LIBRARY Michigan State University PLACE IN RETURN BOX to remove this checkout from your record. TO AVOID FINES return on or before date due. MAY BE RECALLED with earlier due date if requested. DATE DUE DATE DUE DATE DUE 2/05 c:/ClRC/DateDue.indd—p.1 5 THE DEFICIENCIES OF CURRENT UA DEFINITION AND REMOTE SENSING TECHNIQUES bY Shun-Fen Yiin A PLAN 8 PAPER "Submitted to Michigan State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of MASTER OF URBAN PLANNING Urban Planning Program 1990 ACKNO'LEDGIHBNTS This paper has arisen from my three years of involvement in class courses in Urban Planning Program at Michigan State University, and my two years' working experience as a research assistant for the census research project in the Center for Urban Affair. During this time I have received assistance, advice and encouragement from many professors. Special thanks are to Dr. Michael Chubb, Dr. Frank zinn, Dr. Tom Lyons, Dr. Shamistha Bagchi- Sen, and Dr. Mahammad Kamier. I would like to thank Dr. Chubb for his ideas and instructions in the knowledge of remote sensing techniques. I thank Dr. Zinn, my Plan B adviser, who have helped me crystallize my ideas. I appreciate Dr. Bagchi-Sen and Dr. Kamier helped me to present my thoughts and stimulate my interest in statistic methodologies. I also wish to express my great thank to Dr. Lyon who read and edited my draft, and suggested improvements. Finally, my thanks and appreciation to my sister, Shu-Min, who has not only took care of my newborn baby to let me finish paper but also give me psychological support and encouragement. ABSTRACT This paper focuses on the deficiencies of current Urbanized Area (UA) definition. There are four specific objectives. The first one is a discussion of the background and the conceptual context in which this investigation is being carried out. The second one is to identify the problems of 1980 UA definition and the problems caused by the UA definition. The third covers a case study in Lansing/E. Lansing UA in Michigan, and develops a methodology to analyze the UA problem; and identify the possible solutions. The last one examines the feasibility in applying remote sensing-based techniques to the'UA delineation. It reveals the insufficient variables used.in 1980 UA.criteria, and finds that a multivariate approach is more appropriate. Remote sensing-based methods can probably be a surrogate, but the high cost of imagery obstructs its feasibility politically. TABLE OF CONTENTS LIBTOP FIGURES OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO ....... ....... .......... ...... iii LIBTornPB ...................... . ...... ............. ....... iv I. IMRODUCTION.....O.......O..................0........... 1 II. BACKGROUND OF UA DEFINITION AND CONCEPTUAL PERSPECTIVE .. 3 Background of Official UA Definition .................... 3 Historical Conceptual Perspective ....................... III. PROBLEMS OF URBAN BOUNDARY DELINEATION ........... ....... 10 Purpose of Defining Urbanized Area(UA) and an Extended City ........................................ 11 Definition and Current Boundary Criteria of UA .......... 12 Definition of an Extended City .......................... 13 Procedures Used in Delineating 1980 UA's ................ 13 Problems of 1980 UA Definition .......................... 16 Other General Problems ............. ...... ...... ......... 20 IV. CASE STUDY IN LANSING/E. LANSING UA ..................... 22 Samples and Sites Selected ............ ..... ............. 23 Variables Specifications ........................ ...... .. 26 Analysis Methodology ...................... ........ ...... 28 Statistics, Results, and Conclusion ..................... 29 V. POSSIBLE SOLUTIONS FOR UA DEFINITION PROBLEMS ........... 33 Integrating Other Variables into UA Criteria ............ 33 VI. VII. Government Consolidation ................................ otheruethOds ........................................... REMOTE SENSING-BASED TECHNIQUES APPLIED TO US DBLIMTION ............................................. Airphoto-Based .......................................... Landsat-Based ........................................... SLAR/SAR-Based .......................................... The Feasibility of Remote Sensing-Based Techniques ...... CONCLUSION ........... ...... .. ..... ...... ..... ........... REFERENCE .................................................... APPENDICES I. II. III. IV. DATA LISTING OF THE 14 CENSUS VARIABLES FOR THE LANSING/E. LANSING SAMPLE AREA CLUSTER ANALYSIS IN LANSING/E. LANSING UA RANK OF CENSUS TRACTS BY SOCIO-ECONOMIC INDICATORS 1950 TO 1980 UA CRITERIA ii 34 36 38 38 42 48 51 54 55 iii LIST OF FIGURES Figures Page 1. The Inner and Outer Lines Established for Existing and P-1 Potential UA's ..... ....... ............ 15 2. Urban Development with Rural Census Block .............. 19 3. Feature-Spacing Algorithm .............. ..... ........... 43 4. Shuttle Imaging Radar-A Image of Baoding Area .......... 52 5. Shuttle Imaging Radar-A Image of Dexhou Area ........... 53 iv LIST OF MAPS Maps Page 1. StudYArea .............................................. 24 Current Lansing/E. Lansing UA ......... .................. 25 Potential UA 1 : Results through Cluster Analysis ....... 31 Potential UA 2 : Results through Ranking Census Tracts by Socio-Economic Indicators ...... ..... 32 I. INTRODUCTION The main purpose in defining urban boundaries today is to use them in determining the distribution of federal grants-in-aid and federal programs. People who live in a defined urbanized area benefit from government services such as schools, hospitals, parks and libraries, etc. Because the urban boundaries are so important, there always exists an argument about the appropriateness of this Urbanized Area (UA) definition since the first census and first UA criteria. Every 10 years, the U.S. Bureau of Census conducts a census of population and housing. Before this census is taken, the Geographic Division of the Census Bureau should delineate the potential extent of the UA by a new UA definition. The methodology and definition they adopted is mainly based on 2 statistic figures -popu1ation size and population density. Whether or not those two figures present the whole UA has been argued and discussed by researchers and experts for a long time. In the past, the Census Bureau typically used aerial photography to identify the urban fringe to perform this job. However, due to the timely airphotos were not available for each of more than 300 Standard Metropolitan Statistical Areas (SMSA's), other data such as land use maps were used as a replacement. Nevertheless, the potential problems and deficiencies of the UA definition still exist. Because of the rapid changes of social and economic structures in recent decades, it's irrational to define perfect UA boundaries without considering 2 the socio-economic status. Nowadays, the growth and expansion of population and economic activities around major urban areas, and penetrating into the periphery, make it difficult for the. UA definition to distinguish the purely urban and purely rural. II.BACKGROUND OF UA DEFINITION AND CONCEPTUAL PERSPECTIVE W In 1790, Congress provided statutory authorization for taking a census, and population censuses have been conducted every 10 years since then. At that time, the growth in the areas adjacent to the limits of incorporated places had been apparent, but were still relatively 1imited.before the early 19th.centuryu During the latter'half of 19th century and the earlier 20th century, the rapid growth adjacent to the industrial city increased the demand for a statistical definition to define an area encompassing the urban centers and their suburbs. Before this time, the city could generally represent the extent of urban development but became less representative after then. After 1900, some state laws were enacted to increase the ability of municipalities to annex the developing suburban areas. However, because the suburban dwellers preferred services provided by a county or a minor civil division (MCD) government rather than annex to a city or incorporate as places, the Census Bureau increasingly failed to measure accurately the urban territory by using its primary geographic unit to measure the urban population. The first attempt to define a statistical area encompassing the industrial city and its suburban area occurred in the 1905 census. For the 1910 census, the Census Bureau planned a more restrictive criterion for defining large urban cluster based on MCD rather than 4 counties. These areas were known as "metropolitan districts," this definition concept was continuously used until the 1940 census with minor changes. There are some inadequacies by using the density of MCD as a measure of the urban area around large cities. Many MCD's, the building-blocks of the districts, were too large to serve as a unit for precisely measuring the urban population. Most of the districts include significant amounts of rural population and rural area. The other problem was that the MCD data were not available for most states. Also, some MCD boundaries did not remain stable over time, the was comparability therefore question- able. Moreover, this metropolitan district definition did not improve its definition of urban and rural until the 1950 UA (urbanized area) definition. To improve the urban-rural classification, for the 1950 census, two new geographic statistical entities were developed - one to identify the metropolitan area, the other one to identify the urban area around the largest cities. This was the first attempt to provide a precise separation between urban and rural population around large metropolitan areas. In this census, the Census Bureau introduced the UA as a statistical area and added population and area of the UA to the definition to better delimit the urban population. Another statistical area, "unincorporated places" (now called "census designed area" or CDP), were also introduced at this census. This definition provided a statistical area for which a wide range of socio-economic data were available, also, boundaries of SMA's followed the county boundaries (except 5 for New England areas) instead of MCD boundaries which presented a more stable geographic unit over time. One of the problems of 1950 UA criteria is that it used previous census data to delineate the UA boundary and was somewhat out of date. The selection of central cities, also based on the previous census, would result in an inconsistent and incomplete identification of UA's. This 1950 UA.criterion excluded adjacent areas of slightly lower'density'that have suburban population also oriented toward the major urban core. For the 1960 census, the qualification of UA's was changed to have its basis the current census, rather than the previous census, by using enumeration districts (ED's) as the unit of density measurement. The Census Bureau also enabled the delineation of unincorporated places within the UA fringe. That allowed the population living in the UA to inClude persons living within unincorporated places as well as incorporated places. In the delineation of UA's for the 1970 census, there were two major changes: introduction of the concept of extend cities, and the use of blocks instead of ED's as the measure of density. For the 1980 census, the Census Bureau employed a number of modifica- tions to the UA criteria designed to deal with the following problems: the central city requirement, contiguous nonresidential urban land use, and developed areas separated from the main body of the UA by "undevelopable" area that will be discussed latter.1 1U.S. Bureau of the Census, Geographic Areas Reference Manual, 1987, CH.15 Historical Cppcepppal gerspectivp Historically, the concepts of "rural" and "urban" used in the census have been.based_main1y on one criteria - size of population. In some countries, including the United States, political organiza- tion.has sometimes been used as a secondary'criterion. 