USE/“TRY r+ sen, 1;. PLACE IN RETURN BOX to remove this checkout from your record. TO AVOID FINES return on or before date due. MAY BE RECALLED with earlier due date if requested. DATE DUE DATE DUE DATE DUE 2/05 c:/CTRC/DateDue.Indd-p.15 RESIDENTIAL CLASS INDICATORS: Census-Based Techniques for Modeling Neighborhood Quality and Social Class in Urban Areas BY MIKE SOBOCINSKI AXXXXXXXX Urban and Regional Planning 889: Master's Research Advisor: Dr. Roger Hamlin A Research Paper in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Master of Urban and Regional Planning Degree, Michigan State University, Dec. 2000 THESIS PREFACE CONTENTS ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS KEY TO ABBREVIATIONS KEY TO ABBREVIATIONS IN EQUATIONS l. 2. 7. APPENDICES INTRODUCTION BACKGROUND INFORMATION AND KEY CONCEPTS THE RC1 MODEL EXPLAINED APPLICATION OF THE RC1 MODEL CRITIQUE OF THE RCI MODEL ' AREAS FOR FURTHER RESEARCH CONCLUSION REFERENCE LIST iii vi vii ix 25 44 54 62 85 86 93 PREFACE The Structure of this Paper After an introductory section, this research paper will proceed with a lengthy discussion Of the important concepts being addressed, providing references to background materials that led up to and enabled this new research. In order to render my explanations of a complicated subject more approachable and interesting, I have taken the liberty of writing in the first person and relating numerous ideas and explanations (such as the identification of weaknesses and areas for further research) where I feel they are most meaningful, even if in an organizational sense they would be expected to appear in a separate section of the paper dealing more specifically with such topics. My explanation of the progress of my research is generally chronological in the section explaining the RC1 model—a deliberate choice which I felt would assist readers in becoming gradually acquainted with the concepts, my evolving mathematical model, and the abbreviations that I use in the equations and discussion of my model's concepts. Again, the narrative at times is a bit personal, which I felt was acceptable to keep under . consideration the subjective aspects of the topic. My Objective in occasionally using some personal anecdotes is to link the mathematical abstractions of my model with a more colloquial explanation and "common sense" conceptualization of what I have done, and why. C When equations are given, later in this paper, I have in most cases immediately followed them with explanations of the variables that they refer to in abbreviated form. These variables are all either from the decennial census (1990 STF 3A) or are derivable from them in relatively straightforward ways (the examples of the RC1 model used census data downloaded from the web site at http://venus.census.uov/cdrom/lookup). To assist readers in understanding these equations, and to avoid excessive repetition in the explanations accompanying them, I have included, following this preface, an alphabetical guide, called "Key to Abbreviations in Equations," that will help make their meaning and use more understandable. My abbreviations also follow a format that is fairly straightforward, once the reader is familiar with all the main concepts involved in the topic. Preceding the "Key to Abbreviations in Equations" is a smaller "Key to Abbreviations." All of the longer abbreviations used in equations are made up of combinations of these smaller abbreviations. I believe that once the subject is understood, the use of these abbreviations will make discussion and application of the concepts much easier than if lengthy phrases or are Used to describe each variable and condition. The first four equations presented in the paper are mere prototypes, whose simpler structure allows the reader to better understand the logic of the lengthier equations that follow. In addition, this renders the evolution of my ideas'more clearly, enabling my work to be more easily analyzed, critiqued, and amended to correct for flaws that are found. Various assumptions that are part of the model can be seen more clearly as they appear during my chronological description of its creation. Using this style of exposition, I hope to equip my readers with the means to adjust my equations to match different assumptions that they may make, or different research goals that they may have. The equation that, at the time Of writing, I found most useful, is Equation 8. Equations 7 and 9 are considered simpler but similarly sound. I follow this set of equations with another (Equations 10 through 12) that I chose at this time to abandon as less accurate and useful. I include them because I believe it possible that they may be found to be useful at some later time as more thinking and research is done on this specific topic, and thus the equations relate to one of the areas for further research that I have identified. Following my main explanatory sections is an example of how my research can be'applied and interpreted. This leads almost directly into an assessment of some of the weaknesses in my model, and precautions about certain applications of it that I feel at this point are not yet justifiable. The final, lengthy section takes numerous concepts of the model and proposes how they may be profitably used in numerous future studies. Several appendices appear at the end of the document. These are tables that are referred to by various passages Of the text, but which were not included as figures within the text, due to their burdensome sizes of at least two pages each. 1." ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS I must thank those in MSU's Urban and Regional Planning Department for their patience during the long exploratory and research stages Of this paper's development, particularly my advisor, Dr. Roger Hamlin. Thanks also goes to my friends and family who assisted in the research, either through direct feedback on the quality of the RC1 models as applied to their areas (Buxees Singh in Buffalo, John Runge in Detroit, John and Lynn Welch in Evanston, and Tim London in Alcona County), through the provision of transportation in field surveys of those areas (Martha Runge in the Detroit UA, Erick Williams in the Lansing UA), or through the provision of needed research materials and equipment (Craig Anderson for maps and computer resources). Thanks to these and the rest of my family and friends for their support, and tolerance Of the many hours I spent in seclusion rather than in their company. Thanks to my co-workers and employers (past and present) for their support, feedback, and provision Of the time and equipment I needed to complete this research (or related research that contributed to it)—the Emergency Management Division of the Michigan State Police, the Tri-County Regional 1 Planning Commission, and the City of Lansing Department of Planning and Neighborhood Development. Thanks also to the various faculty throughout the College Of Social Science at Michigan State University, who made it such a good learning environment in which to explore endless topics Of interest and relevance. vi % CR GQ GR HU Md MSA ni OO pci PP ' RCI R0 SMOC UA UDA KEY TO ABBREVIATIONS proportion contract rent group quarters (also "gq") gross rent household housing unit institutional mean median MetrOpolitan Statistical Area noninstitutional owner-occupied (also "00") ~ persons per capita income persons per Residential Class Indicator Ranally Metropolitan Area renter-Occupied (also "ro") selected monthly owner costs census tract urbanized area (also "ua") user—defined area vii V value wm with a mortgage wom without a mortgage viii KEY TO ABBREVIATIONS IN EQUATIONS The following is a list of the abbreviations used in equations throughout this paper. gqiRCIt gqniRC It quCIt %GQn %Gth %GQt MdCRt MdCRua Mth Mqua MGRt The term of an RCI equation that estimates the quality of institutional group quarters in a tract (or other small area of study) The term of an RCI- equation that estimates the quality of noninstitutional group quarters in a tract (or other small area of study) The term of an RCI equation that estimates the quality of group quarters in a tract (or other small area of study) The proportion Of persons in a tract (or other small area of study) who inhabit institutional group quarters, found by dividing the number of persons in institutional group quarters in an area by the total number of persons in that area The proportion of persons in a tract (or other small area of study) who inhabit noninstitutional group quarters, found by dividing the number Of persons in noninstitutional group quarters in an area by the total number of persons in that area The proportion of persons in a tract (or other small area of study) who inhabit group quarters, found by dividing the number of persons in group quarters in an area by the total number of persons in that area The median contract rent of renter-occupied unitsin a tract (or other small area of study) The median contract rent of renter-occupied units in the entire urbanized area (or other large area used as a standard of comparison) The median value of owner-occupied housing units in a tract (or other small area of study) The median value of owner-occupied housing units in the entire urbanized area (or other large area used as a standard of comparison) ' The mean gross rent of renter-occupied units in a tract (or other small area of study) MGRua MVt MVua MVwmt MVwmua MVwomt MVwomua %OOhht %OOpt OORCIt %Omept %OOwompt pciGQit The mean gross rent of renter-occupied units in the entire urbanized area (or other large area used as a standard of comparison) - The mean value of all owner-occupied units in a tract (or other small area of study) The mean value of all owner-occupied units in the entire urbanized area (or other large area used as a standard of comparison) The mean value of all owner-occupied units with a mortgage in a tract (or other small area Of study) The mean value of all owner-occupied units with a mortgage in the entire urbanized area (or other large area used as a standard of comparison) The mean value of all owner-occupied units without a mortgage in a tract (or other small area of study) The mean value of all owner-occupied units without a mortgage in the entire urbanized area (or other large area used as a standard of comparison) The prOportion of households in a tract (or other small area of study) that live in owner-occupied housing units, found by dividing the number Of owner-occupied households in an area by its total number of households The proportionof person in a tract (or other small area of study) that live in owner-occupied housing units, found by dividing the number of persons living in such units in that area by the total number of persons living in that area The term of an RCI equation that measures the quality of owner- occupied housing units in a tract (or other small area of study) The proportion of persons in a tract (or other small area of study) that live in owner-occupied housing units with a mortgage The proportion of persons in a tract (or other small area of study) that live in owner-occupied housing units without a mortgage The per capita income of persons living in institutional group quarters in a tract (or other small area of study), found by dividing the aggregate income of all persons living in institutional group pciGQnit pciGQt pciGQua pciOmeua ppOOHUt ppOOHUua ppOOHmeua RCI% quarters in an area by the number of persons living in institutional group quarters in that area The per capita income of persons living in noninstitutional group quarters in a tract (or other small area of study), found by dividing the aggregate income of all persons living in noninstitutional group quarters in an area by the number Of persons living in noninstitutional group quarters in that area The per capita income of persons living in group quarters in a tract (or other small area of study), found by dividing the