[ I I lllHllhllllllllll \ } lllHl ”THS m" .H 7." “ U,t_53r18rat mversnr; 8 PLACE IN RETURN BOX to remove this checkout from your record. TO AVOID FINES return on or before date due. MAY BE RECALLED with earlier due date if requested. DATE DUE DATE DUE DATE DUE —_ 2/05 cJClRC/DdoDmhdd-MB b—-—“ -————— —- — ——-—.-— c3: POPULATION ANALYSIS AND PLANNING FOR THE NEEDS OF THE COMMUNITY by Chandra Western A paper as part of the Plan B requirement in the completion of the Master's Program in the School of Urban Planning and Landscape Architecture at Michigan State University. Acknowledgements I'd like to express a special thanks to June Thomas, my advi- sor and mentor. Thank you for opening my eyes so that I was able to see the light at the end of the tunnel. I've almost made it. I offer you only the best for the future and it is my sincerest hope that you are able to encourage other stu- dents as you have encouraged me. Thanks are also in order for the Northwest Michigan Regional Planning and Development Commission. I greatly appreciate the opportunity to work and learn with your agency. ! 'L‘J’ II. III. IV. V. VI. VII. VIII. IX. TABLE OF Introduction . . . . . Summary of Area . . . Regional History . . . Regional Population . Regional Analysis . . Regional Economy . . . Regional Growth Centers Potential Growth Centers CONTENTS Factors Affecting Population A. Historical Trends B. Labor Force . . . C. The Economy . . . D. Age/Sex Profile . Concluding Analysis . A. Forecasts . . . . B. Methodology . . . References . . . . . . . . . Appendix 0 O O O O O O O O I «Imam 10 10 11 13 14 14 16 20 21 22 23 24 ‘42?" INTRODUCTION Community development and population analysis are inseparable. To understand one is to understand the other. Community development is a process by which the people of a community come together to assess the needs and problems of their community, to plan for equitable solutions using the resources of governmental and non-governmental resources. This process cannot be undertaken without a thorough under- standing of the characteristics of the community-population analysis. A population analysis of a community or region can tell many important factors that will enable effective community development and planning for the Specific population. For example, it is senseless to plan for playgrounds and parks there are few school aged children in an area. By understanding the population composition of a com- munity is to effectively plan for the future needs of that community. if SUMMARY OF AREA The ten—county Northwest Michigan Region is a fast- growth area because of the desirability of the area both for living and for industrial and natural resource development. It is a "seller's market”, in which housing prices are largely based on the purchasing ability of in-migrating households accustomed to higher incomes and prices in their previous places of residence. Median family income in the Region is significantly lower than the state-wide average. The popularity of the Region for retirement living has resulted in a relatively high percent of elderly households on fixed incomes. Total minority composition in 1970 was 1.29 percent of the population, with Native Americans being the major group. Approximately a third of the total housing supply in 1970 was used for seasonal and recreational occu- pancy. Changes in the supply of housing since 1970, seasonal housing in particular, are not easily determined because local building and occupancy permit procedures were not generally adapted until about 1975. Just over 12 percent of the year-round housing in the 1970 census was substandard, and over 75 percent of that was occupied. A major proportion of that housing could probably be upgraded to a standard condition simply by installing complete plumbing (only 16 percent of the substandard housing had complete plumbing). In light of the cost of new con- struction and the need to make full use of investments in aw; existing communities, a major effort is needed to rehabilitate existing housing and the neighborhoods in which it is situated. As more households find themselves unable to qualify for mortgages via traditional private-sector financing, it is all the more important for local units of government to work with the private sector in developing desirable locations for publicly-assisted housing, both single-family and multi- family rental units. Since financial