural research. The development of a staff of researchers of sufficient size, qualifications, and experience is a long-term and expensive process. The ability of a national agricultural research system to produce meaningful research results is in 1 large part dependent upon its ability to retain and motivate its scientific staff. High rates of turnover of research scientists is indicative of weaknesses in a national agricultural research institute's ability to manage its scientific personnel. Several observers at ISRA have noticed high numbers of departures of researchers in recent years. Data available from personnel files between 1981 and 1987 permits the preliminary analysis of the nature of the turnover process at ISRA. In this paper, thntg;_1 contains background information on Senegalese agriculture, and describes the role of agriculture and agricultural research in economic development. §h§p§g1_2 contains background information on the history, structure, and policies of ISRA” thp;g;__1 presents the theoretical framework 'used to analyze turnover in research staff. thp;g1__4 contains the analysis of turnover in research staff at ISRA between 1981 and 1987, and gh§p§g1_§ contains recommendations. 1.2) WWW £91.19! 1.2.1) w a e u The World Bank (1987a) estimates that 65 per cent of the Senegalese population lives in rural areas. In 1980, 81 per cent of the Senegalese labor force was either directly or indirectly employed in agriculture. The share of agriculture in Senegal's Gross Domestic Product declined from 25 to 19 per cent between 1965 and 1985. However, given frequent droughts these figures often fluctuate. As in most of Africa, Senegalese agricultural production has failed to keep pace with rapid population growth. Per capita food production declined by 1.1 per cent a year between 1960 and 1985. Cereal imports to Senegal (primarily wheat and rice) rose from 341,000 metric tons in 1974 to 510,000 metric tons in 1984. Over the same period, food aid in cereals rose from 27,000 metric tons to 130,000 metric tons. The low productivity of Senegalese agriculture has contributed to problems of widespread malnutrition, rural poverty, high rates of rural-to-urban migration, and urban unemployment. Due to limited natural resources, Senegal is heavily dependent upon its agricultural resources. Peanut products, fish products, and to a lesser extent, cotton are important Senegalese exports. Peanut exports declined steadily between 1977 and 1982, from 46 to 27 per cent of all exports. Over the same period exports of fish products have increased from 8.5 to 25.4 per cent of all exports. Since 1978, agricultural imports have far exceeded agricultural exports. As a result Senegal has a large trade deficit. In 1973, foreign debt represented 16.4 per cent of Senegal's GDP. By 1984, this figure had risen to 75 per cent of GDP. The productivity and the diversity of regional agriculture in Senegal is largely determined by rainfall. The average yearly amount of rainfall increases progressively as one moves from north to south. Agricultural production in the northern regions of Senegal is severely limited by erratic rainfall which averages only 300 to 500 mm. per year during a one and a half month rainy season. .Agricultural production. is concentrated in southern Senegal, where yearly rainfall averages from 700 to over 1000 mm. during a four month rainy season. Average yearly rainfall has been declining throughout Senegal during the past decade. Frequent droughts and very erratic rainfall often cause dramatic fluctuations in agricultural production. Soils in Senegal are characteristically marginal or fragile. Since low and erratic rainfall adversely affects the yields and diversity of crops in the relatively sparsely populated northern sections of Senegal, livestock raising is an important activity. Desertification of lands, and food shortages during the dry season are common problems. Droughts are very commonplace in the North and often wipe out entire harvests. Sixty per cent of the Senegalese population lives in the central and southern portions of Senegal, where sufficient rainfall permits relatively diverse agricultural production. In jyears with good rainfall these regions produce small surpluses. Dryland farming accounts for 90 per cent of total agricultural production. Approximately 55 per cent of all farms are l to 5 hectares in size and 38 per cent of all farms are 6 to 10 hectares in size. Relying, predominantly on family labor, farmers typically grow cereal crops for home consumption and cash crops such as cotton and peanuts for income. Millet, sorghum, and groundnuts comprise 90 per cent of cultivated land, and 75 per cent of the value of agricultural production. Other important crops include rice, maize, cotton and cowpeas. Improving the standards of living for the rural and urban poor, and generating sustained economic growth in Senegal hinges upon increasing agricultural productivity and output. The development of new agricultural technologies, and farming and management techniques are crucial if increases in the productivity of land and labor are to occur in Senegal. The major challenges facing Senegalese agricultural researth are to ease the rainfall constraint on agriculture, and to both increase and stabilize crop yields. More specifically, important research needs in Senegal include the development of crop varieties with shorter growing cycles, higher yields,-and/or increased drought and pest resistance, and improved soil and forest conservation techniques. 1.2.2) Ag:1ggl£u£§l_£21121—13—5292331 Between Senegalese independence in 1960 until 1984, Senegalese agricultural policy was defined by the Agricultural Program (W M). The policy's objectives were to: organize agricultural production and marketing, increase agricultural growth, diversify production, and to supply agricultural inputs. A number of parastatal organizations were established to accomplish this goal, including ISRA. Regional development agencies were established in each agricultural region. Farmers were organized into cooperatives. Parastatal marketing organizations maintained fixed prices for agricultural products, despite wide fluctuations in output. The National Bureau for Cooperation and Development Assistance (ONCAD) was established as part of a large-scale program to provide producers credit with which to purchase agricultural inputs. The impact of the Agricultural Program was dubious. The policy was overly ambitious and was plagued by cost overruns which contributed to the government's budget deficit and exterior debt. Agricultural inputs were often supplied to producers in untimely fashion. Some observers believe the Agricultural Program made little contribution to increasing agricultural growth or productivity in Senegal (see Faye and Bingen, 1988). The Agricultural Program was halted in 1979 and replaced in 1984 by the New Agricultural Policy (Nouvelle Politigue Agr_i_9_o_1_e). The objectives of this policy were to reduce the state role in agriculture, which started with the dismantling of ONCAD in 1980, and to liberalize marketing policies for agricultural products. Included in the New Agricultural Policy were the following objectives: 1) To achieve food security through agricultural growth and diversification, intensifying and expanding rain-fed. and irrigated crops, and redirecting food consumption patterns towards locally produced products. 2) To raise rural standards of living by paying remunerative prices for agricultural products, increasing agricultural productivity, and improving the organization of product markets and rural institutions. 3) To reduce the role of the state in production activities and let farmers manage their own activities. 4) To liberalize and. privatize agricultural input and product markets. The government's role would be limited to market interventions in times of poor harvest, and setting floor prices for products. 5) limiting the role of governmental regional development institutions to training and extension functions. 6) To conserve and rehabilitate the natural environment. 7) To reduce the foreign trade deficit through import substitution strategies, and improved marketing of Senegalese exports, with an emphasis on peanuts. In 1986, the New Agricultural Policy was expanded to include the Cereals Plan. In this plan, the Senegalese government set a target of achieving 80% self-sufficiency in cereal production by the year 2000. l/ A number of studies have shown the governmental. target to be unrealistic. It should be noted that neither the New Agricultural Policy nor the Cereal plan explicitly expressly defined a role for agricultural research 1 At the time that the Cereals Plan was formulated, Senegal was only 52 per cent self-sufficient in cereals production. within their objectives (Faye and Bingen, 1988). 1.3) Ihe Role of Agricultural Research in Economic Development Increasing agricultural productivity and production through the generation of new technologies which are adapted to a country's agro-climatic and socioeconomic environment is a critical element in economic development strategies for developing countries. The goal of agricultural research is to develop, promote and disseminate new knowledge, technologies, and techniques which enhance agricultural production and productivity. Hence, building a strong national agricultural research system is a crucial element in a country's long-run economic development strategy. 1.3.1) AW In low-income developing countries, 60-80 per cent of the population typically lives in rural areas. The agricultural sector is generally the primary source of income and employment. However, traditional, or technologically static, agricultural production systems are unable to meet expanding demand for food caused by rapid population growth and rising incomes. High food prices are a leading cause of widespread. rural poverty and malnutrition. Low' productivity agricultural systems thus ‘have large negative impacts on rural peoples' livlihood, and constrain economic development. A model developed by Mellor (1973, 1978; Mellor and Johnston, 1984) describes the process of agriculturally based economic development. In the model, the key to economic development is the transfer of resources from the agricultural to the non-agricultural sector of an economy. This is accomplished by creating a technologically dynamic, science-based agricultural sector. New' or improved. agricultural technologies and. techniques developed through agricultural research reduce costs by either reducing the cost or quantities of inputs used in production, or by increasing jyields for' a. given level of input ‘use. Since farmers who adopt new technologies can produce more food at lower cost, they expand production. This increases the supply of food in society, lowering food prices. Studies show that low-income consumers in developing countries typically spend 70 to 90 per cent of their income on staple foods (Mellor, 1978). Thus, lower fbod prices translate into increased real incomes for consumers. Mellor believes that higher real incomes for small farmers and urban workers increases the demand for labor-intensive, domestically produced agricultural and non-agricultural goods sudh as chemical and/or organic fertilizers, textiles, and processed foods. Of particular importance is increased demand for the 10 products of rural non-farm industries. Chuta and Liedholm (1984) have demonstrated that rural, small-scale industries which typically employ five workers or less are a major source of income in rural areas. These industries usually are either a primary or secondary source of employment for 30-50 per cent of the rural labor force in developing countries. Thus, increased demand for labor-intensive agricultural and non-agricultural products generates employment for low-income consumers in both rural and urban areas. Since the income elasticity of demand for food in developing countries typically is in the range of 0.7 to 0.8 (Stevens and Jabara, 1988), demand for food rises as per capita income rises. However, since agricultural research institutions continue to produce a flow of new technologies which are diffused to farmers, the suppLy of food to society continues to increase. Increased food supplies offset rising demand for food, resulting in stable food prices. If food demand grows more rapidly than food supply, the resulting rise in food prices lowers the real incomes of rural and urban wage earners and thus curtails rising demand for products produced in the non-agricultural sector. Employment generation in the non-agricultural sector is slowed as resources are transferred back into the agricultural sector. , The increased employment and income generated through agricultural development improves nutritional standards. 11 Reutlinger (1985) concludes that the major cause of malnutrition in developing countries is limited access to food supplies due to low incomes. Thus, lower food prices improve the access or the rural and urban poor to food markets. Higher rural incomes slows rural-to-urban migration. Todaro (1981) has demonstrated that rural-to-urban migration is stimulated by the perception that urban wages are higher than rural wages, regardless of actual opportunities for employment. Higher rural incomes alter this perception. Thus, agriculture can be viewed as the locomotive for growth in the non-agricultural sector. Rising ~rural incomes and employment increases demand for products produced in the non- agricultural sector, permitting the net transfer of resources out of the agricultural sector that is necessary for economic growth in the non-agricultural sector. In. principle, the increased public sector revenues generated through economic growth creates a source of reliable funding for expanding agricultural research capacity and activities. This would increase the flow of new technologies and knowledge that increase agricultural output and productivity. However, this is contingent on agricultural research being made a priority in development policy. The key to the model is its unimodal, small farmer focus. Research policies and agricultural development strategies must be oriented towards the large proportion of small and medium sized 12 farmers in developing countries. Also, price policy incentives are needed that encourage farmers to adopt new technologies and increase production of food crops. By contrast, development strategies focusing on industrialization often fail to generate employment opportunities or rising incomes for the rural and urban poor. Whereas urban employment initially rises in such schemes, a stagnant or low productivity agricultural sector often slows economic growth. If increased food supplies do not offset rising urban demand for food, food prices rise. The real incomes of the urban poor decrease. Thus, demand for locally produced products, and the resulting expansions in employment opportunities are not generated. If rising demand for food is offset by increasing food imports, the resulting foreign exchange outflows might slow growth in the non-agricultural sector. Underlying this process of agriculturally based economic growth is the creation of a science, or research, based agricultural production system. Thus, agricultural research plays a crucial role in the long-term development strategies of developing countries. 1.3.2) WWW eve 0 me ' u ed ovati Model Hayami and Ruttan (1985) believe that there are multiple paths of technological development. The common basis for l3 achieving rapid growth in agricultural production is a country's capacity to develop ecologically sound and economically viable technologies that respond to local resource and cultural endowments. Technological change involves the substitution of relatively abundant and cheap factors of production for relatively scarce and expensive factors of 'productionu As a result, the constraints on agricultural production imposed by inelastic resource supplies are relaxed. As an example, Hayami and Ruttan contrasted the agricultural development patterns of Japan and the United States during the past century. Japan had a limited supply of land and a relatively abundant supply of labor. Thus, land was expensive with respect to labor. Sustained agricultural growth in Japan was accomplished by increasing the productivity of land through the introduction of high yielding, fertilizer responsive crop varieties. Labor was substituted for land. The 'United States 'had. a limited supply of labor and a relatively abundant supply of land. Thus, labor was expensive with respect to land. Sustained agricultural growth was accomplished by increasing the productivity of labor through the introduction of animal power and then mechanical power. Land was substituted for labor. Thus, in both Japan and the United States the direction of technological change reflected the factor endowments of each country. l4 Hayami and Ruttan conclude that technical change is induced by changes in the relative prices of factors of production. If these prices accurately reflect the conditions of supply and demand for resources, technical change is guided along an efficient path by price signals in the market. Policies which distort prices such as export subsidies, input or product subsidies, or fixed prices for agricultural products can induce technical change which does not accurately reflect conditions of supply and demand for resources in society. Thus, technological innovation proceeds along an inefficient path. The process of induced technological innovation operates as follows. Faced with changing relative prices of factors of production, farmers demand technical alternatives from public research‘ institutions that reduce production costs. These technical alternatives either reduce the use of expensive and scarce factors of production, or increase the productivity of scarce inputs. Research scientists and administrators respond by developing and making available cost reducing technologies. The response of research scientists and administrators to farmers' demands for new technologies is critical to the induced innovation model. Hayami and Ruttan believe that incentive structures for scientists and administrators in research institutions must be designed to reward research on problems of social and economic significance. These rewards can be based on 15 status or material gain. Agricultural development also involves institutional change. Institutions, or social structures, are defined as "persistent patterns of social interactions with associated statuses, roles, norms of behavior, and sanctions" (Stevens and .Jabara 1988, p.100). Economic institutions define rights to resource use and the distribution of income streams resulting from economic activity (Hayami and Ruttan, 1985). By nature, institutions remain stable over extended periods of time. Institutions are influenced by resource endowments, available technologies, and cultural endowments. Hayami and Ruttan (1985) believe institutional change is induced by changes in resource endowments as signalled through prices, and by new opportunities for productive uses of resources. Figure 1.1 shows the interrelationships between the four elements included in the induced innovation. model. Cultural endowments refer to non-economic variables in society. Religion, ideology, and social ethics are cultural variables. The four elements in the model interact and influence each other. Changes in one element in the model induce changes in the other elements of the model. Agricultural development can be accelerated or impeded by any of the four elements in the model. In the induced innovation model, agricultural research is of l6 Eiggrg_1*1; Interrelationships between the Four Elements in the Induced Innovation Model IOIWCC /— . \ 'flm . Endowment; Culluul Endeamonu In human Source: Hayami and Ruttan (1985). central importance to agricultural development. Agricultural research represents a mechanism by which to accelerate the process of technological and institutional change 'that is neccessary to generate long-term increases in productivity in the agricultural sector (Stevens and Jabara, 1988). The development of new or improved biological, chemical, and mechanical technologies that are consistent ‘with. a. country's resource endowments can ease the constraints imposed upon agriculture by inelastic resource supplies. Institutional constraints on agriculture can be identified through research on agricultural institutions such as land tenure systems, marketing 17 institutions, credit policy, and ‘price policy. As a result, policy recommendations and reforms may be devised which create an institutional environment that induces long-term. increases in productivity in the agricultural sector. Stevens and. Jabara (1988) believe that advances in social science research lower the costs of institutional change and that advances in agricultural and basic sciences lower the costs of technological change. If agricultural research systems are to generate productive inputs for the agricultural sector, the resources allocated to them must be effectively used. Hayami and Ruttan believe that scientific manpower constraints severely limit the capacity of low-income countries to shift towards a science-based agriculture. Thus, developing scientific and technical manpower through training and education is of crucial importance to agricultural development. It is not sufficient, however, to simply expand research staff. Stevens and Jabara (1988) believe that certain conditions for productive scientific work are essential if maximum returns are to be obtained from the resources allocated to agricultural research. These conditions include: stable and flexible administration of research, the provision of adequate financial and logistical support to research staff, adequate access of research staff to scientific equipment and up-to-date information, and clear definition and coordination of research 18 tasks. Attractive salaries and career structures are important in attracting, retaining and motivating researchers. Hayami and Ruttan (1985) and Stevens and Jabara (1988) believe that if the induced innovation model is to work, the development of a publicly funded research system is essential. This is especially true of agricultural. research. since agricultural commodities characteristically display low ‘price elasticities of' demand” Thus, social ‘benefits resulting from research are largely received by consumers in the form of lower food prices. As a result, Hayami and Ruttan believe that the general public should pay for agricultural research. Private agricultural research generally focuses on the development. of' mechanical and. chemical technologies. Property rights such as patents can be created to exclude non- investors from sharing in the returns generated by these technologies. Thus, private firms find it profitable to develop new mechanical and chemical technologies. However, biological technologies generally have public good attributes. As such, it is next to impossible to exclude others from the stream of benefits generated by new biological technologies. The small size of farms and limited incomes of most farmers in developing countries prevent individual farmers from organizing to fund research or to produce new technologies. In the early stages of economic development, private firms are often 19 too weak to fund research. Thus, public funded. agricultural research institutes are crucial in producing biological technologies and in responding to the needs of small farmers in developing countries. Hayami and Ruttan believe that if agricultural research was left in the hands of private firms, the path of technological change would be seriously biased towards large farmers. Mechanical and chemical technologies are often too expensive for the majority of small farmers in developing countries to afford. 