aggregate income Of all persons living in group quarters in an area by the number of persons living in group quarters in that area The per capita income of persons living in group quarters in the entire urbanized area (or other large area used as a standard of comparison), found by dividing the aggregate income of all persons living In group quarters in that area by its total number of persons living In group quarters The per capita income of persons living in owner-occupied housing units with a mortgage in the entire urbanized area (or other large area used as a standard of comparison), found by dividing the ' aggregate income of all persons living in owner4occupied units with a mortgage by the total number of persons living in owner- occupied units with a mortgage Persons per owner-occupied housing unit in the tract (or other small area of study), found by dividing the aggregate number of persons in owner-occupied housing units in the tract by the number of owner-occupied housing units in the tract Persons per owner-occupied housing unit in the entire urbanized area (or other large area used as a standard of comparison), found by dividing the aggregate number of persons in owner-occupied housing units in the area by its total number of owner-occupied housing units Persons per owner-occupied housing unit with a mortgage in the entire urbanized area (or other large area used as a standard of comparison). I did not succeed in finding or deriving this data for this study, and had to substitute ppOOHUua for this variable. . The proportion of a tract RCI over the area RCI (RCIt —=- RCIua), producing a measure that may allow for the comparison of tracts between metropolitan areas, or in the same area over time, given xi RCIt RCIua %ROhht %ROpt roRCIt SMOCwmua the assumption that class position and relations are relative to local social conditions rather than fixed standards or objective physical conditions of housing Residential Class Indicator for a tract (or other small area of study) The RCI rating that represents an entire UA (or other large area used as a standard of comparison), obtained simply by treating information on that area as if it were for a single tract and applying the RCIt formula to it The proportion of households in a tract (or other small area of study) that inhabit renter-occupied housing units, found by dividing the number of renter-occupied households in an area by its total number of households The proportion of persons in a tract (or other small area of study) that inhabit renter-occupied hOusing units, found by dividing the number of persons in such units by the total number of persons living in that area The term of an RCI equation that measures the quality of rental- occupied housing units in a tract (or other small area of study) The'mean selected monthly owner costs of owner-occdpied units with a mortgage, for the entire urbanized area (or other large area used as a standard of comparison) xii 1. INTRODUCTION Introduction to the Problem Being Researched Despite the extensive amount of research on the topic of social class, it is still a difficult task to identify where a person, family, or household fits into a class or stratification framework in an American city. Similarly, although most peOple have and express ideas about areas of a city that they feel are "good" or "bad" to live in, or somewhere in-between, it is often very difficult to pinpoint just how good or how bad an area is. Both social class and neighborhood quality seem linked together, bitt there is no clear measure in general use to express the nature of this relationship. One of the problems is that there is no simply defined and easily measurable condition that defines one's "social class." Also, while similar types of residential arrangements may be easy to compare to each other, a sizable urban area contains quite a diversity of living arrangements that tend to confound attempts to make comparisons between them. Although owning a home is generally indicative of greater wealth and status than renting an apartment, there may be areas within a city where the construction of a new apartment building is a boon to the neighborhood, and provides housing ‘of a clearly higher quality than the old and 'shoddy, crumbling houses'that surround it. While it can sometimes be quite easy to reach agreement on whether some person is lower or upper-class, or which neighborhood is one of the nicest or worst in a city, there are many cases between these extremes that are more difficult to classify. Is our definition of how class is to be measured powerful enough that any randomly selected person in the country can be assessed and placed within a descriptive framework that is meaningful to most peOple? If a location within a city were to be selected at random, is there a way to assess how "desirable" an area it is to live in, or what "class" of person would be likely or expected to live there? The goal of my research is to allow any residential area or neighborhood within an urban area (of sufficient size) to be rated as to its quality, and to use such ratings to help assess the class position, or socioeconomic status, of those who are living there. My research enables such analysis by providing equations that, using readily available census data, produce ratings called Residential Class Indicators (RC1), that assess the residential quality of an area, and thus suggest something about how its inhabitants fit into a contemporary framework Of social stratification. The Need for the Research There is a need for this kind of research, in the fields of sociology and urban planning, to better apply the concept of class or social stratification to a description or model of urban areas in American society, in a fOrm that is usable by those without extensive mathematical or statistical expertise. This research provides urban and regional planners with'a relatively simple way of assessing the residential areas they oversee. Urban geographers should also find my proposed model to be of interest in identifying noteworthy socioeconomic patterns in residential location decisions and trends in an area, since it has similarities with the "social area" analysis tools used in their discipline. This research offers a way to measure concepts of class and neighborhood quality that are usually too subjective (or controversial) to allow clear and explicit analysis, and possibly even evaluation Of planning decisions that could affect them. If others agree that my Residential Class Indicators are sufficiently accurate and useful, their application could allow certain types of difficult planning decisions to be conceptualized in a clearer and more objective fashion. Sociologists interested in measuring social class are provided with an extra indicator that can be used both to classify their subjects of study within a stratification framework, and to make class distinctions between subjects who, by other measures, had been assigned to a similar class despite obvious differences in lifestyle, affiliation, and consumption habits. 2. BACKGROUND INFORMATION AND KEY CONCEPTS The Concept of Class Having a background in sociology, I have long been aware of the concept of social class, and this concept (along with the related one of social stratification) has guided many aspects of my research. The idea of social class is not completely without controversy. It is a fact that not everyone in our society enjoys the same quality of work, income, status and lifestyle (this is called social differentiation—see Kerbo 10). Exactly how to best measure the ways that people live differently, and what the overall significance of these differences is, is a subject that is still much debated. It might be said that the whole concept revolves around attempts to judge other people, by trying to decide what standards of judgement best match societal/cultural standards (that themselves are subject to criticism for favoring some at the expense of others—Kerbo 155-158). The endeavor makes sense from a sociological view as a means of reducing the enormous complexities of socioeconomic relations in modern Society into a model that is relatively straightforward and comprehensible (if somewhat lacking in predictive power as a result). The debates about class and measurement of inequality have in recent decades generally taken the form of using and defending one of two general positions, which I will call the class and the stratification approaches. I will summarize and interpret these two predominant approaches to measuring inequality in American society, then discuss how these have informed and affected my research (based mainly on Kerbo 90-95, 128-153, 155-158). What I shall call the class View of social inequality emphasizes distinct social groups ("classes") with differing and often conflicting needs and goals. People in a society, according to this view, can be generally classified according to a number of characteristics that approximate how much value or power they have in that society (Kerbo 12-14, Gilbert and Kahl 16-18). It is believed in this view that certain characteristics, such as one's wealth, education and occupation, tend to correspond with each other, and are of very great significance in determining how an individual is treated by others, the rewards that are given to (or withheld from) him or her, the subculture that the person operates within, and the sorts of "life-chances" that a person has. "Life- chances" may be viewed not only as a person's chances for survival with good health and nutrition, but also in terms of the number and quality of choices available to the person through his or her life, some of which may be deemed to assist the person in achieving . "success" as it is defined by the culture, and passing such benefitson to his or her family and offspring (Gilbert and Kahl 2-3). I It becomes apparent as these concepts of inequality are explored that there is no - clear, undisputed means of categorizing every‘person as a part of one or another distinct class groups (Gilbert and Kahl 46-47, 78-82).' Rather, there are categories of people whom most would agree belong at either end of the spectrum of inequality, and a vast majority of persons who have conflicting statuses or interests and therefore must be classed somewhere in the middle (Kerbo 192, 281). There are many suggested characteristics that can be used to judge others (see Gilbert and Kahl 12-15, 37-3 8), but few people in society rate at either extreme on all of these characteristics. General categories of classes in this classification scheme could be called lower class, working class, middle class, and upper class, although the exact number of categories can vary quite a bit (Gilbert and Kahl 28-31). Such groups are presumed to have certain tendencies in terms of their cultural ideals, spending habits, and other characteristics generally related to the class concepts mentioned before (Kerbo 290-291, 318-322, Gilbert and Kahl 112). In popular conceptions of class, each category tends to have stereotypical features, and persons tend to be classified according to_ the extent to which they match these class stereotypes (Gilbert and Kahl 306-307). For example, a lower working-class person would be stereotypically expected to have at most a high school diploma (possibly less), to work in a blue-collar, heavily supervised job, which promotes in the worker a culture of gruffness and latent hostility (Ehrenreich 107-121). Whenever such a person is indeed observed, the stereotype, and therefore the presumed validity of the class concepts, may be reinforced in those who utilize a class-based model of society (examples Of this kind of conceptualization can be clearly seen in'Fussell 29-50). The concept of class is indeed very pertinent when certain patterns are observed that do match the pre-defined types. As I will discuss later, however, if our goal is to understand, through classification, the