'The initial U.S. census report. tot differentiate Ibetween ‘urban and rural population was after the 1880 Decennial census, the criterion used to identity the urban place was the concentration of 8,000 or more population in a community. Even then, it was considered that this 8,000 minimum population was too high to truly represent the urban population and places that were really urban in character. Hence, from the 1880 to the 1900 census report, the population size criterion was lowered to 4,000. In these reports, the "semi-urban" had also been classified for inhabitants living in all incorporated places of less than 4,000.2 In 1900, the 2,500 population thres- hold was first used in identifying the urban.popu1ation- But there was no explanation or a conceptual basis for proving its adoption at that time. In 1940, Truesdell set forth a conceptual basis for differentiating urban and rural population and place in censuses. He suggested several factors in differentiating urban from rural conditions - population size, population density, land use type, political organization, and the presence of agricultural occupa- 2Truesdell, L.E. "The Development of the Urban-Rural Clas- sification in the United States: 1874 to 1949," Current Population Report ngplgtion Charactepistigg (Series No.1) 1949, pp.4 7 tion.3 Accordingly, The differentiation between urban places and rural places could become very straightforward when the above criteria reach certain levels. In the past, it might be appropriate to categorize the people as rural who are living in places below 2,500 threshold upon U.S. Census's urban definition criteria and were mainly employed in agriculture or other primary economic activities. However, the economy and lifestyles of Americans have changed widely in recent year. Not only has the proportion of the labor force in agricul- ture and other primary activities decreased, but the labor force in :manufacturing and the actual number living on farms has decreased also.‘ These conditions combined with the changing socio-cultural lifestyles of the American population make it more difficult to discriminate the difference between urban and rural. Shevky and Bell used social characteristics - "societal scale" in the social area analysis to examine the urban life. It included three constructs by using six variables - economic status (occup- ation and education), family status (fertility, woman at home, and single family detached dwelling units) and Ethnic status(ethnic groups).5 They supposed that (1) with the increasing division of labor, an occupational status system develops, (2) family becomes 3Truesdell, 1949 ‘Freudreis, J.P. "The Information Revolution and Urban Life," Journal of Urban Affairs, Vol.11, pp. 327-337 5Shevky, E., and W. Bell, Sgcial Area Analysis (Standford University Press, Stanford, California, 1955), p.4 8 less important as an individual economic unit, and a weakening of traditional organization of family after higher urbanization, and (3) the improved transportation results in higher mobility, and _ that leads the resorting of the population and the segregation of different ethnic and racial groups.6 In Western urban theory, the key parameters used in the classification method were population size, population density, and social heterogeneity.7 Wirth suggested that the technological development in transportation and communication, and the rapid dispersal and impact of assimilation had tremendously extended the urban mode of living beyond the city's boundary. Even at that time, Wirth.had determined.that urbanism, as a way of life, crossed the boundaries of the physical city and.the landscape to become the dominant way of life among rural dwellers.8 From a sociological and economic viewpoint, there is no longer a dividing line between purely urban and purely rural under the expansion of the influence of urban life in American society. Friedmann and Miller introduced a new ecological unit termed "the urban field" replacing the traditional concept of city and metropolis“ ‘While ‘urban living' extends far' beyond existing metropolitan cores and penetrates into the periphery, the older 6Cadwallader, M.T. "Urban Social Areas," in Analytical Urban Geography - Spatial Patterns and Theories, (New Jersey: Prentice- Hall, 1985), pp.125 7Wirth, L., "Urbanism As a Way of Life," American Journal of Soci lo , Vol.44, 1938, pp.1-23 8Wirth, L. 1938 9 urban centers together with the intermetropolitan.peripheries will constitute this new ecological unit.9 From each point of view, it is becoming nearly impossible to trace a sharp dividing line to distinguish urban and rural, town and countryside. “Friedmann, I., & Miller, J. "The urban field," 19urpgl_pr_ru§ WE. Vol.31, 1965. pp-312-319- 10 III. PROBLEMS OF URBAN BOUNDARY DELINEATION Different federal grants—in-aid and federal programs to states and local governments are based on the population size and whether a place is rural or urban. An urbanized area boundary is therefore important because it becomes an influential line to determine who are the beneficiaries for certain kinds of services and grants. Also, various types of economic development programs, community development programs and differing focuses are also applied to different areas, according to whether the place is defined as an urbanized area or rural area. An example is the Urban Development Action Grant (UDAG) program, designed to help alleviate physical and economic deterioration in severely distressed cities and urban counties only. In fiscal year 1987, the funding under‘UDAwaas $255 million.10 On the other hand, various developments of economic, agriculture/nature resources, infrastructure and human resources were assigned to rural areas. In fiscal year 1987, about $6.4 billion in grants and payments, $1.6 billion of loan, and the expenditures of about $3.1 billion were provided by infrastructure programs.11 Thus, in order to let the proper dwellers get the appropriate services, a reasonable and acceptable definition of 10U.S. Feneral Accounting Office, Urban Action Granrs: an Anglysis of Eligibility and Selectign Criteria; and Program Results, P.3 11U.S. General Accounting Office, Rural Development:Federa1 Erggram that focus Qn Rural America and lrs Economig Development." pp. 39 11 urbanized area and rural area is needed. In 1980 UA criteria, some potential problems were revealed, such as the 2,500 minimum population requirement, jumping area problem, and the relationship of UA boundaries to the census blocks. The other general problems that are caused by urban definition, such as local government fragmentation, should also be considered prudently. Before getting into the discussion of UA problems, the way UA boundaries were delineated is revealed below. -ose of D:finin- Uro-g 2;: .“e- I. -:- -, :2 ..... it~ There are two major proposes in defining UA's and extended cities. One is setting up a better separation of urban and rural population and area around. the large cities. 'The other is providing a measure of the urban population, and extent of urban area. Since the first UA definition in the 1950 census, the UA's definition criteria has been slightly adjusted with each subsequent decennial census in order to accurately represent the extent of urban development and delimit the National large urban clusters.12 Moreover, urban area definition has been used as a basis of distribution of government budgets and resources, redefining of UA will result in the redistribution of budgets and beneficiaries. The purpose of defining an extended city is to alleviate the classification problem which classifies the rural territory as part of urban land area. While cities extend their boundaries, some 12U.S. Bureau of the Census, 12 territory essentially in rural character was also classified as part of the urban area. Therefore, in the 1970 census, the Census Bureau used the concept of the extended city to define the rural part of those incorporated places within UA's and exclude these areas from the UA. WWW According to 1980 UA criteria, an urbanized area consists of an incorporated central city or cities and.adjacent densely settled surrounding area with a minimum population of 50,000. The densely settled surrounding areas consist of:13 1. Contiguous incorporated places or census designated places having: a) at least 2,500 population, or b) having a population density of 1,000 person per square mile, a closely settled area with a minimum of 50 percent of the population, or a cluster of minimum 100 housing units. 2. Contiguous unincorporated area that is connected by roads and with a population density of no less than 1,000 persons per square mile. 3. Other contiguous unincorporated area having a density of less that 1,000 persons per square mile, but together with some other characteristics as listed in the criteria. 