resources for publicly- assisted housing are very limited in contrast to the needs and demand, we need a cooperative marketing agreement with the several public agencies which administer public funding for housing, and a priority schedule based on critical housing needs in these communities. Regional History The first inhabitants of Northwest Michigan dwelt here long before recorded history. An ancient village site dis— covered recently near Charlevoix was dated at 1500 B.C. As these inhabitants were hunters and gatherers, their lives held few differences from their European counterparts. The early stages of trade took place between villages; as time progressed, between tribes. Over the centuries, trade was commonplace upon the arrival of European settlers. Copper from Michigan's Upper Peninsula turned up in southern areas as a result of bartering and trade between northern and southern peoples. Food stuffs (maize, beans, squash, tomatoes) as well as farming techniques were relayed randomly throughout the regions. This practice enabled many tribes the luxury of remaining settled and still being assured of maintaining themselves. Europeans first settled the Northwest Region of Michigan in the 1600's when monarchs of respective nations sought the wealth the area offered. These adventurers were followed by military persons to fortify frontier outposts. This onslaught of newcomers brought many changes to the Region, especially in the realm of religious and economic outlook. Christianity and an expansive system of fur trade can be cited as Just two examples of these changes. The colonization of the new world led to the War for Independence and succeeding wars for additional lands needed by the expanding new nation. Government surveyors and pioneer farmers came in streams to what is now Michigan. Northwest Michigan, like most of the state, was wild and heavily forested. With the needs of a growing nation, loggers came to strip the land of its giant red and white pines. From the great timber stands of Michigan's Northwest were built homes, stores and factories for the burgeoning industrial cities of the Midwest. Logging began Just prior to 1850 and from then until the 1890's, Michigan was the leading timber producing state in the nation. Towns along the Manistee and Boardman rivers began to boom with the advent of the logging industry. Now cities such as Cadillac and Kalkaska are shadows of their former selves since the logging industry has all but left Michigan. Plows tend to follow axes. Agriculture simultaneously grew with the logging industry. Prior to the advent of logging, there were very few independently owned parcels of land in Michigan. The end of the Civil War saw a marked increase in homesteaders although much of the land was unsuitable for general agriculture. The new century marked the beginning of a new day in the economic conditions of the area. Dire poverty came as Michigan's resources were stripped away. Those left with the land turned to the Michigan Agricultural College (which is now Michigan State University) for counsel. The soil studies of 1889, and subsequent ones, indicated that the most profi- table crops to grow were cherries and other small fruit, Christmas trees, hay and Irish potatoes. Dairying and general agriculture have evolved into major businesses in the area. The state Forestry Commission was formed in 1902 after gross mismangement of the land, and a mood of conservation became accepted. This commission had the task of rebuilding the mutilated forests. As a result of their efforts, lumber and wood products have remained a significant part of Michigan's present economy. Tourism and its continuing import can be cited as a by-product of the wood industry. Michigan's Northwest has the distinction of being a renowned outdoor playground, with its proximity to Lake Michigan, and some of the largest and most beautiful inland lakes are found here. In 1967, Michigan ranked as the fourth most pOpular vacation state in the nation. The auto brought hunters and sportsmen with the tourists. With the increase in leisure time, tourism and recreation has become a year-round enterprise for Michigan's great northwest. Regional P0pu1ation The population of the region was 208,286 in the 1980 Census. In 1970, the papulation was 158,333 persons. The actual calculation of these figures is done by taking the count of births, deaths and migrations in