goals, attitudes, and lifestyles of all persons in a country (not just point to those who neatly fit into categories), there are a number of problems with class concepts that have yet to be resolved (Kerbo 177-185, 192, Gilbert and Kahl 241- 244) To illustrate how the concept of class is applied, a small category of people can be defined who on every reasonable measure are "lower class." A good example of this would be those who are impoverished, of inferiOr intelligence and health, poorly educated, unemployed, and a part of some countercultural group that is Opposed by powerful societal forces (such as illegal immigrants in prison for serious crimes). Practically any social scientist can be expected to agree that those in such a category, meeting all the mentioned criteria, are indisputably lower-class. At the other end of the inequality spectrum, consider someone who is very rich, highly educated, in charge of many other people (such as through an important corporate or political structure), and held in high regard by large numbers of people for epitomizing the qualities that are predominantly deemed by their culture to be virtuous. Such a person can clearly be expected to be judged as upper-class by a consensus of social scientists. But what of the large majority of people who are Somewhere in the middle and have some qualities that will be judged as higher-class, but at the same time, other characteristics that can be judged as lower-class? (Gilbert and Kahl 16-17, 25-26, 308-310) What I call the stratification approach to American inequality tends not to attach discrete labels to categories of people, and instead focus on distinct characteristics such as income or amount of education, with which persons or households may be placed at an ' approximate point in a continuum. Besides being easy to measure, such variables ‘ generally are of a type that do not Split into a few clear categories, but are instead based on a person's comparative position in that continuum of values for each variable of interest (Kerbo 177-183). Any class assessment deriving from this conception of social stratification would be based on some guess as to the relative importance of each variable, rather than how well each case fits a stereotypical class image. A fellow who grew up in a fairly wealthy family,‘but has a temporary job as a phone solicitor while he attends pre-law classes at a local cOmmunity college, is difficult to place in a distinct- class, but can be judged on measurements of several distinct variables—an income of $16,000 per year, 13 years of formal education completed, and a job whose status is extremely low (according to at least one survey of occupational status—see Kerbo 181 or Gilbert and Kahl 40). In this sense, then, most Americans are "middle class" because there are usually some factors on which they can be judged as somewhere other than the extreme top or bottom (see also Gilbert and Kahl 234-235). The "class" view of inequality fits a critical, conflict-based view of society because its distinct class categories are usually applied in a context that emphasizes the qualitative inferiority of one class and superiority of another, and therefore points to a struggle between such classes over the distribution of rewards in society (Kerbo 90-95). The multitude of potentially ambiguous or conflicting indicators of societal position are subsumed into a few basic class groupings that are designed to be hierarchically ordered. The "lower middle-class" office worker, for example, is judged in this view to be better- off than the "upper working-class" skilled blue-collar tradesman. " The "stratification" view of inequality is less inherently critical of society because it tends to be unconcerned with judging the motivations underlying the distribution of benefits that are observed (Kerbo 90-95, 378-3 84). Rather, it seeks to describe, in quantitative terms, the relative extent of such inequality, or the comparative position of an individual within a statistical distribution of benefits. This distribution of benefits is generally attributed to market forces of various kinds, with the effect that the nature and fairness of the status quo is left unchallenged. The finding of quantitative aspects of distributed benefits allows a hierarchical comparison of socioeconomic position, but generally only for that particular aspect that was chosen for measurement and comparison (for an example, see Kerbo 181-185). If incOme is chosen for comparison, we may find that a blue-collar tradesman earns significantly more money than a clerical office worker (Kerbo 32). If occupational injury and mortality rates are measured, the office worker's lower rate of injury may rate him or her as higher-class (Kerbo 288-290). How to resolve conflicts between contradictory statuses does not seem to have been worked out at present—judgements will vary with the goals and biases of the observer (for examples, see Gilbert and Kahl 28-31, 37, 43-47, 241-244, Kerbo 190-193). An approach from economics could attempt to quantify the medical costs of the blue-collar injuries and compare job incomes only after subtracting the respective costs of occupational injuries. An economist might claim that good and bad aspects of a job will be reflected in its pay, so that more demanding jobs are matched with higher remuneration. One of the virtues of the class approach to inequality is that by not being distracted by the politically suggestive aspects of limited or single indicators, it can demonstrate that the preceding kind of claim is freq'uently not true. Rather, many of the lowest paid jobs are also dangerous and in many other ways comparatively undesirable. These necessary but undesirable jobs are frequently filled, not throngh the raising of pay rates as the simplistic economic View would suggest, but by having large numbers of people placed in positions where they are unable to earn needed money in any other legitimate way except by taking these undesirable jobs (Kerbo 324-327). Thus, it is the rule of a limited supply of (but high demand for) jobs that described this, rather than the "fair exchange" of pay for equivalent work, although a minimum wage and government transfers may mitigate the pain of such job-market conditions in some instances (Kerbo 307-310, 330-340, Gilbert and Kahl 278-280). In this research project, while recognizing the scientific and philosophical strengths and contributions of both perspectives, I focus mainly on the problem of finding an accurate measurement of one aspect of inequality—the quality of residential areas—— 10 rather than the use of such measures in SOCietal criticism. In this, I share the approach of the stratification view of inequality. However, my chosen variable to be measured has a ' number of characteristics that overlap with the "class grouping" view of inequality, and my measures may later be founduseful in societal criticism. I will explain some Of the uses and theoretical implications of my research toward the end of this paper. First, other important concepts must be introduced, and a history and description of how my measurements evolved and can be applied will then be given. The Concept of Neighborhood Quality In urban planning and geography, the concept of neighborhood quality arises nearly as much as the concept of class does in sociology. The whole point of economic and community development, and redevelopment, is to improve in some tangible way the socioeconomic conditions of an area. Housing should be of decent quality, and located to allow access to jobs, shopping, and urban services (So and Getzels 363). Measurement of irnprovement in an area's quality might involve the number of new jobs, new housing units, or increased housing values. Neighborhood preservation has the goal of slowing or preventing the decline of an area due to physical aging and weathering of the housing stock, conflicting land use goals, and economic/demographic changes in the area. Fortunately, the goals are a bit less controversial on this subject among planners than those of class analysis are among sociologists. Planning controversies tend to arise about how best to achieve goals that most believe to be laudable. The analysis of the subject of neighborhood quality is also a bit more straightforward. It is cormnonly agreed that there is a competitive market for land, and that actors in this market are presumed to be acting in their own self-interests, with the 11 goal of urban planners identified as that of anticipating and resolving conflicts that may arise as a result of individuals' and groups' competing goals for the land and its environment (SO and Getzels 71-78, 309, 330-332). In terms of measurement procedures, one of the simplest and most straightforward approaches to the assessment of residential quality is to consider the market value of housing units in an area. Given the basic economic assumption that all positive and negative features of each housing unit will be reflected in its market value, such values act as a kind of weighted average Of the sum of good and bad elements affecting its use for residential purposes (Anderson and Funderbunk 137-144). As when a crude economic approach was applied to low-paying jobs, however (in the preceding section on "class" and sociology), there is a corollary to be found here in that some housing is inherently undesirable and yet finds inhabitants willing to pay disproportionately high amounts for it because they are in a position where alternatives are unavailable (Harvey 548-549). Thus, supply of quality housing tends to be low when compared to the demand for it, and the existence and enforcement of construction codes, among other regulations, keeps the price of available housing from going too low (Harvey 558-559, Jacobs 419-420). Many conditions may affect the price of housing. Of course there are many endogenous factors that relate purely to the structure itself—number of bedrooms, bathrooms, complete plumbing and heating facilities, square footage, construction quality, and so on. These features may be overridden by other, exogenous ones that have nothing to do with the property itself—taxation rates, school district, distance from necessities or amenities, and environmental conditions (So and Getzels 311). Environmental conditions may be physical, as in the exposure Of the structure to flooding la 12 or pollution hazards. They may also be sociocultural, when the norms and standards of an area and its inhabitants run counter to those valued by the housing shopper. In this latter category may be placed concerns about image (including so-called "visual pollution"), noise, crowding, crime, or ethnic/cultural differences (Anderson and Funderbunk 139-140). The point of my research is to attempt to measure, using readily-available census data, the quality of residential areas within all parts Of an urbanized area, and connect such measures with broader patterns of inequality and stratification in that area. Just as my concern with social stratification is to be able to evaluate all residents of an urban area, my goal in assessing residential quality is to evaluate the status of all inhabitants of the area—not just homeowners. My model of residential quality therefore includes measures to evaluate those living in rental units and in grorip quarters. The focus is on the people as well as the housing. These distinctions, and the merging of residential quality with sociological class analysis, show that I am addressing the topic somewhat differently from real estate analySts. Sociologists and urban geographers frequently employ models that are too demanding or time-consuming for routine use by planners. (See Ley 75-77 for an overviewof social area analysis and factorial ecology. While social area analysis has many similarities to my approach, factorial ecology assumes a comfort with advanced techniques of multivariate statistical analysis. Both require