Estimation and Inference in Cointegrated Panels
This dissertation investigates parameter estimation and inference in cointegrated panel data model. In Chapter 1, for homogeneous cointegrated panels, a simple, new estimation method is proposed based on Vogelsang and Wagner [2014]. The estimator is labeled panel integrated modified ordinary least squares (panel IM-OLS). Similar to panel fully modified ordinary least squares (panel FM-OLS) and panel dynamic ordinary least squares (panel DOLS), the panel IM-OLS estimator has a zero mean Gaussian mixture limiting distribution. However, panel IM-OLS does not require estimation of long run variance matrices and avoids the need to choose tuning parameters such as kernel functions, bandwidths, leads and lags. Inference based on panel IM-OLS estimates does require an estimator of a scalar long run variance, and critical values for test statistics are obtained from traditional and fixed-b methods. The properties of panel IM-OLS are analyzed using asymptotic theory and finite sample simulations. Panel IM-OLS performs well relative to other estimators. Chapter 2 compares asymptotic and bootstrap hypothesis tests in cointegrated panels with cross-sectional uncorrelated units and endogenous regressors. All the tests are based on the panel IM-OLS estimator from Chapter 1. The aim of using the bootstrap tests is to deal with the size distortion problems in the finite samples of fixed-b tests. Finite sample simulations show that the bootstrap method outperforms the asymptotic method in terms of having lower size distortions. In general, the stationary bootstrap is better than the conditional-on-regressors bootstrap, although in some cases, the conditional-on-regressors bootstrap has less size distortions. The improvement in size comes with only minor power losses, which can be ignored when the sample size is large. Chapter 3 is concerned with parameter estimation and inference in a more general case than Chapter 1 with endogenous regressors and heterogeneous long run variances in the cross section. In addition, the model allows a limited degree of cross-sectional dependence due to a common time effect. The panel IM-OLS estimator is provided for this less restricted model. Similar as in Chapter 1, this panel IM-OLS estimator has a zero mean Gaussian mixture limiting distribution. However, standard asymptotic inference is infeasible due to the existence of nuisance parameters. Inference based on panel IM-OLS relies on the stationary bootstrap. The properties of panel IM-OLS are analyzed using the stationary bootstrap in finite sample simulations.
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- In Collections
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Electronic Theses & Dissertations
- Copyright Status
- In Copyright
- Material Type
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Theses
- Thesis Advisors
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Vogelsang, Tim
- Committee Members
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Schmidt, Peter
Wooldridge, Jeffrey M.
Wagner, Martin
- Date Published
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2017
- Program of Study
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Economics - Doctor of Philosophy
- Degree Level
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Doctoral
- Language
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English
- Pages
- xiv, 178 pages
- ISBN
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9781369730050
1369730055
- Permalink
- https://doi.org/doi:10.25335/hvdt-p009