the Region. The deaths are subtracted from the births and the remaining figure is the natural increase. The increase from the pre- vious decade is the tgtgl amount of pOpulation increase; then the natural increase is subtracted from the total increase and the remaining figure is the migrational increase. Over the last decade, the natural increase was found to be 8,083, or 16.1% of the total increase. Migration was calculated at 83.9%, or 41,870 persons, for the 70-80 decade. As the figures indicate, the migrational increase is much greater than the natural increase: there are a lot of people moving into the Region. The population for the Region has increased 31.5% from 1970 to 1980 (U.S. Census). The greatest increases can be seen in Kalkaska, Missaukee and Grand Traverse counties, respectively. However, Grand Traverse increased geater in absolute numbers from the 1970 figure of 39,175 to 54,899 in 1980. The overall attractive features in the Northwest Region was determined by the Northwest Regional Planning Commission to be the major factor for the increase in the Region's popu- lation as opposed to the overall decline in the state's popu- lation. Regional Analysis The Northwest Region of Michigan is composed of ten counties, with Traverse City, Cadillac, Petoskey and Manistee as growth centers. Historically, the Region had been in decline since about the turn of the century, after the logging industry left the area. From 1900-1940, there was a steady decline in population; with the advent of the 50's, population has been on the increase. The decades of the 60's, 70's and 80's show an increase respectively of 7.7%, 13% and 31.5%, which includes continued growth despite the state's economic conditions, growth rates over the past 20 years, age group analysis. These are only a few of the many factors reSponsible for the rapid growth of the Region; however, none are more important than birthd, deaths and immigration. Still, there must be some analysis of these factors when we consider that, overall, the state is losing population and the Region continues to grow. Regional Facts Population in 1980 8 208,286 1960 1970 1980 1990* 135,381 158,333 208,286 254,000 Percentage Changg 60-70 70-80 80-90* 13% 31.5% 22% 2000* 297,000 90-2000* 17% Kalkaska County, greatest % change from 70-80 at 100.3%; Grand Traverse County, greatest absolute change at 15,724. All counties increased at least 12%; entire Region increased 13.5% within ten years 70-80. Unemplgyment Rate 1976-1980: 10.5% Civilian Labor Force % of population in the work force: .28-.52 of total population; up 62%. Per Capita Income 2/3 or 80% of that for the state. State 8 9,381; Region = 7,425. Labor Markets Oriented to professionals, skilled and service workers. Most job openings in this area. *Projected populations. When analyzing the birth and death rates within the Region, the Census data shows that from 70-80 there were 26,959 births and 18,656 deaths and 41,870 migrants. The increase in population for the birth/death ratio represents only 21.9%, whereas the migration increase constitutes a whopping 78.05%. There must be a reason or reasons for this influx. Herein lies the crux of the issue of the increase in p0pulation. We have to understand the reasons why the migra- tion rate is so high and what effects this rate will have on the Region, if the rate will continue, etc. . The 1970 and 1980 Census information is most helpful. This data shows that the greatest change in the population has been in the 20-59 year old age group. This is highly significant because this group represents the prime labor force. This could imply that there has been a great many job Opportunities in the Region, but we must consider other fac- tors before making any rash conclusions. The population data also shows us that the 0-19 year old age group has declined 7.5% since the 1970 Census was taken, and that the 60 and over age group has remained relatively the same, at about 17%, although actual numbers have increased. All of these factors are important in determining why the population increased like it did and what caused this increase. 