extensive time to calculate or set up in a computer.) My model provides an approach that I feel is informative and can be readily used, with just a bit of study, by planners and researchers who have only a “O 13 basic knowledge of algebra and statistics, and access to common census data through a library or computerized source. The Traditional Class Indicators and Unit of Analysis. In studies of stratification and inequality, three good indicators of social class, or "socioeconomic status," are a person's income, occupation, and education (Hess, Markson, and Stein 182-183). Although I have said "person," it is generally the household that is the unit Of analysis for stratification studies. I acknowledge that it is far easier to study household characteristics than individual characteristics, but I do not share the view that it is intrinsically more correct to examine the stratification of households rather than individuals in modern society. This could easily lead to a separate paper of its own (see‘ Kerbo 192 as this point relates to studies of the status of‘women, so I will merely give a number Of criticisms as a way of pointing out some inadequacies of household-based conceptions of social class. I feel these flaws are worth pointing out even though I ultimately had to abandon using an individual view of class in the development of my model, due to the fact that most available data is patterned to be useful only for a household analysis. The traditional view of social stratification basically assmnes that all members of a household are of the same social class. I believe this assumption is probably fine in many instances. For example, a traditional agrarian system has minimal measurable economic links between relatively self-sufficient farming households and the merchant, activities of the towns (Wallerstein 24). As industrialization proceeded and capitalist systems spread throughout Europe, America, and elsewhere, the number of measurable monetary interactions between a household and other parts of society increased l4 continually. New forms of taxation, compulsory education, and the increasing specialization of new production processes had the effect of transforming old economic systems (based on divisions of labor within relatively autonomous households, and light exchange networks between such households and towns/ governments) into new ones in which previously unmeasured household production became commodified (that is, became organized in a way that allowed for market valuation and exchanges of those goods and services—see Wallerstein 13-43). The direct labor value of children within the household, for example, was to be challenged by the abstract value of increases in the marketability of their labor within a tax-supported and compulsory schOOling system. The labor costs of household tasks performed domestically by household members could be compared with the prices of modern devices such as dishwashers and drying machines, and the lessening of time required for household labor allowed for additional family labors to be sold in broader markets for wage remuneration (Harvey 5 54—5 55). By the 19505 and 19605, certain econOmic and cultural changes became clear ' which I believe demonstrate the desirability of shifting to an individual-level analysis of stratification rather than a household-based one. Rising numbers of houSeholds had two working parents, and so the "family wage" concept started to be reshaped (Gilbert and _ Kahl 106). The whole assumption that one parent (the father) functions as the head of the household became harder to sustain, as there were too many obvious cases where a woman's income was much greater than her husbands, and her job more prestigious and highly-skilled. Although married couples became more likely to include comparable OCCupational status as one of their marriage criteria, disparities are still common and complicate class analysis at a household level (Gilbert and Kahl 120-125, 237-239). ’3 15 Also, the breaking down of fixed gender roles and stereotypes freed many women and men from the traditionally rigid life-cycle concepts. Many married couples pursued ' separate careers and began choosing not to have children. Women did not automatically have to seek marriage and mothering roles (see Gilbert and Kahl 74-76 on "pink-collar" jobs). Many couples alsodecided that marriage itself was not vital to their plans. Female-headed households have increased (Gilbert and Kahl 289-291). The gender- based restrictions on so many parts of society and the workforce began toidisappear. Glass ceilings in many professions were pushed up or broken through. Female access to higher education became equal to (and in some measures now exceeds) that of men (Hess, Markson, and Stein 211-218). We have also observed the rise and unprecedented prolifefation of youth subculture and niche markets. One of the big changes in the 1950s and 19608, this trend has showed no signs of stopping. Young people under age 18 have more spending money than ever, and entertainment, recreational, and fashion markets and trends aimed at youth have expanded to include older persOns as these youths age. The increasing separation between youth activities and adult ones has enhanced the creation and maintenance of distinct youth subcultures with each generation, which in many ways seem to be just as distinct as any cultural differences presumed to separate the traditional social classes, and which seems most closely affiliated with lower-class values (Ehrenreich 91-96). On the flip side, we also have seen a significant rise in the percentage of elderly persons, and in many cases, a lowering of the retirement age, resulting in increases in recreational spending and political power for this group as well. 16 Many traditional views of social class ignore the strong correlation between age and the traditional class indicators of education, occupation, and income, assuming that children are trained in such a way that they can be considered that same class as their 1 parents (or at least, parent of the same gender). Classic studies of status attainment (Kerbo 369-373) seem to have ignored the effects of age on occupational status (see Hess, Markson, and Stein 228-229 for an overview of age-based inequalities). While it is true that occupational inheritance (or at least a correlation between a parent and child's occupational status, education and income) is a demonstrable feature of the stratification system, the number of deviations from this expected inheritance is so large that it must not be ignored (Kerbo 349-354). In addition, even if one's ultimately expected social class is at a certain high level, in many cases, this is not achieved instantly, but must be worked toward. College students of lower middle class (or below) origins, for example, typically have lower-working class jobs or even live in poverty for significant periods of time while working to attain middle-class or professional status (Ehrenreich 75-78). ' There is no agreement as to what aspects of class positiOn should be emphasized at any given time and which should be ignored. The poor student may complain that she is lower class, because of her low~ income and menial job while in college, but her life- chances are significantly better than the poor person in that job who is not in college. This shows the significance of the educational component of class—in many cases, the student would have a much better job, were it not for the commitment to spend so much time and money in pursuit of educational advancement. Is the student lower class (income), working class (occupation), or middle class (education), or some average of the three? If the student is considered middle class in this example because Of her life- -l7 chances, is this still a true assessment if she dies before achieving true middle class status—especially if from an occupational injury or lack of money or insurance for health care? Since college completion is of far greater importance than mere attendance (Kerbo 376) there is no certainty that a currently enrolled student will Obtain and successfully use a degree, it would seem logically invalid to place too much weight on assessments of future attainment, when current lifestyle conditions are so different in comparison. Although I have been presenting a case for an individual-level analysis of stratification, critical data on income is provided mainly for households. The amount of income available to individual members of a household generally cannot be determined by this data source. Income information is typically collected for entire households or families, and the way that this income is distributed within households—is not detailed. As part of my model's development, I proposed a measure based on per-capita calculations, but decided to abandon it as it became clear that it was too sensitive to household sizes (similar to the income analysis problems reported in Hess, Markson, and Stein 181). It should also be noted that many of my critiques of household-level analysis were rooted in a framework presented by a school of thought that insists that a household-level of analysis is the most appropriate one to use (Wallerstein 23-26, Wallerstein and Smith 234-252). It is possible that my reluCtance to accept household-level analysis is rooted in biases from my own backgroundand class position (Gilbert and Kahl 120-125). A Class Indicator Based on Residential Location I have mentioned three traditional indicators of social class as being income, education, and occupation, all of which have means of measurement and which to some degree are present in decennial census data (although occupation is typically measured in l8 terms of occupational prestige). I will discuss these a bit, and their limits, and argue for the consideration of my suggested new indicator, which is based on residential location, in future stratification studies and urban analysis. The Residential Class Indicator (RC1) provides an assessment of residential quality which otherwise lacks a straightforward measure from a single census variable. The importance of residential location for class analysis will also be explained. Income is an irnportant variable for indicating class or status position because it can be used to purchase many of the other indicators, whether leisure and cultural pursuits, education, political influence, or even, through the presence of a surplus that allows for investments, more income! Part of the lifestyle component of class is considered to be that of consumption—the choices of how one spends one's money (see Harvey 553-556, Veblen 68-101, 133-139, and all of Fussell). Education and income are measured directly by the decennial census questionnaire, and consumption may be assumed to correlate with income. The correlation may not be ideal, however, since we do not know from the income data how much of a person's (or family’s or household's) reported income is available for spending or investment. A College graduate may technically have a high income, except that most of it in some cases may be unavailable due to large debts that have accumulated. A more accurate class indicator would I probably be wealth, which is not asked about by the census bureau (Kerbo 28—3 1, 38-40, Gilbert and Kahl 101-104). A high-class person may technically have no income at all during a given year because he is able to live off of accumulated wealth. In such instances, my proposed indicator of residential quality, based on available measures of housing values and housing expenditures, would seem to be a better indicator of that l9 person's lifestyle and overall wealth. Housing data is also more visible and subject to verification, and so is less prone to false answers than a question on income. Some views of class hold that affiliation is very important, not only from the status gained or lost by associatiOn with one's acquaintances, friends, and