Pula: Botswana Journal of African Studies voI.17(2003) no.2 Prospects for Technology as Insurance against Poverty in Botswana's Poor Sebusang E.M. Sebusang Department of Mechanical Engineering University of Botswana email: sebusang@mopipLub.bw Abstract In this paper it is argued that judged on a global scale, Botswana does not seem to have achieved a great deal in technology. This has meant that technology has had very little impact on the rural poor. Therefore if we accept that technology is an important component of economic development, the rural areas have had little economic growth in the form of technology. The paper nonetheless acknowledges that whilst Botswana comes across as a technology non-achiever globally, it possesses the requisite infrastructure (such as telecommunications main lines that are 100% digital) to make technology work for her populace. The paper further advocates massive investment in training in science and technology, research and development to generate the critical mass of skilled researchers upon whom Botswana s technology-led development can be anchored. However any investment in building a human resource capacity that can support and maintain science and technological needs should be coupled to a strong desire to make use of the outcomes of research. Introduction Many surveys (Labelle 2002, UNDP HDR 2001, SARlMA 2002) report evidence that appropriate technologies, including information and communication technologies (ICTs), can be harnessed by the poor to sustain themselves. According to Labelle, lCTs can also help attack ignorance and illiteracy that are regarded as "the outriders of poverty and disenfranchisement." From the available literature it is reasonable to propose that leveraging technology to alleviate or even eliminate poverty is no longer an open question. The only question that remains relates to the context and circumstances under which technology is able to do this. For this paper, it is necessary to define the concepts and ideas embodied in the topic. The word technology is herein given a much wider meaning than the usual one of mechanical art and applied sciences. Technology therefore includes all processes that are an improvement on the norm. Poverty on the other hand is understood to mean a want of necessities of life including food, shelter, hope, employment, health and dignity. The causes of poverty are invariably multivariable, spanning drought, unemployment, decline in agricultural producer prices, high fertility, attitudes, policy failures and many others. The Botswana situation can best be understood by providing a poverty map. The map will help explain the causes of poverty as well as give pointers as to how best to apply technology in order to ensure that Botswana's poor emerge out of poverty. This is the major focus of our paper and it derives its legitimacy from Botswana's declared vision (Vision 2016) of, "a prosperous, productive and innovative nation." The orthodox thought is that prosperity (meaning lack of poverty), productivity and innovation are products of the application of technology (UNDP, HDR 2001), meaning that Botswana requires technology as a tool to facilitate the realisation of its national vision. 41 Poverty and Technology Achievement Index .. ',' There are global indicators that place a country's posItion vis-a-vIs poverty and/or prosperity. Amongst the more commonly used ones are the development indices that the UNDP publishes annually, Human Development Index (HDI), Gender-related Development Index (GDI) and Human Poverty Index (HPI). Another index which is of particular interest to this paper is called the Technology Achievement In~ex .(TAI): The HDI measures the overall achievements in a country in three basIc dimensIOns of human development - longevity, knowledge and a decent standard of living. Conversely, the HPI reflects the distribution of progress and measures the backlog of deprivations that still exists. Using the same dimensions and indicators as the HDI, the GDI captures inequalities in achievement between women and men, with a lower index indicating lack of gender equity. The TAl, introduced since 2001, "aims to compute how well a country is creating and diffusing technology and building a human skill base - reflecting capacity to participate in the technological innovations of the network age." (UNDP HDR 2001). The components of the index are four in number: i) Creation of technology which is decomposed into the number of patents granted per capita (to reflect the level of invention activity) and receipts of royalty and license fees from abroad per capita (reflecting market value of past innovations). ii) Diffusion of recent innovations measured by the diffusion of the Internet and by exports of high- and medium-technology products as a percentage of all exports. iii) Diffusion of old innovations in the form of telephones and electricity. iv) Human skills reflected by the mean years of schooling and gross enrolment ratio (GER) of tertiary students enrolled in science, mathematics and engineering. (It is likely that vocational training will be incorporated in future). Gauged against the standards set by the TAl, Botswana, with no discernible patents nor high-value manufactures, is struggling to be competitive. However if one were just to assess Botswana's efforts and achievements to date, a different picture from that painted by the TAl would perhaps emerge. Botswana's Technology Scorecard The Global (TAl) Perspectives The 2001 UNDP HDR has five categories or ranks of countries in terms of their TAl as follows; Leaders (meaning 18 of the OECD countries' ), potential leaders (amongst them Costa Rica at position 36), followed by dynamic adopters (such as South Africa, position 39 with an index of 0.340, and Zimbabwe at 59), the fourth being marginalised (including Ghana at 67 and Mozambique at 72), and finally others. Botswana is in the final grouping of countries whose TAl could not be evaluated for lack of information. The report further indicates that Botswana had only I patent granted by 1998per I million residents pointing to a truly unattractive picture as indicated earlier. Although the latest estimates from SARIMA indicate that at least one patent came out of Botswana annually over the last 6 years, they equally concede that only one patent has been turned into a product which might explain the UNDP statistics of just one patent. If Botswana wishes to achieve more in technology it needs to work on turning more of its patents into products, in addition to maintaining or increasing the rate of production of patents in the first place. In general, Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), Botswana included, has not fared very well in world trade over the last 20 years. Figures from UNCTAD indicate that whereas 42 SSA had 2.5% and 2.1 % of world exports and imports respectively in 1980, by 1999 the situation had worsened to 0.9% and 1.0% (UNCTAD 2001). The Botswana government statistics are clearly in support of under-achievement in technology in that primary commodities still constitute more than 80% (by value) of the country's exports. In 1998 Botswana's overall expenditure in science and technology (S&T) was guesstimated at less than I % of GDP (S&T Policy 1998) compared to the industrialised countries norm of between 2 and 3%. A recent estimate of Botswana government expenditure on research and development (R&D) (through the various government parastatal organisations) was given as a more definite figure of 0.12% ofGDP (SARIMA 2002). This shows it is still far short ofthe necessary 2-plus percent ofOECD countries ifR&D must bear economic fruits for the country. There must be at least a twenty-fold increase in investment in R&D for Botswana to just get into the door for innovation in science and technology. The SARIMA document further reports that there are only nine research scientists and engineers per ten thousand people (0.09%) in the workforce. This is further affirmation, if any was needed, of the glaring technical skills shortage in the economy. Perhaps couching Botswana's technology in indices is a little impervious and hence bound to be somewhat misleading. Table I below gives a snapshot of both the positive and negative achievements that Botswana currently has on a global scale. Table 1: Botswana Technology Scorecard Negative Traliti mpemrtatirn oftre S&TPolicyof1998" liresi A Scienx ani Ta::lmlogy (S&1) Policy ISID F.xisten:e of a IIIlliu of ted1mIogy m; A rnti