13U.S. Bureau of Census, 1289 Qengus of. Population and flousing, l3 4. Large concentrations of nonresidential urban area (such as major airport, office areas, industrial parks), which is contiguous to an urbanized area with at least 1/4 of its boundary. WW An extended city consists of an urban part and a rural part. This kind of city is an incorporated place that contains one or more areas, with each area being at least 5 square miles in extent with a population density of less than 1,000 persons per square mile. The area or areas must have at least 25 square miles or minimum 25 percent of the land area of the city. All population of these areas will be classified as rural, and these areas are excluded from the UA. Only the urban part is considered to be the central city of an UA. Proce ur s sed i 1 ea n 1 A' “ The delineation of UA reflects some subjective decisions, such as separating one UA into two or more, or combining two or more UA's into one. The procedures used in 1980 were similar to the one used in 1970. It included 5 major steps: 1)determining potential UA's, 2)establishing the outer line, inter line and measurement units(MU), 3)measuring the land area and obtaining the population count for eachiMU, 4) determining the area of continuous residential development, and 5)determining and adding additional 1"U.S. Bureau of the Census, geographic Areas Reference Manual, 1987 14 area to the UA. Determining Potential UA’a In step 1, the Census Bureau reviewed total UA's including potential new‘UA's, and classified the potential UA's into P-1 and P-z groups according to the possibility of qualification. P-l areas were the most likely to achieve the required minimum 50,000 population. 'The less likely areas to achieve the above requirement were classified into P-2 areas, which were evaluated from enumera- tion districts(EDs) by using 1980 census maps. Then, a density evaluation was made based on group block(called measurement units or MUS) for each P-1 potential UA and 1970 existing UA.15 Establishing the Outer Line, Inner Line and MU’s Step 2, the census Bureau delineated an inner line and outer line for each existing UA and P-l potential UA as shown in figure 1.16 The inner line was an approximation of 1970 UA and the outer line represented the estimated maximum extent of the 1980 UA. The Census Bureau determined the location of the outer line iby observing the density of the street pattern shown on the current maps, the examination of recent aerial photography, and data from the last census. The area between the inner line and outer line 15Those block were delineated on the MMS sheet or VMS sheet. 16Source from Geography Division, Bureau of Census 15 was subdivided into MUs for population density examination.17 —I MU --> OUTER LINE -->INNER LINE :l j Figure 1: The inner and outer lines established for existing and P-l potential UA'S Measuring the Land Area and Obtaining the Population for Each MU, and determining the Area of Continuous Residential Development After the inner line, outer line, and MU's boundaries were built, the Census Bureau started to obtain the land area and population count for each MU. In land area measurement, the area of water and nonresidential land use had been subtracted from the total MU area. Then, the Bureau went to step 4 to determine whether the area is continuous residential development or not? rAll qualifying places that added to the UA had followed the two condition as below: 17Boundaries of the MUs were obtained by using the information about street pattern provided.by census map and.by reference to the latest U.S.G.S. topographic quadrangles and areal photography. 16 1. All places should have a population of 2,500 or more, or a density of more than 1,000 persons per square mile. 2. All MUs are contiguous to the inner line or adjacent to qualifying places. Determining and Adding Additional Area to the UA Beside above qualifying areas, in step 5, the Census Bureau added other qualifying area on the basis of criteria of the 1980 UA other than minimum population, density and contiguity. There- fore, more qualifying areas might be added to the UA, such as places having a density less than 1,000 persons per square mile or total population of 2,500 but having a cluster of more than 100 housing units adjacent to or not more than 1.5 miles from the previous defined UA core. The result is that such means of qualification might cause some special scenario, such as jumping area. Prob em f 98 0 e i n Before every Decennial Census, the Census Bureau had tried to improve the deficiency of urban definition to more accurately classify urban population for the coming census. Therefore, since first revision of UA criteria in 1950 till now, UA criteria has been revised 5 times (1960, 1970, 1974, 1980) based on statistical geographic entity, in an attempt to remove any regional bias and to measure more precisely the changing settlement pattern of the Nation. However, the UA boundaries today still have certain 17 limitations, and the criteria used today still have exist some deficiencies. Minimum Population and Population Density "A contiguous incorporated place having 2,500 minimum population" has been used in UA criteria since 1950, and "a minimum population density of 1,000 persons per square mile" has also been employed by the Census Bureau since 1960. There is a question as to whether those two figures(2,500 and 1,000) can fully represent the different characteristic between urban life and rural life? Doubtlessly, the socio-economic characteristics and the cultural characteristics have been widely changed in the three decades. Hence, a place with less than 2,500 inhabitants might had a rural scenario 30 years ago, but not now. Similarly, a territory with population density less than 1,000 persons per square mile might also present an urban life at present. Accordingly, The require- ments of 2,500 minimum population and population density of 1,000 persons no longer provide an appropriate border for the urban and rural division. .Another risk that may also arise when using those two criteria is the undercount or overcount problem of every decennial census. Because the Census Bureau uses the census data as a basis to define the urbanized area, the data are supposed to be very accurate. In fact, this data could never be precise enough. .After every census, argument always occurs regarding the overcount or 'undercount problem which would affect the distribution of federal expenditures 18 or revenue programs. For example, under the estimation by the Census Bureau, approximately 2.2% of the overall population was missed in 1970 census, roughly 8% of all blacks went uncounted.18 Therefore, if those two figures will are to be used as criteria, allowances for this error must be make. Jumping Areas Jumping areas were allowed based on the criteria of 1980, which had a population density less than 1,000 persons per square mile in a contiguous unincorporated area. The Census Bureau examined and measured the jumping area by connecting road, and accepted it if the area is connected by a road and 1) no more than 1-1/2 miles from the main body of urbanized area, or 2) separated from the main body of the UA by water or other undevelopable area, but less than 5 miles away from the main.body of UA. This criteria will make the same error as above. What is the meaning of 1-1/2 miles and 5 miles? What is the social distance of 1-1/2 miles and 5 miles? How does one define the difference between 1-1/2 miles and 2 miles? What is difference between 5 miles and 4 miles? Relationship of HA Boundaries to Census Blocks Each UA structure is based on the geographic unit used by the census - census block. Hence, the census block must be identifi- able and correspond to recognizable features. However, a par- 18flaryard Law geview, Feb. 1981, Vol 94, pp.841-863. "Demog- raphy and Distrust:Constitutional Issue of the Federal Census." 19 ticular census block may include both a sizable urban and a rural population, or population density. Urban development will not always have close boundaries on physical features, and the UA boundary cannot separate the different internal areas according to the census block as shown on figure 2. Therefore, the configura- tion of census blocks constrains the shape and position of the UA boundary, especially when the census maps are not updated fast enough, and the non-updated maps still hold old urban street patterns in a large block with sizable area. The DA boundaries will be criticized as not accurate enough because.they are based' on the old street pattern map. LEGEND O 0 O O UA BOUNDARY - Housing Units 1 15 Census Block Number U.S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERC! he... 0! the can...” Figure 2: Urban development with rural census block 20 MEI-£291.99: While it has been decided which settlements are urban, there might exist one spatial extent problem of those settlements. Because the corporate boundary may not truly represent the real extent of that city, this legal definition will lead to an under- bounded city or overbounded city. This underbounded city occurs when the legal city inside the real or physical city is desig- nated.19 Today, urbanism as a way of life predominates the boundaries of the physical city and the way of life among rural dwellers. Most cities in the United States are underbounded cities, which are usually surrounded by suburbs. Those suburbs use the facilities of the central cities, such as schools and hospi— tals, that lead to the severe problems of fiscal imbalance in central city and local government fragmentation. Local Government Fragmentation As the suburb population grew, and the industrial and commercial activities increased, a whole range of government services were required to serve the settlements. Those services usually came to be supplied by local government rather than by the corporate city. Hence, the local government units increased rapidly and created local government fragmentation. This fragmented pattern of local government makes for a situation in which many districts administer overlapping programs of social 19Cadwallder, 1985, Ch.1 21 service which are supposed to be unifunctional, but came to function individually. It became difficult to coordinate other individual policies and interests, such as water, sewage, gas, parks, and libraries. Consequently, some large issues in urban areas, such as conservation and land use planning, are ignored because of the incapability of coordinating the policy decisions made at each local level of government.”’ Fiscal imbalance is another critical problem in these underbounded cities. While people and industries have been moving out to the suburbs, the tax base in the central city has been eroding; Even the central cities lost the huge tax bases and revenues, but there are still increased expenditures and demand for social service. Because of the old and dilapidated buildings, there needs more fire protection. Because of the higher crime rates, more police protection is needed. Also because the suburbanites work downtown, they use the downtown facilities, such as parking lots, hospitals, and libraries, that create another burden on the central city.“' Compared to the high revenue/expenditure ratio characteristic of most suburban municipa- lities, the above burden causes the central cities to tend to have a giant deviation between revenues and expenditures. 20Cadwallader, 1985, Ch.1 21Paul Knox, "Spatial Organization and Locational Conflict," Urpen goeiel Geography, 2nd. ed. (New York: John Wilely & Sons, 1987), pp.266 22 IV. CASE STUDY IN LANSING/E. LANSING UA Up-to-date, most cities in the United States are underbounded cities and do not represent the real extent of the city. Not only was the city located inside the real physical city, some sites inside the city had been rejected for incorporation into the UA. The intention of this section is to try to test one urbanized area to see if the UA boundary should be extended or not? Should the sites surrounded by the UA, but excluded from the UA definition, be redefined as being incorporated into the UA? Because of the 1980 UA. criteria's deficiencies as :mentioned jpreviously, the urbanism can not be presented only by those criteria but together with some other variables. Sjoberg and others22 also have exhibited several prominent characteristics to distinguish the urban places from non-urban places, such as water system for household, non- agricultural labor force, etc. Accordingly, this section is going to use some other census variables(such as socio-economic status, personal characteristics, housing structure characteristics) , which can present the urban characteristics more, to reveal the potential problem of current boundary and redefine a possible boundary in the Lansing/ E.Lansing urbanized area. :RG. Sjoberg, The Preindusrriel Ciry (New York:The Free Press,1960) 23 W Because it is difficult to get census block data, in this study, census tract data are used instead of block data. In total, 102 census tracts were selected in Lansing city, East Lansing city and some adjacent area located in Michigan as shown in map 1. Those target samples consist of all urbanized area (map 2) and some sites within Lansing/E.Lansing city, but not defined as urbanized area (such.as census tracts N30, N30.01, N31.02 N34, etc,)m’and.the neighboring sites (including Holt CDP, tracts 54 and 55, etc). Because the SPSSX Cluster analysis excluded the samples with missing values, only 81 samples with complete data sets will be included in the final analysis. The samples with missing values have 3 kinds of circumstances“ iOne is the census tracts with zero population, where the commercial areas are located, such as parts of tract 30 and 31.01 including Frandor Mall, Sears, Kroger, were defined as urbanized area. Another one is the places with low population size. The other one is because the area is on the University campus (census tract 42, 43.01, 43.02, 44.01). Of course, the fertility, rent, mortgage and housing value can hardly present the truth of the variables. In the analysis, " N " was put in front of the census tract number of the sites not defined as UA in order to distinguish them from the ones defined as being include in the UA. 2E’Some area in one census tract is divided .into two parts. One part is incorporated in the UA, another is not. In order to easily distinguish.of them, the census tract numbers followed.after an "N" present the areas not incorporated in the UA. 24 Map l : Study Area C822... Pv/ faiths»... 4!: iii >02§1s S. 8.. ix... ‘. 3.8 .95.... ’ .a gum M895; any 3.... 99.9.3.9 Webs: .52.: .. . . 1151. 3 av 385.5 5 EN 5520.25 .3 .5... Mi 2.... I. yH__M.w.mv... .1 1.. .3. Ta ..—.. —...— . .. waif; éfifiw 7... U A m s. N... . . M 2; NS. No— 25 Map 2 : Current Lansing/E. Lansing 0A a _ I N. _ ".1 _ Vac _ fl . EN 335; r. i iii . i 83.2 u u \ ii 332025 A u . _... a &_ I . K .r,ir\. .4... . .4 . .. . . o . %_ “ng . . .1 c w "l.-l.-|.'|"'.. . . .l. .' . i ..I e ,n w h ... r e... 2.23 .2; an 5.82% mo.mv =5_._.m2 =-~v n, a. .0. t .u Swan... :8. SN 1... v8- i. .. .1 3.. d .5 .tfi: ...—.Z...U mzscfi W227 . _ 1&1}... 11.3... M S. «31.... N..— P: DD .__.a__._82 - H av UKitr . >> <_ I m 26 V r ab e S eci c o 3 There are 14 variables used in this study. Total population shows the general characteristic. Total Housing units is used to calculate the percentage of housing units connected with public water, sewer and gas utility. The other 12 variables with socio- economic and housing characteristics and assumed hypotheses are listed as below : Mean Travel Time to Work. This variable is the average time in minutes spent traveling from home to work. In a more urban place, the higher proportion of work force results in more traffic jams which, in turn, causes increased travel time. Fertility and Women at Home. The fertility'variableiis the number of children.born of 1,000 women in the age bracket between 35 and 44. Women at home is the percent of women in the labor force who are unemployed. In a more urban place, the family becomes less important as an individual economic unit; hence, the traditional organization of the family is weakened“. More independent working women, more single parent families lead to fewer women staying at home. Also because of the high-stress urban life style, people tend to have fewer children, leading to a lower fertility rate. 2"Martin T. Cadwallader, 1985, pp.125 27 Percentage of School Cbmpleted with High School Graduates. Usually, experts assume that more urban places have a higher proportion of high school educated population. This assumption will have little problem while applying to compare different countries. However, while applying this assumption to the UA in the United States, it may run into some risk because of the higher proportion of poorly educated minority individuals in most American metropolitan areas. But for the sites in a whole urbanized area, they may have similar results for the education characteristic. Percentage of Population Employed in Agriculture, and in Craft & Operative. Doubtlessly, a lower percentage of agricultural labor force exists in more urban places. With the increasing division of the labor force in urban areas, the occupational status system develops and results in a larger percentage of employment involved in the craft and operative sectors. Percentage of Housing with Public water, Sewer, Gas Utility. An urban site becomes has a higher proportion of its housing units connected to a public water supply system, a public sewer system and utility gas system. The gas system may be provided by either a private company or a public utility. 28 Median Rent, Median Mortgage and Mean Value of Housing Units. Characteristically, places with higher rent, and a. higher mortgage, higher value of housing units are more urban than those with lower ones. Rent and mortgage, here, consist of monthly payment by tenants or houseowner. Housing unit values, here, are presented in thousands of dollars. Because of the greater demand for housing in an urban place, housing costs are greater. Conse- quently, the rents and.the mortgages will be increased to match the higher housing costs. Analysie Methodology This analysis include.two parts. One is using'cluster analysis in SPSSX program on Michigan State University's IBM 3090 mainframe computeru .Another one is ranking the census tracts by the urbanism index. Both of these two parts of the analysis are based on Z- score data transformed from the raw data sets to avoid the disadvantage of different scale. Cluster analysis classifies the census tracts into categories based on distance and similarities. The distance used here is squared Euclidean distance. The less the distance between the census tracts means higher similarities between them, and they will be group together. In the part II ranking procedure, 3 variables - fertility, percent of women at home, and percent of agricultural employment 29 use negative values to show lower levels of urbanism/5 because a more urban place will have lesser fertility and a lower percentage of women at home, and a lower percentage of agricultural employ- ment. The summation of the 12 Z-scores for 12 variables(except population and housing units) for each census tract provides combined information for its level of’ urbanization. iLarger positive composite values indicate a more urban place, and larger negative values indicate the less urban. Statiatieal_89§ultsl_an§_Conclusion In cluster analysis, an Hierarchical Icicle Plot provides the case similarity and group information. Based on this information, census tract N201.01(not incorporated into UA) and 31.02(part of UA) have the most similarity and are clustered together with dis- similarity coefficient 2.84(Appendix ii). This means census tract N201.01 owns urban characteristics as well as tract 31.02, but was excluded from UA by current UA definition. On a basis of urban socio-economic characteristics, N201.01 should be incorporated into the urbanized area. Analogously, tract N46.00 groups with 40.00; 41.00 groups with 39.02 and.N43.01; N49.02 groups with 38.01: 17.01 groups with 33.02, N201.02 and N201.01: 38.02 groups with N49.01 and N31.02; 21.00 groups with N35.00: 54 groups with 33.01: and 55 groups with 53.03. Thus, based on this cluster analysis, at least 2514.8. Kamiar & J .T.Darden, "Socio-Economic Development of Black Ghetto Tracts in Michigan:The Microcosm Model Reconsidered," Ihe_East_Lakes_§eegranher. Vol.23, 1988. pp-71-84 30 another'lo census tracts (N46.00, N43.01, N49.02, N201.02, N201.01, N49.01, N31.02, N35.00 and 2 tracts of Holt CDP -tracts 54 and 55) should also have been included in the Lansing/E. lansing urbanized area (see map 3). Through the ranking procedure, the higher composite values possess the more urban characteristics. As show in appendix iii, the UA census tracts and non-UA census tracts are mixed together. This demonstrates that not all the UA census tracts own more urban characteristics than the non-UA census tracts. From the cluster analysis, it can be seen that another 10 census tracts should be parts of the UA. The lowest composite value of those 10 census tracts is -.81 in tract N35.00. Thus, using the census tract N35.00 as a borderline, the rank higher than the tract N35.00 will be considered as more urbanized areas and be qualified to the UA. In totally, 17 census tracts“, including the above 10 census tracts, are qualified to be in the UA, according to their socio- economic indices (see map 4). As a result, the Lansing/E. Lansing urbanized area presents an underbounded city and the boundary of this UA should be extended. znThey are census tracts N202.o1, N46, N49.01, N31.02, N31.01, N201.01, N49.02, N45.00, N48.00, N201.02, 55, N34, N53.02, N43.01, N50, 54, AND N35. 