1.4) ends 1 fr can i u ura Judd, Boyce and Evenson (1986) estimate that expenditures (in constant 1980 dollars) for agricultural research in Africa rose from $119,149,000 in 1959 to $251,572,000 in 1970. By 1980, these expenditures totalled $424,757,000. Between 1959 and 1980,' expenditures for agricultural research in West Africa rose from $44,333,000 to $205,737,000. Bennell (1986) indicates that this trend will continue. USAID alone is expected to channel over $1 billion in direct assistance to African national agricultural research systems over the next 15 years. Judd et a1. estimate that manpower in Africa, measured in scientific person years, rose from 1,919 in 1959 to 8,088 in 1980. For West Africa the figures were 412 in 1959, and 2,466 in 1980. Bennell (1986) estimates that the number of full-time 20 agricultural researchers in Senegal rose 272 per cent between 1962 and 1985, from 55 to 205. Despite these major increases in agricultural research capacity, research at many African agricultural research institutes has been largely unproductive (World Bank, 1987b). Although exceptions do exist (see Jahnke et al., 1987), African agricultural research has largely failed to make a significant impact on increasing agricultural productivity. Mellor and Johnston (1984) conclude that most national agricultural research systems in Africa have failed to meet the "organizational requirements of agricultural development". Ineffective national research institutions limit the ability of a country to create a science based agricultural production system. Commonly cited problems plaguing African national agricultural research institutions include: poorly matched organizational objectives and organizational capacities, poorly defined research priorities, weak management, a shortage of qualified scientific personnel, high rates of transfer and turnover in scientific staff, and severe revenue-expenditure squeezes. In sum, the resources allocated to African agricultural research institutes, and to scientific personnel in particular, have not been efficiently employed in most countries. 21 thn;g;;2; AGRICULTURAL RESEARCH ORGANIZATION AND POLICIES AFFECTING RESEARCH STAFF IN SENEGAL This chapter provides background information about the evolution of agricultural research in Senegal, and the Senegalese Agricultural Research Institute (ISRA) in particular. For more detailed information see Faye and Bingen (1988), ISNAR (1988), and Sene (1985). 2.1) W The history of agricultural research in Senegal can ‘be divided into three periods: the Colonial era prior to 1960, the post-independence era between 1960 and 1975, and the are from the creation of ISRA in 1975 until the present. 2.1.1) 92W Senegal was the administrative center for French West Africa. In 1921, the French established a research experiment station in Bambey, Senegal in order to increase peanut production. This early research was primarily intended to benefit French vegetable oil industry interests and trading firms. In 1933, the research focus at Bambey was expanded to include crops grown in rotation with peanuts such as millet, sorghum, and cowpeas, as well as research on farming techniques such as animal traction. In 1935 France created a veterinary and 22 livestock research institute in Hann, near Dakar, to conduct veterinary studies for the entire semi-arid zone of French West Africa. A chemistry laboratory was built at Bambey in 1936 for soil science research. By 1938, Bambey had become the primary site of agricultural research in French West Africa. After World War II, great strides were made to develop a coherent agricultural research policy in French West Africa. The entire research structure was expanded and reorganized on the basis of ecological zones. The Bambey research station, and the veterinary institute at Hann became the research centers for agronomic and animal research respectively for the Semi-Arid zone of French West Africa (which included Chad, Niger, Burkina Faso, Mali, Mauritania and Senegal). Secondary research stations, and. 'numerous experiment stations were created throughout the Semi-Arid zone. Thus, before Senegal became independent in 1960, the French had created a well-developed public research structure that had a major focus on food crops and cropping techniques, as well as cash crops. Also integrated. into the colonial research structure in Senegal were a number of commodity based French institutes. These commodity institutes concentrated solely on cash and export crops. These institutes were funded from a variety of private and public sources. As such, they were more independent and flexible than the regional research centers which were funded by the 23 general French overseas administration. Jahnke et al._ (1987) believe the research performance of these private commodity institutes tended to be better than that of the regional research centers. Sene (1985) concluded that French colonial research greatly enhanced the body of available knowledge about tropical agriculture, and contributed to growth in agricultural production and productivity by supplying improved crop varieties, cropping techniques and fertilization guidelines. Great strides were made in controlling livestock epidemics and improving animal health and sanitation. Finally, the introduction and adoption of animal traction techniques in many areas of Senegal was largely a result of French research. 2.1.2) ost- e ende ce 9 0 - 19 Upon gaining independence in. 1960, Senegal inherited. the Bambey and Hann research stations, and those research sub- stations in Senegalese territory. The management and supervision of these research installations were entrusted to the French tropical agriculture research institutes. The French institutes provided scientists and managers for their research activities. Senegal provided agricultural technicians and support staff. The funding of agricultural research was divided evenly between France and Senegal. Mixed 24 Senegalese and French commissions were responsible for research planning and for setting research agendas. In theory, Senegalese authorities had the final say in these commissions. However, given the French role in financing research and. ability to manipulate funds, the French research institutes had considerable influence over research planning (Jahnke et a1, 1987). During this period, few Senegalese researchers were trained. In 1974, only eight of fifty agricultural researchers were Senegalese (Faye and. Bingen, 1988). Furthermore, high administration costs and poor coordination among the French institutes forced Senegal into providing more financial support than had been planned. France opposed Senegalese efforts to seek other external sources of funding, or to engage in research collaboration with other countries. 2.2) EEWWW 2.2.1) WW ISRA was founded in January, 1975 to permit an increased Senegalese role in defining and conducting agricultural research. The goals of ISRA as stipulated in the empowering legislation are: 1) To conduct and develop crop, animal and fisheries research which contributes to the economic and social development of Senegal, and to formulate research programs consistent with governmental objectives. 2) To implement research programs set by the Interministerial Council on Scientific Research. 25 3) To collect, preserve, and protect all Senegalese agricultural research. 4) To manage all agricultural research stations, and sub- stations. 5) To promote and assist the creation of a competent national research staff. 6) To develop inter-African and. international scientific cooperation. The period between 1975 and 1982 was a transition period for ISRA. Until 1982, much of the inherited research structure remained unchanged. Research was organized and oriented along the strict disciplinary lines inherited from the French. Gradually, the French role in both managing and conducting research was lessened as more and more Senegalese administrators and researchers were trained. Although ISRA's links with France remained strong, this period witnessed an expansion of relationships with non-French institutions and organizations. The role of the World Bank and USAID in funding and supporting research projects became particularly strong. Other support came from Canada, Belgium and the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), and Great Britain. Between 1978 and 1982 the World Bank planned and designed the Agricultural Research Project, a strategy designed to: l) strengthen ISRA's research infrastructure, 2) reorganize the institute, 3) improve scientific capacity, and 4) reorient 26 research towards addressing problems that face the rural population. In 1982, the Agricultural Research Project was put into effect. Key features of the Agricultural Research Project were the establishment of five regional farming systems research programs in Senegal, and six nationally coordinated and multidisciplinary commodity programs on peanuts, cowpeas, millet, sorghum, maize and rice. In 1985, a multinational project review and evaluation team concluded that: 1) ISRA's financial management was inadequate and unable to mobilize funds in timely fashion, 2) there ‘was a chronic over-expenditure, especially for salaries, 3) there was a lack of motivation among researchers due to limited long-term career prospects, and 4) ISRA's performance and efficiency were sub-par. As a result of this report, ISRA decided in July 1986 to reorganize its management and administration, to dramatically reduce its total staff, and to improve coordination of research programs. Thus, since 1975 ISRA has largely pursued the slow process of building institutional and scientific capacity. There have been two major structural reorganizations. The training and development of a competent national. research staff has been a major priority. ISRA has also attempted to redefine and reorient its research objectives. The Director General of ISRA considers ISRA to be in a "semi-developed" state (World Bank, 1988). 27 2.2.2) W ISRA's enabling legislation gives ISRA the status as a "public establishment with industrial or commercial characteristics (EPIC). There are 16 EPIC institutions in Senegal. There are both benefits and disadvantages to classifying an agricultural research institute as EPIC. One advantage of EPIC status is that ISRA has a large degree of autonomy in managing its affairs. EPIC statutes give ISRA complete autonomy in recruiting personnel. Most EPIC institutions produce goods or provide services that generate income. As such, these government organizations are self-sufficient, generating many of the financial resources they need for their operations. However, EPIC status is not completely appropriate for an agricultural research institution. Agricultural research is a long-term process. The benefits of any given research project are difficult to measure. Successful research is never guaranteed. Many research results have public good attributes, and cannot be bought and sold. Thus, agricultural research does not, by nature, generate goods or services that can be sold to produce income. Although EPIC status permits ISRA to sell vaccines and the harvests from field trials, it also creates major financial constraints. As a result of its limited ability to generate income, and poorly conceived personnel hiring practices, 28 salaries have absorbed the Senegalese government's financial contribution to ISRA. Thus, ISRA must rely on donor sources to finance the bulk of its research activities. In 1986, to help ease the pressure of a long-accumulating public debt the Senegalese government decided to reduce its financial contribution to all EPIC organizations by 5 per cent a year for 5 years. This decision has had particularly adverse consequences for ISRA given the fact that ISRA has limited opportunities to generate financial resources of it's own. 2.2.3) W The institutional model and actual procedure for defining agricultural research policy and priorities in Senegal differ. On the governmental level, the Ministry of Rural Development (to which ISRA belongs) allocates financial resources to ISRA from the national budget. Donor agencies provide project funds. ISRA's General Direction then develops a research agenda and budget that is based upon the government's agricultural policy. The research plan is examined by the Technical and Scientific Committee, which is composed of the directors of state agricultural technical service agencies and academic research institutions. The Technical and Scientific Committee makes recommendations to ISRA's Administrative Council, which is composed of all 29 ministers who are involved with agricultural research. This council approves ISRA's budget, and sends it to the Ministry of Finance for final approval. Internally, ISRA's Director General allocates financial resources and identifies research priorities to research departments. In turn, the director of each research department allocates resources to research projects within that department, and identifies research priorities to program coordinators. Program coordinators plan research activities and project budgets in collaboration with researchers. Once finalized, program agendas and budgets are sent to research department directors, and then to the Director General for approval. Faye and Bingen (1988) report that in practice, the government's agricultural development plan is often vague and not directly stated. There is little coherent planning of agricultural research at the governmental level. Also, there are weak mechanisms within ISRA to ensure that government policy and research, and the research activities of research departments are well coordinated. Since the government's budgetary contribution to ISRA does not cover salaries, much less research activities, ISRA has very little flexibility in allocating resources. Donor agencies provide operating and research funds for all ISRA research projects, and thus wield a major influence over research policies and research programs. The different policies and 30 research agendas of donor agencies complicate the management, planning and coordination of research activities at ISRA. In 1987, as part of the plan to reorganize ISRA, a new research orientation and strategy was conceived which stresses: 1) a collaborative research planning process at the regional level that emphasizes cohesiveness between the government's regional development policies and programs, and ISRA's research program priorities and objectives, 2) research programs with a multidisciplinary, farming systems approach, and 3) improved links between research and extension, as well as international research centers. 2.3) MW Prior to the implementation of the Agricultural Research Project in 1982, the organization and structure of ISRA followed the model inherited from the French. Management of research was structured on a dual basis-- by research department and by research center. The research departments were: agronomy and bioclimatology, agricultural machinery and equipment, soil science and hydrology, economics and sociology, veterinary medicine and animal health, forestry and oceanography. There were ten research centers. The directors of each research department planned research programs and budgets. Directors of each center were responsible 31 for the management of their respective centers, the allocation of resources for research, and the implementation of research programs. There were no defined authority links between research departments and centers, and resources were often allocated on an arbitrary basis by research center directors. Planned research and actual research were not always consistent. At the same time that the World Bank designed a reorganization plan for _ISRA as part of it's Agricultural Research Project, ISRA designed a reorganization plan of its own. Key differences existed between the plans. In the World Bank plan the previously independent research centers were to be placed under the authority of a Research Support Department. Research departments were to remain under the authority of the Director General. In the ISRA plan, research departments were to be placed under the authority of a Scientific Director, whereas the independent research centers would remain under the authority of the Director General. Both the ISRA and World Bank plans retained a dual structure between research departments and research centers. Common to both plans was a reorganization of research departments organized by discipline into more multidisciplinary, systems oriented departments. In 1983, a compromise reorganization plan put into effect. Research departments were reorganized along more multi- 32 disciplinary and less rigid lines. Five new research departments were created: Crop Production, .Animal Production. and. Health, Agricultural Production Systems, Forestry, and Oceanography. The research departments were put under the authority of a coordinating body, the Scientific Director. However, the research centers remained. under the control of' the Director General's office. Also, at the administrative level three offices were created to enhance research and personnel planning: the Office of Human Resources, the Office of Macroeconomic Analysis, and the Office of Planning and Evaluation. This organizational plan remained in effect until 1987. Thus, between 1974 and 1987 ISRA had a largely decentralized, and dualistic organizational plan. The research centers had a large degree of planning authority and retained a spirit of independence (Faye and Bingen, 1988). There was no real coordination between research planning and actual research. Organizational instability has been a recurrent problem for ISRA. In 1987, ISRA streamlined its organizational plan. In the new organizational structure research became organized on a strictly departmental basis, with research centers becoming attached to the relevant research department. An office was created within the Crop Production Research Department to coordinate the activities of the previously independent Bambey, Djibelor, St. Louis, CDH (horticulture), and 33 newly created Tambacounda agricultural research centers. Also, the Bambey and Kaolack research departments were combined. The LNERV (veterinary institute), Kolda, and Dahra research centers were placed within the Animal Production and Health Research Department. The CNRF (forestry) center was placed within the Forestry Research Department, and the CRODT oceanography institute placed within the Fisheries department. The former Office of Macroeconomic Analysis and Production Systems research department were merged to become the Agrarian Systems and Agricultural Economics department, which oversaw' the farming research teams . 2.4) Weiss 2.4-1) We]. In 1960, only four people in Francophone Africa had received university degrees in agricultural disciplines compared with 150 Anglophone Africans (Eicher, 1984). The first college-level agricultural school (for W) in Francophone Africa was established at Thies, Senegal in 1979. As recently as 1974, there were only eight Senegalese researchers among the fifty agricultural researchers in Senegal. Since its creation in 1974, ISRA has undergone a rapid expansion in research personnel. In particular, ISRA has been able to train numerous national researchers and "nationalize" its 34 Table 2.1: Research Personnel at ISRA (1974 - l987)' Year Total Number of Expatriate Senegalese Researghgrs 1974 50 42 (84%) 8 (16%) 1979 85 46 (54.1%) 39 (45.9%) 1985 198 68 (34.3%) 130 (65.7%) 1987 148 41 (27.7%) 107 (72.3%) Source: Faye and Bingen (1988) and ISRA Personnel Files. cadres of researchers. Table 2.1 shows both the increases in research staff at ISRA, and the declining proportion of expatriate researchers at ISRA since 1974. The majority of the expatriates are French researchers working with CIRAD and ORSTOM, two major French overseas research institutions. Despite their decreasing proportion at ISRA, expatriate researchers continue to play a pivotal role in the sorghum, cotton, and peanut crop research programs. Expatriate researchers supply expertise in forestry, animal health, agronomy, and agricultural machinery-- areas in which the qualifications of Senegalese scientists are weak. ORSTOM scientists tend to focus their efforts on more basic research. 35 2.4.2) Edugational Background of Researchers The educational qualifications of ISRA's Senegalese researchers are comparatively higher than most African agricultural research institutions. Expatriate researchers have slightly lower levels of training than Senegalese researchers (Faye and Bingen, 1988). Table 2.2 shows the educational profile of all national researchers at ISRA in 1987. ISRA researchers Table 2.2: Educational Profile of Senegalese Researchers at ISRA in 1987.1/ a) University Diploma/ Limited Specialization: De v Ember Percentage Ingenieur 21 19.3% Dr. Veterinaire 8 7.3% Sub-total: 29 26.6% b) Intermediate Post-Graduate Education: DEA/DAA 35 32.1% MSc. 26 23.9% sub-Total 61 56.0% c) Advanced Post-Graduate Education: PhD/ Dr. d'etat 8 7.3% 3eme Cycle 11 10.1% sub-total 19 17.4% 1 - includes Fisheries Department and Research Administration. Source: ISRA Personnel Files. 36 Table 2. 3: Educational Characteristics of Senegalese Researchers In Comparison to Other African Countries. Mount Lara LS; 1.1.19 ELL. Senegal 1987 26.6% 56.0% 17.4% Ghana 1981 21.4 50.4 28.2 Kenya 1982 52.5 44.7 2.7 Malawi 1981 66.7 26.9 6.4 Nigeria 1984 27.9 43.7 26.4 Somalia 1983 84.8 12.1 3.0 Uganda 1981 71.9 24.5 3.5 Zambia 1984 49.0 41.3 9.4 Zimbabwe 1984 58.7 29.8 11.4 Swaziland 1984 55.5 44.0 0.0 Mozambique 1984 92.9 7.1 0.0 Lesotho 1984 66.6 33.3 0.0 Botswana 1984 62.0 38.0 0.0 Source: Bennell (1986) and ISRA Personnel Files. have received post-graduate education in both the United States and. in France. Thus, degrees have been. grouped. by level of specialization. Table 2.3 shows that the educational characteristics of Senegalese researchers at ISRA compares favorably to those of national researchers at other African national research institutions. The majority of the countries listed in Table 2.3 are English-speaking. Although exact figures are unavailable, the educational characteristics of ISRA researchers are considerably higher than those of researchers in other French-speaking countries in Africa (Faye and Bingen, 1988). 37 2.4.3) c 0 Su t Sta Although Senegalese researchers at ISRA are better educated than many of their African counterparts, the qualifications of technical support staff and administrative staff are limited. Faye and Bingen (1988) report that two years of education beyond high school is the normal educational background for technical support staff and administrative staff. In 1986, of 1354 total personnel employed at ISRA, 445 (33 per cent) were illiterate, and 490 (36 per cent) had received only general, primary school level training. Thus, 69 per cent of ISRA personnel in 1986 had not received specialized training in research. Faye and Bingen conclude that although in. numbers the research support staff at ISRA appears satisfactory for a country the size of Senegal, their professional qualifications and skills are insufficient for an agricultural research institute. It may be inferred that this weakness constrains the research activities of ISRA scientists. 