10 Regional Economy The economy of the Region has grown rapidly between 1970-1980. Manufacturing and non-manufacturing sectors seemed to have reversed roles. Many manufacturers have been connected with the auto industry (33-23 percent) which has been in a downswing. The non-manufacturing sector has increased from 48-57 percent of the regional economy. This has created an additional 16,500 jobs for the Region. Although the jobs have increased, the salary/wages have not increased nearly as greatly due to the fact that the pay is lower and many of the jobs are seasonal and part-time. Tourism is a major factor in the Region's economy but is a component of the non-manufacturing and service sectors of the economy. This could very well be the reason for such a great increase in the labor force. Eggional Growth Centers The Traverse City urbanized area has been designated as the Region's primary growth Center, due to its central loca— tion, its diversified economic base and its economic influence on all the other regional counties. Traverse City is the largest city (urbanized area) within the Region and is the focal point of regional growth. Other growth centers include Cadillac, Manistee and Petoskey. These cities were designated growth centers because of size (next largest), strategic location and rapid growth rate. 11 Over the past twenty years, there are indications of characteristics common to these growth centers. The most important are: ' - Each has experienced a long term decline in its share of the Region's population. - Each has a share of business activity which exceeds its share of the p0pulation. A composite view of the growth center indicates that regional growth areas service activities increased in the centers but their share of business activity declined in other sectors. It is also important to note that while a large and increasing portion of firms provide services, such firms generate only a small percentage of all sales and payroll. Potential Growth Areas These cities include Frankfort, Kalkaska and Charlevoix. These cities would be the next to consider for possible growth areas. Looking at the past, we can see that these areas of potential growth have some of the same similarities as did the four major growth centers 20 to 30 years ago. In each of these cities, the pOpulation has been fluctuating but the surrounding areas continue to grow. There has been, especially in the last 20 years, much development taking place in these Potential Growth Centers; year round tourism, fossil fuel exploration, possible shipping and extended water use activities. Although these developments cannot be classified 12 TABLE 1 Growth Centers Traverse City, Cadillac, Petoskey, Manistee Population 1999 9999 Traverse City 66,500 78,000 Cadillac 11,000 11,450 Manistee 8,000 8,450 Petoskey 6,300 6,700 as basic, however, they can be the cause of growth, the potential for basic industrial and manufacturing growth. Also noted were things like road repairs and activity of area financial institutions. All of these factors have been taken into consideration to come up with a forecast as probable as possible. ~d9. FACTORS AFFECTING POPULATION CHANGE Births, deaths and migration are the three main factors affecting population change. These factors can further be explained as the natural increase, plus net migration. Natural increase is simply births minus deaths. For the pepulation of the state as a whole, births annually outnumber deaths. Net migration is the difference between those migrating in and those migrating out. Since 1960, each of our counties has had a positive net migration: some locali- ties in the Region have seen a net loss. To make reasonable forecasts of population, the absolute amount of population increase needs to be broken down into births, deaths and migration so that natural increase and migrational increases may be studied. That information also yields birth/death rates per thousand, an important factor in making forecasts. Besides the three primary factors above, there are many important elements that affect population growth. In recent years we have witnessed how energy, employment and interest rates have played parts in changing trends set the previous two decades. Historical Trends Past trends indicate that the Region has been growing steadily since 1950. The increases for each decade since 1950 are: 7.7%, 13.8% and 31.5%. Those increases are signi- ficant, since during that period the birth and death rates declined. Therefore, increases as great and as steady are 13 14 primarily substantial due to in-migration. The growth trend was evident throughout most of the state until 1970. During the 1960's, the population of the state