family, but also in an economic or "life-chances" sense, when someone is assisted in their needs or endeavors by gifts or favors from wealthier or more influential family or friends. Education and occupation may be considered correlates of class affiliation, but here also is an excellent example of where my indicator of residential location would be helpful in assessing this aspect of a person's class position. The place where a person lives suggests some affiliation or similarity with others who reside in that area. There are many instances where choices of residential location are shaped by where one's relatives and friends live (Gilbert and Kahl 135-137). In addition, class interests may be shaped by residential location (Harvey 559-560). In some cases, a person's other census-measured characteristics may not match his ‘ or her true class preferences and affiliations. For example, ’a 'mOderate income person may spend an unusually largeportion of her money to afford housing in an area that she considers to be of good quality, based on her background and tastes. Conversely, a wealthy man who wishes to disdain a rich lifestyle and continue to affiliate with the working folk he grew Up with may stay in a run-down old house near his old factory. The choice of where to live can be considered an important indicator of culture, affiliation, and consumption patterns for a person, and therefore my goal was to measure patterns of housing inequalities which would reflect this. IO 20 Other variables that have been considered a part of class standing include political power and class consciousness (Turner 220-228, Hess, Markson, and Stein 175, 177, 184, Gilbert and Kahl 13-14), authority over the actions of self and others (Kerbo 112-116), and socialization and family background (Gilbert and Kahl 13, Roberts 238, Hartigan 8). These variables in some ways relate to those measured in the census, but are not directly dealt with in my research because of the difficulty of clearly linking census variables to them. There are numerous references to the importance of residential location in one's class position, in both popular and theoretical literature on class and urban areas. Often, the subject is mentioned casually as a matter of common knowledge, but is seen as a true condition from a number of distinct interpretations of its significahce. Those who have studied poverty note the reality of zones where the poor are concentrated in much higher proportions than elsewhere (Kerbo 326, Roberts 237). An analysis of the richer areas reveals areas of exclusionary zoning, gated communities, and "exclusiveness," (So and Getzels 48, 51, 282-283, Fussell 76-83, Gilbert and Kahl 132). A broader approach shows aspects of differentiation between residential locations throughout the class strata (Palen 154-158, 197-199, Ley 55-92, Muller 63-65). One school Of social theory fits residential segregation into a broader framework of class conflict (Harvey 560). More empirical and complex analyses have develOped in the ecological school of class analysis (Kerbo 182). While the classic stratification studies of Robert and Helen Lynd ("Middletown") and Lloyd Warner ("Yankee City") focused on small communities, a study by Coleman and Rainwater in the 19705 assessed class positions for Boston and Kansas City (Kerbo 126-127, Gilbert and Kahl 33-38). In urban studies, the "Chicago 21 school" researchers had begun extensive analysis of residential segregation patterns focusing on race and ethnicity (Ley 60-61). Following these initial studies were many others which included numerous indicators of class position or socioeconomic status in their geographic analyses, so as to identify numerous types of neighborhoods or, at a larger level, "social areas" (Ley 62-67). Social area analysis included a measure of "social rank" based on occupation and education (Palen 104-106, Ley 75-76). This marked a significant methodological step forward from initial crude and very generalized descriptive modelsof urban land use, such as the concentric zone, sector, and multiple nuclei models (Hess, Markson, and Stein 538-539, Palen 90-103, Ley 72-75). For assessing patterns of change, the concepts of invasion and succession were introduced,- followed by more sophisticated concepts such as filtering and neighborhood development cycles (Hess, Markson, and Stein 539, Palen 87-90, Ley 248-268). My research idea started from a considerationof the simple ecological approach of mapping single census variables for block groups or tracts throughout urban areas. (I considered factor analysis to be far too demanding in its time requirements, and too difficult more most Urban planners to use because of the number of variables considered and the statistical technique used to analyze them.) Urban areas are examined because census data for them is plentiful and linked with pre-defined geographic areas (tracts and block groups) which are delineated finely enough to enable useful spatial studies of residential distributions. Also, a fuller range of stratification is likely to be present in urban areas than in nonurban ones, since our society's functions and culture are mainly urban for most of its population G’alen 3-5). ‘43 22 With regard to the boundaries for a city, I consider a Contiguous built-up area of non-rural density, oriented around centralized areas of greater density and higher land uses, to be an economic and social whole that I call an urban area. The individual political and corporate municipalities with fixed geographic boundaries (in Michigan, these can be either cities, villages, or townships) which compose the urban area as a whole are certainly of interest for any urban study, but‘in my opinion these boundaries are overly distracting for most researchers. For my purposes of residential class analysis, discussion of central city/suburban differences are wholly unsatisfying and much too imprecise for modeling inequalities. I agree completely with David Rusk's attitude that "the real city is the total metrOpolitan area" (Rusk 5, 7). My own research on contemporary urban areas, and a consideration of the locational tr"ends over the last several decades (for example, Muller 62-82) has led me to conclude that so-called suburbs are in most cases now functionally, economically, and visually merely part of an urban area as a whole. Instead of a city annexing adjacent areas as it grows, contemporary cities now grow across political boundaries, with the areas in outlying jurisdictions basically serving the same functions as the fiinge of the central city in the era when it was politically self-contained. The geographic distributiOn of land uses is merely seen on a larger scale now, and in many cases, the plaCement of cities' corporate limits seems quite arbitrary in relation to its effect on actual land uses. Arr observer in the field would frequently find it impossible to tell where city ends and "subur " begins,- except when there are actual signs posted to mark the "transition." In this research, I find i the census-defined "urbanized area" to be a fairly good demarcation of the functional boundaries of an urban area (see Palen 115-116 for definitions of urban area measures). 23 I tend to reject using the (commonly used) Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) values as an area of analysis. This is because I have been dissatisfied with the way that the MSA is defined in terms of entire counties, which is a particularly crude geographic delineation when dealing with cities of only medium-size. Its use leads, for example, to the claim that the Lansing "area" was larger in 1990 than the Flint "area," which any detailed comparison of the two areas would Show to be untrue. The MSA includes many relatively unassociated rural areas as being a part of the metrOpolitan Lansing area, even when their distance has caused most land valuation effects from the city to have dissipated (following the distance decay principle in economic geography—see Haynes and Fotheringham 12-13, 15). I did not want a measure whose values were thrown substantially off by the inclusion of distant small cities, such as Olivet, and the large agricultural areas throughout Lansing's three associated MSA counties. I also noted the crudeness of the measure in the case where Battle Creek is assigned Calhoun County as its MSA, and Kalamazoo is assigned Kalamazoo County as its MSA, even though the city of Battle Creek is contiguous with the boundary of Kalamazoo County. Rather than being a part of the same MSA (as in the case of Saginaw-Bay City-Midland), they are treated as separate; while included in the Battle Creek MSA is a moderate-sized city like Albion, which is 25 miles away (and therefore has a much smaller " gravitational" force of interaction with Battle Creek than Kalamazoo's urbanized area, which is 23 miles away and has more than a dozen times the population). Fora while I was impressed with the Rand-McNally Corporation's "Ranally Metro Area" (RMA), which comprises minor civil divisions rather than entire counties. It defined Lansing's RMA as the two central cities, plus some dozen townships (and the 24 small cities and villages within them) in which half or more of the residents were assessed as commuting to the central area, and therefore economically and socially associated with it. When I found that the census bureau's "Urbanized Area" (UA) measure more compactly defined the Lansing-East Lansing area according to contiguous and associated urban land uses, regardless of local political boundaries, I have preferred it ever since. Later I will describe how to apply the model to any urban area, regardless of how it is defined, or how to use an areas custom-defined by the researcher (called a "user- defined" area, abbreviated herein as "UDA"). _b dd 25 3. THE RCI MODEL EXPLAINED The Origin of this Model of Residential Inequality My contemplation of residential class indicators pre-dates the formation of this formal research project regarding them, and in some ways even pre-dates my formal training as an urban planner. Therefore, some of the evolution and testing of my ideas did not follow the classical social-scientific tradition, such as performing an initial literature review. Many who have given a critical analysis of scientific methods have pointed out that there is a great deal of research that did not follow a classical model, but is then written up in a way that suggests that it had (Mills 56-5 8, 69-71, Merton 4-7). In following the recommendations of such analysts for greater candor, I will present in this section a description of how my creative process for the RCI model actually occurred. The literature review proper was given in the preceding section. The chronological descriptions in this section will help to explain the many aspects of the RC1 model in a more approachable fashion (paralleling how I actually determined them), but will also allow this paper to be of use to those who study methods of scientific research, and the creative aspect Of the research process. A possible drawback to this chronological approach is that there are a number of ideas included in my descriptions which do not ultimately figure into the RC1 model I am recommending. The inclusion of these extra ideas may be distracting for some readers, but they have a value for facilitating (1) a critique of the model, (2) the correction of any flaws found in my reasoning and research process, and (3) the identification of areas for further research on this topic (described in a section at the end of this paper). 