2.4.4) ‘x e P e o ona Re ear he As with many African countries, Senegal has tried to develop an experienced corps of research personnel. Table 2.4 compares the experience levels of Senegalese researchers in 1983 and 1987. Table 2.4 shows that while the experience level of many researchers is gradually increasing, large numbers of researchers 38 Table 2.4: Experience Profile of National Researchers at ISRA: 1983 vs. 1987. Years of Impatience 1283. m 0 - 5 years 68.7% 42.0% 6 - 10 years 21.4% 37.0% 11 + years 9.8% 21.0% Segzee: Bennell (1986) for 1983 and ISRA Personnel Files for 1987. remain relatively inexperienced. Seventy nine per cent of ISRA researchers have less than 10 years of experience. A large proportion of researchers with 5 years of experience or less indicates that many researchers have yet to fully develop the skills needed. to effectively' perform research. Experience in conducting research plays a major role in forming research skills (see Section 3.1.1). 2.4.5) Age Profile ef Segegalese Reseagchers at ISRA A by product of the limited training of researchers undertaken by the French prior to the creation of ISRA in 1985 is a youthful group of researchers. Figure 2.1 (following page) shows that the majority of Senegalese researchers at ISRA were in their 30's. The mean age of Senegalese researchers was 36.1 years in 1987. Eighty per cent of Senegalese researchers were between 39 I?!“ {I q u 151.! n 1.3: y Figure 2.1 negotese Researchers at ISRA 198.7 33* CA.) \ 1] 0 J C! ---n U] (D 20 LEGEND I... + Number 113T II- I3+ 1.3+ 7 4+ g 2 ? " 1 TII 1 I " I 35 ~ .1; f “a . 3 \hi Ii V I IVT- IT f Source: {SBA Personne! F‘Iies 40 the ages of 30 and 40. The median age of Senegalese researchers was between 34 and 35 years. Generally, the "elder statesmen" at ISRA were in their low to middle 40's. The fact most ISRA researchers are in the same general age group has large implications for research turnover, as will be seen in Chapter 4. Faye and Bingen (1988) believe that unless changes are made, there will be blockages in ISRA's career advancement system. 2.4.6) t -- The total number of ISRA employees rose by 24.4 per cent between 1979 and 1985, from 1,200 to 1,493. Between 1983 and 1985, the total salary budget rose from 1,593,064,466 FCFA to 2,020,167,444 FCFA. However, during the same period governmental financial support for salaries remained constant at 934,731,000 FCFA. To reduce this budgetary deficit, ISRA decided to lay off 473 employees in July, 1986. Despite these layoffs, ISRA still has a personnel budget deficit. Thus, further cutbacks in personnel are anticipated. Only two researchers were included in the 1987 layoffs. The continuing burden of salary payments severely constrains ISRA finances, and thus limits research productivity. Shortfalls in operating funds, untimely procurement of needed research resources, and erratic funds for day-to-day expenses interfere 41 with the smooth operation of research projects. 2.4.7) geeruigmeng egg Ireiging ISRA has well-established recruiting procedures which are not always followed in practice. Recruitment entails the creation and budgeting of a research position by ISRA's General Direction and the Administrative Council. The position is then listed, and a candidate is selected from a pool of applicants by the research department director. The candidate must then be approved by a recruiting commission and the Director General. Prior to being appointed to full researcher status, a recruit must complete a major research project during a probationary period. If successful, a researcher is hired and given a contract of indeterminate length. Given limited numbers of qualified Senegalese researchers, recruitment in the past has frequently followed the path of choosing a candidate and immediately sending that candidate overseas for specialized training. Thus, upon completion of graduate education ISRA must again recruit the candidate. Faye and Bingen (1988) report that recruitment in the past has largely been based more on the availability of governmental and donor agency scholarships than on systematic personnel planning based on research needs. Given the lack of systematic planning, jobs are often 42 unplanned for researchers who have completed their overseas training. The probation period for a recruit can last up to two years due to bureaucratic delays, financial shortages, and slow planning of a recruit's duties. Thus, ISRA's recruiting practices is inadequate and often demoralizes beginning researchers. ISRA has assigned a high priority to training Senegalese researchers since 1975. However, Faye and Bingen (1988) report that ISRA lacks a well-defined manpower planning policy. The recruitment and training of scientists in the past has largely been guided by the goal of replacing each French researcher with a Senegalese researcher. Manpower development has occurred without reference to anticipated financial resources, or a medium or long term plan for agriculture research. 43 W: FACTORS AFFECTING RESEARCHER PRODUCTIVITY, JOB SATISFACTION AND TURNOVER 3.1) The Preeees of Agricultegal geseerch 3.1.1) Researeh Cogginuity Agricultural research is a long-term process. Ruttan (1982) believes that major innovations from agricultural research are the ”cumulative synthesis" of' a. number of' relatively simple innovations. Pinstrup-Anderson (1982) sees agricultural research as a chain, the individual links of 'which. are agricultural research projects. Research is a highly uncertain process since in conducting research one is essentially exploring the unknown. For any given research project there are no guarantees of producing tangible results. Thus, research is a process which builds upon the results of previous research. The results of a research effort are dependent to a large degree on the training, experience, intelligence, abilities and motivation of individual researchers (Pinstrup-Anderson, 1982). Ruttan (1982) belieVes that all research innovations are the result of "acts of insight" by individual researchers with high degrees of skill. Skill is perceived to be a function of both education and experience. Continuity in research efforts and staff is a fundamental requirement for producing effective research results. Agricultural research projects often must cover several years 44 before tangible research results are obtained. The World Bank (1988) estimates that on average it takes ten years to breed and introduce a new crop variety, and twenty years to breed and introduce new tree and animal varieties. The Special Program on African Agricultural Research--SPAAR (World Bank, 1987b) uses as a rule of thumb estimates of 4 to 5 years to complete adaptive or maintenance research projects, and ten years to complete basic research programs. Much of a researcher's skill is acquired on the job, or learned through doing research. The definition of research problems, the identification. of' research. priorities, and. the designing of research projects, are scientific skills that are enhanced with experience. Wortman (1977) believes that career scientists represent a store of knowledge that is often lost when research efforts are of short duration and participants scatter. Experienced, career scientists are especially important in providing leadership in research and in training and advising inexperienced researchers. Thus, continuity in research staff is essential. ISNAR (1984) and Schultz (1979) believe that high rates of return to research are generated by cadres of competent scientists who remain with a research institution over the course of their careers. Given the interdisciplinary nature of agricultural research, successful research efforts are critically 45 dependent upon the interaction of scientists with different training and points of view. Nestel and Trigo (1984) believe that research continuity is essential in the development of productive and complementary work styles between scientific personnel. 3.1.2) WW There are two types of research-- basic and applied. Arndt (1977) describes applied agricultural research as a search for new technology and knowledge, using the results of basic research programs. The World Bank (1988) also distinguishes between adaptive and maintenance research. Adaptive research molds new technologies to specific needs and agro-ecological conditions. Maintenance research adjusts and improves technology in use by producers to changes in the agro-ecological milieu such as disease. Basic research establishes the fundamental knowledge and research methods, or frontiers, within which innovation is possible. Thus, there is an interaction between basic and applied research. In general, basic research is considered to demand more highly developed research skills. Experience at the "scientific frontier" demands at least Ph.D. level training. A number of authors refer to the "small country" research problem. Ruttan (1982) and the World Bank (1981) see small countries as having limited population bases, and hence limited 46 financial and human resources. As a result, these authors think small developing countries are unable to afford basic research. Instead small countries should rely on the basic research that has been done by larger countries or international agricultural research centers. Small countries should devote the bulk of their resources to applied research on commodities of major importance to the economy and to farming systems. Von der Osten (World Bank, 1988) of the International Service for National Agricultural Research (ISNAR) warns African national agricultural research institutions against focusing too much of their efforts on applied research. Though von der Osten agrees that applied and adaptive research are of central importance to Africa, he believes that much of the basic research required for successful technological development in Africa has not yet been undertaken. In particular, many staple food crops and dryland farming systems in Africa have been poorly researched" Jahnke et a1. (1987) support this view; .African agricultural research institutions must strike a balance between basic and applied research. An emphasis on adaptive or maintenance research does not imply that the qualifications of researchers may be lessened. Ruttan (1982) argues that adaptive and. maintenance research require the same research skills and capabilities that are required in generating new technology. A highly educated and 47 trained research staff, especially doctoral level training, is crucial for agricultural research institutions in developing countries. This study assumes that given Senegal's tradition of being the colonial center for agricultural research in semi-arid French West Africa, and given the limited basic knowledge base applicable to Africa, basic research and applied research are both important areas of inquiry at ISRA. 3.1.3) W The most critical element in a building an agricultural research institutes's capacity to conduct research is the establishment of a well-qualified professional research staff. Evenson (1977) presents a typology of researcher skills that is instructive in gauging the lost skills resulting from turnover in research staff. Ieehnieel skills are learned by researchers in most undergraduate level programs in agriculture. Evenson believes that undergraduate university education establishes the basic ability to apply "textbook" principles to technical problems. Ieehnieeleeeiegeifiie skills generally are received in Master's programs. Evenson believes these programs impart high- level technical skills, but limited conceptual skills. Cogcepgual-scientifiie skills generally are learned in PhD level 48 graduate programs. In this skill category conceptual skills have become highly developed, and scientists have had experience at the "scientific frontier". There is widespread agreement that high level post-graduate training in specific disciplines is a prerequisite for acquiring basic research methodology skills (Bennell, 1986). Evenson believes that without such training, researchers engage in relatively low level, unproductive research. Often this entails repeating work that has been done elsewhere. Thus, assembling a staff of researchers who possess higher order research skills is important in manpower development plans. A key issue in building research capacity is the achievement of "critical mass" in national scientific personnel. However, there is no set criteria for determining "critical mass" since staff requirements vary by commodity, agro-ecological circumstances, and agricultural policy. It is beyond the scope of this study to define "critical mass". However, given the relative youth of ISRA as an agricultural research institution, and given the large role currently played by expatriate researchers in research programs, it is believed that ”critical mass" in national research staff has not yet been achieved at ISRA and remains a long—term institutional goal. Despite dramatic growth in numbers of researchers at most African national agricultural research institutions over the last III 49 25 years, understaffing of research projects is a commonly cited constraint on the productivity of African agricultural research (Bennell,l986). Researchers at African agricultural research institutes typically are very young and inexperienced. Table 2.4 (see p.35) shows that a large number Senegalese researchers remain inexperienced. Seventy nine per cent of Senegalese researchers at ISRA have less than 10 years of experience. Forty two per cent have 5 years of experience or less. A shortage of experienced researchers hampers a country's ability to both formulate and implement research projects, as well as to train and supervise junior researchers. Expatriate researchers have often been relied upon to overcome Senegal's limited numbers of experienced researchers (see Table 2.1, p.34). Bennell argues that there is an increasingly serious shortage of highly educated and experienced expatriate researchers who are willing to work longer than three years in Africa. Thus, the recent trendchas been for African agricultural research institutes and donor projects to rely upon expatriate consultants with contracts of three years or less. Some authors are worried by a heavy reliance on short-term expatriate researchers. Jahnke et al. (1987) believe that short term stays by expatriates disrupt research continuity in those national research projects that are dependent upon expatriate researchers. SPAAR (World Bank, 1987b) worries that the 50 structural and managerial autonomy enjoyed by some expatriate researchers complicates and impedes national research programming and budgeting. Bennell (1986) believes that short-term, and less- well qualified expatriate researchers are inappropriate for serving managerial and training functions at African agricultural research centers. He also believes that pressures upon expatriates to publish in order to further their careers at home may distort their research objectives and further impede their contribution to African agricultural research. Finally, rapid expansion of research facilities and/or research programs combined with limited numbers of professional researchers can lead to understaffing of research programs and projects. In these circumstances existing scientific manpower at agricultural research institutions gets spread too thin over a number of research projects. In determining the scope of a national agricultural research institution's research effort, planners should account for limitations in scientific manpower. 3.2) W 3.2-1) W A common problem in African national agricultural research systems is insufficient financial support from governmental sources. The FAO and UNDP (1984) recommend that countries should spend at least the equivalent of 1 per cent of agricultural Gross 51 Domestic Product (GDP) on agricultural research. Most African countries spend between 0.4 and 0.75 per cent of their agricultural GDP on agricultural research (de Janvry, 1985), well below the target level of l per cent. Senegal has traditionally demonstrated a greater financial commitment to agricultural research than most African countries. De Janvry (1985) shows that in 1980 the Senegalese government's $9,797,000 contribution to agricultural research represented 1.21 per cent of agricultural GDP. Only two countries in Africa, Zimbabwe and Mali, exceeded this figure. Due to budgetary constraints the Senegalese government's financial contribution to ISRA, has decreased significantly in both current francs and constant real francs since 1981 (Faye and Bingen, 1988). Despite this decreasing financial support ISRA has rapidly expanded its facilities and staff since 1981, fueled in large part by donor initiatives. The result has placed a severe strain on ISRA's resources. By 1987, Senegal contributed the equivalent of only 0.9 per cent of agricultural GDP to agricultural research. Although these figures should be treated with caution since many external factors such as weather influence agricultural GDP, they remain a commonly accepted measure of a country's commitment to agricultural research. The Senegalese gpvernment's financial contribution to ISRA is entirely absorbed by the salaries of ISRA personnel (Faye and 52 Bingen, 1988). Thus, donors such as France, the World Bank and USAID play pivotal roles in providing funds with which to conduct research. The influence this funding provides donors in formulating ISRA's research agenda was described in Chapter 2. Donors provide nearly all the operating funds with which ISRA researchers conduct research. A commonly cited problem with donor funding of agricultural research is the 4-6 year time frame of many donor investments. Donor funding for agricultural research projects in developing countries is often unstable-- plentiful during the course of donor projects but scarce as projects wind down or are renegotiated. The erratic disbursement of donor funds often de- stabilizes agricultural research programs. Gamble (in Nestel and Trigo, 1984) believes this de-stabilizing force is compounded by the inconstancy of domestic support. Erratic and uncertain funding of research hinders the long-range planning of research programs, and can create disjointed research programs. Donor projects designed to expand national research capacity (facilities and staff) often fail to take into consideration developing countries' and research institutions' resource bases. Overly ambitious expansion of research facilities, research programs, or research staff often severely strains a research institution's limited financial, administrative, and technical capacities (Daniels and Nestel, 1981; Nestel and Trigo, 1984). If 53 researchers receive inadequate financial and logistical support, their ability to both conduct research and achieve professional goals is hampered. As a result, a researcher's motivation, morale and job satisfaction might tumble. A researcher's performance is lowered. Low operational funding of research contributes to the turnover process. Research personnel returning from overseas studies to their national research institutes often find working incentives and operational support at levels which are far below the levels they received and learned to expect during their training abroad (Rohrbach, 1984). Daniels and Nestel (1981) believe instability in funding keeps salaries low, and results in erratic cash flows and budget cutbacks, thus aggravating the turnover problem. 3.3) Wm The outcome of the research efforts of an agricultural research institute depends heavily. upon the institutional environment within which research is performed (Ruttan, 1982). Thus, issues in research management, organization and planning are important in describing conditions of service for agricultural researchers. -. Clear articulation of national agricultural research policies and priorities is essential for the formulation of r1 54 coherent research programs. If weakly stated, research managers often lack formal criteria upon which to guide their resource allocation decisions. Furthermore, poorly defined research goals often result in redundant or irrelevant scientific investigations, at failure to make use of available technologies, and a loss of institutional credibility. As a result, recruitment of researchers becomes more difficult, and currently employed researchers become demoralized. In sum, the productivity of the research institute suffers. A commonly cited weakness of African agricultural research systems is the lack of systematic, long-run research and manpower planning (World Bank, 1987b). Staffing and training decisions are often 'based upon the availability’ of scholarships, or donor interests in funding or staffing research programs. Governments often expect a quick payoff to investments in upgrading research staff capacity, ignoring the fact that such investments yield only long-term payOffs. Rapid expansion of research staff and research facilities in the absence of careful analysis of research needs and resource constraints strains limited research capacity. Many African national research institutes' employment strategies are conducted on an ad hoc basis. As seen in Section 2.4.7, ISRA is no exception. The organization and management of research provides the framework within which .research priorities are defined and 55 implemented, and personal responsibilities, relationships, and patterns of communication are formally decided. Thus, continuity of organizational leadership and structure is essential in establishing an environment conducive for research. Unstable organizational leadership often leads to frequent changes or reversals in research policies. As a result, the research goals and priorities of an institution often become confused. If the environment within which- research is conducted is uncertain, individual research goals often take precedence over institutional goals. Thus, an institute's research performance suffers. Idachaba (1985) believes that a major weakness of most African agricultural research systems are institutional arrangements for administering research which are in a constant state of flux. The period between 1981 and 1987 at ISRA was characterized by institutional instability. As seen in Chapter 2, ISRA has undergone three major reorganizations since 1975. The organizational structure at ISRA was very vague between 1982 and 1985. The government ministry to which ISRA is attached changed five times between 1975 and 1987 (Faye and Bingen, 1988). As a result, the resource allocation procedures and hierarchical relationships at ISRA have been unstable. In investigating continuity in managerial leadership, the qualifications and experience levels of managerial and 56 administrative personnel must be explored. The lack of qualified research managers is a commonly cited problem of African national agricultural research systems. Traditionally, manpower training and expansion programs have focused 'primarily upon research staff. The training of management and administrative personnel has largely been ignored. Limited qualifications in administrative and managerial staff complicates both research and manpower planning, and the allocation of resources to research (World Bank, 1987b). Frequently, research managers and administrators are selected from the ranks of experienced researchers employed at an agricultural research institution. A number of authors consider this practice to be a misuse of resources. Since management training is rarely incorporated a researcher's training program, the promotion of researchers into administrative positions often makes poor administrators out of good researchers (SPAAR, World Bank, 1987b). A common problem is that the researchers selected for administrative positions are often amongst the most experienced and qualified of researchers at a research institution. If these researchers spend the bulk of their time doing purely administrative tasks, scientific leadership and continuity in research is undermined. Promotion policies and salary structures which reward administrative and managerial functions rather than scientific 57 functions often. detract researchers from focusing their full efforts on research. Researchers may spend their time politicking and positioning themselves to increase the probability that they will be promoted into administration. Daniels and Nestel (1981) see both positive and negative aspects to promoting scientists into administrative positions. The benefit is that the scientists involved have a fundamental understanding of the research process. Conversely, an institution's overall managerial capacity may be weakened given most researchers' limited skills in management and administration. Since the development of management skills and management style must take place while on-the-job, research planning and resource allocation suffer while scientists acquire skills in management . 