increased, but mainly due to natural increase, not migration. The decade 1970-80 showed, for the state, a population growth due to natural increase, while for our Region migration was the primary basis of growth. During the 1960's, the state pOpulation increased 13%, but during the 1970's it increased at only 4.2%. In comparison, the Region grew by 13.8% in the 1960's and 31.5% in the 1970's. Labor Force The labor force of the Northwest Michigan Region is more than half of the total population of the Region, standing in 1980 at more than 106,000 persons, a 62% increase over 1970 levels. It is defined as those persons aged 16 and older who are working or actively seeking work. This statistic is very important in that more than half of those who live here are also working, or are able to work. Those who do not work, for whatever reason, are supported without being as great a burden on the work force than if it was comprised of fewer persons. In size, the labor force represents a good labor resource for incoming industry, and a more diverse regional economy. The Economy Northwest Michigan grew and developed rapidly during the 1970's. That is especially significant in light of Michigan's 15 weakening economy. Businesses within the Region generated jobs and income more readily than anywhere else in the state. Although the 1980 regional unemployment rate was approxima- tely 12.3%, it was still below the state average. The generally good condition of the Region's economy, relative to the state's, has attracted job seekers from out of the Region. Others are lured here by the quality of life the area offers; the small town life, clean air and lakes, forests, rolling agricultural lands and hills. From 1970-80 the Region gained approximately 50,000 persons; the state was losing 304,000. During the 1970's an additional 39,000 per- sons entered our regional labor force. However, during that same period, eight out of ten additional job seekers found work. The availability of energy has become a major consider- ation when we think of leaving one area for another. A peninsula state such as Michigan might have some problems obtaining fuels on the fringes and areas lying outside of established markets. In the upper region of Michigan, where population and markets are dispersed, there are problems of getting gasoline on secondary roads in the more remote areas. This same incidence is true for prospective industry. The Northwest Michigan Region is not a part of major trans- portation routes for the Midwest and definitely not on a national level. If a firm were to locate in this area, transportation of the product is a major concern. Conver- sely, if the location were to be in a city like Chicago or 16 Pittsburgh, transportation is not a great factor in cost of production as it is in this area. As basic jobs are the mainstay of a mobile economy, industry is the key. The decision to locate in the Northwest Michigan Region will have to be based on factors other than tranSportation costs. Other things will have to be given more weight in the decision, such as labor markets, availabi- lity of resources, tax advantages, and also the amenities of the area. This reason, like that for individuals, correlates with prospective industries. ége/Sex Profile The age/sex distribution (the number of males and females in any age grouping) can tell us a great deal about a given area. The 1980 Census data shows the greatest change in population occurred in the 20-59 age group, while those under age 20 have declined slightly since 1970. The over-60 group's percentage figures declined relative to the great increase in the 20-59 age group; actual numbers of persons over age 59 have increased. The age/sex pyramid shows that over 51% of the total population is female. However, that is not true for each age group. From the ages of 0-14, males predominate, while from 15-54, the composition is relatively equal, but from 55 and above, females predominate (and at each additional year of age, the share gets larger). 17 POPULATION DISTRIBUTION 1970 - 1980 MALE FEMALE ....., 1 l | _ I . I H I I I _ . I 1.-.. _ j | 11.1. L I e l I + l I I ' I l e I "J 1 1 I . 