31 Map 3 : Potential DA 1 : Results through Cluster Analysis . i i. w 8852. comes... . em _ s E _ s... 552025 who... i i - Erwin- -- i. I... r .. Em_U_._m_Z on m._.a__=as _ A J 1 .... . : w x . 3.2: M. an... .. U a _ .1 3m m. is re 1 \ \ Watts] .. .1 _ a... .x// .V mzwecfiz E t... 33-..; fit... i . viii a .PZ-t—U A 20 «92— mgmflfi .2.me _. 1 D A a. .. . as. A :5. we more: N..— flhuflafig‘g’fie: I... 319‘? 532.38 . ili 32 Social Economic Indicators Map 4 : Potential UR 2 : Result through Ranking census Tracts by u‘A “4“.“- wa- mm b I... L r‘V-I P5852 5252 on i4 385; 8 EN 552025 um — =2 ('5 O N I - A N... mph”? .. ... 3.8 .. . P230 _ .20 "was?“ m 22%.. AWHV SfiIJlfiafi. w M 5 35.3.3— jm m E; 8 2: “a; fiestiflfi . .. _ 33 V. POSSIBLE SOLUTION FOR Uh DEFINITION PROBLEM The potential problems of the UA definition have been revealed since the first definition. To find a method or another criterion to delineate the urban boundary flawlessly is rarely possible. But it is possible to incorporate some other methods into the current UA definition and make the UA boundary more feasible and more reasonable. BMW To use only population size and/or population density as the predominant indices to define UA.has some shortcomings in present- ing the whole urbanism. In some countries, administrative jurisdiction or local government status are the major criteria for urban classification.”' In some other countries, the urban characteristics, such as the existence of public water and sewage systems and the predominance of non-agricultural employment, are used as prominent secondary urban definition criteria.28 Doubt- lessly, no matter how large the population, urban characteristics always present the true urbanism. Places with a high proportion of agricultural employment will never be considered as urban. 27Department of International Economic and Social Affairs, Statistical Office. "Urban and Total Population by Sex: 1977-1986," in l986 Demographic Xearbools, (New York: United Nations, 1988) , pp. 186-189 28Department of International Economic and Social Affair, Statistical Office, 1988 34 Public water and sewage systems are usually connected to housing units in urbanized area. Thus, to present the actual extent of UA, integrating such socio-economic variables into the UA definition criteria can better mitigate the UA problems definition. While based on socio-economic variables, in the Lansing/E. Lansing urbanized area, the census tracts N31.0l and N31.02 will positively be part of the urbanized area. MW As to the fiscal imbalance problem in central cities, revenue sharing can be one of the solutions to this problem. While the central cities receive an increasing amount in grant money from federal, state, and provincial government to balance the fiscal situation, the suburban local governments are also developing additional sources of revenue. In response to the government fragmentation.problem, different types of government consolidation are being attempted, such as city-county consolidation, the Atlanta model. In Atlanta, there is a Atlanta Regional Commission, which functions as an umbrella government, governing the operation of local government within the area. This commission can construct something that the individual local government unit lacks the jurisdiction to build, such as a rapid transit system.29 This commission even has its own power regarding zoning. It is respon- sible for coordinating the region's overall zoning policy. 29Martin T. Cadwallader, 1985, pp.22 35 Generally, in strengthening the role of government at the metropolitan level, in an effect to remove the fiscal problem and government fragmentation problem, federal government should provide revenue sharing, develop more powerful regional agencies, and institute a national land use planning policy(This situation is not politically likely in U.S. because of the fear of centralized government power). The state government, such as in California and Florida, should then put efforts on making local government participation in regional planning obligatory, providing financial assistance for metropolitan government, and cooperating in the ° Consequently , the organization of multistate metropolitan areas.3 Urbandale neighborhood (census tract N30) in Lansing/E. Lansing UA will get better treatment and may result in its incorporation into the current UA after the government consolidation. At present, because the Urbandale neighborhood is in a flooding area and excluded from the UA, the housing value is very low and developers are reluctant to redevelop it. This area seems to have been abandoned by local and metropolitan government. If the governments can cooperate together, this area will get more attention and better treatment. The flooding problem in this area will also be solved earlier. Moreover, the place might be incorporated into the 3°R.D. Honey, "Metropolitan Governance, " in Urban Pol icy' making gng Mgpropplipap ungmi cs ; A Coppgpgtixe Geographical Analysis, ed. J.S. Adams,(Mass.: Ballinger, 1976), pp.425-462 36 UA.because of its socio-economic urban characteristics”; This may result in increased land value and new development. With the new development will come a better built environment and increased housing value that will bring higher rent tenants or higher income house owners, and accordingly change other socio-economic charac— teristics (such as education status, fertility, and % of women at home). All those possible changes in Urbandale will make this area became a complete urbanized area. The less fortune after those changes will be the people who can not afford the higher housing costs and must move. chgr Mgthggs Some other new techniques were recently introduced to define urban Iboundaries, such. us remote sensing' techniques and. GIS techniques. The remote sensing imagery, such as airphoto and satellite imagery, can present the ground truth and define the urban boundary in physical rather than in conceptual terms. That physical definition can make up for some deficiencies in the conceptual definition. Through this method, the UA boundary can separate the different internal areas according to the census block, and the configuration of census blocks. Non-updated maps will not constrain the shape and position of the UA boundaries. Also, instead of sending people to do site observation or check in 31From the Case Study section, census tract N30 has 4.83% agriculture employment, 100% public sewer, 100% public water and 88% utility gas connected 37 the traditional way, interpreting airphoto or satellite imagery may save more time and labor, with higher accuracy. Nowadays, Geographic Information Systems (GIS) is very welcome in every field of study. Remote sensing imagery currently can be transformed into.GIS raster data and census data, are also put into most of the GIS packages that make GIS more and more desirable to planners. The advantage of this technique is that it can overlay different layers of socio-economic data and land use data, and present data in spatial patterns. With the integration of GIS and remote sensing data, the results can be presented in spatial patterns and can own the ground truth character. The urban boundaries, therefore, will be outlined both conceptually and physically. 38 VI. REMOTE SENSING-BASED TECHNIQUES APPLIED TO 03 DELINEATION The use of remote sensing in ‘the urban environment is concerned with recording and interpreting an image procedure by radiant flux, which exists from a ground source toward the sensor. The most commonly used approach in remote sensing to aid in understanding and interpreting urban features is spectral reflec- 2 In the last two decades, this powerful technol- tance statistics.3 ogy has been magnificently used in urban analysis, such as land use, population/ housing estimation, transportation system, industry and commerce, and recreation. Since urban activities are so dynamic, aerial photography and other remote sensing imagery'can provide useful information quickly and economically to the planner, developer, etc. through correct interpretation and classification. Particularly, in defining urban boundaries, remote sensing techniques can provide more advantages than other solutions. Airphoto - pgsgg Aerial photography(AP) is the principal remote sensing medium used in urban application. It includes panchromatic AP, multiband AP, color AP and color-infrared AP. Among all AP media, color aerial photography' is the :most. often ‘used in ‘urban/suburban 32Spectral signature of a feature is a set of values for the reflectance of this feature measured at specific wavelength intervals. 39 application because of its true color advantage that makes it easier to identify the urban/suburban features than other aerial photography media. Compared to the color AP, the color-infrared aerial photography is less preferred in urban application because of some drawbacks such as loss of shadow information, odd color present familiar urban features, etc. Criteria This aerial photography method uses visual and manual identification on Black-and-White panchromatic or color aerial photographys to delineate urban fringe and urban boundary. In order to fulfill the intent of the study, initiating a series of aerial photo samples to determine various land use proportions at periodic intervals is needed. Based on the varying size of study areas and the different scale of aerial photographs, the aerial photographs might need to be arranged in the form of a mosaic to present a whole area, especially with very large scale aerial photographs. Advantages Aerial photography carries some useful information such as shadow and texture that provide valuable aid in identifying urban features further enhanced interpretation. Moreover, Interpretation of color aerial photography is more straightforward because the color balances with the real-world experience. Especially in 40 suburban applications, aerial photography is more effective.33 The other advantage is its high accuracy through large scale to small scale. Disadvantages Even though aerial photography has distinct advantages, some disadvantages cause researchers to look for more effective methods. First, it is manual interpretation. Hence, it needs a professional and skillful interpreter to effectively do this job. Second, it costs more than other remote sensing methods, and it is hard to obtain up-to-date photography on a large scale due to the limita- tion of time and funding.