3.4) lemeve; in fieeeerch Sgeff 3.4.1) Typee e: Turgover Natural turnover refers to retirements, and departures resulting from illness, injury or death. Although researchers who leave an institution due to retirement carry with them a lifetime of research experience and knowledge, retirements can be anticipated and accounted for in personnel planning. Natural occurrences such as illness and death are impossible to anticipate. The focus of this study is voluntary turnover, or 58 attrition, which refers to researchers who resign to accept alternative jobs. Another concept that is important in discussing turnover is the question of internal movement within a research institution. Internal movement refers to changes of job function, location or research project. Promoting scientists into administration is an example of internal movement. Many' authors agree that large numbers of researchers changing programs is counterproductive to research since it disrupts continuity in research staffs. In changing research roles, a researcher usually must familiarize himself with a new research problem and new' colleagues. If replaced by another researcher, the replacement must undergo the same learning, process. Thus, 'widespread internal. movement of researchers impedes and disrupts research efforts in the short- term. Internal movements of researchers are often associated with voluntary turnover. Researchers who remain at an institution are often transferred to replace departed researchers. Thus, the departure of a researcher can send a ripple of instability throughout an institution. Some internal movement is the result of donor projects which demand counterpart national researchers for their activities. 59 3.4.2) Qaueee of Zergove; i3 Researeh Staff Most authors believe that the underlying causes of turnover relate to three factors: conditions of service, salary and professional rewards, and the work environment. Ruttan (1982) has developed a model of a typical researcher. The reward structure for research scientists is comprised of both financial earnings and professional recognition. Ruttan believes a typical researcher is prepared to accept a nigh degree of deferred earnings and professional recognition as long as he or she develops professionally. Professional development refers to improvements in research skills, publications, and assuming greater responsibility. Income is perceived to be a positive function of a researcher's output. As a researcher acquires experience and becomes more productive, increased rank and earnings are expected. Ruttan believes that this reinforces a researcher's initial research orientation. If increased rank and earnings fail to accompany increased productivity, a researcher will shift his research efforts towards research that has more short-run payoffs, or leave the institution altogether. Researchers involved in basic research on the scientific ”frontier" are often prepared to substitute professional recognition and status for financial earnings. Thus, the incentive structure is critical in channelling research efforts, motivating researchers, and in retaining researchers. 60 Human. capital theory' explains the. economic. calculations involved in an individual's decision to leave a job. Hammermesh and Rees (1984) believe that the probability that a worker will leave a job is increased if wage differentials exist between jobs requiring similar skills. If an employee perceives that higher relative wages and nonpecuniary advantages are available by accepting alternative employment, the employee will leave his current job. However, leaving a job is not without cost. There are economic costs such as the cost of seeking another job, of moving one's family and belongings, and psychic costs involved in leaving. Psychic costs include leaving one's friends, leaving familiar work and living surroundings, and uprooting one's family. Hammermesh and Rees believe that if the present value of the discounted earnings and benefits in alternate employment are greater than the discounted costs of leaving a job, it is in the economic interest of a worker to leave his job. There is a near unanimous belief that low salaries are a major contributing cause to high rates of turnover in research staff at national agricultural research institutes in developing countries. Compounding the problem of low salaries is the lack of opportunities to be promoted. Frequently, national agricultural research institutes do not offer incentives to researchers that encourage scientists to remain at the institute over the course 61 of their career. Thus, faced with limited opportunities to increase their rank and earning, scientists often stay at a national research institute long enough to acquire research experience before moving to higher paying jobs elsewhere. In many African agricultural research institutes the real wages of researchers have been declining over the past 10 to 15 years. Bennell (1986) 'believes declining 'real salaries are a major factor in causing -low morale and dissatisfaction among researchers, and thus fuels the turnover process. 3.5) e nce tive t c u e a ISRA 3.5.1) P o essi a R we ds Professional rewards are a major component of an agricultural researcher's incentive structure. Being recognized by one's peers for research accomplishments, participation in seminars and conferences, and especially publications are important elements of a scientists's professional reward structure. Faye and Bingen (1988) report that in general ISRA has limited publishing facilities. Until the reorganization of 1987, ISRA did not have a department to edit or screen documents and assist researchers with papers. Most ISRA publications consist of research program reports and a large number of mimeographed reports that have not been well catalogued. Personal communications with ISRA researchers indicate that the 62 performance of the ISRA publishing office has been poor. Senegalese researchers rarely publish in international journals. Until recently, ISRA did. not encourage or promote international publication. Those Senegalese researchers who have published internationally have generally had personal contacts in the international scientific community, or have been participants in expatriate research teams sponsored by donor agencies. Most expatriate researchers publish in the journals of the organizations with which they work. Bennell and Thorpe (1987) conducted a survey of crop science research publications by researchers at African agricultural national research institutes between 1973 and 1983. In 1973, 36 articles authored by ISRA researchers were published in international journals. Of these 36 publications, 34 articles were published by expatriates, one published article was authored by a Senegalese researcher and one article was co-authored by Senegalese and expatriate authors. In 1978, there were 56 published articles, all in nmn-African journals or book proceedings. Of these 56 articles, 53 were authored by expatriates and three were co-authored by Senegalese and expatriates. In 1982, there were 25 published. articles in international journals of which 22 were authored by expatriates, one by a Senegalese, and two were co-authored by Senegalese and expatriates. 63 It should be noted that since documentation and cataloguing of publications has been a major weakness at ISRA, it is likely that many research publications by Senegalese researchers that were circulated only within Senegal fail to appear in these figures. Nevertheless, it appears that Senegalese researchers at ISRA have limited opportunities for professional recognition through publications, especially in the international scientific community. Other professional reward mechanisms for research scientists include perquisites such as the opportunity to attend domestic and overseas seminars, conferences, workshops, or short-term training programs. Faye and Bingen (1988) report that although not always evenly distributed, there are generally ample opportunities for ISRA researchers to attend such functions. 3.5.2) W Since its creation, ISRA's enabling legislation has given it legal status as a public establishment with industrial and commercial characteristics (EPIC). Since the implementation of the EPIC salary statutes in 1977, ISRA employees 'have ‘been classified on the basis of their job. Advances in rank and salary are contingent upon changes in classifications. Between 1976 and 1982, a salary structure applicable to ISRA was formulated. A proposed structure developed by researchers 64 that emphasized scientific functions over administrative functions was rejected. The salary structure that was adopted was developed by managers. Faye and Bingen (1988) report that as a result, the ISRA salary structure rewards administrative roles and positions more than scientific positions. The number of job categories were tightened and restructured in the salary regulations adopted in 1982. Salary became based entirely on job title rather than an individual's qualifications. Qualifications for a given job were not systematically or clearly stated. Faye and Bingen report that the 1983 reclassification of jobs that accompanied the adoption of the new ISRA salary regulations, created great disparities. The salaries of researchers and agricultural technicians were lowered or flattened. The salaries of a number of support personnel doubled. As a result of the 1983 reclassification, total salary costs at ISRA rose by 38 per cent, far exceeding the Senegalese government's financial contribution to ISRA (see Chapter 2.4.6). However, at the same time that the job reclassification took place, the government decided to reduce its funding of ISRA by 20 per cent over five years. As a result of these funding constraints, salary bonuses that are contained in EPIC salary regulations have gone unpaid since 1983. The EPIC statute assigns workers on the basis of job function to one of eight job classifications. ISRA researchers 65 are all classified as class 6, which refers to a professional cadre with superior qualifications and decision making responsibilities. There are three sub-categories in. grade 6: grades 6-1, 6-2, and 6-3. With each grade classification is a base salary. A researcher's base salary is changed only by being promoted into a higher grade class. If the base salary is raised, the raise is given to all members of a given job classification. In 1987, the base salary for researchers classified as 6-1 was 199,350 FCFA per month. The monthly base salaries for grade classifications 6-2 and 6-3 were 209,050 FCFA and 219,750 FCFA respectively. A researcher who remains a researcher over the course of his career at ISRA can thus anticipate only a 10 per cent increase in base salary if promoted from grade 6-1 to 6-3. Differences in research experience and education do not lead to higher base salaries. EPIC salary regulations include higher job classes. Grade 7 and its three categories are assigned to "directors of an establishment", or at ISRA, research center directors. Grade 8, which also has three categories, is assigned to the Director General of the institution. Analysis of ISRA personnel files indicates that grade 6-3 is largely linked to administrative positions such as director of a research department. In the EPIC salary structure management and. administration positions are clearly more highly rewarded than research positions. 66 The EPIC salary structure also envisions bonuses for length of service. These bonuses are calculated on the basis of a researcher's base salary. After three years of service at ISRA, a researcher receives an additional 3 per cent of base salary each month. This 3 per cent bonus based on length of service continues through the fifth year of service. After the fifth year of continuous employment at ISRA, the monthly length of service bonus rises to 5 per cent. The bonus rises an additional 1 per cent for each year of service at ISRA until the fifteenth year. After the fifteenth year of service, the length of service bonus remains constant at 15 per cent until retirement. Thus, under the EPIC salary regime a researcher who does not change job classifications can anticipate a l per cent raise each year during his sixth through fifteenth years of service. The EPIC salary provisions foresee the payment of a productivity bonus, the amount of which is determined by an evaluation. However, ISRA does not pay productivity bonuses. In part this is the result of difficulties in defining the productivity of a researcher. However, the most important reason for productivity bonuses going unpaid is the classification of ISRA as an EPIC institution. EPIC institutions usually are industrial or commercial in nature. They produce goods for sale. As such, data are available regarding total sales and profit, and the productivity of workers can be determined. 67 The only income ISRA generates to supplement the financial contributions of the government and donors is obtained through the sales of vaccines, seeds, livestock and the yields from field projects. This permits ISRA to cover some, but by no means all, of the budget shortfall for salaries described in Section 3.2.1. Thus, there is little difference in salary amongst researchers at ISRA despite differences in educational status, seniority, and scientific creativity and productivity. Salaries are based on seniority and not merit. To be promoted, a researcher must abandon research for administration. ISRA lacks a salary structure which encourages a career in research. 3.5.3) Hezk Egvirenment Many of the elements of a work environment that lead to loss of researcher motivation and morale have been referred to previously. To summarize, frequent changes of organization and management affect the interpersonal relationships within an institution, the allocation of resources for research, and often entail changing research priorities and goals. The motivation of researchers, and hence, the quality of their research suffers as a result. Shortages of operating funds often hamper and impede researchers in conducting research. This also reduces the job satisfaction, motivation levels and the research performance of researchers. 68 A salary structure which does not foster a cadre of career researchers, and does not reward a researcher's work undermines researcher motivation and morale. Limited opportunities to be recognized professionally or to be rewarded for a job well done also features of a poor' working environment. Poorly ‘planned research programs, vaguely defined researcher roles, and lack of challenging ‘work are other factors ‘which lead. to researcher frustration and low motivation. A work environment in which there is a high degree of turnover often encourages more turnover. Conversations with ISRA researchers suggest that when associates and colleagues leave an institution, the morale of remaining researchers is lowered. If remaining researchers perceive former colleagues as being better off by leaving the institute, they might anticipate high future earnings and satisfaction from leaving. A. work environment and incentive structure that is not conducive to research leads to poor motivation and dissatisfaction. in. researchers. This increases the likelihood that a researcher will leave a research institution. To underscore this fact, the preliminary results of a 1987 survey of researchers at ISRA indicate that half of the respondents did not expect to be working at ISRA in ten years. Over two thirds of the responding researchers indicated that their earnings and possibilities for professional advancement were unsatisfactory. 69 3.6) The Impecte of Turnover 3.6.1) Eroeion gr Reseerch Capacity Most authors agree that high rates of turnover in research staff decrease an agricultural research institution's capacity to produce useful research results. Bennell (1986) believes that turnover in research staff undermines attempts to develop a cadre of experienced and highly trained researchers. Pinstrup-Anderson (1982) echoes this belief. In his view, turnover of researchers leads to continuously low qualifications in research staff. ISNAR (1984) believes that the leadership, planning, and supervisory capacities of senior scientists are eroded, or at least strained, when inexperienced researchers replace departed researchers. Ruttan (1982) believes that rapid turnover threatens the viability of research. As a result of turnover, research activities are often slowed or disrupted. Some research projects are never completed when a member of a research team leaves in the middle of a project, or are substantially delayed while new scientists are recruited. Shortages of researchers that are caused by turnover often force the scope of a research program's activities to be scaled back. Since agricultural research is often a multidisciplinary effort conducted by teams of researchers, turnover lowers the productivity of a research program by disrupting continuity. 70 Thus, rapid rates of turnover in research staff exacerbate manpower constraints in national agricultural research systems. Limited capacity to staff research activities often means research planners must make tradeoffs between national development goals. Jahnke et a1. (1987) and ISNAR (1984) believe rapid rates of researcher turnover severely strains the recruitment process at agricultural research institutes. In a country like Senegal in which higher level research skills are obtained through post- graduate training overseas, this process can be very expensive, or impossible to accomplish. Since turnover is largely unanticipated and difficult to predict, high rates of turnover can seriously complicate research and manpower planning and management . 3.6.2) Lest Rerume to Inveermenr Ruttan (1982) believes that rapid turnover compromises an agricultural research institution's research performance. As a result, returns to investments in research projects, training programs, and institution building are reduced. In a study of turnover in research staff at national agricultural research institutes in Colombia, Argentina and Peru, Ardila, Trigo and Piniero (1981) found that the worst impacts of turnover were felt after training programs were completed. When a 71 flow of replacements was not forthcoming after large-scale, externally funded training programs were concluded, the "critical mass" of researchers that had been developed quickly eroded. They conclude that entire research programs can disintegrate rapidly if continuing allocation of resources for training and adequate inducements to retain scientists are not maintained. The costs of rapid rates of researcher staff turnover are borne primarily by the national agricultural research institutes for which the personnel are trained. The consensus is that rapid turnover of qualified researchers sacrifices the limited resources of a public research organization, thus compromising the potential of national agricultural research to contribute to agricultural development goals. However, Ruttan (1982) believes there are social benefits associated with turnover of researchers. If skilled and experienced researchers leave a national research institute to accept positions with other in-country agricultural development projects and organizations (agricultural ministries, international development agencies, private voluntary organizations), the human capital of these organizations is often enhanced. Thus, Ruttan (1982) believes that investments in national research capacity have large spillover effects. Turnover truncates the stream of benefits an agricultural research 72 institute receives from investments designed to improve or expand its scientific personnel. However, if departed scientists continue to work in the same country, social benefits continue to be obtained from these investments since national intellectual capacity is increased. From an institutional perspective, Mobley (1982) believes there are instances in which turnover can be beneficial. Institutional performance can be enhanced if turnover entails the displacement of employees with poor performance, creates promotion opportunities for remaining staff, or if replacements bring an infusion of new ideas into the institution. 3.7) WW ove Costly investments in human capital are undertaken by individuals and sponsoring organizations since, like investments in physical capital, more highly skilled individuals are expected to be more productive. Thus, investments in human capital yield an increased stream of ‘benefits to an. agricultural research institution and, by inference, a country's agricultural sector. The World Bank (1988) estimates that it takes 15 to 20 years for investments in new staff education and training to bear full impact. ISNAR (1984) estimates that it requires two to three years for a researcher to become familiar with a research problem. Thus, it is expected that the average productivity curve 73 of a researcher slowly increases during the first two to three years of service, and then rises more rapidly until the fifteenth year of service. At the fifteenth year the productivity of a researcher levels off. Furthermore, it is assumed that the higher one's educational background, the more productive a researcher will be. Thus, higher levels of education shift the productivity curve of research scientists upwards. If a researcher leaves an agricultural research institution, the stream of benefits produced by investing in a researcher's level of skills is truncated. By plotting a hypothetical curve of a researcher's productivity against the number of years a researcher is actively involved in research, the investment lost from turnover may be conceptualized. For example, assume a researcher with the equivalent of a Bachelor's degree is sent Figure 3.1: A.Conceptual Framework for Measuring Losses to Investment Resulting from Turnover in Research Staff. Increased Product from \\ Investment A Time 74 overseas to receive a Master's degree. The anticipated benefits from this investment are represented by the area under the productivity curve in Figure 3.1. The productivity curve represents the increased research product produced by a researcher's higher educational qualifications. If a researcher were to leave a research institution after a given time n, the shaded area to the right of the line connecting points N and A represents the lost investment resulting from a researcher leaving the national research institute. Although social benefits continue if a researcher is employed in other research projects in a country after leaving the agricultural research institute, the costs are likely to be higher than indicated in Figure 3.1. The departure of a researcher often lowers the productivity of those researchers who remain in research programs and projects. 