1 1 1 1 I c s 4 3 2 1 o i i s i '5 c ‘ (percentages) #— souncs: u.s. census BUREAU 18 An analysis of the age/sex pyramid of an area's pOpulation is very important when making decisions on meeting the social and economic needs of Specific segments of the population, including schools, hospitals, parks, employment opportunites, etc. A look at the age/sex pyramid shows a decline in the below 20 group; at the time of the next census this group will be of marriage and reproductive age. As the group will be small, the amount of their children will be small. Their numbers into the work force will be small. If this trend were to continue, a state of an inverse pyramid would exist. As the birth rate declined, so did the death rate, resulting in fewer persons under 30 and the majority of the populatioanill be 30 and above. This indicates that more than just a natural increase caused the Region to grow as it has. It is this kind of information that links the age/sex element to population forecasts. As an understanding of the relationship of the age/sex characteristics and popu- lation forecasts also leads to questions. What if? What if there were only a natural increase to the Region, would it continue to grow? By considering many variables, population forecasts are made as accurately as possible. 19 TABLE 2 Population Male/Female Percentagg 1970 Male _§__ Female 0-4 6,994 4.4 6,476 5-9 8,483 5.3 7,980 10-14 9,050 5.7 8,476 15-19 7,641 4.8 7,658 20-24 4,120 2.6 4,844 25-29 4,284 2.7 4,658 30-34 4,049 2.5 3,090 35-44 8,046 5.0 8,632 45-54 7,954 5.0 9,201 55-59 4,004 2.5 4,328 60-64 3,871 2.4 4,029 65-74 5,432 3.4 5,867 75 & over 3,393 2.1 4,462 1980 Male _2_ Female 0-4 8,011 3.8 7,950 5-9 8,393 4.0 7,745 10-14 6,778 3.2 8,590 15-19 9,897 4.7 9,702 20-24 8,237 3.9 8,672 25-29 8,751 4.2 8,755 30-34 7,826 3.7 7,709 35-44 11,479 5.5 11,640 45-54 9,524 4.5 10,999 55-59 ‘ 4,775 2.2 5,624 60-64 4,611 2.2 5,329 65-74 7,400 3.5 8,759 75 & over 4,137 1.9 6,357 [.4 0.0.0.0.... C QQUQWQU‘QCWWOO NWNNU‘U‘NNQQU‘IU‘A [a O... O. O O. O O O CNU‘QNU‘QNI—‘mt—‘QQ mbmmmmwoebawm CONCLUDING ANALYSIS The major factors that affect future population changes are births, deaths, migration, economic activity and, in this Region, the continued natural attractiveness of the area. During the 1970's in particular, in-migration of population has been the dominant factor that has caused the Region's population to increase. Natural increase accounted for only 16.3% of the Region's p0pulation increase, and migration 83.7%. Economic activity and preference for the area can be reasons cited for this great migration to the area. While the state's sluggish economy during the 1970's had a migra- tory impact on the Region, the Region's unemployment rates have been below those for the state. Of the additional per- sons entering the Region's 1abor force during the 70's, eight out of 10 found employment. The beauty of the area was and will continue to be a major attraction. However, the jobs that are available may not be as preferable as those else- where, but history shows that people are willing to trade dollars for a pleasant atmosphere. The extent to which the availability of energy has a direct impact on population change in an area may be dif- ficult to prove. However, long term trends show that even though the price of energy has consistently risen (in the past two decades), so has the Region's population. Energy is available and the people who come to the Region are apparently not as concerned about it and are willing to pay the price in exchange for other amenities. 20 FORECASTS Based on our analysis of past and current trends, and the conditions we believe will exist in the future, we are forecasting the Region's population to grow 11% from 1980-85, 22% from 1980-90 and 17% from 1990-2000. 21 flTHODOLOGY The principal method used in this study was to collect and assemble from 0.8. Census Bureau files (1950-80) avail- able information from Regional files and labor market data available through the State of Michigan. The information thus gained was supplemented where needed with data collected from surveys performed in the Region and from other private sources. (These included knowledge of population trends, personal contacts with experts such as the state demographer, etc.) Additional data and information came by way of county figures and economic analyses by county planning bodies. This data included reports of expected population counts, given specific criteria, pertaining to a given county. Also, past regional records and population forecasts were employed. In dealing with p0pu1ation projections, it is important to realize that the figures arrived at are, at best, calcu- lated estimate. The general statistical rule is that these projected figures have an error factor of plus or minus 15 percent. It has been found that for the Northwest Michigan Region, this margin of error stands between plus or minus 7 to 10 percent. The level of accuracy for a smaller geo- graphical area (i.e., county, region) is higher than that of a state or nation. 