26 During my readings and classes in sociology, urban planning, and related disciplines such as geography and economics, I noted that the idea of neighborhood quality often arose as a useful concept, but was rarely dealt with in an objectively measurable sense. Although such measures exist (references are in the previous section), they can be too difficult for most people to calculate, and too time-cOnsuming for most planners to conveniently research. By contrast, the RC1 model allows the calculation of residential inequalities for an entire urban area in just a few hours, for those who have spreadsheet software, computer-formatted census information (or a link to the census intemet site), and a map of cenSus tracts or block groups (also obtainable over the intemet from http://factfinder.census.gov/ ). Even if none of this equipment is available, a researcher can go to census referencematerials in a library, locate a few key ,values for the urban area, and then look up and calculate values for individual tracts, using only a couple minutes per tract if a hand calculator is used. The concepts that were molded into my RCI model date back nearly ten years and originated in my use of census data to help me select relatively affordable locations to rent apartments in the Lansing-East Lansing Urbanized Area. Initially, I examined traditional social indicators such as the percentage of residents in poverty, and per capita income. However, since I was mainly looking for affordable but decent-quality housing, my concern with such sOcial indicators became of secondary importance, although I noted that an apartment could be rented in many different types of neighborhoods in the Lansing-East Lansing area at prices that were not so different from each other. This is especially true for those who can split the cost of a housing unit with another person, a 27 Option that enabled me, as a young college student, to live near one of the wealthiest subdivisions in the whole area (in southern Okemos). Over the years, I noticed more about the relationship between the social characteristics of an area and the housing values the census lists for that area. When I sought to rent an apartment of my own, I mapped out the values for some census variables for the entire urbanized area. I found a section near downtown Lansing where the apartments were very affordable, and the housing values were not too low. There was a sizable percentage of people in poverty in that tract, but Since almost everyone there had completed high school, I figured this merely meant that they were students like me. It soon became clear that my naive review of a few basic indicators had some severe weaknesses. Although the apartment complex itself that I lived in. was spacious and an excellent deal for the money, the nature of the area accounted for its relative cheapness. I had to get used to the sound Of gunshots and nearby domestic violence, and my daily walks to the bus stop often included hostile or undesirable encounters. When I entered graduate school and gladly moved to a nicer area close to campus, I began again to consider how census data might be employed to assess neighborhood quality. My previous mistake was to exaggerate the importance of the educational component, and to not have noticed that the fairly decent housing values applied only to the nine percent of units that were owner-occupied. I began to tinker withways to make a combined measure of neighborhood quality, for there were too many rental units in. most areas to make housing values alone a reliable indicator of residential quality. I wanted to make some sort of an index by combining variables that were not measured in the same terms. . 28 The actual mathematical formulation of the RC1 model was inspired by the various ratio-based measures I had seen in the Urban Planning profession, such as location quotients and shift-share analysis (as in Klosterman 113-186). By using and extensively critiquing such analytic techniques, I felt I had acquired a good understanding of how "simple division," the use of ratios, could be productively applied to the evaluation of social data. Needing a standard to which census tract values could be compared through ratio techniques, I chose the median values for the urbanized area—— contract rents for rental units, and housing values for owner-occupied units. I made little ratios for each type of unit which compared its median tract values to those of the whole Lansing-East Lansing area, and added weighting factors that added up to unity so that when the ratios for each housing type were added tOgether, the result would appear in the same form that the original ratios had been. Multiplying by 100 put the ratio results into a familiar, percentage-style range—the tract value is expressed as a percentage of the overall UA (or UDA) value Users of the RC1 model would therefore only have to develop a comfort with one rating scale to begin interpreting the results of their calculations. It became clear that some sort of adjustment factor was needed so that renter- occupied (RC) units that matched the median rent for the urbanized area (U A) would not be counted as equal to owner-occupied (00) units that matched the median value of the urbanized area, since RC units tend to be socioeconomically much different than 00. units. Intuitively (based on my general knowledge of the area from over 10 years of living there, and about 5 years of delivering pizzas), I estimated a rental adjustment factor 29 of 0.6, which I now believe to have been a very good first guess. I put together an initial RCI formula, which looked like this: (Equation 1) Prototype 2-Component RCI Model RCIt = %OOhht[ MdV’ )+%R0hht(—M 0.6 (100) Md MdCR Vua ua where "RCIt" means the residential class indicator Of the tract, "%OOhht" refers to the number of owner-occupied housing units in the tract divided by the total number of housing units in the tract, and %ROhht is similarly the proportion of renter-occupied housing units in the tract, the number of rental units divided by the'total number of units. These proportions serve as weights to balance the ratios of the Mth (median value of owner-occupied units in the tract) over the Mqua (median value-Of owner-occupied units in the whole urbanized area) and the MdCRt (median contract rent of rental- occupied units in the tract) over the MdCRua (median contract rent of rental-occupied units in the whole urbanized area). Thus, each type of housing is compared with the urbanized area standard, weighted, and summed, then multiplied by 100 to convert the rating to a more ordinary-feeling, percentage-style number. I call it a model at this point because the ratings are intended to be mapped out or plotted by a Geographic Information System (GIS) for an entire urbanized area to provide a context with which to assess the position of any given tract or small area. The numbers gain meaning from a comparative assessment of how a tract or block grotrp rating compares with others, and to the larger UA or UDA area used as a standard of comparison. The model seemed to hold up pretty well in describing the appearance and "feel" of actual areas I saw around Lansing, and so I mapped out large portions of the Detroit UA and the Grand Rapids UA using it. When I explored those areas (I grew up around 30 Detroit and was already a bit familiar with it) I was very pleased at this simple model's power to predict the type Of neighborhood I would see, mile after mile—wealthy, average, run-down, or frightening! I had some others evaluate what I had done (not an unbiased group, perhaps, but producing some good initial feedback on the model). My stepfather, who had grown up in Detroit, perused a tract map of that city based on my prototype RCI equation, and found the ratings to be accurate—except for the area around Wayne State University. I then applied my model to a block group analysis of the city of Evanston, Illinois (part of the Chicago UA), made a map, and it evaluated by a couple of friends who had lived there for almost a decade. The feedback was generally favorable, but also confurned for me that the ratings in university areas were problematic. I requested from a friend in the Buffalo UA a few locations that he knew well that I could map out and have him evaluate. I mapped out three areas in this fashion, with the favorable feedback that my numbers were, "in a relative sense, spot on." He noted however, that I had not adequately identified the fact that one particular area was not just middle class, but had sections with mansions in it and so should have weighed in as upper middle class. As a mathematician, he pointed out that this oversight could have arisen because I was using median values in my assessments. I had already felt a bit uncomfortable about the mathematics of dividing medians, but since the medians were readily available from my CD-ROM census sources, and were producing generally good estimates, I had continued to use them. It was also considered traditional to use medians as a measure of central tendency when dealing with monetary figures, since the tendency of such values to be greater than zero, yet have no fixed upper limit, skews their distributions to the right. 31 I should also note that, in following the " class " approach to inequality, I had, through comparing my RCI ratings with field conditions, come up with estimated class divisions that could be matched with the ratings this prototype formula produced. The estimated class divisions at that time were as follows: RCI ratinL Estimated "social class" category Below 40 Lower class 40-59 Lower working class 60-89 Upper working class 90-135? Lower middle class 135? -?? Upper middle class ?? and above Upper class I did not feel that I could accurately pinpoint the cutpoints Of the upper classes, since there did not seem to be any exclusively upper class areas in most of the places I studied. Areas of the Grosse Pointe cities northeast of Detroit received very high ratings of as high as 500 (for Grosse Pointe Shores), but although this was therefore clearly upper class, there were too few of these areas to define where the lower rating boundary of such a classification should be placed. I had intended such categories to be helpful for persons unfamiliar with my model to interpret and evaluate the ratings it produced. However, I chose to keep the ratings in their original raw form rather than standardize them within a fixed rating scale (such as from 1 to 100). Initially, I also chose not to adjust them so that they had a clear central point, such a rating of 100, which could be considered average. Rather, a rating of abOut 85 seemed to be the "natural" average of the RC1 ratings, and my assignment of class categorieswas roughly intended to duplicate the kind of class distribution figures found in past research on American stratification (Kerbo 182, 272, Gilbert and Kahl 26, 34, 235). In an explanatory sheet, I commented on the subjective nature of one's impressions of an area; 32 whereas I might feel uncomfortable living in an area rated below 50, for another person this point might be lower, such as at a rating of 40, or higher, such as a rating of 80. I did A not wish to try to interpret the meanings of the ratings for others, but simply provide a measurement of neigthrhood quality that would allow the more precise expression of such preferences. Later, as the implications for social stratification became clearer, I developed means to standardize the ratings around 100 for ease of interpretation (the RCI% rating, which will be explained later), and to rank areas using percentiles, for comparison with or placement in a stratification hierarchy. My initial feedback, and continued field observations, confirmed my impressions that the majority of RCI ratings were indeed measuring comparative neighborhood quality. There were two types of areas, however, that the model did not seem to work well for. Downtown areas seemed to be rated excessively low, and where university areas were measured, the campus area would rate extremely low, while adjacent student areas seemed by comparison to be rated as too high. I believe that the low ratings the model observed in downtown areas were accurate, but that my own sense of such areas had been distracted by their important commercial and business functions. I had trouble accepting the ratings until I recalled that they were based on residential characteristics. My intuitive assessment Of downtowns emphasized their important and often prestigious business uses, which often attract higher-class persons to them. I had alsofailed to take into consideration the impact of the "interaction effects" (discussed as an area for further research) of people travelling into the area from elsewhere and seeming to change its character. When I took a closer look at the quality of the housing actually available in these areas, I decided that the RC1 ratings were appropriate. 