75 §h§n§eI_5: RESEARCH STAFF TURNOVER AT THE SENEGALESE NATIONAL AGRICULTURAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE (1981-1987): AN ANALYSIS OF THE PROCESS, CAUSES AND IMPACTS Inrrodectiog The Senegalese Agricultural Research Institute (ISRA) underwent a major expansion in research capacity between 1981 and 1987. In particular, major investments were made in both training researchers and in increasing their numbers. However, in recent years ISRA managers and donor representatives have been troubled by a high degree of turnover in research staff. The problems underlying the turnover of research scientists at ISRA have never been thoroughly researched. The goal of this chapter is to describe the process of research staff turnover' at ISRA, to identify the factors causing turnover, and to gauge its impacts. 4.1) Migrate Chapter 3 discussed a number of factors which cause researchers to leave national agricultural research institutions for alternative employment opportunities. This discussion suggests a number of findings that can be anticipated in the analysis turnover at ISRA. 1) Low relative salaries at ISRA and the lack of a career incentives in conditions of service are a major contributing cause to high rates of researcher turnover. 76 Conditions of service at ISRA are believed to be a major contributing factor in rapid rates of research staff turnover. To test the influence of conditions of service on research staff turnover, the following factors will be investigated: a) Seleryr, Low relative salaries, and declining real salaries offered by public agricultural research institutes are generally considered to be a major cause of turnover. This study analyzes the salary structure for researchers at ISRA, in both nominal and real terms. In human capital theory, relative salaries play the crucial role in an individual's decision to change jobs. Thus, the salary structure for researchers at ISRA will be compared to the salary structures of the competing research organizations seeking skilled agricultural researchers in Senegal. International and regional research organizations, private voluntary and nonprofit organizations with development projects in Senegal, and governmental development agencies are the primary sources of alternative employment for ISRA researchers. b) Promorien pelieiee; Conditions of service are evaluated using an earnings function analysis based on human capital theory and suggested by ISNAR (Elliott and Kang, 1985). The lack of incentives to pursue a career in research, and limited rewards for productivity at ISRA are believed to be further elements which encourage turnover amongst Senegalese researchers at ISRA. 77 2) Rates of turnover amongst researchers increased after the job reclassification and the implementation of rigid new salary provisions by ISRA in 1983. ISRA tightened and implemented the salary provisions contained in the enabling legislation which classifies ISRA as a public establishment with industrial and commercial characteristics (EPIC) in 1983. Essentially, this action entailed a restructuring of job classifications and the linking of salary to job function rather than a researcher's qualifications or productivity (Faye and Bingen, 1988). This job restructuring resulted in rigid salary scales and limited promotional prospects for researchers over the course of their careers. Thus, it is anticipated that turnover rates increased after 1983 when work conditions for researchers deteriorated. 3) Younger, more inexperienced researchers are more likely to leave ISRA than older, more experienced researchers. Hammermesh and Rees (1984) conclude that a major implication of human capital theory is that younger employees are more likely to leave a job than older workers. The reason for this is threefold. First, younger employees have a longer time horizon over which to calculate the discounted benefits expected from alternative employment. Secondly, younger researchers have lower moving costs since they have not developed as strong 78 psychic ties to their surroundings, or amassed as many personal belongings as experienced researchers. Finally, younger, inexperienced researchers have not received the same degree of on-the-job training as older researchers. Hammermesh and Rees (1984) believe that most on- the-job training has both a general and firm-specific content. Human capital theory predicts that the more firm-specific skills a worker acquires through work experience, the less likely a that worker will change jobs. 4) Highly educated researchers are more likely to leave ISRA than less-well educated researchers. A number of authors believe that highly productive and well-qualified researchers are often the most likely to leave national agricultural research institutes in developing countries. Data limitations prevent any analysis based on a scientist's research output. However, a researcher's qualifications and skills are to a large degree dependent on a researcher's education. Human capital theory predicts that a researcher's productivity increases with level of skill. Since earnings are a function of education and experience, it is anticipated that the ISRA salary structure which links salary to job function rather than an individual's skills and productivity hampers ISRA's ability to retain highly educated researchers. 79 In many developing African countries there is a general shortage of highly educated and skilled labor. Since such human capital is in short supply, and demand for such personnel is high, it is anticipated that researchers with PhD's or equivalent French degrees are more likely to leave their jobs than Master's level or Bachelor degree level researchers. 5) Turnover rates among researchers increase when donor projects are completed. Low operational support for research and erratically allocated resources needed to conduct research are commonly cited reasons for low motivation and high levels of frustration among researchers. Hence, there is an increased likelihood. that a researcher will decide to change jobs during periods of low operational support for research. Ardila, Trigo and Piniero (1981) and Nestel and Trigo (1984) both link high rates of turnover in research staffs to decreased support from donors. The Senegalese government's financial contribution to ISRA is entirely consumed by salaries. Funds for ISRA research operations are obtained primarily through donor agencies or through borrowing. However, donor programs typically operate within a 4 to 6 year time frame. When donor projects near completion, operational funds for research become scarce. 80 6) Turnover rates amongst expatriate researchers are higher than for Senegalese researchers at ISRA. Expatriate researchers at ISRA play an important role in implementing donor research projects, and in staffing research projects for which there are a shortage of Senegalese researchers. As seen previously, donor projects are often of relatively short duration. FUrthermore, Bennell (1986) has shown that increasingly expatriate researchers are hired as short-term consultants. This trend is most evident at Francophone West African national research institutes where the experienced cadres of expatriate researchers that had traditionally been relied upon for leadership and management roles have largely retired or left. 7) Promoting researchers into research administration positions undermines the ability of ISRA to develop an experienced, well-qualified staff of researchers. Throughout the analysis the promotion of researchers into research administration positions is considered to be a form of turnover in researcher staff. As seen in Chapter 3.5, the salary structure at ISRA rewards administrators at higher rates than researchers. Chapter 3.5 suggests that more experienced, highly educated researchers are apt to be promoted into research administration at ISRA. This practice increases instability in 81 research staffs. 4.2) The Data The data upon which this study is based consist of yearly personnel files from ten ISRA research centers: Bambey, Kaolack, C.D.H., St. Louis, Djibelor, C.N.R.F., L.N.E.R.V., Dahra, Kolda, and the General Direction. Data are also available for the Tambacounda research center that was opened in the latter part of 1986. Personnel data were not available for the Oceanographic research center (CRODT), and thus researchers in the Fisheries department have been excluded from this analysis. Complete personnel lists between 1981 and 1987 are available for only two research. centers-- Bambey' and. Dahra. Missing personnel information was collected by Michigan State University faculty members participating in an institution- building project between M.S.U. and ISRA financed by USAID/Dakar. Extensive analysis of turnover trends amongst expatriate researchers was largely precluded by the fact that ISRA does not compile personnel data for expatriate researchers. Thus, the available personnel data on expatriates were also compiled by means of communications with ISRA administrators. However, since the focus of this study is turnover amongst Senegalese researchers, it is not believed that the data limitations for expatriate researchers seriously affect the analysis. 82 Certain anomalies remain in the data. ISRA did not include age, entry dates at ISRA, and educational data in its personnel listings prior to 1985. Thus, for researchers who left ISRA prior to 1986 gaps remain concerning age, education, salary and length of service variables. Gaps in the data were filled in as thoroughly as possible through communications with a variety of individuals familiar with ISRA. The personnel records that were compiled for this study are more complete than personnel records kept at ISRA headquarters in Dakar. Data are available for all years from 1981 until the end of 1987. Personal communications reveal that two researchers left ISRA in early 1988. In the analysis of researchers who left ISRA, these two researchers have been included. Information is available for the following ‘variables: nationality, contractual status, job classification, 1987 salary, research program, education, discipline studied, age, length of service at ISRA, researcher status (full-time research, research administration, recruit, or temporary researcher), research center, and whether a researcher was present at ISRA in a given year. Information about job changes was compiled from the personnel files. However, information about full-time researchers who studied abroad during the 1981-1987 period. was unevenly available. Thus, researchers sent abroad in the midst of their 83 careers at ISRA have been considered as full-time ISRA researchers. Finally, there were at least ten cases of researchers who were promoted from assistant researcher to researcher status. In. the turnover statistics and researcher numbers that follow, assistant researchers turned. researchers were omitted until they obtained full research status. Length of service data for salaries was calculated on the basis of the date of entry listed on ISRA personnel lists. 4.3) We 4.3.1) WW Numerous studies of the turnover process at firms and organizations in Ideveloped. countries are available. The 'vast majority of these studies have compared the responses to surveys administered to "leavers" and ”stayers". These surveys have attempted to explain the causes of turnover by measuring variables such as job satisfaction, job commitment, and behavioral intentions to leave an institution (McEvoy and Cascio, 1985; Mobley, 1982). Data limitations prevented any such analysis in this study. Recently, a number of authors have developed models to measure the impacts of turnover on institutional performance. Underlying these studies is the belief that there may be beneficial aspects to turnover. These studies typically include 84 both attitudinal variables and variables which measure the output of employees (see Boudreau and. Berger, 1985; Hollenbeck. and Williams, 1986). Given the lack of data about ISRA researchers' output, such as publications, this study could not model the impacts of turnover on research performance at ISRA. Thus, this study measures turnover by calculating turnover frequencies and attempts to correlate turnover with individual and organizational variables that are contained in. the ISRA personnel files. Yearly turnover rates were calculated as follows. Based on the yearly personnel records, researchers were coded as "1" if they were employed at ISRA in a given year, and as "0" if their names were not listed in the personnel files for a given year. In this manner a record of ISRA researchers was established for each year between 1981 and 1987. Yearly turnover rates were calculated by first selecting those researchers wooded as "l” in. a ‘base year n, and then selecting those researchers coded as "1" in both the base year n and n + 1. After selecting those researchers who were present in consecutive years, turnover rates were calculated. using the following formula (Idachaba, 1985): Yearly (Researchers coded __ (Researchers coded turnover - "l" in yeere n. n+1) ”1” in year n) X 100. rate (Researchers coded "l" in year n) 85 The formula was expanded to measure turnover rates over longer periods of time by selecting researchers who were present in year n, and years n+1, n+2,...,n+i. This turnover formula was selected because it is by far the most widely used method of calculating turnover (Mobley, 1982). Most available measures of turnover of researchers at national agricultural research institutes are stated in terms of annual turnover rates (see Ardila, Trigo, and Piniero, 1981). Thus, annual turnover rates may be compared between different agricultural research institutions. Turnover rates were also calculated on the basis of nationality and research department. 4.3.2) Qgerell Iurnever getee (1281 - 1982) Of the 227 researchers who were employed at ISRA between 1981 and 1987, 100 (44.1 per cent) left ISRA. Fifty seven of the 90 expatriates researchers (63.3 per cent) at ISRA during the sample period left the institution. Forty three (31.4 per cent) of the 137 Senegalese researchers in the population left. Table 4.1 and Figure 4.1 show the annual turnover rates for all researchers on a yearly basis between 1981 ~1987. Turnover in research staff at ISRA increased in 1985 and 1986 relative to the 1981 - 1984 period. The number of researchers who left ISRA almost doubled beWeen 1984 and 1985. In 1987, the yearly turnover rate soared dramatically. More than a quarter of the 86 Table 4.1: Turnover Rates for All ISRA Researchers (1981 - 1987) Percent of Leaving e a e Annual Year Number of Expatriates Senegalese Turnover Researchers (% of total) (% of total) Rate Who Left 81-82 7 71.4 28.6 6.2 82-83 4 75.0 25.0 3.5 83-84 8 75.0 25.0 5.9 84-85 15 60.0 40.0 9.3 85-86 15 46.7 53.3 8.5 86-87 48 56.3 43.7 28L1 Seeree: ISRA.Personnel Files researchers employed by ISRA in 1986 left by the end of 1987. Although expatriates form the majority of those researchers who left ISRA between 1985 and 1987, Table 4.1 indicates that since 1985 turnover increasingly has become a Senegalese problem. ISRA.has little say in the decisions of expatriate researchers to leave ISRA, since these researchers are attached to ISRA under the auspices of various donor agencies. However, the increasing proportion of' Senegalese researchers leaving ISRA. since 1985 signal increasing problems in fISRA's ability to retain it's research personnel. 87 Turnover Rates: Puree n1: Figure 4.1: Yearly Turnover Rates All lSRA Researchers 1981 — 1987 30 LEGEND _ All Researchers f-D [.11 r.) <3- —-J- (J1 —_A. C." §_ 81-2 ' 83-4 85-6 82-3 84-5 86-7 “I ears Source: ISRA Personnel F1188 88 4.3.3) Yearly IBIBQVGE Reree hx Nariohality 9f Researchers The annual turnover rates among expatriate and Senegalese sub«groups of the researcher population support the conclusion that turnover in Senegalese research staff increased after 1984. Figure 4.2 and Table 4.2 show the trends in researcher turnover rates among expatriate and Senegalese researchers. With the exception of 1982, the turnover rates for expatriate researchers remained relatively’ constant ‘between. 1981 and 1986. However, turnover rates between 11 and 15 per cent are indicative of a high degree of instability. In 1987, nearly half of the expatriate researchers present at ISRA in 1986 left ISRA. The Special Program on African Agricultural Research (SPAAR) considers yearly turnover rates of 3-4 per cent for researcher staffs to be the norm at agricultural research institutions in developing countries (World Bank, 1987b). SPAAR infers that these rates are acceptable target levels. The turnover rates for Senegalese researchers ranged between 1.4 and 2.8 per cent between 1982 and 1984. This indicates that turnover was in an acceptable range at ISRA during the early stages of this study. Beginning in 1984-85 turnover rates among Senegalese researchers began to rise, before exploding in 1986-87. SPAAR considers turnover rates in excess of 7 per cent to be normal for researchers at African national agricultural research institutions, inferring that these rates are indicative of a high 89 Table 4.2: Yearly Turnover Rates Amongst Expatriate and Senegalese Researchers at ISRA (1981 - 1987). What: 8 esea e 5 Year Number Who Turnover Year Number Who Turnover Left Rats Left Rate—— 81-82 5 of 42 11.9 81-82 2 of 71 2.8 82-83 3 of 45 6.7 82-83 1 of 70 1.4 83-84 6 of 51 11.8_ 83-84 2 of 85 2.4 84-85 9 of 60 15.0 84-85 6 of 102 5.9 85-86 7 of 60 11.7 85-86 8 of 116 6.9 86-87 27 of 55 49.1 86-87 21 of 116 18.1 Seurce: ISRA Personnel Files. degree of instability within research staffs. ISNAR (1984) considers annual turnover rates of 10 per cent to be common in Africa. Turnover rates among Senegalese researchers at ISRA fall below the range SPAAR considers to be a normal in Africa prior to 1985, and fall within the normal African range during 1985 and 1986. The turnover rate at ISRA in 1987 exceeds the estimate of typical turnover rates in Africa. Turnover at ISRA in 1987 was a major problem. Bennell (1986) interprets turnover rates as follows: a turnover rate of 5 per cent a year means that a national research 90 'T u I" :1 over I‘ Ra ta P-—+r c: e nt Figure 4.2: Yearly Turnover Rates Turnover Rates by Nationality 1981 - 1987 "It a. it LEGEND 45 .. _ Expatriates 41:! r __ Senegatese \ T / ‘v’fi "fear Source: iSRA Personnel Fries 91 institute must replace half its research staff in 10 years. If the 1987 turnover rate at ISRA continued at 18.1 per cent for 5 1/2 years, the entire Senegalese research staff would have to be replaced. The dramatic increase in turnover among Senegalese researchers in 1987 parallels the dramatic increase in turnover among expatriate researchers at ISRA. 4.3.4) Turnover Retee by Beeeareh Depertmehr Table 4.3 and Figure 4.3 show yearly turnover rates on the basis of research department. Some of the turnover rates in the table are deceptive. The number of expatriates in the Animal Health and Production Department was less than 10 between 1981 and 1987. On average, one expatriate left the department each year. The Forestry Department statistics are also misleading. In 1986, there were only 4 expatriate and 14 Senegalese researchers. One expatriate researcher left Forestry Department in 1984, 1985, and 1986. In 1987, the extremely high turnover rates for expatriate researchers of 52.2 and 68.4 per cent in the Crops and Systems Departments, respectively, reflect the fact that a number of donor projects were terminated. The World Bank's Agricultural Research Project (PRA) financial contribution to ISRA began to gradually decline in 1986. This decline in. support gathered momentum as the 1988 completion date of the project grew closer. 92 Table 4.3: Yearly Turnover Rates in ISRA Research Departments a) Crops Deperrmehr 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 Expatriates: 14.3 14.3 18.2 20.0 8.3 52.2 Wifififlfliflm Overall: 8.5 8.7 8.0 10.0 6.3 29.2 b) Systeme Departmehr Expatriates: 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.5 14.3 68.4 Sehegeleee; ,9 0,9 4,8 2,4 9,4 12y; Overall: 0.0 0.0 2.7 8.7 11.3 33.3 c) n ma He th d od on DQRQEEQEDE Expatriates: 11.1 0.0 11.1 10.0 11.1 25.0 Senegalese; 0,0 Q,Q Q,Q 13,1 5,9 llai Overall: 3.6 0.0 3.3 12.1 5.9 15.6 d) Eorestry erartmenr Expatriates: 0.0 0.0 25.0 20.0 20.0 0.0 Sehegalese; _QrQ, _QiQ _QiQ _Q19 _QLQ 1319 Overall: 0.0 0.0 7.7 5.9 5.3 26.3 Sohree: ISRA Personnel Files In the Crops department, a Belgian horticultural project under the auspices of the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) ended in 1986, as did an ICRISAT project. In the Systems Department, the first phase of a USAID project ended in December, 1986. 93 Funding continued at a reduced rate in 1987 while the second phase of the project was being renegotiated. The most striking feature of Table 4.3 is that turnover of Senegalese researchers increased dramatically in all research departments in 1987. This indicates that the problems experienced at ISRA in 1987 were widespread. Turnover in the Systems Department has shown a steady increase since 1984. The Crops Department experienced relatively stable turnover rates for Senegalese researchers until 1987, when turnover became a major problem. In the Animal Health and Production Department, turnover was low amongst Senegalese researchers with the exception of 1985, and 1987. The Forestry Department characteristically has a very youthful group of Senegalese researchers. In 1981, there were only two Senegalese Researchers in the Department. Of the five researchers who left in 1987, two died and one was a temporary researcher., 4.3.5) c nst ' Inte Transfers Pr motion ov ned The promotion of researchers into administrative positions, and movements of researchers within a research institution, like turnover, disrupt the continuity: of research programs. Table 4.4 shows the total annual movement in Senegalese research staff between 1981 and 1987. 94 Figure 4.3: Yearly Turnover Rates Turnover Rates by Research Department 1981 — 1987 VA Crops Dept. - Systems Dept. '0 Livestock Dept. LEGEND Forestry Dept. H§-~‘§\\\§‘§‘§S‘§§§‘§S§ "gl’agggifiggddglfififig S‘g I!“ Ill/glut... gs: Vgglllidfld V§\.§ El, girl/lt’g 'r.