“ Third, the non-digital nature of photographs will take more time to process than other digital images which can be processed by using a computer. In the last decade, some researchers have digitized aerial photographs and then performed digital image processing to classify urban features. As stated by Jensen, that was a drawback only because it still required accurate interpretation of every feature before it can be programmed to computer. Not only was more time spent in this double work, all of the features cannot be programmed to the computer in as much detail as required by the interpreter. Thus, manual interpretation is still the main stream in handling 2""John R. Jensen, "Urban/Suburban Land Use Analysis, " in Magma]. 2f_3engte_§en§ing. 2nd- ed-. Ch-30- E"'N.C. Gautam, "Aerial Photo-Interpretation Techniques for Classifying Urban Land Use, " 'nee ' Re t figpgipg, Vol.42, No.6, June 1976, pp.815-822 41 aerial photography information and data. Accuracy High accuracy can be achieved through this manually - interpreted aerial photography, whether it is a low altitude image, high altitude image, or satellite platform image. Even the SKYLAB color photography interpretation was 83 percent correct(1:970, 000) . The SKYLAB S-19OB sensor system can also provide adequate spectral and spatial information to classify Level III categories of urban features . 35 Application Falkner36 used periodic photography in determining short range physical land use changes in the Parkway School District in Missouri. The sampled land use data he used was coupled with the information obtained from the school superintendent, and then compared over time, Falkner concluded that the development of' this school district was changed from a rural setting to a typical suburban community. (figure ) McCoy and Metivier37 used photos as an effective method for measuring house density in an analysis of urban housing, but the temporal and regional elements of the socio- 35Jensen, 1985, pp.1573-1578 3“Edgar Falkner, "Land Use Changes in Parkway School District, " Warm V01. 34 N01 1970 pp. 52- 57 37Roger M. McCoy, "House Density vs. Socioeconomic Conditions, " e ric erin e nsi , Vol.39, No.1, 1973, pp.43-47 42 economic correlation need to be understand better. Dennis M. Richteru’also utilized sequential photography to detect the urban change and showed that information useful to urban planning can be obtained from the aerial photographs. LANDflhizhfiéflfi Prior to the advent of satellite data as a tool for remote sensing, interpretation of aerial photography could serve to map urban land use. In 1975, the Geography'Program.of Survey initiated discussion. on. a land. cover' change assessment. methodology' by including Landsat datafi” In 1977, the Census Bureau had to do a similar experiment to use satellite data to update an urban land use map and monitor urban growth that had to serve as a surrogate for population density or other ground collected information. Since then, Landsat data has been used to examine land use change and urban growth. The principle of the Landsat based method can be condensed into two criteria as below. Criteria 1 Use visual identification on Landsat image enhancements and classification overlays to define UA. In outer liner delineation, image enhancement by using 38Dennis M. Richter, ”Sequential Urban Change, " Enginearing_§_3en2te_§en§ing. Vol-35. No.8. 1971, pp-764-770 3"John R. Jensen, "Urban Change Detection Mapping Using Landsat Digital Data", WW, Vol 8, No. 2, Oct 1981, pp. 127- 147 4Z3 stepwise linear contrast stretch is needed because of the insuffi- cient tonal contrast between non-urban and urban features on the Landsat image. Moreover, the computer-aided classification of Landsat multispectral digital data is training on known areas of urban growth to produce thematic maps for urban land cover by a feature-spacing partitioning algorithm.” 1‘ BRIGHTER LANDSAT HSS BAND 5 SUBURBAN RESIDENTIAL COMMERCIAL - INBUSTRIAL FOREST GRASSLAND OARKER WATER l (— DARKER BRIGHTER "9 LANDSAT nss BAND 7 Figure 3: Feature—spacing algorithm Criteria 2 The other Landsat-based criteria is using digital change detection procedures to delineate UA. It is using spectral signatures on multitemporal Landsat data to detect non-urban to urban cover change on the urban fringe.“ Some consideration should be addressed in affecting change detection, such as temporal characteristics and environmental characteristics. Usually, the anniversary dates of the image are “Jensen, pp.1611-1612 ”Jensen, Ibid., 44 recommended for use because they minimize the difference in reflectance caused by seasonal vegetation change, or sun angle difference, etc. Furthermore, an August date can provide better results. In reducing adverse effects from environmental factors (eg. different atmospheric conditions, sun angles, or surface-cover moisture) which will affect the radiance changes between dates, the data transformation and principal-component transformation are also useful for urban change detection. Change Detection Algorithms Three change detection approaches have been used in criteria 2 - image differencing, image regression, and classification comparison. Image differencing technology is based on differencing two Landsat images obtained on two different dates to get informa- tion on urban land cover change. It is the simplest one, and an efficient change-detection processing approach. Its accuracy of classification could reach 77 percent."2 Some results suggested that this image differencing procedure is too simple to deal with all types of change in a complex residential scene. However, this situation could be improved in conjunction with other change detection methods. Image regression is using a least squares transformation between dates to reduce the effect of environmental and system multiplicative factors. An advantage of using image regression instead of image differencing is that image regression ”Jensen, Ibid., 45 can adjust for between-date environmental difference in variance. Recently, this technology was criticized as being a statistically invalid method due to the non-Gaussian, bimodal distribution it is based upon."3 The other change detection technology, classification comparison, evaluates the classification of Landsat data for two or more dates. This technique includes five alternatives -post- classification comparison; spectral/temporal change classification; layered spectral/temporal classification and clustering comparison; but is useful only if accurate land use classification can be obtained. Generally speaking, digital change detection must be familiar with the environment under study, and the quality of the data set. It must also focus on identifying the optimum algorithm for the specific study area. Image differencing or image regression of spectral data are more practical, but may be too simple to identify the various changes in the urban scene. One possible way to improve the change detection accuracy is using textural data together with Landsat spectral data in identifying urban change.“ Advantages “J.W. Robinson, "Critical Review of the Change Detection and Urban Classification literature", Ieghnical Memorandum 79(6235, Computer Sciences Corp., Silver Springs, Md., 1979, pp.90 “John R. Jensen, and David L. Toll, "Detecting Residential Land-Use Development at the Urban Fringe, " Photogrammetric Engineer g Remptg Sensing, Vol.48, No.4, April 19 82, pp. 629-643 46 Landsat images can cover a larger area and are less expensive than manual aerial photography. By using visual identification, a Landsat image could develop the boundaries similar to those obtained with aerial photographs. Computer-aided classification can reduce interpretation time by 50 percent."5 Furthermore, it uses physical, visual variables rather than two figures(population or density size) to define urbanized areas and give a more unbiased UA boundary. Disadvantages and Accuracy Landsat itself is not able to identify all various ground categories by unique spectral signature. Low density suburban housing and small villages may be misclassified as large gardens or high vegetation content."6 Rural areas of bare soils, harvested field, dry heath land, sand bank may also be misclassified to the urban area. Because the spectral signature of those areas are close to urban area, single date multispectral classification is not sufficient to distinguish them. Moreover, while analyzing a Landsat image by spectral signature, the researcher not only needs to be familiar with the environment of the study area, but he also needs to spend much more effort to develop and select the optimum algorithms for each type of environmenta Even using visual identi- “Jensen, Ibid., “This type of error is called Omission. The other type of error is called Commission which is the misclassification of rural area as urban area. 47 fication on a Iandsat image could produce a similar boundary to those obtained with aerial photography, with its accuracy still less than manual airphoto interpretation with large scale aerial photographs. Application Jensen and.Toll"rdetected residential land-use development at the urban fringe in Denver, Colorado by using band 5 Landsat spectral data and derived texture data, with approximately 81 percent of change detection accuracy. Ellefsen and Peruzzi"8 proposed a method for delimiting the boundary of an urbanized area by using computer-aided analysis of Landsat digital data. The general rules in determining delimitation they adopted were from the U.S. Census to encompass exclaves and to close embayments.