33 It was the treatment of university areas that made me determined to change the model, after I assessed (and then moved into) an area of East Lansing known locally as the "student ghetto" (see Ley 65). While the MSU campus itself had received ratings in the 305 from my prototype equation, the area just north of it was rated in the 805. Although this area was one in which "riots" had occurred, many locals dismissed the significance of such events as merely being large student parties, which sounds innocent enough. Their dismissive attitude was wrong, making the assumption that college students can be treated simply as the future middle-class (again, refer to Ehrenreich 75- 78, 91-96). Although the area has some expensive and nice apartments, the majority of it contains moderate-quality dwellings that are subdivided or shared by numerous students, and others. (The city of East Lansing has recently passed ordinances to address this problem by certifying each rental unit for a specific number of occupants.) There are substantial numbers of people in the area that have no official connection with the university, including various transient persons and some who are undergoing medical or psychiatric treatment. Crime is quite high—at least, low-level crimes such as vandalism, public drunkenness, noise disturbances, littering, and public urination were so frequent that it seemed no one was concerned with enforcing the laws against them in that area. There is also a high level of assault and theft crimes. While crime is not necessarily a good indicator of social class, having much greater correlations with a young male , population than with traditional class indicators (Nettler 102-106, 113; see also Jacobs 146-148), some other information on the area is very suggestive. A full 65% of the area's residents were classified by the census as living in poverty, and 27% lived in group quarters when the census was taken in 1990. If 34 I decided that my initial crude model was weak at dealing with these areas because it had ignored the residential conditions of people who do not live in households. The census records data on such persons under the category of those living in group quarters, which includes rooming houses of 10 or more units, homeless shelters, medical, psychiatric, and rehabilitation treatment facilities, fraternities, dormitories, and transient persons living in street locations. I added to my model an assumption that group quarters could be considered the lowest quality of residence, and reduced my 2-component RCI ratings so that the percentage of inhabitants living in group quarters were effectively counted as having a rating of zero, for weighting purposes, just as the rental-occupied term in the prototype equation was reduced by being multiplied by 0.6. (This apparently severe judgement to treat group quarters as a zero rating was made, in part, because the census provides no information about the housing expenses of people living in group quarters.) The new, 3-component equation I began using was (Equation 2) Prototype 3-Component RCI Model Mth Mth RCIt: 1-‘VG t ‘VOOhht + ‘VROhht 0.6 100 ( 0 Q)[( 0 )[Mqua) (0 )(MdRua)( )]( ) where %GQt refers to the number of persons in group quarters divided by the total number of persons in the tract, and the central part of the formula is the same as in Equation 1. The tacking on of this adjustment factor was helpful, as it reduced the rating of Tract 41 (part of the "student ghetto") from the 803 to the 505, which I felt was much 'more appropriate (a later model treating GQ residents as higher than zero lifted the rating into the 603). I later realized that equation 2 mixes a population proportion with household proportions. A more mathematically consistent way to treat the group quarters J 35 component (which produces results that are very close to Equation 2) would be to shape the equation in the form of (Equation 3) Variation on Prototype 3-Component RCI Model MdVr Mth RCIt: O‘VG t + °/OO t + ‘VRO t 0.6 100 [(0 Q) (0 p)[Mqua) (0 p)(MdRua)( )]( ) in which the %GQt term would always be equal to zero and can therefore be removed from the equation, as in (Equation 4) Simplification of Equation 3 Mth Mth RCIt: 0/00 t + 0/R0 t 0.6 100 [( ° ‘0 )(Mqua) (° p )[MdRua)( )l( ) so long as %OOpt now refers to the proportion of persons in owner-occupied units in the tract (rather than the proportion of households) and %ROpt is similarly a proportion of persons rather than households. Equation 3 allows a value other than zero to be selected as a reduction factor for the group quarters term, should that be determined to be more appropriate. After all, it seems harsh to assign all nursing home or dormitory residents an RCI value of zero, which wOuld be the same rating assigned to the homeless or imprisoned in this model. The Evolution of a Refined RCI Model Once I declared this to be the subject of my master's research paper, I began to seriously question and reconsider every component and assumption of myifirst RCI equations. Once I gained access to modern spreadsheet software (previous calculatiOnS were all done with paper and hand calculators) I knew that there was no longer any reason to tolerate the simplifying but questionable aspects of the early RCI model. The first change was to stop using statistical medians and instead use the more 36 mathematically proper statistical mean. Not only had it become clear that the median was ignoring too much information that could affect residential quality by pulling a tract average up or down, but another clear weakness of the median emerged as well when I started working at a block group rather than tract level of analysis. I would find a tract rating of, for example, 50. Then, when calculating RCI values for all of the block groups within that tract, I would sometimes find that all of the block groups had ratings higher than 50. The use of medians was preVenting a proper averaging of component parts within the larger areas being analyzed. Using means instead of medians, a subdivided area will have some parts rated above, and some below, the value of the broader area they compose, or else all ratings will come out about the same (as in a very homogeneous area). I also found the surprising fact that some distributions of monetary information are in fact skewed to the left. In most cases dealing with rents, incomes or housing values, the median will be lower than the mean, as the mean is easily pulled up by a relatively few cases of very high values, due to their distance from the typical value in that area, whereas in this study, there are never any reported negative values that could pull a mean down as easily. In quite a few instances, however, I found areas whose median values were higher than their mean values. An example would be where the bottom 40% of a tract is valued very low, and the top 60% has moderate reported values, all of which are quite close to each other. The median reflects only the top 60%, whereas the mean includes all available information on housing values—in this case summarizing the area as being of lower quality than the median had suggested. I therefore now use the mean in every instance, although this usually needs to be derived from census data by 37 taking aggregate values or aggregate rents and dividing these by the total number of analytic units (usually persons or households) in the "universe" for which those aggregates were tabulated. Thus, a mean value of owner-occupied units is derived by taking the census figure labeled as the aggregate value Of "selected owner-occupied units" (called the universe for that variable) and dividing it by the total number of "selected owner-occupied units." This extra work handled fairly eaSily by the use of spreadsheet software, once census data is entered or downloaded into it. Next, I had to convert the crude estimate of 0.6 as an adjustment factor modifying the renter-occupied ratio to a value that was theoretically justifiable and objectively derivable. An assumption of my approach is that owner-occupiedunits, and their values, are the norm against which other residential arrangements must be compared. (In one school of thought, owner-occupancy is considered a useful norm whose promotion helps legitimize capitalism in our society, giving a greater vested interest in the system to a larger portion of the population—Harvey 551'.) The measurement of owner-occupied units is expressed in terms of value, a measure which has an imperfect correlation with income (and other class indicators), and which can be more indicative of the sorts of class charaCteristics not always addressed by income and other census variables. For example, housing constitutes a major component of most people's wealth, and to this extent may be more indicative of class position than income (Gilbert and Kahl 102-103)., Rental housing units are measured in terms of monthly rents, which are not directly comparable to the norm of housing values observed for owner-occupied units. Similarly, group quarters had up to this point not really had its quality measured at all, and so it was certainly not directly comparable with the other varaibles. It was necessary to have some 38 means of fairly comparing one type of measurement with another, so as to assess all residential types in an area of study. My estimated rental adjustment factor of 0.6 had allowed such comparisons by treating a unit whose rent was two-thirds higher than the mean rent in the UA as the residential class-equivalent of the average owner-occupied housing value in the UA. My initial assessment of group quarters was that they would never improve the overall residential quality of an area. I had to question this assumption as well, since not all group quarters are detrimental to an area's quality of life. There are some nursing homes, for example, that are not only quite nice, but also very expensive (although only a fraction of this expense may be considered to relate to housing costs and quality). I had to review all available decennial census variables and their definitions to determine howl could best compare measures that were expressed in very different units. I found more detailed information on the categories of group quarters, and contemplated giving different weights to these (so that prisons would be lower than nursing homes, for example), but this technique would have ignored the variations between different-quality nursing homes, or between local jails and federal prisons. Moreover, the actual values of the weights assigned to each category of group quarters wOuld still seem quite subjective and even arbitrary. Finally, I found that the census provides data on per capita income .for those in group quarters. I had hoped to find information measuring residential quality, rather than mere income, which as I pointed out is one of the traditional variables. for class analysis, but decided that for the group quarters term‘ of my equations, it was really the best available census, indicator of residential quality of life. Using it could draw distinctions 39 between group quarters of differing quality, on the assumption that higher-income persons would tend to inhabit group quarters of higher quality. Also, most areas have a very low percentage of their residents living in group