‘ 7”””””; - 4i 5 0 Rd 0 5 0 2 “I. all 1.... #C mot...m.u& WQHUK L®>OCL3F 8.3-4 85-6 81-2 84-5 85-7 year 82-3 Source: lSRA Personnel Files 95 In 1986 and especially in 1987, movement of researchers within ISRA increased dramatically. Turnover in research staff was likely to have been a contributing cause to the increased movement of researchers between research centers. As seen previously, turnover in Senegalese research staff began to increase in 1985. Other factors that may have influenced the internal movement of researchers at ISRA include donor projects which began to wind down and end in 1986 and 1987, and the institutional reorganization in 1987. The promotion of researchers into administrative positions appears to have added an element of instability at ISRA throughout the period under study. As seen in Chapter 3, Table 4.4: Instability in Senegalese Research Staff at ISRA (1981 - 1987). Year Changed Promoted Left ISRA Total Research into Research Center Adninietration 1982 2 (2.9%) 2 (2.9%) 2 (2.9%) 6 (9.6%) 1983 0 l (1.4%) 1 (1.4%) 2 (2.8%) 1984 l (1.2%) 7 (8.2%) 2 (2.4%) 10 (11.8%) 1985 l (1.0%) 2 (1.9%) 6 (5.9%) 9 (8.8%) 1986 4 (3.5%) 3 (2.7%) 8 (6.9%) 15 (13.1%) 1987 13 (13.3%) 4 (3.5%) 21 (18.1%) 38 (34.9%) Seurce: ISRA Personnel Files 96 researchers rarely, if ever, have formal training in management and administration, largely acquiring these skills while on the job. Thus, the steady flow of researchers into research administration and management likely constrained ISRA's capacity to perform management functions throughout the 1981 - 1987 period. The high percentage of researchers promoted into administrative positions in 1984 reflects ISRA's structural reorganization in 1983. Rapid expansion of research staff between 1982 and 1986 is likely to have further burdened ISRA's research administration and management capacities. At the same time that researchers were assuming research and administration positions, demands on research administrators and managers were increasing as a result of the expansion. Finally, Table 4.4 shows that turnover of research personnel only partially explains the tremendous degree of instability that ISRA experienced in 1987. 34.9 per cent of the Senegalese researchers present at ISRA in 1986 left the institution or experienced a change in their research roles. When expatriates are included in the analysis, 65 researchers either left ISRA, changed research centers or were promoted into research administration in 1987. This represents a severe disruption in the continuity of research projects and research personnel that is neccessary for effective research. The productivity and 97 effectiveness of agricultural research in Senegal appears to have been seriously undermined in recent years. 4.4) Sheraereristice 9f Reeearehere flho Lefr ISRA 4.4.1) Status of Researehere She Left Senegalese researchers at ISRA between 1981 and 1987 were classified as full-time researchers, research administrators, trainees, and temporary researchers. Full-time researchers refer to the majority' of researchers at ISRA. who ‘have officially attained researcher status, and spend the majority of their time actively participating in research. Researchers classified as research administrators refer to the General Director, research department directors, and research center directors who have been promoted into these positions from research. Research administrators spend the majority of their time doing 'non- research functions. Trainees refer to recruits to ISRA who never were granted full researcher status and left during their probation period. As seen in Chapter 2.4.7, all researchers must fulfill a number of requirements before attaining full researcher status. The probation period lasts up to two years. Temporary researchers refer to researchers who have signed short-term contracts of less than a year. They have been included in the analysis since they are classified as researchers in the personnel records. Also, personal communications with ISRA 98 researchers indicate that a possibility often exists that temporary researchers will be retained as full-time researchers. For this reason, and since temporary researchers fill research functions, they have been included as researchers in the turnover statistics. Their inclusion inflates turnover statistics to a degree. It should be noted, however, that only one temporary researcher left ISRA in 1986 and 1987. Table 4.5 shows the breakdown of those researchers who left ISRA classified on the basis of their research status. Nearly a quarter of those researchers who left ISRA had trainee status. This in large part reveals weaknesses in ISRA's recruitment practices. As seen in Chapter 2, the recruitment of ISRA researchers is often based upon the availability of scholarships and donor funds rather than detailed manpower plans. As such, a well-defined research role for recruits returning from overseas study is often lacking (Faye and Bingen, 1988). Frustrated by long time delays, recruits often leave ISRA before becoming actively involved in research. The large proportion of trainees who left ISRA between 1981 and 1987 represent a large degree of lost investment in human capital for ISRA and the donor agencies which have invested in educating researchers. The benefits anticipated from investments in education are lost to ISRA when recruits leave before fully becoming involved in research projects. In ten cases, the costs "n 99 Table 4.5: Characteristics of Leavers: Research Status Status Ember LL—Jse centa Full-time Researcher 16 37.2% Research Administration 13 30.2% Trainees 10 23.3% Temporary 4 9 ' 3% Total 43 100.0% Status* Total Number Percent Who 111W Left—— Full-time Researcher 93 17.2% Research Administration 29 44.8% * Trainees and temporaries not included since these labels are applicable only to those who left. Trainees and temporaries who did not leave attained full-time status. Sonrce: ISRA Personnel Files. of educating trainees were born, yet benefits not received. The number of trainees no doubt includes some researchers who were unqualified to be researchers, although there is no way to measure the degree to which this is true. However, selecting unqualified recruits for overseas training also would indicate weaknesses in ISRA's recruiting practices. Presumably, weak research candidates should be identified prior to receiving 100 overseas training . Of the 10 trainees who left, 7 left in 1986 or 1987. Thus, it appears that turnover of trainees is in part associated with the ending of donor projects and the cutbacks in the Senegalese government's financial support to ISRA during the same period. As a result of these actions, research activities slowed and operational funds for conducting research decreased. Limited research resources and research roles were thus available for trainees. Given low productivity and vaguely defined roles, it is believed that a number of trainees left ISRA as a result of frustration. Underlying the turnover of trainees is the ad hoc nature of personnel planning at ISRA. At the same time that new researchers were arriving at ISRA, research funds and support for research activities were declining. Poorly coordinated manpower planning, and the lack of long-term manpower planning within resource constraints appear to be major causes of turnover among research trainees. Table 4.5 also reveals that a large proportion of research administrators left ISRA between 1981 and 1987, a period marked by a large degree of structural instability (see Section 2.3). These results help to explain the generally acknowledged weakness in management at ISRA. Research administrators represent the personnel who plan and manage research programs and projects, as fl 101 well as allocate resources to research. High rates of turnover amongst research administrators indicate a high degree of organizational instability and inefficiency. There are 15 key research administrators at ISRA (excluding the Fisheries Department): the Director General, Assistant Director General, 4 Research Department Directors, and 9 Research Center Directors. Between 1981 and 1987, ISRA had three different Director Generals and two Assistant Director Generals. There were three Directors at the Animal Health and Production and Forestry Departments, and two different Directors of the Crops and Systems Departments. Among research centers only Dj ibelor, which had two Center Directors, did not have three Research Center Directors. The impacts of this high instability in research administration and management staff at ISRA have far-reaching impacts upon research at ISRA. Research administrators are selected from the ranks of experienced researchers at ISRA. Thus, if a research administrator leaves ISRA, he or she is replaced by a researcher who previously was involved in research activities. High turnover amongst research administrators thus not only constrains ISRA's research management and administrative capabilites, but also undermines efforts to assemble an experienced group of researchers. Turnover of research administrators can be seen to send a ripple effect of instability throughout a research department. 102 Research administrators represent the primary source of turnover in the early years of this study. Five of the 11 researchers who left ISRA prior to 1985 were classified as research administrators. By contrast, of the 16 full-time researchers who left ISRA, only two left prior to 1985. These two researchers left in 1984. Thus, turnover of full-time research staff is a relatively new phenomenon at ISRA. The majority of those Senegalese researchers who left ISRA in 1986 and 1987 were either full-time researchers or trainees. As such, turnover in these years was particularly disruptive, and represents a major loss of benefits anticipated from investment in human capital. 4.4.2) Eeneerignel Eve]. and Sneeielizetign._of.figmmhm___Who Left The task of trying to measure the impacts of turnover in terms of educational qualifications was complicated by differences between the French and American educational systems. This study assumes that the French Ingenieur degree and Mr Vererineire degrees are comparable to receiving a four year Bachelor of Science (BSc) degree in the American system since these degrees represent limited degrees of post-graduate specialization. The French WW (DEA) is assumed to be equivalent to a Master of Science (MSc) degree in the American educational system, since both involve intermediate levels of 103 Table 4.6: Education of Researchers Who left ISRA Between 1981 and 1987. a) BSc Equivalent: 9.6.212: AILW MW eft LLsLt Ingenieur 27 8 29.6% D V e e l: S 40,03 subtotal: 42 14 33.3% b) MSc Equivalent: Master's 37 14 37.8% DEL _2.L _L M Subtotal: 66 20 30.3% c) PhD Equivalent: 3eme Cycle 15 6 40.0% W42— __1_ 4.33. Subtotal: 27 7 25.9% TOTAL: 135 41 30.4% Seuree: ISRA Personnel Files. post-graduate specialization. Finally, the French Doerorer Q'Erar degree and Sene_§ye1e awards are assumed to be the equivalent of an American PhD since they represent advanced levels of post graduate specialization” To avoid. confusion, both French and American diplomas have been included in Table 4.6, but have been grouped according to the previously mentioned assumptions. 104 Of the four temporary researchers who left, two had Master's Degrees and two had lngenienr degrees. Eight of the ten trainees who left had Master's degrees. This in part reflects the fact that American trained researchers have English speaking skills that are much in demand in a French speaking country. A worrisome trend at ISRA is that the seven researchers with advanced, PhD equivalent: degrees left ISRA. in '1986-87. Thus, turnover amongst the most qualified researchers at ISRA is a relatively recent phenomenon. There is no clear trend to research staff turnover on the basis of educational background. Table 4.7 compares the proportion of researchers who left ISRA with the entire population of Senegalese researchers -- grouped by degree. The Table 4.7: Proportion of Researchers Who Left vs. Proportion of Researchers in the Population: By Degree Group. Degree Group Proportion of , Proportion of Leavers With Degree Holders In ML WM BSc Equivalent 34.1% 31.1% MSc Equivalent 48.8% 48.9% PhD Equivalent 17.1% i 20.0% missing -2 Senree: ISRA Personnel Files. 105 results in Table 4.7 are statistically insignificant, thus indicating that more highly educated researchers are not leaving ISRA at disproportionally high rates. 4.41.3)me The relationship between turnover and experience was statistically insignificant. Table 4.8 shows that when researchers are grouped according to their levels of experience, the researchers in different experience categories left in proportion to the researcher population at large. Screening trainee and temporary researchers from the analysis did not significantly change the results. Experience alone, as with educational background, did not seem to affect a researcher's decision to leave ISRA. When considering only the Table 4.8: Turnover Rates for Senegalese Researchers (1981 - 1987): Experience of Leavers Experience Proportion of Proportion in Leevere (n—SS) Eonulation (n-lSZ) 0 to 5 years 18 (47.4%) 59 (44.7%) 6 through 10 12 (31.6%) 45 (34.1%) 11 or more 8 (21.1%) 28 (21.2%) Source: ISRA Personnel Files. 106 education or experience level of ISRA researchers, those who left did so in direct proportion to the entire researcher population. Of the 16 full-time researchers who left ISRA, only one had 11 or more years of experience. Six (40.0 per cent) had 0 to 5 years of experience. Eight (53.3 per cent) had 6 through 10 years of experience. If one assumes that it takes a researcher 15 years to reach peak productivity and also a couple years to become productive in research, .the turnover of full-time researchers represents a loss of benefits to investments in human capital. 4.4.4) Wares There is a tendency at ISRA to promote experienced researchers into research administration. positions. Table +4.9 shows that between 1981 and 1987, the majority of researchers at ISRA with 11 or more years of experience have been promoted into research administration positions. Of the 28 researchers with 11 or more years of experience at ISRA 8 left. Of these 8 researchers who left, 7 had research administration status, and only one was a full-time researcher. There seems to be a trend to promote experienced research personnel into research administration posts from which researchers leave ISRA. In 1987, of 20 researchers with 11 or more years of experience, eight (40 per cent) were employed in research administration positions, and twelve (60 per cent) were .4 107 Table 4.9: Relationship of Researcher Experience and Status at ISRA (1981 - 1987). Experience of Number Engaged in Number in Research W W min—M t tio 0 - 5 years 58 1 (1.7%) 6 - 10 years 45 8 (17.8%) 11 years or more 28 16 (57.1%) Senree: ISRA Personnel Files. employed as full time researchers. Although experience at ISRA seems to be the primary criterion in selecting researchers for administrative positions, it appears that highly qualified researchers were promoted into administrative positions more quickly than less well qualified researchers. The mean experience of research administrators with BBC and MSc equivalent degrees was 12.6 and 13.1 years respectively. The mean experience of research administrators with PhD equivalent degrees was only 10.1 years. These differences are statistically significant at the 99 per cent level. The majority of researchers with BSc. and MSc. equivalent degrees with over 11 or more years of experience were/promoted into administration. 108 4.4.5) WW Table 4.10 shows that social scientists left ISRA in higher proportions than other researchers. Of the 13 sociologists and economists who left ISRA, four had trainee status. Three of the economists had temporary status. One reason for the high turnover of social scientists is that training in social sciences has a content which is less-specific to agricultural research than training in agricultural and animal sciences. Thus, the skills of social scientists are more highly marketable than other disciplines. In addition to the five agronomists who left ISRA, four were promoted into research administration positions. Thus, of 12 agronomists at ISRA in 1987, only eight were employed as full- time researchers. Faye and Bingen (1988) indicate that ISRA has a shortage of researchers with generalized training, such as agronomists. The analysis indicates that turnover and promotion into administration have contributed to this shortage. Three of the four plant pathologists who left had degrees in entomology. Turnover among researchers with degrees in agricultural research-specific disciplines (animal pathology and genetics, plant pathology and genetics, basic sciences and soil science) exhibit comparatively low rates proportions of researcher turnover. Of 52 researchers holding such degrees, 10 ( 19.2 per cent) left ISRA. If research administrators are 109 Table 4.10: Turnover in Senegalese Research Staff (1981-87): Specialization of Researcher W WWLLI—et a) Social Sciences: Economics 16 7 44.0% Sociology 7 6 85.7% Geo graphv _1_ 1 M Subtotal: 24 14 58.3% Excluding temporaries: 21 11 52.4% b) Plant Sciences: Agronomy 19 5 26.3% Pathology 13 4 30.8% Basic Sciences 6 1 16.7% Plant Breeding 10 2 20.0% Soil Science 11 l 9.1% cher; _3_ 1 .1143 Subtotal: 62 14 22.6% c) Animal Sciences: Animal Science 11 3 27.3% Veterinary 11 3 27.3% Pathology 5 1 20.0% Maegan: 4 _L 11.93 Subtotal: 31 8 25.8% d) Forest Sciences: 6 2 33.0% e) Ecology: 10 3 33.0% f) Computer Science/ 2 1 50.0% Biometrics Seuree: ISRA Personnel Files. 110 excluded, only 5 of 47 (10.6 per cent) researchers with agricultural research specific skills left ISRA. 4.4.6) W There does not appear to be a pattern to turnover among Senegalese researchers on the basis of research program. Information on research programs in the ISRA personnel files was often incomplete or ambiguous. Nine researchers in uniquely administrative positions were excluded from the analysis on research programs on the assumption that they were not actively involved in research. Given the gaps in the personnel files, specific research program information was available for only 25 of the 34 remaining ISRA researchers who left ISRA between 1981 and 1987. Twenty different research 'programs 'were affected. by the departures of these 25 researchers. Two or more researchers left only four research programs-- one in the Animal Health and Production Department, and three in the Systems Department. Due to the limited data on research programs, any conclusions must be treated with a degree of caution. However, there are strong indications that turnover in Senegalese research staff has been a phenomenon that was generalized across research programs. Nearly half (20) of the 43 total research programs at ISRA are known to have experienced the loss of at least one 111 researcher between 1981 and 1987. This suggests that the effects of turnover in Senegalese research staff at ISRA have been felt throughout the institution. Although program data on expatriate researchers is very incomplete, the high rates of turnover in expatriate researchers likely compounded the disruptive impacts that the turnover of Senegalese researchers had upon research programs. Given ISRA's limited numbers of qualified and experienced researchers, turnover appears to have limited the productivity and efficiency of numerous research projects. Turnover in research staff, and the resulting strain on research personnel remaining in research programs is very likely to have diluted ISRA's overall research performance. Additionally, the high degree of turnover amongst research managers and administrators most likely compounded the effects of the turnover in research staff by constraining and undermining institutional capacity to plan and allocate resources for research. 4.5) ISRA Selery Srrncture 4.5.1) Qendifione ef Serviee Human capital theory considers investment in human capital to be equivalent to investment in physical capital (Hammermesh and Rees, 1984). That is, individuals, sponsors, or organizations invest in formal education and on- the- job training in 112 anticipation of receiving increased benefits in the future. Higher level of skills, and hence higher levels of productivity, are the benefits of investment in human capital. However, individuals or sponsors of individuals incur costs in training workers. These costs include income forgone for individuals during training, forgone productivity of the workers receiving training fer the institution, and the direct costs of tuition, transportation and training. Sponsors are willing to incur the costs of investing in human capital in anticipation of a worker producing a greater stream of benefits resulting from more productive, and highly skilled workers. Individuals are willing to incur the costs of training and formal education in anticipation of receiving a greater stream of earnings as a result of their increased productivity. Educated labor in this respect is an economic good that is scarce. Thus, the supply of educated labor is responsive to price (Hammermesh and Rees, 1984). Higher earnings offered to workers possessing higher order skills induce an individual to incur the costs of fermal education and training. The effectiveness of agricultural research is highly dependent upon a highly educated and skilled staff of researchers. Skills are also acquired through experience on a job. On- the-job training is generally informal. However, on-the-job training involves costs to an employer in the form of lost time, 113 lowered output of individuals during training, and resources used during the training of workers. Investment in on-the-job training also yields higher benefits to an employer in the form of more productive researchers. In human capital theory earnings are considered to be a function of an individual's formal educational background and experience. Since wages are determined by the marginal value product of a worker, the key feature in the theory is that investment in human capital yields higher earnings. These earnings are believed to decrease later in a worker's career for two reasons. First, there are diminishing returns to formal education over time. Secondly, a worker usually receives less on- the-job training towards the end of his career. As an employee nears retirement, the time horizon over which institutions receive benefits from investing in on-the-job training is shortened. Elliott and Kang (1985) use an earnings function analysis based upon personnel files to describe the conditions of service at national agricultural research institutions. In their model, the amount of human capital possessed by an individual is a function an individual's formal education and experience on the job. Education is proxied. by' dummy ‘variables indicating the highest degree possessed by a researcher. Years of experience (LOS) are calculated on the basis of the date entry of employees 114 at the institution. A logged relationship is expected between salary and length of service. That is, the shape of the reward structure is expected to rise rapidly in early years and to peak after 15 to 20 years of service (see Figure 3.1). The rapid rise in salary during early years serves to attract individuals to an institution, and to retain them at the institution while they refine their research skills and become more productive. Thus, the natural log of monthly salary (LNSAL) was calculated for all ISRA researchers. The rate of salary increase is expected to decline late in a researcher's career to reflect declining investment in a researcher's human capital. To capture the peaking and declining nature of expected salaries in later years, the length of service variable was squared (LOSSQ). A negative coefficient for the LOSSQ variable is expected. Educational background which reflects higher skill levels and institutional factors such as promotion into research administration are other factors which influence earnings. Higher degrees are believed to yield a higher stream of earnings than lower degrees. That is, the salary curve for PhD holders (DPHD) is expected to be higher than the curve for MSc holders (DMSC). BSc holders (DBSC) are believed to have the lowest curves. To see the degree to which promotion into research administration (DADMN) or research management (DDIR) affects 115 salaries, dummy variables were introduced into the model. Thus, the earnings function multiple regression equation used to analyze conditions of service for researchers at ISRA is as follows: LNSAL - a + b LOS - c LOSSQ + d DBSc + e DMSc + f DPhD + g DDIR + h DADMN + residual WHERE: LNSAL - natural log of Monthly Salary (FCFA) LOS - length of employment at ISRA LOSSQ - length of employment at ISRA squared DBSc - dummy variable-- 1 if highest educational degree is equivalent to Bachelor's degree (no post-graduate study) DMSC - dummy variable-- 1 if highest degree attained is equivalent to Master's training (intermediate graduate study) DPHD - dummy variable-- 1 if highest degree attained is equivalent to PhD training (advanced graduate study) DDIR - dummy variable-- 1 if director of research center or director general DADMN - dummy variable-- 1 if researcher involved in administration of research, or research department director. 