“g Haack5° also used computer processing and utilized Landsat digital data to differentiate urban and near-urban land covers around Miami, Florida. Moreover, some other researchers (Davis and Friedman, 1974, Effefsen and Davidson, 1980, Welch and Pannell, "Jensen and T011, 1982 ‘wRichard Ellefsen and Duilio Peruzzi, "A Suggested Method for Delimiting'Urbanized Area Using Landsat Data," Anericgn Spgipty of P10 Hr-u -t.a Proc - - h -_ .e- ,. i b 'l-‘ o - .1 , Oct 1978, pp.176-183 “Enclaves could be brought into the urban mass if they were within a distance of a mile and a half, embayment could be closed into the urban mass too if the mouths were less than a mile wide. soBarry Haack, "An Assessment of Landsat M88 and TM data for Urban and Near-Urban land-Cover Digital Classification," Rempte Sensing of Environment, Vol.21, No.2, 1987, pp.201-213 48 1975, etc.) used digital imagery and image processing technology for the mapping of urban land expansion. ELABLEAB:§££!§_lB§§BI:§§§£Ql Aerial photography and Landsat imagery have received the most attention and are more widely employed than other techniques in urban analysis. Unfortunately, those data will become useless while the study areas are covered in cloud or bad weather condi- tions. Under those situations, all-weather radar imagery can be an appropriate medium to be employed. Unlike other sensor systems, radar records' signatures on film are the result of interaction between terrain features(surface roughness) and actively produced microwave energy, rather than spectral natures of urban and suburban feature. It therefore can overcome the limitation of bad weather conditions. Criteria One example of this methodology is hiring visual identifica- tion on radar imagery. Henderson and Anuta(1980) used images produced by X band or K band radar from different areas, with different scales of the United State for settlement detection. After that, manual interpretation by using a Baush & Lomb 24oz stereoscope in mono-mode was conducted to examine the imagery.51 $1Floyd M. Henderson and Michael A. Anuta, "Effects of radar system parameters, population, and environmental modulation on settlement visibility," In;. J, Bgngpg Sensing, 1980 Vol. 1, No.2, pp.137-151 49 Another approach is employing digitally processed SAR L-band images for mapping urban land-cover. Data obtained from digital process- ing could then be used to delineate urbanerural fringe.52 Advantages The main advantages of using radar imagery are its all-weather capability and its high accuracy. In urban analysis, all level II and.most level III categories of the urban land cover are identifi- able with a radar system, such as residential(including older and newer housing), commercial core and large strip developments, and major transportation networks( including smaller residential streets.) Henderson and Anuta detected all settlements over 1,000 population on X - band imagery at a scale of 1:200,000 through manual interpretation. By employing digital enlargement of SAR imagery at Denver, Colorado(Henderson, 1980), the.accuracy'of urban land-cover classification was from 77% in the inner city zones to 94% in the new residential areas and urban fringe zones at a scale of l:410,000. The most identifiable land-cover categories were residential, industrial-commercial, open space, and water; those categories could also be obtained with an accuracy of 87.9% at a scale of 1:131,ooo.53 52Jensen, Ibid., 53Jensen, Ibid., 50 Disadvantages Radar imagery may not be available for the entire United States. Thus, for analysis of an entire nation, radar imagery might need to include various scales, different wavelengths and different systems. Its accuracy will be decreased with a small scale. Settlement size, radar azimuth or look direction will also influence the settlement detectability and visibility. Using manual interpretation in settlement detection would have the same shortcomings as manual airphoto interpretation: time-consuming and lower efficiency. Accuracy Larger scale radar imagery could provide higher accuracy. Detection of settlements with population of 1,000 and more can get 100% accuracy at a scale of 1:200,000. For all the K-band imagery and scales, the type of error was omission not commission. The maximum error of commission was less than 1 percent.“ Application As mentioned above, Henderson.andaAnuta used.radar imagery for population settlement detection with high accuracy. Lo55 also employed Shuttle Imaging Radar-A(SIR-A) in detecting Chinese 5"Henderson and Anuta, Ibid., 5"’C.P. Lo, "Chinese Settle Pattern Analysis Using Shuttle Imaging Radar-A Data," Inp. S, Bgngpg Sensing, Vol.5, No.6, 1984, pp.959-967 51 settlement patterns and population. These settlements reflect strongly the radar beam and against a dark background. Each individual settlement stands out against the dark background and therefore the sizes of the settlements can be differentiated.(see figure 4 in Baoding area and figure 5 in Dezhou area) In general, remote sensing-based methods are very welcome in many fields of study because they can provide relatively high accuracy in testing the ground truth. In a private or an individual research, remote sensing techniques have always been considered perfect solutions in providing accurate physical data, high accuracy and high efficiency. Many researchers, even the Census Bureau, have conducted studies of the UA delineation by using remote sensing technique. Unfortunately, those highly efficient remote-sensing techniques have been rejected by the Census Bureau to use as a methodology in defining UA boundaries for the entire nation because of the budget constraint. For the entire country, the cost of reproducing images will cost the Census Bureau millions of'dollaru Even those techniques can save labor and.time; compared to the cost of imagery, the cost(from the view of the Census Bureau) is still far above the benefit. Hence, remote sensing- based methods become infeasible because of the imbalance of cost and benefit. 10 . , '- L? ggdéfifiii“ Tiffijf‘. ; ‘0' f'- ‘l . (a , .. . ' IIEE; :- C t . t' I. u D u :h 4 4: '§ ‘. trip. A"? "K "S. I‘m“ ”r “ 41933444?" 9.41% 2.459.‘ O 3 4f? . 7 "0; ‘QQR: %. F '13: 543‘ . g _ ‘ .- r$i\ ' ‘ ‘ . u- mu". Figure 4: Shuttle Imaging Radar-A Image of Boading Area (Source: Lo, 1984) 52 B 4‘ o'f. - it... 03' Q . ... l u. 0". ,I .- u . '. .' ~ _ . ‘10-? ._,-‘ '. 1“; & ~ 3‘ t. . y" -2.‘5_‘ep§‘_. ' -7 ' A 3" ."ildi’ .‘ . ‘ ‘ It -‘ a ~‘g - 53.3.4 -. £ :2 .‘ iiti :: I‘v‘f.r"~ ' -‘ ’4- ‘. - C , k s 9 ‘ . _ A | Or . . ._.'_' Jr . . O- . .. -__"':'- _. ‘H ’ . .4..- 4+4... ,, o . . .' A ' ‘1". .hv' . ,1: 1.11.)? fig...“ . '21:. ._v;;’_..._ I..." . an.» fiV-flie ~r .'o . f- ."--‘.7 ‘fi‘ "0'” '- “offilg’.‘rs ' ”*4on " .‘Lfi'i 3";'i4'.’-1t-‘.,_:.. . ‘ - «.51.». §~s:«“= "refs-”‘- 3‘ ' ; '; "T7" #5:? "’- figfiffi ,. 2*: 3:”. L i b ' 4‘."- t... s};...l.’-;; ' A v" Figure 4: Shuttle Imaging Radar-A Image of Boading Area (Source: Lo, 1984) 53 54 VI. CONCLUSION Either from the conceptual view, or the potential problem of UA, it is appropriate to consider a multivariate approach for defining urban population and place. Also, using census data is the easiest and cheapest way to improve the UA definition because of the ease of getting existing census data. Some industrialized countries use the presence and utilization of public utilities and/or public services as indicators of urbanism. The employment of non-agricultural activities has been used frequently too. Even government consolidation can relieve some UA definition problems. A more appropriate definition using more variables can reduce the problems to the lowest level. The case study in the Lansing/E. Lansing 'urbanized area, reveals that the 1980 UA. definition produces an ‘underbounded. city ‘without. considering' the socio- economic urban characteru Only population size can not present the socio-economic characteristics or lifestyle of inhibitants. Recently, some researchers and the Census Bureau have tried to conduct some projects by using Landsat data to define the UA's. If one does not consider the high cost of satellite imagery, the remote sensing technique can probably be another surrogate in defining urban boundaries because it provides great savings in labor and time involved in defining boundaries physically. If one uses another technique, Geographic Information System (GIS), the urban boundaries can be presented physically, and the socio- economic characteristics can be intergrated into the results. 55 REFERENCE Adeniyi, Peter O. "Land-Use Change Analysis Using Sequential Aerial Photography and computer' Techniques. " Enepegpenneppie Engineering ang Remote Senei g. Vol. 46, No.11, Nov. 1980, pp.1447-1464a Alig, Ralph J. and Healy, Robert G. "Urban and Built-Up Land Area Changes in the United States: An Empirical Investigation of Determinants." Land Econenies. Vol.63, No.3, August 1987, pp.215-226. Cadwallader, M.T. "Urban Social Areas." in Aneiypieei__gppen Geography -Spatiai Petterns end Theopies, pp.125. New Jersey: Prentice-Hall, 1985. Carter, P. and Jackson, M J. "The Elimination Approach to Monito- ring Urban Growth from Landsat Data." WW Sensing o; Enyironmenp. April 1975, pp.1609-1617. Christenson, Jerrold W. et., a1. "Landsat Urban Area Delineation." nterl b ro'ec 7 - . Geographic Reference and Resource Center. Dec. 1977. Davis, James B. "Assessing Urbanized Area Expansion through the Integration of Landsat and Conventional Data." ASP-ACSM, 4Sth Annnal Meeting. March 1974, pp.776-791. Department of International Economic and Social Affairs, Statistic- cal office. "Urban and Total Population by Sex: 1977-1986." in i986 Demographic leerbeek, pp.186-189. New YOrk: United Nations, 1988. Ellefsen, Richard and Peruzzi, Duillio. "Urbanized Area Using Digital Iandsat Data." e ' c e a at Proc., Fall leehnicei Meeting. Oct. 1978, pp.175-183. Falkner, Edgar. "Land Use Change in Parkway School District. " Enotegrenne etpic Engineer ring eng Sensing. ‘Vol. 34, No. 1, 1970, pp. 52- 57. Friedmann, I., & Miller, J. "The Urban Field." na 0 e American_1n§titute_gf_21anner§. Vol.31, 1965. pp.312-319- Freudreis, J.P. "The Information ZRevolution and. Urban Life." gonnnei pf Snben Affaipe, Vol.11, pp.327-337. Gautam, N. C. "Aerial Photo-Interpretation Techniques for Classifying Urban Land Use." n n in and Benope Sensing. Vol.42, No. 6, June 1976, pp.815- -822. 56 Haack, Barry. "An Assessment of Landsat M88 and TM data for Urban and Near-Urban Land-Cover Digital Classification." 39MB Sensing_ef_Enxirennent Vol 21 No 2 1987 pp 201- 213- Handerson, Floyd M. and Anuta, Michael A. "Settlement Detection with Radar Imagery-" J2urna1_Pr2ceeding_2f_the_A§2:AQ§M1_Eall Meeping. 