quarters, and so the use of income as a proxy variable seemed a fair way to factor in the effects of group quarters while the RC1 indicator as a whole remained distinctly different from a mere analysis of income distribution. Since owner-occupied units are the standard of comparison, the income of those in group quarters in a particular tract would be compared with the UA standard for that type of residential arrangement, and this ratio would be weighted by a factor that makes it comparable to owner-occupied lifestyles. With this factor needing to be based on a comparison of income, the standard of comparison would be a proportion based on dividing the average income for those in grOUp quarters in the UA,, by the average per capita income for those living in owner-occupied units in the UA: (Equation 5) Refined Group Quarters RCI Component gq R C It _ pciGQt pciGQua _ pciGQt pciGQua pciOmeua pciOmeua where quCIt is the group quarters component of the area's RCI, pciGQt is the per capita income of those in group quarters in a tract, pciGQua is the per capita income of those in group quarters in the urbanized area, and pciOmeua is the per capita income of those in owner-occupied units with a mortgage in the urbanized area. The factor to adjust the rental-occupied term of the RC1 was similarly derived, but rather than using the less-related variable of income, a variety of other variables were available which had a more direct bearing on residential quality of life. I ultimately selected " gross rent" (rather than contract rent) as the key variable for rental unit quality. This would be compared With the "selected monthly owner costs" (SMOC) of selected , r Rt. 40 owner-occupied housing units, to produce a ratio from which a more empirical and theoretically valid factor could be substituted for my initial estimate of 0.6 to adjust rental units and allow a comparison with the owner-occupied standard. In this procedure, I faced another choice, however, for the census information on owner-occupied units provides not only a measure of all owner-occupied units, but also a sub-division of this category based on whether or not there is a mortgage on the owned property. The differences between households with a mortgage, without a mortgage, and overall, are often substantial. I selected a comparison of owner-occupied households with a mortgage since a household will typically progress from a rental unit to an "owned" unit with a mortgage, rather than without one (Ley 243). Thus, the comparison of rental and owned units is based on the ratio between monthly gross rent and selected monthly owner costs with a mortgage (SMOCwm). SMOCwm includes mortgage payments, property taxes, and costs of utilities and upkeep on a home and was intended by the Census Bureau to be a good summary of the monthly costs of home ownership. The gross rent value sums the contract rent and average utility and related costs to give a total monthly cost for a rental unit's housing _ expenses. Comparing these two measures seemed an excellent way of relating. RO expenses to 00 expenses, especially since the inclusion of mortgage payments and property taxes in the SMOCwm values provides a clear link between monthly housing costs and the preferred class-indicator variable of housing values. Selected monthly owner costs without a mortgage (SMOCwom) are much less than with a mortgage. Overall SMOC values are a weighted average of SMOCwom and SMOCwm, and so are also significantly less than SMOCwm. In the case of the Lansing- 41 East Lansing UA, the ratio of mean gross rent (MGR) to overall SMOC is roughly 0.685, which is not too far from my initial estimated rental adjustment factor of 0.6. (Interestingly, the ratio of per capita income between all renters and owners in the UA is an even closer 0.589.) The ratio of the MGR to the SMOCwm comes out as a lower factor of 0.556, and was adopted as the most theoretically defensible adjustment factor. The equation for the rental component of the RC1 is therefore (Equation 6) Refined Rental-Occupied RCI Component m R C It ___( MGRt ] MGRua J =[ MGRt J MGRua SMOCwmua SMOCwmua where roRCIt is the rental component of the RCI, MGRt is the mean gross rent in the tract, MGRua is the mean gross rent for the urbanized area, and SMOCwmua is the average selected monthly owner costs for "selected owner-occupied units" with a mortgage in the urbanized area. (In my downloaded census data, I had to calculate these average values by dividing aggregate rent and aggregate SMOC by the number of R0 and 00 units that the aggregate values had been tabulated for. Other sources of census data may provide the values of these averages plainly and not require derivation from aggregate values.) 3 -- 1 h Since the owner-occupied term of the RC1 equation is essentially the same, the new basic equation for the model is expressed as (Equation 7) The Basic RCI 3-Component Model RCIt = [(%GQthqRCIt) + (%ROpt)(roRCIt) +(%00pt)(ooRCIt)k100) 0r pciGQt MGRt ) ( MVt ] RCIt= ‘VG t + °/R0 t + °/00t 100 [( 0 Q )[pciOmeua] ( o p )(SMOCwmua ( o p) MVua ( ) 42 where RCIt is the RCI rating for the tract (or area of analysis), %GQt, %ROt, and %OOt are all the prOportions of persons living in the three identified kinds of residential arrangements, MV is the mean value of owner-occupied units, MGR is mean gross rent, SMOCwm is selected monthly owner costs with a mortgage, pci is per capita income, and the small letters "ua" and "t" are again designating whether the measure is for the urbanized area or tract. I will again note that while I have selected an urbanized area as the standard of reference, any other area may be chosen to replace it, so long as data is available for that area and the area is one that it makes sense to compare the smaller areas to. Similarly, I have beencalling such smaller areas "tracts" but they could also be combinations of tracts, a block group, or any other area that is significantly smaller than the area of comparison and for which adequate data is available. More exploration of such variations on, and applications of, the basic RCI model will appear in a later section of this paper, addressing areas for further research. Although I have called it the "Basic RCI Model," I have never actually used Equation 7, because once I had conceptualized the Basic RCI Model, I realized that I could split the GO component into two subcomponents, each of which has per capita income data available for it in the census. These components are institutional group 1 quarters, such as prisons and hOspitals, and noninstitutional group quarters, such as dormitories and homeless shelters. That way I would be utilizing more of the available data in my calculations. The full equation, as I currently use it, is: 43 (Equation 8) The Advanced 4-Component RCI Model RCIt = 100 x [(% GQit )(gqiRCIt ) + (%GQnit )(gqniRCIt ) + (% ROpt )(roRCIt) -I- (% OOpt )(ooRCIt )], or pciGQit pciOmeua RCIt = (100)[(%GQit)[ ]+(%Gan)( paGQm’ J4. pciOmeua (%ROpt )( SMggtfrizua ) + (% 00p! )[ MAI/Ta j] with the "i" and "mi" in the group quarters components referring. to institutional and noninstitutional group quarters, respectively. This will be the equation that is primarily used in the next section of this paper, showing an application of the RCI model. There is also of course, a basic 2-component version of this model, shown in Equation 9, below, which follows the same reasoning and form as“ Equation 4 except that arithmetic means are used in place of medians, and the arbitrary 0.6 rental adjustment factor has been replaced. In cases where there are no group quarters in an area, the ratings from this model will come out the same as in Equation 8. (Equation 9) Basic 2-Component RCI Model ‘ RCIt=[(%00pt( MV’ )+(%R0pt)( MGR’ )](100) MVua SMOCwmua Please note that when calculating RCI values with a spreadsheet, areas lacking values for R0 or 00 components will need some'cell contents deleted in order for the formulas programmed into other cells to work properly and calculate ratings for those areas. The cells needing deletion will be those where formulas have caused error messages to appear, such as those indicating an attempted division by zero, or the absence of a value in some referenced cell. 44 4. APPLICATION OF THE RCI MODEL A Sample Application in a User-Defined Area Having explained various ways of measuring neighborhood quality, it will now be helpful to illustrate an actual application of an RCI model. When I was developing and testing various RCI equations for correlation with what I knew of the Lansing-East ' Lansing UA, at one point I fed eight of the mean-based equations into a spreadsheet containing tract data for the entire UA and examined the resulting ratings to see where and why deviations occurred. (It was this process that enabled the analysis and critique of my model that appears in other sections of this paper. I A printout of the application of four of these equations can be found in Appendix A.) The result was an eventual determination that the four-component model (Equation 8) was the most theoretically sound. It is that equation I will use in the example applying my model to an analysis of an urban area. In Appendix B is a two-page table Showing the results of my calculations for every census tract that is at least partly included in the Census Bureau's definition of the Lansing-East Lansing Urbanized Area. The fact that some tracts have areas lying outside the UA means that the calculations for those tracts will be Slightly off from what they should be if a user-defined area were chosen that included those tracts in their entirety. For many researchers who simply wish to research a few tracts, it is much easier to overlook these slight differences. (Although I consider the amount of inaccuracy introduced by using the UA figures like this to be less than the inaccuracy of using the MSA figures with all tracts from the three- county Lansing area, those who prefer using the MSA will enjoy the benefit that its 45 boundaries will match completely with those defined by its collection of component census tracts.) Most beginning or casual RCI researchers will plug in the required numbers and . produce RCIt ratings for every tract in their area of study, then map this out using a GIS or by writing or color-coding rating numbers onto existing census tract maps of the area. This in itself is very informative, immediately showing the relative quality of the housing throughout the metro area. For the most thorough and accurate study using a UA or other irregular area, serious researchers must take note that all variables in the formulae that refer to the entire UA should be replaced with values calculated (using a spreadsheet) from the sums and averages of the entire area chosen for analysis, as I do for this example. The design of the RC1 model is such thata geographic redefinition of the area used as a standard of comparison will likely affect all the produced RCI ratings as a result. The customized UA I created for this example differs from the census-defmed UA only in that it consists entirely of undivided census tracts. I used a spreadsheet to recalculate all the values. needed for RCI modeling. My custom-defined area is identified in Appendix B as a user-defined area (U DA), and for comparison, UA figures are also shown in an adjacent row of data beneath it. Appendix B shows the population of each census tract, ratings for each component of the RC1 model, a total RCI rating for the tract, and an additional rating following it, called RCI%, which'is the ratio of the RCIt rating over the RCIua rating for the entire defined area (the UDA). The RCI% and RCIua ratings will be explained shortly. On the next page is a map of the Lansing-East Lansing UA, with census tracts and RCI% ratings illustrated on it. 3H3. nagging. "snag moo. u .8: warrzm no 356 2. Ewe: .2. 53...? .1 Is 93.: 2. 33a HIJmT. n u .. 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