4.5.2) t s Fu c s In Table 4.11, the coefficient of the length of service (LOS) variable indicates that a 3.8 per cent increase in a researcher's salary is associated with an added year of experience. As expected, the LOSSQ (length of Service Squared) variable has a negative coefficient. However, the coefficient for LOSSQ is very small. An increase of one unit of squared experience decreases the rate of salary increase by only 0.1 per cent. The correlation 116 between log of salary (LNSAL) and length of service (LOS) variables is 0.85. Education does not play a significant role in determining a researcher's income. None of the education variables were statistically significant. The negative coefficients of the BSc and MSc variables reflect in part the fact that the majority of contracted researchers with these degrees have relatively low levels of experience. TABLE 4.11: Results of Earnings FUnction.Analysis: Determinants of Researcher Earnings at ISRA, 1987 (n-81). yarigblg Co-gfficign; I-Statistic CONSTANT 12.143 . 251.18 ** L08 0.038 5.24 ** LOSSQ -0.001 -2.25 * DDIR 0.189 6.09 ** DADMN 0.065 2.80 ** DBSc -0.008 -0.17 DMSc -0.040 . -O.87 DPhD 0.019 0.39 E2 - 0.82 ** - denotes statistical significance of t-statistic at 99% level * - denotes statistical significance of t-statistic at 95% level Source: ISRA Personnel Files. 117 Significant increases in salary are associated with promotion into research management. An 18.9 per cent salary increase is associated with becoming a director of a research center, or being promoted into top management. A salary increase of 6.5 per cent is associated with promotion into research administrative posts such as director of a research department. The R2 of .82 indicates that 82 per cent of the variation of the dependent variable, log of monthly salary, is associated with the independent variables in the equation. Some of the unexplained variation in salary is believed to result from changes in ISRA's salary structure in 1983. Salaries reported in the personnel files exhibited a fair degree of variation prior to the job reclassification and the tightening of EPIC salary provisions in 1983. The salaries of many researchers were higher than those imposed by the 1983 salary regulations. Rather than out these researchers' salaries, their previous base salaries were maintained. Overall, the results of Table 4.11 show that the main determinants of earnings at ISRA are length of service and promotion into research administration or upper management positions. If education variables do in fact proxy differences in levels of research productivity, Table 4.11 reveals that productivity of researchers, or output, is not rewarded in ISRA's salary structure. A highly productive researcher receives the 118 same salary as an unproductive researcher with similar experience and classification. Combined with limited and uneven opportunities to achieve professional recognition at ISRA (see Chapter 3.5.2), it appears that the reward structure at ISRA contains disincentives for some researchers to do research. Length of service bonuses are assured to researchers who stay at ISRA, regardless of the quality of research they produce. To significantly increase earnings, researchers must be promoted into research administration. 'Underlying dhe salary' structure at ISRA. are EPIC salary provisions. Since salaries are linked to job classifications and seniority, researchers with similar classifications and experience at ISRA receive the same salaries regardless of differences in education or previous work experience. Faye and Bingen (1988) report that under existing salary policy a researcher named director of a research center but having limited formal education and experience could, in theory, receive a much higher salary than a highly experienced and educated researcher in a research position. Finally, in describing the EPIC salary regulations in Chapter 3.5.2, it was indicated that there are three job classifications applicable to researchers: 6-1, 6-2, and 6-3. Changes in job classification also seem to be associated with length of service. The mean length of service for researchers 119 with 6-1 classification was 4.5 years. For researchers with 6-2, and 6-3 classifications, the mean length of service at ISRA was 8.1 and 13.4 years respectively. If one compares mean salaries between job classifications, there is a 13.3 per cent difference between 6-1 and 6-2 level salaries. The difference between mean salaries of 6-2 and 6-3 researchers is 13.2 per cent. The difference between the mean salaries of those with 6-.l and 6-3 classifications is 28.3 per cent. As reported in Chapter 3.5.2, there are very limited opportunities to achieve classification of over 6-3. Thus, the salary structure at ISRA does not offer incentives to researchers that encourage a career in research. This analysis does not include outside incomes earned by ISRA researchers. Personal communications with ISRA researchers revealed that some researchers do have opportunities to significantly supplement their incomes as consultants. As a result, there may be hidden benefits available to ISRA researchers which counterbalance the disincentives contained in ISRA's salary structure. However, the availability of these opportunities to earn outside income is uncertain. It is believed that the opportunities for an ISRA researcher to earn outside income are erratic and somewhat unevenly distributed. 120 4.5.3) Real Earnings of ISRA Researchers between 198; and 1982 The analysis of the real earnings of ISRA researchers between 1981 and 1987 was complicated by the lack of a consistent salary reporting method in the personnel records. Salary information was not available for all years at most research centers. Large fluctuations in the reported salaries of researchers occurred in the personnel files of' a. number of research centers during the earlier years of the study. Complete salary information was available from the personnel files of only two research centers-- Bambey and Dahra. Thus, the salaries of eight researchers from either Bambey and Dahra were selected to represent all researchers. Real salaries of ISRA researchers were calculated in terms of constant 1981 francs (FCFA) from a ‘price index for Senegal reported by the Banque Centrale des Etats de l'Afrique Occidentale (BCAO) in Dakar. The price index declined significantly in 1987. It is believed that this decline reflects changes in the international money market since the FCFA is pegged to the French Franc. Figure 4.4 shows the decline in real incomes of two representative ISRA researchers between 1981 and 1986. All eight salaries that were tested displayed a similar decline. The tests reveal that ISRA salaries have failed to keep pace with inflation. Even researchers promoted into research administration 0:! «woe-3m 121 Figure 4.4: Declining Real Salaries at ISRA-- Two Examples "HOHIHRL US. REEL SHLRRY: PROflOTED INTO RDflIH. IN 138?" 388 275‘ 258‘ 225 - 288« 175‘ 158+ 125 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1988 1987 "HOfllflAL US. REEL SALARY: ISRA RESEARCHER PROHOTID T0 6'2 STATUS IN 1983" 1988 258 2251 288+”fi 175‘ OHIO“! "C'DF’M 1584 125 . .- ....~... "d.. ..o.00.... ".-00‘ I. . 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 .___HOHIHAL SALARY ....RRAL SALARY (1981 fCFA) Source: ISRA Personnel Files 1988 122 experienced. decreasing in real incomes during the 'period. of study. Promotion into research administration, the most significant mechanism by which ISRA researchers can increase their salaries, appears only to have slowed the rate of decrease in real salaries. The trend of declining real salaries between 1981 and 1987 is likely' to 'have further reduced. the career incentives for researchers at ISRA. Researchers at ISRA who perceive a declining stream of real income in their present employment are more apt to seek higher paying jobs elsewhere. Thus, an image of dissatisfied and poorly motivated researchers emerges from the analysis of ISRA's salary structure. Presumably, the productivity' of' research throughout ISRA. has suffered as a result. Declining real salaries likely were a generalized phenomenon in Senegal between 1981 and 1987. The BCAO reports the minimum wage for factory workers in Senegal. In real terms, the minimum wage declined by 33 per cent between 1981 and 1987. Attempts to compare the decline in the real wages of ISRA researchers with other the real wages of other professionals in Senegal failed. 1\ 1. Although salary data are published from a number of countries around the world in the Bulletin of Labor Statistics (ILO, 1988) and Xeaz flock of Labor §ta§isticg (ILO, 1988), no salaries were reported from Senegal between 1981 and 1988. 123 41.5.4)me Qrganizations Figure 4.5 (p.126) shows ISRA salaries in relation to salaries at other organizations which. compete with ISRA for personnel with similar skills. Private voluntary research projects (PVO's) refer to activities funded by donors such as church groups or the United Nations that have ongoing development and research projects in Senegal. The agricultural projects of many of these private voluntary organizations represent potential sources of employment for ISRA researchers. PVOs pay their employees in local currency. The salary scale in Figure 4.5 represents a conservative estimate of a typical PVO salary scale. It 'was possible to estimate only the beginning salary offered by a representative PVO organization. This beginning salary was believed to be about 100,000 FCFA higher than ISRA salaries. Thus, a beginning monthly salary of FCFA 325,000 was assumed" A 2.5 per cent salary increase for each year of research experience possessed, by researchers was also assumed. It is believed that this is a very conservative estimate. Table 4.11 showed that a 3.5 per cent increase in salary was associated with an added year of experience at ISRA. PVO organizations operate in a labor market which is open to the forces of labor supply and demand. Thus, the actual salary structure of PVC organizations is apt to be higher than the curve estimated in Figure 4.5. It 124 should be noted that the estimated entry salary at PVO organizations is competitive with the base salaries of upper level management personnel at ISRA. No attempt has been made to estimate non-salary benefits such as transportation allowances or housing allowances in estimating salaries. These benefits are often substantial. PVOs in general are believed to offer more attractive benefits than ISRA. However, the average tenure of researchers at PVO organizations is probably shorter than tenure for researchers who remain at ISRA. Contracts given to ISRA researchers are of indeterminate duration. Personal communications indicate that once a researcher is hired, ISRA has very limited legal mechanisms for terminating a researcher's employment. 4.5.5) Senegalese researchers employed at international and regional institutions outside Senegal receive internationally competitive salaries. The salary structure of one such international organization was obtained for this study and has been assumed to be representative of all international organizations. International salaries are determined by supply and demand forces in the international labor market for researchers. Figure 4.5 shows three levels of international salaries-- 125 converted from dollars into FCFA ($1 - 300 FCFA), and from yearly salaries into monthly salaries. The salary scale labelled "International 1" represents the salary structure that is most likely to enter the benefit calculations of ISRA researchers. This salary structure is applicable to relatively inexperienced researchers, short-term contracted researchers, and recent graduates. The salary scale labelled "International 2" is applicable to researchers with PhD's who have 7 to 10 years of experience in research. The "International 3" salary scale is offered to researchers with PhD's and 10 to 12 years of experience. 4.5.6) government Salaries The salary structure for civil servants in Senegal has not been shown due to data limitations. However, ISRA has a number of civil servant researchers assigned to ISRA by the Senegalese government. These lifetime civil servants receive government salaries while at ISRA. EPIC salary provisions require ISRA to pay civil service researchers the difference between their civil service salaries and the salaries of contracted researchers at ISRA with equivalent job classifications (Issa-Sayegh and LaPéyre, 1981). The average salary paid to the 20 civil servant researchers at ISRA in 1987 FCFA 60,880. The range of salaries was FCFA 42,000 for researchers with 6-1 classification, and FCFA 126 Monflfly Sawfly FCFA 2000000 1800000 1400000 1200000 800000 Figure 4.5: Salary Scales ISRA and Competing Organizations 1987 4- «1- d .mOOOMO“OCIIOO~I O 1 000000 ‘ , / 4p / 1000000 I —_V EDOOOO*- ”0'” 400000 ‘* 200000 1’ 0 . I I r I I' I I I T 13 5 7 911131517 Researcher Experience Years , LEGEND _ ISRA _- PVO Projects ...... International 1 ._- International 2 ......... International 3 Source: ISRA Personnel Study 127 81,000 for researchers with 7-2 classification. ISRA salaries are thus significantly higher than those salaries paid by the Senegalese government. A few of the researchers who left ISRA are currently employed at other EPIC development agencies. Although the base salaries of these organizations are similar to ISRA's, personal communications with ISRA researchers indicate that overall salaries at other EPIC organizations are higher than those offered at ISRA. As stated previously, ISRA is something of an anomaly among EPIC institutions in Senegal in that it does not pay productivity bonuses. Other EPIC institutions do pay salary bonuses. The difference in monthly salary between ISRA and other EPIC institutions is thought to be at least FCFA 50,000 after monthly and annual productivity ‘bonuses are included. in the salary calculations. Finally, salaries offered by competing organizations are not the only factors which enter a researcher's calculation of the benefits and costs in seeking alternative employment. Work environments that are perceived to be more attractive, better promotion opportunities and other fringe benefits offered by other organizations, and personal considerations influence a researcher's decision to change jobs. For example, opportunities to gain professional recognition through publications or conferences are apt to be greater at PVO's, and particularly at 128 international organizations. International organizations also offer very attractive cost of living, vehicle, and. housing allowances. Due to data limitations and. the fact that researchers' perceptions are often subjective and very difficult to quantify, non-salary benefits have not been included in this analysis. 4.5.7) mm Figure 4.5 shows that ISRA salaries are low relative to the alternative organizations in Senegal that demand professional labor. Low and declining real salaries at ISRA. relative to alternative organizations would appear to be a major factor underlying a researcher's decision to leave ISRA. Information on current employment was obtained for only 23 of the 43 researchers who left ISRA between 1981 and 1987. Three of these 23 researchers were employed by government ministries, including two researchers who became Ministers. Two of the 23 departed researchers were employed by other EPIC organizations. Six departed researchers were employed by either PVOs or organizations that pay salaries equivalent to PVOs. Eight researchers who left ISRA 'were employed 'by international or regional research agencies. Three departed researchers went overseas, including two who married expatriates. Additionally, one departed researcher was employed by a multinational company 129 in Dakar. In. most of the above cases, researchers improved. their financial earnings by leaving ISRA. Turnover is a process which may create more turnover. As researchers who stay at ISRA compare their earnings with those of colleagues who left, they are apt to perceive themselves to be relatively less well-off. Thus, an individual's perception of both the benefits in alternative employment and the costs of leaving ISRA might change during periods of rapid turnover. The analysis suggests that low salaries relative to other organizations influence the decisions of research trainees and research administrators to leave ISRA. Research administrators and managers are usually amongst the most experienced members of ISRA's research staff. The ISRA salary structure has been shown to reward both experience and research administration and management roles. The mean age of research administrators in 1987 was 41.1 years, with a range between 33 and 45. Thus, many of ISRA's research administrators reach or approach their peak earnings while at a relatively youthful age. Whereas staying at ISRA yields a declining stream of benefits in terms of real wages, the higher relative salaries offered to research administrators by other organizations yield high anticipated benefits. There is an opportunity cost to remaining at ISRA for research administrators and experienced 130 researchers. Since limited supplies of experienced research and administrative personnel are generally much in demand in Africa, the opportunities for research administrators to find employment in alternative organizations presumably are relatively good. As seen previously, eight of the ten researchers with trainee status who left had Master's Degrees. Two of the temporary researchers who left had Master's Degrees. Discussions with West African colleagues strongly suggest that individuals educated in North America are in high demand in Francophone Africa. Reasons for this include fluency in English, a greater emphasis on quantitative skills at American institutions, and the fact that the supply of American educated individuals in Francophone Africa is limited in relation to French educated individuals . In light of this, American educated recruits to ISRA who become frustrated with long delays or vaguely defined research roles during their probationary period have no incentive to remain at ISRA. Another possible explanation for high turnover among American educated recruits at ISRA is that these recruits acquired higher reward (earnings) expectations while overseas, and thus are less apt to be retained by the limited reward system at ISRA. Table 4.10 showed relatively high turnover in researchers trained in the social sciences. Turnover was relatively low for 131 researchers with highly specific training. Senegal has only one college level or post-secondary agricultural school which offers Ingenieur (BSc equivalent) degrees. Specialized post-graduate training in agriculturally related disciplines must be obtained overseas. Supplies of well-qualified agricultural scientists are limited. However, agriculture has become the primary focus of development projects in Senegal. Much agricultural development activity has been associated with the damming of the Senegal River in 1986. A number of long-term development projects were established by a variety of donor groups after the 1984 Sahelian drought. Thus, agricultural scientists with relatively applied research skills in the social and basic agricultural science are believed to be in high demand in Senegal. Highly specialized researchers are believed to be less highly demanded by organizations outside ISRA, since their skills have more narrow applications. 4.5.8) WM Inseam Figure 4.6 compares ISRA's income profile with an ideal income profile. The actual income profile represents the salary progression a recruit can expect while at ISRA. It was derived by applying EPIC salary statutes. The length of service bonuses 132 described in Chapter 3.5.2 were applied over time to the base salary of 199,350 FCFA that all beginning researchers at ISRA receive. To represent possible reclassification during the course of an ISRA researcher's career, promotions to grade 6-2 and 6-3 were assumed after the eighth year and fourteenth. years of service respectively. This reflects the mean length of service of researchers classed as 6-2 and 6-3. The "ideal" or target salary structure was based on the same assumptions that were used to derive the researcher's productivity curve in Chapter 3.7. Elliott and Rang (ISNAR, 1985) describe a normal, or ideal, income profile for researchers based on human capital theory. During early years, a steep rise in salary is useful in attracting researchers to a research institute. As researchers develop their skills by doing research they 'become more productive on. the job. Ideally, an. income profile should reward increased productivity. Towards the end of a researcher's career, the rate of salary increase slows before peaking in the 20th year. This reflects both the obsolescence of skills and diminishing investments in on-the- job training and formal education that occur later in a researcher's career. Salary increases of 200-250 per cent over the course of a professional's career are considered desirable in salary structures (ISNAR, 1988). A 200 per cent salary increase over a 20 year period was assumed in calculating an ideal salary 133 Figure 4.6: A.Comparison of ISRA's Income Profile with an Ideal Income Profile 13.58 13.251 ............................................ 13.08‘ 0»: ........... 12.75. . 12.501 ,,,8, I 12.25.1’" .5____,o—-r-r""’_7_d-_Fdfr 12.90 , £2.10me ”'30 not“ 2 ‘ 4 8 . 8 ' 18 ' 18 ' 18 g 18 ' 18 ' 28 ' 28 ' 28 Years of Experzenoe .___Actual lncone Profile .....ldeal lncone Profile Source: ISRA Turnover Study. structure at ISRA. A 200 per cent increase in the base salary of 199,350 FCFA results in a salary of 598,050 FCFA. Thus, the ideal salary structure in Figure 4.6 is competitive with international and regional salaries (see Figure 4.5, p.126). Compared to the ideal income profile, the actual ISRA income profile is relatively flat. Flat income pr0files are characteristic of low-skilled occupations. In these occupations there are low training costs, low productivity gains over time, few incentives for workers to’remain at an institution, and lgttle incentive for an organization to retain employees (Elliott, 1988; Elliott and Kang, 1985). Thus, rapid turnover of 134 employees is associated with flat income profiles. The actual income profile of researchers at ISRA presented in Figure 4.6 is unsatisfactory for professional personnel. A major contributing factor to the increasingly high rates of turnover among research scientists at ISRA since 1985 has been a salary structure that is ill-designed for a research institution. 