1979, pp.89-104. ‘ Handerson, Floyd M. and Anuta, Michael A. "Effects of Radar System Parameters, Population, and Environmental Modulation on Settlement Visibility." IDE1_11_BQEQL§_§§n§iDQ- Vol 1, No.2, 1980, pp.137-151. Ha ard Law Review, "Demography and Distrust: Constitutional Issue of the Federal Census.” Feb. 1981, pp.841-863. Honey, R.D. "Metropolitan Governance." in uppen_£eiiey_neking_eng Me 0 olitan amics: ve o a 1 8, pp.425-462. ed. by J.S. Adams. Massachusetts: Ballinger, 1976. Jensen, John R. and Toll, David L. "Detecting Residential Land-Use Development at the Urban Fringe." EhQtegranmetric_Engineer_§ Remote Sensing. Vol.48, No.4, April 1982, pp.629-643. Jensen, John R. "Urban Change Detection Mapping Using Landsat Digital Data." Amepicen Sertogzepner, Vol.8, N02, Oct 1981, pp.127-147. Jensen, John R. "Urban/Suburban Land Use Analysis." In Mennei of Remote Sensing. 2nd. ed., Ch.30. Kamiar, M.S. & Darden, J.T. "Socio-Economic Development of Black Ghetto Tracts in Michigan:The Microcosm Model Reconsidered." The Easp Lakes Geegpephen, Vol.23, 1988, pp.71-84. Knox, Paul. "Spatial Organization and Locational Conflict." in Urben Sociel Geogpepny, pp. 266. 2nd. ed. New York: John Wilely & Sons, 1987. Lo, C.P. "Chinese Settle Pattern Analysis Using Shuttle Imaging Radar-A Data." Int. J. Remote Sensing, Vol.5, No.6, 1984, pp.959-967. McCoy, Roger M. "House Density vs. Socio-economic Conditions." Phopogrametpic Engineer & genome Sensing. Vol.39, No. 1, 1973, pp.43-47. 57 Richter, Dennis M. "Sequential Urban Change." Wetpie Engineer & Remote Sensing. Vol.35, No.8, 1971, pp.764-770. Robinson, J.W. "Critical Review of the Change Detection and Urban Classification Literature." WW 79(S23S. Computer Sciences Corp., Silver Springs, Md., 1979, pp.90. Shevky, E. and Bell, W. Speiei_npee_nneiyeie. pp.4. California: Stanford University Press, 1955. Sjoberg, G. Ine_Eneingnetpiei_§ity. New York: The Free Press, 1960 Toll, David L. "Analysis of Digital LANDSAT MASS and SEASAT SAR Data for use in discriminating land cover at the urban fringe of Denver, Colorado." lntt_gt_3emete_Seneing. Vol.6, No.7, 1985, pp.1209-1229. Truesdell, L.E. "The Development of the Urban-Rural Classification in the United States: 1874 to 1949." W Sepuiatien Charaetepietiee (Series No.1) 1949, pp.4 . Wirth, L. "Urbanism As a Way of Life." ' u of Soeioiogy, Vol.44, 1938, pp.1-23. U.S. Accounting Office. a ° F a Focus on Ru ' o ' v . 1989, pp.39. U-S- Accounting Office. MW Eiigibiiity end Selection Spitetie, end Ptognem Besuits. 1989, pp.3' U.S. Bureau of the Census. f Po ' d Beu§i_g- U-S- Bureau Of the Census. QQQQIQEhiQ_AI§Q§_B§£§I§nQ§ Mennei. 1987, Ch.15 APPENDIX I DATA LISTING OE THE 14 CENSUS VARIABLES FOR THE LANSING/E. LANSING SAMPLE AREA V01 V02 V03 V04 V05 V06 V07 V08 V09 V10 V11 V12 V13 V14 Census HS TRVL SCHL HUMAN CRAFT HS Tract POP UNXT TIME FRTLTY CHPLD HOME AGR! OPRATNUATER SEHAGE GAS RENT HORTG VALUE 102.03 0 0 202.02 364 1184 17.8 2559 85.1 5.9 0.41 26.60 99.8 100.0 92.6 297 361 42.6 214.00 1076 642 16.8 1607 94.4 4.5 0.90 29.67 99.2 98.4 76.9 218 476 53.6 38.01 4323 1625 16.1 2291 96.1 4.9 0.42 8.05 100.0 100.0 83.8 275 652 73.7 38.02 2002 977 18.5 1633 93.9 3.4 0.00 5.29 98.2 98.1 81.7 302 505 61.5 39.01 1791 719 15.3 2541 93.4 0.0 0.65 7.00 100.0 100.0 82.6 383 868 124.1 39.02 3989 1576 13.2 2307 96.6 2.6 1.28 8.53 99.8 100.0 73.0 272 475 65.2 40.00 3776 1700 13.9 2126 98.1 2.4 0.26 6.01 89.9 89.9 72.9 252 512 68.1 41.00 4882 1379 13.6 2115 94.3 4.6 1.16 8.37 100.0 100.0 73.7 292 447 45.6 42.00 5656 44 8.1 100.0 10.6 2.33 7.82 100.0 100.0 50.0 180 43.01 4253 1517 15.3 2121 94.8 3.4 0.36 9.59 100.0 99.7 81.2 372 434 51.3 43.02 2877 883 14.5 100.0 3.7 2.77 9.60 100.0 100.0 64.7 386 162.5 44.01 11436 188 7.9 667 100.0 8.7 2.21 7.27 93.6 93.6 16.0 240 44.02 3852 1537 13.8 1872 98.0 6.6 0.00 7.93 101.3 99.6 38.6 103 44.03 2993 1312 12.0 2241 97.9 1.9 0.00 6.40 99.5 99.6 29.1 164 389 50.4 45.00 0 0 46.00 269 126 13.5 909 100.0 4.9 2.30 13.22 100.0 100.0 93.7 343 80.0 54.00 7384 2899 18.3 2689 77.4 7.0 0.84 32.55 90.2 96.3 72.0 268 360 40.2 55.00 2713 895 21.4 2570 81.3 4.0 0.00 29.16 95.3 97.0 94.5 230 387 43.3 1.00 2466 874 15.0 3271 51.3 6.4 0.00 42.42 100.0 100.0 79.2 277 259 22.7 2.00 1561 684 15.2 3009 53.9 17.4 0.96 31.26 100.0 98.7 81.6 183 300 28.5 3.00 2894 1072 14.4 3481 56.5 20.0 0.59 45.69 100.0 99.6 83.1 268 296 22.4 4.00 3684 1403 14.2 3503 75.5 9.3 0.51 24.60 100.0 100.0 16.3 268 326 33.0 5.00 2185 772 12.5 3403 68.0 9.9 0.00 38.24 100.0 100.0 90.3 275 277 24.1 6.00 2547 1343 12.2 1000 83.0 13.8 0.47 21.04 100.0 100.0 76.3 218 365 27.3 7.00 3129 1659 13.9 2889 74.4 8.4 0.90 27.44 100.0 98.9 76.9 206 327 23.6 8.00 3966 1441 16.0 3844 56.1 11.6 0.14 29.42 100.0 99.6 80.8 242 267 21.2 9.00 1803 715 14.1 3653 72.9 8.8 0.00 29.83 100.0 100.0 85.6 291 309 30.6 10.00 2701 1108 17.4 1972 77.9 6.7 2.22 22.96 100.0 99.5 88.1 296 308 29.5 11.00 4167 1934 14.8 2474 77.3 5.8 0.83 25.65 100.0 100.0 81.5 217 291 26.7 12.00 2660 996 15.9 3520 60.2 14.6 2.85 26.93 100.0 99.4 89.0 266 282 21.3 13.00 1629 824 16.6 3650 57.5 5.0 1.64 36.99 100.0 100.0 73.7 189 292 20.3 14.00 229 200 11.3 58.6 0.00 0.00 100.0 100.0 42.0 76 15.00 2271 1007 13.8 3710 49.4 21.8 1.50 30.07 100.0 99.4 69.5 212 280 24.4 16.00 1567 488 15.5 1761 78.3 2.7 0.00 23.17 100.0 100.0 86.7 306 370 44.2 17.01 1007 460 20.8 2630 89.9 3.1 0.00 5.89 100.0 100.0 96.7 380 580 78.0 17.02 3978 1497 15.4 2125 87.7 1.8 0.24 18.39 99.6 100.0 84.6 265 422 59.8 19.00 743 516 12.0 2438 80.1 1.8 0.00 16.10 100.0 98.8 63.4 211 163 35.0 20.00 4815 2053 15.6 3141 60.3 16.8 0.37 36.86 100.0 99.1 80.5 213 284 21.0 21.00 2609 978 15.4 3103 56.5 9.3 0.28 39.70 100.0 99.4 83.0 273 267 22.1 22.00 1835 776 12.7 2379 82.8 4.6 0.80 20.45 100.0 100.0 88.1 241 334 38.3 23.00 3774 1640 13.9 2558 73.3 6.1 0.98 21.26 100.0 99.6 90.7 256 312 33.1 24.00 3809 1511 14.2 2520 73.3 6.0 0.34 27.60 100.0 100.0 86.5 231 303 30.6 25.00 2518 1120 13.6 2163 81.5 2.4 0.00 22.22 99.7 99.7 84.1 285 341 39.5 26.00 2452 1085 12.3 2982 69.4 4.1 0.32 32.59 100.0 99.8 84.1 232 304 29.0 27.00 3588 1034 17.3 2780 73.2 4.0 0 28 27 49 100.0 100.0 97.8 280 301 32.2 28.00 3110 1271 17.8 2520 75.5 2.9 0.00 27.29 100.0 100.0 80.3 245 284 33.7 29.01 2572 840 14.5 3015 75.8 6.7 0.60 24.57 97.0 92.5 86.9 335 401 45.2 29.02 2090 934 16.0 2435 86.1 4.3 0.46 17.82 100.0 100.0 69.0 308 320 25.7 30.00 0 0 31.01 0 0 31.02 2485 742 16.0 2681 84.4 4.7 0.43 14.35 100.0 99.1 95.3 247 458 67.0 32.00 2669 925 13.7 3610 49.4 17.6 0 00 38.54 100.0 96.8 82.5 232 283 23.6 33.01 3398 1375 15.4 3082 73.4 3.0 1.00 28.06 99.5 100.0 81.4 253 343 37.1 33.02 2780 965 16.0 2449 89.0 0.9 0.00 19.01 100.0 100.0 86.0 288 412 54.0 34.00 109 37 8.5 4353 100.0 0.0 0 00 0.00 100.0 100.0 100.0 263 475 80.9 35.00 0 0 36.01 4695 1368 20.0 2922 81.8 6.5 0.78 33.38 99.2 100.0 96.1 213 330 37.5 36.02 4344 1443 20.7 3133 69.0 6.6 0.17 36.71 100.0 99.4 86.7 223 315 30.2 37.00 6366 2525 15.8 2556 66.0 8.0 0.35 34.01 99.7 100.0 82.4 239 310 34.5 51.00 3138 1003 20.1 3174 60.2 5.2 0.52 41.41 97.8 95.3 87.6 230 356 31.7 V01 V02 V03 V04 V05 V06 V07 V08 V09 V10 V11 V12 V13 V14 Census HS TRVL SCHL HUMAN CRAFT HS Tract POP UNIT TIME FRTLTY CMPLD HOME AGRI OPRATNUATER SEUAGE GAS RENT HORTG VALUE 52.00 5387 1921 18.4 2904 75.4 6.9 1.07 30.08 95.5 95.3 89.2 219 310 31.6 53.02 2887 1308 19.1 2463 84.9 7.1 0.36 26.23 91.2 91.2 58.0 352 325 35.1 53.03 4624 2009 20.6 2240 74.3 4.1 0.09 29.56 98.9 96.5 85.1 243 360 41.4 53.04 3452 1451 16.9 2804 74.4 3.4 1.30 30.43 99.6 98.0 75.7 279 355 42.4 N101.02 1953 747 16.9 2406 74.1 5.0 1.06 41.21 40.2 48.9 65.3 216 394 48.5 N102.01 2697 890 16.3 2566 78.2 2.6 0.29 33.45 9.7 92.0 80.3 232 394 48.4 N102.03 1971 809 14.8 2837 58.3 8.6 2.06 43.46 63.8 98.4 88.5 264 288 27.8 N102.04 1308 426 21.6 2551 73.6 6.6 1.05 38.15 15.0 73.9 72.3 218 405 43.0 N103.00 3062 1180 21.4 2873 79.1 2.1 3.08 31.36 3.3 4.2 46.2 219 450 57.9 N111.02 2730 965 23.4 3396 64.2 7.5 1.50 43.44 18.8 59.3 65.1 201 289 31.0 N201.01 6742 2376 16.2 2813 87.4 2.3 0.17 19.43 92.9 94.4 77.7 242 539 71.4 N201.02 6267 2659 13.8 2436 87.6 3.0 0.51 18.55 99.6 100.0 77.1 307 389 49.2 N202.01 2693 922 15.4 2623 91.0 1.6 0.00 20.98 100.0 100.0 87.2 321 474 68.1 N202.02 1158 403 14.1 2857 75.8 1.3 1.09 29.89 11.9 3.0 63.5 262 355 39.8 N214.00 6078 2068 18.0 2217 79.7 5.2 0.92 30.79 62.7 62.7 76.5 231 433 51.0 N17.01 180 72 7.9 1833 68.1 0.0 0.00 23.76 8 3 86.1 84.7 636 80.7 N30.00 410 158 11.5 2000 45.9 18.7 4.83 23 45 100.0 100.0 88.0 316 19.4 N31.01 1559 918 11.5 1160 85.1 1.5 0.00 9.67 100 0 100.0 78.5 248 372 47.1 N31.02 1558 614 16.7 1527 89.2 3.6 0.00 14.67 90 7 93.2 71.3 288 416 51.5 N32.00 0 0 N34.00 2828 1112 13.3 2508 86.4 5.7 0.00 19.42 100.0 99 4 83.3 252 333 46.6 N35.00 3410 1521 12.6 3016 63.7 8.9 0 00 41.77 100.0 97 0 75.0 275 308 27.7 N38.01 27 N38.02 68 33 59.0 1200 81.0 60.0 0.00 46.43 66.7 303 43.8 N39.02 292 61.8 N43.01 1763 701 16.0 1925 96.1 4.6 1.12 9.49 98.6 96.6 66.6 236 436 60.5 N43.02 568 288 11.5 65.5 10.2 4.08 7.82 100.0 100.0 14.6 293 N44.01 35 4 N45.00 3321 1512 18.5 2264 85.0 3.9 0.94 14.26 92.8 98.3 87.2 309 499 45.6 N46.00 1477 494 15.4 2505 96.2 1.4 0.00 10.58 72.3 78.7 84.0 272 581 77.0 N47.00 2369 1125 24.9 2407 65.9 7.1 1.33 24.91 58.4 91.1 53.8 209 370 40.0 N48.00 5112 2364 18.8 2407 94.0 1.9 0.16 12.92 85.2 93.1 75.6 312 401 51.5 N49.01 5450 1097 16.4 2052 94.2 4.1 0.48 7.30 82.3 98.2 76.5 301 524 70.8 N49.02 3634 1390 15.8 2392 97.3 4.7 1.56 4.05 78.7 98.1 76.5 305 594 77.6 N50.00 4760 1644 20.1 2397 90.8 2.4 2.16 7.89 57.4 66.4 78.3 303 582 81.0 N51.00 128 45 14.3 63.9 0.00 31.11 0.0 84.4 68.9 375 34.4 N52.00 1159 449 21.5 2963 69.4 5.2 1.39 34.98 46.3 85.1 80.8 259 390 43.3 N53.02 1702 575 20.5 2492 83.1 1.9 0.00 24.74 23.7 84.7 80.0 297 452 56.0 N53.04 50 17 2.0 89.1 0.00 44.19 41.2 0.0 70.6 325 30.0 N55.00 4008 1333 23.4 2535 75.7 4.7 1.68 35.15 33.3 38.9 54.5 304 468 53.0 N56.00 2845 935 18.9 2991 83.8 3.7 4.21 25.74 3.0 5.2 16.6 325 431 53.0 Blank = Missing Vlaue. APPENDIX II CLUSTER ANALYSIS IN LANSING/E. LANSING UR OO.P0 u Avmmxummdv mComum>L0mQO Oman) *0 gUDESZO w> o» mo> wm>_ha.¢ummo cm mm .m~—z: oz_m:o: mo w34<> z<_owx. ¢w> .mm .m¢ .mhudnh: =p—3 mh_z: 02—m302 hum. FF> .uwzmm :p—3 mh_z: oz_mDo: pom. op> .mwh<3 u—amza =h~3 mh_z: 02—mao: boa. 00> .m>_h<¢mao a bm<¢u z~ ow>odmzm .aoa hum. mo> .wmah4:u_¢u< z. ow>OAazm .aoa hum. hc> .uzo: p< z .mm»<3o .>_p4_hmmu. qo> 000000000000000000 In P .uao: oh mx_p 3m><¢h z or .owo. z_ mp_z= oz_m:o= 3<~oh. ~o> o .owop z. zo_h<3:¢O¢ 3 a mamm<3 m3m<_¢<> A 0.0; N0 N6 — v—> o.mm mm —m P mp> o.mu as mu _ ~F> o.mm MN 00 — —P> o.mu no no F op> o.mm F0 hm P oo> o.mu mm —m F mo> c.mu 06 me P 59> o.mm me on F oo> o.mu hm mm P mo> o.mm Fm km F vo> o.mm mm P~ F mo> o.mu or m. 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