22 References Overall Economic Development Program, 1981-82. (Northwest Michigan Regional Planning Commission) Comprehensive Plan - Northwest Michigan Regional. 1974 Design Sketch Plan for the Northwest Regional Planning and Development Commission. 1980 Census and Population. MESC Files, 1981. Growing With Northern Michigan, Volume 7, No. 1, various articles. 23 APPENDIX Factors That Were Considered When Doing Analysis 1. Continued growth despite economic conditions. 2. Wage earners willing to make tradeoffs. 3. Growth rates over the past 20 years. 4. Trends in birth/death rates. 5. Analysis of age groups. 6. Types of job opportunties. 7. Regional growth despite overall loss in state population. 8. Amenities of the area. Population 1980 1985* 1990* 2000* Antrim 16,194 17,975 19,756 23,114 Benzie 11,205 12,437 13,670 15,993 Charlevoix 19,907 22,096 24,286 28,414 Emmet 22,992 25,521 28,050 32,818 Grand Traverse 54,899 60,937 66,976 78,361 Kalkaska 10,952 12,156 13,361 15,632 Leelanau 14,007 15,547 17,088 19,992 Manistee 23,019 25,551 28,083 32,857 Missaukee 10,009 11,109 12,210 14,285 Wexford 25,102 27,863 30,624 35,479 Egggon 208,286 231,192 252,304 296,945 State 9,258,344 l“Projections 24 Potentially Good for Industrial Development 1. Good labor force 2. Natural resources 1. Limestone 2. Niagarian Dalamite 3. Brimes/sands 4. Oil, gas 3. Shipping and truck service 1980 Data Births Deaths Net Miggation 26,739 18,656 41,870 Increase in population due to births/deaths, 16.1%; migration, 83.9%. Population Distribution 0-19 years, there has been a 7.5% decrease in this age group. 20-54 years, a 6.2% increase in this age group. 55 and older group has remained relatively the same at 17.5%. Reasons for Rapid Growth Birth, death, migration Environment Seasonal work Resort area/tourism Retirement area People willing to trade environment for wages Low crime rate ‘ Good schools/ low drop out rate Big city services, culture; small town atmosphere . Natural resources. Oeeeeeeeee HCDQNIQUIIbWNI-d COUNTY POPULATION Antrim ( persons) 72,000_ reel prejectlen ---—-- «poo... 43,000— 30,000— 24.000— 12,ooo_ / 0—— I I I (year) 1000 1070 1000 1000 2000 (persons) BeDZIe 72 000_ reel —— pml'ctlen _____ 60,ooo__ 48,ooo_ 36,ooo_ 24.ooo_ ./ flflflflflflflflflflflflflflflfl 12,000— I I I (yeer 1000 1070 1000 10017 2000 SOURCE: U.8. CENSUS BUREAU COUNTY POPULATION Charlevoix (pereone ) 72,000__ reel -—- prejectlon -—-- - 00.000.— 48.000— 30,000__ 24,00 0__ ,,-—-"""T 12,ooo_ I/ l | l 1060 1910 1990 1990 zo|oo "u" (persons) E m met 72,000_ rel I —— prolectlon —--- 00,000.. 40,000— 30,000... 4 o -- 2 ,oo __ ”1-- 12,ooo_ I I I I I (year) 1000 1070 1000 1000 2000 SOURCE: U.S. CENSUS BUREAU COUNTY POPULATION (an...) Grand Traverse ”$00.. 72,000“ , ,’ / reel -—— 00.000_ x’ . preject ion ——-— 40.000— 30.000— 24,000_. 12 000__ I | l | I (year) 1900 1910 1990 1990 2000 (person!) KalkaSKa 12,000_ real —— pro]ection---- 60,000___ 40,000.... 30,000 __ 24,000___ 12,000— 0* 1000 1070 1000 1000 2000 SOURCE: U.S. CENSUS NREAU ( persons) 12,000__ 90,000— 49,000__. 30,000— 24,000... 12,000— “# (persons) 12,000— 00,000.... 48,000— 36,000.... 24,000..— 12,0 00—. COUNTY POPULATION Leelanau reel —— prejection ------ I I I (your) 1060 1910 1990 1990 2000 Manistee I‘BBI —— prejec tion ----- / ””” I I I I (your) 1990 1910 1990 1990 1000 SOURCE: U.S. CENSUS BUREAU COUNTY POPULATION Missaukee ( persons) 12,000_ 90,000... 40,000— 36,000__ 2&000_ 12, 0 00.... / ________ reel —— prejectlol‘! ----- | 1990 1970 1990 (persons) WeXfO I'd 12,000__ 90,000_ _ 49.000_ 30,000__ ” ‘. —’ , — / 12,000... I I 1990 2000 (’°") reel -— prejecflon ----- ' ’fi’ .’ ' ’ ’ ' a." 1000 1070 1000 SOURCE: U.S. CENSUS BUREAU I I (year) 1090 2 000 x PERCENTAGE INCREASE PER DECAD E STATE AND REGION ( percentages) z 9 U m a: 31.5 22.7 35.. 15 10 (years) 0 1000 - 2000 - 1000 1000 1070 - 1000 1000 - 1070 1050 - 1000 . prejetlons U.S. CENSUS BUREAU SOURCE r." ...... ...... ..... IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII 31293 02656 8984