4.6) MW 4.6.1) Causes of Iurggvg: Turnover in Senegalese research staff at ISRA. was not correlated with the following variables: formal educational background of a.researcher, length of service at ISRA, research department of a researcher, and research program. Turnover in Senegalese research staff was a generalized phenomenon between 1981 and 1987. The status of researchers was a significant factor in turnover rates amongst Senegalese researchers. Recruits to ISRA who left the institution before attaining full-research status, temporary researchers, and research administrators formed the majority (62.8 per cent) of those researchers who left ISRA before 1986. The frequency of full-time researchers leaving ISRA increased steadily since 1985. The majority of trainees who left ISRA did so in 1986 and 1987. Thus, turnover at ISRA began to significantly erode research capacity in the later years for 135 which data are available. The departure of trainees also represents a weakening of future research capacity. Indications are that social scientists and researchers with general agricultural skills were more apt to leave ISRA than researchers with highly specialized agricultural backgrounds. This finding echoes human capital theory. Hammermesh and Rees (1984) believe that individuals with high degrees of firm- specific training are less apt to change jobs than researchers with more general skills. Highly specialized, or job-specific, skills link an employee to a job since there are limited numbers of jobs to which these skills can be applied. In Senegal, social science and general agricultural skills are believed to be in high demand given a plethora of development projects. Turnover at ISRA appears to have been a manageable problem until 1985. After 1985 turnover at ISRA became an increasingly frequent phenomenon. In the 1986-87 period, turnover and instability in research staff at ISRA was pervasive. Given the limited explanatory power of many of the variables contained in ISRA personnel files, other factors are considered to have influenced turnover of research scientists at ISRA. In 1986, a major expansionary effort at ISRA ended as a number of donor projects began nearing completion. The size of ISRA's Senegalese research staff grew 65.7 per cent between 1982 and 1985. There were 70 Senegalese researchers at ISRA in 1982, If 136 and 116 in 1985 (excluding the Fisheries Department). As numbers of Senegalese researchers peaked, donor financing of research projects by the World Bank, FAO, USAID and ICRISAT began to decline. Accompanying the decline in donor support was a very high rate of turnover of expatriate researchers. The period also witnessed declining real financial support from France, and decreasing financial support from the Senegalese government. Thus, at the same time that the size of ISRA's national research staff increased, financial support for research at ISRA decreased. As demand for research resources increased, the supply of research resources decreased. Manpower development planning took place without accounting for ISRA's medium and long-term financial resources. Further constraining ISRA's financial and management capacities were high rates of turnover and instability in research administration and management personnel, and two changes in organizational structure. The research administrators and managers who left ISRA. were usually replaced. by’ experienced researchers with limited experience and managerial skills. Reorganizations in 1983 and 1987 changed the framework within research was organized and managed. Included in the 1987 reorganization plan was the laying off of a third of ISRA's research support staff. Clearly, 1986 and 1987 were characterized by a large degree of institutional uncertainty. 137 The 1983 - 1987 period also witnessed an erosion of researchers' salaries, resulting in declining job satisfaction and morale. The 1983 reclassification of jobs largely penalized researchers and benefitted non-technical support staff. Researchers' salaries and careers became frozen. Inflation in Senegal significantly lowered the real salaries of ISRA researchers between 1981 and 1987. Compounding the salary problem was the availability of more highly paying jobs in other EPIC institutions, other development projects and in international and regional development organizations. Low relative salaries for researchers, declining real salaries, poor promotional prospects, and a salary structure which rewards seniority at ISRA and administrative and management functions more than research functions combined to weaken ISRA's ability to retain and motivate researchers. Thus, the primary factors that influenced the process of turnover of research scientists at ISRA were: declining financial support for research projects, overly rapid expansion based on poor planning, unstable and weak management capacity, institutional instability, and a professional reward structure that is ill-suited for professional researchers. As a result of these factors, and their interactions, turnover rates at ISRA began to increase at ISRA in 1985. In 1987, the combined effects of the above factors coalesced, leading to high rates of 138 turnover, a high degree instability in research staff, and an unraveling of institutional cohesiveness and continuity. 4.6.2) The Impacee ef Iugneve; The fact that turnover at ISRA has been generalized across research departments and. research. programs suggests that its impacts have been felt throughout the institution. The productivity and effectiveness of ISRA's research efforts were likely to have suffered as a result. Turnover undermined, or at least delayed, ISRA's efforts to expand its research capacity by improving the qualifications, experience and skills of its research personnel. The selection of experienced researchers for administrative and management posts further undermined research capacity. In 1987, the continuity in research and research staff that is essential in creating effective and productive research projects was severely disrupted. 34.9 per cent of the Senegalese researchers present at ISRA in 1986 either left or changed job functions. Nearly half of the expatriate researchers at ISRA in 1986 left by the end of 1987. The impacts of this instability had to have reverberated throughout the institution. To gauge the impacts of turnover in research staff upon research continuity, turnover rates were calculated over multiple year periods. All these rates reflect the high turnover in 1987. 139 Over the six year period between 1981 and 1987, half (50.4 per cent) of the 113 researchers present at ISRA in 1981 left the institution. 76.2 per cent of the 42 expatriates at ISRA left during this period and 35.2 per cent of the 71 Senegalese researchers left. Over a four year period, 1983 - 1987, 45.6 per cent of the 136 researchers who were present at ISRA in 1983 left. 70.6 per cent of the 51 expatriate researchers departed ISRA, as did 30.6 per cent of the 85 Senegalese researchers. Between 1985 and 1987, over a third (34.1 per cent) of the 176 researchers at ISRA in 1985 left. 55 per cent of the 60 expatriate researchers, and 23.3 per cent of the 116 Senegalese researchers departed ISRA during this two year period. Given that ‘adaptive or applied. research 'projects take a minimum of 4 or 5 years to complete, and basic research projects take at least 10 years, the instability of scientific personnel resulting from high turnover must have severely disrupted research continuity. The high rates of expatriate departures between 1981 and 1987 in part reflect the goal of replacing them with Senegalese researchers. However, rapid rates of turnover among expatriates probably lowered the performance level of research at ISRA given the large role expatriates play in the operations of a number of research programs. Thus, in constraining the operations of various research 140 projects, and in lowering research performance, turnover has lowered the returns to the resources invested into agricultural research in Senegal. In particular, turnover has truncated the stream of potential benefits that were anticipated from the substantial investments were made in the formal education and training of ISRA researchers (see Chapter 3.7). A weakness of this study has been its inability to measure the effects that turnover has had on research performance at ISRA. A number of the researchers who departed ISRA became actively involved in other governmental agencies, a number of PVO projects, and in international and regional development organizations. This suggests that while turnover was detrimental to ISRA's institutional capacity' to ‘perform 'research, social benefits have continued to accrue to investments in the human capital of the majority of researchers who left ISRA. 141 W: CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS 5.1) W 5.1.1) Qegeral Conelusioge The major causes of turnover among research scientists at the Senegalese Agricultural Research Institute (ISRA) were: overly rapid expansion, a rigid and inappropriate salary structure for researchers, haphazard manpower planning strategies, weak research administration and management capacity, and declining financial support for research. activities from donors and the Senegalese government. These factors combined to create a very high rate (18.1 per cent) of turnover in Senegalese researchers in 1987. 5.1.2) Reeogmendatiene The analysis of turnover in research scientists at ISRA between 1981 and 1987, and the identification of factors influencing this turnover strongly suggest that ISRA must improve its ability to retain researchers. In this section, policy recommendations to reduce turnover in research scientists are proposed. 1) ISRA should be given special legal status or modified rules for operation. 142 Underlying the process of turnover is ISRA's legal status as a "public establishment with industrial and commercial characteristics (EPIC)". Classifying an agricultural research institute as EPIC is undesirable. Unlike most EPIC institutions, ISRA is unable to generate income to supplement the insufficient funds it receives from the Senegalese government. These funds are entirely absorbed by salaries. To compensate for funding shortfalls, ISRA. must rely on external sources to fund its research activities. As a result, donor agencies exert a large influence over ISRA's research and institutional development goals. ISRA's current salary structure is based upon EPIC statutes. However, the performance bonuses that are paid to most EPIC employees are not paid at ISRA as a result its financial constraints. The salaries paid to researchers declined in real terms between 1981 and 1987. Researchers' salaries are not competitive with those offered. by alternative organizations. Salaries at ISRA are based on seniority and job classification rather than merit or a researcher's performance. EPIC salary statutes lack career incentives for researchers. Promotions and increases in earnings are largely contingent upon a researcher abandoning research and assuming administrative or managerial roles. As a result, the professional skills of researchers are used inefficiently since experienced and skilled Jr: 143 researchers are frequently inexperienced and unskilled administrators and managers. EPIC salaries are inappropriate for motivating and retaining researchers. Classification as an EPIC institution gives ISRA a large degree of autonomy in managing its affairs and in recruiting personnel. A number of researchers and managers at ISRA have argued that ISRA should be given special legal status which recognizes the scientific character of the institute (Faye and Bingen, 1988). Such a change in status would allow ISRA to have the same degree of managerial autonomy, and also would enable ISRA to devise a salary structure that gives scientists incentives to pursue careers in research. Special legal status might also permit changes in the way in that the Senegalese government allocates financial resources to ISRA. A modification of ISRA's legal status appears to be unlikely. Faye and Bingen report that past demands to change ISRA's status have been refused. 2) Barring a change in legal status, modifications within ISRA's current salary structure are desirable. Currently, all research positions at ISRA are classified as either grade 6-1, 6-2, or 6-3. In 1987, 7 of the 10 researchers who were classified as 6-3 served primarily administrative functions. Grades 7 and 8 apply only to research center directors 144 and upper level management. Thus, the salary structure is biased against research personnel in favor of administration. An appropriate reward structure for a research institution offers researchers opportunities to increase their rank and earnings while practicing research. ISNAR (1987) recommends that national agricultural research institutes should offer dual administrative and scientific career ladders for ‘professional staff. Research staff should receive an income comparable to, if not greater than, that of management staff. As a result, researchers are given incentives to pursue a career in research. It would be relatively easy to modify existing EPIC salary statutes to equate scientific and management functions. Expanding the number job classifications available for researchers by creating research positions graded as 6-3, 7-1, 7-2 and 8-1 would equate the salaries of researchers with those of administrators. In offering improved career opportunities in research, ISRA would enhance its ability to motivate and retain researchers. Crucial to such a system would be a clear delineation of job responsibilities and criteria for promotion. Ideally, promotion criteria should be based upon an evaluation of a researcher's performance and merit rather than length of service. Currently, ISRA lacks clearly defined criteria to either evaluate a researcher's performance or to select researchers for administrative positions. 145 3) The professional reward structure for ISRA researchers should be improved. A reward structure for scientists should include financial and professional incentives. However, ISRA researchers generally have limited opportunities for gaining professional recognition through publication. ISRA should both encourage its researchers to publish, and actively assist researchers in preparing and editing articles which are to be submitted for publication. Although planned, a scientific journal which is to be published by ISRA has yet to get off the ground (Faye and Bingen, 1988). Such a journal would give ISRA researchers a medium in which to publish and inform others about their research activities. Professional recognition would also be enhanced by increasing opportunities for ISRA researchers to attend national, regional or international seminars and conferences. 4) Prior to further expansion, existing resources and research activities should be consolidated. Major investments were made in expanding ISRA's research capacity between 1981 and 1987. For example, between 1982 and 1985 the number of Senegalese researchers at ISRA grew by 65.7 per cent, from 70 to 116. Major investments were also made to expand research facilities, equipment, and the number of research 146 activities. However, there are strong indications that this rapid expansion outstripped ISRA's limited financial, managerial, and technical capacities. ISRA's ability to retain research personnel, to provide sufficient operating funds for research activities, and to manage research efforts was weakened as a result. Von der Osten (World Bank, 1988) believes that rapid expansions in research capacity that are undertaken. without consideration of an institution's financial and human resource base hamper research performance in African agricultural research institutes. By dispersing scarce resources over a broad range of activities, resources allocated to research are used inefficiently. Von der Osten urges research institutes to increase the productivity and efficiency of existing resources by consolidating and concentrating research efforts. The size and complexity of various research activities should be tailored to the human and financial resources of a research institute. To increase the amount of' funds available for research operations, ISRA's budget should be rearranged so that a small amount of research funds are directly available to the institute from the Senegalese Government. Although SPAAR. (World. Bank, 1988b) recommends that 30 per cent of all government funds should be 'budgeted for research operations and. maintenance, such a figure appears to be unrealistic for Senegal in the foreseeable 147 future given the fact that all government funds are absorbed by salaries. However, a smaller percentage of funds could be earmarked for research. If research efforts were tailored in accordance with the new budget, research performance at ISRA would be less constrained by limited funds for daily research operations. 5) Research planning and manpower development strategies should be coordinated between donors, ISRA, and the Senegalese government. A major contributing factor to the turnover process was the poor coordination of activities between ISRA, the Senegalese government and donor agencies. At the same time that some donor groups were financing manpower training and development programs, financial support for research operations decreased as other donor programs neared completion. At the same time, the Senegalese government reduced its financial support for ISRA. The research efforts of ISRA researchers were hampered as a result. ISRA lacks a long-term and clearly defined manpower development policy that could have avoided this funding bottleneck. The World Bank (1988) and the Special Program on African Agricultural Research (SPAAR, World Bank, 1987b) recommend that the time horizon for both research and manpower development planning should cover 15 years. The planning horizon should 148 include short-term. (0-5 years), medium-term (5-10 jyears) and long-term (10-15 years) projections of research goals, activities, specific research needs, and available resources. Planning should be conducted at both an institutional and governmental level with the participation of donor agencies. Donor activities should be well-defined and coordinated in the long-term research plan. SPAAR argues that donor assistance should be committed to national agricultural research institutes on a long-term basis. The 4-6 year time frame of most donor investments impedes research program planning, and leads to gaps in project funding. SPAAR also recommends that the number of short-term expatriate researchers that are employed. in. donor projects should be limited. Rapid turnover of expatriate researchers contributes to problems of organizational instability, and limits the effectiveness of technical assistance programs . 6) Future manpower development strategies should focus upon developing administrative and technical support capacity in addition to research capacity. Past manpower development efforts at ISRA have focused primarily on developing the skills of researchers . Training administrative and technical support staff was not a ma j or priority. Limited technical support and administrative capacity 149 at ISRA has been strained by the rapid expansion of ISRA's research facilities and manpower. The outcome of a research effort depends upon the competence of administrative and technical support staff, in addition to scientific staff. The lack of qualified and competent personnel in large part explains the weakness of ISRA's management, administrative, and technical capacities (Faye and Bingen, 1988). Thus, efforts should be made to train and upgrade the skills of ISRA's non-professional personnel. 7) Personnel record keeping procedures at ISRA.should be improved in order to provide adequate information on which to base manpower planning. To analyze turnover of researchers at ISRA, a data base had to be created which contained information that should have been readily available from ISRA's personnel files. The procedure that was used to determine which researchers left ISRA in a given year illustrates the weaknesses in ISRA's personnel record keeping procedures. Personnel files were collected from each research center for the years 1981-87. By coding and transcribing the names of employees on the personnel files into a data base, it could be determined whether an individual had left ISRA or if new employees had been hired. Employees were classified on the basis of their jobs. Researchers were then selected from each research 150 center, put into a separate file, and reclassified on the basis of research department. Having researchers classified on a departmental basis, supplemental educational, salary, and disciplinary information could be entered into the data base. Much of this information was obtained through communications ‘with ISRA administrators and researchers. Ambiguities and missing information complicated the task of compiling an accurate data base for ISRA researchers. Clearly, ISRA's personnel record keeping procedures are inadequate. In addition to basic personal characteristics such as name and age, a personnel data base should contain information concerning: the educational background and qualifications of a researcher, additional training received while on-the-job, previous work experience, up-to-date job history including changes in research program or job status, salary, publication and performance data, and termination of employment. Personnel data bases contain the' information upon which personnel management and manpower planning is based. There is a major need at ISRA to begin compiling a personnel data base which is accurate and up-to-date. Poor information about personnel has contributed to inefficiencies in ISRA's manpower development planning and management of scientific resources. 151 5.2) W This study originally intended to measure the costs associated with turnover of researchers by estimating lost returns to investments in human capital. Proxy measures of a researcher's output and productivity, such as publications, would have permitted a cost-benefit analysis which estimated the benefits forgone as a result of turnover. Severe data limitations prevented this analysis from being undertaken. However, an analysis such as this would enhance understanding of the costs and impacts of the process of turnover in research staff. This study was limited by its lack of detailed performance and program information for researchers. Information was also unavailable on levels of funding in research programs and projects. Had more detailed personnel and institutional data been available a model of the turnover process could have ‘been developed. Such a model could either have more clearly identified the factors which contribute to the turnover process, or estimated the impacts of turnover on institutional performance. Modeling the turnover process of researchers would enhance research management planning, and inform policies designed to reduce turnover. Turnover in research staff increased dramatically in 1987. ISRA's structural reorganization in 1987 established clear lines of authority between research departments and research centers. 152 More coordinated procedures for planning research and identifying priorities were also established. It is believed that the 1987 reorganization will lead to increased stability in research staff. A follow up study of turnover in research staff at ISRA would be beneficial in evaluating the effects this new organizational structure has had on both turnover and institutional performance. Finally, this study is somewhat unique. There have been few similar studies that have analyzed turnover of researchers within national agricultural research institutions in developing countries, and in Africa in particular. 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